Ending Day Prediction of nCoV2019

source('./predict.R')

##                 country cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead death_rate
## 1         United States      740151    68456    39193     5.2953
## 2                 Spain      195944    77357    20639    10.5331
## 3                 Italy      175925    44927    23227    13.2028
## 4                France      152978    36587    19349    12.6482
## 5               Germany      145007    98612     4614     3.1819
## 6        United Kingdom      120067     1918    16060    13.3759
## 7                 China       84237    77895     4642     5.5106
## 8                Turkey       82329    10453     1890     2.2957
## 9                  Iran       82211    57023     5118     6.2254
## 10               Russia       42853     3291      361     0.8424
## 11              Belgium       38496     8757     5683    14.7626
## 12               Brazil       36925    14026     2372     6.4238
## 13               Canada       33383    11207     1470     4.4034
## 14          Netherlands       32655      350     3684    11.2816
## 15          Switzerland       27740    17100     1368     4.9315
## 16             Portugal       20206      610      714     3.5336
## 17                India       16365     2466      521     3.1836
## 18              Ireland       14758       77      571     3.8691
## 19              Austria       14696    10501      443     3.0144
## 20                 Peru       14420     6684      348     2.4133
## 21               Sweden       14385      550     1540    10.7056
## 22               Israel       13362     3564      171     1.2797
## 23                Japan       10806     1069      237     2.1932
## 24          South Korea       10661     8042      234     2.1949
## 25                Chile        9730     4035      126     1.2950
## 26         Saudi Arabia        9362     1398       97     1.0361
## 27               Poland        9082     1040      350     3.8538
## 28              Ecuador        9022     1008      456     5.0543
## 29              Romania        8746     1892      434     4.9623
## 30             Pakistan        7993     1868      159     1.9892
## 31               Mexico        7497     2125      650     8.6701
## 32              Denmark        7437     4031      346     4.6524
## 33               Norway        7069       32      164     2.3200
## 34 United Arab Emirates        6781     1286       41     0.6046
## 35       Czech Republic        6657     1235      181     2.7189
## 36            Australia        6606     4230       70     1.0596
## 37            Singapore        6588      740       11     0.1670
## 38            Indonesia        6575      686      582     8.8517
## 39               Serbia        6318      753      122     1.9310
## 40          Philippines        6259      572      409     6.5346
## 41              Ukraine        5449      347      141     2.5876
## 42                Qatar        5448      518        8     0.1468
## 43             Malaysia        5389     3197       89     1.6515

## [1] "leading cum_confirm == 0 trimed"

## [1] "Province added cases greater than 10 against 7 days ago"
##         time country     province cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead suspected added
## 1 2020-04-19   China        Hubei       68128    63511     4512         0   325
## 2 2020-04-19   China Heilongjiang         905      473       13         0   165
## 3 2020-04-19   China       Taiwan         420      189        6         0    32
## 4 2020-04-19   China    Guangdong        1581     1494        8         0    29
## 5 2020-04-19   China       Shanxi         197      135        0         0    24
## 6 2020-04-19   China    Hong Kong        1025      602        4         0    21
## 7 2020-04-19   China     Shanghai         638      521        7         0    20