This Week Expected Wins (How you should’ve done this week)

final18[order(-final18[,1]),]
        Wins Losses Ties
Waldron    7      2    1
Josiah     6      3    1
Justin     5      4    1
Howell     5      4    1
Erock      5      4    1
Clark      4      4    2
Nic        4      5    1
Rcow       1      9    0
final19[order(-final19[,1]),]
        Wins Losses Ties
Justin     9      1    0
Howell     6      4    0
Waldron    5      4    1
Erock      5      4    1
Clark      4      6    0
Rcow       4      6    0
Nic        4      6    0
Josiah     2      7    1
final20[order(-final20[,1]),]
        Wins Losses Ties
Justin     8      2    0
Josiah     7      2    1
Howell     6      4    0
Erock      6      4    0
Clark      4      5    1
Rcow       3      6    1
Nic        3      7    0
Waldron    1      8    1

Expected winning percentage gives a win if you finish in the top half of the league in that category that week and a loss for a bottom half finish. If there is a tie for 4th, a tie is awarded (there can be multiple ties).

The below table is sorted by ‘Expected Winning %’ which is what your winning percentage should be based on how you did against the field each week.

Expected.Wins Expected.Losses Expected.Ties Expected.% Actual.Wins Actual.Losses Actual.Ties Actual.% Winning.Difference
Waldron 108 76 16 0.5800 88 95 17 0.4825 -0.0975
Justin 110 83 7 0.5675 109 85 6 0.5600 -0.0075
Josiah 95 90 15 0.5125 100 92 8 0.5200 0.0075
Erock 90 94 16 0.4900 96 94 10 0.5050 0.0150
Howell 95 100 5 0.4875 100 95 5 0.5125 0.0250
Nic 91 96 13 0.4875 95 96 9 0.4975 0.0100
Clark 81 99 20 0.4550 90 100 10 0.4750 0.0200
Rcow 81 110 9 0.4275 86 107 7 0.4475 0.0200

The below table is sorted by ‘Winning % Difference’ which is your ‘Actual Winning %’ minus your ‘Expected Winning %’.

A negative ‘Winning % Difference’ means your getting unlucky, a positive ‘Winning % Difference’ means you’re getting lucky.

(Sorted Unlucky to lucky.)

Expected.Wins Expected.Losses Expected.Ties Expected.% Actual.Wins Actual.Losses Actual.Ties Actual.% Winning.Difference
Waldron 108 76 16 0.5800 88 95 17 0.4825 -0.0975
Justin 110 83 7 0.5675 109 85 6 0.5600 -0.0075
Josiah 95 90 15 0.5125 100 92 8 0.5200 0.0075
Nic 91 96 13 0.4875 95 96 9 0.4975 0.0100
Erock 90 94 16 0.4900 96 94 10 0.5050 0.0150
Clark 81 99 20 0.4550 90 100 10 0.4750 0.0200
Rcow 81 110 9 0.4275 86 107 7 0.4475 0.0200
Howell 95 100 5 0.4875 100 95 5 0.5125 0.0250