6.6 2010 Healthcare law

p=0.46, n=1012, c=95%, ME=3%

a) False, as we are 100% confident that that proportion in this sample is 46% and lies between 43% and 49%.

b) True, p-ME=43%, p+ME=49%.

We are 95% confident that the proportion of supporters in the population is between 43% and 49%.

c) False, 95% confidence interval is for the population proportions and not for the sample proportions.

d) False, if the confidence level decreased to 90%, we are less sure that it contains the true population proportion and the interval becomes narrower.

6.12 Legalization of marijuana

a) the 48% is based on a sample of 1259 and is therefore a sample statistic.

b)c=95%, z=1.96, ME is calculated as follows

1.96 * sqrt((0.48*(1-0.48)/1259))
## [1] 0.02759723

p-ME=.4524, p+ME=.5076

WE are 95% confident that the true proportion of residents who think marijuana should be legalized is between 45.24 to 50.76%.

c)No of success=12590.48=604 ####No of failure=1259(1-0.48)=655

As both are at least 10, the normal distribution is an appropriate approximate.

d)Since 46% is not majority, the news piece is not justified.

6.20 Legalize marijuana

No of americans we need to survey is

(1.96*(sqrt(.48*.52)/.02))^2
## [1] 2397.158

6.28 Sleep deprivation

p1=.08, p2=.088, n1=11545, n2=4691, c=95%, z=1.96

ME is calculated as follows

1.96*sqrt((.08*.92/11545)+(.088*.912/4691))
## [1] 0.009498128

The endpoints of the confidence interval are

.08-.088-.00949
## [1] -0.01749
.08-.088+.00949
## [1] 0.00149

We are 95% confident that the true proportion of sleep deprived Californians is between 1.75% lower and

####.15% higher than the true proportion of sleep deprived Oregonians.

6.44 Barking Deer

a) Ho: p1=4.8%, p2=14.7%, p3=39.6%, p4=100-rest=40.9%

Ha: At least one of the p is different

b) We need to use Chi Square goodness of fit test

c) Independence, satisfied given that the areas are independent of each other.

Samplesize/distribution: satisfied, as the expected values are at least 5 as belows

((4-(426*.048))^2)/(426*.048)
## [1] 13.23047
((16-(426*.147))^2)/(426*.147)
## [1] 34.71002
((67-(426*.396))^2)/(426*.396)  
## [1] 61.306
((345-(426*.409))^2)/(426*.409)
## [1] 167.367

d)Chi Square test

chisq.test(x=c(4,16,67,345),p=c(0.048,0.147,0.396,0.409))
## 
##  Chi-squared test for given probabilities
## 
## data:  c(4, 16, 67, 345)
## X-squared = 272.69, df = 3, p-value < 2.2e-16

P is low so we accept the Alternate Hypothesis

There is a statistically significant difference in the above proportions.

6.48 Coffee and Depression

a) Chi Square 2 way test

b) Ho: There is no difference between the consumption of coffee between women with depression and women without depression.

Ha: There is a difference between the consumption of coffee between women with depression and women without depression.

c) Women who suffer from depression

pd<-2607/50739

Women who do not suffer from depression

pnd<-48132/50739

d) Expected count

exp<-6617*pd
exp
## [1] 339.9854

Contribution to test statistic

ts<-(373-exp)^2/exp
ts
## [1] 3.205914

e) df=(2-1)*(5-1)=4

p=1-pchisq(20.93,4)
p
## [1] 0.0003269507

f) Since p is less than 0.05, we reject the null and accept the alternate hypotheis.

g) I agree, the effects may be due to some other variable not included in this study.

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