Many college courses conclude by giving students the opportunity to evaluate the course and the instructor anonymously. However, the use of these student evaluations as an indicator of course quality and teaching effectiveness is often criticized because these measures may reflect the influence of non-teaching related characteristics, such as the physical appearance of the instructor. The article titled, “Beauty in the classroom: instructors’ pulchritude and putative pedagogical productivity” (Hamermesh and Parker, 2005) found that instructors who are viewed to be better looking receive higher instructional ratings. (Daniel S. Hamermesh, Amy Parker, Beauty in the classroom: instructors pulchritude and putative pedagogical productivity, Economics of Education Review, Volume 24, Issue 4, August 2005, Pages 369-376, ISSN 0272-7757, 10.1016/j.econedurev.2004.07.013. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0272775704001165.)
In this lab we will analyze the data from this study in order to learn what goes into a positive professor evaluation.
The data were gathered from end of semester student evaluations for a large sample of professors from the University of Texas at Austin. In addition, six students rated the professors’ physical appearance. (This is aslightly modified version of the original data set that was released as part of the replication data for Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models (Gelman and Hill, 2007).) The result is a data frame where each row contains a different course and columns represent variables about the courses and professors.
load("more/evals.RData")
library(DATA606)## Loading required package: shiny
## Loading required package: openintro
## Please visit openintro.org for free statistics materials
##
## Attaching package: 'openintro'
## The following object is masked from 'package:lattice':
##
## lsegments
## The following objects are masked from 'package:datasets':
##
## cars, trees
## Loading required package: OIdata
## Loading required package: RCurl
## Loading required package: bitops
## Loading required package: maps
## Loading required package: ggplot2
##
## Attaching package: 'ggplot2'
## The following object is masked from 'package:openintro':
##
## diamonds
## Loading required package: markdown
##
## Welcome to CUNY DATA606 Statistics and Probability for Data Analytics
## This package is designed to support this course. The text book used
## is OpenIntro Statistics, 3rd Edition. You can read this by typing
## vignette('os3') or visit www.OpenIntro.org.
##
## The getLabs() function will return a list of the labs available.
##
## The demo(package='DATA606') will list the demos that are available.
##
## Attaching package: 'DATA606'
## The following object is masked from 'package:utils':
##
## demo
| variable | description |
|---|---|
score |
average professor evaluation score: (1) very unsatisfactory - (5) excellent. |
rank |
rank of professor: teaching, tenure track, tenured. |
ethnicity |
ethnicity of professor: not minority, minority. |
gender |
gender of professor: female, male. |
language |
language of school where professor received education: english or non-english. |
age |
age of professor. |
cls_perc_eval |
percent of students in class who completed evaluation. |
cls_did_eval |
number of students in class who completed evaluation. |
cls_students |
total number of students in class. |
cls_level |
class level: lower, upper. |
cls_profs |
number of professors teaching sections in course in sample: single, multiple. |
cls_credits |
number of credits of class: one credit (lab, PE, etc.), multi credit. |
bty_f1lower |
beauty rating of professor from lower level female: (1) lowest - (10) highest. |
bty_f1upper |
beauty rating of professor from upper level female: (1) lowest - (10) highest. |
bty_f2upper |
beauty rating of professor from second upper level female: (1) lowest - (10) highest. |
bty_m1lower |
beauty rating of professor from lower level male: (1) lowest - (10) highest. |
bty_m1upper |
beauty rating of professor from upper level male: (1) lowest - (10) highest. |
bty_m2upper |
beauty rating of professor from second upper level male: (1) lowest - (10) highest. |
bty_avg |
average beauty rating of professor. |
pic_outfit |
outfit of professor in picture: not formal, formal. |
pic_color |
color of professor’s picture: color, black & white. |
As stated this is an observational study, not an experiment since no control group is part of the analysis. A possibility would be to add a group of students taking the class who are not able to see the instructor and his or hers appearance. Then again this might also affect the results as students might rate differently a class where the instructor is not visible. No instructor visible is in effect the appearance of the instructor. So this study is an observation.
