Conclusion:

There is no Covid 19 surge underway in Sweden, no “second wave”.
Covid 19 to date has reached an effective “herd immunity threshold”, or at least a long lasting steady R(0) such that deaths have plateued showing an effective end of the epidemic.

However much notice has been given to a 700% surge in daily new cases, which has it a given that a Covid-19 surge is underway.



Excess Deaths

StatisticS Sweden provides daily a report on deaths for any cause. The average of daily deaths from 2015 to 2019 is calculated. The daily deaths for any cause is netted against the average - “excess deaths” for 2020.

The excess deaths are then used to qualify the Swedish Covid 19 deaths.

The excess deaths are plotted.



The excess deaths have large daily variance. The deaths are smoothed with a 10 day moving average, then values are set to be at least greater than “0”.

The smoothed excess deaths is overlayed the scatter of excess deaths.

Cumulative Deaths

The smoothed excess deaths are compared to the reported deaths.

The Swedish data on Covid 19 deaths is shown to have integrity by comparing it to the cumulative dauly excess deaths.




The above excess and reported deaths are scatter plotted. There is obvious high corrrelation.


Daily Deaths

Daily deaths are plotted and then the smoothed daily deaths overlayed (all data used is provided at the end of this report). Smoothed daily deaths will be used below.


New Daily Cases

Daily new cases are plotted and the smoothed daily new cases overlayed. The smoothed daily new cases will be used below.

Large Surge in Cases

The large surge in Sweden daily new cases is thought to mean there is a large increase in Covid 19, a “second wave”.


No Correlation of Cases to Deaths

There is no correlation of new daily cases to daily deaths.



Daily new cases are scatter plotted against daily deaths, showing there is no relationship.

Lagging Deaths to Cases

Death occurs some time after the time of initial infection. So it is expected that new daily increase in cases is a precursor for increase in daily deaths. The daily deaths is lagged 18 days (the mean for most severity reports for the time required to die after becoming infected).

With this lag in daily deaths, there is no sign of correlation between daily deaths lagged to daily new cases.
The surge in daily new cases began in the beginning of September and would have caused a surge in daily deaths well before ‘r Sys.Date()-18’.

This has not occurred.






There is no correlation between lagged daily new deaths and daily new cases.



To have the implied number of daily new infections derived from daily lagged deaths to be in the same scale as the daily new cases, a 9% Infection Fatlaity Rate (IFR) is applied by dividing the deaths by 9%. (The 9% IFR is arbitrary selected so as to have max daily implied new infections in the same ballpark as daily new cases.)

The daily deaths used to derive these infections is lagged 18 days, matching the mean of most severity reports to date.

Even with this adjustment there is no correlation to daily new cases.



The above shows there is no correlation between change in cases and change in deaths.

If deaths are lagged by 18 days (most severity meta data on Covid 19 have time to death between 5 to 28 days with a mean of 18 days) there is no correlation between this adjusted change in deaths and change in cases.

While it is possible the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) may have dropped from .5% to .2% or even lower, which indicates that the level of infections has increased substantially, to have the scale match the scale of cases a 9% IFR is required, an increase. This indicates that the testing is still very small. Even then there is no correlation between change in cases and change of deaths.

The number of tests given, while obviously greatly increased since September, with the bias of who is tested, and that the tests are not given “blind”, results in new cases not providing statisitically significant information on the current status of Covid 19 in Sweden.

The testing must be administered in normal blind protocal and in geographical dispersed way to be otherwise.



Data

The data used is provided. Data on Swedish excess deaths is from Statistics Sweden. The death data is from Our World in Data.


