Ending day prediction of nCoV2019
29/08/2020
source('./predict.R')
## [1] "2020-08-28"
## country cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead inc_r d_rate d_pm
## 1 Peru 621997 429662 28277 1.41 4.55 858
## 2 Belgium 83500 18360 9884 0.57 11.84 853
## 3 Spain 451792 196958 28996 5.85 6.42 620
## 4 United Kingdom 330368 1918 41477 0.46 12.55 611
## 5 Italy 263949 206554 35463 0.54 13.44 587
## 6 Chile 404102 377922 11072 0.43 2.74 579
## 7 Sweden 83958 4971 5821 -3.58 6.93 576
## 8 Brazil 3764493 2947250 118726 1.14 3.15 559
## 9 United States 6049462 3348824 184927 0.79 3.06 559
## 10 Mexico 579914 400479 62594 1.05 10.79 485
## 11 France 259698 85984 30576 2.41 11.77 468
## 12 Panama 89982 63996 1948 1.01 2.16 451
## 13 Bolivia 113129 52521 4791 0.92 4.23 410
## 14 Ecuador 111219 95202 6471 0.61 5.82 367
## 15 Colombia 582022 417793 18468 1.70 3.17 363
## 16 Netherlands 69131 322 6220 1.49 9.00 363
## 17 Ireland 28453 23364 1777 0.32 6.25 360
## 18 Armenia 43451 37264 869 0.42 2.00 293
## 19 Iran 369911 318270 21249 0.58 5.74 253
## 20 Moldova 35546 24156 977 1.61 2.75 242
## 21 Canada 126848 112825 9102 0.34 7.18 241
## 22 Switzerland 41346 34800 2004 0.83 4.85 232
## 23 South Africa 618286 531338 13628 0.42 2.20 230
## 24 Honduras 57669 9586 1803 1.80 3.13 182
## 25 Romania 84468 37056 3507 1.59 4.15 182
## 26 Argentina 380292 280165 8129 2.73 2.14 180
## 27 Bosnia and Herzegovina 19214 12733 591 1.55 3.08 180
## 28 Portugal 57074 41556 1815 1.42 3.18 178
## 29 Iraq 219435 161009 6740 1.69 3.07 168
## 30 Kyrgyzstan 43587 37726 1057 0.29 2.43 162
## 31 Dominican Republic 92964 64347 1630 0.44 1.75 150
## 32 Guatemala 71856 59641 2685 1.61 3.74 150
## 33 Puerto Rico 31988 2267 424 1.93 1.33 148
## 34 Oman 85005 79608 650 0.22 0.76 127
## 35 Kuwait 83578 75320 525 1.59 0.63 123
## 36 Russia 980405 798466 16914 0.49 1.73 116
## 37 Germany 240762 214006 9457 0.65 3.93 113
## 38 Bahrain 50756 47370 189 0.72 0.37 111
## 39 Saudi Arabia 312924 287403 3813 0.67 1.22 110
## 40 Denmark 17125 15135 624 0.96 3.64 108
## 41 El Salvador 25415 13570 702 0.52 2.76 108
## 42 Israel 111493 90158 891 2.25 0.80 103
## 43 Bulgaria 15908 11044 594 1.00 3.73 85
## 44 Austria 26590 22594 733 0.87 2.76 81
## 45 Kazakhstan 105408 95253 1523 0.16 1.44 81
## 46 Serbia 31207 29802 709 0.75 2.27 81
## 47 Costa Rica 37292 14471 397 2.71 1.06 78
## 48 Turkey 263998 240792 6209 0.57 2.35 74
## 49 Belarus 71346 69887 667 0.52 0.93 71
## 50 Qatar 118196 115017 196 0.18 0.17 68
## 51 Ukraine 114497 55083 2451 2.18 2.14 56
## 52 Poland 65480 44785 2018 1.22 3.08 53
## 53 Azerbaijan 35844 33364 524 0.38 1.46 52
## 54 Egypt 98062 69612 5342 0.24 5.45 52
## 55 Norway 10542 9348 264 0.36 2.50 49
## 56 India 3403555 2596273 61857 2.67 1.82 45
## 57 Czech Republic 23300 17190 418 1.52 1.79 39
## 58 United Arab Emirates 68901 59861 379 0.57 0.55 38
## 59 Paraguay 15290 8348 265 2.81 1.73 37
## 60 Afghanistan 38140 29059 1402 0.03 3.68 36
## 61 Algeria 43016 30157 1475 0.93 3.43 34
## 62 Libya 12629 1310 226 2.89 1.79 33
## 63 Philippines 209544 134474 3325 1.93 1.59 30
## 64 Pakistan 295053 279937 6283 0.14 2.13 28
## 65 Morocco 57085 41901 1011 2.19 1.77 27
## 66 Indonesia 165887 120900 7169 1.84 4.32 26
## 67 Bangladesh 306794 196836 4174 0.73 1.36 25
## 68 Australia 25448 20633 583 0.50 2.29 23
## 69 Lebanon 14937 4133 146 4.84 0.98 21
## 70 Sudan 13045 6594 823 0.00 6.31 19
## 71 Senegal 13384 9091 279 1.50 2.08 17
## 72 Cameroon 19142 17651 411 0.89 2.15 15
## 73 Zambia 11779 10945 283 3.54 2.40 15
## 74 Venezuela 42898 34147 358 2.22 0.83 13
## 75 Kenya 33389 19368 567 1.13 1.70 11
## 76 Japan 66638 52823 1251 1.33 1.88 10
## 77 Ghana 43841 42246 270 0.16 0.62 9
## 78 Uzbekistan 40720 37873 302 0.95 0.74 9
## 79 Madagascar 14696 13709 187 0.98 1.27 7
## 80 Nepal 36456 20242 195 2.61 0.53 7
## 81 Ethiopia 46407 16829 745 2.62 1.61 6
## 82 South Korea 19077 14551 316 1.98 1.66 6
## 83 Nigeria 53317 40726 1011 0.56 1.90 5
## 84 Singapore 56666 55139 27 0.17 0.05 5
## 85 Côte d'Ivoire 17702 16139 115 0.56 0.65 4
## 86 China 90314 84874 4725 0.02 5.23 3
## 87 Republika Severna Makedonija 14004 10722 585 0.65 4.18 NA
## 88 Palestinian Territory 21251 14291 143 2.78 0.67 NA
## [1] "Pakistan leading 1 cum_confirm == 0 trimed"
## [1] "Provinces added more than 0 cases in last 1-day:"
## time country province cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead added
## 1 2020-08-28 China Hong Kong 4768 4249 84 13
## 2 2020-08-28 China Sichuan 648 620 3 4
## 3 2020-08-28 China Shanghai 891 826 7 3
## 4 2020-08-28 China Fujian 376 366 1 1
## 5 2020-08-28 China Guangdong 1735 1715 8 1