Observation studies in general can not be used to identify and prove causation. They can however be used to determine correlation. In this case we should rephrase the question to something a long these lines: Does the physical appearance of the instructor affect how students evaluate the course?
score. Is the distribution skewed? What does that tell you about how students rate courses? Is this what you expected to see? Why, or why not?As seen below, the distribution is normal but with a left skew. This basically tells us student tend to grade the courses on the high side of the scale, with a smaller amount of students giving the course a lower mark. The distribution is very much as expected, in general my experience is that courses tent to get grader towards the high side of the scale, with some low scores coming from a few students who had certain difficulties
score, select two other variables and describe their relationship using an appropriate visualization (scatterplot, side-by-side boxplots, or mosaic plot).The two selected variables are age and average beauty rating
We plot a scatered plot to see if there is any evident relationship. The plot below seems to suggest there is a negative relationship, that is average beuty decreases as the profesor gets older.
m <- lm(bty_avg ~ age, data=evals)
summary(m)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = bty_avg ~ age, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -3.4326 -1.1254 -0.1971 0.6859 3.8724
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 6.713283 0.341083 19.682 < 2e-16 ***
## age -0.047461 0.006912 -6.866 2.14e-11 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 1.456 on 461 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.09278, Adjusted R-squared: 0.09082
## F-statistic: 47.15 on 1 and 461 DF, p-value: 2.137e-11
plot(x=evals$age, y=evals$bty_avg)
abline(m)The side-by-side box plot show how different ages have different ranges of beauty. Similar to the scattered plot, we see how at higher ages the averages tend lower. We also see that the ranges get tighter especially for the last few high ages
boxplot(evals$bty_avg ~ evals$age)The mosaic plot also shows how at higher ages, the beauty average decreases - y axis is reversed. The Mosaic plot also shows groups or beauty ratings for each age
mosaicplot(~ age + bty_avg, data = evals,cex.axis = 0.44)The fundamental phenomenon suggested by the study is that better looking teachers are evaluated more favorably. Let’s create a scatterplot to see if this appears to be the case:
plot(evals$score ~ evals$bty_avg)Before we draw conclusions about the trend, compare the number of observations in the data frame with the approximate number of points on the scatterplot. Is anything awry?
We see below the number of observations for this dataset. Looking at the scattered plot, there does not seem to be that name points on it. We did a quick check to see if there were any NAs in our observations that might explain this lack of points on the plot, but did not find any NAs. Sn is there some data missing?
nrow(evals)## [1] 463
sum(is.na(evals$score))## [1] 0
sum(is.na(evals$bty_avg))## [1] 0
jitter() on the \(y\)- or the \(x\)-coordinate. (Use ?jitter to learn more.) What was misleading about the initial scatterplot?After adding jitter we see many more points show up. Our initial plot had a large number of points overlaying each other
plot(evals$score ~ jitter(evals$bty_avg))m_bty to predict average professor score by average beauty rating and add the line to your plot using abline(m_bty). Write out the equation for the linear model and interpret the slope. Is average beauty score a statistically significant predictor? Does it appear to be a practically significant predictor?m_bty <- lm(evals$score ~ evals$bty_avg)
plot(evals$score ~ jitter(evals$bty_avg))
abline(m_bty)summary(m_bty)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = evals$score ~ evals$bty_avg)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.9246 -0.3690 0.1420 0.3977 0.9309
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.88034 0.07614 50.96 < 2e-16 ***
## evals$bty_avg 0.06664 0.01629 4.09 5.08e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5348 on 461 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.03502, Adjusted R-squared: 0.03293
## F-statistic: 16.73 on 1 and 461 DF, p-value: 5.083e-05
From the summary above the formula is:
\(\widehat{score}=3.88034 + 0.06664\times beauty\_avg\)
Because the p-value for average beauty is very small, close to zero, we can say it is a statistically significant predictor. But because it is very small, it is not practically significant. A change of 1 in bty_avg would only represent a 0.06664 change in the score.
First we show a plot of the regression line and the error squares. We then look at the conditions to see if the regression is reasonable
plot_ss(x = evals$bty_avg, y = evals$score, showSquares = TRUE)## Click two points to make a line.