##            Deaths Daily Deaths Daily Cases Deaths 2020 Avg Deaths 15-19
## 2020-03-02      0            0           2         238              277
## 2020-03-03      0            0           3         261              291
## 2020-03-04      0            0           4         289              289
## 2020-03-05      0            0           9         281              278
## 2020-03-06      0            0          12         251              289
## 2020-03-07      0            0          19         266              273
## 2020-03-08      0            0          24         240              265
## 2020-03-09      0            0          30         248              276
## 2020-03-10      0            0          44         257              271
## 2020-03-11      0            0          56         234              263
## 2020-03-12     11            2          80         258              268
## 2020-03-13     11            2          98         243              271
## 2020-03-14     12            2         111         246              265
## 2020-03-15     13            2         116         244              273
## 2020-03-16     15            2         120         293              268
## 2020-03-17     17            2         117         266              273
## 2020-03-18     18            3         120         257              258
## 2020-03-19     24            2         113         235              260
## 2020-03-20     31            3         112         279              267
## 2020-03-21     40            4         116         264              259
## 2020-03-22     48            5         125         270              259
## 2020-03-23     59            6         132         298              256
## 2020-03-24     70            8         146         281              254
## 2020-03-25     91           10         162         294              238
## 2020-03-26    113           13         186         304              265
## 2020-03-27    144           16         207         294              264
## 2020-03-28    176           19         233         268              259
## 2020-03-29    211           23         256         301              258
## 2020-03-30    249           27         280         338              266
## 2020-03-31    294           32         313         309              259
## 2020-04-01    342           36         348         328              259
## 2020-04-02    395           40         373         369              266
## 2020-04-03    465           46         411         364              261
## 2020-04-04    545           53         445         313              263
## 2020-04-05    615           58         453         361              251
## 2020-04-06    700           64         461         369              253
## 2020-04-07    790           71         457         344              270
## 2020-04-08    874           76         495         393              247
## 2020-04-09    989           85         519         364              242
## 2020-04-10   1075           87         532         376              247
## 2020-04-11   1165           89         511         366              237
## 2020-04-12   1267           93         516         357              253
## 2020-04-13   1364           95         534         354              257
## 2020-04-14   1448           94         541         353              253
## 2020-04-15   1540           95         504         398              243
## 2020-04-16   1655           95         497         398              254
## 2020-04-17   1766           99         494         358              262
## 2020-04-18   1849           98         527         338              243
## 2020-04-19   1935           95         547         326              241
## 2020-04-20   2022           94         536         310              252
## 2020-04-21   2107           94         539         332              253
## 2020-04-22   2169           90         572         332              251
## 2020-04-23   2246           84         589         325              246
## 2020-04-24   2332           81         608         312              251
## 2020-04-25   2421           82         621         331              249
## 2020-04-26   2494           80         613         325              246
## 2020-04-27   2568           78         600         300              240
## 2020-04-28   2642           76         615         335              236
## 2020-04-29   2725           79         620         322              239
## 2020-04-30   2808           80         631         319              229
## 2020-05-01   2886           79         613         360              240
## 2020-05-02   2964           78         578         296              237
## 2020-05-03   3037           78         553         306              237
## 2020-05-04   3112           78         547         331              248
## 2020-05-05   3196           79         535         309              230
## 2020-05-06   3268           78         523         325              229
## 2020-05-07   3341           76         515         328              232
## 2020-05-08   3421           76         536         294              229
## 2020-05-09   3481           74         560         284              234
## 2020-05-10   3549           73         590         311              237
## 2020-05-11   3622           73         593         319              234
## 2020-05-12   3687           70         590         290              233
## 2020-05-13   3748           69         604         284              234
## 2020-05-14   3798           65         597         275              224
## 2020-05-15   3844           60         579         275              228
## 2020-05-16   3902           60         577         266              235
## 2020-05-17   3950           57         556         278              222
## 2020-05-18   4003           54         553         302              229
## 2020-05-19   4062           54         549         259              221
## 2020-05-20   