In August of 2012, news outlets ranging from the Washington Post to the Huffington Post ran a story about the rise of atheism in America. The source for the story was a poll that asked people, “Irrespective of whether you attend a place of worship or not, would you say you are a religious person, not a religious person or a convinced atheist?” This type of question, which asks people to classify themselves in one way or another, is common in polling and generates categorical data. In this lab we take a look at the atheism survey and explore what’s at play when making inference about population proportions using categorical data.

The survey

To access the press release for the poll, conducted by WIN-Gallup International, click on the following link:

https://github.com/jbryer/DATA606/blob/master/inst/labs/Lab6/more/Global_INDEX_of_Religiosity_and_Atheism_PR__6.pdf

Take a moment to review the report then address the following questions.

  1. In the first paragraph, several key findings are reported. Do these percentages appear to be sample statistics (derived from the data sample) or population parameters?

    These appear to be sample statistics.

  2. The title of the report is “Global Index of Religiosity and Atheism”. To generalize the report’s findings to the global human population, what must we assume about the sampling method? Does that seem like a reasonable assumption?

    We must assume that the sample was randomly drawn. At 50,000 respondents, the size is large enough but still less than 10% of the global population.

The data

Turn your attention to Table 6 (pages 15 and 16), which reports the sample size and response percentages for all 57 countries. While this is a useful format to summarize the data, we will base our analysis on the original data set of individual responses to the survey. Load this data set into R with the following command.

load("more/atheism.RData")
  1. What does each row of Table 6 correspond to? What does each row of atheism correspond to? Each row corresponds to the survey respondents for a given country. Each row of atheism gives the proportion of respondents from the total surveyed in that country, that identified themselves as convinced atheists.

To investigate the link between these two ways of organizing this data, take a look at the estimated proportion of atheists in the United States. Towards the bottom of Table 6, we see that this is 5%. We should be able to come to the same number using the atheism data.

  1. Using the command below, create a new dataframe called us12 that contains only the rows in atheism associated with respondents to the 2012 survey from the United States. Next, calculate the proportion of atheist responses. Does it agree with the percentage in Table 6? If not, why?
us12 <- subset(atheism, nationality == "United States" & year == "2012")
#us12

Inference on proportions

As was hinted at in Exercise 1, Table 6 provides statistics, that is, calculations made from the sample of 51,927 people. What we’d like, though, is insight into the population parameters. You answer the question, “What proportion of people in your sample reported being atheists?” with a statistic; while the question “What proportion of people on earth would report being atheists” is answered with an estimate of the parameter.

The inferential tools for estimating population proportion are analogous to those used for means in the last chapter: the confidence interval and the hypothesis test.

  1. Write out the conditions for inference to construct a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of atheists in the United States in 2012. Are you confident all conditions are met?

The conditions of inference are that the sample should be randomly drawn, and that there should be at least 10 yes (i.e. atheists) and 10 no (i.e. non-atheists) answers.

If the conditions for inference are reasonable, we can either calculate the standard error and construct the interval by hand, or allow the inference function to do it for us.

inference(us12$response, est = "proportion", type = "ci", method = "theoretical", 
          success = "atheist")
## Warning: package 'BHH2' was built under R version 3.5.3
## Single proportion -- success: atheist 
## Summary statistics:

## p_hat = 0.0499 ;  n = 1002 
## Check conditions: number of successes = 50 ; number of failures = 952 
## Standard error = 0.0069 
## 95 % Confidence interval = ( 0.0364 , 0.0634 )

Note that since the goal is to construct an interval estimate for a proportion, it’s necessary to specify what constitutes a “success”, which here is a response of "atheist".

Although formal confidence intervals and hypothesis tests don’t show up in the report, suggestions of inference appear at the bottom of page 7: “In general, the error margin for surveys of this kind is \(\pm\) 3-5% at 95% confidence”.

  1. Based on the R output, what is the margin of error for the estimate of the proportion of the proportion of atheists in US in 2012?

    Margin of error = 0.0634 - 0.0499 = 0.0135 Margin of error = 1.96 * sqrt((0.0499 X 0.9501)/1002)

  2. Using the inference function, calculate confidence intervals for the proportion of atheists in 2012 in two other countries of your choice, and report the associated margins of error. Be sure to note whether the conditions for inference are met. It may be helpful to create new data sets for each of the two countries first, and then use these data sets in the inference function to construct the confidence intervals.

