I. Introduction

This document aims to evaluate the Aurora Energy Network based on the disclosure data available on the Internet. Although, the availability of these general data, they require many manipulations to become workable. Despite the lack of specifics data to drive a deep study, I will gather some information in a simple descriptive analysis in the Chapter 2, and later in Chapter 3 a cross analysis between all company facets. In Chapter 4 I will show a benchmarking and a comparison among Aurora Energy and Similars Companies. Based on the previous chapters the Chapter 5 will bundle the results into a global understanding. Finally, in Chapter 6 the Conclusions.

I encourage the reader to reproduce this document on your computer. I made a great effort to comment every line to let this code understandable and reproducible. Fork me on Github.

II. Sinopsis

Despite the fact, the report is no finished and will be continually updated over the next days, this first release comes to show, very briefly, the outcomes from an initial study.

  • The Aurora Energy Dashboard purpose was to provide a data visualisation of the New Zealand Electricity Market (similar to NZCC tableau), furthermore, a complete tool to registry each step of the analysis.

  • The Descriptive Analysis in Chapter 2 was essential to a better understanding of the New Zealand Electricity Market, but there are plenty of typos and double entries, sometimes double entries with different values, which demand treatment and cross-validation with the other variables.

III. Document Structure

In this report, you can use the table of content on your left side to navigate, it is easy to use, very straightforward, and show all content until the second sub-level of each chapter.

1. General Information

In a collaborative mindset of the work environment, I need to give the credits to the person who has aided in this research directly and indirectly. For this reason, I put this section, to describe where I acquired the data, which software, and who developed or disclosure this on the web.

1.1. Data Sources

All data for this analysis was available on the internet.

  • Electricity Distribution Services Input Methodologies Determination 2012 (NZCC 2018);

  • Electricity distributors information disclosures (Commission 2018a)

  • Aurora Energy Website

  • GeoJSON file

Most of the features of this document are Open Source and free for use.

1.2. Softwares

I performed this studies adopting the R Language (Ihaka and Gentleman 1996), which was created by Ross Ihaka and Robert Gentleman, both researchers of the University of Auckland in 1995. So, I employed as work environment the RStudio IDE with the following versions:

  • R Version 3.5.1 (R Core Team 2018) (Website);

  • RStudio Version 1.1.456 (Website).

1.3. A briefly introduction about data

Unfortunately, the dataset provided by the New Zealand Commerce Commission (NZCC) is not a tidy dataset according to (Grolemund 2018), and for this reason, I have created a new version of the database so-called neat database.

One reason to make a great effort to registry all data modification is due to this document must be reproducible, reusable for later improvements implementation (with minors adjustments), and the most important is anyone can update it without much effort (time spent).

2. Descriptive Analysis

In this chapter, I will show a straightforward statistical descriptive without the intention of deep understanding and what drive the results. I only want to know the big picture of the company, what is the trend and the overall rates. For this reason, this chapter is very long and exhaustively. You may want to waived this chapter to the Chapter 3, which is richier in analysis.

2.1. Distribution Network in Otago

Aurora Energy is a Line company of New Zealand, located majority in Otago Regional and a minor part in Southland Regional. According to the 2018 Annual Report supplies energy to almost 90,000 homes(Energy 2018), which represents more than 89,000 consumers in 6,683 lines kilometres. Geographically, the company share the Otago Regional electricity distribution with OtagoNet and for this reason has two networks: Central Otago and Dunedin. Figure 1, acqured at (Commission 2018b), shows the concession area of Aurora Energy within Otago Regional and Southland Regional.

Aurora Energy Concession Area
Aurora Energy Area
New Zealand Map


For the sake of this report, I will name these two regions as: Dunedin Regional and Central Otago Regional.

Due to the outstanding quantity of information to manage and fit, I have created a mind map to this report. I will share the outcome of this mind map, which helped me so much.

From now, the rest of chapter2 will be exclusively about descriptive statistics to produce an in-depth overview of Aurora Energy network, which will support better conclusions and analysis.

2.2. Network

This short chapter was to count the consumers’ number, distributed energy, and losses.

2.2.1. Consumers

As shown in Table 1, both Regional has increased past these 6 years, but the Central Otago showed a higher growth rate (increase more than 10% in 6 years) as shown in Graphic 1. The majority of consumer was based in Dunedin Regional, which represents about 62% of the total consumer. It is also possible to see a increasing trend.

Based on it, the Table 1 represents the consumers of each Division.

The majority of consumer was located in Dunedin, about 62.58% which represent more than 55.000 consumer, and almost 33.000 consumer was settled in Central Otago. The trend in the last 5 year is the Central Otago increasing its participation on the total share, although Dunedin also increase its connnection number. The growth observed in these last 5 years was 4.04% in Otago Regional, but looking Central Otago separetaly its growth reach 8.95%. For this reason, the Central Otago could sature your power supply.

Table 1

Consumers in Aurora Energy

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total Consumers
2,018 33,959 37.90 55,534 61.97 89,609
2,017 32,943 37.31 55,259 62.58 88,305
2,016 31,876 36.69 54,912 63.21 86,870
2,015 31,119 36.24 54,662 63.66 85,863
2,014 30,795 36.01 54,638 63.89 85,515
2,013 30,237 35.63 54,557 64.28 84,875
Graphic 1

Conclusions:

  • The overall is a positive growth rate with Central Otago growing 1.95%/year (annualized rate) and Dunedin Regional 0.30%/year (annualized rate);
  • In Graphic 1 is possible to see a slight positive trend line.
  • The net change in Central Otago Regional was 3722 and Dunedin Regional was 977, this explains the increasing share in Central Otago Regional.

2.2.2. Total Energy Entering

Total energy entering is calculated based on the Equation (1).

\[\begin{equation} \small E_{entering} = E_{delivered,GXP} + E_{supplied,DR} - E_{exported,GXP} + E_{other,EDB} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} E_{entering}: & \text{Total Energy Entering in Aurora Energy Network [MWh/year]} \\ E_{delivered,GXP}: & \text{Energy Delivered at Grid Exit Points [MWh/year]} \\ E_{supplied,DR}: & \text{Distributed Energy Supplied [MWh/year]} \\ E_{exported,GXP}: & \text{Energy Exported to GPXs [MWh/year]} \\ E_{other,EDB}: & \text{Net electricity supplied to (from) other EDBs [MWh/year]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 2.1

Total Energy Entering in Aurora Energy Network

Year Network Energy Delivered at GXP [MWh/year] Distributed Energy Supplied [MWh/year] Energy Exported to GPXs [MWh/year] Net electricity supplied to (from) other EDBs [MWh/year] Total Energy Entering [MWh/year]
2,018 All 1,121 316 37 -1 1,400
2,017 All 1,077 332 46 -1 1,364
2,016 All 1,101 323 36 -1 1,388
2,015 All 1,069 324 47 -1 1,347
2,014 All 1,056 300 36 -1 1,321
2,013 All 1,058 315 44 -1 1,330
Central Otago
2,018 CentralOtago 419 166 35 0 550
2,017 CentralOtago 388 172 42 0 518
2,016 CentralOtago 395 158 33 0 520
2,015 CentralOtago 357 172 44 0 485
2,014 CentralOtago 332 156 34 0 454
2,013 CentralOtago 319 167 42 0 443
Dunedin
2,018 Dunedin 702 150 2 0 849
2,017 Dunedin 689 160 4 0 846
2,016 Dunedin 706 165 3 0 867
2,015 Dunedin 713 152 3 0 862
2,014 Dunedin 724 144 2 0 866
2,013 Dunedin 740 148 2 0 886
Table 2.2

Total Energy Entering in Aurora Energy Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [MWh/Year] [%] Dunedin [MWh/Year] [%] Total Energy Entering [MWh/Year]
2018 550.13 39.28 849.47 60.66 1400.39
2017 517.84 37.96 845.57 61.99 1364.10
2016 519.91 37.46 867.41 62.49 1388.00
2015 484.83 35.99 861.67 63.96 1347.12
2014 454.08 34.38 866.09 65.58 1320.76
2013 443.12 33.32 886.18 66.63 1329.92
Graphic 2.1

Graphic 2.2

Conclusions:

  • Although the global trend is positive the Total Energy Entering in Dunedin Regional is declining over the years. Oppositely, Otago Central has a growth rate of 31.72% from 2013 to 2018, which is 4.7% per year;
  • As a result of this high increase in Otago Regional, the share in the Total Energy Entering has increased from 33.32% in 2013 to 39.28% in 2018;
  • Table 2.1 shows the components share, it noticeable the Energy Delivered at GXP was the principal component, which represents 80.06% in 2018, the other components keep almost steadily over the years.

2.2.3. Total Energy Delivered to ICPs

Total energy delivered is calculated based on the Equation (2).

\[\begin{equation} \small E_{delivered,ICP} = E_{entering} - LOSS \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} E_{delivered,ICP}: & \text{Total energy delivered to ICPs [MWh/year]} \\ E_{entering}: & \text{Total Energy Entering in Aurora Energy Network [MWh/year]} \\ LOSS: & \text{Losses [MWh/year]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 3.1

Total Energy Delivered to ICPs in Aurora Energy Network

Year Network Total Energy Entering [MWh] Losses [MWh] Total Energy Delivered [MWh]
2,018 All 1,400 92 1,308
2,017 All 1,364 80 1,284
2,016 All 1,388 85 1,303
2,015 All 1,347 99 1,248
2,014 All 1,321 71 1,250
2,013 All 1,330 81 1,249
Central Otago
2,018 CentralOtago 550 42 508
2,017 CentralOtago 518 31 487
2,016 CentralOtago 520 40 480
2,015 CentralOtago 485 44 441
2,014 CentralOtago 454 21 433
2,013 CentralOtago 443 28 415
Dunedin
2,018 Dunedin 849 50 799
2,017 Dunedin 846 49 796
2,016 Dunedin 867 45 823
2,015 Dunedin 862 62 799
2,014 Dunedin 866 50 816
2,013 Dunedin 886 45 842
##            used (Mb) gc trigger  (Mb) max used (Mb)
## Ncells  1143006 61.1    1894651 101.2  1143006 61.1
## Vcells 10601287 80.9   54320312 414.5 10601287 80.9
Table 3.2

Losses

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year [MWh] [%] [MWh] [%] [MWh]
2018 41.64 45.21 50.38 54.70 92.10
2017 30.56 38.23 49.36 61.75 79.93
2016 39.85 47.13 44.68 52.85 84.55
2015 43.78 44.23 62.36 63.00 98.98
2014 20.73 29.41 49.75 70.57 70.50
2013 28.32 34.98 44.64 55.14 80.96
Table 3.3

Losses Comparison

Central Otago
Dunedin
Aurora Energy
Year Energy Entering [MWh] Losses [MWh] [%] Energy Entering [MWh]1 Losses [MWh]1 [%]1 Energy Entering [MWh]2 Losses [MWh]2 [%]2
2018 550.13 41.64 7.57 849.47 50.38 5.93 1400.39 92.10 6.58
2017 517.84 30.56 5.90 845.57 49.36 5.84 1364.10 79.93 5.86
2016 519.91 39.85 7.66 867.41 44.68 5.15 1388.00 84.55 6.09
2015 484.83 43.78 9.03 861.67 62.36 7.24 1347.12 98.98 7.35
2014 454.08 20.73 4.57 866.09 49.75 5.74 1320.76 70.50 5.34
2013 443.12 28.32 6.39 886.18 44.64 5.04 1329.92 80.96 6.09
Graphic 3.1

Graphic 3.2

Graphic 3.3

Conclusions:

  • Central Otago has the highest losses, about 8.19% in 2018, supplying only 38.87% of the total energy delivered to ICPs, which is 508 MWh/year. While Dunedin Regional grant energy to more than 61% (799 MWh/year) with losses reaching 6.30%.

Typos

  • Some problems was identified in 2014 and 2015.

2.4.1.1. GXP Energy Delivered

The GXP Energy Delivered is a component of Total Energy Entering in Aurora Energy Network.

Table 4

GXP Energy Supplied by Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [MWh] [%] Dunedin [MWh] [%] Total [MWh]
2018 419.38 37.40 701.84 62.60 1121.22
2017 388.00 36.02 689.24 63.98 1077.24
2016 394.82 35.87 705.77 64.13 1100.59
2015 356.60 33.35 712.64 66.65 1069.23
2014 332.25 31.46 723.76 68.54 1056.01
2013 318.58 30.10 739.76 69.90 1058.34
Graphic 4

Conclusions:

  • It is not visible any trend or disturbs.

  • GXP Energy Delivered is the principal component and determines the trend. It is 85.7% of Total energy delivered to ICPs.

2.4.1.2. Distributed Energy Delivered

It is also a component of Total Energy Entering in Aurora Energy Network.

Table 5

Distributed Energy Supplied by Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [MWh] [%] Dunedin [MWh] [%] Total [MWh]
2018 165.91 52.57 149.68 47.43 315.60
2017 172.04 51.75 160.41 48.25 332.45
2016 157.79 48.89 164.97 51.11 322.76
2015 172.32 53.17 151.75 46.83 324.06
2014 155.75 51.89 144.42 48.11 300.17
2013 166.85 52.95 148.25 47.05 315.10
Graphic 5

Conclusions:

  • It is not visible any trend or disturbs.

2.4.1.3. Exported Energy to GXPs

It is also a component of Total Energy Entering in Aurora Energy Network.

Table 6

Energy Exported to GPXs

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [MWh] [%] Dunedin [MWh] [%] Total [MWh]
2,018 35.14 94.49 2.05 5.51 37.19
2,017 42.19 91.18 4.08 8.82 46.28
2,016 32.70 90.76 3.33 9.24 36.03
2,015 44.08 94.20 2.71 5.80 46.80
2,014 33.92 94.20 2.09 5.80 36.01
2,013 42.31 95.85 1.83 4.15 44.14
Graphic 6

Conclusions:

  • It is not visible any trend or disturbs.

2.3. Assets

This subchapter aims to summarize the quantity of all network and non-network assets in both areas of Aurora Energy.

2.2.1. Network Assets

In this subchapter, I will point out the quantity of each component which is related to the Network such as Length of LV Lines, Poles, Capacitor Banks, etc.

2.2.1.1. Lines and Cable

The equation (3) shows the network length composition of Aurora Energy.

\[\begin{equation} \small L_{TOTAL} = L_{CO} + L_{DU} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} L_{TOTAL}: & \text{Total length (includes Overhead lines and Underground cables) in Aurora Energy Network [km]} \\ L_{CO}: & \text{Total length (includes Overhead lines and Underground cables) in Central Otago Regional [km]} \\ L_{DU}: & \text{Total length (includes Overhead lines and Underground cables) in Dunedin Regional [km]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 7 shows the length by Regional and Graphic 7 shows the trend.

