Aram Sethian
12/23/2018
09/27/2017, The U.S. Department of Education today released the FY 2014 three-year federal student loan cohort default rate. The rate increased slightly from 11.3 percent to 11.5 percent for students who entered repayment between fiscal years 2013 and 2014.
The data set contains 4,873 observations, consisting of university information, plan participation size, and 3 years of default data.
library(dplyr)
x<-read.csv("peps300.csv",stringsAsFactors=FALSE)
x[,13:29]<-sapply(x[,13:29],as.numeric)
dim(x)
[1] 4873 29
hist(x$DRate.1)
The chart below plots mean default rates by state and territory, in alphabetical order.
xsub<-x %>% group_by(State) %>% summarise(DRate.1=mean(DRate.1,na.rm=TRUE))
plot(xsub$DRate.1,main="Default Rates by State",xlab="State Index",ylab="Default Rate")
The Department of Education uses this data to sanction schools that are facing default rates of 30% or greater for 3 consecutive years or more than 40% for the latest year, or both. While the press release singled out 10 such schools, the data shows as many as 16 meeting this criteria.
However, while Daymar College, Jay's Technical Institute, Headquarter's Academy, Cosmetic Arts, and Culpeper Cosmetology were singled out in the press release, they did not seem to meet the expressed criteria for sanctions.
xdef<-subset(x,DRate.1>40 | (DRate.1>=30 & DRate.2>=30 & DRate.3>=30) & (!is.na(DRate.1) | !is.na(DRate.2) | !is.na(DRate.3)))
xdef$Name
[1] "SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY COMMUNITY AND TECHNICAL COLLEGE "
[2] "ISOTHERMAL COMMUNITY COLLEGE "
[3] "CHERYL FELL'S SCHOOL OF BUSINESS "
[4] "UNITED TRIBES TECHNICAL COLLEGE "
[5] "THEOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY OF THE CARIBBEAN "
[6] "ROB ROY ACADEMY "
[7] "PONCA CITY BEAUTY COLLEGE "
[8] "FAMILY OF FAITH CHRISTIAN UNIVERSITY "
[9] "FLORIDA ACADEMY OF HEALTH & BEAUTY "
[10] "LARRY'S BARBER COLLEGE "
[11] "NASHVILLE BARBER AND STYLE ACADEMY "
[12] "TOMORROW'S IMAGE BARBER & BEAUTY ACADEMY OF VIRGINIA "
[13] "FIRST CLASS COSMETOLOGY SCHOOL "
[14] "LONG ISLAND BARBER INSTITUTE (THE) "
[15] "ADVANCE BEAUTY TECHS ACADEMY "
[16] "SHARP EDGEZ BARBER INSTITUTE "
[17] "CHAMP'S BARBER SCHOOL "