Connecticut Covid 19 Cases, Deaths (Adjusted for CDC Excess Deaths), Inferred Infections
George Robertson
November, 09, 2020
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Excess Deaths for Connecticut
The CDC provides a weekly report on deaths for any cause. The average of daily deaths from 2015 to 2019 is calculated. The daily deaths for any cause is netted against the average giving excess deaths for 2020.
The excess deaths are then used to qualify the reported CT Covid 19 deaths. The reported deaths are approximately 60% of the CDC excess deaths.
The excess deaths from the CDC weekly report is “disaggregated”, converted from weekly to daily. This daily excess death is then cumulative summed.
Ratio of cumulative excess deaths to reported deaths
The CT reported deaths percentage of CT cumulative excess deaths is shown.
CDC excess deaths are used to adjust reported deaths
The reported deaths are adjusted upwards by dividing them by the percentage of reported deaths to excess deaths. The objective is to identify the presence and growth of Covid 19, not to account for the severity or co-morbidty.
Daily Adjusted Deaths
Smoothed daily adjusted deaths will be used below.
Daily new cases and smoothed daily new cases
Daily new cases shown with the smoothed daily new cases overlayed.
Smoothed daily new cases will be used below.
Data is from the NY Times github data repository.
Daily new cases compared to daily deaths
Daily deaths are multiplied by ten in the plot below so as to have similar scale so as to see if there is correlation.
Daily deaths scatter plotted against new case
Daily Deaths Lagged, Daily New Cases
Daily Deaths are lagged by 18 days (the mean of Covid 19 time to death after infection). The lagged daily deaths are multiped by 10X so as to be on similar scale. Daily cases and lagged daily deaths are compared by plot line and then by scatter plot.
Data table
## death dai daism adjdeath daiadj daiadjsm xcess cumx per cas dcas
## 2020-03-07 NA NA 0.4 NA NA 0.8 2 2 NA NA NA
## 2020-03-08 0 NA 0.3 0 NA 0.8 2 2 0.8 1 1
## 2020-03-09 0 0 0.2 0 0.0 0.7 2 2 0.8 2 0
## 2020-03-10 0 0 0.2 0 0.0 0.6 2 2 0.8 2 1
## 2020-03-11 0 0 0.2 0 0.0 0.6 2 2 0.8 3 3
## 2020-03-12 0 0 0.2 0 0.0 0.6 2 2 0.8 6 5
## 2020-03-13 0 0 0.2 0 0.0 0.6 2 2 0.8 11 9
## 2020-03-14 0 0 0.3 0 0.0 0.6 2 2 0.8 20 6
## 2020-03-15 0 0 0.4 0 0.0 0.7 2 2 0.8 26 15
## 2020-03-16 0 0 0.6 0 0.0 0.8 2 2 0.8 41 27
## 2020-03-17 0 0 0.8 0 0.0 1.0 2 2 0.8 68 28
## 2020-03-18 1 1 0.9 1 1.3 1.4 2 2 0.8 96 63
## 2020-03-19 4 3 1.5 5 3.9 1.9 2 2 0.8 159 35
## 2020-03-20 4 0 1.6 5 0.0 2.2 2 2 0.8 194 29
## 2020-03-21 5 1 2.1 6 1.3 2.8 2 2 0.8 223 104
## 2020-03-22 8 3 2.5 10 3.9 3.1 2 2 0.8 327 88
## 2020-03-23 10 2 2.6 13 2.6 3.2 2 2 0.8 415 203
## 2020-03-24 12 2 2.8 16 2.6 4.8 2 5 0.8 618 257
## 2020-03-25 19 7 5.2 25 9.1 7.1 3 8 0.8 875 137
## 2020-03-26 21 2 6.2 27 2.6 8.8 5 13 0.8 1012 279
## 2020-03-27 27 6 8.3 35 7.8 10.9 6 19 0.8 1291 233
## 2020-03-28 33 6 9.8 43 7.8 13.2 8 27 0.8 1524 469
## 2020-03-29 34 1 12.1 44 1.3 15.7 10 37 0.8 1993 578
## 2020-03-30 36 2 13.8 47 2.6 17.3 12 49 0.8 2571 557
## 2020-03-31 69 33 14.9 89 42.6 21.1 14 63 0.8 3128 429
## 2020-04-01 85 16 19.8 110 20.6 26.5 15 78 0.8 3557 267
## 2020-04-02 112 27 24.2 144 34.7 30.7 17 95 0.8 3824 1091
## 2020-04-03 132 20 27.2 170 25.6 35.4 18 113 0.8 4915 361
## 2020-04-04 165 33 31.9 212 42.2 39.9 20 133 0.8 5276 399
## 2020-04-05 189 24 35.4 243 30.6 44.3 22 155 0.8 5675 1231
## 2020-04-06 206 17 39.8 265 21.7 48.9 26 182 0.8 6906 875
## 2020-04-07 277 71 41.0 355 90.1 52.5 32 213 0.8 7781 1000
## 2020-04-08 335 58 45.1 428 73.2 61.7 38 252 0.8 8781 1003
## 2020-04-09 380 45 58.2 484 56.5 72.7 46 298 0.8 9784 754
## 2020-04-10 448 68 64.5 569 85.0 77.7 56 354 0.8 