Ending day prediction of nCoV2019
12/06/2020
source('./predict.R')
## [1] "2020-06-11"
## country cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead inc_rate death_rate
## 1 France 155136 71832 29319 0.35 18.90
## 2 Belgium 59711 16453 9636 0.24 16.14
## 3 Italy 235763 169939 34114 0.09 14.47
## 4 United Kingdom 291409 1918 41279 0.78 14.17
## 5 Netherlands 48251 322 6044 0.34 12.53
## 6 Mexico 129184 93930 15357 3.93 11.89
## 7 Sweden 48288 4971 4814 3.15 9.97
## 8 Spain 289360 196958 27136 0.11 9.38
## 9 Ecuador 44440 21862 3720 1.19 8.37
## 10 Canada 97114 56630 7960 0.48 8.20
## 11 Algeria 10484 7074 732 0.98 6.98
## 12 Ireland 25231 22698 1695 0.06 6.72
## 13 Romania 21182 15283 1369 1.13 6.46
## 14 Switzerland 31044 28700 1937 0.11 6.24
## 15 Indonesia 35295 12636 2000 2.85 5.67
## 16 United States 2068139 808556 115166 1.03 5.57
## 17 China 84653 79892 4645 0.01 5.49
## 18 Japan 17347 15626 922 0.24 5.32
## 19 Brazil 775581 396692 39803 4.51 5.13
## 20 Denmark 12216 11104 593 0.12 4.85
## 21 Germany 187685 172983 8942 0.23 4.76
## 22 Iran 180156 142663 8584 1.25 4.76
## 23 Poland 28201 13696 1215 1.93 4.31
## 24 Philippines 24175 5165 1036 1.87 4.29
## 25 Portugal 35910 22002 1504 0.87 4.19
## 26 Austria 17034 15949 674 0.17 3.96
## 27 Egypt 38284 10289 1342 3.95 3.51
## 28 Moldova 10727 6072 375 3.93 3.50
## 29 Bolivia 15281 2261 512 4.35 3.35
## 30 Colombia 43682 17333 1433 3.81 3.28
## 31 Ukraine 29070 13141 854 2.43 2.94
## 32 Argentina 25987 8332 741 4.95 2.85
## 33 Peru 208823 98031 5903 2.50 2.83
## 34 India 289936 142954 8143 4.83 2.81
## 35 Iraq 15414 6214 426 0.00 2.76
## 36 Nigeria 13873 4351 383 3.04 2.76
## 37 Turkey 173036 146839 4746 0.54 2.74
## 38 Dominican Republic 20808 12318 550 1.93 2.64
## 39 South Korea 11947 10654 276 0.38 2.31
## 40 Panama 17889 10977 413 3.81 2.31
## 41 South Africa 55421 31505 1210 4.59 2.18
## 42 Serbia 12102 11348 252 0.59 2.08
## 43 Pakistan 119536 38391 2356 5.13 1.97
## 44 Afghanistan 22890 3326 426 3.38 1.86
## 45 Armenia 14669 5466 245 4.01 1.67
## 46 Chile 148496 95631 2475 4.02 1.67
## 47 Israel 18461 15214 300 1.06 1.63
## 48 Bangladesh 78052 16747 1049 4.26 1.34
## 49 Russia 502436 261150 6532 1.78 1.30
## 50 Kuwait 34432 24137 279 1.80 0.81
## 51 Saudi Arabia 116021 80019 857 3.32 0.74
## 52 United Arab Emirates 40986 25234 286 2.71 0.70
## 53 Belarus 51816 26643 293 1.47 0.57
## 54 Ghana 10358 3824 48 1.54 0.46
## 55 Kazakhstan 13558 8345 61 1.79 0.45
## 56 Oman 19954 6623 89 5.65 0.45
## 57 Bahrain 16667 11487 32 2.88 0.19
## 58 Qatar 75071 51331 69 2.01 0.09
## 59 Singapore 39387 26532 25 1.08 0.06
## [1] "Pakistan leading 1 cum_confirm == 0 trimed"
## [1] "Provinces added more than 0 cases in last 1-day:"
## time country province cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead added
## 1 2020-06-11 China Shanghai 684 666 7 6
## 2 2020-06-11 China Guangdong 1607 1588 8 3
## 3 2020-06-11 China Beijing 595 584 9 1
## 4 2020-06-11 China Tianjin 195 189 3 1
## 5 2020-06-11 China Fujian 360 356 1 1