This Week Expected Wins (How you should’ve done this week)

final14[order(-final14[,1]),]
        Wins Losses Ties
Justin     8      2    0
Nic        8      2    0
Clark      6      2    2
Waldron    4      4    2
Howell     3      7    0
Erock      3      6    1
Rcow       3      7    0
Josiah     2      8    0

Expected winning percentage gives a win if you finish in the top half of the league in that category that week and a loss for a bottom half finish. If there is a tie for 4th, a tie is awarded (there can be multiple ties).

The below table is sorted by ‘Expected Winning %’ which is what your winning percentage should be based on how you did against the field each week.

Expected.Wins Expected.Losses Expected.Ties Expected.% Actual.Wins Actual.Losses Actual.Ties Actual.% Winning.Difference
Waldron 79 50 11 0.6036 58 71 11 0.4536 -0.1500
Josiah 69 60 11 0.5321 75 60 5 0.5536 0.0215
Justin 71 63 6 0.5286 72 65 3 0.5250 -0.0036
Nic 65 64 11 0.5036 69 67 4 0.5071 0.0035
Erock 62 66 12 0.4857 72 62 6 0.5357 0.0500
Clark 57 68 15 0.4607 65 68 7 0.4893 0.0286
Howell 61 76 3 0.4464 68 69 3 0.4964 0.0500
Rcow 58 74 8 0.4429 59 76 5 0.4393 -0.0036

The below table is sorted by ‘Winning % Difference’ which is your ‘Actual Winning %’ minus your ‘Expected Winning %’.

A negative ‘Winning % Difference’ means your getting unlucky, a positive ‘Winning % Difference’ means you’re getting lucky.

(Sorted Unlucky to lucky.)

Expected.Wins Expected.Losses Expected.Ties Expected.% Actual.Wins Actual.Losses Actual.Ties Actual.% Winning.Difference
Waldron 79 50 11 0.6036 58 71 11 0.4536 -0.1500
Rcow 58 74 8 0.4429 59 76 5 0.4393 -0.0036
Justin 71 63 6 0.5286 72 65 3 0.5250 -0.0036
Nic 65 64 11 0.5036 69 67 4 0.5071 0.0035
Josiah 69 60 11 0.5321 75 60 5 0.5536 0.0215
Clark 57 68 15 0.4607 65 68 7 0.4893 0.0286
Erock 62 66 12 0.4857 72 62 6 0.5357 0.0500
Howell 61 76 3 0.4464 68 69 3 0.4964 0.0500