Cumulative Deaths

Poland cumulative deaths were steady until 5 weeks ago then surged upwards.









Daily Deaths

Daily deaths are plotted and then the smoothed daily deaths overlayed (all data used is provided at the end of this report).



Daily New Cases

Daily new cases are plotted and the smoothed daily new cases overlayed.


Large Surge in Cases

The large surge in Poland daily new cases is thought to mean there is a large increase in Covid 19, a “second wave”.


Correlation of Cases to Deaths Found





Daily new cases are scatter plotted against daily deaths.

Lagging Deaths to Cases

Death occurs after initial infection and is a lagging indicator. An increase in cases should lead in daily deaths. Daily deaths are lagged 18 days (the severity reports mean for the time required to die after becoming infected).

With daily deaths lagged 18 days, there is significant correlation between daily deaths lagged and daily new cases. This means cases are correctly depicting the disease in Poland.




## [1] 248



There is significant correlation between lagged daily new deaths and daily new cases.






Poland deaths are divided by the assumed Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) of 0.5%. This gives the cumulative infections as of 18 days prior to last. This cumulative infections is then divided by the population to give the percentage of Poland have had Covid 19.






Poland data is from WHO.


##           date country dcases  cases daid deaths      pop  daidsm dcasessm
## 60  2020-03-02  Poland      0      0    0      0 38000000   0.000        3
## 61  2020-03-03  Poland      0      0    0      0 38000000  -0.002        2
## 62  2020-03-04  Poland      1      1    0      0 38000000   0.000        2
## 63  2020-03-05  Poland      0      1    0      0 38000000   0.000        2
## 64  2020-03-06  Poland      0      1    0      0 38000000   0.000        2
## 65  2020-03-07  Poland      4      5    0      0 38000000   0.000        3
## 66  2020-03-08  Poland      1      6    0      0 38000000   0.000        4
## 67  2020-03-09  Poland      5     11    0      0 38000000   0.000        6
## 68  2020-03-10  Poland      6     17    0      0 38000000   0.000        8
## 69  2020-03-11  Poland      5     22    0      0 38000000   0.200       11
## 70  2020-03-12  Poland      9     31    0      0 38000000   0.400       15
## 71  2020-03-13  Poland     18     49    1      1 38000000   0.600       20
## 72  2020-03-14  Poland     19     68    1      2 38000000   0.600       25
## 73  2020-03-15  Poland     36    104    1      3 38000000   0.800       31
## 74  2020-03-16  Poland     21    125    0      3 38000000   0.800       37
## 75  2020-03-17  Poland     52    177    1      4 38000000   0.600       45
## 76  2020-03-18  Poland     61    238    1      5 38000000   0.400       55
## 77  2020-03-19  Poland     49    287    0      5 38000000   0.400       63
## 78  2020-03-20  Poland     68    355    0      5 38000000   0.200       74
## 79  2020-03-21  Poland     70    425    0      5 38000000   0.400       86
## 80  2020-03-22  Poland    111    536    0      5 38000000   0.600       98
## 81  2020-03-23  Poland     98    634    2      7 38000000   1.000      110
## 82  2020-03-24  Poland    115    749    1      8 38000000   1.800      125
## 83  2020-03-25  Poland    152    901    2     10 38000000   2.200      143
## 84  2020-03-26  Poland    150   1051    4     14 38000000   1.800      157
## 85  2020-03-27  Poland    170   1221    2     16 38000000   2.000      170
## 86  2020-03-28  Poland    168   1389    0     16 38000000   2.400      185
## 87  2020-03-29  Poland    249   1638    2     18 38000000   3.400      206
## 88  2020-03-30  Poland    224   1862    4     22 38000000   3.400      234
## 