Table 7

Network Length in each Regional

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [km] [%] Dunedin [km] [%] Total [km]
2,018 3,749 56 2,925 44 6,683
2,017 3,624 59 2,511 41 6,135
2,016 3,517 60 2,353 40 5,878
2,015 3,461 60 2,347 40 5,815
2,014 3,436 59 2,516 43 5,796
2,013 3,267 59 2,269 41 5,543
Graphic 7.1

Graphic 7.2

Conclusions:

  • By the Table 7 is possible to see Central Otago Regional has a longer network length than Dunedin Regional;
  • It is necessary to point out the large investment in Dunedin Regional, which extended more than 400 kilometres in one year (about 16.49%). Excluding this leap in network length in Dunedin, the trend line shows a steady growth rate.

A) Overhead Lines (OH)

The equation (4) shows the network length composition of Aurora Energy in respect of Overhead Lines and Underground Cables.

\[\begin{equation} \small L_{OH,TOTAL} = L_{OH,CO} + L_{OH,DU} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} L_{OH,TOTAL}: & \text{Total length Overhead lines in Aurora Energy [km]} \\ L_{OH,CO}: & \text{Total length Overhead lines in Central Otago Regional [km]} \\ L_{OH,CU}: & \text{Total length Overhead lines in Dunedin Regional [km]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 8 shows the Overhead Lines length in each Regional.

Table 8

Overhead Lines in Aurora Energy

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [km] [%] Dunedin [km] [%] Total [km]
2,018 2,252 51 2,147 49 4,399
2,017 2,186 56 1,748 44 3,934
2,016 2,183 56 1,707 44 3,890
2,015 2,183 56 1,707 44 3,890
2,014 2,190 56 1,711 44 3,901
2,013 2,190 56 1,708 44 3,898
Graphic 8

Conclusions:

  • Until 2017, most of the overhead lines, about 56%, was in Central Otago Regional and the proportion was stable (Table 8). However, in 2018 the Overhead lines in Dunedin leap up around 22.8% comparing with Overhead lines length in 2017.

B) Underground Cables (UG)

The equation (5) shows the Underground cables length composition in Aurora Energy.

\[\begin{equation} \small L_{UG,TOTAL} = L_{UG,CO} + L_{UG,DU} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} L_{UG,TOTAL}: & \text{Total length Underground cables in Aurora Energy [km]} \\ L_{UG,CO}: & \text{Total length Underground cables in Central Otago Regional [km]} \\ L_{UG,CU}: & \text{Total length Underground cables in Dunedin Regional [km]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 9

Underground Cables in Aurora Energy

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [km] [%] Dunedin [km] [%] Total [km]
2,018 1,497 66 778 34 2,284
2,017 1,438 65 763 35 2,201
2,016 1,334 67 646 33 1,988
2,015 1,278 66 639 33 1,925
2,014 1,246 66 805 42 1,895
2,013 1,077 65 561 34 1,645
Graphic 9

Conclusions:

The Central Otago regional is in charge of 66% of the total length of Underground Cables. Over the last 6 year the growth rate in both Regional was almost the same:

  • From 2013 to 2018 Central Otago grew by 39%, and;
  • Dunedin in the same period grew by 38.7%) as shown in the Graphic 4.

Typos:

In Table 4, I have found an inconsistency in the data provided in the Commission (2018a), aggregating the columns Central Otago and Dunedin it is different from Total Columns.

C) OH and UG Comparison

The equation (6) shows the network length composition of Aurora Energy in respect of Overhead Lines and Underground Cables.

\[\begin{equation} \small L_{TOTAL} = L_{OH} + L_{UG} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} L_{TOTAL}: & \text{Total length (includes Overhead lines and Underground cables) in Aurora Energy Network [km]} \\ L_{OH}: & \text{Total length Overhead lines in Aurora Energy [km]} \\ L_{UG}: & \text{Total length Underground cables in Aurora Energy [km]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 10

Overhead Lines and Underground Cables Comparison

Overhead
Underground
Year Overhead Lines [km] [%] Underground Cables [km] [%] Total [km]
2,018 4,399 66 2,284 34 6,683
2,017 3,934 64 2,201 36 6,135
2,016 3,890 66 1,988 34 5,878
2,015 3,890 67 1,925 33 5,815
2,014 3,901 67 1,895 33 5,796
2,013 3,898 70 1,645 30 5,543
Graphic 10

Conclusions:

There is a trend to migrate from Overhead Lines to Underground Cables or to opt to use Underground Cables. The Underground Cables growth rate is 20.57% in 6 years (3.17% per year).

D) Rural, Urban and Remoted OH

The Equation (7) shows the composition of Overhead Lines aggregating Rural, Urban and Remote Overhead Lines.

\[\begin{equation} \small L_{OH,TOTAL} = L_{OH,RURAL} + L_{OH,URBAN} + L_{OH,remote} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} L_{OH,TOTAL}: & \text{Total length Overhead lines in Aurora Energy [km]} \\ L_{OH,RURAL}: & \text{Total length Rural Overhead lines in Aurora Energy [km]} \\ L_{OH,URBAN}: & \text{Total length Urban Overhead lines in Aurora Energy [km]} \\ L_{OH,remote}: & \text{Total length in Remoted or Rugged Areas [km]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 11.1

Rural Lines in Aurora Energy

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [km] [%] Dunedin [km] [%] Total [km]
2,018 1,917.69 71.48 765.12 28.52 2,682.82
2,017 1,860.00 73.78 662.00 26.26 2,521.00
2,016 1,894.68 72.44 720.76 27.56 2,615.44
2,015 1,894.68 72.44 720.76 27.56 2,615.44
2,014 1,913.00 72.22 736.00 27.78 2,649.00
2,013 1,817.92 77.98 513.40 22.02 2,331.32
Table 11.2

Rural Line Length in comparison with Overhead Lines

Central Otago
Dunedin
Otago Regional
Year Rural [km] Overhead [km] [%] Rural [km] Overhead [km] [%] Rural [km] Total Overhead [km] [%]
2,018 1,917.69 2,251.52 85.17 765.12 2,147.18 35.63 2,682.82 4,398.70 60.99
2,017 1,860.00 2,186.00 85.09 662.00 1,748.00 37.87 2,521.00 3,934.00 64.08
2,016 1,894.68 2,182.97 86.79 720.76 1,706.98 42.22 2,615.44 3,889.95 67.24
2,015 1,894.68 2,183.00 86.79 720.76 1,707.11 42.22 2,615.44 3,890.11 67.23
2,014 1,913.00 2,190.00 87.35 736.00 1,711.00 43.02 2,649.00 3,901.00 67.91
2,013 1,817.92 2,189.88 83.01 513.40 1,707.72 30.06 2,331.32 3,897.60 59.81
Table 11.3

Urban Lines in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [km] [%] Dunedin [km] [%] Total [km]
2,018 244.03 15.13 1,368.34 84.87 1,612.36
2,017 238.00 18.15 1,072.00 81.77 1,311.00
2,016 199.02 16.98 972.81 83.02 1,171.83
2,015 199.02 16.98 972.81 83.02 1,171.83
2,014 187.00 16.29 961.00 83.71 1,148.00
2,013 281.86 19.27 1,180.80 80.73 1,462.65
Table 11.4

Urban Line Length comparison with Overhead Lines

Central Otago
Dunedin
Otago Regional
Year Urban [km] Overhead [km] [%] Urban [km] Overhead [km] [%] Urban [km] Total Overhead [km] [%]
2,018 244.03 2,251.52 10.84 1,368.34 2,147.18 63.73 1,612.36 4,398.70 36.66
2,017 238.00 2,186.00 10.89 1,072.00 1,748.00 61.33 1,311.00 3,934.00 33.32
2,016 199.02 2,182.97 9.12 972.81 1,706.98 56.99 1,171.83 3,889.95 30.12
2,015 199.02 2,183.00 9.12 972.81 1,707.11 56.99 1,171.83 3,890.11 30.12
2,014 187.00 2,190.00 8.54 961.00 1,711.00 56.17 1,148.00 3,901.00 29.43
2,013 281.86 2,189.88 12.87 1,180.80 1,707.72 69.14 1,462.65 3,897.60 37.53
Table 11.5

Remote and/or Rugged Lines in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [km] [%] Dunedin [km] [%] Total [km]
2,018 89.80 86.74 13.72 13.26 103.52
2,017 88.00 86.27 14.00 13.73 102.00
2,016 89.27 86.94 13.41 13.06 102.68
2,015 89.30 86.83 13.54 13.17 102.84
2,014 90.00 86.54 14.00 13.46 104.00
2,013 90.10 86.95 13.53 13.05 103.63
Table 11.6

Remote and/or Rugged Overhead Lines Comparison

Central Otago
Dunedin
Otago Regional
Year Urban [km] Overhead [km] [%] Urban [km] Overhead [km] [%] Urban [km] Total Overhead [km] [%]
2,018 89.80 2,251.52 3.99 13.72 2,147.18 0.64 103.52 4,398.70 2.35
2,017 88.00 2,186.00 4.03 14.00 1,748.00 0.80 102.00 3,934.00 2.59
2,016 89.27 2,182.97 4.09 13.41 1,706.98 0.79 102.68 3,889.95 2.64
2,015 89.30 2,183.00 4.09 13.54 1,707.11 0.79 102.84 3,890.11 2.64
2,014 90.00 2,190.00 4.11 14.00 1,711.00 0.82 104.00 3,901.00 2.67
2,013 90.10 2,189.88 4.11 13.53 1,707.72 0.79 103.63 3,897.60 2.66

Conclusions:

  • Most of the Overhead Lines in Central Otago Regional is in Rural areas (85% in 2018), whereas the Rural Overhead line in Dunedin Regional represents only 35.6%.

  • In an opposed way, the Dunedin Regional has 85% of the Urban network using Overhead lines, whereas in Otago Central Regional only 10.84% of the Urban network is Overhead lines.

2.2.1.2. Tree Management

Table 12 shows the length with Tree Management in each Regional.

Table 12.1

Tree Management Length in Aurora

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 1,879.39 57.27 1,402.47 42.73 3,281.86
2,017 153.00 63.75 87.00 36.25 240.00
2,016 143.00 65.30 76.00 34.70 219.00
2,015 116.28 54.65 96.48 45.35 212.76
2,014 100.00 52.36 91.00 47.64 191.00
2,013 79.22 50.36 78.07 49.64 157.29
Table 12.2

Tree Management and Total Length Network Comparison

Central Otago
Dunedin
Total
Year Street [km] Subtotal [km] [%] Street [km] Subtotal [km] [%] Street [km] Total Network [km] %
2,018 1,879.39 3,748.87 50.13 1,402.47 2,925.49 47.94 3,281.86 6,682.91 49.11
2,017 153.00 3,624.00 4.22 87.00 2,511.00 3.46 240.00 6,135.00 3.91
2,016 143.00 3,517.07 4.07 76.00 2,353.18 3.23 219.00 5,877.51 3.73
2,015 116.28 3,460.83 3.36 96.48 2,346.59 4.11 212.76 5,814.68 3.66
2,014 100.00 3,436.00 2.91 91.00 2,516.00 3.62 191.00 5,796.00 3.30
2,013 79.22 3,266.64 2.42 78.07 2,268.72 3.44 157.29 5,542.64 2.84
Table 12.3

Tree Management and Overhead Lines Comparison

Central Otago
Dunedin
Total
Year Street [km] Subtotal [km] [%] Street [km] Subtotal [km] [%] Street [km] Total Network [km] %
2,018 1,879.39 2,251.52 83.47 1,402.47 2,147.18 65.32 3,281.86 4,398.70 74.61
2,017 153.00 2,186.00 7.00 87.00 1,748.00 4.98 240.00 3,934.00 6.10
2,016 143.00 2,182.97 6.55 76.00 1,706.98 4.45 219.00 3,889.95 5.63
2,015 116.28 2,183.00 5.33 96.48 1,707.11 5.65 212.76 3,890.11 5.47
2,014 100.00 2,190.00 4.57 91.00 1,711.00 5.32 191.00 3,901.00 4.90
2,013 79.22 2,189.88 3.62 78.07 1,707.72 4.57 157.29 3,897.60 4.04
Table 12.4

Tree Management and Overhead Lines Comparison

Central Otago
Dunedin
Total
Year Street [km] Subtotal [km] [%] Street [km] Subtotal [km] [%] Street [km] Total Network [km] %
2,018 1,879.39 1,917.69 98.00 1,402.47 765.12 183.30 3,281.86 2,682.82 122.33
2,017 153.00 1,860.00 8.23 87.00 662.00 13.14 240.00 2,521.00 9.52
2,016 143.00 1,894.68 7.55 76.00 720.76 10.54 219.00 2,615.44 8.37
2,015 116.28 1,894.68 6.14 96.48 720.76 13.39 212.76 2,615.44 8.13
2,014 100.00 1,913.00 5.23 91.00 736.00 12.36 191.00 2,649.00 7.21
2,013 79.22 1,817.92 4.36 78.07 513.40 15.21 157.29 2,331.32 6.75
Graphic 12.1

Graphic 12.2

Conclusions:

  • Until 2017, there was a positive trend, which increases the tree management length over the years, but in 2018 the length spike from 240 kilometres to 3281 kilometres. It could be an outcome of a new method to determinate the tree management areas.

Typos:

I have found out this variable divided into two parts, which demanded two filters to compound this table.

  • 2013 and 2014: Section -> 9c: Overhead lines and underground cables, Categgory -> Total overhead length, Sub-category -> Circuit length (km), Description -> Overhead circuit requiring vegetation management

  • 2015, 2016 and 2017: Section -> Overhead lines and underground cables, Category -> Overhead circuit requiring vegetation management, Subcategoryv -> “Circuit length (km)

2.2.1.3. Coastline and Geothermal

Network length within 10 kilometres from Coastline or Geothermal.

Table 13.1

Coastline and Geothermal Area Length in Aurora

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 0 0 2,286.78 100 2,286.78
2,017 0 0 2,266.00 100 2,266.00
2,016 0 0 2,132.27 100 2,132.27
2,015 0 0 2,125.08 100 2,125.08
2,014 0 0 2,131.00 100 2,131.00
2,013 0 0 1,947.88 100 1,947.88
Table 13.2

Coastline and Geothermal Area Length in Aurora

Dunedin
Aurora Energy
Year Coastline and Geothermal [km] Length[km] [%] Coastline and Geothermal [km] Length[km] [%]
2,018 2,286.78 2,925.49 78.17 2,286.78 6,682.91 34.22
2,017 2,266.00 2,511.00 90.24 2,266.00 6,135.00 36.94
2,016 2,132.27 2,353.18 90.61 2,132.27 5,877.51 36.28
2,015 2,125.08 2,346.59 90.56 2,125.08 5,814.68 36.55
2,014 2,131.00 2,516.00 84.70 2,131.00 5,796.00 36.77
2,013 1,947.88 2,268.72 85.86 1,947.88 5,542.64 35.14
Graphic 13

Conclusions:

  • The Dunedin Regional is a small parcel of the concession area, but concentrates most the load in a small strip of land, more than 78% of the network length was within 10 kilometres from the coastline.

