Determinar probabilidades de que salgan cartas de un tipo en un mazo cuando se reparten al principio dos cartas
Determinar probabilidades varias con un mazo de 52 cartas
El objetivo de este juego es sumar 21 puntos o no pasarse de esta cifra, pero siempre sobrepasando el valor que tiene el crupier para ganar la apuesta. Las cartas del 2 al 10 valen su valor natural; las cartas J, Q y K también valen 10 y el as vale 1 u 11 según la conveniencia del jugador y para efecto de esta simulación su valor es 11 y nada más que 11.[ http://juegabien.co/blackjack/]
library(dplyr)
##
## Attaching package: 'dplyr'
## The following objects are masked from 'package:stats':
##
## filter, lag
## The following objects are masked from 'package:base':
##
## intersect, setdiff, setequal, union
library(knitr) # install.packages("knitr")
## Warning: package 'knitr' was built under R version 4.0.3
library(gtools)
library(fdth)
##
## Attaching package: 'fdth'
## The following objects are masked from 'package:stats':
##
## sd, var
include_graphics("imagenes/52 cartas.jpg")
source("funciones/mis.funciones.r")
n <- length(mazo)
n
## [1] 52
paste("El número de cartas probable es ", 1)
## [1] "El número de cartas probable es 1"
prob <- 1 / n * 100 # Porcentuales
paste("La probabilidad es ", round(prob,2), "%")
## [1] "La probabilidad es 1.92 %"
cuantas <- length(mazo[which(mazo == 'K')])
paste("El número de cartas probable es ", cuantas)
## [1] "El número de cartas probable es 4"
prob <- cuantas / n * 100
paste("La probabilidad es ", round(prob,2), "%")
## [1] "La probabilidad es 7.69 %"
# A
cuantas <- length(mazo[which(mazo == 'A')])
paste("El número de cartas probable es ", cuantas)
## [1] "El número de cartas probable es 4"
prob <- cuantas / n * 100
paste("La probabilidad es ", round(prob,2), "%")
## [1] "La probabilidad es 7.69 %"
cuantas <- length(mazo[which(mazo == '10' | mazo == 'J' | mazo == 'Q' | mazo == 'K')])
cuantas
## [1] 16
paste("El número de cartas probable es ", cuantas)
## [1] "El número de cartas probable es 16"
prob <- cuantas / n * 100
paste("La probabilidad es ", round(prob,2), "%")
## [1] "La probabilidad es 30.77 %"
casos <- data.frame(permutations(13,2,baraja, repeats.allowed = TRUE))
names(casos) <- c("C1", "C2")
kable(casos)
| C1 | C2 |
|---|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 |
| 10 | A |
| 10 | J |
| 10 | K |
| 10 | Q |
| 2 | 10 |
| 2 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 |
| 2 | A |
| 2 | J |
| 2 | K |
| 2 | Q |
| 3 | 10 |
| 3 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 |
| 3 | A |
| 3 | J |
| 3 | K |
| 3 | Q |
| 4 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 |
| 4 | A |
| 4 | J |
| 4 | K |
| 4 | Q |
| 5 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 |
| 5 | A |
| 5 | J |
| 5 | K |
| 5 | Q |
| 6 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 |
| 6 | A |
| 6 | J |
| 6 | K |
| 6 | Q |
| 7 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 |
| 7 | A |
| 7 | J |
| 7 | K |
| 7 | Q |
| 8 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 |
| 8 | A |
| 8 | J |
| 8 | K |
| 8 | Q |
| 9 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 |
| 9 | A |
| 9 | J |
| 9 | K |
| 9 | Q |
| A | 10 |
| A | 2 |
| A | 3 |
| A | 4 |
| A | 5 |
| A | 6 |
| A | 7 |
| A | 8 |
| A | 9 |
| A | A |
| A | J |
| A | K |
| A | Q |
| J | 10 |
| J | 2 |
| J | 3 |
| J | 4 |
| J | 5 |
| J | 6 |
| J | 7 |
| J | 8 |
| J | 9 |
| J | A |
| J | J |
| J | K |
| J | Q |
| K | 10 |
| K | 2 |
| K | 3 |
| K | 4 |
| K | 5 |
| K | 6 |
| K | 7 |
| K | 8 |
| K | 9 |
| K | A |
| K | J |
| K | K |
| K | Q |
| Q | 10 |
| Q | 2 |
| Q | 3 |
| Q | 4 |
| Q | 5 |
| Q | 6 |
| Q | 7 |
| Q | 8 |
| Q | 9 |
| Q | A |
| Q | J |
| Q | K |
| Q | Q |
n <- nrow(casos) # El número de opciones
n # Recordar fórmula de permutaciones
## [1] 169
casos <- casos %>%
mutate(valor1 = ifelse (C1 == "A", 11,
ifelse(C1 =="J" | C1 == "Q" | C1 == "K",
10,as.numeric(C1))))
