Series de Tiempo
#datos San_Juan_Training_Data
library(readr)
sanjuan_dengue <- read_csv("San_Juan_Training_Data.csv")
## Parsed with column specification:
## cols(
## season = col_character(),
## season_week = col_integer(),
## week_start_date = col_date(format = ""),
## denv1_cases = col_integer(),
## denv2_cases = col_integer(),
## denv3_cases = col_integer(),
## denv4_cases = col_integer(),
## other_positive_cases = col_integer(),
## additional_cases = col_integer(),
## total_cases = col_integer()
## )
#crear objeto ts
tsdengue <- ts(sanjuan_dengue$total_cases, start = c(1990, 4), end = c(2009, 4), frequency = 52)
tsdengue
## Time Series:
## Start = c(1990, 4)
## End = c(2009, 4)
## Frequency = 52
## [1] 4 5 4 3 6 2 4 5 10 6 8 2 6 17 23 13 21
## [18] 28 24 20 40 27 42 33 43 37 57 71 44 56 53 52 47 26
## [35] 27 21 21 26 34 37 17 19 25 18 21 17 17 16 16 15 23
## [52] 16 17 12 17 10 15 19 21 14 18 13 14 18 23 25 62 60
## [69] 76 66 64 68 89 92 140 116 142 129 140 140 127 129 169 141 108
## [86] 78 70 81 104 90 85 55 53 65 33 38 59 40 37 29 30 30
## [103] 28 23 24 29 26 23 20 19 20 26 29 31 28 26 32 35 33
## [120] 30 52 59 67 65 74 70 61 53 76 61 57 44 34 47 60 60
## [137] 53 36 31 30 32 28 33 33 35 22 13 13 21 17 11 8 8
## [154] 6 6 7 12 17 10 10 18 19 12 22 12 21 18 16 16 22
## [171] 17 25 23 12 25 28 27 18 23 23 29 38 36 43 46 31 25
## [188] 40 31 38 30 22 31 26 35 36 39 25 31 37 33 25 24 18
## [205] 23 13 18 14 17 22 13 24 31 34 31 31 38 49 42 49 55
## [222] 80 84 72 89 115 179 202 272 302 395 426 461 381 333 353 410 364
## [239] 359 288 221 149 112 154 91 72 56 46 37 26 17 17 20 11 7
## [256] 16 14 16 5 2 6 5 4 3 4 16 8 7 10 14 7 9
## [273] 11 23 17 19 24 17 28 40 33 31 33 29 30 36 48 40 28
## [290] 36 19 34 23 17 17 23 14 20 13 23 20 16 16 23 14 15
## [307] 4 5 5 11 11 7 4 6 5 2 4 2 4 6 6 4 6
## [324] 11 16 9 12 13 27 21 19 17 24 27 30 29 25 35 33 30
## [341] 29 31 29 22 27 24 26 29 22 33 24 30 20 17 24 28 18
## [358] 13 9 14 11 11 19 10 8 8 9 3 7 14 4 9 14 7
## [375] 9 3 3 14 12 10 21 26 47 42 31 34 33 52 56 70 112
## [392] 70 47 48 49 66 56 61 67 64 68 49 50 56 75 63 62 41
## [409] 50 34 31 38 30 32 26 30 36 35 46 48 44 51 59 71 102
## [426] 128 127 150 191 256 329 263 220 204 181 99 54 80 102 127 73 68
## [443] 64 55 67 84 85 67 73 89 68 59 56 77 75 47 50 42 28
## [460] 37 37 27 12 15 22 8 15 17 10 9 11 20 13 11 16 11
## [477] 7 17 14 13 15 30 25 40 44 25 21 48 56 60 45 55 32
## [494] 46 61 42 37 43 34 40 25 16 17 17 16 23 18 18 9 7
## [511] 7 4 3 2 8 3 1 1 2 3 3 2 0 0 2 2 0
## [528] 6 3 6 2 3 2 4 5 2 9 2 4 8 6 3 11 14
## [545] 15 20 9 20 28 38 30 30 23 16 22 28 14 17 20 17 