As of 23 July 2020 the inshore run is 55,975,345 of which 37,785,892 is harvest, 18,189,453 is escapement and an additional 0 fish estimated to be between the fleet and the counting towers/sonar (R-square for four day late projection = 1; Fig. 1). The 2020 pre-season forecast for Bristol Bay predicts a total run of 48,950,000 sockeye.
The current projection for seven days late is 61,679,027 sockeye.
The current projection for six days late is 60,369,598 sockeye.
The current projection for five days late is 59,288,001 sockeye.
The current projection for four days late is 58,381,294 sockeye.
The current projection for three days late is 57,731,784 sockeye.
The current projection for two days late is 57,277,140 sockeye.
The current projection for one day late is 56,955,843 sockeye.
Figure 1. Total run (y-axis) regressed against run to date (x-axis). Red line indicates current run to date.
Figure 2. Total Run to date (black line) and forecasted total run given the minimum and maximum timing range used in this set of projections (red lines).
[Note: Hovering your mouse over data points will show data and year.]