10538 972
## 2020-04-11 494 46 67.0 627 57.2 80.1 66 420 0.8 11510 525
## 2020-04-12 554 60 69.0 701 74.3 81.4 76 496 0.8 12035 1346
## 2020-04-13 602 48 70.8 760 59.1 89.7 84 580 0.8 13381 608
## 2020-04-14 671 69 81.1 845 84.6 98.0 90 670 0.8 13989 766
## 2020-04-15 868 197 83.7 1083 238.7 100.9 96 766 0.8 14755 1129
## 2020-04-16 971 103 89.5 1206 123.2 105.0 100 865 0.8 15884 925
## 2020-04-17 1036 65 91.6 1284 77.2 108.8 103 968 0.8 16809 741
## 2020-04-18 1086 50 97.7 1343 59.1 112.6 104 1072 0.8 17550 412
## 2020-04-19 1127 41 100.6 1391 48.3 114.2 105 1177 0.8 17962 1853
## 2020-04-20 1331 204 101.8 1629 237.6 115.3 106 1283 0.8 19815 545
## 2020-04-21 1423 92 103.2 1734 105.8 116.6 107 1390 0.8 20360 2109
## 2020-04-22 1544 121 93.9 1872 137.9 111.1 107 1498 0.8 22469 631
## 2020-04-23 1639 95 92.1 1980 107.3 104.6 107 1605 0.8 23100 821
## 2020-04-24 1764 125 93.9 2119 139.9 104.0 107 1712 0.8 23921 661
## 2020-04-25 1862 98 96.4 2228 108.7 105.9 107 1819 0.8 24582 687
## 2020-04-26 1925 63 100.7 2298 69.4 105.8 106 1924 0.8 25269 728
## 2020-04-27 2012 87 85.0 2393 95.2 100.0 104 2029 0.8 25997 315
## 2020-04-28 2089 77 87.2 2476 83.7 95.1 102 2131 0.8 26312 455
## 2020-04-29 2168 79 83.8 2562 85.4 92.4 100 2231 0.8 26767 933
## 2020-04-30 2257 89 83.0 2657 95.5 89.7 97 2328 0.8 27700 1064
## 2020-05-01 2339 82 79.5 2745 87.4 86.6 94 2422 0.9 28764 523
## 2020-05-02 2436 97 77.8 2847 102.6 82.6 90 2512 0.9 29287 0
## 2020-05-03 2436 0 77.5 2847 0.0 79.6 86 2598 0.9 29287 686
## 2020-05-04 2556 120 73.5 2973 125.8 76.5 83 2681 0.9 29973 648
## 2020-05-05 2633 77 70.7 3053 80.1 72.7 80 2760 0.9 30621 374
## 2020-05-06 2718 85 67.2 3141 87.9 70.9 77 2837 0.9 30995 789
## 2020-05-07 2797 79 66.8 3222 81.1 70.8 74 2911 0.9 31784 627
## 2020-05-08 2874 77 67.7 3301 78.6 69.9 72 2983 0.9 32411 573
## 2020-05-09 2932 58 65.3 3360 58.9 67.3 70 3053 0.9 32984 570
## 2020-05-10 2967 35 69.5 3395 35.4 68.0 68 3120 0.9 33554 211
## 2020-05-11 3008 41 65.5 3436 41.3 67.3 66 3186 0.9 33765 568
## 2020-05-12 3041 33 62.8 3470 33.2 62.2 64 3250 0.9 34333 522
## 2020-05-13 3125 84 58.0 3554 84.1 59.0 62 3312 0.9 34855 609
## 2020-05-14 3219 94 56.3 3647 93.4 56.7 61 3373 0.9 35464 621
## 2020-05-15 3285 66 54.5 3712 65.2 54.7 60 3433 0.9 36085 618
## 2020-05-16 3339 54 54.2 3765 53.1 53.0 58 3491 0.9 36703 716
## 2020-05-17 3408 69 54.5 3833 67.5 51.6 57 3548 0.9 37419 697
## 2020-05-18 3449 41 52.7 3873 39.9 51.1 55 3603 0.9 38116 314
## 2020-05-19 3472 23 53.9 3895 22.3 51.0 53 3656 0.9 38430 587
## 2020-05-20 3529 57 49.5 3950 55.2 48.9 50 3706 0.9 39017 191
## 2020-05-21 3582 53 44.9 4002 51.1 44.5 47 3754 0.9 39208 432
## 2020-05-22 3637 55 41.6 4054 52.8 41.0 44 3798 0.9 39640 382
## 2020-05-23 3675 38 40.7 4091 36.4 39.7 41 3839 0.9 40022 446
## 2020-05-24 3693 18 38.8 4108 17.2 37.9 38 3877 0.9 40468 405
## 2020-05-25 3742 49 38.1 4155 46.7 35.8 35 3912 0.9 40873 430
## 2020-05-26 3769 27 37.8 4180 25.6 34.5 33 3945 0.9 41303 -15
## 2020-05-27 3803 34 34.1 4212 32.2 32.6 31 3976 0.9 41288 271
## 2020-05-28 3826 23 31.3 4234 21.7 30.0 30 4007 0.9 41559 203
## 2020-05-29 3868 42 28.5 4274 39.6 27.9 29 4036 0.9 41762 260
## 2020-05-30 3912 44 27.9 4315 41.4 26.3 29 4065 0.9 42022 179
## 2020-05-31 3944 32 27.8 4345 30.0 25.5 28 4094 0.9 42201 539
## 2020-06-01 3964 20 25.3 4364 18.7 24.2 27 4121 0.9 42740 239
## 2020-06-02 3972 8 24.2 4371 7.5 22.4 26 4147 0.9 42979 112
## 2020-06-03 3989 17 22.6 4387 15.9 21.6 24 4171 0.9 43091 148
## 2020-06-04 4007 18 22.6 4404 16.8 21.3 22 4194 0.9 43239 221
## 2020-06-05 4038 31 21.4 4433 28.8 20.3 20 4214 0.9 43460 358
## 2020-06-06 4055 17 19.0 4449 15.8 18.8 17 4231 0.9 43818 150
## 2020-06-07 4071 16 18.6 4463 14.8 17.6 15 4247 0.9 43968 124
## 2020-06-08 4084 