10
## [562] 13 20 9 18 9 8 19 11 4 6 6 8 13 8 8 5 16
## [579] 12 11 18 10 22 14 16 18 27 38 35 41 51 65 55 54 62
## [596] 64 56 65 71 75 71 72 47 27 35 25 19 37 38 34 26 19
## [613] 18 22 16 18 6 12 6 6 3 7 6 1 3 2 2 1 10
## [630] 3 3 1 1 2 6 3 3 5 4 7 6 5 7 6 4 4
## [647] 7 9 5 5 10 6 13 6 5 5 9 3 6 11 7 7 15
## [664] 9 6 6 6 7 10 8 7 12 3 2 7 5 5 7 7 7
## [681] 7 10 13 10 14 11 20 25 17 18 25 21 31 32 26 35 28
## [698] 37 41 34 30 39 39 39 34 30 37 29 26 15 22 15 20 14
## [715] 10 21 14 14 9 11 5 6 7 11 4 3 2 6 10 7 5
## [732] 3 12 13 10 13 13 8 21 18 8 7 20 14 14 7 14 10
## [749] 13 27 13 18 16 16 20 17 4 15 8 6 12 15 11 10 15
## [766] 17 7 7 8 9 12 12 5 4 11 4 5 7 1 1 4 2
## [783] 6 3 4 10 12 21 26 21 30 45 56 75 83 82 126 119 137
## [800] 131 112 82 73 43 55 55 53 46 43 29 22 26 13 17 8 13
## [817] 10 17 19 9 9 9 3 7 7 0 2 3 3 1 3 3 3
## [834] 7 3 5 11 5 5 6 6 4 4 8 14 12 16 10 16 18
## [851] 15 23 17 33 15 13 11 14 17 19 20 12 21 7 19 10 13
## [868] 10 8 21 11 9 14 14 15 18 16 12 20 8 3 13 4 1
## [885] 10 8 13 10 21 18 21 34 25 34 33 40 42 36 72 75 76
## [902] 92 71 112 106 101 170 135 106 68 48 48 26 33 29 17 12 13
## [919] 17 15 14 15 10 9 2 6 8 5 1 2 3 4 3 1 3
## [936] 5 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 4 3 4 4 4 7 6 15 11
## [953] 9 9 12 13 13 13 20 28 45 28 34 41 36 38 48 27 23
## [970] 28 42 30 18 38 28 36 44 41 35 28 28 22 26 24 9 21
## [987] 10 15 4
#gráfica sencilla
plot(tsdengue)
#descomposición de la ts
fit.dengue <- stl(tsdengue, s.window = "periodic")
plot(fit.dengue)
#gráficas para ver detalles de meses y estacionalidad
library(forecast)
monthplot(tsdengue, xlab = "", ylab = "")
seasonplot(tsdengue, year.labels = TRUE, main = "", type = "l")
#predicción
#ANN (no estacional)
predict.dengue <- ets(tsdengue, model = "ANN")
predict.dengue
## ETS(A,N,N)
##
## Call:
## ets(y = tsdengue, model = "ANN")
##
## Smoothing parameters:
## alpha = 0.9999
##
## Initial states:
## l = 3.9796
##
## sigma: 13.394
##
## AIC AICc BIC
## 11957.35 11957.38 11972.04
forecast(predict.dengue, 52)
## Point Forecast Lo 80 Hi 80 Lo 95 Hi 95
## 2009.077 4.001101 -13.16397 21.16618 -22.25062 30.25282
## 2009.096 4.001101 -20.27277 28.27497 -33.12257 41.12478
## 2009.115 4.001101 -25.72770 33.72990 -41.46517 49.46737
## 2009.135 4.001101 -30.32647 38.32867 -48.49839 56.50059
## 2009.154 4.001101 -34.37810 42.38030 -54.69482 62.69702
## 2009.173 4.001101 -38.04107 46.04327 -60.29685 68.29905
## 2009.192 4.001101 -41.40952 49.41172 -65.44845 73.45066
## 2009.212 4.001101 -44.54481 52.54701 -70.24346 78.24567
## 2009.231 4.001101 -47.48954 55.49174 -74.74704 82.74924
## 2009.250 