2.2.1.4. Low Voltage (LV)

The Equation (8) shows the LV Network length composition of Aurora Energy.

\[\begin{equation} \small L_{LV,TOTAL} = L_{LV,OH} + L_{LV,UG} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} L_{LV,TOTAL}: & \text{Total LV length in Aurora Energy Network [km]} \\ L_{LV,OH}: & \text{Total length of LV OH in Central Otago Regional [km]} \\ L_{LV,UG}: & \text{Total length of LV UG in Dunedin Regional [km]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 14.1 is about the LV OH Lines and Table 14.2 about LV UG Cables.

Table 14.1

LV Lines in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 225.29 21.56 730.04 69.85 1,045.08
2,017 225.00 21.49 822.00 78.51 1,047.00
2,016 225.00 21.45 824.00 78.55 1,049.00
2,015 226.00 21.52 824.00 78.48 1,050.00
2,014 225.00 21.43 825.00 78.57 1,050.00
2,013 225.25 21.49 823.12 78.51 1,048.37
Table 14.2

LV Cables in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 676.35 70.85 272.65 28.56 954.63
2,017 656.00 70.84 265.00 28.62 926.00
2,016 639.00 70.92 257.00 28.52 901.00
2,015 620.00 70.70 251.00 28.62 877.00
2,014 604.00 70.64 245.00 28.65 855.00
2,013 537.19 70.52 219.27 28.78 761.81

Conclusions:

  • LV Cables in Central Otago and Dunedin has been increasing over the years;
  • The LV UG has 70.85% of the total length in Central Otago Regional.

2.2.1.5 LV OH/UG Street Lighting

Although Delta managed the street lighting maintenance in Dunedin City, Dunedin Regional has 154 kilometres in Street Lighting lines, and Otago Central Regional has 71 kilometres.

Table 15.1 and 15.2 shows the small participation in total network length.

Table 15.1

Table 1b - Street Lighting Line Length by Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [km] [%] Dunedin [km] [%] Total [km]
2,018 151.54 21.34 557.21 78.47 710.06
2,017 71.00 32.13 154.00 69.68 221.00
2,016 71.00 31.98 154.00 69.37 222.00
2,015 69.00 31.36 150.00 68.18 220.00
2,014 66.00 30.14 152.00 69.41 219.00
2,013 66.08 32.09 138.60 67.31 205.90
Table 15.2

Street Lighting Line Length by Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Total
Year Street [km] Subtotal [km] [%] Street [km] Subtotal [km] [%] Street [km] Total Network [km] %
2,018 151.54 901.64 16.81 557.21 1,002.69 55.57 710.06 1,999.71 35.51
2,017 71.00 881.00 8.06 154.00 1,087.00 14.17 221.00 1,973.00 11.20
2,016 71.00 864.00 8.22 154.00 1,081.00 14.25 222.00 1,950.00 11.38
2,015 69.00 846.00 8.16 150.00 1,075.00 13.95 220.00 1,927.00 11.42
2,014 66.00 829.00 7.96 152.00 1,070.00 14.21 219.00 1,905.00 11.50
2,013 66.08 762.44 8.67 138.60 1,042.39 13.30 205.90 1,810.18 11.37
Graphic 15

Conclusions:

  • Suddenly, LV Street lighting has increased from 221 kilometres in 2017 to 710 kilometres. It is necessary more info to take any conclusion.

2.2.1.6. High Voltage Subtransmission

The Equation (9) shows the HV Subtransmission Length composition of Aurora Energy.

\[\begin{equation} \small L_{SUB,TOTAL} = L_{SUB,Lines} + L_{SUB,cables} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} L_{SUB,TOTAL}: & \text{Total Length of HV Subtransmission [km]} \\ L_{SUB,lines}: & \text{Lines Length of HV Subtransmission [km]} \\ L_{SUB,cables}: & \text{Cable Length of HV Subtransmission [km]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 16.1

HV Subtransmission in Aurora Network

Year HV Subtransmission Lines [km] [%] HV Subtransmission Cables [km] [%] Total HV Subtransmission [km]
2,018 525.80 84.98 92.97 15.02 618.77
2,017 526.00 84.98 93.00 15.02 619.00
2,016 526.00 84.98 93.00 15.02 619.00
2,015 513.00 84.93 91.00 15.07 604.00
2,014 512.00 84.49 94.00 15.51 606.00
2,013 512.66 84.53 93.81 15.47 606.46
Graphic 16.1

Table 16.2

HV Subtransmission Length by Regional

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [km] [%] Dunedin [km] [%] Total [km]
2,018 398.82 64.45 219.97 35.55 618.77
2,017 399.00 64.46 220.00 35.54 619.00
2,016 399.00 64.46 220.00 35.54 619.00
2,015 384.00 63.58 220.00 36.42 604.00
2,014 384.00 63.37 222.00 36.63 606.00
2,013 384.70 63.43 221.76 36.57 606.46
Graphic 16.2

Conclusions:

  • High concentration of Subtransmission using Lines, almost 85% of the total;
  • There is no evidence of a trend.

A. HV Subtransmission Lines

Table 17.1 shows the share of HV Subtransmission Lines in Otago Central Regional and Dunedin Regional, and Table 17.2 shows the share of HV Subtransmission Lines in Total HV Subtransmission Length for each Regional.

Table 17.1

HV Subtransmission Line in Aurora Energy

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year HV Sub. Lines [km] [%] HV Sub. Lines [km] [%] Total HV Sub. Lines [km]
2,018 382.09 72.67 143.72 27.33 525.80
2,017 382.00 72.62 144.00 27.38 526.00
2,016 382.00 72.62 144.00 27.38 526.00
2,015 369.00 71.93 144.00 28.07 513.00
2,014 368.00 71.88 144.00 28.12 512.00
2,013 369.03 71.98 143.63 28.02 512.66
Graphic 17

Table 17.2

HV Subtransmission Line in Total HV Subtransmission

Central Otago
Dunedin
Total
Year HV Sub. Lines [km] Subtotal [km] [%] HV Sub. Lines [km] Subtotal [km] [%] HV Sub [km] Total Sub. Lines [km] %
2,018 382.09 398.82 95.81 143.72 219.97 65.34 525.80 618.77 84.98
2,017 382.00 399.00 95.74 144.00 220.00 65.45 526.00 619.00 84.98
2,016 382.00 399.00 95.74 144.00 220.00 65.45 526.00 619.00 84.98
2,015 369.00 384.00 96.09 144.00 220.00 65.45 513.00 604.00 84.93
2,014 368.00 384.00 95.83 144.00 222.00 64.86 512.00 606.00 84.49
2,013 369.03 384.70 95.92 143.63 221.76 64.77 512.66 606.46 84.53

Conclusions:

  • Based on Table 17.1 most length of HV Subtransmission Libes was in Central Otago, about 72%.
  • 95% of Total HV Subtransmission in Central Otago was made by Lines.

B. HV Subtransmission Cables

Table 18.1 shows the share of HV Subtransmission Cables in Otago Central Regional and Dunedin Regional, and Table 18.2 shows the share of HV Subtransmission Cables in Total HV Subtransmission Length for each Regional.

Table 18.1

HV Subtransmission Cables in Aurora Energy

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [km] [%] Dunedin [km] [%] Total [km]
2,018 16.73 18.00 76.25 82.02 92.97
2,017 17.00 18.28 76.00 81.72 93.00
2,016 17.00 18.28 76.00 81.72 93.00
2,015 15.00 16.48 76.00 83.52 91.00
2,014 16.00 17.02 78.00 82.98 94.00
2,013 15.68 16.71 78.13 83.29 93.81
Graphic 18

Table 18.2

HV Subtransmission Cable Comparison

Central Otago
Dunedin
Total
Year HV Sub. Cable [km] Subtotal [km] [%] HV Sub. Cable [km] Subtotal [km] [%] HV Sub. Cable [km] Total HV Sub. Cable [km] %
2,018 16.73 398.82 4.19 76.25 219.97 34.66 92.97 618.77 15.02
2,017 17.00 399.00 4.26 76.00 220.00 34.55 93.00 619.00 15.02
2,016 17.00 399.00 4.26 76.00 220.00 34.55 93.00 619.00 15.02
2,015 15.00 384.00 3.91 76.00 220.00 34.55 91.00 604.00 15.07
2,014 16.00 384.00 4.17 78.00 222.00 35.14 94.00 606.00 15.51
2,013 15.68 384.70 4.08 78.13 221.76 35.23 93.81 606.46 15.47

Conclusions:

  • It is the inverse of HV Subtransmission Lines. The predominance of HV Subtransmission Cables in Dunedin (almost 82%), which is about 93% of the Total HV Subtransmission Length.

2.2.1.7. High Voltage Lines

Central Otago Regional has 68% of the total length of HV Lines, which is 1,573 kilometres.

Table 19

HV Lines in Aurora Network in Aurora

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 1,573.13 68.05 738.53 31.95 2,311.64
2,017 1,576.00 68.08 740.00 31.97 2,315.00
2,016 1,576.00 68.05 740.00 31.95 2,316.00
2,015 1,588.00 68.21 740.00 31.79 2,328.00
2,014 1,593.00 68.28 740.00 31.72 2,333.00
2,013 1,595.60 68.29 740.97 31.71 2,336.57
Graphic 19

Conclusion:

  • The length stayed almost constant during the last 6 years.

2.2.1.8. Poles

\[\begin{equation} \small POLE_{total} = POLE_{wood} + POLE_{concrete} + POLE_{other} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} POLE_{total}: & \text{Total poles quantity} \\ POLE_{wood}: & \text{Quantity of Wood Poles} \\ POLE_{concrete}: & \text{Quantity of Concrete Poles} \\ POLE_{other}: & \text{Other types Quantity of Poles} \\ \end{array}\)

To create the Table 17, I have excluded the Other type of Poles due to the minor relevance to the global results.

Table 20

Poles in Aurora Network

Year Wood Poles [%] Concrete Poles [%] Total
2,018 28,841 53.41 25,158 46.59 53,999
2,017 30,820 57.12 23,132 42.88 53,952
2,016 31,757 58.76 22,290 41.24 54,047
2,015 32,376 60.18 21,427 39.82 53,803
2,014 32,942 61.28 20,814 38.72 53,756
2,013 33,325 62.05 20,383 37.95 53,708
Graphic 20

Conclusions:

  • There are two trends, decreasing wood pole and increasing the concrete pole, which were complementary because the total quantity of Pole stays constant;
  • Although the total network length has increased, the quantity of pole stayed almost constant.

A) Wood Poles, Concrete Poles

Table 21 shows the share of Wood Poles in each Regional.

Table 21

Wood Poles in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 15,670 54.33 13,171 45.67 28,841
2,017 16,802 54.52 14,018 45.48 30,820
2,016 17,215 54.21 14,542 45.79 31,757
2,015 17,507 54.07 14,869 45.93 32,376
2,014 17,803 54.04 15,139 45.96 32,942
2,013 18,034 54.12 15,291 45.88 33,325
Graphic 21.1

Graphic 21.2

Conclusions:

  • Both Regional has the Wood Pole number decreasing with the same pace.

B. Concrete Poles and Steel Structure

Table 22 shows the share of Concrete Poles in each Regional.

Table 22

Concrete Poles in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 8,905 35.40 16,253 64.60 25,158
2,017 7,805 33.74 15,327 66.26 23,132
2,016 7,409 33.24 14,881 66.76 22,290
2,015 7,141 33.33 14,286 66.67 21,427
2,014 6,799 32.67 14,015 67.33 20,814
2,013 6,511 31.94 13,872 68.06 20,383
Graphic 22.1

Graphic 22.2

Conclusions:

  • In opposite of Wood Poles, the Concrete Pole has been increasing over the year. It looks like to be replacing the olds wood pole by new concrete poles.

C. Other Poles

Since 2015 there is nothing registered as other type of poles, for this reason, I will omit this variable in my report.

2.2.1.9. Equipment

In this subchapter, I will investigate the number of equipment on the network such as Capacitor Banks, Voltage Regulators, and Switches.

A. Capacitor Banks and Voltage Regulator

Table 23.1 and 23.2 shows the number of capacitor banks and voltage regulator in Aurora Energy.

Table 23.1

Capacitor Banks in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2018 0 0 3 100 3
2017 0 0 3 100 3
2016 0 0 3 100 3
2015 0 0 3 100 3
2014 0 0 3 100 3
2013 0 0 3 100 3
Table 23.2

Voltage Regulator in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2018 29 93.55 2 6.45 31
2017 29 70.73 12 29.27 41
2016 30 73.17 11 26.83 41
2015 29 72.50 11 27.50 40
2014 26 66.67 13 33.33 39
2013 24 64.86 13 35.14 37

Conclusions:

  • There are only three Capacitor Banks installed along the Aurora Energy Network. This equipment is suitable to decrease the losses and could help the company to attend the Regulator Standards;
  • From 2017 to 2018 there was a decrease of 10 Voltage Regulator in Dunedin Regional. This equipment is adequate to raise the voltage in the final of the feeder but has a drawback increasing the current upstream (it means: increasing losses).

B. Zone substation

Table 24.1 shows the quantity of Zone Substations Switchgear in each Regional, Table 24.2 shows the quantity of Zone Substation Buildings in each Regional, and Table 24.3 shows the quantity of Zone Substation Transformer in each Regional.

Table 24.1

Zone substation switchgear in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 279 40.85 404 59.15 683
2,017 271 40.63 396 59.37 667
2,016 274 40.90 396 59.10 670
2,015 266 40.18 396 59.82 662
2,014 257 40.54 377 59.46 634
2,013 258 42.23 353 57.77 611
Graphic 24.1

Table 24.2

Zone substation Buildings in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 12 40.00 18 60.00 30
2,017 12 40.00 18 60.00 30
2,016 12 40.00 18 60.00 30
2,015 11 37.93 18 62.07 29
2,014 10 35.71 18 64.29 28
2,013 9 33.33 18 66.67 27
Graphic 24.2

Table 24.3

Zone Substation Transformer in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 30 47.62 33 52.38 63
2,017 32 47.76 35 52.24 67
2,016 32 47.76 35 52.24 67
2,015 32 47.76 35 52.24 67
2,014 31 46.97 35 53.03 66
2,013 31 46.97 35 53.03 66
Graphic 24.3

Conclusions:

  • Although the quantity of Zone Substation Transformers was similar (52.35% in Dunedin Regional), Zone Substation Switchgear and Zone Substation Building have higher shares in Dunedin Regional (59% and 60%);
  • Probably Substations located in Central Otago has more feeders.

C. Load Control

Both types of equipment in this subchapter were used to Load Control.

