Since the lifetime of each bulb follows an exponential distribution, and the expected lifetime is 1000 hours, we set mu = 1000. For an exponential distribution, the intensity paarmeter lambda = 1/mu. Therefore lambda = 1/1000 = 0.0001
The expected time for the first of the bulbs to burn out would the expected value of the minimum lifetime (first one to burn out means the least lifetime amongst all the 100 bulbs). This minimum lifetime also follows an exponential distribution.
Denoting the minimum lifetime as M, we have lambdaM = 1/sum[(lambda1)+(lambda2)+…….(lambda100)] lambdaM = 1/(100/1000) = 1/(1/10) = 10 Therefore expected value of minimum lifetime for 100 bulbs = 10 hours.
E[M] = mu/number of bulbs = 1000/100 = 10
Chebychev’s inequality states:
\[P(|X-\mu|\ge\epsilon)\le(\sigma^2)/\epsilon\]
Setting \(\epsilon\)=2, we have: \[P(|X-10|\ge2)\le(100/3)/2\] So the upper bound is 100/6 = 50/3
Setting ??=5, we have: \[P(|X-10|\ge5)\le(100/3)/5\] So the upper bound is 100/15 = 20/3
Setting ??=9, we have: \[P(|X-10|\ge9)\le(100/3)/9\] So the upper bound is 100/27
Setting ??=20, we have: \[P(|X-10|\ge20)\le(100/3)/20\] So the upper bound is 100/60 = 5/3