13 18.2 4476 12.0 16.4 13 4260 0.9 44092 87
## 2020-06-09 4097 13 17.8 4488 12.0 15.8 12 4272 0.9 44179 168
## 2020-06-10 4120 23 17.0 4509 21.3 15.5 11 4283 0.9 44347 114
## 2020-06-11 4146 26 16.3 4533 24.0 14.8 10 4293 0.9 44461 228
## 2020-06-12 4159 13 14.5 4545 12.0 13.8 10 4303 0.9 44689 305
## 2020-06-13 4186 27 14.1 4570 24.8 13.0 10 4313 0.9 44994 94
## 2020-06-14 4201 15 13.8 4583 13.8 12.7 10 4323 0.9 45088 147
## 2020-06-15 4204 3 13.5 4586 2.8 12.1 10 4333 0.9 45235 114
## 2020-06-16 4210 6 12.8 4592 5.5 11.8 9 4342 0.9 45349 80
## 2020-06-17 4219 9 12.1 4600 8.3 11.4 8 4350 0.9 45429 11
## 2020-06-18 4226 7 10.8 4606 6.4 10.5 6 4356 0.9 45440 117
## 2020-06-19 4238 12 10.7 4617 11.0 9.8 4 4360 0.9 45557 158
## 2020-06-20 4251 13 9.3 4629 11.9 8.9 2 4362 0.9 45715 40
## 2020-06-21 4260 9 8.5 4637 8.2 7.8 2 4362 0.9 45755 27
## 2020-06-22 4263 3 8.6 4640 2.7 7.5 2 4362 0.9 45782 117
## 2020-06-23 4277 14 8.5 4653 12.8 7.4 2 4361 0.9 45899 14
## 2020-06-24 4287 10 7.9 4662 9.1 7.1 2 4360 0.9 45913 81
## 2020-06-25 4298 11 7.5 4672 10.0 6.7 2 4360 0.9 45994 65
## 2020-06-26 4307 9 6.8 4680 8.2 6.4 2 4362 0.9 46059 147
## 2020-06-27 4311 4 6.5 4684 3.6 5.9 4 4366 0.9 46206 97
## 2020-06-28 4316 5 5.8 4689 4.6 5.2 5 4371 0.9 46303 59
## 2020-06-29 4320 4 5.5 4692 3.6 4.9 6 4377 0.9 46362 152
## 2020-06-30 4322 2 4.7 4694 1.8 4.4 6 4383 0.9 46514 58
## 2020-07-01 4324 2 3.9 4696 1.8 3.8 6 4389 0.9 46572 74
## 2020-07-02 4326 2 3.5 4698 1.8 3.4 5 4394 0.9 46646 71
## 2020-07-03 4335 9 3.2 4706 8.2 3.0 2 4397 0.9 46717 0
## 2020-07-04 4335 0 2.8 4706 0.0 2.5 2 4398 0.9 46717 0
## 2020-07-05 4335 0 2.5 4706 0.0 2.2 2 4397 0.9 46717 259
## 2020-07-06 4338 3 2.2 4709 2.7 2.7 2 4395 0.9 46976 57
## 2020-07-07 4338 0 3.8 4709 0.0 3.3 2 4393 0.9 47033 75
## 2020-07-08 4343 5 3.7 4713 4.5 3.4 2 4392 0.9 47108 101
## 2020-07-09 4348 5 4.2 4718 4.5 3.9 2 4393 0.9 47209 78
## 2020-07-10 4348 0 4.2 4718 0.0 4.0 4 4397 0.9 47287 0
## 2020-07-11 4348 0 4.7 4718 0.0 4.0 7 4404 0.9 47287 0
## 2020-07-12 4348 0 4.7 4718 0.0 4.0 10 4414 0.9 47287 223
## 2020-07-13 4371 23 4.5 4738 20.9 4.2 12 4425 0.9 47510 20
## 2020-07-14 4372 1 5.2 4739 0.9 4.4 13 4438 0.9 47530 106
## 2020-07-15 4380 8 4.8 4747 7.2 4.2 14 4452 0.9 47636 114
## 2020-07-16 4389 9 4.5 4755 8.1 4.0 14 4466 0.9 47750 143
## 2020-07-17 4396 7 4.8 4761 6.3 4.1 13 4479 0.9 47893 0
## 2020-07-18 4396 0 5.0 4761 0.0 4.2 12 4491 0.9 47893 0
## 2020-07-19 4396 0 5.0 4761 0.0 4.2 11 4502 0.9 47893 162
## 2020-07-20 4406 10 3.2 4770 9.0 3.6 11 4512 0.9 48055 41
## 2020-07-21 4406 0 3.5 4770 0.0 3.2 11 4523 0.9 48096 127
## 2020-07-22 4406 0 3.3 4770 0.0 3.1 11 4534 0.9 48223 9
## 2020-07-23 4410 4 2.8 4774 3.6 2.8 12 4546 0.9 48232 544
## 2020-07-24 4413 3 2.7 4776 2.7 2.5 14 4560 0.9 48776 0
## 2020-07-25 4413 0 2.8 4776 0.0 2.3 16 4576 0.9 48776 0
## 2020-07-26 4413 0 2.8 4776 0.0 2.3 17 4593 0.9 48776 207
## 2020-07-27 4418 5 2.0 4781 4.5 2.2 18 4611 0.9 48983 94
## 2020-07-28 4423 5 2.4 4786 4.5 2.0 18 4629 0.9 49077 463
## 2020-07-29 4425 2 2.4 4787 1.8 2.0 18 4647 0.9 49540 130
## 2020-07-30 4431 6 2.1 4793 5.4 1.9 17 4664 0.9 49670 140
## 2020-07-31 4432 1 1.8 4794 0.9 1.8 15 4679 0.9 49810 0
## 2020-08-01 4432 0 2.2 4794 0.0 1.8 13 4692 0.9 49810 0
## 2020-08-02 4432 0 2.2 4794 0.0 1.8 11 4703 0.9 49810 252
## 2020-08-03 4437 5 1.8 4798 4.5 1.7 10 4713 0.9 50062 48
## 2020-08-04 4437 0 1.6 4798 0.0 1.5 10 4723 0.9 50110 115
## 2020-08-05 4437 0 1.5 4798 0.0 1.5 10 4733 0.9 50225 20
## 2020-08-06 4437 0 1.5 4798 0.0 1.4 11 4744 0.9 50245 75
## 2020-08-07 4441 4 1.4 4802 3.6 1.3 12 4756 0.9 50320 0
## 2020-08-08 4441 0 1.6 4802 0.0 1.4 15 4771 0.9 50320 0
## 2020-08-09 4441 0 1.6 4802 0.0 1.4 16 4787 0.9 50320 247
## 2020-08-10 4444 3 1.2 4804 