  • Table 25.2 shows Relays used to Load Control.
  • Table 25.1 shows the number of Centralised Plant.
Table 25.1

Centralised plant in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 3 50 3 50 6
2,017 3 50 3 50 6
2,016 3 50 3 50 6
2,015 3 50 3 50 6
2,014 3 50 3 50 6
2,013 3 50 3 50 6
Graphic 25.1

Table 25.2

Load Control - Relays in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 1,086 49.23 1,115 50.54 2,206
2,017 1,092 49.43 1,112 50.34 2,209
2,016 1,086 49.10 1,121 50.68 2,212
2,015 1,080 48.98 1,120 50.79 2,205
2,014 1,076 48.98 1,116 50.80 2,197
2,013 1,073 48.93 1,115 50.84 2,193
Graphic 25.2

Conclusions:

  • Everything stayed unaltered.

D. Protection

Table 26 shows the number of Relays (applied to protection) over the Aurora Energy Network.

Table 26

Protection relays (electromechanical, solid state and numeric) in Aurora Energy

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2,018 230 21.48 840 78.43 1,071
2,017 173 36.34 303 63.66 476
2,016 174 36.63 301 63.37 475
2,015 173 36.19 305 63.81 478
2,014 166 35.10 307 64.90 473
2,013 135 31.47 294 68.53 429
Graphic 26

Conclusions:

  • In 2018 the number of Relays leaps up from 476 in 2017 to 1,071 in 2018. Until 2017, the share was 63% in Dunedin Regional and 37% in Central Otago Regional.

E. SCADA and Communications

Table 27 shows the number of SCADA and communications equipment operating as a single system.

Table 27

SCADA and communications equipment operating as a single system in Aurora Energy

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2018 39 58.21 28 41.79 67
2017 64 58.72 45 41.28 109
2016 59 60.20 39 39.80 98
2015 58 59.79 39 40.21 97
2014 57 59.38 39 40.62 96
2013 57 60.00 38 40.00 95
Graphic 27

Conclusions:

  • Lack of information to create a satisfactory conclusion. There are many kinds of equipment which could fit as SCADA.

2.2.2. Non-network Assets

This sub-chapter was idealized to registry all non-network assets. Unfortunately, I did not find any number of non-network asset in the document provided by the New Zealand Commerce Commission.

2.4. Realiability

This section was divided into 4 parts:

  • Interruptions;
    • Interruptions rate;
    • SAIDI/SAIFI;
    • Cause;
  • Interruptions Planned;
    • Interruptions rate;
    • SAIDI/SAIFI;
    • Cause;
  • Interruptions Unplanned;
    • Interruptions rate;
    • SAIDI/SAIFI;
    • Cause;
  • Consumers’ Restoration;
    • Less tahnthan 3 hours;
    • More than 3 hours.

2.4.1. Interruptions

The Equation (11) shows the Interruptions in Aurora Energy.

\[\begin{equation} \small INT_{TOTAL} = INT_{planned} + INT_{unplanned} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} INT_{TOTAL}: & \text{Number of Interrutions in Aurora Energy Network} \\ INT_{planned}: & \text{Number of Planned Interruptions} \\ INT_{unplanned}: & \text{Number of Unplanned Interruptions} \\ \end{array}\)

The Table 28.1 shows the number of interruptions in each Regional and the total, and the Table 28.2 show the interruptions rate.

Table 28.1

Interruptions in each Regional

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Interruptions [%] Interruptions [%] Total Interruptions
2,018 802 52.49 726 47.51 1,528
2,017 622 72.49 236 27.51 858
2,016 598 69.78 259 30.22 857
2,015 589 73.17 216 26.83 805
2,014 544 76.62 166 23.38 710
2,013 520 73.97 183 26.03 703
##            used (Mb) gc trigger  (Mb) max used (Mb)
## Ncells  1168854 62.5    1894652 101.2  1168854 62.5
## Vcells 10754482 82.1   34764999 265.3 10754482 82.1
Graphic 28

Table 28.2

Interruptions rate in Aurora Energy

Central Otago
Dunedin
Aurora Energy
Year Int. [km] [Int./km] Int. [km] [Int./km] Int. [km] [Int./km]
2,018 802 3,748.87 21.39 726 2,925.49 24.82 1,528 6,682.91 22.86
2,017 622 3,624.00 17.16 236 2,511.00 9.40 858 6,135.00 13.99
2,016 598 3,517.07 17.00 259 2,353.18 11.01 857 5,877.51 14.58
2,015 589 3,460.83 17.02 216 2,346.59 9.20 805 5,814.68 13.84
2,014 544 3,436.00 15.83 166 2,516.00 6.60 710 5,796.00 12.25
2,013 520 3,266.64 15.92 183 2,268.72 8.07 703 5,542.64 12.68

Conclusions:

  • Although, the number of interruptions has been increasing since 2013, in 2018 the interruptions leap over 117.35%.

2.4.1.1. Global SAIDI and SAIFI

I estimated the percentage using a weighted average based on consumers number of each Regional, as shown in Equation (12). This same equation is used to calculate the Total SAIFI.

\[\begin{equation} \small SAIDI_{TOTAL} = SAIDI_{CO}\cdot\frac{CON_{CO}}{CON_{TOTAL}} + SAIDI_{DU}\cdot\frac{CON_{DU}}{CON_{TOTAL}} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} SAIDI_{TOTAL}: & \text{Number of Interrutions in Aurora Energy Network} \\ SAIDI_{CO}: & \text{Number of Planned Interruptions} \\ SAIDI_{DU}: & \text{Number of Unplanned Interruptions} \\ CON_{TOTAL}: & \text{Total number of Consumer in Aurora Energy} \\ CON_{CO}: & \text{Total number of Consumer in Central Otago Regional} \\ CON_{DU}: & \text{Total number of Consumer in Dunedin Regional} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 29.1 shows the Total SAIDI incurred by the interruptions, and Table 29.2 shows the Total SAIFI incurred by the interruptions.

Table 29.1

SAIDI Total in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year SAIDI [minutes] [%] SAIDI [minutes] [%] Total SAIDI [minutes]
2018 422.26 36.90 400.16 63.10 407.97
2017 319.43 62.83 106.52 37.17 185.10
2016 377.67 56.32 166.73 43.68 243.54
2015 217.44 60.92 80.99 39.08 130.02
2014 205.40 78.69 33.15 21.31 94.50
2013 153.13 73.65 33.51 26.35 75.61
Graphic 29.1

Table 29.2

SAIFI Total in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year SAIFI [interruptions] [%] SAIFI [interruptions] [%] Total SAIFI [interruptions]
2018 4.15 42.28 3.14 57.72 3.52
2017 3.13 66.74 0.88 33.26 1.71
2016 3.86 58.97 1.53 41.03 2.38
2015 2.43 64.57 0.77 35.43 1.37
2014 2.66 79.60 0.41 20.40 1.21
2013 1.40 50.18 0.85 49.82 1.05
Graphic 29.2

Conclusions:

  • As a consequence of the high number of total interruptions, the SAIDI and SAIFI have also increased.

2.4.2. Interruptions Planned

Table 30 shows the number of Planned Interruptions in each Regional and a percentage of the total.

Table 30

Planned Interruptions in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Interruptions [%] Interruptions [%] Total Interruptions
2018 477 51.35 452 48.65 929
2017 283 72.38 108 27.62 391
2016 238 81.23 55 18.77 293
2015 255 80.44 62 19.56 317
2014 224 87.16 33 12.84 257
2013 298 86.13 48 13.87 346
Graphic 30

Conclusions:

  • Probably Aurora Energy was doing several works in all Aurora Energy Network.

2.4.2.1. SAIDI of Planned Interruptions

Table 31.1 shows the SAIDI from Planned Interruptions.

Table 31.1

SAIDI of Planned Interruptions in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year [minutes] [%] [minutes] [%] Total [minutes]
2018 257.49 31.50 310.28 68.50 289.97
2017 79.05 45.76 52.81 54.24 62.48
2016 76.44 76.76 13.17 23.24 36.25
2015 55.30 82.34 6.89 17.66 24.33
2014 60.67 95.23 1.81 4.77 22.78
2013 58.53 95.11 1.84 4.89 21.81
Graphic 31.1

Graphic 31.2

Graphic 31.3

Conclusions:

  • Based on the Graphics 31.2 and 31.3, most of the Planned Interruptions is related to Distribution Lines.

2.4.2.2. SAIFI of Planned Interruptions

Table 32.2 shows the SAIFI from SAIFI Interuptions.

Table 32.2

SAIFI of Planned Interruptions in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year [interruptions] [%] [interruptions] [%] Total [interruptions]
2018 1.10 27.40 1.61 72.60 1.42
2017 0.47 54.87 0.22 45.13 0.31
2016 0.38 60.20 0.14 39.80 0.23
2015 0.27 79.90 0.04 20.10 0.12
2014 0.28 94.19 0.01 5.81 0.10
2013 0.28 85.09 0.03 14.91 0.12
Graphic 32.1

Graphic 32.2

Graphic 32.3

Conclusions:

  • Based on the Graphics 32.2 and 32.3, most of the Planned Interruptions is related to Distribution Lines (replacement, renewal, extension, etc.).

2.4.3. Interruptions Unplanned

Table 33 shows the number of Unplanned Interruptions in each Regional and a percentage of the total.

Graphic 33.1

Table 33.1

Unplanned Interruptions in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Interruptions [%] Interruptions [%] Total Interruptions
2018 324 54.18 274 45.82 598
2017 338 72.53 128 27.47 466
2016 360 63.94 203 36.06 563
2015 334 68.44 154 31.56 488
2014 320 70.64 133 29.36 453
2013 222 62.18 135 37.82 357

Conclusions:

  • Dunedin Regional has an increasing trend, but Central Otago has the majority of the Unplanned Interruptions (54.2%).

2.4.3.1. SAIDI of Unplanned Interruptions

Table 34 shows the SAIDI of Unplanned Interruptions in each Regional.

Table 34

SAIDI by Unplanned Interruptions in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2018 164.75 50.40 89.87 49.60 117.99
2017 197.71 67.48 53.71 32.52 107.04
2016 301.23 53.90 146.66 46.10 202.91
2015 162.14 55.95 74.10 44.05 105.70
2014 144.73 73.36 31.34 26.64 71.72
2013 94.60 64.62 31.67 35.38 53.80
Graphic 34.1

Graphic 34.2

Graphic 34.3

Conclusions:

  • Although the majority of the consumer was in Dunedin, the Graphic 34.2 shows Central Otago Regional has higher SAIDI in comparison with Dunedin Regional. The Graphic 34.1 shows the outcome of this high SAIDI in Central Otago Regional in the Global SAIDI.

2.4.3.2. SAIFI of Unplanned Interruptions

Table 35 shows the SAIFI of Unplanned Interruptions in each Regional.

Table 35

SAIFI by Unplanned Interruptions in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year [interruptions] [%] [interruptions] [%] Total [interruptions]
2018 3.05 52.54 1.53 47.46 2.10
2017 2.28 66.03 0.66 33.97 1.26
2016 3.48 62.70 1.18 37.30 2.02
2015 2.16 63.06 0.73 36.94 1.25
2014 2.39 78.20 0.40 21.80 1.11
2013 1.12 45.51 0.82 54.49 0.93
Graphic 35.1

Graphic 35.2

Graphic 35.3

Conclusions:

  • Similarly, with the SAIDI, the results in SAIFI has the same course.

2.4.4. Restoration

This subchapter details the Unplanned Interruptions in two categories.

  • Consumer restored in less than 3 hours;
  • Consumer restored in more than 3 hours.

2.4.4.1. Less than 3 hours

Table 36.1 shows the number of Unplanned Interruptions restored in less than 3 hours.

Table 36.1

Interruptions Unplanned restored in less than 3 hours in Aurora Energy

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2018 267 56.81 203 43.19 470
2017 260 76.02 82 23.98 342
2016 257 70.41 108 29.59 365
2015 268 74.44 92 25.56 360
2014 115 62.84 68 37.16 183
2013 173 60.49 113 39.51 286
Graphic 36.1

Graphic 36.2

Conclusions:

  • The Graphic 36.2 shows in both Regional a kind of limit of attendance.

2.4.4.2. More than 3 hours

Table 37.1 shows the number of Unplanned Interruptions restored in more than 3 hours.

Table 37.1

Interruptions Unplanned restored in more than 3 hours in Aurora Network

Central Otago
Dunedin
Year Central Otago [%] Dunedin [%] Total
2018 57 44.53 71 55.47 128
2017 78 62.90 46 37.10 124
2016 103 52.02 95 47.98 198
2015 66 51.56 62 48.44 128
2014 205 75.93 65 24.07 270
2013 49 69.01 22 30.99 71
Graphic 37.1

Table 37.2

Unplanned Interruptions

Year More than 3 hours [%] Less than 3 hours [%] Unplanned Interruptions
2,018 128 21.40 470 78.60 598
2,017 124 26.61 342 73.39 466
2,016 198 35.17 365 64.83 563
2,015 128 26.23 360 73.77 488
2,014 270 59.60 183 40.40 453
2,013 71 19.89 286 80.11 357
Graphic 37.2

Graphic 37.3

Conclusions:

  • The Graphic 37.3 shows in both Regional a kind of limit of attendance.

2.5. Regulatory

2.5.1. Regulatory Profit

The Equation (13) shows the components of Regulatory Profit (including financial incentives and wash-ups).

\[\begin{equation} \small PROFIT_{regulatory} = PROFIT_{regulatory,before,tax} - TAX_{allowance} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} PROFIT_{regulatory}: & \text{Regulatory Profit (including financial incentives and washups [000\$])} \\ TAX_{allowance}: & \text{Regulatory Tax Allowance [000\$]} \\ PROFIT_{regulatory,before,tax}: & \text{Regulatory Profit before tax [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 38 shows the value of Regulatory Profit including financial incentives and wash-ups.

Table 38

Regulatory Profit (including financial incentives and wash-ups)

Year Regulatory Profit Before Tax [000$] Regulatory Allowance [000$] Regulatory Profit [000$]
2,018 14,796 3,952 10,844
2,017 25,908 5,990 19,917
2,016 24,776 6,758 18,018
2,015 23,704 5,781 17,923
2,014 26,642 5,574 21,068
2,013 29,341 7,371 21,970
Graphic 38

Conclusions:

  • The Company Regulatory Profit fell 49.36% from 2013 to 2018.

2.5.1.1. Regulatory Tax Allowance

The Equation (14) shows the components of the Regulatory Allowance.

\[\begin{equation} \small TAX_{allowance} = TAX_{corporate} + INCOME_{regulatory,taxable} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} TAX_{allowance}: & \text{Regulatory Tax Allowance [000\$]} \\ TAX_{corporate}: & \text{Corporate Rate [%]} \\ INCOME_{regulatory,taxable}: & \text{Regulatory Taxable Income [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 39

Regulatory Allowance Tax

Year Regulatory taxable income [000$] Corporate tax rate (%) Regulatory Allowance [000$]
2,018 14,116 28% 3,952
2,017 21,395 28% 5,990
2,016 24,136 28% 6,758
2,015 20,647 28% 5,781
2,014 19,906 28% 5,574
2,013 26,326 28% 7,371

Conclusions:

  • It is a percentage of Regulatory Profit before tax.