## Call:
## lm(formula = y ~ x, data = pts)
##
## Coefficients:
## (Intercept) x
## 3.88034 0.06664
##
## Sum of Squares: 131.868
Linearity: we do not see a pattern which suggest there is linearity between beauty and score
plot(m_bty$residuals ~ evals$bty_avg)
abline(h = 0, lty = 3)Nearly normal residuals: we see a normal shaped historgram (with some left skew), with the probability plot showing most points very close to the line.
hist(m_bty$residuals)qqnorm(m_bty$residuals)
qqline(m_bty$residuals) Constant variability: we are see the data with constant variability
Independent observations: it might be reasonable to assume each student observation is independent of each other, although maybe something that should be looked into with more detail
The data set contains several variables on the beauty score of the professor: individual ratings from each of the six students who were asked to score the physical appearance of the professors and the average of these six scores. Let’s take a look at the relationship between one of these scores and the average beauty score.
plot(evals$bty_avg ~ evals$bty_f1lower)cor(evals$bty_avg, evals$bty_f1lower)## [1] 0.8439112
As expected the relationship is quite strong - after all, the average score is calculated using the individual scores. We can actually take a look at the relationships between all beauty variables (columns 13 through 19) using the following command:
plot(evals[,13:19])These variables are collinear (correlated), and adding more than one of these variables to the model would not add much value to the model. In this application and with these highly-correlated predictors, it is reasonable to use the average beauty score as the single representative of these variables.
In order to see if beauty is still a significant predictor of professor score after we’ve accounted for the gender of the professor, we can add the gender term into the model.
m_bty_gen <- lm(score ~ bty_avg + gender, data = evals)
summary(m_bty_gen)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ bty_avg + gender, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.8305 -0.3625 0.1055 0.4213 0.9314
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.74734 0.08466 44.266 < 2e-16 ***
## bty_avg 0.07416 0.01625 4.563 6.48e-06 ***
## gendermale 0.17239 0.05022 3.433 0.000652 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5287 on 460 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.05912, Adjusted R-squared: 0.05503
## F-statistic: 14.45 on 2 and 460 DF, p-value: 8.177e-07
Linearity: we do not see a pattern which suggest there is linearity
plot(evals$score ~ evals$bty_avg)
abline(m_bty_gen)## Warning in abline(m_bty_gen): only using the first two of 3 regression
## coefficients
plot(evals$score ~ evals$gender)Nearly normal residuals: we see a normal shaped historgram (with some left skew), with the probability plot showing most points very close to the line.
hist(m_bty_gen$residuals)qqnorm(m_bty_gen$residuals)
qqline(m_bty_gen$residuals)Constant variability: we are see the data with constant variability
plot(m_bty_gen$residuals ~ evals$bty_avg)
abline(h = 0)Independent observations: It is reasonable to expect the observations to be independent, same as before, with them representing less than 10% of the population
bty_avg still a significant predictor of score? Has the addition of gender to the model changed the parameter estimate for bty_avg?Yes it still is a significant predictor, and by adding gender we see a more significant prediction as noted by a decrease in the p-value
Note that the estimate for gender is now called gendermale. You’ll see this name change whenever you introduce a categorical variable. The reason is that R recodes gender from having the values of female and male to being an indicator variable called gendermale that takes a value of \(0\) for females and a value of \(1\) for males. (Such variables are often referred to as “dummy” variables.)
As a result, for females, the parameter estimate is multiplied by zero, leaving the intercept and slope form familiar from simple regression.
\[ \begin{aligned} \widehat{score} &= \hat{\beta}_0 + \hat{\beta}_1 \times bty\_avg + \hat{\beta}_2 \times (0) \\ &= \hat{\beta}_0 + \hat{\beta}_1 \times bty\_avg\end{aligned} \]
We can plot this line and the line corresponding to males with the following custom function.
multiLines(m_bty_gen)summary(m_bty_gen)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ bty_avg + gender, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.8305 -0.3625 0.1055 0.4213 0.9314
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.74734 0.08466 44.266 < 2e-16 ***
## bty_avg 0.07416 0.01625 4.563 6.48e-06 ***
## gendermale 0.17239 0.05022 3.433 0.000652 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5287 on 460 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.05912, Adjusted R-squared: 0.05503
## F-statistic: 14.45 on 2 and 460 DF, p-value: 8.177e-07
\(\widehat{score}=\beta^0+\beta^1×bty_avg+\beta^2×Male\)
\(\widehat{score}=3.74734+0.07416×bty_avg+0.17239×1\)
\(\widehat{score}=3.91973+0.07416×bty_avg\)
Males would score higher than females as per this model
The decision to call the indicator variable gendermale instead ofgenderfemale has no deeper meaning. R simply codes the category that comes first alphabetically as a \(0\). (You can change the reference level of a categorical variable, which is the level that is coded as a 0, using therelevel function. Use ?relevel to learn more.)