89  2020-03-31  Poland    193   2055    9     31 38000000   5.400      253
## 90  2020-04-01  Poland    256   2311    2     33 38000000   7.800      273
## 91  2020-04-02  Poland    243   2554   10     43 38000000   9.800      295
## 92  2020-04-03  Poland    392   2946   14     57 38000000   9.600      312
## 93  2020-04-04  Poland    437   3383   14     71 38000000  12.200      328
## 94  2020-04-05  Poland    244   3627    8     79 38000000  12.800      343
## 95  2020-04-06  Poland    475   4102   15     94 38000000  14.400      358
## 96  2020-04-07  Poland    311   4413   13    107 38000000  17.600      372
## 97  2020-04-08  Poland    435   4848   22    129 38000000  19.000      376
## 98  2020-04-09  Poland    357   5205   30    159 38000000  17.400      364
## 99  2020-04-10  Poland    370   5575   15    174 38000000  20.200      356
## 100 2020-04-11  Poland    380   5955    7    181 38000000  20.600      353
## 101 2020-04-12  Poland    401   6356   27    208 38000000  17.200      349
## 102 2020-04-13  Poland    318   6674   24    232 38000000  17.800      352
## 103 2020-04-14  Poland    260   6934   13    245 38000000  21.000      353
## 104 2020-04-15  Poland    268   7202   18    263 38000000  21.200      362
## 105 2020-04-16  Poland    380   7582   23    286 38000000  20.000      368
## 106 2020-04-17  Poland    336   7918   28    314 38000000  20.400      357
## 107 2020-04-18  Poland    461   8379   18    332 38000000  19.400      350
## 108 2020-04-19  Poland    363   8742   15    347 38000000  18.800      354
## 109 2020-04-20  Poland    545   9287   13    360 38000000  17.400      363
## 110 2020-04-21  Poland    306   9593   20    380 38000000  18.800      369
## 111 2020-04-22  Poland    263   9856   21    401 38000000  21.400      370
## 112 2020-04-23  Poland    313  10169   25    426 38000000  26.800      361
## 113 2020-04-24  Poland    342  10511   28    454 38000000  28.800      350
## 114 2020-04-25  Poland    381  10892   40    494 38000000  26.800      341
## 115 2020-04-26  Poland    381  11273   30    524 38000000  27.200      332
## 116 2020-04-27  Poland    344  11617   11    535 38000000  28.400      327
## 117 2020-04-28  Poland    285  11902   27    562 38000000  26.000      323
## 118 2020-04-29  Poland    316  12218   34    596 38000000  24.000      319
## 119 2020-04-30  Poland    422  12640   28    624 38000000  23.200      315
## 120 2020-05-01  Poland    237  12877   20    644 38000000  20.400      314
## 121 2020-05-02  Poland    228  13105    7    651 38000000  16.400      314
## 122 2020-05-03  Poland    270  13375   13    664 38000000  14.800      313
## 123 2020-05-04  Poland    318  13693   14    678 38000000  14.400      315
## 124 2020-05-05  Poland    313  14006   20    698 38000000  16.400      308
## 125 2020-05-06  Poland    425  14431   18    716 38000000  18.200      307
## 126 2020-05-07  Poland    309  14740   17    733 38000000  19.600      317
## 127 2020-05-08  Poland    307  15047   22    755 38000000  17.400      338
## 128 2020-05-09  Poland    319  15366   21    776 38000000  16.800      353
## 129 2020-05-10  Poland    285  15651    9    785 38000000  15.600      356
## 130 2020-05-11  Poland    345  15996   15    800 38000000  16.800      360
## 131 2020-05-12  Poland    330  16326   11    811 38000000  17.000      355
## 132 2020-05-13  Poland    595  16921   28    839 38000000  19.600      350
## 133 2020-05-14  Poland    283  17204   22    861 38000000  21.400      350
## 134 2020-05-15  Poland    411  17615   22    883 38000000  20.800      357
## 135 2020-05-16  Poland    401  18016   24    907 38000000  17.200      368
## 136 2020-05-17  Poland    241  18257    8    915 38000000  15.000      378
## 137 2020-05-18  Poland    272  18529   