4103           51         537         278              220
## 2020-05-21   4155           51         552         249              214
## 2020-05-22   4209           52         546         292              218
## 2020-05-23   4265           52         523         270              217
## 2020-05-24   4320           53         530         268              238
## 2020-05-25   4364           52         523         242              216
## 2020-05-26   4406           49         531         225              219
## 2020-05-27   4434           47         543         245              216
## 2020-05-28   4472           45         542         216              237
## 2020-05-29   4512           43         565         230              222
## 2020-05-30   4553           41         600         242              227
## 2020-05-31   4592           39         604         256              218
## 2020-06-01   4638           39         612         264              226
## 2020-06-02   4677           39         634         269              213
## 2020-06-03   4713           40         656         254              242
## 2020-06-04   4741           38         691         227              223
## 2020-06-05   4784           39         729         269              228
## 2020-06-06   4821           38         782         233              205
## 2020-06-07   4850           37         832         234              212
## 2020-06-08   4883           35         860         231              224
## 2020-06-09   4921           35         864         258              222
## 2020-06-10   4954           34         870         278              210
## 2020-06-11   4994           36         925         243              204
## 2020-06-12   5029           35         962         244              223
## 2020-06-13   5058           34         988         255              226
## 2020-06-14   5091           34        1024         212              214
## 2020-06-15   5118           34        1018         247              221
## 2020-06-16   5148           32        1019         236              214
## 2020-06-17   5176           32        1058         261              223
## 2020-06-18   5208           31        1060         255              223
## 2020-06-19   5237           30        1089         222              218
## 2020-06-20   5267           30        1072         234              220
## 2020-06-21   5296           29        1024         213              218
## 2020-06-22   5318           29        1010         227              219
## 2020-06-23   5338           27        1027         219              206
## 2020-06-24   5363           27        1041         226              222
## 2020-06-25   5385           25        1076         256              227
## 2020-06-26   5408           24        1045         222              226
## 2020-06-27   5419           22        1044         249              219
## 2020-06-28   5433           20        1052         270              218
## 2020-06-29   5456           20        1066         198              216
## 2020-06-30   5472           19        1055         228              222
## 2020-07-01   5492           18         983         240              229
## 2020-07-02   5507           17         838         238              230
## 2020-07-03   5522           16         754         218              226
## 2020-07-04   5530           16         681         230              229
## 2020-07-05   5545           16         625         211              228
## 2020-07-06   5554           14         611         228              229
## 2020-07-07   5569           14         543         213              228
## 2020-07-08   5581           13         468         218              220
## 2020-07-09   5592           12         446         260              207
## 2020-07-10   5607           12         396         235              215
## 2020-07-11   5621           13         349         211              231
## 2020-07-12   5631           12         341         206              233
## 2020-07-13   5640           12         311         217              237
## 2020-07-14   5652           12         300         193              226
## 2020-07-15   5660           11         305         225              220
## 2020-07-16   5666           11         269         201              221
## 2020-07-17   5672            9         260         219              225
## 2020-07-18   5679            8         248         246              229
## 2020-07-19   5690            8         231         211              221
## 2020-07-20   5697            8         232         225              225
## 2020-07-21   5703            7         226         211              225
## 2020-07-22   5710            7         214         197              214
## 2020-07-23   5716            7         215         240              215
## 2020-07-24   5721            7         208         243              220
## 2020-07-25   5724            6         205         218              226
## 2020-07-26   5725            5         198         202              222
## 2020-07-27   5727            4         188         232              250
## 2020-07-28   5733            4         179         212              225
## 2020-07-29   5737            4         188         213              216
## 2020-07-30   5738            3         188         213              220
## 2020-07-31   5738            2         200         219              231
## 2020-08-01   5740            2         199         213              237
## 2020-08-02   5742            2         223         245              230
## 2020-08-03   5745            3         222         217              216
## 2020-08-04   5749            2         236         210              224
## 2020-08-05   5751            2         243         213              223
## 2020-08-06   5752            2         261         209              215
## 2020-08-07   5756            3         271         266              222
## 2020-08-08   5758            