2.5.1.2. Regulatory Taxable Income

The Equation (15) shows the components of the Regulatory Taxable Income.

\[\begin{equation} \small INCOME_{regulatory,taxable} = PROFIT_{regulatory,before,tax} + (TAX_{add} - TAX_{ded}) \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} INCOME_{regulatory,taxable}: & \text{Regulatory Taxable Income [000\$]} \\ PROFIT_{regulatory,before,tax}: & \text{Regulatory Profit before tax [000\$]} \\ TAX_{add}: & \text{Regulatory Tax Addition [000\$]} \\ TAX_{ded}: & \text{Regulatory Deduction [000 \$]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 40.1 shows the Tax Additions, Table 40.2 shows the Tax Deductions, and Table 40.3 shows the Regulatory Taxable Income.

Table 40.1

Tax Additions

Regulatory Profit not taxable/deductible
Amortisation
Year Income not Include [000$] Expenditure or Loss [000$] Initial differences [000$] Revaluations [000$] Total Addition [000$]
2,018 3,393 188 4,993 1,227 9,801
2,017 2,918 154 4,993 961 9,026
2,016 2,568 -18 4,993 893 8,436
2,015 1,957 -19 3,128 915 5,981
2,014 1,513 19 3,587 746 5,865
2,013 1,105 -16 3,809 875 5,773
Graphic 40.1

Table 40.2

Tax Deduction

Regulatory Profit not taxable/deductible
Year Income not Include [000$] Expenditure or Loss [000$] Discretionary Discount [000$] Revaluations [000$] Notional deductible interest [000$] Total Deductions [000$]
2,018 0 0 0 3,886 6,595 10,481
2,017 0 0 0 7,381 6,158 13,539
2,016 0 0 0 1,940 7,136 9,076
2,015 0 0 0 273 8,766 9,038
2,014 4,879 0 0 4,879 7,722 12,601
2,013 0 0 0 2,734 8,788 8,788
Graphic 40.2

Table 40.3

Regulatory Profit Before Tax

Taxes
Year Addition [000$] Deduction [000$] Regulatory Profit before Tax [000$] Regulatory Income Taxable [000$]
2,018 9,801 10,481 14,796 14,116
2,017 9,026 13,539 25,908 21,395
2,016 8,436 9,076 24,776 24,136
2,015 5,981 9,038 23,704 20,647
2,014 5,865 12,601 26,642 19,906
2,013 5,773 8,788 29,341 26,326
Graphic 40.3

Conclusions:

  • Lack of informations about Income not Include;
  • Over the years the difference between Addition and Deduction is decreasing.

2.5.1.3. Regulatory profit / (loss) before tax

The Equation (16) shows the components of the Regulatory Profit Before Tax.

\[\begin{equation} \small PROFIT_{regulatory,before,tax} = + PROFIT_{operanting,surplus} + (REVAL_{total} - DEPRE_{total}) \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} PROFIT_{regulatory,before,tax}: & \text{Regulatory Profit before tax [000\$]} \\ PROFIT_{operanting,surplus}: & \text{Operating Surplus [000\$]} \\ REVAL_{total}: & \text{Total Revaluation [000\$]} \\ DEPRE_{total}: & \text{Total Depreciation [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 41 shows the Operating Suplus.

Table 41

Regulatory profit Before Tax

Year Operating Surplus [000$] Total Revaluation [000$] Total Depreciation [000$] Regulatory Profit before tax [000$]
2,018 24,444 3,886 13,533 14,796
2,017 31,363 7,381 12,836 25,908
2,016 35,154 1,940 12,318 24,776
2,015 35,372 273 11,941 23,704
2,014 33,236 4,879 11,473 26,642
2,013 37,875 2,734 11,268 29,341
Graphic 41

Conclusions:

  • The Regulatory Profit Before Tax was decreasing from more than 29,3 millions in 2013 to 14,8 millions in 2018, almost the half.
  • The depraciaton has a sligth trend to increase over the year.

2.5.1.4. Total Depreciation

Table 42 shows the components of Total Depreciation.

Table 42

Depreciation Segmentation

Distribution and LV
Subtransmission
Network Assets
Year OH [000$] UG [000$] Substation and Transformes [000$] Switchgear [000$] Subtransmission Lines [000$] Subtransmission Cables [000$] Non Network Assets [000$] Other Network Assets [000$] Zone Substation [000$] Total Depreciation [000]
2,018 2,657 4,126 1,868 1,091 631 391 0 279 2,490 13,533
2,017 2,477 3,980 1,803 1,040 573 383 0 162 2,418 12,836
2,016 2,345 3,869 1,747 999 563 373 0 175 2,247 12,318
2,015 2,233 3,796 1,705 983 549 373 0 201 2,101 11,941
2,014 2,131 3,697 1,654 940 539 318 0 206 1,988 11,473
2,013 2,077 3,650 1,638 931 541 319 0 193 1,919 11,268
Graphic 42.1

Graphic 42.2

Conclusions:

  • The depreciation over the years is increasing, the accumulated growth rate from 2013 to 2018 reached 20.1%.

2.5.1.5. Total Revaluation

Table 43 shows the Revaluation components, which was updated based on the CPI4.

Table 43

Revaluation Segmentation

Distribution and LV
Subtransmission
Network Assets
Year OH [000$] UG [000$] Substation and Transformes [000$] Switchgear [000$] Subtransmission Lines [000$] Subtransmission Cables [000$] Non Network Assets [000$] Other Network Assets [000$] Zone Substation [000$] Total Revaluation [000]
2,018 614.1 1,396.1 574.1 226.1 166 98 0 110 701.1 3,885.5
2,017 1,135.0 2,722.0 1,122.0 435.0 291 197 0 92 1,387.0 7,381.0
2,016 289.0 733.0 301.0 115.0 80 53 0 23 346.0 1,940.0
2,015 39.0 106.0 43.0 17.0 11 8 0 3 46.0 273.0
2,014 691.0 1,923.0 778.0 302.0 212 115 0 56 802.0 4,879.0
2,013 379.0 1,088.0 442.0 172.0 123 67 0 28 435.0 2,734.0
Graphic 43.1

Graphic 43.2

Conclusions

  • The Revaluation is leverage by the CPI4.

2.5.2. Total Regulatory Income

The Equation (17) shows the components of the Total Regulatory Income.

\[\begin{equation} \small INCOME_{total,regulatory} = COSTS_{recoverable,pass-through,wash-ups} + PROFIT_{operanting,surplus} + OPEX \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} INCOME_{total,regulatory}: & \text{Total Regulatory Income [000\$]} \\ COSTS_{recoverable,pass-through,wash-ups}: & \text{Pass-through and recoverable costs excluding financial incentives and wash-ups [000\$]} \\ PROFIT_{operanting,surplus}: & \text{Operating Surplus [000\$]} \\ OPEX: & \text{Operational expenditure [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 44

Total Regulatory Income

Year OPEX [000$] Operanting Surplus [000$] Pass-through and Recoverable Costs [000$] Total Regulatory Income [000$]
2,018 35,344 24,444 36,923 96,711
2,017 27,472 31,363 37,270 96,105
2,016 25,173 35,154 34,402 94,729
2,015 23,608 35,372 34,483 93,463
2,014 22,317 33,236 29,712 85,265
2,013 18,641 37,875 31,387 87,903
Graphic 44

Conclusions:

  • By the Graphic 44 the Operating Surplus is decreasing, and the OPEX is increasing.

2.5.2.1 Pass-through and recoverable costs

The Equation (18) shows the components of the Pass-through and recoverable costs.

\[\begin{equation} \small COSTS_{recoverable,pass-through,wash-ups} = RCOSTS_{recoverable} + PCOSTS_{pass-through} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} COSTS_{recoverable,pass-through}: & \text{Pass-through and recoverable costs excluding financial incentives and wash-ups [000\$]} \\ RCOSTS_{recoverable}: & \text{Recoverable costs excluding financial incentives and wash-ups [000\$]} \\ PCOSTS_{pass-through}: & \text{Pass-through costs [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 45

Pass-through and recoverable costs

Year Recoverable costs excluding financial incentives and wash-ups [000$] Pass-through costs [000$] Pass-through and recoverable costs excluding financial incentives and wash-ups [000$]
2,018 35,773 1,150 36,923
2,017 35,895 1,375 37,270
2,016 33,166 1,236 34,402
2,015 33,014 1,469 34,483
2,014 27,457 2,255 29,712
2,013 28,390 2,997 31,387
Graphic 45.1

Graphic 45.2

Conclusions:

  • In accordance with Graphic 45.2, the Pass-through costs have diminished over the year. Inversely, the Recoverable costs have increased.

2.5.2.2 Recoverable costs excluding financial incentives and wash-ups

The Equation (19) shows the components of the Recoverable costs excluding financial incentives and wash-ups.

\[\begin{equation} \small RCOSTS_{recoverable} = RCOSTS_{transpower} + INV_{transpower} + SYSOP_{services} + DG_{allowance} + RES_{allowance} + RCOSTS_{other} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} RCOSTS_{recoverable}: & \text{Recoverable costs excluding financial incentives and wash-ups [000\$]} \\ RCOSTS_{transpower}: & \text{Electricity lines service charge payable to Transpower [000\$]} \\ INV_{transpower}: & \text{Transpower new investment contract charges [000\$]} \\ SYSOP_{services}: & \text{System operator services [000\$]} \\ DG_{allowance}: & \text{Distributed generation allowance [000\$]} \\ RES_{allowance}: & \text{Extended reserves allowance [000\$]} \\ RCOSTS_{other}: & \text{Other recoverable costs excluding financial incentives and wash-ups [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 46

Recoverable costs excluding financial incentives and wash-ups

Year Electricity lines service charge payable to Transpower [000$] Transpower new investment contract charges [000$] Distributed Generation Allowance or Avoided Transmission Charge [000$] System operator services [000$] Extended reserves allowance [000$] Other recoverable costs excluding financial incentives and wash-ups [000$] Recoverable costs excluding financial incentives and wash-ups [000$]
2,018 27,225 691 7,857 0 0 0 35,773
2,017 26,584 0 7,987 0 0 1,324 35,895
2,016 24,555 0 7,256 0 0 1,355 33,166
2,015 25,562 0 6,656 0 0 796 33,014
2,014 20,756 0 6,701 0 0 1,256 27,457
2,013 20,772 0 7,618 0 0 2,033 28,390
Graphic 46.1

Graphic 46.2

Conclusions:

  • The recoverable costs were increasing due to the charge payable to Transpower.

2.5.2.3 Pass-through costs

The Equation (20) shows the components of the Pass-through costs.

\[\begin{equation} \small PCOSTS_{pass-through} = PCOSTS_{Rates} + LEVIES_{commerce} + LEVIES_{industry} + PCOSTS_{CPP} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} PCOSTS_{pass-through}: & \text{Pass-through costs [000\$]} \\ PCOSTS_{Rates}: & \text{Rates [000\$]} \\ LEVIES_{commerce}: & \text{Commerce Act levies [000\$]} \\ LEVIES_{industry}: & \text{Industry levies [000\$]} \\ PCOSTS_{CPP}: & \text{CPP specified pass through costs [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 47

Pass-through costs

Levies or Rates [000$]
Year Rates [000$] Electricity Authority levies [000$] Commerce Act levies [000$] Other specified pass-through costs [000$] Pass-through costs [000$]
2,018 716 301 133 0 1,150
2,017 926 309 140 0 1,375
2,016 893 243 100 0 1,236
2,015 979 324 166 0 1,469
2,014 673 164 162 1,256 2,255
2,013 655 200 109 2,033 2,997
Graphic 47

Conclusions:

  • The Pass-through was decreasing over the years.

2.5.3. Line Charge Revenue

The Equation (21) shows the components of the Lines Charge.

\[\begin{equation} \small REVENUE_{line,charge} = INCOME_{total,regulatory} - OTHER_{regulated,income} - GAIN_{asset,disposal} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} REVENUE_{line,charge}: & \text{Line charge revenue [000\$]} \\ INCOME_{total,regulatory}: & \text{Total Regulatory Income [000\$]} \\ OTHER_{regulated,income}: & \text{Other regulated income [000\$])} \\ GAIN_{asset,disposal}: & \text{Gains/Losses on asset disposals [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 48

Line Charge Revenue

Year Total Regulatory Income [000$] Other regulated income [000$] Gains/Losses on Asset Disposals [000$] Line Charge Revenue [000$]
2,018 96,711 1,001 -562 96,272
2,017 96,105 3,468 0 92,637
2,016 94,729 3,462 0 91,267
2,015 93,463 2,633 0 90,830
2,014 85,265 3,225 -363 82,403
2,013 87,903 2,989 -81 84,995
Graphic 48

Conclusions:

  • Both, Regulatory Income and Line Charge Revenue, are increasing at the same rate, from 2013 to 2018 the Regulatory Income has increased by 10.02%%.

2.5.4. Regulatory Asset Base (RAB)

The Equation (22) shows the components of Regulatory Asset Base.

\[\begin{equation} \small RAB_{closing} = RAB_{opening} + ASSETS_{commissioned} + ASSETS_{disposal} + REVAL_{total} - DEPRE_{total} + ADJ \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} RAB_{closing}: & \text{RAB in the end of the year [000\$]} \\ RAB_{opening}: & \text{RAB in the start of the year [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{commissioned}: & \text{Assets Commissioned [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{disposal}: & \text{Assets Disposasl [000\$]} \\ REVAL_{total}: & \text{Total Revaluation [000\$]} \\ DEPRE_{total}: & \text{Total Depreciation [000\$]} \\ ADJ: & \text{Adjustments [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)

In the next subchapters, I will discuss each of these components, except Depreciation and Revaluation because both I have already detailed in chapter 2.5.1.4. and chapter 2.5.1.5..

2.5.1.1. RAB Opening Year

Table 49 shows the composition of the RAB at the beginning of the year. In Graphic 49.1 and 49.2 there are two visuals representations.

