1 Distribution of Votes Based on Race

Polling Results in North Carolina 9th Congressional District
Democrat Republican Undecided
White 33% 58% 6%
Black 86% 3% 8%
Hispanic 45% 48% 7%
Asian 37% 63% 0%
Other 49% 30% 20%
Data from The New York Times Upshot

2 Education vs Turnout Weights

Turnout weights measured likelihood to turnout to vote.

3 Race, Gender vs Voting Republican

The purpose of this plot is to study whether gender was a key factor of voting in the 9th District. However, it appears that while race playaed a great role, except for Hispanic women who were somewhat less likely to vote Republican than Hispanic men, other races showed insignificant gender-based difference.

This is interesting because it studies whether within the same racial background, gender could swing votes, but we find that it did not do so.

4 Partisanship (For Iowa 3rd)

Frequency of Combinations of Response and Party
Rows are Responses and Columns are Party IDs: Two Way Frequency Table
Other Democrat Republican
Undecided 60 9 9
Democrat 73 137 8
Republican 77 2 129
Data from the New York Times Upshot

5 Age Analysis for Iowa 3rd

Mean Age of Democrat and Republican Voters with Different Turnout Likelihoods
The Mean Age of Respondents of Different Turnout Likelihoods Who Preferred Each Party
Democrat Republican
Not at all likely 52.00 NA
Not very likely NA 37.75
Somewhat likely 52.67 48.70
Very likely 54.72 55.12
Almost certain 51.61 55.25
Already voted 55.43 61.23
Data from the New York Times Upshot

6 Race and Education Analysis for Iowa 3rd

DEM. REP. UND.
Nonwhite 46% 35% 20%
White, 4-Year College Grads 45% 40% 11%
White, No 4-Year College Degree 43% 44% 9%
Data from the New York Times Upshot

7 Minnesota 3rd – Swing Analysis