m_bty_rank with gender removed and rank added in. How does R appear to handle categorical variables that have more than two levels? Note that the rank variable has three levels: teaching, tenure track, tenured.m_bty_rank <- lm(score ~ bty_avg + rank, data = evals)
multiLines(m_bty_rank)summary(m_bty_rank)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ bty_avg + rank, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.8713 -0.3642 0.1489 0.4103 0.9525
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.98155 0.09078 43.860 < 2e-16 ***
## bty_avg 0.06783 0.01655 4.098 4.92e-05 ***
## ranktenure track -0.16070 0.07395 -2.173 0.0303 *
## ranktenured -0.12623 0.06266 -2.014 0.0445 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5328 on 459 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.04652, Adjusted R-squared: 0.04029
## F-statistic: 7.465 on 3 and 459 DF, p-value: 6.88e-05
Different models, linear equations, are calculated for the three levels
The interpretation of the coefficients in multiple regression is slightly different from that of simple regression. The estimate for bty_avg reflects how much higher a group of professors is expected to score if they have a beauty rating that is one point higher while holding all other variables constant. In this case, that translates into considering only professors of the same rank with bty_avg scores that are one point apart.
We will start with a full model that predicts professor score based on rank, ethnicity, gender, language of the university where they got their degree, age, proportion of students that filled out evaluations, class size, course level, number of professors, number of credits, average beauty rating, outfit, and picture color.
I would expect the size of the class of the number of professors to be the least relevant and thus have the highest P-values
Let’s run the model…
m_full <- lm(score ~ rank + ethnicity + gender + language + age + cls_perc_eval
+ cls_students + cls_level + cls_profs + cls_credits + bty_avg
+ pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
summary(m_full)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ rank + ethnicity + gender + language + age +
## cls_perc_eval + cls_students + cls_level + cls_profs + cls_credits +
## bty_avg + pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.77397 -0.32432 0.09067 0.35183 0.95036
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.0952141 0.2905277 14.096 < 2e-16 ***
## ranktenure track -0.1475932 0.0820671 -1.798 0.07278 .
## ranktenured -0.0973378 0.0663296 -1.467 0.14295
## ethnicitynot minority 0.1234929 0.0786273 1.571 0.11698
## gendermale 0.2109481 0.0518230 4.071 5.54e-05 ***
## languagenon-english -0.2298112 0.1113754 -2.063 0.03965 *
## age -0.0090072 0.0031359 -2.872 0.00427 **
## cls_perc_eval 0.0053272 0.0015393 3.461 0.00059 ***
## cls_students 0.0004546 0.0003774 1.205 0.22896
## cls_levelupper 0.0605140 0.0575617 1.051 0.29369
## cls_profssingle -0.0146619 0.0519885 -0.282 0.77806
## cls_creditsone credit 0.5020432 0.1159388 4.330 1.84e-05 ***
## bty_avg 0.0400333 0.0175064 2.287 0.02267 *
## pic_outfitnot formal -0.1126817 0.0738800 -1.525 0.12792
## pic_colorcolor -0.2172630 0.0715021 -3.039 0.00252 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.498 on 448 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.1871, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1617
## F-statistic: 7.366 on 14 and 448 DF, p-value: 6.552e-14
P-values for the two variables are: number of students 0.22896 and number of profesors 0.77806
Number of professors is the highest P-value so clearly the least significant variable as expected. Number of students is also pretty high, being the third highest, as expected significance is also poor
This coefficient tells us that while keeping all other variables equal, the score tends to be 0.1234929 higher when the instructor is not a minority.