4.001101 -50.27474 58.27694 -79.00664 87.00884
## 2009.269 4.001101 -52.92383 60.92603 -83.05807 91.06027
## 2009.288 4.001101 -55.45501 63.45721 -86.92917 94.93137
## 2009.308 4.001101 -57.88274 65.88494 -90.64206 98.64427
## 2009.327 4.001101 -60.21876 68.22096 -94.21470 102.21690
## 2009.346 4.001101 -62.47274 70.47494 -97.66186 105.66406
## 2009.365 4.001101 -64.65276 72.65496 -100.99591 108.99811
## 2009.385 4.001101 -66.76565 74.76785 -104.22730 112.22950
## 2009.404 4.001101 -68.81726 76.81946 -107.36497 115.36717
## 2009.423 4.001101 -70.81263 78.81483 -110.41663 118.41883
## 2009.442 4.001101 -72.75615 80.75835 -113.38898 121.39118
## 2009.462 4.001101 -74.65165 82.65386 -116.28791 124.29011
## 2009.481 4.001101 -76.50254 84.50475 -119.11860 127.12080
## 2009.500 4.001101 -78.31182 86.31403 -121.88565 129.88786
## 2009.519 4.001101 -80.08218 88.08438 -124.59318 132.59539
## 2009.538 4.001101 -81.81603 89.81823 -127.24487 135.24707
## 2009.558 4.001101 -83.51553 91.51773 -129.84403 137.84623
## 2009.577 4.001101 -85.18265 93.18485 -132.39367 140.39587
## 2009.596 4.001101 -86.81917 94.82137 -134.89652 142.89872
## 2009.615 4.001101 -88.42672 96.42892 -137.35506 145.35726
## 2009.635 4.001101 -90.00679 98.00899 -139.77156 147.77376
## 2009.654 4.001101 -91.56073 99.56294 -142.14811 150.15031
## 2009.673 4.001101 -93.08981 101.09201 -144.48663 152.48884
## 2009.692 4.001101 -94.59518 102.59738 -146.78889 154.79109
## 2009.712 4.001101 -96.07790 104.08010 -149.05652 157.05873
## 2009.731 4.001101 -97.53898 105.54118 -151.29105 159.29325
## 2009.750 4.001101 -98.97933 106.98153 -153.49387 161.49607
## 2009.769 4.001101 -100.39980 108.40201 -155.66631 163.66851
## 2009.788 4.001101 -101.80121 109.80342 -157.80958 165.81178
## 2009.808 4.001101 -103.18430 111.18650 -159.92483 167.92703
## 2009.827 4.001101 -104.54977 112.55197 -162.01313 170.01533
## 2009.846 4.001101 -105.89827 113.90047 -164.07549 172.07769
## 2009.865 4.001101 -107.23043 115.23263 -166.11284 174.11505
## 2009.885 4.001101 -108.54682 116.54902 -168.12609 176.12829
## 2009.904 4.001101 -109.84799 117.85019 -170.11605 178.11826
## 2009.923 4.001101 -111.13445 119.13665 -172.08353 180.08573
## 2009.942 4.001101 -112.40670 120.40890 -174.02927 182.03147
## 2009.962 4.001101 -113.66519 121.66740 -175.95397 183.95617
## 2009.981 4.001101 -114.91037 122.91257 -177.85830 185.86050
## 2010.000 4.001101 -116.14264 124.14484 -179.74290 187.74510
## 2010.019 4.001101 -117.36240 125.36460 -181.60836 189.61056
## 2010.038 4.001101 -118.57002 126.57223 -183.45526 191.45746
## 2010.058 4.001101 -119.76586 127.76806 -185.28414 193.28634
plot(forecast(predict.dengue, 52), xlab = "Año", ylab = "Casos")