Table 49

Opening RAB Segmentation

Distribution and LV
Subtransmission
Network Assets
Year OH [000$] UG [000$] Substation and Transformes [000$] Switchgear [000$] Lines [000$] Cables [000$] Non Network [000$] Other [000$] Zone Substation [000$] RAB Total [000$]
2,018 56,453.4 126,887 52,189 20,512 15,138 8,898 0 9,986 63,741 353,804
2,017 52,400.0 125,626 51,795 20,091 13,414 9,082 0 4,236 64,021 340,665
2,016 49,274.0 124,892 51,201 19,589 13,657 9,095 0 3,881 59,008 330,597
2,015 46,641.0 125,524 51,047 19,999 13,569 9,460 0 4,033 54,694 324,967
2,014 45,067.0 125,437 50,729 19,702 13,835 7,464 0 3,636 52,446 318,316
2,013 44,193.0 126,619 51,426 20,006 14,354 7,782 0 3,206 50,677 318,263
Graphic 49.1

Graphic 49.2

Conclusions:

  • The most of the RAB has been allocated in Distribution (57.62% in 2018) and in Substation (32.77% in 2018)). The trend in both segments is positive, which means they are increasing, whereas Other Network Assets and Sub transmission stayed constant.

2.5.1.2. Assets Commissioned

The Equation (23) shows the components of the Total Assets Commissioned.

\[\begin{equation} \small ASSETS_{commissioned} = ASSETS_{acquired,related} + ASSETS_{acquired,regulated} + ASSETS_{commissioned,other} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} ASSETS_{commissioned}: & \text{Assets Commissioned [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{acquired,related}: & \text{Assets acquired from a related party [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{acquired,regulated}: & \text{Assets acquired from a regulated supplier [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{commissioned,other}: & \text{Other Assets Commissioned [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 50 shows the total assets Commissioned in each year divided into segments.

Table 50.1

Asset Commissioned Segmentation

Distribution and LV
Subtransmission
Network Assets
Year Overhead Underground Substation and Transformes Switchgear Lines Cables Non Network Other Zone Substation Total
2,018 38,234.4 3,048 3,014 2,442 1,142 206 758 1,009 482 50,335
2,017 5,395.0 2,519 1,075 1,026 2,006 2 0 5,820 751 18,594
2,016 5,182.0 3,870 2,040 1,386 240 307 0 507 6,914 20,446
2,015 4,827.0 3,058 1,816 556 626 0 0 46 6,369 17,298
2,014 3,014.0 1,861 1,194 935 61 2,199 0 547 3,563 13,374
2,013 3,372.0 3,244 1,449 691 105 87 0 640 3,107 12,695
Table 50.2

Assets Commissioned

Year Other [000$] Regulated Supplier [000$] Related Party [000$] Total Assets Commissioned [000$]
2,018 35,443 0 14,892 50,335
2,017 7,085 0 11,509 18,594
2,016 5,143 0 15,303 20,446
2,015 4,103 0 13,195 17,298
2,014 2,446 0 10,928 13,374
2,013 1,068 0 11,627 12,695
Graphic 50.1

Graphic 50.2

Conclusions:

  • In 2018 Aurora Energy leaps up the amount of asset commissioned (reaching more than 50 million), most in Distribution segment, with a high focus in Overhead Lines. In the past years, Distribution and Substations share almost the totality of assets commissioned.

2.5.1.3. Assets Disposal

The Equation (24) shows the components of the Total Assets Disposals.

\[\begin{equation} \small ASSETS_{disposals} = ASSETS_{disposals,other} + ASSETS_{disposals,regulated} + ASSETS_{disposals,related} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} ASSETS_{commissioned}: & \text{Assets Commissioned [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{acquired,related}: & \text{Assets acquired from a related party [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{acquired,regulated}: & \text{Assets acquired from a regulated supplier [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{commissioned,other}: & \text{Other Assets Commissioned [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 51 shows a resume of the Assets Disposals by Aurora Energy.

Table 51

Assets Disposal

Assets Disposal
Year Regulated Suppliers [000$] Related Parties [000$] Other [000$] Total Disposals [000$]
2,018 0 0 570 570
2,017 0 0 0 0
2,016 0 0 0 0
2,015 0 0 0 0
2,014 0 0 129 129
2,013 0 0 0 0

Conclusions:

  • Aurora Energy does not have much in Assets Disposals.

2.5.1.4. Adjustments

The Equation (25) shows the components of Adjustments.

\[\begin{equation} \small ADJS = ASSETS_{lost,found} + ASSETS_{asset,allocation} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} ADJS: & \text{Assets Commissioned [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{lost,found}: & \text{Assets acquired from a related party [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{asset,allocation}: & \text{Assets acquired from a regulated supplier [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)

Table 52 shows the Adjustments in RAB of Aurora Energy.

Table 52

RAB Adjustment

Adjustment
Year Lost and found assets adjustment [000$] Adjustment resulting from asset allocation [000$] Total Adjustment [000$]
2,018 0 0.43 0.43
2,017 0 -0.08 -0.08
2,016 0 0.20 0.20
2,015 0 0.38 0.38
2,014 0 0.49 0.49
2,013 0 -0.22 -0.22

Conclusions:

  • Aurora Energy does not have problems with Lost and Found Assets and has insignificant expenditure with asset allocation.

2.5.1.5. Regulatory Asset Base Closing Year

Based on Equation 22, Table 53.1 aggregate the Assets Commissioned, Depreciation, Revaluation, etc. to compound the RAB Closing Year.

Table 53.1

Regulatory Asset Base (in the end of Year)

Year (+) RAB in January [000$] (+) Asset Commissioned [000$] (+) Revaluation [000$] (-) Depreciation [000$] (-) Asset Disposal [000$] (+) Adjustments [000$] (=) RAB in December [000$]
2,018 353,804 50,335 3,885.5 13,533 570 0.43 394,085.6
2,017 340,665 18,594 7,381.0 12,836 0 -0.08 353,804.1
2,016 330,597 20,446 1,940.0 12,318 0 0.20 340,664.8
2,015 324,967 17,298 273.0 11,941 0 0.38 330,596.6
2,014 318,316 13,374 4,879.0 11,473 129 0.49 324,966.5
2,013 318,263 12,695 2,734.0 11,268 0 -0.22 322,424.2
Table 53.2

Closing Year RAB Segmentation

Distribution and LV
Subtransmission
Network Assets
Year Distribution OH [000$] Distribution UG [000$] Substation and Transformes [000$] Switchgear [000$] Subtransmission Lines [000$] Subtransmission Cables [000$] Non Network Assets [000$] Other Network Assets [000$] Zone Substation [000$] RAB Closing Year [000$]
2,018 92,074.9 127,205.1 53,909.1 22,089.1 15,815 8,811 758 10,826 62,434.1 394,085.6
2,017 56,453.0 126,887.0 52,189.0 20,512.0 15,138 8,898 0 9,986 63,741.0 353,804.1
2,016 52,400.0 125,626.0 51,795.0 20,091.0 13,414 9,082 0 4,236 64,021.0 340,664.8
2,015 49,274.0 124,892.0 51,201.0 19,589.0 13,657 9,095 0 3,881 59,008.0 330,596.6
2,014 46,641.0 125,524.0 51,047.0 19,999.0 13,569 9,460 0 4,033 54,694.0 324,966.5
2,013 45,867.0 127,301.0 51,679.0 19,938.0 14,041 7,617 0 3,681 52,300.0 322,424.2
Graphic 53.1

Graphic 53.2

Conclusions:

  • In a nutshell, in this last year, the atypical amount in Assets Commissioned was about 170.71% greater than in 2017. Generally, RAB has been increasing over the years from 2013 to 2018 the growth accumulated was about 22.23%.

2.6. OPEX

The Equation (26) shows the components of the Operational Expenditure (OPEX).

\[\begin{equation} \small OPEX = OPEX_{network} + OPEX_{non-network} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} OPEX: & \text{Operational expenditure (OPEX) [000\$]} \\ OPEX_{network}: & \text{Network OPEX [000\$]} \\ OPEX_{non-setwork}: & \text{Non-network OPEX [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)


Table 54 shows the OPEX divided into Network OPEX and Non-network OPEX.

Table 54.1

Operational Expenditure

Year Network opex [000$] Non-network opex [000$] Operational expenditure [000$]
2,018 16,187 19,157 35,344
2,017 16,041 11,431 27,472
2,016 15,400 9,773 25,173
2,015 12,355 11,253 23,608
2,014 11,174 11,143 22,317
2,013 9,029 9,612 18,641
Table 54.2

Operating Cost Allocations

Year Replacement and Renewal [000$] System Operation and Network Support [000$] Business Support [000$] Service interruptions and emergencies [000$] Vegetation management [000$] Routine and corrective maintenance and inspection [000$] Total Operating Cost [000$]
2,018 636 9,985 9,172 4,251 5,517 5,783 35,344
2,017 279 3,867 7,564 5,633 3,699 6,430 27,472
2,016 894 3,743 6,030 4,155 5,247 5,104 25,173
2,015 582 3,857 7,396 4,115 3,619 4,039 23,608
2,014 1,464 4,694 6,449 4,923 2,312 2,475 22,317
2,013 1,331 5,400 4,212 4,259 1,253 2,186 18,641
Graphic 54.1

Graphic 54.2

Graphic 54.3

Conclusions:

  • Both expenditures were increasing, with similar growth rates, Network OPEX has increased 79.28% from 2013 to 2018, and Non-network OPEX in this same period has increased by 99.3%;
  • There is a high trend of OPEX increasing.

2.6.1. Network OPEX

The Equation (27) shows the subcomponents of OPEX, which compound the Network OPEX.

\[\begin{equation} \small OPEX_{network} = SERV_{interruptions,emergencies} + VEG_{management} + RCMI + ASSET_{replacement,renewal} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} OPEX_{network}: & \text{Network OPEX [000\$]} \\ SERV_{interruptions,emergencies}: & \text{Service interruptions and emergencies [000\$]} \\ VEG_{management}: & \text{Vegetation management [000\$]} \\ RCMI: & \text{Routine and corrective maintenance and inspection [000\$]} \\ ASSET_{replacement,renewal} & \text{Asset replacement and renewal [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)


Table 55 shows the Network OPEX divided into its subcomponents.

Table 55

Network OPEX

Year Service interruptions and emergencies [000$] Vegetation management [000$] Routine and corrective maintenance and inspection [000$] Asset replacement and renewal [000$] Network OPEX [000$]
2,018 4,251 5,517 5,783 636 16,187
2,017 5,633 3,699 6,430 279 16,041
2,016 4,155 5,247 5,104 894 15,400
2,015 4,115 3,619 4,039 582 12,355
2,014 4,923 2,312 2,475 1,464 11,174
2,013 4,259 1,253 2,186 1,331 9,029
##            used (Mb) gc trigger  (Mb) max used (Mb)
## Ncells  1176179 62.9    2357904 126.0  1176179 62.9
## Vcells 10776707 82.3   34764999 265.3 10776707 82.3
Graphic 55

Conclusions:

  • In these 6 years of data, Vegetation Management has increased by 340.3%, which is aligned with routine and corrective maintenance and inspection. It also shows a constant expenditure amount to service interruptions and emergencies.

2.6.2. Non-network OPEX

The Equation (28) shows the subcomponents of OPEX, which compound the Non-network OPEX.

\[\begin{equation} \small OPEX_{non-network} = BUS_{support} + SYS_{support,operations} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} OPEX_{non-setwork}: & \text{Non-network OPEX [000\$]} \\ BUS_{support}: & \text{Business support [000\$]} \\ SYS_{support,operations}: & \text{System operations and network support [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)


Table 56 shows the Non-network OPEX divided into Business support and System operations.

Table 56

Non-network OPEX

Year System operations and network support [000$] Business support [000$] Non-network OPEX [000$]
2,018 9,985 9,172 19,157
2,017 3,867 7,564 11,431
2,016 3,743 6,030 9,773
2,015 3,857 7,396 11,253
2,014 4,694 6,449 11,143
2,013 5,400 4,212 9,612
Graphic 56

Conclusions:

  • Although, both subcomponents have increased over the years, in 2018 the growth was higher. System Operation and Network Support has increased 30% from 2017 to 2018.

2.6.3. OPEX Subcomponents

The Equation (29) shows other subcomponents of OPEX.

\[\begin{equation} \small OPEX_{subcomponents} = Efficiency + BILL_{direct} + R\&D + Insurance \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} OPEX_{subcomponents}: & \text{Subcomponents of Operational Expenditure [000\$]} \\ Efficiency: & \text{Energy efficiency and demand side management, reduction of energy losses [000\$]} \\ BILL_{direct}: & \text{Direct billing [000\$]} \\ ReD: & \text{Research and development [000\$]} \\ Insurance: & \text{Insurance [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)


Table 57 shows the investments in Research and Development, Energy Efficient Programs, Insurances, etc.

Table 57

Subcomponents of Operational Expenditure

Year Energy efficiency and demand side management, reduction of energy losses [000$] Direct billing* [000$] Research and development [000$] Insurance [000$] Total Subcomponets [000$]
2018 0 0 0 219 219
2017 0 0 0 195 195
2016 0 0 0 223 223
2015 0 0 0 258 258
2014 0 0 0 192 192
2013 0 0 0 192 192

Conclusions:

  • Unfortunately, Aurora Energy invests neither in R&D and Energy Efficient. There is only expenditure on Insurance.


2.7. CAPEX

The Equation (30) shows the components of Capital Expenditure (CAPEX).

\[\begin{equation} \small CAPEX = ASSETS_{expenditure} + COSTS_{financing} + ASSETS_{vested} - FUN_{total} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} CAPEX: & \text{Capital expenditure [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{expenditure}: & \text{Expenditure on Assets [000\$]} \\ COSTS_{financing}: & \text{Cost of financing [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{vested}: & \text{Value of vested assets [000\$]} \\ FUN_{total}: & \text{Value of capital contributions [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)


Table 58 shows the CAPEX total amount from 2013 until 2018.

Table 58

CAPEX in Aurora Energy

Year Cost of financing [000$] Value of capital contributions [000$] Value of vested assets [000$] Expenditure on assets [000$] CAPEX [000$]
2,018 0 4,751 0 69,297 64,546
2,017 0 3,499 0 30,138 26,639
2,016 0 6,114 0 29,040 22,926
2,015 0 4,434 0 29,162 24,728
2,014 0 4,087 0 15,919 11,832
2,013 0 3,043 0 17,642 14,599
Graphic 58.1

Graphic 58.2

Graphic 58.3

Conclusions:

  • Although the CAPEX has increased about 342.13%, the total amount contributed by the consumers did not increase as the CAPEX grew (almost 56.13%).

2.7.1. Expenditure on Asset

The Equation (31) shows the components of Expenditure on Assets.

\[\begin{equation} \small ASSETS_{expenditure} = ASSETS_{network} + ASSETS_{non-network} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} ASSETS_{expenditure}: & \text{Expenditure on Assets [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{network}: & \text{Expenditure on Network Assets [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{non-network}: & \text{Expenditure on Non-network Assets [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)


Table 59 shows the amount allocated to Expenditure on Network Assets and Non-network Assets.

