Ending day prediction of nCoV2019
16/11/2020
options(width = 100)
source('./predict.R')## [1] "2020-11-14"
## country cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead inc_r d_rate d_pm
## 1 Mexico 997393 741340 97624 0.56 9.79 757
## 2 Sudan 14401 9535 1116 0.00 7.75 25
## 3 Ecuador 179627 154956 12997 0.53 7.24 737
## 4 Bolivia 143069 116505 8835 0.13 6.18 757
## 5 Egypt 110547 100946 6442 0.21 5.83 63
## 6 Iran 749525 552747 41034 1.52 5.47 489
## 7 China 92428 87087 4749 0.03 5.14 3
## 8 Italy 1144552 411434 44683 3.36 3.90 739
## 9 United Kingdom 1344356 1918 51766 2.04 3.85 763
## 10 Peru 934899 861017 35177 0.24 3.76 1067
## 11 Canada 290903 232915 10888 1.47 3.74 288
## 12 Afghanistan 43035 35067 1605 0.15 3.73 41
## 13 Sweden 177355 4971 6164 0.00 3.48 610
## 14 Guatemala 114719 104134 3920 0.52 3.42 219
## 15 Indonesia 463007 388094 15148 1.15 3.27 55
## 16 Australia 27711 25478 907 0.03 3.27 36
## 17 Algeria 66819 44199 2139 1.28 3.20 49
## 18 Ireland 67526 23364 1978 0.64 2.93 401
## 19 Tunisia 79339 53758 2279 2.15 2.87 193
## 20 El Salvador 36358 32721 1039 0.45 2.86 160
## 21 Colombia 1191004 1097576 33829 0.70 2.84 665
## 22 Brazil 5848959 5291511 165658 0.51 2.83 779
## 23 Chile 529676 505243 14777 0.31 2.79 773
## 24 Republika Severna Makedonija 46062 26981 1281 2.59 2.78 NA
## 25 Turkey 411055 351102 11418 0.76 2.78 135
## 26 Honduras 102079 44236 2820 0.60 2.76 285
## 27 Spain 1492608 196958 40769 0.00 2.73 872
## 28 Democratic Republic of the Congo 11760 11086 319 0.58 2.71 NA
## 29 Argentina 1304846 1119366 35307 0.65 2.71 781
## 30 South Africa 749182 693261 20206 0.30 2.70 341
## 31 Belgium 525012 32033 14106 0.89 2.69 1217
## 32 Bosnia and Herzegovina 70900 35361 1857 1.83 2.62 566
## 33 Romania 353185 239051 8813 2.75 2.50 458
## 34 Angola 13374 6345 322 1.10 2.41 10
## 35 Myanmar 68011 51362 1552 1.91 2.28 29
## 36 Moldova 88772 69526 2006 1.62 2.26 497
## 37 France 1954599 139140 44246 1.67 2.26 678
## 38 Iraq 516915 444226 11623 0.47 2.25 289
## 39 Albania 27233 12767 612 1.99 2.25 213
## 40 United States 11217056 6844731 251215 1.44 2.24 759
## 41 Paraguay 70392 50514 1556 0.00 2.21 218
## 42 Hungary 136723 31126 2990 3.67 2.19 310
## 43 Bulgaria 97435 28805 2091 2.63 2.15 301
## 44 Senegal 15779 15407 327 0.15 2.07 20
## 45 Zambia 17097 16137 350 0.02 2.05 19
## 46 Pakistan 354461 322414 7109 0.61 2.01 32
## 47 Panama 144477 123229 2856 0.78 1.98 662
## 48 Finland 19102 14000 369 1.29 1.93 67
## 49 Philippines 406337 363068 7791 0.40 1.92 71
## 50 Cameroon 22692 21510 433 0.48 1.91 16
## 51 Netherlands 442458 322 8443 1.35 1.91 493
## 52 Ukraine 525176 238811 9508 2.44 1.81 217
## 53 Kyrgyzstan 65953 56847 1196 0.76 1.81 183
## 54 Nigeria 64996 61029 1163 0.17 1.79 6
## 55 Kenya 69273 44872 1228 1.58 1.77 23
## 56 South Korea 28338 25636 492 0.73 1.74 10
## 57 Russia 1903253 1425529 32834 1.21 1.73 225
## 58 Dominican Republic 133225 109590 2282 0.51 1.71 210
## 59 Morocco 288211 234904 4697 2.08 1.63 127
## 60 Germany 777060 493065 12568 0.63 1.62 150
## 61 Japan 117261 101989 1888 2.13 1.61 15
## 62 Saudi Arabia 352950 339947 5641 