Ending day prediction of nCoV2019
21/11/2020
options(width = 100)
source('./predict.R')## [1] "2020-11-19"
## country cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead inc_r d_rate d_pm
## 1 United States 11880288 7169719 256372 1.56 2.16 775
## 2 Brazil 5947403 5389863 167497 0.60 2.82 788
## 3 India 8960098 8383602 131639 0.52 1.47 95
## 4 Mexico 1015071 762025 99528 0.39 9.81 772
## 5 United Kingdom 1430341 1918 53274 1.39 3.72 785
## 6 Italy 1272352 481967 47217 2.77 3.71 781
## 7 France 2065138 145391 46698 1.39 2.26 715
## 8 Iran 815117 583704 43417 1.65 5.33 517
## 9 Spain 1542467 196958 42039 0.48 2.73 899
## 10 Argentina 1339337 1156474 36347 0.78 2.71 804
## 11 Peru 941951 869165 35402 0.21 3.76 1074
## 12 Russia 2015608 1526656 34850 1.19 1.73 239
## 13 Colombia 1218003 1125184 34563 0.57 2.84 679
## 14 South Africa 757144 701534 20556 0.38 2.71 347
## 15 Indonesia 483518 406612 15600 1.00 3.23 57
## 16 Belgium 545787 34249 15025 0.96 2.75 1296
## 17 Chile 534558 510766 14897 0.18 2.79 779
## 18 Germany 859139 562554 13563 2.66 1.58 162
## 19 Ecuador 182250 160639 13052 0.63 7.16 740
## 20 Poland 796798 361886 12088 3.10 1.52 319
## 21 Iraq 529226 457490 11834 0.45 2.24 294
## 22 Turkey 425628 361655 11820 1.00 2.78 140
## 23 Canada 311109 248321 11186 1.51 3.60 296
## 24 Ukraine 583510 266479 10369 2.34 1.78 237
## 25 Romania 393851 269590 9596 2.63 2.44 499
## 26 Bolivia 143569 118333 8875 0.07 6.18 760
## 27 Netherlands 467257 322 8771 1.22 1.88 512
## 28 Philippines 413430 374939 7998 0.32 1.93 73
## 29 Pakistan 365927 326674 7248 0.70 1.98 33
## 30 Czech Republic 475284 367574 6740 1.17 1.42 629
## 31 Egypt 111613 101421 6495 0.30 5.82 63
## 32 Sweden 201055 4971 6340 2.35 3.15 628
## 33 Bangladesh 441159 356722 6305 0.54 1.43 38
## 34 Saudi Arabia 354527 341956 5729 0.09 1.62 165
## 35 Morocco 306995 253351 5013 1.79 1.63 136
## 36 China 92544 87277 4749 0.06 5.13 3
## 37 Guatemala 116381 105708 4008 0.56 3.44 224
## 38 Switzerland 285655 180700 3827 1.78 1.34 442
## 39 Portugal 236015 153702 3632 2.56 1.54 356
## 40 Hungary 161461 36345 3472 2.87 2.15 359
## 41 Panama 149833 129755 2907 0.75 1.94 674
## 42 Honduras 103488 45082 2839 0.00 2.74 287
## 43 Israel 326628 315508 2739 0.20 0.84 316
## 44 Tunisia 83772 58229 2541 2.51 3.03 215
## 45 Bulgaria 110536 32480 2530 3.69 2.29 364
## 46 Dominican Republic 135157 110871 2293 0.34 1.70 211
## 47 Algeria 70629 46326 2206 1.49 3.12 50
## 48 Bosnia and Herzegovina 76757 41031 2153 1.56 2.80 656
## 49 Austria 228683 149541 2116 3.16 0.93 235
## 50 Moldova 92519 74229 2072 1.77 2.24 514
## 51 Ireland 69058 23364 2006 0.54 2.90 406
## 52 Jordan 163926 94896 1969 5.09 1.20 193
## 53 Japan 125921 106954 1950 1.92 1.55 15
## 54 Kazakhstan 123097 111172 1945 0.62 1.58 104
## 55 Armenia 121979 88388 1870 1.26 1.53 631
## 56 Myanmar 74882 55633 1676 2.13 2.24 31
## 57 Afghanistan 44228 35350 1650 0.86 3.73 42
## 58 Paraguay 73639 52608 1624 1.07 2.21 228
## 59 Ethiopia 103928 64593 1601 0.52 1.54 14
## 60 Costa Rica 127012 78238 1588 1.13 1.25 312
## 61 Republika Severna Makedonija 50015 29583 1397 2.88 2.79 NA
## 62 