in12 <- subset(atheism, nationality == "India" & year == "2012")
in12
##       nationality    response year
## 21654       India non-atheist 2012
## 21655       India non-atheist 2012
## 21656       India non-atheist 2012
## 21657       India non-atheist 2012
## 21658       India non-atheist 2012
## 21659       India non-atheist 2012
## 21660       India non-atheist 2012
## 21661       India non-atheist 2012
## 21662       India non-atheist 2012
## 21663       India     atheist 2012
## 21664       India non-atheist 2012
## 21665       India non-atheist 2012
## 21666       India non-atheist 2012
## 21667       India non-atheist 2012
## 21668       India non-atheist 2012
## 21669       India non-atheist 2012
## 21670       India non-atheist 2012
## 21671       India non-atheist 2012
## 21672       India non-atheist 2012
## 21673       India non-atheist 2012
## 21674       India non-atheist 2012
## 21675       India non-atheist 2012
## 21676       India non-atheist 2012
## 21677       India non-atheist 2012
## 21678       India non-atheist 2012
## 21679       India non-atheist 2012
## 21680       India non-atheist 2012
## 21681       India non-atheist 2012
## 21682       India non-atheist 2012
## 21683       India non-atheist 2012
## 21684       India non-atheist 2012
## 21685       India non-atheist 2012
## 21686       India non-atheist 2012
## 21687       India non-atheist 2012
## 21688       India non-atheist 2012
## 21689       India non-atheist 2012
## 21690       India non-atheist 2012
## 21691       India non-atheist 2012
## 21692       India non-atheist 2012
## 21693       India non-atheist 2012
## 21694       India non-atheist 2012
## 21695       India non-atheist 2012
## 21696       India non-atheist 2012
## 21697       India non-atheist 2012
## 21698       India non-atheist 2012
## 21699       India non-atheist 2012
## 21700       India non-atheist 2012
## 21701       India non-atheist 2012
## 21702       India non-atheist 2012
## 21703       India non-atheist 2012
## 21704       India non-atheist 2012
## 21705       India non-atheist 2012
## 21706       India non-atheist 2012
## 21707       India non-atheist 2012
## 21708       India non-atheist 2012
## 21709       India non-atheist 2012
## 21710       India non-atheist 2012
## 21711       India non-atheist 2012
## 21712       India non-atheist 2012
## 21713       India non-atheist 2012
## 21714       India non-atheist 2012
## 21715       India     atheist 2012
## 21716       India non-atheist 2012
## 21717       India non-atheist 2012
## 21718       India non-atheist 2012
## 21719       India non-atheist 2012
## 21720       India non-atheist 2012
## 21721       India     atheist 2012
## 21722       India     atheist 2012
## 21723       India non-atheist 2012
## 21724       India non-atheist 2012
## 21725       India non-atheist 2012
## 21726       India non-atheist 2012
## 21727       India non-atheist 2012
## 21728       India non-atheist 2012
## 21729       India non-atheist 2012
## 21730       India non-atheist 2012
## 21731       India non-atheist 2012
## 21732       India non-atheist 2012
## 21733       India non-atheist 2012
## 21734       India non-atheist 2012
## 21735       India non-atheist 2012
## 21736       India non-atheist 2012
## 21737       India non-atheist 2012
## 21738       India non-atheist 2012
## 21739       India non-atheist 2012
## 21740       India non-atheist 2012
## 21741       India non-atheist 2012
## 21742       India non-atheist 2012
## 21743       India non-atheist 2012
## 21744       India non-atheist 2012
## 21745       India non-atheist 2012
## 21746       India non-atheist 2012
## 21747       India non-atheist 2012
## 21748       India non-atheist 2012
## 21749       India non-atheist 2012
## 21750       India non-atheist 2012
## 21751       India non-atheist 2012
## 21752       India non-atheist 2012
## 21753       India non-atheist 2012
## 21754       India     atheist 2012
## 21755       India non-atheist 2012
## 21756       India non-atheist 2012
## 21757       India non-atheist 2012
## 21758       India non-atheist 2012
## 21759       India non-atheist 2012
## 21760       India non-atheist 2012
## 21761       India non-atheist 2012
## 21762       India non-atheist 2012
## 21763       India non-atheist 2012
## 21764       India non-atheist 2012
## 21765       India non-atheist 2012
## 21766       India non-atheist 2012
## 21767       India non-atheist 2012
## 21768       India non-atheist 2012
## 21769       India non-atheist 2012
## 21770       India non-atheist 2012
## 21771       India non-atheist 2012
## 21772       India non-atheist 2012
## 21773       India non-atheist 2012
## 21774       India non-atheist 2012
## 21775       India non-atheist 2012
## 21776       India non-atheist 2012
## 21777       India non-atheist 2012
## 21778       India non-atheist 2012
## 21779       India non-atheist 2012
## 21780       India non-atheist 2012
## 21781       India     atheist 2012
## 21782       India non-atheist 2012
## 21783       India non-atheist 2012
## 21784       India non-atheist 2012
## 21785       India non-atheist 2012
## 21786       India non-atheist 2012
## 21787       India non-atheist 2012
## 21788       India non-atheist 2012
## 21789       India non-atheist 2012
## 21790       India non-atheist 2012
## 21791       India non-atheist 2012
## 21792       India non-atheist 2012
## 21793       India non-atheist 2012
## 21794       India non-atheist 2012
## 21795       India non-atheist 2012
## 21796       India non-atheist 2012
## 21797       India non-atheist 2012
## 21798       India     atheist 2012
## 21799       India non-atheist 2012
## 21800       India non-atheist 2012
## 21801       India non-atheist 2012
## 21802       India non-atheist 2012
## 21803       India non-atheist 2012
## 21804       India non-atheist 2012
## 21805       India non-atheist 2012
## 21806       India non-atheist 2012
## 21807       India non-atheist 2012
## 21808       India non-atheist 2012
## 21809       India non-atheist 2012
## 21810       India non-atheist 2012
## 21811       India non-atheist 2012
## 21812       India non-atheist 2012
## 21813       India non-atheist 2012
## 21814       India non-atheist 2012
## 21815       India non-atheist 2012
## 21816       India non-atheist 2012
## 21817       India non-atheist 2012
## 21818       India non-atheist 2012
## 21819       India non-atheist 2012
## 21820       India     atheist 2012
## 21821       India non-atheist 2012
## 21822       India non-atheist 2012
## 21823       India non-atheist 2012
## 21824       India non-atheist 2012
## 21825       India non-atheist 2012
## 21826       India non-atheist 2012
## 21827       India non-atheist 2012
## 21828       India non-atheist 2012
## 21829       India non-atheist 2012
## 21830       India non-atheist 2012
## 21831       India non-atheist 2012
## 21832       India non-atheist 2012
## 21833       India non-atheist 2012
## 21834       India non-atheist 2012
## 21835       India non-atheist 2012
## 21836       India non-atheist 2012
## 21837       India non-atheist 2012
## 21838       India non-atheist 2012
## 21839       India non-atheist 2012
## 21840       India non-atheist 2012
## 21841       India non-atheist 2012
## 21842       India non-atheist 2012
## 21843       India non-atheist 2012
## 21844       India non-atheist 2012
## 21845       India non-atheist 2012
## 21846       India non-atheist 2012
## 21847       India non-atheist 2012
## 21848       India non-atheist 2012
## 21849       India non-atheist 2012
## 21850       India non-atheist 2012
## 21851       India non-atheist 2012
## 21852       India non-atheist 2012
## 21853       India non-atheist 2012
## 21854       India non-atheist 2012
## 21855       India non-atheist 2012
## 21856       India non-atheist 2012
## 21857       India non-atheist 2012
## 21858       India non-atheist 2012
## 21859       India non-atheist 2012
## 21860       India non-atheist 2012
## 21861       India non-atheist 2012
## 21862       India non-atheist 2012
## 21863       India non-atheist 2012
## 21864       India non-atheist 2012
## 21865       India     atheist 2012
## 21866       India non-atheist 2012
## 21867       India non-atheist 2012
## 21868       India non-atheist 2012
## 21869       India non-atheist 2012
## 21870       India non-atheist 2012
## 21871       India non-atheist 2012
## 21872       India non-atheist 2012
## 21873       India non-atheist 2012
## 21874       India non-atheist 2012
## 21875       India non-atheist 2012
## 21876       India non-atheist 2012
## 21877       India non-atheist 2012
## 21878       India non-atheist 2012
## 21879       India non-atheist 2012
## 21880       India non-atheist 2012
## 21881       India non-atheist 2012
## 21882       India non-atheist 2012
## 21883       India non-atheist 2012
## 21884       India non-atheist 2012
## 21885       India non-atheist 2012
## 21886       India non-atheist 2012
## 21887       India non-atheist 2012
## 21888       India non-atheist 2012
## 21889       India non-atheist 2012
## 21890       India non-atheist 2012
## 21891       India non-atheist 2012
## 21892       India non-atheist 2012
## 21893       India non-atheist 2012
## 21894       India non-atheist 2012
## 21895       India non-atheist 2012
## 21896       India     atheist 2012
## 21897       India non-atheist 2012
## 21898       India non-atheist 2012
## 21899       India non-atheist 2012
## 21900       India non-atheist 2012
## 21901       India non-atheist 2012
## 21902       India non-atheist 2012
## 21903       India non-atheist 2012
## 21904       India non-atheist 2012
## 21905       India non-atheist 2012
## 21906       India non-atheist 2012
## 21907       India non-atheist 2012
## 21908       India non-atheist 2012
## 21909       India non-atheist 2012
## 21910       India non-atheist 2012
## 21911       India non-atheist 2012
## 21912       India non-atheist 2012
## 21913       India non-atheist 2012
## 21914       India non-atheist 2012
## 21915       India non-atheist 2012
## 21916       India non-atheist 2012
## 21917       India non-atheist 2012
## 21918       India non-atheist 2012
## 21919       India non-atheist 2012
## 21920       India non-atheist 2012
## 21921       India non-atheist 2012
## 21922       India non-atheist 2012
## 21923       India non-atheist 2012
## 21924       India non-atheist 2012
## 21925       India non-atheist 2012
## 