10    925 38000000  13.000      376
## 138 2020-05-19  Poland    356  18885   11    936 38000000  11.000      371
## 139 2020-05-20  Poland    383  19268   12    948 38000000  11.400      372
## 140 2020-05-21  Poland    471  19739   14    962 38000000  11.400      366
## 141 2020-05-22  Poland    404  20143   10    972 38000000  11.400      372
## 142 2020-05-23  Poland    476  20619   10    982 38000000   9.600      388
## 143 2020-05-24  Poland    312  20931   11    993 38000000   9.000      394
## 144 2020-05-25  Poland    395  21326    3    996 38000000  10.400      391
## 145 2020-05-26  Poland    305  21631   11   1007 38000000   9.200      386
## 146 2020-05-27  Poland    443  22074   17   1024 38000000   9.000      374
## 147 2020-05-28  Poland    399  22473    4   1028 38000000  11.000      359
## 148 2020-05-29  Poland    352  22825   10   1038 38000000  10.800      350
## 149 2020-05-30  Poland    330  23155   13   1051 38000000   8.000      341
## 150 2020-05-31  Poland    416  23571   10   1061 38000000   9.200      339
## 151 2020-06-01  Poland    215  23786    3   1064 38000000  10.800      338
## 152 2020-06-02  Poland    379  24165   10   1074 38000000  12.800      343
## 153 2020-06-03  Poland    230  24395   18   1092 38000000  11.200      362
## 154 2020-06-04  Poland    292  24687   23   1115 38000000  14.600      387
## 155 2020-06-05  Poland    361  25048    2   1117 38000000  15.800      400
## 156 2020-06-06  Poland    371  25419   20   1137 38000000  13.000      398
## 157 2020-06-07  Poland    567  25986   16   1153 38000000  10.200      400
## 158 2020-06-08  Poland    575  26561    4   1157 38000000  13.200      411
## 159 2020-06-09  Poland    599  27160    9   1166 38000000  13.800      426
## 160 2020-06-10  Poland    400  27560   17   1183 38000000  12.400      434
## 161 2020-06-11  Poland    197  27757   23   1206 38000000  13.000      436
## 162 2020-06-12  Poland    444  28201    9   1215 38000000  14.200      429
## 163 2020-06-13  Poland    376  28577    7   1222 38000000  12.800      417
## 164 2020-06-14  Poland    440  29017   15   1237 38000000  10.000      400
## 165 2020-06-15  Poland    375  29392   10   1247 38000000  11.400      381
## 166 2020-06-16  Poland    396  29788    9   1256 38000000  12.800      381
## 167 2020-06-17  Poland    407  30195   16   1272 38000000  15.800      380
## 168 2020-06-18  Poland    506  30701   14   1286 38000000  17.400      369
## 169 2020-06-19  Poland    314  31015   30   1316 38000000  18.000      358
## 170 2020-06-20  Poland    301  31316   18   1334 38000000  16.800      347
## 171 2020-06-21  Poland    304  31620   12   1346 38000000  14.600      338
## 172 2020-06-22  Poland    311  31931   10   1356 38000000  11.800      327
## 173 2020-06-23  Poland    296  32227    3   1359 38000000  12.400      311
## 174 2020-06-24  Poland    300  32527   16   1375 38000000  13.200      295
## 175 2020-06-25  Poland    294  32821   21   1396 38000000  14.600      286
## 176 2020-06-26  Poland    298  33119   16   1412 38000000  15.200      281
## 177 2020-06-27  Poland    276  33395   17   1429 38000000  12.600      281
## 178 2020-06-28  Poland    319  33714    6   1435 38000000   9.600      288
## 179 2020-06-29  Poland    193  33907    3   1438 38000000  10.200      290
## 180 2020-06-30  Poland    247  34154    6   1444 38000000   9.600      289
## 181 2020-07-01  Poland    239  34393   19   1463 38000000  11.400      286
## 182 2020-07-02  Poland    382  34775   14   1477 38000000  13.800      280
## 183 2020-07-03  Poland    371  35146   15   1492 38000000  13.600      273
## 184 2020-07-04  Poland    259  35405   15   1507 38000000  10.800      274
## 185 2020-07-05  Poland    314  35719    5   1512 38000000   8.800      279
## 186 