3         289         238              216
## 2020-08-09   5759            2         283         217              225
## 2020-08-10   5763            3         288         203              218
## 2020-08-11   5765            2         292         232              209
## 2020-08-12   5769            3         304         214              218
## 2020-08-13   5772            3         307         265              212
## 2020-08-14   5777            3         305         200              220
## 2020-08-15   5778            3         299         212              216
## 2020-08-16   5779            3         295         189              229
## 2020-08-17   5779            2         293         219              213
## 2020-08-18   5782            2         290         246              216
## 2020-08-19   5786            2         275         213              222
## 2020-08-20   5787            2         262         206              219
## 2020-08-21   5789            2         258         243              227
## 2020-08-22   5794            2         251         246              217
## 2020-08-23   5795            2         242         202              219
## 2020-08-24   5798            3         241         202              221
## 2020-08-25   5799            2         241         226              223
## 2020-08-26   5800            2         228         223              218
## 2020-08-27   5802            2         213         208              215
## 2020-08-28   5803            2         194         211              215
## 2020-08-29   5804            1         177         207              220
## 2020-08-30   5805            1         173         206              229
## 2020-08-31   5808            1         171         178              227
## 2020-09-01   5810            2         170         216              243
## 2020-09-02   5813            2         162         217              237
## 2020-09-03   5815            2         158         239              229
## 2020-09-04   5817            2         170         210              221
## 2020-09-05   5817            2         182         226              225
## 2020-09-06   5817            2         188         227              219
## 2020-09-07   5820            2         190         220              231
## 2020-09-08   5821            2         194         194              225
## 2020-09-09   5822            1         203         237              226
## 2020-09-10   5824            1         217         195              216
## 2020-09-11   5826            1         213         225              223
## 2020-09-12   5830            2         217         219              219
## 2020-09-13   5831            2         222         235              211
## 2020-09-14   5833            2         228         196              223
## 2020-09-15   5835            2         233         221              232
## 2020-09-16   5836            2         241         228              220
## 2020-09-17   5838            2         243         238              232
## 2020-09-18   5839            2         262         200              223
## 2020-09-19   5840            1         283         227              215
## 2020-09-20   5841            1         293         198              226
## 2020-09-21   5845            2         297         225              232
## 2020-09-22   5847            2         304         207              226
## 2020-09-23   5848            2         325         225              234
## 2020-09-24   5848            1         356         244              223
## 2020-09-25   5849            1         378         213              222
## 2020-09-26   5853            2         405         236              223
## 2020-09-27   5855            2         412         208              238
## 2020-09-28   5856            2         417         240              214
## 2020-09-29   5857            1         433         186              242
## 2020-09-30   5859            2         458         220              226
## 2020-10-01   5863            2         477         258              233
## 2020-10-02   5864            2         490         250              234
## 2020-10-03   5867            2         502         184              234
## 2020-10-04   5870            2         522         201              240
## 2020-10-05   5873            2         520         227              222
## 2020-10-06   5875            3         519         209              223
## 2020-10-07   5879            3         544         224              232
## 2020-10-08   5882            3         565         218              238
## 2020-10-09   5883            3         593         229              234
## 2020-10-10   5888            3         603         219              242
## 2020-10-11   5893            3         610         191              240
## 2020-10-12   5895            3         611         226              237
## 2020-10-13   5898            3         649         216              225
## 2020-10-14   5899            3         667         236              240
## 2020-10-15   5901            3         687         249              225
## 2020-10-16   5904            3         697         209              230
## 2020-10-17   5906            3         753         210              243
## 2020-10-18   5910            2         780         210              222
## 2020-10-19   5911            2         803         204              241
## 2020-10-20   5915            2         822         214              238
## 2020-10-21   5919            3         876         204              233
## 2020-10-22   5921            3         962         172              248
## 2020-10-23   5929            4        1071         126              241
## 2020-10-24   5934            4        1169         105              240
## 2020-10-25   5940            4        1281         110              236
## 2020-10-26   5946            5        1309          71              236
## 2020-10-27   5954            6        1352          