21926       India non-atheist 2012
## 21927       India non-atheist 2012
## 21928       India non-atheist 2012
## 21929       India non-atheist 2012
## 21930       India non-atheist 2012
## 21931       India non-atheist 2012
## 21932       India non-atheist 2012
## 21933       India non-atheist 2012
## 21934       India non-atheist 2012
## 21935       India non-atheist 2012
## 21936       India non-atheist 2012
## 21937       India non-atheist 2012
## 21938       India non-atheist 2012
## 21939       India non-atheist 2012
## 21940       India non-atheist 2012
## 21941       India non-atheist 2012
## 21942       India non-atheist 2012
## 21943       India non-atheist 2012
## 21944       India non-atheist 2012
## 21945       India non-atheist 2012
## 21946       India non-atheist 2012
## 21947       India non-atheist 2012
## 21948       India non-atheist 2012
## 21949       India non-atheist 2012
## 21950       India non-atheist 2012
## 21951       India     atheist 2012
## 21952       India non-atheist 2012
## 21953       India non-atheist 2012
## 21954       India non-atheist 2012
## 21955       India non-atheist 2012
## 21956       India non-atheist 2012
## 21957       India non-atheist 2012
## 21958       India non-atheist 2012
## 21959       India non-atheist 2012
## 21960       India     atheist 2012
## 21961       India non-atheist 2012
## 21962       India non-atheist 2012
## 21963       India non-atheist 2012
## 21964       India non-atheist 2012
## 21965       India non-atheist 2012
## 21966       India non-atheist 2012
## 21967       India non-atheist 2012
## 21968       India non-atheist 2012
## 21969       India non-atheist 2012
## 21970       India non-atheist 2012
## 21971       India     atheist 2012
## 21972       India non-atheist 2012
## 21973       India non-atheist 2012
## 21974       India non-atheist 2012
## 21975       India non-atheist 2012
## 21976       India non-atheist 2012
## 21977       India non-atheist 2012
## 21978       India non-atheist 2012
## 21979       India non-atheist 2012
## 21980       India non-atheist 2012
## 21981       India non-atheist 2012
## 21982       India non-atheist 2012
## 21983       India non-atheist 2012
## 21984       India non-atheist 2012
## 21985       India non-atheist 2012
## 21986       India non-atheist 2012
## 21987       India non-atheist 2012
## 21988       India non-atheist 2012
## 21989       India non-atheist 2012
## 21990       India non-atheist 2012
## 21991       India non-atheist 2012
## 21992       India non-atheist 2012
## 21993       India non-atheist 2012
## 21994       India non-atheist 2012
## 21995       India non-atheist 2012
## 21996       India non-atheist 2012
## 21997       India non-atheist 2012
## 21998       India non-atheist 2012
## 21999       India     atheist 2012
## 22000       India non-atheist 2012
## 22001       India non-atheist 2012
## 22002       India non-atheist 2012
## 22003       India non-atheist 2012
## 22004       India non-atheist 2012
## 22005       India non-atheist 2012
## 22006       India non-atheist 2012
## 22007       India non-atheist 2012
## 22008       India non-atheist 2012
## 22009       India non-atheist 2012
## 22010       India non-atheist 2012
## 22011       India non-atheist 2012
## 22012       India non-atheist 2012
## 22013       India non-atheist 2012
## 22014       India non-atheist 2012
## 22015       India non-atheist 2012
## 22016       India non-atheist 2012
## 22017       India non-atheist 2012
## 22018       India non-atheist 2012
## 22019       India non-atheist 2012
## 22020       India non-atheist 2012
## 22021       India non-atheist 2012
## 22022       India non-atheist 2012
## 22023       India non-atheist 2012
## 22024       India non-atheist 2012
## 22025       India non-atheist 2012
## 22026       India non-atheist 2012
## 22027       India non-atheist 2012
## 22028       India non-atheist 2012
## 22029       India non-atheist 2012
## 22030       India non-atheist 2012
## 22031       India non-atheist 2012
## 22032       India non-atheist 2012
## 22033       India non-atheist 2012
## 22034       India non-atheist 2012
## 22035       India non-atheist 2012
## 22036       India non-atheist 2012
## 22037       India non-atheist 2012
## 22038       India non-atheist 2012
## 22039       India non-atheist 2012
## 22040       India non-atheist 2012
## 22041       India non-atheist 2012
## 22042       India non-atheist 2012
## 22043       India non-atheist 2012
## 22044       India non-atheist 2012
## 22045       India non-atheist 2012
## 22046       India non-atheist 2012
## 22047       India non-atheist 2012
## 22048       India non-atheist 2012
## 22049       India non-atheist 2012
## 22050       India non-atheist 2012
## 22051       India     atheist 2012
## 22052       India     atheist 2012
## 22053       India non-atheist 2012
## 22054       India non-atheist 2012
## 22055       India non-atheist 2012
## 22056       India non-atheist 2012
## 22057       India non-atheist 2012
## 22058       India non-atheist 2012
## 22059       India non-atheist 2012
## 22060       India non-atheist 2012
## 22061       India non-atheist 2012
## 22062       India non-atheist 2012
## 22063       India non-atheist 2012
## 22064       India non-atheist 2012
## 22065       India non-atheist 2012
## 22066       India non-atheist 2012
## 22067       India non-atheist 2012
## 22068       India non-atheist 2012
## 22069       India non-atheist 2012
## 22070       India non-atheist 2012
## 22071       India non-atheist 2012
## 22072       India non-atheist 2012
## 22073       India non-atheist 2012
## 22074       India non-atheist 2012
## 22075       India non-atheist 2012
## 22076       India non-atheist 2012
## 22077       India non-atheist 2012
## 22078       India non-atheist 2012
## 22079       India non-atheist 2012
## 22080       India non-atheist 2012
## 22081       India non-atheist 2012
## 22082       India non-atheist 2012
## 22083       India non-atheist 2012
## 22084       India non-atheist 2012
## 22085       India non-atheist 2012
## 22086       India non-atheist 2012
## 22087       India non-atheist 2012
## 22088       India non-atheist 2012
## 22089       India non-atheist 2012
## 22090       India non-atheist 2012
## 22091       India non-atheist 2012
## 22092       India non-atheist 2012
## 22093       India non-atheist 2012
## 22094       India non-atheist 2012
## 22095       India non-atheist 2012
## 22096       India non-atheist 2012
## 22097       India non-atheist 2012
## 22098       India non-atheist 2012
## 22099       India non-atheist 2012
## 22100       India non-atheist 2012
## 22101       India non-atheist 2012
## 22102       India non-atheist 2012
## 22103       India non-atheist 2012
## 22104       India non-atheist 2012
## 22105       India non-atheist 2012
## 22106       India non-atheist 2012
## 22107       India     atheist 2012
## 22108       India non-atheist 2012
## 22109       India non-atheist 2012
## 22110       India non-atheist 2012
## 22111       India non-atheist 2012
## 22112       India non-atheist 2012
## 22113       India non-atheist 2012
## 22114       India non-atheist 2012
## 22115       India non-atheist 2012
## 22116       India non-atheist 2012
## 22117       India non-atheist 2012
## 22118       India non-atheist 2012
## 22119       India non-atheist 2012
## 22120       India non-atheist 2012
## 22121       India non-atheist 2012
## 22122       India non-atheist 2012
## 22123       India non-atheist 2012
## 22124       India non-atheist 2012
## 22125       India non-atheist 2012
## 22126       India non-atheist 2012
## 22127       India non-atheist 2012
## 22128       India non-atheist 2012
## 22129       India non-atheist 2012
## 22130       India non-atheist 2012
## 22131       India     atheist 2012
## 22132       India non-atheist 2012
## 22133       India non-atheist 2012
## 22134       India non-atheist 2012
## 22135       India non-atheist 2012
## 22136       India non-atheist 2012
## 22137       India non-atheist 2012
## 22138       India non-atheist 2012
## 22139       India non-atheist 2012
## 22140       India non-atheist 2012
## 22141       India non-atheist 2012
## 22142       India non-atheist 2012
## 22143       India non-atheist 2012
## 22144       India non-atheist 2012
## 22145       India non-atheist 2012
## 22146       India non-atheist 2012
## 22147       India non-atheist 2012
## 22148       India non-atheist 2012
## 22149       India non-atheist 2012
## 22150       India non-atheist 2012
## 22151       India non-atheist 2012
## 22152       India non-atheist 2012
## 22153       India non-atheist 2012
## 22154       India non-atheist 2012
## 22155       India non-atheist 2012
## 22156       India non-atheist 2012
## 22157       India non-atheist 2012
## 22158       India non-atheist 2012
## 22159       India non-atheist 2012
## 22160       India non-atheist 2012
## 22161       India non-atheist 2012
## 22162       India non-atheist 2012
## 22163       India non-atheist 2012
## 22164       India non-atheist 2012
## 22165       India non-atheist 2012
## 22166       India non-atheist 2012
## 22167       India non-atheist 2012
## 22168       India non-atheist 2012
## 22169       India non-atheist 2012
## 22170       India non-atheist 2012
## 22171       India non-atheist 2012
## 22172       India non-atheist 2012
## 22173       India non-atheist 2012
## 22174       India non-atheist 2012
## 22175       India non-atheist 2012
## 22176       India non-atheist 2012
## 22177       India non-atheist 2012
## 22178       India non-atheist 2012
## 22179       India non-atheist 2012
## 22180       India non-atheist 2012
## 22181       India non-atheist 2012
## 22182       India non-atheist 2012
## 22183       India non-atheist 2012
## 22184       India non-atheist 2012
## 22185       India non-atheist 2012
## 22186       India non-atheist 2012
## 22187       India non-atheist 2012
## 22188       India non-atheist 2012
## 22189       India non-atheist 2012
## 22190       India non-atheist 2012
## 22191       India non-atheist 2012
## 22192       India non-atheist 2012
## 22193       India non-atheist 2012
## 22194       India non-atheist 2012
## 22195       India non-atheist 2012
## 22196       India non-atheist 2012
## 22197       India non-atheist 2012
## 22198       India non-atheist 2012
## 22199       India non-atheist 2012
## 22200       India non-atheist 2012