2.7 1.3 17 4804 0.9 50567 117
## 2020-08-11 4444 0 1.5 4804 0.0 1.2 18 4823 0.9 50684 22
## 2020-08-12 4450 6 1.5 4810 5.4 1.3 18 4841 0.9 50706 76
## 2020-08-13 4450 0 1.5 4810 0.0 1.3 18 4859 0.9 50782 115
## 2020-08-14 4453 3 1.3 4813 2.7 1.3 17 4876 0.9 50897 0
## 2020-08-15 4453 0 1.5 4813 0.0 1.2 16 4892 0.9 50897 0
## 2020-08-16 4453 0 1.5 4813 0.0 1.2 15 4906 0.9 50897 370
## 2020-08-17 4456 3 1.2 4815 2.7 1.1 14 4920 0.9 51267 -12
## 2020-08-18 4456 0 1.2 4815 0.0 1.1 13 4933 0.9 51255 59
## 2020-08-19 4457 1 1.0 4816 0.9 1.0 12 4945 0.9 51314 118
## 2020-08-20 4458 1 1.0 4817 0.9 0.9 12 4957 0.9 51432 87
## 2020-08-21 4460 2 0.9 4819 1.8 0.9 12 4969 0.9 51519 0
## 2020-08-22 4460 0 0.9 4819 0.0 0.8 12 4981 0.9 51519 0
## 2020-08-23 4460 0 0.9 4819 0.0 0.8 12 4992 0.9 51519 492
## 2020-08-24 4460 0 0.7 4819 0.0 0.7 11 5004 0.9 52011 29
## 2020-08-25 4463 3 0.7 4822 2.7 0.6 11 5014 0.9 52040 180
## 2020-08-26 4463 0 0.7 4822 0.0 0.6 10 5025 0.9 52220 130
## 2020-08-27 4465 2 0.7 4823 1.8 0.6 9 5034 0.9 52350 145
## 2020-08-28 4465 0 0.6 4823 0.0 0.6 8 5042 0.9 52495 0
## 2020-08-29 4465 0 0.6 4823 0.0 0.5 7 5049 0.9 52495 0
## 2020-08-30 4465 0 0.6 4823 0.0 0.5 6 5055 0.9 52495 384
## 2020-08-31 4465 0 0.6 4823 0.0 0.5 6 5061 0.9 52879 127
## 2020-09-01 4466 1 0.4 4824 0.9 0.6 5 5066 0.9 53006 102
## 2020-09-02 4467 1 0.8 4825 0.9 0.7 5 5071 0.9 53108 101
## 2020-09-03 4468 1 0.7 4826 0.9 0.8 6 5077 0.9 53209 156
## 2020-09-04 4468 0 1.0 4826 0.0 0.9 6 5083 0.9 53365 0
## 2020-09-05 4468 0 1.2 4826 0.0 1.0 7 5090 0.9 53365 0
## 2020-09-06 4468 0 1.2 4826 0.0 1.0 8 5098 0.9 53365 0
## 2020-09-07 4468 0 1.2 4826 0.0 1.1 9 5107 0.9 53365 417
## 2020-09-08 4474 6 1.5 4831 5.4 1.3 10 5117 0.9 53782 89
## 2020-09-09 4474 0 1.4 4831 0.0 1.3 11 5127 0.9 53871 222
## 2020-09-10 4478 4 1.5 4835 3.6 1.3 11 5139 0.9 54093 233
## 2020-09-11 4480 2 1.5 4837 1.8 1.4 12 5151 0.9 54326 0
## 2020-09-12 4480 0 1.8 4837 0.0 1.5 13 5164 0.9 54326 0
## 2020-09-13 4480 0 1.8 4837 0.0 1.5 14 5178 0.9 54326 569
## 2020-09-14 4485 5 1.8 4841 4.5 1.6 14 5191 0.9 54895 136
## 2020-09-15 4485 0 1.6 4841 0.0 1.6 13 5204 0.9 55031 135
## 2020-09-16 4487 2 1.7 4843 1.8 1.4 12 5217 0.9 55166 220
## 2020-09-17 4488 1 1.5 4844 0.9 1.4 11 5228 0.9 55386 141
## 2020-09-18 4492 4 1.5 4848 3.6 1.3 10 5238 0.9 55527 0
## 2020-09-19 4492 0 1.6 4848 0.0 1.3 8 5246 0.9 55527 0
## 2020-09-20 4492 0 1.6 4848 0.0 1.3 7 5252 0.9 55527 497
## 2020-09-21 4495 3 1.2 4850 2.7 1.3 6 5259 0.9 56024 136
## 2020-09-22 4496 1 1.4 4851 0.9 1.2 7 5266 0.9 56160 155
## 2020-09-23 4497 1 1.4 4852 0.9 1.3 8 5274 0.9 56315 157
## 2020-09-24 4499 2 1.5 4854 1.8 1.4 10 5285 0.9 56472 115
## 2020-09-25 4501 2 1.5 4856 1.8 1.4 13 5298 0.9 56587 0
## 2020-09-26 4501 0 1.6 4856 0.0 1.3 17 5315 0.9 56587 0
## 2020-09-27 4501 0 1.6 4856 0.0 1.3 20 5335 0.9 56587 560
## 2020-09-28 4503 2 1.4 4858 1.8 1.4 21 5356 0.9 57147 182
## 2020-09-29 4505 2 1.6 4859 1.8 1.5 21 5378 0.9 57329 221
## 2020-09-30 4508 3 1.8 4862 2.7 1.6 20 5397 0.9 57550 192
## 2020-10-01 4511 3 1.8 4865 2.7 1.7 17 5415 0.9 57742 555
## 2020-10-02 4513 2 2.0 4867 1.8 1.8 13 5428 0.9 58297 0
## 2020-10-03 4513 0 2.2 4867 0.0 1.9 8 5436 0.9 58297 0
## 2020-10-04 4513 0 2.2 4867 0.0 1.9 4 5440 0.9 58297 823
## 2020-10-05 4517 4 2.1 4870 3.6 1.9 2 5441 0.9 59120 121
## 2020-10-06 4521 4 2.1 4874 3.6 1.8 2 5439 0.9 59241 123
## 2020-10-07 4522 1 1.9 4875 0.9 1.8 2 5435 0.9 59364 384
## 2020-10-08 4527 5 2.0 4879 4.5 1.9 2 5431 0.9 59748 290
## 2020-10-09 4530 3 2.1 4882 2.7 1.9 2 5428 0.9 60038 0
## 2020-10-10 4530 0 2.2 4882 0.0 1.9 2 5426 0.9 60038 0
## 2020-10-11 4530 0 2.2 4882 0.0 1.9 2 5425 0.9 60038 1339
## 2020-10-12 4532 2 1.9 4884 1.8 2.1 2 5425 0.9 61377 320
## 2020-10-13 4533 1 2.5 4884 