Regional institutional change by design?

A comparative analysis of Poland's special economic zones administrations

Dr. Camilla Jensen (Roskilde University), Dr. Tomasz Dorozynksi (University of Lodz) and Professor Janusz Swierkocki (University of Lodz)
July 3, 2019

Paper presented at the International Panel Data Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, 4-5 July, 2019

Abstract (keywords)

*Evaluating regional policy

*Special economic zones

*Policy design (supply-led, demand-led)

*In this paper focus on comparative performance of Zone Management Companies (ZMCs)

*Research question: how can you use SEZ policy to build viable clusters?

*Two-level analysis (data at ZMC level, data at gmina=commune level)

*This presentation focuses on the gmina level and economic model based part of the analysis

Special Economic Zones in Poland

Why is this policy interesting to evaluate?

The Polish SEZ policy concerns one of the largest scale public policy intervention designs in a transition and employment context. Especially the sudden growth in the reach and impact of the policy from being supply- to demand-led (from 2008 onwards) makes it very interesting to study. There are few other similar demand-led schemes that have been implemented so far.

Compared for example to similar public intervention policies in France and the US, this social experiment has barely been studied and evaluated in the international literature and by 'outsider' researchers or international teams of researchers.

The tax policy competition aspect of SEZs has barely been studied at all in the literature, neither in a national/unitary or federalist state perspective nor in the EU perspective.

UNCTAD reports in the WIR 2019 the widespread popularity of the policy - e.g. there are now more than 5,400 SEZs in the world and we know very little about their implications for public policy!

Comparative performance of the ZMCs

Results for the ZMC level

Econometric methodology

One equation (based on Puga,1999) for the intensive margin of firms

Another equation for the extensive margin of firms

Results for the Gmina + SEZ Subzones level I

Results for the Gmina + SEZ Subzones level II

Main findings - conclusions

Exhaustive analysis at ZMC level - the following stand out as the exception: Walbrzych (positive), Legnica (positive), Lodz (Positive), Krakow (negative).

Main finding: most ZMCs attract and grow firms on intensive margin, but have negative impact on extensive margin.

This is more true for ZMCs that stand out with negative deviation and (often) less true for those that stand out with positive deviation.

Recommendations for public policy: implications for growing of margins of firms may be important for the long run viability of this type of intervention.

The Future of the Policy / the ZMCs

The zones are now de facto a 'third' factor in the regional administration of Poland!!

https://www.paih.gov.pl/why_poland/Polish_Investment_Zone