## 22201       India non-atheist 2012
## 22202       India non-atheist 2012
## 22203       India non-atheist 2012
## 22204       India non-atheist 2012
## 22205       India non-atheist 2012
## 22206       India non-atheist 2012
## 22207       India non-atheist 2012
## 22208       India non-atheist 2012
## 22209       India non-atheist 2012
## 22210       India non-atheist 2012
## 22211       India non-atheist 2012
## 22212       India non-atheist 2012
## 22213       India non-atheist 2012
## 22214       India non-atheist 2012
## 22215       India non-atheist 2012
## 22216       India non-atheist 2012
## 22217       India non-atheist 2012
## 22218       India     atheist 2012
## 22219       India non-atheist 2012
## 22220       India non-atheist 2012
## 22221       India non-atheist 2012
## 22222       India non-atheist 2012
## 22223       India non-atheist 2012
## 22224       India non-atheist 2012
## 22225       India non-atheist 2012
## 22226       India non-atheist 2012
## 22227       India non-atheist 2012
## 22228       India non-atheist 2012
## 22229       India non-atheist 2012
## 22230       India non-atheist 2012
## 22231       India non-atheist 2012
## 22232       India non-atheist 2012
## 22233       India non-atheist 2012
## 22234       India non-atheist 2012
## 22235       India non-atheist 2012
## 22236       India non-atheist 2012
## 22237       India non-atheist 2012
## 22238       India non-atheist 2012
## 22239       India non-atheist 2012
## 22240       India non-atheist 2012
## 22241       India non-atheist 2012
## 22242       India     atheist 2012
## 22243       India     atheist 2012
## 22244       India non-atheist 2012
## 22245       India non-atheist 2012
## 22246       India non-atheist 2012
## 22247       India non-atheist 2012
## 22248       India non-atheist 2012
## 22249       India non-atheist 2012
## 22250       India non-atheist 2012
## 22251       India non-atheist 2012
## 22252       India non-atheist 2012
## 22253       India non-atheist 2012
## 22254       India non-atheist 2012
## 22255       India non-atheist 2012
## 22256       India non-atheist 2012
## 22257       India non-atheist 2012
## 22258       India non-atheist 2012
## 22259       India non-atheist 2012
## 22260       India non-atheist 2012
## 22261       India non-atheist 2012
## 22262       India non-atheist 2012
## 22263       India non-atheist 2012
## 22264       India non-atheist 2012
## 22265       India non-atheist 2012
## 22266       India non-atheist 2012
## 22267       India non-atheist 2012
## 22268       India non-atheist 2012
## 22269       India non-atheist 2012
## 22270       India non-atheist 2012
## 22271       India non-atheist 2012
## 22272       India non-atheist 2012
## 22273       India non-atheist 2012
## 22274       India non-atheist 2012
## 22275       India non-atheist 2012
## 22276       India non-atheist 2012
## 22277       India     atheist 2012
## 22278       India non-atheist 2012
## 22279       India non-atheist 2012
## 22280       India non-atheist 2012
## 22281       India non-atheist 2012
## 22282       India non-atheist 2012
## 22283       India non-atheist 2012
## 22284       India non-atheist 2012
## 22285       India non-atheist 2012
## 22286       India non-atheist 2012
## 22287       India non-atheist 2012
## 22288       India non-atheist 2012
## 22289       India non-atheist 2012
## 22290       India non-atheist 2012
## 22291       India non-atheist 2012
## 22292       India non-atheist 2012
## 22293       India non-atheist 2012
## 22294       India non-atheist 2012
## 22295       India non-atheist 2012
## 22296       India non-atheist 2012
## 22297       India non-atheist 2012
## 22298       India non-atheist 2012
## 22299       India non-atheist 2012
## 22300       India non-atheist 2012
## 22301       India non-atheist 2012
## 22302       India non-atheist 2012
## 22303       India non-atheist 2012
## 22304       India non-atheist 2012
## 22305       India non-atheist 2012
## 22306       India non-atheist 2012
## 22307       India non-atheist 2012
## 22308       India non-atheist 2012
## 22309       India non-atheist 2012
## 22310       India non-atheist 2012
## 22311       India non-atheist 2012
## 22312       India non-atheist 2012
## 22313       India non-atheist 2012
## 22314       India non-atheist 2012
## 22315       India non-atheist 2012
## 22316       India non-atheist 2012
## 22317       India non-atheist 2012
## 22318       India non-atheist 2012
## 22319       India non-atheist 2012
## 22320       India non-atheist 2012
## 22321       India non-atheist 2012
## 22322       India non-atheist 2012
## 22323       India non-atheist 2012
## 22324       India non-atheist 2012
## 22325       India non-atheist 2012
## 22326       India non-atheist 2012
## 22327       India non-atheist 2012
## 22328       India non-atheist 2012
## 22329       India non-atheist 2012
## 22330       India non-atheist 2012
## 22331       India non-atheist 2012
## 22332       India non-atheist 2012
## 22333       India non-atheist 2012
## 22334       India non-atheist 2012
## 22335       India non-atheist 2012
## 22336       India non-atheist 2012
## 22337       India non-atheist 2012
## 22338       India     atheist 2012
## 22339       India non-atheist 2012
## 22340       India non-atheist 2012
## 22341       India non-atheist 2012
## 22342       India non-atheist 2012
## 22343       India non-atheist 2012
## 22344       India non-atheist 2012
## 22345       India non-atheist 2012
## 22346       India non-atheist 2012
## 22347       India non-atheist 2012
## 22348       India non-atheist 2012
## 22349       India non-atheist 2012
## 22350       India     atheist 2012
## 22351       India non-atheist 2012
## 22352       India non-atheist 2012
## 22353       India non-atheist 2012
## 22354       India non-atheist 2012
## 22355       India non-atheist 2012
## 22356       India non-atheist 2012
## 22357       India non-atheist 2012
## 22358       India non-atheist 2012
## 22359       India non-atheist 2012
## 22360       India non-atheist 2012
## 22361       India non-atheist 2012
## 22362       India non-atheist 2012
## 22363       India non-atheist 2012
## 22364       India non-atheist 2012
## 22365       India non-atheist 2012
## 22366       India non-atheist 2012
## 22367       India non-atheist 2012
## 22368       India non-atheist 2012
## 22369       India non-atheist 2012
## 22370       India non-atheist 2012
## 22371       India non-atheist 2012
## 22372       India non-atheist 2012
## 22373       India non-atheist 2012
## 22374       India non-atheist 2012
## 22375       India non-atheist 2012
## 22376       India non-atheist 2012
## 22377       India non-atheist 2012
## 22378       India non-atheist 2012
## 22379       India non-atheist 2012
## 22380       India non-atheist 2012
## 22381       India non-atheist 2012
## 22382       India non-atheist 2012
## 22383       India non-atheist 2012
## 22384       India non-atheist 2012
## 22385       India non-atheist 2012
## 22386       India non-atheist 2012
## 22387       India non-atheist 2012
## 22388       India non-atheist 2012
## 22389       India     atheist 2012
## 22390       India non-atheist 2012
## 22391       India non-atheist 2012
## 22392       India non-atheist 2012
## 22393       India non-atheist 2012
## 22394       India non-atheist 2012
## 22395       India non-atheist 2012
## 22396       India non-atheist 2012
## 22397       India non-atheist 2012
## 22398       India non-atheist 2012
## 22399       India non-atheist 2012
## 22400       India non-atheist 2012
## 22401       India non-atheist 2012
## 22402       India non-atheist 2012
## 22403       India non-atheist 2012
## 22404       India     atheist 2012
## 22405       India non-atheist 2012
## 22406       India non-atheist 2012
## 22407       India non-atheist 2012
## 22408       India non-atheist 2012
## 22409       India non-atheist 2012
## 22410       India non-atheist 2012
## 22411       India non-atheist 2012
## 22412       India non-atheist 2012
## 22413       India non-atheist 2012
## 22414       India non-atheist 2012
## 22415       India non-atheist 2012
## 22416       India non-atheist 2012
## 22417       India non-atheist 2012
## 22418       India non-atheist 2012
## 22419       India non-atheist 2012
## 22420       India non-atheist 2012
## 22421       India non-atheist 2012
## 22422       India non-atheist 2012
## 22423       India non-atheist 2012
## 22424       India non-atheist 2012
## 22425       India non-atheist 2012
## 22426       India non-atheist 2012
## 22427       India non-atheist 2012
## 22428       India non-atheist 2012
## 22429       India non-atheist 2012
## 22430       India non-atheist 2012
## 22431       India     atheist 2012
## 22432       India non-atheist 2012
## 22433       India non-atheist 2012
## 22434       India non-atheist 2012
## 22435       India non-atheist 2012
## 22436       India non-atheist 2012
## 22437       India non-atheist 2012
## 22438       India non-atheist 2012
## 22439       India non-atheist 2012
## 22440       India non-atheist 2012
## 22441       India non-atheist 2012
## 22442       India non-atheist 2012
## 22443       India     atheist 2012
## 22444       India non-atheist 2012
## 22445       India non-atheist 2012
## 22446       India non-atheist 2012
## 22447       India non-atheist 2012
## 22448       India non-atheist 2012
## 22449       India non-atheist 2012
## 22450       India non-atheist 2012
## 22451       India non-atheist 2012
## 22452       India non-atheist 2012
## 22453       India non-atheist 2012
## 22454       India non-atheist 2012
## 22455       India non-atheist 2012
## 22456       India non-atheist 2012
## 22457       India non-atheist 2012
## 22458       India non-atheist 2012
## 22459       India non-atheist 2012
## 22460       India non-atheist 2012
## 22461       India non-atheist 2012
## 22462       India non-atheist 2012
## 22463       India non-atheist 2012
## 22464       India non-atheist 2012
## 22465       India non-atheist 2012
## 22466       India non-atheist 2012
## 22467       India non-atheist 2012
## 22468       India non-atheist 2012
## 22469       India non-atheist 2012
## 22470       India non-atheist 2012
## 22471       India non-atheist 2012
## 22472       India non-atheist 2012
## 22473       India non-atheist 2012
## 22474       India non-atheist 2012
## 22475       India non-atheist 