2020-07-06  Poland    231  35950    5   1517 38000000   7.200      281
## 187 2020-07-07  Poland    205  36155    4   1521 38000000   7.000      278
## 188 2020-07-08  Poland    257  36412    7   1528 38000000   7.800      275
## 189 2020-07-09  Poland    277  36689   14   1542 38000000   9.000      276
## 190 2020-07-10  Poland    262  36951    9   1551 38000000   9.400      276
## 191 2020-07-11  Poland    265  37216   11   1562 38000000   8.600      278
## 192 2020-07-12  Poland    305  37521    6   1568 38000000   6.800      286
## 193 2020-07-13  Poland    370  37891    3   1571 38000000   7.400      295
## 194 2020-07-14  Poland    299  38190    5   1576 38000000   6.400      303
## 195 2020-07-15  Poland    267  38457   12   1588 38000000   7.400      310
## 196 2020-07-16  Poland    323  38780    6   1594 38000000   8.200      316
## 197 2020-07-17  Poland    274  39054   11   1605 38000000   8.400      321
## 198 2020-07-18  Poland    353  39407    7   1612 38000000   7.200      327
## 199 2020-07-19  Poland    339  39746    6   1618 38000000   6.600      333
## 200 2020-07-20  Poland    358  40104    6   1624 38000000   6.200      349
## 201 2020-07-21  Poland    279  40383    3   1627 38000000   6.000      371
## 202 2020-07-22  Poland    399  40782    9   1636 38000000   6.600      393
## 203 2020-07-23  Poland    380  41162    6   1642 38000000   6.200      400
## 204 2020-07-24  Poland    418  41580    9   1651 38000000   7.400      408
## 205 2020-07-25  Poland    458  42038    4   1655 38000000   7.000      424
## 206 2020-07-26  Poland    584  42622    9   1664 38000000   6.800      448
## 207 2020-07-27  Poland    443  43065    7   1671 38000000   6.200      478
## 208 2020-07-28  Poland    337  43402    5   1676 38000000   7.800      504
## 209 2020-07-29  Poland    502  43904    6   1682 38000000   9.000      525
## 210 2020-07-30  Poland    512  44416   12   1694 38000000   9.000      537
## 211 2020-07-31  Poland    615  45031   15   1709 38000000   9.000      548
## 212 2020-08-01  Poland    657  45688    7   1716 38000000   9.800      563
## 213 2020-08-02  Poland    658  46346    5   1721 38000000   7.600      592
## 214 2020-08-03  Poland    548  46894   10   1731 38000000   5.800      627
## 215 2020-08-04  Poland    575  47469    1   1732 38000000   8.000      659
## 216 2020-08-05  Poland    680  48149    6   1738 38000000  10.600      676
## 217 2020-08-06  Poland    640  48789   18   1756 38000000  11.200      674
## 218 2020-08-07  Poland    726  49515   18   1774 38000000  13.600      667
## 219 2020-08-08  Poland    809  50324   13   1787 38000000  13.800      670
## 220 2020-08-09  Poland    843  51167   13   1800 38000000  10.600      690
## 221 2020-08-10  Poland    624  51791    7   1807 38000000   9.400      709
## 222 2020-08-11  Poland    619  52410    2   1809 38000000   8.600      724
## 223 2020-08-12  Poland    551  52961   12   1821 38000000   8.800      723
## 224 2020-08-13  Poland    715  53676    9   1830 38000000  10.200      706
## 225 2020-08-14  Poland    811  54487   14   1844 38000000  12.000      683
## 226 2020-08-15  Poland    832  55319   14   1858 38000000  11.200      676
## 227 2020-08-16  Poland    771  56090   11   1869 38000000  11.000      689
## 228 2020-08-17  Poland    594  56684    8   1877 38000000  10.400      714
## 229 2020-08-18  Poland    595  57279    8   1885 38000000  11.000      741
## 230 2020-08-19  Poland    597  57876   11   1896 38000000  11.200      739
## 231 2020-08-20  Poland    735  58611   17   1913 38000000  12.200      713
## 232 2020-08-21  Poland    767  59378   12   1925 38000000  13.200      699
## 233 2020-08-22  Poland    903  60281   13   1938 38000000  11.800      705
## 234 2020-08-23  Poland    900  61181   13   