Boeing 737: Aircraft Risk Analytics

Kyaw Thu
12-Mar-2019

Objective of the Study

  • To explore the risk of airplanes crash based on the events happened in the period of 2018-2019
  • To describe the risk percentage of flight aviation commercial airlines
  • To process data cleaning about severe risk data
  • Data Visualisation: Airplane crashes in 2018-2019 Q1
  • Case study: Boeing 737 Max 8
  • Market Response Analysis

Data Preparation

Getting Data Source of data are from the database of the following links

Preprocessing

As data are in the raw form, I use Python xml library to parse data from the link and cleaning data in excel for visualisation purpose.

Percentage of Accidents in general

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High Risk

Database shows that the landing may have the highest risk of accident for the flight, but who knows..

RiskData
             phase perc
1 loadingUnloading   12
2          takeoff   12
3         iniClimb    8
4           flapUp   10
5           Cruise    8
6          descent    4
7         iniAppro   10
8       finalAppro   11
9          landing   25

Airplane Crashes in 2018-2019Q1

The fatalities greater than 20

         Date          AcType Fata
1 11 Feb 2018  Antonov_AN-148   71
2 18 Feb 2018          EP_ATS   66
3 06 Mar 2018 Antonov_An-26RF   39
4 12 Mar 2018    DHC-8_402Q-8   51
5 11 Apr 2018 Ilyushin76-TD7T  257
6 18 May 2018       Boeing737  112
7 04 Aug 2018 Junkers_JU-52HB   20
8 29 Oct 2018       Boeing737  189
9 10 Mar 2019       Boeing737  157

Airplane crash Data Visualisation

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Case Study: Boeing 737 Records in 2018-2019Q1

The fatalities data history

         Date    Operator Fata
1 18 May 2018      Cubana  112
2 29 Oct 2018     LionAir  189
3 10 Mar 2019 EthiopoaAir  157

Airworthiness and operator decision

       Operator Status num
1     SouthWest   oper  31
2   AmericanAir   susp  22
3     AirCanada   oper  20
4        NorAir   oper  18
5    ChinaSouth   susp  16
6      AirChina   susp  14
7      FlyDubai   oper  14
8       LionAir   susp  14
9     ChinaEast   susp  13
10       United   oper  12
11      WestJet   oper  12
12    TuiTravel   oper  11
13    XiamenAir   susp   9
14    HainanAir   susp   8
15     SpiceJet   oper   8
16      Turkish   oper   8
17          GOL   susp   7
18  ShandongAir   susp   7
19       AerCap   oper   6
20   Aeromexico   susp   6
21         Copa   oper   5
22 EthiopianAir   susp   5
23     QatarAir   oper   5
24  ShenzhenAir   susp   5
25      SilkAir   susp   5

Plot of Suspension

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Summary

Almost a third of 737 Max 8 fleet is grounded with the ground order.

Market Responses: BA Stock

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Decline is not amazing for BA

Stock of BA declined 6.15 percent at 20 March 2019.