0.9 2.4 2 5425 0.9 61697 164
## 2020-10-14 4537 4 2.8 4888 3.6 2.7 2 5426 0.9 61861 167
## 2020-10-15 4540 3 3.1 4891 2.7 2.8 2 5427 0.9 62028 802
## 2020-10-16 4542 2 3.0 4892 1.8 2.8 2 5428 0.9 62830 0
## 2020-10-17 4542 0 3.6 4892 0.0 3.0 2 5429 0.9 62830 0
## 2020-10-18 4542 0 3.6 4892 0.0 3.0 2 5429 0.9 62830 1191
## 2020-10-19 4554 12 3.5 4903 10.7 3.3 2 5429 0.9 64021 434
## 2020-10-20 4559 5 4.3 4908 4.5 3.8 2 5429 0.9 64455 416
## 2020-10-21 4567 8 4.5 4915 7.1 4.1 2 5429 0.9 64871 502
## 2020-10-22 4569 2 4.9 4917 1.8 4.3 2 5428 0.9 65373 679
## 2020-10-23 4577 8 5.2 4924 7.1 4.6 2 5428 0.9 66052 0
## 2020-10-24 4577 0 5.7 4924 0.0 4.7 2 5428 0.9 66052 0
## 2020-10-25 4577 0 5.7 4924 0.0 4.7 2 5427 0.9 66052 2047
## 2020-10-26 4589 12 4.8 4934 10.7 4.7 2 5427 0.9 68099 538
## 2020-10-27 4595 6 5.2 4940 5.3 4.7 2 5427 0.9 68637 490
## 2020-10-28 4604 9 5.2 4948 8.0 4.9 2 5426 0.9 69127 1319
## 2020-10-29 4609 5 5.8 4952 4.5 5.2 2 5426 0.9 70446 761
## 2020-10-30 4616 7 6.1 4959 6.2 5.8 2 5426 0.9 71207 0
## 2020-10-31 4616 0 7.2 4959 0.0 6.0 2 5426 0.9 71207 0
## 2020-11-01 4616 0 7.2 4959 0.0 6.0 2 5425 0.9 71207 2651
## 2020-11-02 4627 11 6.3 4968 9.8 6.1 2 5425 0.9 73858 985
## 2020-11-03 4635 8 6.5 4975 7.1 6.3 2 5425 0.9 74843 530
## 2020-11-04 4645 10 6.6 4984 8.9 6.4 2 5424 0.9 75373 1687
## 2020-11-05 4656 11 6.7 4994 9.8 6.6 2 5424 0.9 77060 1065
## 2020-11-06 4671 15 6.7 5007 13.3 6.7 2 5424 0.9 78125 0
## 2020-11-07 4671 0 6.8 5007 0.0 6.9 2 5423 0.9 78125 0
## 2020-11-08 4671 0 6.9 5007 0.0 7.1 2 5423 0.9 78125 0
## dcassm cuminf infdaism peri pop date
## 2020-03-07 9 1412 1412 NA NA 2020-03-07
## 2020-03-08 8 3182 1770 0.002 3572665 2020-03-08
## 2020-03-09 7 5355 2173 0.002 3572665 2020-03-09
## 2020-03-10 8 8004 2649 0.002 3572665 2020-03-10
## 2020-03-11 9 11136 3132 0.002 3572665 2020-03-11
## 2020-03-12 10 14595 3459 0.003 3572665 2020-03-12
## 2020-03-13 12 18816 4220 0.005 3572665 2020-03-13
## 2020-03-14 16 24119 5303 0.006 3572665 2020-03-14
## 2020-03-15 22 30266 6147 0.008 3572665 2020-03-15
## 2020-03-16 25 37349 7083 0.010 3572665 2020-03-16
## 2020-03-17 32 45337 7988 0.012 3572665 2020-03-17
## 2020-03-18 44 54200 8862 0.014 3572665 2020-03-18
## 2020-03-19 60 63987 9788 0.015 3572665 2020-03-19
## 2020-03-20 86 74479 10491 0.020 3572665 2020-03-20
## 2020-03-21 108 86827 12349 0.024 3572665 2020-03-21
## 2020-03-22 128 101366 14538 0.027 3572665 2020-03-22
## 2020-03-23 154 116904 15538 0.032 3572665 2020-03-23
## 2020-03-24 194 132931 16027 0.035 3572665 2020-03-24
## 2020-03-25 251 149204 16273 0.039 3572665 2020-03-25
## 2020-03-26 310 167145 17941 0.043 3572665 2020-03-26
## 2020-03-27 353 186741 19596 0.047 3572665 2020-03-27
## 2020-03-28 368 206912 20171 0.061 3572665 2020-03-28
## 2020-03-29 428 227908 20996 0.068 3572665 2020-03-29
## 2020-03-30 493 249659 21751 0.072 3572665 2020-03-30
## 2020-03-31 508 272170 22511 0.075 3572665 2020-03-31
## 2020-04-01 566 295014 22844 0.078 3572665 2020-04-01
## 2020-04-02 633 318082 23067 0.091 3572665 2020-04-02
## 2020-04-03 679 341401 23319 0.097 3572665 2020-04-03
## 2020-04-04 742 363619 22218 0.105 3572665 2020-04-04
## 2020-04-05 809 384545 20925 0.111 3572665 2020-04-05
## 2020-04-06 832 405345 20801 0.119 3572665 2020-04-06
## 2020-04-07 835 426530 21185 0.125 3572665 2020-04-07
## 2020-04-08 904 447681 21151 0.129 3572665 2020-04-08
## 2020-04-09 924 467689 20008 0.134 3572665 2020-04-09
## 2020-04-10 879 486716 19026 0.139 3572665 2020-04-10
## 2020-04-11 880 505201 18485 0.143 3572665 2020-04-11
## 2020-04-12 883 523142 17941 0.149 3572665 2020-04-12
## 2020-04-13 877 540457 17316 0.154 3572665 2020-04-13
## 2020-04-14 842 556979 16522 0.159 3572665 2020-04-14
## 2020-04-15 890 572902 15923 0.159 3572665 