1951 38000000   9.400      726
## 235 2020-08-24  Poland    581  61762    4   1955 38000000  10.400      751
## 236 2020-08-25  Poland    548  62310    5   1960 38000000  11.200      762
## 237 2020-08-26  Poland    763  63073   17   1977 38000000  11.800      756
## 238 2020-08-27  Poland    729  63802   17   1994 38000000  12.600      729
## 239 2020-08-28  Poland    887  64689   16   2010 38000000  14.400      692
## 240 2020-08-29  Poland    791  65480    8   2018 38000000  11.200      675
## 241 2020-08-30  Poland    759  66239   14   2032 38000000   9.000      679
## 242 2020-08-31  Poland    631  66870    1   2033 38000000   9.600      678
## 243 2020-09-01  Poland    502  67372    6   2039 38000000  12.000      667
## 244 2020-09-02  Poland    550  67922   19   2058 38000000  12.000      636
## 245 2020-09-03  Poland    595  68517   20   2078 38000000  13.400      589
## 246 2020-09-04  Poland    612  69129   14   2092 38000000  14.800      547
## 247 2020-09-05  Poland    691  69820    8   2100 38000000  12.400      518
## 248 2020-09-06  Poland    567  70387   13   2113 38000000   9.200      508
## 249 2020-09-07  Poland    437  70824    7   2120 38000000   8.800      510
## 250 2020-09-08  Poland    302  71126    4   2124 38000000   9.400      513
## 251 2020-09-09  Poland    400  71526   12   2136 38000000   9.200      508
## 252 2020-09-10  Poland    421  71947   11   2147 38000000   9.800      487
## 253 2020-09-11  Poland    506  72453   12   2159 38000000  11.600      473
## 254 2020-09-12  Poland    594  73047   10   2169 38000000  10.400      483
## 255 2020-09-13  Poland    603  73650   13   2182 38000000  11.200      518
## 256 2020-09-14  Poland    502  74152    6   2188 38000000  13.600      562
## 257 2020-09-15  Poland    377  74529   15   2203 38000000  13.600      609
## 258 2020-09-16  Poland    605  75134   24   2227 38000000  14.200      658
## 259 2020-09-17  Poland    600  75734   10   2237 38000000  16.400      686
## 260 2020-09-18  Poland    837  76571   16   2253 38000000  15.800      700
## 261 2020-09-19  Poland    757  77328   17   2270 38000000  13.200      729
## 262 2020-09-20  Poland   1002  78330   12   2282 38000000  12.200      790
## 263 2020-09-21  Poland    910  79240   11   2293 38000000  12.600      877
## 264 2020-09-22  Poland    748  79988    5   2298 38000000  14.800      975
## 265 2020-09-23  Poland    711  80699   18   2316 38000000  17.400     1050
## 266 2020-09-24  Poland    974  81673   28   2344 38000000  19.800     1103
## 267 2020-09-25  Poland   1136  82809   25   2369 38000000  25.200     1147
## 268 2020-09-26  Poland   1587  84396   23   2392 38000000  23.200     1195
## 269 2020-09-27  Poland   1584  85980   32   2424 38000000  20.600     1288
## 270 2020-09-28  Poland   1350  87330    8   2432 38000000  22.800     1428
## 271 2020-09-29  Poland   1306  88636   15   2447 38000000  24.200     1577
## 272 2020-09-30  Poland   1326  89962   36   2483 38000000  23.800     1590
## 273 2020-10-01  Poland   1552  91514   30   2513 38000000  27.600     1651
## 274 2020-10-02  Poland   1967  93481   30   2543 38000000  31.400     1801
## 275 2020-10-03  Poland   2292  95773   27   2570 38000000  24.200     1916
## 276 2020-10-04  Poland   2367  98140   34   2604 38000000  29.200     2148
## 277 2020-10-05  Poland      0  98140    0   2604 38000000  34.800     2467
## 278 2020-10-06  Poland   3940 102080   55   2659 38000000  44.400     2825
## 279 2020-10-07  Poland   2236 104316   58   2717 38000000  52.600     3123
## 280 2020-10-08  Poland   3003 107319   75   2792 38000000  63.000     3339
## 281 2020-10-09  Poland   4280 111599   75   2867 38000000  62.600     3579
## 282 2020-10-10  Poland   4739 116338   52   2919 38000000  57.400     4040
## 283 