As seen in the model below, the coefficient did change. This change is an indication that independent variables are correlated with each other.
m_no_numprof<-lm(score~rank+ethnicity+gender+language+age+cls_perc_eval+cls_students+cls_level+cls_credits+bty_avg+pic_outfit+pic_color,data=evals)
summary(m_no_numprof)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ rank + ethnicity + gender + language + age +
## cls_perc_eval + cls_students + cls_level + cls_credits +
## bty_avg + pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.7836 -0.3257 0.0859 0.3513 0.9551
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.0872523 0.2888562 14.150 < 2e-16 ***
## ranktenure track -0.1476746 0.0819824 -1.801 0.072327 .
## ranktenured -0.0973829 0.0662614 -1.470 0.142349
## ethnicitynot minority 0.1274458 0.0772887 1.649 0.099856 .
## gendermale 0.2101231 0.0516873 4.065 5.66e-05 ***
## languagenon-english -0.2282894 0.1111305 -2.054 0.040530 *
## age -0.0089992 0.0031326 -2.873 0.004262 **
## cls_perc_eval 0.0052888 0.0015317 3.453 0.000607 ***
## cls_students 0.0004687 0.0003737 1.254 0.210384
## cls_levelupper 0.0606374 0.0575010 1.055 0.292200
## cls_creditsone credit 0.5061196 0.1149163 4.404 1.33e-05 ***
## bty_avg 0.0398629 0.0174780 2.281 0.023032 *
## pic_outfitnot formal -0.1083227 0.0721711 -1.501 0.134080
## pic_colorcolor -0.2190527 0.0711469 -3.079 0.002205 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.4974 on 449 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.187, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1634
## F-statistic: 7.943 on 13 and 449 DF, p-value: 2.336e-14
m_opt<-lm(score~gender+language+age+cls_perc_eval+cls_credits+bty_avg+pic_color,data=evals)
summary(m_opt)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ gender + language + age + cls_perc_eval +
## cls_credits + bty_avg + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.81919 -0.32035 0.09272 0.38526 0.88213
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.967255 0.215824 18.382 < 2e-16 ***
## gendermale 0.221457 0.049937 4.435 1.16e-05 ***
## languagenon-english -0.281933 0.098341 -2.867 0.00434 **
## age -0.005877 0.002622 -2.241 0.02551 *
## cls_perc_eval 0.004295 0.001432 2.999 0.00286 **
## cls_creditsone credit 0.444392 0.100910 4.404 1.33e-05 ***
## bty_avg 0.048679 0.016974 2.868 0.00432 **
## pic_colorcolor -0.216556 0.066625 -3.250 0.00124 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5014 on 455 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.1631, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1502
## F-statistic: 12.67 on 7 and 455 DF, p-value: 6.996e-15
#function to implement optimal model
model_score <-function(gender,language,age,cls_perc_eval,cls_credits,bty_avg,pic_color){
out <-( 3.967255 + 0.221457*gender - 0.281933*language - 0.005877*age + 0.004295*cls_perc_eval + 0.444392*cls_credits + 0.048679*bty_avg - 0.216556*pic_color)
return(out)
}
#we compare for the first observation
opt_model<-model_score(0, 1, 36, 55.81395, 1, 5, 1)
comp<-evals$score[1]-opt_model
comp## [1] 0.5152981
Plot seems reasonable:
-As seen below residuals show a normal distribution with some left skew.
hist(m_opt$residuals)qqnorm(m_opt$residuals)
qqline(m_opt$residuals)-We observe constant variability
plot(abs(m_opt$residuals) ~ m_opt$fitted.values)plot(m_opt$residuals ~ evals$gender)plot(m_opt$residuals ~ evals$language)plot(m_opt$residuals ~ evals$cls_credits)plot(m_opt$residuals ~ evals$pic_color)plot(m_opt$residuals ~ evals$bty_avg)plot(m_opt$residuals ~ evals$cls_perc_eval)plot(m_opt$residuals ~ evals$age)-As before we assume independent observations
Observations should be independent. This case we might have several observations for the same professor for courses also attended by the same student, in which case the observations wouldn’t be independent.
Highest score would be for a male who speaks english, teaches low credits and has a black and white photo.
It can definitely be generalized to this particular university’s population. If could also be generalized to particular universities that share some of the same characteristics as University of Texas, schools with similar populations. However, being able to make that generalization, and find which universities are to be considered with similar populations would require more work.
This is a product of OpenIntro that is released under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported. This lab was written by Mine Çetinkaya-Rundel and Andrew Bray.