2020-04-15
## 2020-04-16 922 588198 15295 0.166 3572665 2020-04-16
## 2020-04-17 966 602747 14549 0.171 3572665 2020-04-17
## 2020-04-18 1052 616926 14179 0.176 3572665 2020-04-18
## 2020-04-19 1024 631081 14155 0.180 3572665 2020-04-19
## 2020-04-20 988 645062 13981 0.185 3572665 2020-04-20
## 2020-04-21 968 658531 13469 0.188 3572665 2020-04-21
## 2020-04-22 985 672128 13597 0.190 3572665 2020-04-22
## 2020-04-23 908 685593 13466 0.192 3572665 2020-04-23
## 2020-04-24 806 698032 12439 0.194 3572665 2020-04-24
## 2020-04-25 727 709826 11794 0.199 3572665 2020-04-25
## 2020-04-26 681 721172 11346 0.204 3572665 2020-04-26
## 2020-04-27 689 732120 10948 0.208 3572665 2020-04-27
## 2020-04-28 674 742723 10603 0.211 3572665 2020-04-28
## 2020-04-29 677 753035 10312 0.215 3572665 2020-04-29
## 2020-04-30 672 763255 10220 0.217 3572665 2020-04-30
## 2020-05-01 671 773459 10204 0.218 3572665 2020-05-01
## 2020-05-02 696 783240 9780 0.221 3572665 2020-05-02
## 2020-05-03 697 792138 8898 0.224 3572665 2020-05-03
## 2020-05-04 647 800341 8204 0.227 3572665 2020-05-04
## 2020-05-05 620 808279 7937 0.229 3572665 2020-05-05
## 2020-05-06 591 815864 7586 0.230 3572665 2020-05-06
## 2020-05-07 552 823030 7166 0.233 3572665 2020-05-07
## 2020-05-08 537 829939 6908 0.234 3572665 2020-05-08
## 2020-05-09 544 836460 6521 0.236 3572665 2020-05-09
## 2020-05-10 548 842455 5995 0.237 3572665 2020-05-10
## 2020-05-11 537 848033 5578 0.239 3572665 2020-05-11
## 2020-05-12 545 853293 5260 0.242 3572665 2020-05-12
## 2020-05-13 562 858389 5096 0.243 3572665 2020-05-13
## 2020-05-14 577 863221 4832 0.244 3572665 2020-05-14
## 2020-05-15 584 867709 4488 0.245 3572665 2020-05-15
## 2020-05-16 565 872021 4312 0.246 3572665 2020-05-16
## 2020-05-17 533 876271 4250 0.247 3572665 2020-05-17
## 2020-05-18 507 880340 4069 0.248 3572665 2020-05-18
## 2020-05-19 481 884093 3753 0.249 3572665 2020-05-19
## 2020-05-20 451 887613 3520 0.250 3572665 2020-05-20
## 2020-05-21 415 890902 3290 0.251 3572665 2020-05-21
## 2020-05-22 400 894064 3162 0.251 3572665 2020-05-22
## 2020-05-23 382 897157 3093 0.252 3572665 2020-05-23
## 2020-05-24 363 900122 2965 0.254 3572665 2020-05-24
## 2020-05-25 353 902885 2763 0.254 3572665 2020-05-25
## 2020-05-26 329 905493 2608 0.256 3572665 2020-05-26
## 2020-05-27 323 908026 2533 0.257 3572665 2020-05-27
## 2020-05-28 318 910445 2419 0.257 3572665 2020-05-28
## 2020-05-29 288 912803 2358 0.257 3572665 2020-05-29
## 2020-05-30 256 915080 2277 0.258 3572665 2020-05-30
## 2020-05-31 241 917170 2090 0.258 3572665 2020-05-31
## 2020-06-01 247 919133 1963 0.258 3572665 2020-06-01
## 2020-06-02 250 920918 1785 0.259 3572665 2020-06-02
## 2020-06-03 240 922486 1568 0.260 3572665 2020-06-03
## 2020-06-04 208 923994 1508 0.260 3572665 2020-06-04
## 2020-06-05 175 925482 1488 0.260 3572665 2020-06-05
## 2020-06-06 171 926898 1416 0.261 3572665 2020-06-06
## 2020-06-07 176 928235 1337 0.262 3572665 2020-06-07
## 2020-06-08 186 929519 1284 0.262 3572665 2020-06-08
## 2020-06-09 175 930698 1179 0.262 3572665 2020-06-09
## 2020-06-10 159 931734 1035 0.262 3572665 2020-06-10
## 2020-06-11 158 932710 976 0.263 3572665 2020-06-11
## 2020-06-12 157 933595 885 0.263 3572665 2020-06-12
## 2020-06-13 146 934356 761 0.263 3572665 2020-06-13
## 2020-06-14 137 935045 689 0.263 3572665 2020-06-14
## 2020-06-15 133 935636 591 0.263 3572665 2020-06-15
## 2020-06-16 112 936143 507 0.263 3572665 2020-06-16
## 2020-06-17 91 936591 448 0.263 3572665 2020-06-17
## 2020-06-18 85 937130 539 0.264 3572665 2020-06-18
## 2020-06-19 77 937785 655 0.264 3572665 2020-06-19
## 2020-06-20 71 938472 687 0.264 3572665 2020-06-20
## 2020-06-21 74 939244 771 0.264 3572665 2020-06-21
## 2020-06-22 79 940047 803 0.264 3572665 2020-06-22
## 2020-06-23 77 