2020-10-11  Poland   5300 121638   53   2972 38000000  49.400     4574
## 284 2020-10-12  Poland   4178 125816   32   3004 38000000  46.800     5056
## 285 2020-10-13  Poland   4394 130210   35   3039 38000000  59.600     5660
## 286 2020-10-14  Poland   5068 135278   62   3101 38000000  67.200     6204
## 287 2020-10-15  Poland   6526 141804  116   3217 38000000  87.200     6554
## 288 2020-10-16  Poland   8099 149903   91   3308 38000000  97.000     6891
## 289 2020-10-17  Poland   7705 157608  132   3440 38000000  94.400     7383
## 290 2020-10-18  Poland   9622 167230   84   3524 38000000  79.400     8062
## 291 2020-10-19  Poland   8536 175766   49   3573 38000000  82.600     8876
## 292 2020-10-20  Poland   7482 183248   41   3614 38000000  82.200     9659
## 293 2020-10-21  Poland   9291 192539  107   3721 38000000  99.000    10196
## 294 2020-10-22  Poland  10040 202579  130   3851 38000000 119.800    10505
## 295 2020-10-23  Poland  12107 214686  168   4019 38000000 147.400    10966
## 296 2020-10-24  Poland  13632 228318  153   4172 38000000 143.400    11814
## 297 2020-10-25  Poland  13628 241946  179   4351 38000000 126.400    12962
## 298 2020-10-26  Poland  11742 253688   87   4438 38000000 119.200    14213
## 299 2020-10-27  Poland  10241 263929   45   4483 38000000 135.800    15422
## 300 2020-10-28  Poland  16300 280229  132   4615 38000000 159.600    16268
## 301 2020-10-29  Poland  18820 299049  236   4851 38000000 182.600    16619
## 302 2020-10-30  Poland  20156 319205  298   5149 38000000 229.600    17003
## 303 2020-10-31  Poland  21629 340834  202   5351 38000000 233.600    17937
## 304 2020-11-01  Poland  21897 362731  280   5631 38000000 204.800    19430
## 305 2020-11-02  Poland  17171 379902  152   5783 38000000 190.600    20814
## 306 2020-11-03  Poland  15578 395480   92   5875 38000000 224.800    21806
## 307 2020-11-04  Poland  19364 414844  227   6102 38000000 242.200    22491
## 308 2020-11-05  Poland  24692 439536  373   6475 38000000 300.800    22726
## 309 2020-11-06  Poland  27143 466679  367   6842 38000000 352.200    22908
## 310 2020-11-07  Poland  27086 493765  445   7287 38000000 354.000    23489
## 311 2020-11-08  Poland  27875 521640  349   7636 38000000 314.000    24246
## 312 2020-11-09  Poland  24785 546425  236   7872 38000000 306.600    24836
## 313 2020-11-10  Poland  21713 568138  173   8045 38000000 303.600    25114
## 314 2020-11-11  Poland  25454 593592  330   8375 38000000 288.800    24894
## 315 2020-11-12  Poland  25221 618813  430   8805 38000000 325.400    24316
## 316 2020-11-13  Poland  22683 641496  275   9080 38000000 400.000    23566
## 317 2020-11-14  Poland  24051 665547  419   9499 38000000 394.600    22885
## 318 2020-11-15  Poland  25571 691118  546  10045 38000000 337.200    22753
## 319 2020-11-16  Poland  21854 712972  303  10348 38000000 353.600    22716
## 320 2020-11-17  Poland  20816 733788  143  10491 38000000 390.400    22517
## 321 2020-11-18  Poland  19152 752940  357  10848 38000000 408.600    22317
## 322 2020-11-19  Poland  19883 772823  603  11451 38000000 473.200    22117
## 323 2020-11-20  Poland  23975 796798  637  12088 38000000 559.400    21917
## 324 2020-11-21  Poland  22464 819262  626  12714 38000000 578.934    21717
## 325 2020-11-22  Poland  24213 843475  574  13288 38000000 598.467    21517
##       l18  cuminf     peri
## 60    0.2       0 0.000000
## 61    0.4       0 0.000000
## 62    0.6       0 0.000000
## 63    1.0       0 0.000000
## 64    1.8       0 0.000000
## 65    2.2       0 0.000000
## 66    1.8       0 0.000000
## 67    2.0       0 0.000000
## 68    2.4       0 0.000000
## 69    3.4       0 0.000000
## 70    3.4       0 0.000000
## 71    5.4     200 0.000005
## 72    7.8     400 0.000011
## 73    9.8     600 