Oman 121360 112406 1365 0.19 1.12 267
## 63 Kenya 72686 49878 1313 1.33 1.81 24
## 64 Greece 82034 9989 1288 4.07 1.57 124
## 65 Nepal 215020 185638 1276 0.99 0.59 44
## 66 Kyrgyzstan 68316 59362 1217 0.62 1.78 187
## 67 Croatia 93879 74865 1200 3.49 1.28 292
## 68 Sudan 15047 9609 1175 0.00 7.81 27
## 69 Nigeria 65693 61457 1163 0.36 1.77 6
## 70 Serbia 97988 31536 1081 6.08 1.10 124
## 71 Belarus 119390 99584 1074 1.17 0.90 114
## 72 Libya 76006 46793 1062 0.72 1.40 155
## 73 El Salvador 36965 33517 1061 0.81 2.87 164
## 74 Azerbaijan 83994 59465 1053 3.19 1.25 104
## 75 Puerto Rico 81050 36675 971 0.81 1.20 339
## 76 Slovenia 61028 40153 964 3.53 1.58 464
## 77 Australia 27785 25506 907 0.03 3.26 36
## 78 Venezuela 98350 93390 860 0.31 0.87 30
## 79 Kuwait 138822 130426 859 0.35 0.62 201
## 80 Georgia 93092 73877 853 4.14 0.92 214
## 81 Lebanon 110037 62528 852 1.93 0.77 125
## 82 Denmark 66324 51729 770 1.93 1.16 133
## 83 Albania 29837 14216 646 2.44 2.17 224
## 84 Uzbekistan 70921 68123 601 0.29 0.85 18
## 85 Palestinian Territory 67296 57469 598 1.68 0.89 NA
## 86 Slovakia 91578 38695 579 1.85 0.63 106
## 87 United Arab Emirates 155254 146469 544 0.75 0.35 55
## 88 South Korea 29654 26098 498 1.17 1.68 10
## 89 Cameroon 22896 21510 433 0.00 1.89 16
## 90 Montenegro 29031 18410 414 2.25 1.43 659
## 91 Finland 20286 15300 374 1.76 1.84 68
## 92 Zambia 17350 16591 356 0.41 2.05 19
## 93 Lithuania 40492 10008 341 4.33 0.84 125
## 94 Bahrain 85182 83087 337 0.20 0.40 198
## 95 Angola 13922 6623 332 0.75 2.38 10
## 96 Senegal 15835 15440 329 0.08 2.08 20
## 97 Malaysia 51680 38132 326 2.56 0.63 10
## 98 Democratic Republic of the Congo 11918 11190 323 0.44 2.71 NA
## 99 Ghana 50457 48710 323 0.00 0.64 10
## 100 Norway 30770 19025 305 2.18 0.99 56
## 101 Madagascar 17310 16592 250 0.00 1.44 9
## 102 Luxembourg 28573 18504 248 3.22 0.87 396
## 103 Qatar 136649 133691 235 0.15 0.17 82
## 104 Jamaica 10019 5369 233 0.60 2.33 79
## 105 Uganda 16905 8394 157 2.06 0.93 3
## 106 Latvia 11722 1557 141 3.22 1.20 75
## 107 Namibia 13610 13152 140 0.32 1.03 55
## 108 Côte d'Ivoire 21045 20712 129 0.20 0.61 5
## 109 Mozambique 14629 12754 119 0.43 0.81 4
## 110 Cape Verde 10000 9484 104 0.40 1.04 NA
## 111 Tajikistan 11731 11105 86 0.00 0.73 9
## 112 Guinea 12713 11689 75 0.24 0.59 6
## 113 French Guiana 10930 9995 70 0.28 0.64 234
## 114 Sri Lanka 18645 12903 69 1.84 0.37 3
## 115 French Polynesia 12587 4842 62 1.82 0.49 221
## 116 Maldives 12384 11406 45 0.23 0.36 83
## 117 Singapore 58139 58046 28 0.01 0.05 5
## [1] "Pakistan leading 1 cum_confirm == 0 trimed"
## [1] "Provinces added more than 0 cases in last 1-day:"
## time country province cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead added
## 1 2020-11-19 China Hong Kong 5491 5233 108 12
## 2 2020-11-19 China Sichuan 796 744 3 4
## 3 2020-11-19 China Tianjin 295 276 3 4
## 4 2020-11-19 China Guangdong 1975 1933 8 3
## 5 2020-11-19 China Taiwan 609 545 7 2
## 6 2020-11-19 China Fujian 463 431 1 2
## 7 2020-11-19 China Zhejiang 1292 1283 1 1
## 8 2020-11-19 China Shanghai 1286 1223 7 1
## 9 2020-11-19 China Beijing 948 936 9 1