940837 790 0.264 3572665 2020-06-23
## 2020-06-24 75 941627 790 0.264 3572665 2020-06-24
## 2020-06-25 84 942463 835 0.265 3572665 2020-06-25
## 2020-06-26 88 943343 880 0.265 3572665 2020-06-26
## 2020-06-27 88 944191 848 0.266 3572665 2020-06-27
## 2020-06-28 91 945000 809 0.266 3572665 2020-06-28
## 2020-06-29 92 945822 822 0.267 3572665 2020-06-29
## 2020-06-30 91 946663 841 0.267 3572665 2020-06-30
## 2020-07-01 98 947504 841 0.267 3572665 2020-07-01
## 2020-07-02 108 948228 724 0.267 3572665 2020-07-02
## 2020-07-03 103 948862 633 0.267 3572665 2020-07-03
## 2020-07-04 101 949482 620 0.267 3572665 2020-07-04
## 2020-07-05 104 950044 562 0.267 3572665 2020-07-05
## 2020-07-06 107 950547 503 0.267 3572665 2020-07-06
## 2020-07-07 111 951012 465 0.267 3572665 2020-07-07
## 2020-07-08 120 951476 465 0.267 3572665 2020-07-08
## 2020-07-09 113 951909 432 0.268 3572665 2020-07-09
## 2020-07-10 101 952309 400 0.268 3572665 2020-07-10
## 2020-07-11 107 952709 400 0.268 3572665 2020-07-11
## 2020-07-12 112 953083 374 0.268 3572665 2020-07-12
## 2020-07-13 118 953437 355 0.268 3572665 2020-07-13
## 2020-07-14 123 953798 361 0.268 3572665 2020-07-14
## 2020-07-15 128 954159 361 0.268 3572665 2020-07-15
## 2020-07-16 119 954507 348 0.269 3572665 2020-07-16
## 2020-07-17 115 954810 303 0.269 3572665 2020-07-17
## 2020-07-18 115 955107 296 0.269 3572665 2020-07-18
## 2020-07-19 136 955390 283 0.269 3572665 2020-07-19
## 2020-07-20 164 955648 258 0.269 3572665 2020-07-20
## 2020-07-21 165 955918 270 0.269 3572665 2020-07-21
## 2020-07-22 171 956189 270 0.269 3572665 2020-07-22
## 2020-07-23 171 956446 258 0.269 3572665 2020-07-23
## 2020-07-24 193 956691 245 0.269 3572665 2020-07-24
## 2020-07-25 219 956942 251 0.269 3572665 2020-07-25
## 2020-07-26 228 957206 264 0.269 3572665 2020-07-26
## 2020-07-27 212 957463 257 0.269 3572665 2020-07-27
## 2020-07-28 187 957708 245 0.269 3572665 2020-07-28
## 2020-07-29 193 957953 245 0.269 3572665 2020-07-29
## 2020-07-30 190 958178 225 0.270 3572665 2020-07-30
## 2020-07-31 181 958403 225 0.270 3572665 2020-07-31
## 2020-08-01 155 958609 206 0.270 3572665 2020-08-01
## 2020-08-02 123 958789 180 0.270 3572665 2020-08-02
## 2020-08-03 121 958963 174 0.270 3572665 2020-08-03
## 2020-08-04 121 959117 154 0.270 3572665 2020-08-04
## 2020-08-05 126 959272 154 0.270 3572665 2020-08-05
## 2020-08-06 123 959407 135 0.270 3572665 2020-08-06
## 2020-08-07 113 959529 122 0.270 3572665 2020-08-07
## 2020-08-08 109 959657 129 0.270 3572665 2020-08-08
## 2020-08-09 113 959786 129 0.270 3572665 2020-08-09
## 2020-08-10 124 959902 116 0.270 3572665 2020-08-10
## 2020-08-11 129 960005 103 0.270 3572665 2020-08-11
## 2020-08-12 143 960107 103 0.270 3572665 2020-08-12
## 2020-08-13 151 960210 103 0.270 3572665 2020-08-13
## 2020-08-14 142 960332 122 0.270 3572665 2020-08-14
## 2020-08-15 144 960474 141 0.270 3572665 2020-08-15
## 2020-08-16 151 960628 154 0.270 3572665 2020-08-16
## 2020-08-17 154 960808 180 0.270 3572665 2020-08-17
## 2020-08-18 158 961001 193 0.270 3572665 2020-08-18
## 2020-08-19 180 961194 193 0.270 3572665 2020-08-19
## 2020-08-20 180 961418 225 0.270 3572665 2020-08-20
## 2020-08-21 160 961669 251 0.270 3572665 2020-08-21
## 2020-08-22 166 961920 251 0.270 3572665 2020-08-22
## 2020-08-23 172 962176 257 0.271 3572665 2020-08-23
## 2020-08-24 179 962459 283 0.271 3572665 2020-08-24
## 2020-08-25 186 962767 308 0.271 3572665 2020-08-25
## 2020-08-26 201 963076 308 0.271 3572665 2020-08-26
## 2020-08-27 192 963403 327 0.271 3572665 2020-08-27
## 2020-08-28 173 963718 315 0.271 3572665 2020-08-28
## 2020-08-29 173 964007 289 0.271 3572665 2020-08-29
## 2020-08-30 170 964289 282 0.271 3572665 2020-08-30
## 2020-08-31 174 964558 270 0.271 3572665 2020-08-31
## 2020-09-01 