Seattle's Perfect Summer: Fact or Fiction?

Stephanie Roark
12-12-2018

Seattle's Perfect Summer Day

Seattle's Summer

Seattle's Perfect Summer: Fact or Fiction?

Fact!

  • The number of perfect weather days in Seattle is increasing on average every year!
  • Perfect weather days tend to occur more in the summer time when the rain dries up
  • Air quality issues of summer wildfires have not greatly impacted the number of perfect days
  • Weekends do not tend to be more rainy than weekdays in the summer time

Seattle's Perfect Summer: Fact or Fiction?

Data: Talk about data and where obtained

  • NOAA's weather dataset measured at Seattle-Tacoma Airport (SeaTac) spanning from 1948 to present, containing 50 variables including both max and min temperature and precipitation: Seattle Daily
  • EPA's pre-generated air quality dataset with the air quality index by day for every county in the US and spanning from 01.01.1980 to 11.27.2018: AQI
  • Seattle events data: Seattle Special Events Data

Temperature and Air Quality from 2012 to 2017

Consistent Temperature and Air Quailty Ranges

plot of chunk airqualityindex_plot

Rain Rain Rain

Seattle's Rain

Precipitation

We can see gaps in precipitation

plot of chunk rain_plot

What is Perfect?

working definition of perfect weather

  • Temperature Range between 55 and 85 degrees F
  • Air Quality index below 100 which is the max range for moderate air quality before the air quality becomes unhealthy for sensitive groups
  • Precipitation less than or equal to 0.05 inches per day

Seattle's Pefect Days

The Perfect Weather days tend to happen in middle of year

plot of chunk perfect weather table plot

Predicting Perfect Weather Days

The number of perfect days on average is increasing by 0.79 days per year

plot of chunk lm

[1] 428
[1] 0.2790091

Weekends and Events

  • 428 perfect weather days fall on weekends, which is 27.9% of the perfect weather days

  • 22 events dates coincide with perfect weather dates and that these dates occur between June 1 and September 30

Conclusion - Follow up analysis

Follow up analysis could compare other Pacific Northwest cities and/or cities around the US to see if Seattle's summer is really special.