2012
## 22476       India non-atheist 2012
## 22477       India non-atheist 2012
## 22478       India non-atheist 2012
## 22479       India non-atheist 2012
## 22480       India non-atheist 2012
## 22481       India non-atheist 2012
## 22482       India non-atheist 2012
## 22483       India non-atheist 2012
## 22484       India non-atheist 2012
## 22485       India non-atheist 2012
## 22486       India non-atheist 2012
## 22487       India non-atheist 2012
## 22488       India non-atheist 2012
## 22489       India non-atheist 2012
## 22490       India non-atheist 2012
## 22491       India non-atheist 2012
## 22492       India non-atheist 2012
## 22493       India non-atheist 2012
## 22494       India non-atheist 2012
## 22495       India non-atheist 2012
## 22496       India non-atheist 2012
## 22497       India non-atheist 2012
## 22498       India non-atheist 2012
## 22499       India non-atheist 2012
## 22500       India non-atheist 2012
## 22501       India non-atheist 2012
## 22502       India non-atheist 2012
## 22503       India non-atheist 2012
## 22504       India non-atheist 2012
## 22505       India non-atheist 2012
## 22506       India non-atheist 2012
## 22507       India non-atheist 2012
## 22508       India non-atheist 2012
## 22509       India non-atheist 2012
## 22510       India non-atheist 2012
## 22511       India non-atheist 2012
## 22512       India non-atheist 2012
## 22513       India non-atheist 2012
## 22514       India non-atheist 2012
## 22515       India non-atheist 2012
## 22516       India non-atheist 2012
## 22517       India non-atheist 2012
## 22518       India non-atheist 2012
## 22519       India non-atheist 2012
## 22520       India non-atheist 2012
## 22521       India non-atheist 2012
## 22522       India non-atheist 2012
## 22523       India non-atheist 2012
## 22524       India non-atheist 2012
## 22525       India non-atheist 2012
## 22526       India non-atheist 2012
## 22527       India non-atheist 2012
## 22528       India non-atheist 2012
## 22529       India non-atheist 2012
## 22530       India non-atheist 2012
## 22531       India non-atheist 2012
## 22532       India     atheist 2012
## 22533       India non-atheist 2012
## 22534       India non-atheist 2012
## 22535       India non-atheist 2012
## 22536       India non-atheist 2012
## 22537       India non-atheist 2012
## 22538       India non-atheist 2012
## 22539       India non-atheist 2012
## 22540       India non-atheist 2012
## 22541       India non-atheist 2012
## 22542       India non-atheist 2012
## 22543       India non-atheist 2012
## 22544       India non-atheist 2012
## 22545       India non-atheist 2012
## 22546       India non-atheist 2012
## 22547       India non-atheist 2012
## 22548       India non-atheist 2012
## 22549       India non-atheist 2012
## 22550       India non-atheist 2012
## 22551       India non-atheist 2012
## 22552       India non-atheist 2012
## 22553       India non-atheist 2012
## 22554       India non-atheist 2012
## 22555       India non-atheist 2012
## 22556       India non-atheist 2012
## 22557       India non-atheist 2012
## 22558       India non-atheist 2012
## 22559       India non-atheist 2012
## 22560       India non-atheist 2012
## 22561       India non-atheist 2012
## 22562       India non-atheist 2012
## 22563       India non-atheist 2012
## 22564       India non-atheist 2012
## 22565       India non-atheist 2012
## 22566       India non-atheist 2012
## 22567       India non-atheist 2012
## 22568       India non-atheist 2012
## 22569       India non-atheist 2012
## 22570       India non-atheist 2012
## 22571       India non-atheist 2012
## 22572       India non-atheist 2012
## 22573       India non-atheist 2012
## 22574       India non-atheist 2012
## 22575       India non-atheist 2012
## 22576       India non-atheist 2012
## 22577       India non-atheist 2012
## 22578       India non-atheist 2012
## 22579       India non-atheist 2012
## 22580       India non-atheist 2012
## 22581       India non-atheist 2012
## 22582       India non-atheist 2012
## 22583       India non-atheist 2012
## 22584       India non-atheist 2012
## 22585       India non-atheist 2012
## 22586       India non-atheist 2012
## 22587       India non-atheist 2012
## 22588       India non-atheist 2012
## 22589       India non-atheist 2012
## 22590       India non-atheist 2012
## 22591       India non-atheist 2012
## 22592       India non-atheist 2012
## 22593       India non-atheist 2012
## 22594       India non-atheist 2012
## 22595       India non-atheist 2012
## 22596       India non-atheist 2012
## 22597       India non-atheist 2012
## 22598       India non-atheist 2012
## 22599       India non-atheist 2012
## 22600       India non-atheist 2012
## 22601       India non-atheist 2012
## 22602       India non-atheist 2012
## 22603       India non-atheist 2012
## 22604       India non-atheist 2012
## 22605       India non-atheist 2012
## 22606       India non-atheist 2012
## 22607       India non-atheist 2012
## 22608       India non-atheist 2012
## 22609       India non-atheist 2012
## 22610       India non-atheist 2012
## 22611       India     atheist 2012
## 22612       India non-atheist 2012
## 22613       India non-atheist 2012
## 22614       India non-atheist 2012
## 22615       India non-atheist 2012
## 22616       India non-atheist 2012
## 22617       India non-atheist 2012
## 22618       India non-atheist 2012
## 22619       India non-atheist 2012
## 22620       India non-atheist 2012
## 22621       India non-atheist 2012
## 22622       India non-atheist 2012
## 22623       India non-atheist 2012
## 22624       India non-atheist 2012
## 22625       India non-atheist 2012
## 22626       India non-atheist 2012
## 22627       India non-atheist 2012
## 22628       India non-atheist 2012
## 22629       India non-atheist 2012
## 22630       India non-atheist 2012
## 22631       India non-atheist 2012
## 22632       India non-atheist 2012
## 22633       India non-atheist 2012
## 22634       India non-atheist 2012
## 22635       India non-atheist 2012
## 22636       India non-atheist 2012
## 22637       India non-atheist 2012
## 22638       India non-atheist 2012
## 22639       India non-atheist 2012
## 22640       India non-atheist 2012
## 22641       India non-atheist 2012
## 22642       India non-atheist 2012
## 22643       India non-atheist 2012
## 22644       India non-atheist 2012
## 22645       India non-atheist 2012
## 22646       India non-atheist 2012
## 22647       India non-atheist 2012
## 22648       India non-atheist 2012
## 22649       India non-atheist 2012
## 22650       India non-atheist 2012
## 22651       India non-atheist 2012
## 22652       India non-atheist 2012
## 22653       India non-atheist 2012
## 22654       India non-atheist 2012
## 22655       India     atheist 2012
## 22656       India non-atheist 2012
## 22657       India non-atheist 2012
## 22658       India non-atheist 2012
## 22659       India non-atheist 2012
## 22660       India non-atheist 2012
## 22661       India non-atheist 2012
## 22662       India non-atheist 2012
## 22663       India non-atheist 2012
## 22664       India non-atheist 2012
## 22665       India non-atheist 2012
## 22666       India non-atheist 2012
## 22667       India non-atheist 2012
## 22668       India non-atheist 2012
## 22669       India non-atheist 2012
## 22670       India non-atheist 2012
## 22671       India non-atheist 2012
## 22672       India non-atheist 2012
## 22673       India non-atheist 2012
## 22674       India non-atheist 2012
## 22675       India non-atheist 2012
## 22676       India non-atheist 2012
## 22677       India non-atheist 2012
## 22678       India non-atheist 2012
## 22679       India non-atheist 2012
## 22680       India non-atheist 2012
## 22681       India non-atheist 2012
## 22682       India non-atheist 2012
## 22683       India non-atheist 2012
## 22684       India non-atheist 2012
## 22685       India     atheist 2012
## 22686       India non-atheist 2012
## 22687       India non-atheist 2012
## 22688       India non-atheist 2012
## 22689       India non-atheist 2012
## 22690       India non-atheist 2012
## 22691       India     atheist 2012
## 22692       India non-atheist 2012
## 22693       India non-atheist 2012
## 22694       India non-atheist 2012
## 22695       India non-atheist 2012
## 22696       India non-atheist 2012
## 22697       India non-atheist 2012
## 22698       India non-atheist 2012
## 22699       India non-atheist 2012
## 22700       India non-atheist 2012
## 22701       India non-atheist 2012
## 22702       India non-atheist 2012
## 22703       India non-atheist 2012
## 22704       India non-atheist 2012
## 22705       India non-atheist 2012
## 22706       India non-atheist 2012
## 22707       India non-atheist 2012
## 22708       India non-atheist 2012
## 22709       India non-atheist 2012
## 22710       India non-atheist 2012
## 22711       India non-atheist 2012
## 22712       India non-atheist 2012
## 22713       India non-atheist 2012
## 22714       India non-atheist 2012
## 22715       India non-atheist 2012
## 22716       India non-atheist 2012
## 22717       India non-atheist 2012
## 22718       India non-atheist 2012
## 22719       India non-atheist 2012
## 22720       India non-atheist 2012
## 22721       India non-atheist 2012
## 22722       India non-atheist 2012
## 22723       India non-atheist 2012
## 22724       India non-atheist 2012
## 22725       India non-atheist 2012
## 22726       India non-atheist 2012
## 22727       India non-atheist 2012
## 22728       India non-atheist 2012
## 22729       India non-atheist 2012
## 22730       India non-atheist 2012
## 22731       India non-atheist 2012
## 22732       India non-atheist 2012
## 22733       India non-atheist 2012
## 22734       India non-atheist 2012
## 22735       India non-atheist 2012
## 22736       India non-atheist 2012
## 22737       India non-atheist 2012
## 22738       India non-atheist 2012
## 22739       India non-atheist 2012
## 22740       India non-atheist 2012
## 22741       India non-atheist 2012
## 22742       India non-atheist 2012
## 22743       India non-atheist 2012
## 22744       India non-atheist 2012
## 22745       India non-atheist 2012
inference(in12$response, est = "proportion", type = "ci", method = "theoretical", 
          success = "atheist")
## Single proportion -- success: atheist 
## Summary statistics:

## p_hat = 0.0302 ;  n = 1092 
## Check conditions: number of successes = 33 ; number of failures = 1059 
## Standard error = 0.0052 
## 95 % Confidence interval = ( 0.0201 , 0.0404 )
jp12 <- subset(atheism, nationality == "Japan" & year == "2012")
jp12
##       nationality    response year
## 25743       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25744       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25745       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25746       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25747       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25748       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25749       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25750       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25751       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25752       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25753       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25754       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25755       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25756       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25757       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25758       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25759       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25760       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25761       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25762       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25763       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25764       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25765       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25766       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25767       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25768       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25769       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25770       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25771       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25772       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25773       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25774       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25775       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25776       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25777       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25778       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25779       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25780       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25781       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25782       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25783       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25784       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25785       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25786       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25787       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25788       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25789       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25790       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25791       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25792       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25793       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25794       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25795       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25796       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25797       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25798       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25799       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25800       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25801       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25802       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25803       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25804       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25805       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25806       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25807       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25808       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25809       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25810       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25811       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25812       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25813       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25814       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25815       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25816       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25817       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25818       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25819       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25820       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25821       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25822       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25823       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25824       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25825       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25826       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25827       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25828       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25829       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25830       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25831       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25832       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25833       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25834       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25835       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25836       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25837       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25838       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25839       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25840       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25841       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25842       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25843       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25844       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25845       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25846       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25847       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25848       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25849       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25850       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25851       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25852       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25853       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25854       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25855       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25856       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25857       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25858       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25859       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25860       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25861       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25862       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25863       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25864       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25865       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25866       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25867       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25868       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25869       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25870       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25871       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25872       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25873       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25874       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25875       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25876       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25877       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25878       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25879       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25880       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25881       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25882       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25883       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25884       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25885       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25886       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25887       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25888       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25889       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25890       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25891       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25892       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25893       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25894       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25895       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25896       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25897       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25898       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25899       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25900       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25901       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25902       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25903       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25904       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25905       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25906       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25907       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25908       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25909       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25910       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25911       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25912       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25913       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25914       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25915       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25916       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25917       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25918       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25919       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25920       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25921       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25922       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25923       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25924       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25925       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25926       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25927       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25928       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25929       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25930       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25931       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25932       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25933       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25934       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25935       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25936       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25937       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25938       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25939       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25940       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25941       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25942       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25943       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25944       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25945       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25946       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25947       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25948       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25949       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25950       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25951       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25952       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25953       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25954       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25955       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25956       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25957       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25958       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25959       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25960       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25961       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25962       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25963       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25964       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25965       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25966       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25967       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25968       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25969       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25970       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25971       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25972       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25973       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25974       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25975       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25976       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25977       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25978       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25979       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25980       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25981       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25982       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25983       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25984       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25985       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25986       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25987       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25988       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25989       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25990       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25991       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25992       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25993       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25994       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25995       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25996       Japan     atheist 2012
## 25997       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25998       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 25999       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26000       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26001       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26002       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26003       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26004       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26005       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26006       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26007       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26008       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26009       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26010       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26011       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26012       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26013       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26014       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26015       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26016       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26017       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26018       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26019       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26020       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26021       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26022       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26023       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26024       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26025       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26026       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26027       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26028       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26029       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26030       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26031       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26032       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26033       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26034       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26035       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26036       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26037       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26038       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26039       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26040       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26041       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26042       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26043       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26044       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26045       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26046       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26047       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26048       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26049       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26050       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26051       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26052       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26053       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26054       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26055       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26056       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26057       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26058       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26059       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26060       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26061       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26062       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26063       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26064       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26065       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26066       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26067       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26068       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26069       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26070       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26071       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26072       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26073       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26074       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26075       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26076       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26077       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26078       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26079       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26080       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26081       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26082       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26083       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26084       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26085       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26086       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26087       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26088       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26089       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26090       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26091       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26092       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26093       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26094       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26095       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26096       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26097       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26098       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26099       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26100       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26101       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26102       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26103       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26104       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26105       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26106       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26107       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26108       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26109       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26110       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26111       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26112       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26113       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26114       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26115       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26116       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26117       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26118       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26119       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26120       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26121       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26122       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26123       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26124       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26125       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26126       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26127       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26128       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26129       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26130       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26131       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26132       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26133       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26134       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26135       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26136       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26137       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26138       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26139       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26140       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26141       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26142       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26143       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26144       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26145       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26146       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26147       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26148       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26149       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26150       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26151       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26152       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26153       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26154       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26155       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26156       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26157       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26158       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26159       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26160       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26161       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26162       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26163       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26164       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26165       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26166       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26167       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26168       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26169       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26170       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26171       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26172       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26173       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26174       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26175       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26176       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26177       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26178       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26179       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26180       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26181       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26182       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26183       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26184       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26185       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26186       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26187       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26188       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26189       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26190       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26191       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26192       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26193       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26194       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26195       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26196       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26197       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26198       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26199       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26200       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26201       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26202       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26203       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26204       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26205       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26206       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26207       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26208       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26209       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26210       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26211       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26212       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26213       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26214       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26215       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26216       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26217       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26218       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26219       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26220       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26221       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26222       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26223       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26224       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26225       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26226       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26227       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26228       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26229       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26230       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26231       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26232       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26233       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26234       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26235       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26236       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26237       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26238       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26239       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26240       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26241       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26242       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26243       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26244       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26245       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26246       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26247       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26248       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26249       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26250       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26251       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26252       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26253       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26254       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26255       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26256       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26257       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26258       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26259       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26260       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26261       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26262       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26263       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26264       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26265       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26266       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26267       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26268       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26269       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26270       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26271       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26272       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26273       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26274       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26275       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26276       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26277       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26278       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26279       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26280       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26281       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26282       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26283       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26284       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26285       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26286       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26287       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26288       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26289       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26290       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26291       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26292       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26293       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26294       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26295       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26296       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26297       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26298       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26299       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26300       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26301       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26302       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26303       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26304       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26305       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26306       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26307       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26308       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26309       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26310       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26311       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26312       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26313       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26314       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26315       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26316       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26317       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26318       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26319       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26320       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26321       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26322       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26323       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26324       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26325       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26326       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26327       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26328       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26329       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26330       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26331       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26332       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26333       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26334       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26335       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26336       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26337       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26338       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26339       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26340       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26341       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26342       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26343       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26344       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26345       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26346       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26347       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26348       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26349       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26350       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26351       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26352       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26353       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26354       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26355       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26356       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26357       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26358       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26359       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26360       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26361       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26362       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26363       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26364       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26365       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26366       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26367       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26368       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26369       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26370       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26371       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26372       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26373       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26374       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26375       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26376       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26377       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26378       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26379       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26380       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26381       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26382       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26383       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26384       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26385       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26386       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26387       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26388       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26389       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26390       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26391       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26392       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26393       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26394       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26395       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26396       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26397       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26398       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26399       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26400       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26401       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26402       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26403       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26404       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26405       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26406       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26407       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26408       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26409       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26410       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26411       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26412       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26413       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26414       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26415       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26416       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26417       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26418       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26419       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26420       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26421       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26422       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26423       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26424       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26425       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26426       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26427       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26428       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26429       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26430       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26431       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26432       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26433       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26434       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26435       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26436       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26437       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26438       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26439       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26440       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26441       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26442       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26443       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26444       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26445       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26446       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26447       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26448       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26449       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26450       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26451       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26452       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26453       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26454       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26455       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26456       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26457       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26458       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26459       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26460       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26461       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26462       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26463       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26464       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26465       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26466       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26467       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26468       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26469       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26470       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26471       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26472       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26473       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26474       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26475       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26476       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26477       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26478       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26479       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26480       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26481       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26482       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26483       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26484       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26485       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26486       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26487       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26488       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26489       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26490       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26491       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26492       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26493       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26494       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26495       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26496       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26497       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26498       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26499       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26500       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26501       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26502       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26503       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26504       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26505       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26506       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26507       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26508       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26509       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26510       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26511       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26512       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26513       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26514       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26515       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26516       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26517       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26518       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26519       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26520       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26521       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26522       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26523       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26524       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26525       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26526       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26527       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26528       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26529       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26530       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26531       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26532       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26533       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26534       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26535       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26536       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26537       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26538       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26539       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26540       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26541       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26542       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26543       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26544       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26545       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26546       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26547       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26548       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26549       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26550       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26551       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26552       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26553       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26554       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26555       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26556       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26557       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26558       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26559       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26560       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26561       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26562       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26563       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26564       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26565       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26566       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26567       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26568       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26569       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26570       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26571       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26572       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26573       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26574       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26575       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26576       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26577       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26578       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26579       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26580       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26581       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26582       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26583       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26584       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26585       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26586       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26587       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26588       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26589       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26590       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26591       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26592       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26593       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26594       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26595       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26596       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26597       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26598       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26599       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26600       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26601       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26602       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26603       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26604       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26605       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26606       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26607       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26608       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26609       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26610       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26611       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26612       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26613       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26614       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26615       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26616       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26617       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26618       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26619       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26620       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26621       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26622       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26623       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26624       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26625       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26626       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26627       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26628       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26629       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26630       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26631       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26632       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26633       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26634       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26635       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26636       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26637       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26638       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26639       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26640       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26641       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26642       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26643       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26644       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26645       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26646       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26647       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26648       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26649       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26650       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26651       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26652       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26653       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26654       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26655       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26656       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26657       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26658       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26659       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26660       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26661       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26662       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26663       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26664       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26665       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26666       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26667       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26668       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26669       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26670       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26671       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26672       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26673       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26674       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26675       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26676       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26677       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26678       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26679       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26680       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26681       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26682       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26683       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26684       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26685       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26686       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26687       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26688       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26689       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26690       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26691       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26692       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26693       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26694       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26695       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26696       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26697       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26698       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26699       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26700       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26701       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26702       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26703       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26704       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26705       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26706       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26707       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26708       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26709       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26710       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26711       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26712       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26713       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26714       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26715       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26716       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26717       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26718       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26719       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26720       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26721       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26722       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26723       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26724       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26725       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26726       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26727       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26728       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26729       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26730       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26731       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26732       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26733       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26734       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26735       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26736       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26737       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26738       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26739       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26740       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26741       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26742       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26743       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26744       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26745       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26746       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26747       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26748       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26749       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26750       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26751       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26752       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26753       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26754       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26755       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26756       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26757       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26758       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26759       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26760       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26761       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26762       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26763       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26764       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26765       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26766       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26767       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26768       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26769       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26770       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26771       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26772       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26773       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26774       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26775       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26776       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26777       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26778       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26779       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26780       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26781       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26782       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26783       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26784       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26785       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26786       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26787       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26788       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26789       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26790       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26791       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26792       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26793       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26794       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26795       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26796       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26797       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26798       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26799       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26800       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26801       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26802       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26803       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26804       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26805       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26806       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26807       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26808       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26809       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26810       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26811       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26812       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26813       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26814       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26815       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26816       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26817       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26818       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26819       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26820       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26821       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26822       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26823       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26824       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26825       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26826       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26827       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26828       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26829       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26830       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26831       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26832       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26833       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26834       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26835       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26836       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26837       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26838       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26839       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26840       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26841       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26842       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26843       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26844       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26845       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26846       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26847       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26848       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26849       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26850       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26851       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26852       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26853       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26854       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26855       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26856       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26857       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26858       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26859       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26860       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26861       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26862       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26863       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26864       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26865       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26866       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26867       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26868       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26869       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26870       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26871       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26872       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26873       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26874       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26875       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26876       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26877       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26878       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26879       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26880       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26881       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26882       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26883       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26884       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26885       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26886       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26887       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26888       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26889       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26890       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26891       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26892       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26893       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26894       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26895       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26896       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26897       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26898       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26899       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26900       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26901       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26902       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26903       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26904       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26905       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26906       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26907       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26908       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26909       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26910       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26911       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26912       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26913       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26914       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26915       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26916       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26917       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26918       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26919       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26920       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26921       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26922       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26923       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26924       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26925       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26926       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26927       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26928       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26929       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26930       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26931       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26932       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26933       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26934       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26935       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26936       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26937       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26938       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26939       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26940       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26941       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26942       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26943       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26944       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26945       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26946       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26947       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26948       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26949       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26950       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26951       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26952       Japan non-atheist 2012
## 26953       Japan     atheist 2012
## 26954       Japan     atheist 2012
inference(jp12$response, est = "proportion", type = "ci", method = "theoretical", 
          success = "atheist")
## Single proportion -- success: atheist 
## Summary statistics:

## p_hat = 0.3069 ;  n = 1212 
## Check conditions: number of successes = 372 ; number of failures = 840 
## Standard error = 0.0132 
## 95 % Confidence interval = ( 0.281 , 0.3329 )

The conditions for inference (random sample, less than 10% of population, at least 10 successes and 10 failures) are met in both the cases mentioned above - India and Japan.

(me.india<-0.0404-0.0302)
## [1] 0.0102
(me.japan<-0.3329-0.3069)
## [1] 0.026

Margin of Error for India: 0.0102 Margin of Error for Japan: 0.026

How does the proportion affect the margin of error?

Imagine you’ve set out to survey 1000 people on two questions: are you female? and are you left-handed? Since both of these sample proportions were calculated from the same sample size, they should have the same margin of error, right? Wrong! While the margin of error does change with sample size, it is also affected by the proportion.

Think back to the formula for the standard error: \(SE = \sqrt{p(1-p)/n}\). This is then used in the formula for the margin of error for a 95% confidence interval: \(ME = 1.96\times SE = 1.96\times\sqrt{p(1-p)/n}\). Since the population proportion \(p\) is in this \(ME\) formula, it should make sense that the margin of error is in some way dependent on the population proportion. We can visualize this relationship by creating a plot of \(ME\) vs. \(p\).

The first step is to make a vector p that is a sequence from 0 to 1 with each number separated by 0.01. We can then create a vector of the margin of error (me) associated with each of these values of p using the familiar approximate formula (\(ME = 2 \times SE\)). Lastly, we plot the two vectors against each other to reveal their relationship.

n <- 1000
p <- seq(0, 1, 0.01)
me <- 2 * sqrt(p * (1 - p)/n)
plot(me ~ p, ylab = "Margin of Error", xlab = "Population Proportion")

  1. Describe the relationship between p and me.

The relation between p and me is non-linear. It is quadratic because the numerator for SE has a p-squared term in it. The ME reaches its higest point when p=0.5, because that gives the largest value of the numerator in the SE term. All other values of p before and after 0.5 yield lower values of the ME.