Table 59

CAPEX - Expenditure on Assets

Year Network assets [000$] Non-network assets [000$] Expenditure on assets [000$]
2,018 68,341 956 69,297
2,017 30,138 0 30,138
2,016 29,040 0 29,040
2,015 29,162 0 29,162
2,014 15,919 0 15,919
2,013 17,642 0 17,642
Graphic 59

Conclusions:

  • By the database, until 2017, Aurora Energy did not invest in Non-network.

2.7.2 Network Asset

The Equation (32) shows the components of Network Assets.

\[\begin{equation} \small ASSETS_{network} = EXP_{rse} + Connections + SYS_{growth} + ASSETS_{replacement,renewal} + ASSETS_{relocation} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} ASSETS_{network}: & \text{Expenditure on Network Assets [000\$]} \\ EXP_{rse}: & \text{Total Reliability, Safety and Environment [000\$]} \\ Connections: & \text{Expenditure on Consumer Connections [000\$]} \\ SYS_{growth}: & \text{System Growth [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{replacement,renewal}: & \text{Asset Replacement and Renewal [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{relocation}: & \text{Asset Relocations [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)


Table 60 shows the expenditures in each component of Network Asset.

Table 60

Network Asset

Year Total reliability, safety and environment [000$] Consumer connection [000$] System growth [000$] Asset replacement and renewal [000$] Asset relocations [000$] Network Asset [000$]
2,018 1,700 8,494 6,343 50,767 1,037 68,341
2,017 2,133 7,526 270 18,128 2,081 30,138
2,016 1,929 10,553 8,980 5,511 2,067 29,040
2,015 1,943 10,250 6,898 7,501 2,570 29,162
2,014 2,550 4,723 350 7,761 535 15,919
2,013 1,986 6,671 2,152 6,374 459 17,642
Graphic 60.1

Graphic 60.2

Graphic 60.3

Graphic 60.4

Conclusions:

  • In 2017 and 2018, most of the Expenditure on Assets were in Relocations, Replacement and Renewal. The share of Asset Replacement and renewal reached 74.28% of the total in 2018 and 60.15% in 2017;
  • The expenditure on new connections stayed steadily over the years.

2.7.2.1. Total Reliability, safety and environment

The Equation (33) shows the subcomponents of Total Reliability, safety and environment.

\[\begin{equation} \small EXP_{rse} = QUA_{supply} + LEGREG + SYS_{growth} + OTHER_{rse} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} EXP_{rse}: & \text{Total Reliability, Safety and Environment [000\$]} \\ QUA_{supply}: & \text{Quality of Supply [000\$]} \\ LEGREG: & \text{Legislative and Regulatory [000\$]} \\ OTHER_{rse}: & \text{Other Reliability, Safety and Environment [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)


Table 61

The Reliability, Safety and Environment

Year Quality of supply [000$] Legislative and regulatory [000$] Other reliability, safety and environment [000$] Total reliability, safety and environment [000$]
2,018 0 0 1,700 1,700
2,017 1,310 0 823 2,133
2,016 1,678 0 251 1,929
2,015 1,541 0 402 1,943
2,014 2,337 0 213 2,550
2,013 725 0 1,261 1,986
Graphic 61

Conclusions

  • Seems the total available to Reliability, safety and environment is about 2 million NZD.

A) Quality of Supply

Table 62 divide the Total Reliability, Safety and Environment into 2 components.

{.tabset}
Table 62

Quality of Supply

Year Quality of supply less capital contributions [000$] Capital contributions funding asset relocations [000$] Quality of supply expenditure [000$]
2,018 0 0 0
2,017 1,278 32 1,310
2,016 1,678 0 1,678
2,015 1,541 0 1,541
2,014 2,328 9 2,337
2,013 725 0 725
Graphic 62

Conclusions

  • From 2014 to 2017 the efforts on The Reliability, Safe and Environment was in Quality of Supply, but suddenly in 2018, they change the focus to Other Reliability, Safety and Environment (which is unknown due to lack of information). For this reason, in 2018 there is no expenditure in Quality supply.
  • I think Aurora Energy does not have a large provision to this item and need to choose which one to “attack”.

B) Legislative and Regulatory

Conclusions:

  • I did not find any data on this item, the fields are in blank or have zeros.

C) Other reliability, safety and environment

Table 63 divide the Other Reliability, Safety and Environment into two components.

Table 63

Other reliability, safety and environment

Year Other reliability, safety and environment less capital contributions [000$] Capital contributions funding other reliability, safety and environment [000$] Other reliability, safety and environment expenditure [000$]
2,018 1,700 0 1,700
2,017 806 17 823
2,016 246 5 251
2,015 402 0 402
2,014 213 0 213
2,013 1,261 0 1,261
Graphic 63

Conclusions

  • Although this item aims to detail, there is only one new information about the Capital Contribution of the Consumers.

2.7.2.2. Consumer Connections

Consumer Connections is a subitem of Network Asset.

Table 64 shows the expenditure to connect the new consumer to the grid and the capital contributions funding.

Table 64

Consumer connection expenditure

Year Capital contributions funding consumer connection expenditure [000$] Consumer connection less capital contributions [000$] Consumer connection expenditure [000$]
2,018 4,483 4,011 8,494
2,017 2,904 4,622 7,526
2,016 5,059 5,494 10,553
2,015 3,584 6,666 10,250
2,014 2,948 1,775 4,723
2,013 2,765 3,906 6,671
Graphic 64.1

Graphic 64.2

Graphic 64.3

Conclusions

  • Aurora Energy has been decreasing the expenditure on the new connection. From 2015 to 2018, the expenditure has diminished by 39.83%.

2.7.2.3. System Growth

System Growth is a subitem of Network Asset.

Table 65 shows the expenditure involved in Sub transmission, Zone Substation, Distributions lines, etc.

Table 65

System Growth

Distribution
Year OH [000$] UG [000$] Substations and Transformers [000$] Switchgear [000$] Subtransmission [000$] Other Network Assets [000$] Zone substations [000$] Capital contributions funding system growth [000$] System Growth Expenditure [000$]
2,018 41 391 150 352 224 5,180 5 0 6,343
2,017 82 106 0 3 4 52 23 27 270
2,016 406 910 168 232 495 174 6,595 22 8,980
2,015 125 43 34 39 0 3 6,654 17 6,898
2,014 91 104 71 34 0 26 24 64 350
2,013 152 457 204 163 54 23 1,099 19 2,152
Graphic 65.1

Graphic 65.2

Graphic 65.3

Conclusions

  • In 2015 and 2016 have atypical expenditures amounts in Zone Substations, whereas in 2018 Other Network Assets has reached 81.66% of the System Growth Expenditure.

2.7.2.4. Asset Replacement and Renewal

Asset Replacement and Renewal is also a subitem of Network Asset.

Table 66 shows the expenditure involved in Capital Contribution, Zone Substation, Distributions lines, etc.

Table 66

Asset Replacement and Renewal

Distribution
Year OH [000$] UG [000$] Substations and Transformers [000$] Switchgear [000$] Subtransmission [000$] Other network assets [000$] Zone substations [000$] Capital contributions funding asset replacement and renewal [000$] Asset replacement and renewal expenditure [000$]
2,018 32,020 1,204 2,896 2,896 3,872 1,550 7,470 0 50,767
2,017 5,109 883 398 398 2,622 7,405 855 26 18,128
2,016 3,806 341 557 557 114 163 383 26 5,511
2,015 4,222 311 616 616 628 45 1,486 0 7,501
2,014 1,583 468 299 299 2,069 125 2,865 615 7,761
2,013 2,391 958 281 281 542 108 1,830 0 6,374
Graphic 66.1

Graphic 66.2

Conclusions

  • In 2018 the focus of Asset Replacement and Renewal was in Distribution and LV lines, the total expenditure was about 32 million NZD.

2.7.2.5. Asset Relocations

Consumer Connections is a subitem of Network Asset.

The Equation (34) shows the subcomponents of Asset Relocation Expenditure.

\[\begin{equation} \small ASSETS_{relocation,expenditure} = RELOC_{capital contribution} + ASSETS_{relocation,expenditure,less,cc} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} ASSETS_{relocation,expenditure}: & \text{Asset relocations expenditure [000\$]} \\ RELOC_{capital contribution}: & \text{Capital contributions funding asset relocations [000\$]} \\ ASSETS_{relocation,expenditure,less,cc}: & \text{Asset relocations less capital contributions [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)


Table 67.1 shows 2 components of Asset Relocations:

  • Asset relocations less capital contributions;
  • Capital contributions funding asset relocations.
Table 67.1

Asset relocations expenditure

Year Asset relocations less capital contributions [000$] Capital contributions funding asset relocations [000$] Asset relocations expenditure [000$]
2,018 769 268 1,037
2,017 1,588 493 2,081
2,016 1,065 1,002 2,067
2,015 1,737 833 2,570
2,014 84 451 535
2,013 200 259 459
Graphic 67.1

Graphic 67.2

Graphic 67.3

Conclusions

  • The Asset Relocations Expenditure has a decreasing trend.

2.7.3. Non-network Asset

The Equation (35) shows the subcomponents of Non-network Asset.

\[\begin{equation} \small ASSETS_{non-network} = ATYPICAL_{expenditure} + ROUTINE_{expenditure} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} ASSETS_{non-network}: & \text{Expenditure on Non-network Asset [000\$]} \\ ATYPICAL_{expenditure}: & \text{Atypical Expenditure [000\$]} \\ ROUTINE_{expenditure}: & \text{Routine Expenditure [000\$]} \\ \end{array}\)


Table 68 shows the Non-network Asset Expenditure divided into two components:

  • Atypical Expenditure;
  • Routine Expenditure.
Table 68.1

Non-network Assets

Year Atypical expenditure [000$] Routine expenditure [000$] Non-network assets expenditure [000$]
2,018 956 0 956
2,017 0 0 0
2,016 0 0 0
2,015 0 0 0
2,014 0 0 0
2,013 0 0 0
Table 68.2

Atypical expenditure in Non-Network Assets

Description Expenditure [000$]
Office Furniture - Desks, Screens, Chairs, Cabinets 301
Sundry Computer Equipment - Laptops and Associated Equipment 138
Halsey St, Upgrade Power and Generator 70
Power Factory Upgrade - IT Asset Management Software 155
All other projects or programmes - atypical expenditure 292
Atypical expenditure 956

Conclusions

  • First year identified with this kind of expenditure. The Atypical Expenditure was Equipment to Office, Computers, IT Software, etc.

2.7.4. Capital Contribution

Table 69 sum up the Capital Contribution from all items of CAPEX. In the list below, you can see the chapter where you can find it.

Table 69

Capital Contribution

Year Consumer connection [000$] Asset Replacement and Renewal [000$] System Growth [000$] Asset relocations [000$] Quality of supply [000$] Legislative and Regulatory [000$] Other Reliability, Safety and Environment [000$] Capital Contribution [000$]
2,018 4,483 0 0 268 0 0 0 4,751
2,017 2,904 26 27 493 32 0 17 3,499
2,016 5,059 26 22 1,002 0 0 5 6,114
2,015 3,584 0 17 833 0 0 0 4,434
2,014 2,948 615 64 451 9 0 0 4,087
2,013 2,765 0 19 259 0 0 0 3,043
Graphic 69.1

Graphic 69.2

Conclusions

Most of the Capital Contribution was in Consumer Connection, it means, to connect a new consumer or to upgrade an existing installation. In 2018 the share of new connection reached 94.36% over the Capital Contribution.



2.8. Revenue

This subchapter divides the Lines Charges into load-group, and whether standard or non-standard (as a classification by NZCC).

2.8.1. Lines Charges

Table 70 shows the Target and the Actual amount of Energy delivered to the ICPs.

Table 70

Comparison - Actual vs Target

Revenues
Year Target [000$] Actual [000$] Rate [%]
2,018 93,778 95,653 102
2,017 91,020 92,640 102
2,016 87,711 91,267 104
2,015 89,870 90,830 101
2,014 84,580 82,403 97
2,013 83,982 84,229 100
Graphic 70

Conclusions

  • Along 6 years, only one time Aurora did not reach the target.

2.8.1.1. Standard and Non-standard Consumers

The Equation (36) shows the components of Total Energy Delivered.

\[\begin{equation} \small E_{delivered,ICP} = E_{standard} + E_{non-standard} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} E_{delivered,ICP}: & \text{Total energy delivered to ICPs [MWh/year]} \\ E_{standard}: & \text{Energy delivered to Standard Consumer [MWh/year]} \\ E_{non-standard}: & \text{Energy delivered to Non-standard Consumer [MWh/year]} \\ \end{array}\)


Table 71 shows the Total Energy Delivered share between Standard and Non-standard Consumers.

Table 71

Energy delivered to ICPs by Demand Group

Year Network Standard [MWh/year] Non-standard [MWh/year] Total Energy Delivered [MWh/year]
2,018 All 1,297,730 10,563 1,308,293
2,017 All 1,272,557 11,613 1,284,170
2,016 All 1,291,261 12,188 1,303,450
2,015 All 1,242,064 6,070 1,248,134
2,014 All 1,250,257 0 1,250,257
2,013 All 1,248,959 0 1,248,959
Central Otago
2,018 CentralOtago 497,928 10,563 508,491
2,017 CentralOtago 475,671 11,613 487,284
2,016 CentralOtago 467,872 12,188 480,060
2,015 CentralOtago 434,981 6,070 441,050
2,014 CentralOtago 433,346 0 433,346
2,013 CentralOtago 414,803 0 414,803
Dunedin
2,018 Dunedin 799,089 0 799,089
2,017 Dunedin 796,206 0 796,206
2,016 Dunedin 822,726 0 822,726
2,015 Dunedin 799,308 0 799,308
2,014 Dunedin 816,336 0 816,336
2,013 Dunedin 841,545 0 841,545
Graphic 71

Conclusions

  • Aurora Energy does not have various non-standard consumers as shown in Table 70.1. In 2018 the share in Total Energy Delivered to this load-group was only 0.81%.

2.8.1.2. Average Number of ICPs

Table 72 shows each Load Group and the number of consumer from 2013 to 2018.

Table 72
Graphic 72.1

Graphic 72.2

Conclusions:

  • Aside from the typos observed in Graphic 72.1, it is possible to see a positive trend in Central Otago and a slight positive trend in Dunedin. Aggregating these trends result in a global growth of 6.32% accumulated in 6 years.

2.8.2. Comparison Regionals

Based on the informations gathered in chapters 2.8.1. Table 73 compile a sum up.