178 964828 270 0.271 3572665 2020-09-01
## 2020-09-02 181 965097 270 0.271 3572665 2020-09-02
## 2020-09-03 184 965348 250 0.272 3572665 2020-09-03
## 2020-09-04 183 965591 244 0.272 3572665 2020-09-04
## 2020-09-05 189 965854 263 0.272 3572665 2020-09-05
## 2020-09-06 204 966137 282 0.272 3572665 2020-09-06
## 2020-09-07 216 966419 282 0.272 3572665 2020-09-07
## 2020-09-08 221 966688 269 0.272 3572665 2020-09-08
## 2020-09-09 245 966957 269 0.272 3572665 2020-09-09
## 2020-09-10 265 967233 276 0.272 3572665 2020-09-10
## 2020-09-11 243 967534 301 0.272 3572665 2020-09-11
## 2020-09-12 234 967855 320 0.272 3572665 2020-09-12
## 2020-09-13 237 968194 340 0.272 3572665 2020-09-13
## 2020-09-14 232 968559 365 0.272 3572665 2020-09-14
## 2020-09-15 233 968931 371 0.272 3572665 2020-09-15
## 2020-09-16 253 969302 371 0.272 3572665 2020-09-16
## 2020-09-17 243 969674 371 0.273 3572665 2020-09-17
## 2020-09-18 217 970039 365 0.273 3572665 2020-09-18
## 2020-09-19 220 970404 365 0.273 3572665 2020-09-19
## 2020-09-20 215 970775 371 0.273 3572665 2020-09-20
## 2020-09-21 216 971146 371 0.273 3572665 2020-09-21
## 2020-09-22 228 971517 371 0.273 3572665 2020-09-22
## 2020-09-23 251 971888 371 0.273 3572665 2020-09-23
## 2020-09-24 252 972311 422 0.273 3572665 2020-09-24
## 2020-09-25 237 972790 480 0.273 3572665 2020-09-25
## 2020-09-26 245 973321 531 0.274 3572665 2020-09-26
## 2020-09-27 272 973877 556 0.274 3572665 2020-09-27
## 2020-09-28 312 974445 569 0.274 3572665 2020-09-28
## 2020-09-29 332 975045 600 0.274 3572665 2020-09-29
## 2020-09-30 371 975646 600 0.274 3572665 2020-09-30
## 2020-10-01 378 976310 664 0.274 3572665 2020-10-01
## 2020-10-02 347 977069 760 0.275 3572665 2020-10-02
## 2020-10-03 353 977892 823 0.275 3572665 2020-10-03
## 2020-10-04 370 978760 867 0.275 3572665 2020-10-04
## 2020-10-05 370 979672 912 0.276 3572665 2020-10-05
## 2020-10-06 373 980615 943 0.276 3572665 2020-10-06
## 2020-10-07 443 981558 943 0.276 3572665 2020-10-07
## 2020-10-08 473 982495 937 0.276 3572665 2020-10-08
## 2020-10-09 444 983444 949 0.277 3572665 2020-10-09
## 2020-10-10 450 984424 980 0.277 3572665 2020-10-10
## 2020-10-11 478 985473 1049 0.277 3572665 2020-10-11
## 2020-10-12 526 986624 1150 0.278 3572665 2020-10-12
## 2020-10-13 560 987818 1194 0.278 3572665 2020-10-13
## 2020-10-14 617 989013 1194 0.278 3572665 2020-10-14
## 2020-10-15 604 990238 1225 0.278 3572665 2020-10-15
## 2020-10-16 554 991495 1256 0.279 3572665 2020-10-16
## 2020-10-17 581 992782 1287 0.279 3572665 2020-10-17
## 2020-10-18 634 994101 1319 0.280 3572665 2020-10-18
## 2020-10-19 669 995450 1350 0.280 3572665 2020-10-19
## 2020-10-20 689 996831 1381 0.280 3572665 2020-10-20
## 2020-10-21 792 998242 1412 0.280 3572665 2020-10-21
## 2020-10-22 837 999685 1443 0.281 3572665 2020-10-22
## 2020-10-23 800 1001158 1474 0.281 3572665 2020-10-23
## 2020-10-24 860 1002663 1505 0.281 3572665 2020-10-24
## 2020-10-25 932 1004198 1536 0.281 3572665 2020-10-25
## 2020-10-26 976 1005765 1567 0.282 3572665 2020-10-26
## 2020-10-27 1021 1007363 1598 0.282 3572665 2020-10-27
## 2020-10-28 1149 1008991 1629 0.282 3572665 2020-10-28
## 2020-10-29 1192 1010651 1660 0.282 3572665 2020-10-29
## 2020-10-30 1125 1012341 1691 0.283 3572665 2020-10-30
## 2020-10-31 1200 1014063 1722 0.283 3572665 2020-10-31
## 2020-11-01 1259 1015815 1753 0.283 3572665 2020-11-01
## 2020-11-02 1280 1017599 1784 0.283 3572665 2020-11-02
## 2020-11-03 1336 1019413 1815 0.284 3572665 2020-11-03
## 2020-11-04 1372 1021259 1846 0.284 3572665 2020-11-04
## 2020-11-05 1414 1023136 1877 0.284 3572665 2020-11-05
## 2020-11-06 1455 1025043 1908 0.284 3572665 2020-11-06
## 2020-11-07 1496 1026982 1939 0.285 3572665 2020-11-07
## 2020-11-08 1537 1028951 1970 0.285 3572665 2020-11-08