## Warning: Problem with `mutate()` input `valor1`.
## i NAs introducidos por coerción
## i Input `valor1` is `ifelse(...)`.
## Warning in ifelse(C1 == "J" | C1 == "Q" | C1 == "K", 10, as.numeric(C1)): NAs
## introducidos por coerción
casos <- casos %>%
mutate(valor2 = ifelse (C2 == "A", 11,
ifelse(C2 =="J" | C2 == "Q" | C2 == "K",
10,as.numeric(C2))))
## Warning: Problem with `mutate()` input `valor2`.
## i NAs introducidos por coerción
## i Input `valor2` is `ifelse(...)`.
## Warning in ifelse(C2 == "J" | C2 == "Q" | C2 == "K", 10, as.numeric(C2)): NAs
## introducidos por coerción
casos <- casos %>%
mutate(suma = valor1 + valor2)
kable(casos)
| C1 | C2 | valor1 | valor2 | suma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 10 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 10 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| 10 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| 10 | A | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| 10 | J | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| 10 | K | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| 10 | Q | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | A | 2 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | J | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | K | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Q | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 13 |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| 3 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | A | 3 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | J | 3 | 10 | 13 |
| 3 | K | 3 | 10 | 13 |
| 3 | Q | 3 | 10 | 13 |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | A | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | J | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | K | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | Q | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | A | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | J | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | K | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | Q | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | A | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | J | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | K | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Q | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | A | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| 7 | J | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | K | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | Q | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | A | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 8 | J | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | K | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | Q | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 9 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 | A | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| 9 | J | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 9 | K | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 9 | Q | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| A | 10 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| A | 2 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| A | 3 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| A | 4 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| A | 5 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| A | 6 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| A | 7 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| A | 8 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| A | 9 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| A | A | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| A | J | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| A | K | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| A | Q | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| J | 10 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| J | 2 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| J | 3 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| J | 4 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| J | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| J | 6 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| J | 7 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| J | 8 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| J | 9 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| J | A | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| J | J | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| J | K | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| J | Q | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| K | 10 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| K | 2 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| K | 3 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| K | 4 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| K | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| K | 6 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| K | 7 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| K | 8 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| K | 9 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| K | A | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| K | J | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| K | K | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| K | Q | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Q | 10 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Q | 2 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| Q | 3 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| Q | 4 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| Q | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| Q | 6 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| Q | 7 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| Q | 8 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Q | 9 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Q | A | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Q | J | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Q | K | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Q | Q | 10 | 10 | 20 |
cuales <- filter(casos, suma >= 15)
cuantas <- nrow(cuales)
paste("El número de casos probable es que la suma sea igual o superior 15 es: ", cuantas)
## [1] "El número de casos probable es que la suma sea igual o superior 15 es: 87"
prob <- cuantas / n * 100
paste("La probabilidad es ", round(prob,2), "%")
## [1] "La probabilidad es 51.48 %"
casos <- data.frame(permutations(13,2,baraja, repeats.allowed = TRUE))
names(casos) <- c("C1", "C2")
kable(casos)
| C1 | C2 |
|---|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 |
| 10 | A |
| 10 | J |
| 10 | K |
| 10 | Q |
| 2 | 10 |
| 2 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 |
| 2 | A |
| 2 | J |
| 2 | K |
| 2 | Q |
| 3 | 10 |
| 3 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 |
| 3 | A |
| 3 | J |
| 3 | K |
| 3 | Q |
| 4 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 |
| 4 | A |
| 4 | J |
| 4 | K |
| 4 | Q |
| 5 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 |
| 5 | A |
| 5 | J |
| 5 | K |
| 5 | Q |
| 6 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 |
| 6 | A |
| 6 | J |
| 6 | K |
| 6 | Q |
| 7 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 |
| 7 | A |
| 7 | J |
| 7 | K |
| 7 | Q |
| 8 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 |
| 8 | A |
| 8 | J |
| 8 | K |
| 8 | Q |
| 9 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 |
| 9 | A |
| 9 | J |
| 9 | K |
| 9 | Q |
| A | 10 |
| A | 2 |
| A | 3 |
| A | 4 |
| A | 5 |
| A | 6 |
| A | 7 |
| A | 8 |
| A | 9 |
| A | A |
| A | J |
| A | K |
| A | Q |
| J | 10 |
| J | 2 |
| J | 3 |
| J | 4 |
| J | 5 |
| J | 6 |
| J | 7 |
| J | 8 |
| J | 9 |
| J | A |
| J | J |
| J | K |
| J | Q |
| K | 10 |
| K | 2 |
| K | 3 |
| K | 4 |
| K | 5 |
| K | 6 |
| K | 7 |
| K | 8 |
| K | 9 |
| K | A |
| K | J |
| K | K |
| K | Q |
| Q | 10 |
| Q | 2 |
| Q | 3 |
| Q | 4 |
| Q | 5 |
| Q | 6 |
| Q | 7 |
| Q | 8 |
| Q | 9 |
| Q | A |
| Q | J |
| Q | K |
| Q | Q |
n <- nrow(casos) # El número de opciones
n # Recordar fórmula de permutaciones
## [1] 169
casos <- casos %>%
mutate(valor1 = ifelse (C1 == "A", 11,
ifelse(C1 =="J" | C1 == "Q" | C1 == "K",
10,as.numeric(C1))))
## Warning: Problem with `mutate()` input `valor1`.
## i NAs introducidos por coerción
## i Input `valor1` is `ifelse(...)`.
## Warning in ifelse(C1 == "J" | C1 == "Q" | C1 == "K", 10, as.numeric(C1)): NAs
## introducidos por coerción
casos <- casos %>%
mutate(valor2 = ifelse (C2 == "A", 11,
ifelse(C2 =="J" | C2 == "Q" | C2 == "K",
10,as.numeric(C2))))
## Warning: Problem with `mutate()` input `valor2`.
## i NAs introducidos por coerción
## i Input `valor2` is `ifelse(...)`.
## Warning in ifelse(C2 == "J" | C2 == "Q" | C2 == "K", 10, as.numeric(C2)): NAs
## introducidos por coerción
casos <- casos %>%
mutate(suma = valor1 + valor2)
kable(casos)
| C1 | C2 | valor1 | valor2 | suma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 10 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 10 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| 10 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| 10 | A | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| 10 | J | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| 10 | K | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| 10 | Q | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | A | 2 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | J | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | K | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Q | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 13 |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| 3 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | A | 3 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | J | 3 | 10 | 13 |