Table 73

Consumer, ICP number, and Ratio

Central Otago
Dunedin
Total
Year [MWh] [ICP] [MWh/ICP] [MWh] [ICP] [MWh/ICP] [MWh] [ICP] [MWh/ICP]
2,018 508,490.5 33,417.15 15.22 799,089.5 55,036.49 14.52 1,308,293 88,569.10 14.77
2,017 487,284.3 32,291.21 15.09 796,206.1 54,686.93 14.56 1,284,170 87,083.04 14.75
2,016 480,060.2 31,352.00 15.31 822,726.1 54,495.00 15.10 1,303,450 85,947.00 15.17
2,015 441,050.2 30,647.00 14.39 799,308.4 54,277.00 14.73 1,248,134 84,998.00 14.68
2,014 433,345.5 29,907.00 14.49 816,336.4 53,947.00 15.13 1,250,257 83,945.00 14.89
2,013 414,803.0 29,354.00 14.13 841,544.9 53,831.00 15.63 1,248,959 83,305.00 14.99

Conclusions:

  • Although, the global average of consumptions by ICP is increasing over the years, in Dunedin Regional this ratio was slightly decreasing, and in an inverse way, the Central Otago Regional was increasing.


3. Aurora Energy Analysis

Due to the type of analysis involving many Graphics, I will use the tool called Flex Dash Board in a separated platform, which can be accessed by the link below.

Aurora Energy Dashboard

This tool has several features that allow the data interpretation easier to understand and also allow the analyst to record each step of the data transformation.

4. Benchmarking

On the Aurora Energy Dashboard (same of the Chapter 3), there is a complete and commented section to the Clusterization.

4.1. Clusterization

The aim of the clusterization is to find groups in a population with same similarity, but underlying this main objective resides many details, which will be discussed in the next subchapters. The methodology applied in this chapter is based on the book Kassambara (2017).

4.2. Data Preparation

In this step I will choose the variables, scale method and the standardization method.

4.2.1. Variables and Observations

The observations of this clusterization is the EDB companies, and the variables selected are:

  1. Number of ICPs
  2. Energy Delivered
  3. Lines Charge
  4. Network Length
  5. Losses
  6. SAIDI
  7. SAIFI
  8. Interrupptions
  9. Closing RAB
  10. OPEX
  11. CAPEX

All the calculation will be based on the 2018 values.

4.2.2. Data Standardization

This step is necessary to make features comparable because many of the variable are in different scales. The Equation (37) shows the method adopetd to perform the standardization.

\[\begin{equation} \small obs_{standard} = \frac{(x_{i} - centre_{i})}{scale(x)} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} obs_{standard}: & \text{standardizated observation} \\ x_{i}: & \text{observation i} \\ y_{i}: & \text{mean of all x observations}\\ scale(x): & \text{standard deviation of the x observation}\\ \end{array}\)


The output of this equation is a variable with mean zero and standard deviation one.

## **Results for the Principal Component Analysis (PCA)**
## The analysis was performed on 29 individuals, described by 11 variables
## *The results are available in the following objects:
## 
##    name               description                          
## 1  "$eig"             "eigenvalues"                        
## 2  "$var"             "results for the variables"          
## 3  "$var$coord"       "coord. for the variables"           
## 4  "$var$cor"         "correlations variables - dimensions"
## 5  "$var$cos2"        "cos2 for the variables"             
## 6  "$var$contrib"     "contributions of the variables"     
## 7  "$ind"             "results for the individuals"        
## 8  "$ind$coord"       "coord. for the individuals"         
## 9  "$ind$cos2"        "cos2 for the individuals"           
## 10 "$ind$contrib"     "contributions of the individuals"   
## 11 "$call"            "summary statistics"                 
## 12 "$call$centre"     "mean of the variables"              
## 13 "$call$ecart.type" "standard error of the variables"    
## 14 "$call$row.w"      "weights for the individuals"        
## 15 "$call$col.w"      "weights for the variables"

4.2.3. Observation Distances

I choose the Manhattan method to calculate the distance between observation because this method is less sensitive of unusual values and should give more robust results. The Equation (38) shows the Manhattan method.

\[\begin{equation} \small d_{man}(x,y) = \sum_{i=1}^n|(x_{i} - y_{i})| \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} d_{man}: & \text{Distance between x and y} \\ x_{i}: & \text{} \\ y_{i}: & \text{} \\ \end{array}\)


The Graphic X shows the output of the VAT (Visual Assessment of Cluster Tendency) method developed by Bezdek and Hathaway (2012).

Graphic X

The interpretation of the Graphic is:

  • Red: high similarity
  • Blue: Low similarity

EDB belonging to the same cluster (group) are shown in consecutive order.

Other approach to assess the Clustering Tendency is using the Hopkins statistic. The Equation () shows the Hopkins Statisc.

\[\begin{equation} \small H = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^n{y_{i}}}{\sum_{i=1}^n{x_{i}}+\sum_{i=1}^n{y_{i}}} \end{equation}\]

\(\small \begin{array}{l l} d_{man}: & \text{Distance between x and y} \\ x_{i}: & \text{a} \\ y_{i}: & \text{a} \\ \end{array}\)


The null and the alternative hypotheses are defined below:

  • Null hypothesis: the dataset is uniformily distributed;
  • Alternative hypothesis: the dataset is not uniformily distributed,

If H is close 0.5 means that there are not clusters.

The results of this statistic in the NZ Electricity Market is 0.25, which means there are clusters in this dataset.

4.3. Clustering Algorithm

The are several Cluster algorithms in the academic literature, however as an example of cluster application I will adopt the K-medoids method and I will use the PAM (Kaufamn & Rouseeeuw, 1990) algorithm to solve it.

4.3.1. PAM Algorithm

This method is more stable than the K-means because the centroid of each clusters is an observation instead of a mean of the cluster. Due to this modification the K-medoids is less sensitive to outliers than K-means.

4.3.2. Opitimized Number of Cluster

Unfortunalety, the K-menoids needs as input the number of clusters, however there is a solution calculating the silhouette, as shown in the Graphic X.

Graphic X

The Silhouette is an iteractivy application of PAM algorithm varying the number of cluster from 1 to 10 and then plotting. The objective is to find the curve knee, where the optimized solution will be find. So, from the Graphic X, the optimized number of cluster is 2.

Besides this straighforward solution, I will apply a statistical method to ensure the number of cluster called Gap Statistic (R. Tibshirani, G. Walther, and T. Hastie).

## Warning in pf(beale, pp, df2): NaNs produzidos

## *** : The Hubert index is a graphical method of determining the number of clusters.
##                 In the plot of Hubert index, we seek a significant knee that corresponds to a 
##                 significant increase of the value of the measure i.e the significant peak in Hubert
##                 index second differences plot. 
## 

## *** : The D index is a graphical method of determining the number of clusters. 
##                 In the plot of D index, we seek a significant knee (the significant peak in Dindex
##                 second differences plot) that corresponds to a significant increase of the value of
##                 the measure. 
##  
## ******************************************************************* 
## * Among all indices:                                                
## * 1 proposed 2 as the best number of clusters 
## * 11 proposed 3 as the best number of clusters 
## * 3 proposed 5 as the best number of clusters 
## * 1 proposed 7 as the best number of clusters 
## * 4 proposed 9 as the best number of clusters 
## * 3 proposed 10 as the best number of clusters 
## 
##                    ***** Conclusion *****                            
##  
## * According to the majority rule, the best number of clusters is  3 
##  
##  
## *******************************************************************
## Among all indices: 
## ===================
## * 2 proposed  0 as the best number of clusters
## * 1 proposed  1 as the best number of clusters
## * 1 proposed  2 as the best number of clusters
## * 11 proposed  3 as the best number of clusters
## * 3 proposed  5 as the best number of clusters
## * 1 proposed  7 as the best number of clusters
## * 4 proposed  9 as the best number of clusters
## * 3 proposed  10 as the best number of clusters
## 
## Conclusion
## =========================
## * According to the majority rule, the best number of clusters is  3 .

4.3.3. PAM Clustering Application

4.3.4. Agglomerative

4.3.4. Dendrogram

4.3.4. Evaluating the Tree

## [1] 0.674461
## [1] 0.8979558

4.3.5. Comparison

## 
## ---------------------
## Welcome to dendextend version 1.9.0
## Type citation('dendextend') for how to cite the package.
## 
## Type browseVignettes(package = 'dendextend') for the package vignette.
## The github page is: https://github.com/talgalili/dendextend/
## 
## Suggestions and bug-reports can be submitted at: https://github.com/talgalili/dendextend/issues
## Or contact: <tal.galili@gmail.com>
## 
##  To suppress this message use:  suppressPackageStartupMessages(library(dendextend))
## ---------------------
## 
## Attaching package: 'dendextend'
## The following object is masked from 'package:stats':
## 
##     cutree

4.6.

## Joining, by = c("EDB", "Network")

5. Results

  1. Table 1 - Consumers: em 6 anos Central Otago cresceu cerca de 3.000 consumidores (o que representa 10%) e Dunedin 1.000, acumulando mais de 4.000 em toda área de concessão.

  2. Table 2 - Comprimento de rede: A maior parte da rende está na regional de Central Otago, embora Dunedin tenha crescido muito no ano de 2018.

  3. Table 3 - Rede aérea: Havia uma predominancia de Central Otago até 2017, mas com o crescimento da rede em Dunedin esse percentual agora é praticamente igual.

  4. Table 4 - Cabos subterrâneos: 2/3 estão em Central Otago, cujo crescimento é igual em ambas regionais (Central Otago é de 39% e Dunedin é de 38.7%).

  5. Em 2016 aconteceu alguma coisa na estrutura tarifária. Analisando os Annual Comliance de (conferir os mais antigos) 2014 até 2015 os valores de receita (Notional revenues) estava bem parecido, em 2016 houve uma diminuição muito grande. Comparando com os dados da Planilha Database é possível notar um aumento dos non-standard prices. Houve aí uma ruptura do processo daquela época.

6. Conclusions

(Chang et al. 2015)

7. References

7.1. Session Info

## R version 3.5.1 (2018-07-02)
## Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/x64 (64-bit)
## Running under: Windows 10 x64 (build 17134)
## 
## Matrix products: default
## 
## locale:
## [1] LC_COLLATE=English_United States.1252 
## [2] LC_CTYPE=English_United States.1252   
## [3] LC_MONETARY=English_United States.1252
## [4] LC_NUMERIC=C                          
## [5] LC_TIME=English_United States.1252    
## 
## attached base packages:
## [1] grid      stats     graphics  grDevices utils     datasets  methods  
## [8] base     
## 
## other attached packages:
##  [1] dendextend_1.9.0 NbClust_3.0      bindrcpp_0.2.2   FactoMineR_1.41 
##  [5] GGally_1.4.0     clustertend_1.4  factoextra_1.0.5 cluster_2.0.7-1 
##  [9] DT_0.4           tidyr_0.8.1      sp_1.3-1         leaflet_2.0.2   
## [13] prettydoc_0.2.1  rmdformats_0.3.3 kableExtra_0.9.0 ggthemes_4.0.1  
## [17] ggfortify_0.4.5  ggrepel_0.8.0    ggplot2_3.0.0    dplyr_0.7.7     
## [21] readxl_1.1.0    
## 
## loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
##  [1] RColorBrewer_1.1-2   httr_1.3.1           ggsci_2.9           
##  [4] rprojroot_1.3-2      prabclus_2.2-6       tools_3.5.1         
##  [7] backports_1.1.2      R6_2.3.0             lazyeval_0.2.1      
## [10] questionr_0.6.3      colorspace_1.3-2     trimcluster_0.1-2.1 
## [13] nnet_7.3-12          withr_2.1.2          tidyselect_0.2.5    
## [16] gridExtra_2.3        compiler_3.5.1       rvest_0.3.2         
## [19] flashClust_1.01-2    xml2_1.2.0           labeling_0.3        
## [22] bookdown_0.7         diptest_0.75-7       scales_1.0.0        
## [25] DEoptimR_1.0-8       robustbase_0.93-3    mvtnorm_1.0-8       
## [28] readr_1.1.1          stringr_1.3.1        digest_0.6.18       
## [31] rmarkdown_1.10       pkgconfig_2.0.2      htmltools_0.3.6     
## [34] highr_0.7            htmlwidgets_1.3      rlang_0.3.0         
## [37] rstudioapi_0.8       shiny_1.1.0          bindr_0.1.1         
## [40] jsonlite_1.5         crosstalk_1.0.0      mclust_5.4.1        
## [43] magrittr_1.5         modeltools_0.2-22    leaps_3.0           
## [46] Rcpp_0.12.19         munsell_0.5.0        viridis_0.5.1       
## [49] scatterplot3d_0.3-41 stringi_1.2.4        whisker_0.3-2       
## [52] yaml_2.2.0           MASS_7.3-51          flexmix_2.3-14      
## [55] plyr_1.8.4           promises_1.0.1       crayon_1.3.4        
## [58] miniUI_0.1.1.1       lattice_0.20-35      hms_0.4.2           
## [61] knitr_1.20           pillar_1.3.0         ggpubr_0.1.8        
## [64] fpc_2.1-11.1         reshape2_1.4.3       stats4_3.5.1        
## [67] glue_1.3.0           evaluate_0.12        httpuv_1.4.5        
## [70] cellranger_1.1.0     gtable_0.2.0         purrr_0.2.5         
## [73] kernlab_0.9-27       reshape_0.8.8        assertthat_0.2.0    
## [76] xfun_0.4             mime_0.6             xtable_1.8-3        
## [79] later_0.7.5          class_7.3-14         viridisLite_0.3.0   
## [82] tibble_1.4.2

Chang, W., J. Cheng, JJ. Allaire, Y. Xie, and J. McPherson. 2015. “Shiny: Web Application Framework for R. R Package Version 0.12.1.” Computer Program. http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=shiny.

Commission, New Zealand Commerce. 2018a. “Electricity Distributors Information Disclosures.” Excel. New Zealand Commerce Commission. https://comcom.govt.nz/regulated-industries/electricity-lines/electricity-distributor-performance-and-data/information-disclosed-by-electricity-distributors.

———. 2018b. “Electricity Distributors Information Disclosures.” Dashboard. New Zealand Commerce Commission. public.tableau.com/profile/commerce.commission.regulation#!/vizhome/Performanceaccessibilitytool-NewZealandelectricitydistributors/Highlevelratios.

Energy, Aurora. 2018. “2018 Aurora Energy Annual Report.” Report. Aurora Energy. www.auroraenergy.co.nz/disclosures/annual-reports/.

Grolemund, G. 2018. Data Science with R. O’Reilly Media. http://garrettgman.github.io/tidying.

Ihaka, R., and R. Gentleman. 1996. “R: A Language for Data Analysis and Graphics.” Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. American Statistical Association. https://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~ihaka/downloads/R-paper.pdf.

Kassambara, A. 2017. Practical Guide to Cluster Analysis in R. sthda.com. http://www.sthda.com.

NZCC. 2018. “Electricity Distribution Services Input Methodologies Determination 2012.” Report. New Zealand Commerce Commission. https://comcom.govt.nz/regulated-industries/input-methodologies/electricity-distribution-ims.

R Core Team. 2018. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. Vienna, Austria: R Foundation for Statistical Computing. https://www.R-project.org/.

 

A work by AH Uyekita

anderson.uyekita[at]gmail.com