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Niel Schrage
4/11/2019
Question 1
| Voting Intention for 3rd Congressional District in Iowa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voting Intention | Democrat | Republican | Undecided | |
| Already voted | 58% | 31% | 7% | |
| Almost certain | 40% | 45% | 14% | |
| Very likely | 34% | 47% | 11% | |
| Somewhat likely | 20% | 56% | 19% | |
| Not very likely | — | 100% | — | |
| Not at all likely | 53% | — | 26% | |
| Source: New York Times Upshot/Siena College 2018 live polls | ||||
Question 2
The total number of completed interviews was 96.
The total number of Senate polls was 5.
The total number of House polls was 90.
The total number of unique states in which a poll was conducted was 27.
The total number of unique states in which a poll was conducted for a Senate race was 5.
The total number of unique House districts which were polled was 60.
The number of House districts which were polled in more than one wave was 30.
Question 3
| Democratic Advantage Falling Before Midterms | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change greater than +/- 7% | ||||
| District | Poll 1 | Poll 2 | Change | |
| VA-02 | 36.96% | 46.85% | 9.89% | |
| NM-02 | 51.73% | 60.53% | 8.80% | |
| TX-23 | 34.42% | 42.97% | 8.55% | |
| IL-06 | 45.30% | 53.50% | 8.20% | |
| PA-01 | 55.77% | 48.47% | -7.29% | |
| IA-01 | 52.43% | 44.55% | -7.88% | |
| KS-02 | 32.38% | 23.64% | -8.74% | |
| FL-26 | 30.10% | 20.52% | -9.58% | |
| IL-14 | 51.02% | 39.39% | -11.62% | |
| WV-03 | 55.73% | 43.64% | -12.08% | |
| CA-25 | 57.42% | 45.32% | -12.10% | |
| OH-01 | 40.82% | 27.97% | -12.84% | |
| KY-06 | 48.96% | 35.55% | -13.41% | |
| IL-12 | 49.00% | 35.31% | -13.69% | |
| CO-06 | 39.86% | 26.11% | -13.75% | |
| MI-08 | 44.10% | 30.20% | -13.89% | |
| NC-09 | 30.44% | 16.50% | -13.93% | |
| CA-48 | 56.29% | 42.06% | -14.22% | |
| TX-32 | 44.71% | 29.31% | -15.40% | |
| MN-08 | 41.26% | 17.02% | -24.25% | |
| Source: New York Times Upshot/Siena College 2018 live polls | ||||
Question 4