46              235
## 2020-10-28   5956            5        1512          43              239
## 2020-10-29   5959            5        1773          38              235
## 2020-10-30   5962            5        2001           1              244
## 2020-10-31   5964            4        2314          NA               NA
## 2020-11-01   5967            4        2530          NA               NA
## 2020-11-02   5967            3        2643          NA               NA
## 2020-11-03   5969            2        2658          NA               NA
##            Excess Deaths 20 Cumaltive Excess Deaths Lagged NA
## 2020-03-02            -38.6             0.00             0  3
## 2020-03-03            -30.2             0.00             0  4
## 2020-03-04              0.4             0.00             0  5
## 2020-03-05              2.6             0.00             0  6
## 2020-03-06            -38.4             0.00             0  8
## 2020-03-07             -7.2             0.00             0 10
## 2020-03-08            -25.2             0.00             0 13
## 2020-03-09            -28.2             0.00             0 16
## 2020-03-10            -13.8             0.00             0 19
## 2020-03-11            -28.6             0.00             0 23
## 2020-03-12            -10.0             0.00             0 27
## 2020-03-13            -28.4             0.00             0 32
## 2020-03-14            -18.8             0.00             0 36
## 2020-03-15            -29.2             0.00             0 40
## 2020-03-16             24.8             0.00             0 46
## 2020-03-17             -6.8             0.00             0 53
## 2020-03-18             -0.6             0.00             0 58
## 2020-03-19            -24.6             3.74             4 64
## 2020-03-20             12.4            10.26            14 71
## 2020-03-21              5.2            15.21            29 76
## 2020-03-22             10.6            17.78            47 85
## 2020-03-23             41.6            20.10            67 87
## 2020-03-24             26.8            23.93            91 89
## 2020-03-25             55.6            30.29           121 93
## 2020-03-26             39.0            35.52           157 95
## 2020-03-27             30.4            40.67           198 94
## 2020-03-28              8.6            46.64           244 95
## 2020-03-29             42.8            53.53           298 95
## 2020-03-30             72.2            57.10           355 99
## 2020-03-31             50.0            60.39           415 98
## 2020-04-01             68.8            68.23           483 95
## 2020-04-02            102.8            75.78           559 94
## 2020-04-03            103.4            84.22           643 94
## 2020-04-04             50.4            91.87           735 90
## 2020-04-05            110.0            98.27           834 84
## 2020-04-06            116.2           105.21           939 81
## 2020-04-07             73.8           108.27          1047 82
## 2020-04-08            146.4           107.98          1155 80
## 2020-04-09            121.6           110.13          1265 78
## 2020-04-10            128.6           114.88          1380 76
## 2020-04-11            129.0           118.54          1499 79
## 2020-04-12            103.8           121.06          1620 80
## 2020-04-13             96.6           119.62          1739 79
## 2020-04-14            100.2           115.24          1854 78
## 2020-04-15            155.2           109.89          1964 78
## 2020-04-16            144.2           103.85          2068 78
## 2020-04-17             96.2           100.20          2168 79
## 2020-04-18             95.2            98.18          2267 78
## 2020-04-19             85.2            95.34          2362 76
## 2020-04-20             58.0            89.74          2452 76
## 2020-04-21             78.8            82.86          2535 74
## 2020-04-22             81.0            77.83          2612 73
## 2020-04-23             79.0            76.22          2689 73
## 2020-04-24             61.0            76.27          2765 70
## 2020-04-25             82.4            77.72          2843 69
## 2020-04-26             79.4            81.34          2924 65
## 2020-04-27             60.4            82.28          3006 60
## 2020-04-28             98.8            80.68          3087 60
## 2020-04-29             82.6            81.26          3168 57
## 2020-04-30             89.6            82.15          3250 54
## 2020-05-01            119.6            82.77          3333 54
## 2020-05-02             59.0            85.34          3418 51
## 2020-05-03             69.0            85.40          3504 51
## 2020-05-04             82.6            82.08          3586 52
## 2020-05-05             78.6            79.68          3666 52
## 2020-05-06             95.6            77.15          3743 53
## 2020-05-07             95.6            75.32          3818 52
## 2020-05-08             64.8            74.28          3892 49
## 2020-05-09             50.2            71.76          3964 47
## 2020-05-10             74.0            68.63          4033 45
## 2020-05-11             84.6            63.81          4096 43
## 2020-05-12             57.4            58.57          4155 41
## 2020-05-13             49.8            56.98          4212 39
## 2020-05-14             51.4            56.79          4269 39
## 2020-05-15             47.2            55.38          4324 39
## 2020-05-16             30.6            52.10          4376 40
## 2020-05-17             55.8            50.49          4427 38
## 2020-05-18             72.8            51.50          4478 39
## 2020-05-19             38.4            50.60          4529 38
## 2020-05-20             57.6            48.50          4577 37
## 2020-05-21             35.4            46.24          4624 35
## 2020-05-22             74.4            43.69          4667 35
## 2020-05-23             53.0            37.65          4705 34
## 