| 3 | K | 3 | 10 | 13 |
| 3 | Q | 3 | 10 | 13 |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | A | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | J | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | K | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | Q | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | A | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | J | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | K | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | Q | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | A | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | J | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | K | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Q | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | A | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| 7 | J | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | K | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | Q | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | A | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 8 | J | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | K | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | Q | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 9 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 | A | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| 9 | J | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 9 | K | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 9 | Q | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| A | 10 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| A | 2 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| A | 3 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| A | 4 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| A | 5 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| A | 6 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| A | 7 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| A | 8 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| A | 9 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| A | A | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| A | J | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| A | K | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| A | Q | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| J | 10 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| J | 2 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| J | 3 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| J | 4 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| J | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| J | 6 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| J | 7 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| J | 8 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| J | 9 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| J | A | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| J | J | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| J | K | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| J | Q | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| K | 10 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| K | 2 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| K | 3 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| K | 4 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| K | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| K | 6 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| K | 7 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| K | 8 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| K | 9 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| K | A | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| K | J | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| K | K | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| K | Q | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Q | 10 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Q | 2 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| Q | 3 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| Q | 4 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| Q | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| Q | 6 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| Q | 7 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| Q | 8 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Q | 9 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Q | A | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Q | J | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Q | K | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Q | Q | 10 | 10 | 20 |