0.10 1.60 162
## 63 Kazakhstan 119833 109275 1899 0.59 1.58 101
## 64 Portugal 211266 122517 3305 3.23 1.56 324
## 65 Ethiopia 102321 63675 1565 0.55 1.53 14
## 66 Armenia 115855 74105 1738 1.29 1.50 587
## 67 India 8814902 8203737 129674 0.47 1.47 94
## 68 Poland 691118 282215 10045 3.84 1.45 265
## 69 Madagascar 17223 16516 249 0.00 1.45 9
## 70 Montenegro 26686 17151 385 2.21 1.44 613
## 71 Bangladesh 430496 347849 6173 0.36 1.43 37
## 72 Greece 72510 9989 1035 4.07 1.43 99
## 73 Slovenia 54122 33548 765 3.32 1.41 368
## 74 Libya 72628 43259 995 0.00 1.37 145
## 75 Czech Republic 456117 316523 6005 1.27 1.32 561
## 76 Switzerland 257135 141000 3351 0.00 1.30 387
## 77 Azerbaijan 73429 54049 946 2.58 1.29 93
## 78 Costa Rica 123223 75341 1546 0.90 1.25 303
## 79 Denmark 61593 46216 757 1.78 1.23 131
## 80 Croatia 81844 63748 1006 3.63 1.23 245
## 81 Serbia 81086 31536 989 4.95 1.22 113
## 82 Jordan 141305 9879 1704 3.48 1.21 167
## 83 Puerto Rico 76535 2267 914 0.00 1.19 319
## 84 Latvia 10231 1515 121 4.02 1.18 64
## 85 Oman 119442 110050 1326 0.00 1.11 260
## 86 Norway 28241 11863 294 2.75 1.04 54
## 87 Namibia 13449 12467 138 0.58 1.03 54
## 88 Belarus 112870 94337 1039 1.12 0.92 110
## 89 Uganda 15789 8038 144 2.51 0.91 3
## 90 Palestinian Territory 62167 53791 558 1.06 0.90 NA
## 91 Austria 198291 119415 1746 3.69 0.88 194
## 92 Venezuela 96441 91452 844 0.31 0.88 30
## 93 Georgia 76658 58674 669 4.79 0.87 168
## 94 Uzbekistan 69987 67241 594 0.33 0.85 18
## 95 Israel 323339 312625 2721 0.20 0.84 314
## 96 Luxembourg 26544 15428 222 2.36 0.84 355
## 97 Lithuania 33387 7697 266 4.73 0.80 98
## 98 Mozambique 14340 12505 110 0.79 0.77 4
## 99 Lebanon 104267 58538 806 1.62 0.77 118
## 100 Tajikistan 11573 10934 85 0.34 0.73 9
## 101 Malaysia 46209 33772 306 2.47 0.66 9
## 102 French Guiana 10844 9995 70 0.33 0.65 234
## 103 Ghana 50018 48179 320 0.00 0.64 10
## 104 Kuwait 136341 126902 835 0.51 0.61 196
## 105 Côte d'Ivoire 20945 20630 127 0.22 0.61 5
## 106 Slovakia 85567 29024 510 2.11 0.60 93
## 107 Guinea 12585 11041 74 0.38 0.59 6
## 108 Nepal 208299 170632 1215 0.94 0.58 42
## 109 French Polynesia 11706 4842 53 0.00 0.45 189
## 110 Bahrain 84523 82300 333 0.21 0.39 196
## 111 United Arab Emirates 149135 142561 528 0.79 0.35 53
## 112 Maldives 12154 11262 42 0.35 0.35 78
## 113 Sri Lanka 16583 11324 53 2.42 0.32 2
## 114 Qatar 135570 132577 234 0.15 0.17 81
## 115 Singapore 58116 58019 28 0.00 0.05 5
## [1] "Pakistan leading 1 cum_confirm == 0 trimed"
## [1] "Provinces added more than 0 cases in last 1-day:"
## time country province cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead added
## 1 2020-11-14 China Hong Kong 5444 5187 108 8
## 2 2020-11-14 China Guangdong 1966 1922 8 3
## 3 2020-11-14 China Taiwan 600 535 7 3
## 4 2020-11-14 China Yunnan 217 209 2 3
## 5 2020-11-14 China Hubei 68148 63627 4512 1
## 6 2020-11-14 China Henan 1288 1259 22 1
## 7 2020-11-14 China Shanghai 1277 1174 7 1
## 8 2020-11-14 China Shaanxi 484 438 3 1
## 9 2020-11-14 China Fujian 461 423 1 1
## 10 2020-11-14 China Tianjin 289 266 3 1
## 11 2020-11-14 China Liaoning 288 280 2 1