0.000016
## 74    9.6     600 0.000016
## 75   12.2     800 0.000021
## 76   12.8    1000 0.000026
## 77   14.4    1000 0.000026
## 78   17.6    1000 0.000026
## 79   19.0    1000 0.000026
## 80   17.4    1000 0.000026
## 81   20.2    1400 0.000037
## 82   20.6    1600 0.000042
## 83   17.2    2000 0.000053
## 84   17.8    2800 0.000074
## 85   21.0    3200 0.000084
## 86   21.2    3200 0.000084
## 87   20.0    3600 0.000095
## 88   20.4    4400 0.000116
## 89   19.4    6200 0.000163
## 90   18.8    6600 0.000174
## 91   17.4    8600 0.000226
## 92   18.8   11400 0.000300
## 93   21.4   14200 0.000374
## 94   26.8   15800 0.000416
## 95   28.8   18800 0.000495
## 96   26.8   21400 0.000563
## 97   27.2   25800 0.000679
## 98   28.4   31800 0.000837
## 99   26.0   34800 0.000916
## 100  24.0   36200 0.000953
## 101  23.2   41600 0.001095
## 102  20.4   46400 0.001221
## 103  16.4   49000 0.001289
## 104  14.8   52600 0.001384
## 105  14.4   57200 0.001505
## 106  16.4   62800 0.001653
## 107  18.2   66400 0.001747
## 108  19.6   69400 0.001826
## 109  17.4   72000 0.001895
## 110  16.8   76000 0.002000
## 111  15.6   80200 0.002111
## 112  16.8   85200 0.002242
## 113  17.0   90800 0.002389
## 114  19.6   98800 0.002600
## 115  21.4  104800 0.002758
## 116  20.8  107000 0.002816
## 117  17.2  112400 0.002958
## 118  15.0  119200 0.003137
## 119  13.0  124800 0.003284
## 120  11.0  128800 0.003389
## 121  11.4  130200 0.003426
## 122  11.4  132800 0.003495
## 123  11.4  135600 0.003568
## 124   9.6  139600 0.003674
## 125   9.0  143200 0.003768
## 126  10.4  146600 0.003858
## 127   9.2  151000 0.003974
## 128   9.0  155200 0.004084
## 129  11.0  157000 0.004132
## 130  10.8  160000 0.004211
## 131   8.0  162200 0.004268
## 132   9.2  167800 0.004416
## 133  10.8  172200 0.004532
## 134  12.8  176600 0.004647
## 135  11.2  181400 0.004774
## 136  14.6  183000 0.004816
## 137  15.8  185000 0.004868
## 138  13.0  187200 0.004926
## 139  10.2  189600 0.004989
## 140  13.2  192400 0.005063
## 141  13.8  194400 0.005116
## 142  12.4  196400 0.005168
## 143  13.0  198600 0.005226
## 144  14.2  199200 0.005242
## 145  12.8  201400 0.005300
## 146  10.0  204800 0.005389
## 147  11.4  205600 0.005411
## 148  12.8  207600 0.005463
## 149  15.8  210200 0.005532
## 150  17.4  212200 0.005584
## 151  18.0  212800 0.005600
## 152  16.8  214800 0.005653
## 153  14.6  218400 0.005747
## 154  11.8  223000 0.005868
## 155  12.4  223400 0.005879
## 156  13.2  227400 0.005984
## 157  14.6  230600 0.006068
## 158  15.2  231400 0.006089
## 159  12.6  233200 0.006137
## 160   9.6  236600 0.006226
## 161  10.2  241200 0.006347
## 162   9.6  243000 0.006395
## 163  11.4  244400 0.006432
## 164  13.8  247400 0.006511
## 165  13.6  249400 0.006563
## 166  10.8  251200 0.006611
## 167   8.8  254400 0.006695
## 168   7.2  257200 0.006768
## 169   7.0  263200 0.006926
## 170   7.8  266800 0.007021
## 171   9.0  269200 0.007084
## 172   9.4  271200 0.007137
## 173   8.6  271800 0.007153
## 174   6.8  275000 0.007237
## 175   7.4  279200 0.007347
## 176   6.4  282400 0.007432
## 177   7.4  285800 0.007521
## 178   8.2  287000 0.007553
## 179   8.4  287600 0.007568
## 180   7.2  288800 0.007600
## 181   6.6  292600 0.007700
## 182   6.2  295400 0.007774
## 183   6.0  298400 0.007853
## 184   6.6  301400 0.007932
## 185   6.2  302400 0.007958
## 186   7.4  303400 0.007984
## 187   7.0  304200 0.008005
## 188   6.8  305600 0.008042
## 189   6.2  308400 0.008116
## 190   7.8  310200 0.008163
## 191   9.0  312400 0.008221
## 192   9.0  313600 0.008253
## 193   9.0  314200 0.008268
## 194   9.8  315200 0.008295
## 195   7.6  317600 0.008358
## 196   5.8  318800 0.008389
## 197   8.0  321000 0.008447
## 198  10.6  322400 0.008484
## 199  11.2  323600 