cuales <- filter(casos, suma == 20)
cuantas <- nrow(cuales)
paste("El número de casos probable es que la suma sea 20 es: ", cuantas)
## [1] "El número de casos probable es que la suma sea 20 es: 18"
prob <- cuantas / n * 100
paste("La probabilidad es ", round(prob,2), "%")
## [1] "La probabilidad es 10.65 %"
cuales <- filter(casos, suma <= 10)
cuantas <- nrow(cuales)
paste("El número de casos probable para suma menor o igual a 10 es:", cuantas)
## [1] "El número de casos probable para suma menor o igual a 10 es: 28"
prob <- cuantas / n * 100
paste("La probabilidad es ", round(prob,2), "%")
## [1] "La probabilidad es 16.57 %"
cuales <- filter(casos, suma < 5)
cuantas <- nrow(cuales)
paste("El número de casos probable para suma menor a 5 es:", cuantas)
## [1] "El número de casos probable para suma menor a 5 es: 1"
prob <- cuantas / n * 100
paste("La probabilidad es ", round(prob,2), "%")
## [1] "La probabilidad es 0.59 %"
casos %>%
arrange(desc(suma) )
## C1 C2 valor1 valor2 suma
## 1 A A 11 11 22
## 2 10 A 10 11 21
## 3 A 10 11 10 21
## 4 A J 11 10 21
## 5 A K 11 10 21
## 6 A Q 11 10 21
## 7 J A 10 11 21
## 8 K A 10 11 21
## 9 Q A 10 11 21
## 10 10 10 10 10 20
## 11 10 J 10 10 20
## 12 10 K 10 10 20
## 13 10 Q 10 10 20
## 14 9 A 9 11 20
## 15 A 9 11 9 20
## 16 J 10 10 10 20
## 17 J J 10 10 20
## 18 J K 10 10 20
## 19 J Q 10 10 20
## 20 K 10 10 10 20
## 21 K J 10 10 20
## 22 K K 10 10 20
## 23 K Q 10 10 20
## 24 Q 10 10 10 20
## 25 Q J 10 10 20
## 26 Q K 10 10 20
## 27 Q Q 10 10 20
## 28 10 9 10 9 19
## 29 8 A 8 11 19
## 30 9 10 9 10 19
## 31 9 J 9 10 19
## 32 9 K 9 10 19
## 33 9 Q 9 10 19
## 34 A 8 11 8 19
## 35 J 9 10 9 19
## 36 K 9 10 9 19
## 37 Q 9 10 9 19
## 38 10 8 10 8 18
## 39 7 A 7 11 18
## 40 8 10 8 10 18
## 41 8 J 8 10 18
## 42 8 K 8 10 18
## 43 8 Q 8 10 18
## 44 9 9 9 9 18
## 45 A 7 11 7 18
## 46 J 8 10 8 18
## 47 K 8 10 8 18
## 48 Q 8 10 8 18
## 49 10 7 10 7 17
## 50 6 A 6 11 17
## 51 7 10 7 10 17
## 52 7 J 7 10 17
## 53 7 K 7 10 17
## 54 7 Q 7 10 17
## 55 8 9 8 9 17
## 56 9 8 9 8 17
## 57 A 6 11 6 17
## 58 J 7 10 7 17
## 59 K 7 10 7 17
## 60 Q 7 10 7 17
## 61 10 6 10 6 16
## 62 5 A 5 11 16
## 63 6 10 6 10 16
## 64 6 J 6 10 16
## 65 6 K 6 10 16
## 66 6 Q 6 10 16
## 67 7 9 7 9 16
## 68 8 8 8 8 16
## 69 9 7 9 7 16
## 70 A 5 11 5 16
## 71 J 6 10 6 16
## 72 K 6 10 6 16
## 73 Q 6 10 6 16
## 74 10 5 10 5 15
## 75 4 A 4 11 15
## 76 5 10 5 10 15
## 77 5 J 5 10 15
## 78 5 K 5 10 15
## 79 5 Q 5 10 15
## 80 6 9 6 9 15
## 81 7 8 7 8 15
## 82 8 7 8 7 15
## 83 9 6 9 6 15
## 84 A 4 11 4 15
## 85 J 5 10 5 15
## 86 K 5 10 5 15
## 87 Q 5 10 5 15
## 88 10 4 10 4 14
## 89 3 A 3 11 14
## 90 4 10 4 10 14
## 91 4 J 4 10 14
## 92 4 K 4 10 14
## 93 4 Q 4 10 14
## 94 5 9 5 9 14
## 95 6 8 6 8 14
## 96 7 7 7 7 14
## 97 8 6 8 6 14
## 98 9 5 9 5 14
## 99 A 3 11 3 14
## 100 J 4 10 4 14
## 101 K 4 10 4 14
## 102 Q 4 10 4 14
## 103 10 3 10 3 13
## 104 2 A 2 11 13
## 105 3 10 3 10 13
## 106 3 J 3 10 13
## 107 3 K 3 10 13
## 108 3 Q 3 10 13
## 109 4 9 4 9 13
## 110 5 8 5 8 13
## 111 6 7 6 7 13
## 112 7 6 7 6 13
## 113 8 5 8 5 13
## 114 9 4 9 4 13
## 115 A 2 11 2 13
## 116 J 3 10 3 13
## 117 K 3 10 3 13
## 118 Q 3 10 3 13
## 119 10 2 10 2 12
## 120 2 10 2 10 12
## 121 2 J 2 10 12
## 122 2 K 2 10 12
## 123 2 Q 2 10 12
## 124 3 9 3 9 12
## 125 4 8 4 8 12
## 126 5 7 5 7 12
## 127 6 6 6 6 12
## 128 7 5 7 5 12
## 129 8 4 8 4 12
## 130 9 3 9 3 12
## 131 J 2 10 2 12
## 132 K 2 10 2 12
## 133 Q 2 10 2 12
## 134 2 9 2 9 11
## 135 3 8 3 8 11
## 136 4 7 4 7 11
## 137 5 6 5 6 11
## 138 6 5 6 5 11
## 139 7 4 7 4 11
## 140 8 3 8 3 11
## 141 9 2 9 2 11
## 142 2 8 2 8 10
## 143 3 7 3 7 10
## 144 4 6 4 6 10
## 145 5 5 5 5 10
## 146 6 4 6 4 10
## 147 7 3 7 3 10
## 148 8 2 8 2 10
## 149 2 7 2 7 9
## 150 3 6 3 6 9
## 151 4 5 4 5 9
## 152 5 4 5 4 9
## 153 6 3 6 3 9
## 154 7 2 7 2 9
## 155 2 6 2 6 8
## 156 3 5 3 5 8
## 157 4 4 4 4 8
## 158 5 3 5 3 8
## 159 6 2 6 2 8
## 160 2 5 2 5 7
## 161 3 4 3 4 7
## 162 4 3 4 3 7
## 163 5 2 5 2 7
## 164 2 4 2 4 6
## 165 3 3 3 3 6
## 166 4 2 4 2 6
## 167 2 3 2 3 5
## 168 3 2 3 2 5
## 169 2 2 2 2 4
En este caso se analisan 52 cartas de la Baraja inglesa simulando el juego de Black Jack analisando las distintas probabilidades que se tienen a la hora de sacar alguna carta, las permutaciones que se tienen con el cojunto de las cartas la probabilidad que una suma especifia entre dos cartas sea la esperda en conclusion se analisa la probabilidad que se tienen en los distintos casos del juego Black Jack sindo el objetivo de este juego sumar 21 puntos.