2020-05-24             30.2            31.40          4736 36
## 2020-05-25             26.4            27.72          4764 35
## 2020-05-26              6.2            25.70          4790 34
## 2020-05-27             29.2            24.00          4814 34
## 2020-05-28            -21.4            22.35          4836 34
## 2020-05-29              7.6            21.62          4858 32
## 2020-05-30             14.8            19.61          4877 32
## 2020-05-31             37.8            20.24          4898 31
## 2020-06-01             38.0            21.92          4920 30
## 2020-06-02             56.4            24.05          4944 30
## 2020-06-03             12.2            26.19          4970 29
## 2020-06-04              4.2            27.21          4997 29
## 2020-06-05             41.0            29.81          5027 27
## 2020-06-06             28.0            31.38          5058 27
## 2020-06-07             22.4            29.67          5088 25
## 2020-06-08              6.6            28.74          5117 24
## 2020-06-09             36.2            29.23          5146 22
## 2020-06-10             68.4            28.16          5174 20
## 2020-06-11             38.8            27.12          5201 20
## 2020-06-12             21.4            27.61          5229 19
## 2020-06-13             28.6            29.65          5258 18
## 2020-06-14             -2.4            29.31          5288 17
## 2020-06-15             26.2            25.02          5313 16
## 2020-06-16             22.0            20.13          5333 16
## 2020-06-17             38.2            17.26          5350 16
## 2020-06-18             31.6            15.80          5366 14
## 2020-06-19              4.4            15.32          5381 14
## 2020-06-20             14.4            15.78          5397 13
## 2020-06-21             -5.0            14.62          5412 12
## 2020-06-22              7.8            12.90          5424 12
## 2020-06-23             13.0            13.53          5438 13
## 2020-06-24              3.6            13.44          5451 12
## 2020-06-25             29.4            11.88          5463 12
## 2020-06-26             -4.4            12.22          5476 12
## 2020-06-27             30.2            12.99          5489 11
## 2020-06-28             52.2            11.94          5500 11
## 2020-06-29            -18.0            10.77          5511  9
## 2020-06-30              5.6             8.30          5520  8
## 2020-07-01             10.6             6.12          5526  8
## 2020-07-02              7.6             4.01          5530  8
## 2020-07-03             -7.8             0.00          5530  7
## 2020-07-04              1.0             0.00          5530  7
## 2020-07-05            -17.4             4.14          5534  7
## 2020-07-06             -1.2             3.31          5537  7
## 2020-07-07            -15.2             0.07          5537  6
## 2020-07-08             -1.8             0.00          5537  5
## 2020-07-09             53.0             0.00          5537  4
## 2020-07-10             19.6             0.00          5537  4
## 2020-07-11            -20.0             0.00          5537  4
## 2020-07-12            -26.6             0.00          5537  3
## 2020-07-13            -20.0             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-07-14            -33.4             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-07-15              5.0             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-07-16            -20.0             0.00          5537  3
## 2020-07-17             -6.4             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-07-18             16.6             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-07-19             -9.8             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-07-20              0.4             0.00          5537  3
## 2020-07-21            -14.4             0.00          5537  3
## 2020-07-22            -17.2             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-07-23             25.0             0.00          5537  3
## 2020-07-24             23.0             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-07-25             -8.0             0.00          5537  3
## 2020-07-26            -20.4             0.00          5537  3
## 2020-07-27            -18.2             0.00          5537  3
## 2020-07-28            -13.0             0.00          5537  3
## 2020-07-29             -2.8             0.00          5537  3
## 2020-07-30             -7.2             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-07-31            -12.0             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-08-01            -24.2             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-08-02             15.2             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-08-03              1.0             0.00          5537  2
## 2020-08-04            -14.2             0.85          5538  2
## 2020-08-05             -9.6             0.67          5539  2
## 2020-08-06             -6.2             2.88          5542  3
## 2020-08-07             44.4             4.28          5546  2
## 2020-08-08             21.8             5.96          5552  2
## 2020-08-09             -8.2             8.28          5560  2
## 2020-08-10            -14.6             8.27          5568  2
## 2020-08-11             22.6             6.85          5575  1
## 2020-08-12             -3.6             3.24          5578  1
## 2020-08-13             53.4             1.75          5580  1
## 2020-08-14            -20.2             2.12          5582  2
## 2020-08-15             -3.8             2.14          5585  2
## 2020-08-16            -40.4             1.85          5586  2
## 2020-08-17              6.4             3.13          5589  2
## 2020-08-18             30.0             1.23          5591  2
## 2020-08-19             -9.0             0.00          5591  2
## 2020-08-20            -13.4             0.00          5591  2
## 2020-08-21             15.6             0.71          5591  2
## 2020-08-22             29.0             2.30          5594  1
## 2020-08-23            -17.2             0.00          5594  1
## 2020-08-24            -19.2             0.00          5594  1
## 2020-08-25              2.6             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-08-26              5.0             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-08-27             -7.2             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-08-28             -4.4             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-08-29            -12.8             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-08-30            -22.6             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-08-31            -49.4             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-01            -26.6             0.00          5594  1
## 2020-09-02            -19.6             0.00          5594  1
## 2020-09-03             10.0             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-04            -11.2             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-05              1.4             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-06              7.6             0.00          5594  1
## 2020-09-07            -11.0             0.00          5594  1
## 2020-09-08            -31.2             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-09             11.4             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-10            -21.4             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-11              1.6             0.00          5594  1
## 2020-09-12             -0.2             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-13             24.2             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-14            -26.6             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-15            -11.0             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-16              8.4             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-17              5.8             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-09-18            -22.8             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-09-19             11.6             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-09-20            -28.4             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-09-21             -7.0             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-09-22            -19.4             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-09-23             -9.2             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-09-24             21.0             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-09-25             -9.4             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-09-26             12.6             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-09-27            -30.0             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-09-28             26.0             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-09-29            -55.6             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-09-30             -5.6             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-10-01             24.8             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-10-02             16.4             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-10-03            -49.6             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-10-04            -38.6             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-10-05              4.6             0.00          5594  4
## 2020-10-06            -13.8             0.00          5594  4
## 2020-10-07             -8.4             0.00          5594  4
## 2020-10-08            -20.4             0.00          5594  5
## 2020-10-09             -4.6             0.00          5594  6
## 2020-10-10            -22.8             0.00          5594  5
## 2020-10-11            -48.6             0.00          5594  5
## 2020-10-12            -11.2             0.00          5594  5
## 2020-10-13             -8.8             0.00          5594  4
## 2020-10-14             -4.2             0.00          5594  4
## 2020-10-15             24.2             0.00          5594  3
## 2020-10-16            -20.6             0.00          5594  2
## 2020-10-17            -32.8             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-18            -11.6             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-19            -36.6             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-20            -23.8             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-21            -29.4             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-22            -76.4             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-23           -114.8             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-24           -134.8             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-25           -126.2             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-26           -165.0             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-27           -189.2             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-28           -196.0             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-29           -197.2             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-30           -242.6             0.00          5594  0
## 2020-10-31               NA               NA            NA  0
## 2020-11-01               NA               NA            NA  0
## 2020-11-02               NA               NA            NA  0
## 2020-11-03               NA               NA            NA  0