0.008516
## 200  13.6  324800 0.008547
## 201  13.8  325400 0.008563
## 202  10.6  327200 0.008611
## 203   9.4  328400 0.008642
## 204   8.6  330200 0.008689
## 205   8.8  331000 0.008711
## 206  10.2  332800 0.008758
## 207  12.0  334200 0.008795
## 208  11.2  335200 0.008821
## 209  11.0  336400 0.008853
## 210  10.4  338800 0.008916
## 211  11.0  341800 0.008995
## 212  11.2  343200 0.009032
## 213  12.2  344200 0.009058
## 214  13.2  346200 0.009111
## 215  11.8  346400 0.009116
## 216   9.4  347600 0.009147
## 217  10.4  351200 0.009242
## 218  11.2  354800 0.009337
## 219  11.8  357400 0.009405
## 220  12.6  360000 0.009474
## 221  14.4  361400 0.009511
## 222  11.2  361800 0.009521
## 223   9.0  364200 0.009584
## 224   9.6  366000 0.009632
## 225  12.0  368800 0.009705
## 226  12.0  371600 0.009779
## 227  13.4  373800 0.009837
## 228  14.8  375400 0.009879
## 229  12.4  377000 0.009921
## 230   9.2  379200 0.009979
## 231   8.8  382600 0.010068
## 232   9.4  385000 0.010132
## 233   9.2  387600 0.010200
## 234   9.8  390200 0.010268
## 235  11.6  391000 0.010289
## 236  10.4  392000 0.010316
## 237  11.2  395400 0.010405
## 238  13.6  398800 0.010495
## 239  13.6  402000 0.010579
## 240  14.2  403600 0.010621
## 241  16.4  406400 0.010695
## 242  15.8  406600 0.010700
## 243  13.2  407800 0.010732
## 244  12.2  411600 0.010832
## 245  12.6  415600 0.010937
## 246  14.8  418400 0.011011
## 247  17.4  420000 0.011053
## 248  19.8  422600 0.011121
## 249  25.2  424000 0.011158
## 250  23.2  424800 0.011179
## 251  20.6  427200 0.011242
## 252  22.8  429400 0.011300
## 253  24.2  431800 0.011363
## 254  23.8  433800 0.011416
## 255  27.6  436400 0.011484
## 256  31.4  437600 0.011516
## 257  24.2  440600 0.011595
## 258  29.2  445400 0.011721
## 259  34.8  447400 0.011774
## 260  44.4  450600 0.011858
## 261  52.6  454000 0.011947
## 262  63.0  456400 0.012011
## 263  62.6  458600 0.012068
## 264  57.4  459600 0.012095
## 265  49.4  463200 0.012189
## 266  46.8  468800 0.012337
## 267  59.6  473800 0.012468
## 268  67.2  478400 0.012589
## 269  87.2  484800 0.012758
## 270  97.0  486400 0.012800
## 271  94.4  489400 0.012879
## 272  79.4  496600 0.013068
## 273  82.6  502600 0.013226
## 274  82.2  508600 0.013384
## 275  99.0  514000 0.013526
## 276 119.8  520800 0.013705
## 277 147.4  520800 0.013705
## 278 143.4  531800 0.013995
## 279 126.4  543400 0.014300
## 280 119.2  558400 0.014695
## 281 135.8  573400 0.015089
## 282 159.6  583800 0.015363
## 283 182.6  594400 0.015642
## 284 229.6  600800 0.015811
## 285 233.6  607800 0.015995
## 286 204.8  620200 0.016321
## 287 190.6  643400 0.016932
## 288 224.8  661600 0.017411
## 289 242.2  688000 0.018105
## 290 300.8  704800 0.018547
## 291 352.2  714600 0.018805
## 292 354.0  722800 0.019021
## 293 314.0  744200 0.019584
## 294 306.6  770200 0.020268
## 295 303.6  803800 0.021153
## 296 288.8  834400 0.021958
## 297 325.4  870200 0.022900
## 298 400.0  887600 0.023358
## 299 394.6  896600 0.023595
## 300 337.2  923000 0.024289
## 301 353.6  970200 0.025532
## 302 390.4 1029800 0.027100
## 303 408.6 1070200 0.028163
## 304 473.2 1126200 0.029637
## 305 559.4 1156600 0.030437
## 306 578.9 1175000 0.030921
## 307 598.5 1220400 0.032116
## 308    NA 1295000 0.034079
## 309    NA 1368400 0.036011
## 310    NA 1457400 0.038353
## 311    NA 1527200 0.040189
## 312    NA 1574400 0.041432
## 313    NA 1609000 0.042342
## 314    NA 1675000 0.044079
## 315    NA 1761000 0.046342
## 316    NA 1816000 0.047789
## 317    NA 1899800 0.049995
## 318    NA 2009000 0.052868
## 319    NA 2069600 0.054463
## 320    NA 2098200 0.055216
## 321    NA 2169600 0.057095
## 322    NA 2290200 0.060268
## 323    NA 2417600 0.063621
## 324    NA 2542800 0.066916
## 325    NA 2657600 0.069937