Success-failure condition

The textbook emphasizes that you must always check conditions before making inference. For inference on proportions, the sample proportion can be assumed to be nearly normal if it is based upon a random sample of independent observations and if both \(np \geq 10\) and \(n(1 - p) \geq 10\). This rule of thumb is easy enough to follow, but it makes one wonder: what’s so special about the number 10?

The short answer is: nothing. You could argue that we would be fine with 9 or that we really should be using 11. What is the “best” value for such a rule of thumb is, at least to some degree, arbitrary. However, when \(np\) and \(n(1-p)\) reaches 10 the sampling distribution is sufficiently normal to use confidence intervals and hypothesis tests that are based on that approximation.

We can investigate the interplay between \(n\) and \(p\) and the shape of the sampling distribution by using simulations. To start off, we simulate the process of drawing 5000 samples of size 1040 from a population with a true atheist proportion of 0.1. For each of the 5000 samples we compute \(\hat{p}\) and then plot a histogram to visualize their distribution.

p <- 0.1
n <- 1040
p_hats <- rep(0, 5000)

for(i in 1:5000){
  samp <- sample(c("atheist", "non_atheist"), n, replace = TRUE, prob = c(p, 1-p))
  p_hats[i] <- sum(samp == "atheist")/n
}

hist(p_hats, main = "p = 0.1, n = 1040", xlim = c(0, 0.18))

These commands build up the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) using the familiar for loop. You can read the sampling procedure for the first line of code inside the for loop as, “take a sample of size \(n\) with replacement from the choices of atheist and non-atheist with probabilities \(p\) and \(1 - p\), respectively.” The second line in the loop says, “calculate the proportion of atheists in this sample and record this value.” The loop allows us to repeat this process 5,000 times to build a good representation of the sampling distribution.

  1. Describe the sampling distribution of sample proportions at \(n = 1040\) and \(p = 0.1\). Be sure to note the center, spread, and shape.
    Hint: Remember that R has functions such as mean to calculate summary statistics.
mean(p_hats)
## [1] 0.09969
sd(p_hats)
## [1] 0.009287382
summary(p_hats)
##    Min. 1st Qu.  Median    Mean 3rd Qu.    Max. 
## 0.07019 0.09327 0.09904 0.09969 0.10577 0.12981
qqnorm(p_hats)

The graph shows that the sampling distribution is normal.

  1. Repeat the above simulation three more times but with modified sample sizes and proportions: for \(n = 400\) and \(p = 0.1\), \(n = 1040\) and \(p = 0.02\), and \(n = 400\) and \(p = 0.02\). Plot all four histograms together by running the par(mfrow = c(2, 2)) command before creating the histograms. You may need to expand the plot window to accommodate the larger two-by-two plot. Describe the three new sampling distributions. Based on these limited plots, how does \(n\) appear to affect the distribution of \(\hat{p}\)? How does \(p\) affect the sampling distribution?
p2 <- 0.1
n2 <- 400
p2_hats <- rep(0, 5000)
for(i in 1:5000){
  samp2 <- sample(c("atheist", "non_atheist"), n2, replace = TRUE, prob = c(p2, 1-p2))
  p2_hats[i] <- sum(samp2 == "atheist")/n2
}

p3 <- 0.02
n3 <- 1040
p3_hats <- rep(0, 5000)
for(i in 1:5000){
  samp3 <- sample(c("atheist", "non_atheist"), n3, replace = TRUE, prob = c(p3, 1-p3))
  p3_hats[i] <- sum(samp3 == "atheist")/n3
}

p4 <- 0.02
n4 <- 400
p4_hats <- rep(0, 5000)
for(i in 1:5000){
  samp4 <- sample(c("atheist", "non_atheist"), n4, replace = TRUE, prob = c(p4, 1-p4))
  p4_hats[i] <- sum(samp4 == "atheist")/n4
}

par(mfrow = c(2, 2))

hist(p_hats, main = "p = 0.1, n = 1040", xlim = c(0, 0.18))
hist(p2_hats, main = "p2 = 0.1, n = 400", xlim = c(0, 0.18))
hist(p3_hats, main = "p3 = 0.02, n = 1040", xlim = c(0, 0.18))
hist(p4_hats, main = "p4 = 0.02, n = 400", xlim = c(0, 0.18))

#qqnorm(p_hats)
#qqnorm(p2_hats)
#qqnorm(p3_hats)
#qqnorm(p4_hats)

While p impacts the center of the sampling distribution as can be expected, n controls the spread i.e. as n grows, the spread decreases.

Once you’re done, you can reset the layout of the plotting window by using the command par(mfrow = c(1, 1)) command or clicking on “Clear All” above the plotting window (if using RStudio). Note that the latter will get rid of all your previous plots.

par(mfrow = c(1, 1))
  1. If you refer to Table 6, you’ll find that Australia has a sample proportion of 0.1 on a sample size of 1040, and that Ecuador has a sample proportion of 0.02 on 400 subjects. Let’s suppose for this exercise that these point estimates are actually the truth. Then given the shape of their respective sampling distributions, do you think it is sensible to proceed with inference and report margin of errors, as the reports does?
au12 <- subset(atheism, nationality == "Australia" & year == "2012")
ec12 <- subset(atheism, nationality == "Ecuador" & year == "2012")
inference(au12$response, est = "proportion", type = "ci", method = "theoretical", 
          success = "atheist")
## Single proportion -- success: atheist 
## Summary statistics:

## p_hat = 0.1001 ;  n = 1039 
## Check conditions: number of successes = 104 ; number of failures = 935 
## Standard error = 0.0093 
## 95 % Confidence interval = ( 0.0818 , 0.1183 )
#inference(ec12$response, est = "proportion", type = "ci", method = "theoretical",           success = "atheist")

Based on the above, it can be seen that in the case of Ecuador, there are less than 10 successes, which violates the conditions for inference and therefore this approach is not appropriate for reporting the margin of error for Ecuador.


On your own

The question of atheism was asked by WIN-Gallup International in a similar survey that was conducted in 2005. (We assume here that sample sizes have remained the same.) Table 4 on page 13 of the report summarizes survey results from 2005 and 2012 for 39 countries.

sp05 <- subset(atheism, nationality == "Spain" & year == "2005")
sp12 <- subset(atheism, nationality == "Spain" & year == "2012")
inference(sp05$response, est = "proportion", type = "ci", method = "theoretical", 
          success = "atheist")
## Single proportion -- success: atheist 
## Summary statistics:

## p_hat = 0.1003 ;  n = 1146 
## Check conditions: number of successes = 115 ; number of failures = 1031 
## Standard error = 0.0089 
## 95 % Confidence interval = ( 0.083 , 0.1177 )
inference(sp12$response, est = "proportion", type = "ci", method = "theoretical", 
          success = "atheist")
## Single proportion -- success: atheist 
## Summary statistics:

## p_hat = 0.09 ;  n = 1145 
## Check conditions: number of successes = 103 ; number of failures = 1042 
## Standard error = 0.0085 
## 95 % Confidence interval = ( 0.0734 , 0.1065 )

The confidence intervals for proportion of aethists in Spain in 2005 and 2012 overlap,

**b.** Is there convincing evidence that the United States has seen a
change in its atheism index between 2005 and 2012?
us05 <- subset(atheism, nationality == "United States" & year == "2005")
inference(us05$response, est = "proportion", type = "ci", method = "theoretical", 
          success = "atheist")
## Single proportion -- success: atheist 
## Summary statistics:

## p_hat = 0.01 ;  n = 1002 
## Check conditions: number of successes = 10 ; number of failures = 992 
## Standard error = 0.0031 
## 95 % Confidence interval = ( 0.0038 , 0.0161 )
p.05=0.01
n05=1002
p.12=0.0499
n12=1002
(p.pooled=(10+50)/(1002+1002))
## [1] 0.02994012
under=((p.pooled*(1-p.pooled))/n05)+((p.pooled*(1-p.pooled))/n12)
(z.us=(p.05-p.12)/sqrt(under))
## [1] -5.240415

Given this z-statistic, the p-value is almost 0, and the null hypothesis (no change in proportion of atheists in the USA between 2005 and 2012) can be rejected.

39*0.05
## [1] 1.95

we’d expect to detect a change simply by chance in 1 country.

(n=(0.5*0.5)/(0.01/1.96)^2)
## [1] 9604

I would have to sample at least 9,604 people.

This is a product of OpenIntro that is released under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported. This lab was written for OpenIntro by Andrew Bray and Mine Çetinkaya-Rundel.