#estacional automatico
pred.dengue <- stl(tsdengue, s.window = "periodic")
head(pred.dengue)
## $time.series
## Time Series:
## Start = c(1990, 4)
## End = c(2009, 4)
## Frequency = 52
## seasonal trend remainder
## 1990.058 -23.4866185 12.999565 14.48705351
## 1990.077 -22.3360621 13.362843 13.97321953
## 1990.096 -22.7696735 13.726120 13.04355334
## 1990.115 -23.0453902 14.089398 11.95599239
## 1990.135 -20.4263700 14.452675 11.97369465
## 1990.154 -18.8910373 14.815953 6.07508438
## 1990.173 -19.3557047 15.179231 8.17647417
## 1990.192 -16.7677405 15.542508 6.22523236
## 1990.212 -14.3376710 15.905786 8.43188525
## 1990.231 -12.5027488 16.296368 2.20638115
## 1990.250 -11.1941424 16.686950 2.50719286
## 1990.269 -8.9907992 17.077531 -6.08673228
## 1990.288 -4.9979822 17.468113 -6.47013110
## 1990.308 3.3128666 17.858695 -4.17156181
## 1990.327 13.2026627 18.249277 -8.45193977
## 1990.346 9.1450903 18.639859 -14.78494932
## 1990.365 15.0875179 19.030441 -13.11795883
## 1990.385 13.9678809 19.417801 -5.38568185
## 1990.404 18.9008754 19.805161 -14.70603655
## 1990.423 20.9917646 20.192521 -21.18428586
## 1990.442 22.1352854 20.579881 -2.71516674
## 1990.462 24.2514733 20.967241 -18.21871470
## 1990.481 35.8413452 21.354602 -15.19594669
## 1990.500 35.0101647 21.741962 -23.75212631
## 1990.519 35.2316155 22.129322 -14.36093721
## 1990.538 30.2280088 22.501658 -15.72966653
## 1990.558 31.8559809 22.873994 2.27002534
## 1990.577 29.5892161 23.246330 18.16445415
## 1990.596 26.6908726 23.618666 -6.30953828
## 1990.615 26.5589802 23.991002 5.45001808
## 1990.635 25.8481404 24.363338 2.78852191
## 1990.654 18.1899323 24.735674 9.07439400
## 1990.673 10.3738295 25.108010 11.51816084
## 1990.692 1.9511407 25.577700 -1.52884033
## 1990.712 -0.7347061 26.047390 1.68731647
## 1990.731 1.5794471 26.517080 -7.09652681
## 1990.750 -2.1063997 26.986770 -3.88037001
## 1990.769 -0.8095149 27.456460 -0.64694474
## 1990.788 -3.7231565 27.926150 9.79700683
## 1990.808 -6.4789034 28.395840 15.08306365
## 1990.827 -8.4451765 28.865530 -3.42035322
## 1990.846 -10.7775273 29.730243 0.04728470
## 1990.865 -13.7414571 30.594956 8.14650150
## 1990.885 -14.2317026 31.459668 0.77203413
## 1990.904 -14.1956324 32.324381 2.87125100
## 1990.923 -19.2790885 33.189094 3.08999416
## 1990.942 -20.6783341 34.053807 3.62452684
## 1990.962 -20.5512638 34.918520 1.63274364
## 1990.981 -23.1610357 35.783233 3.37780260
## 1991.000 -23.2966301 37.040988 1.25564198
## 1991.019 -23.6953823 38.298743 8.39663920
## 1991.038 -24.9362398 39.556498 1.37974170
## 1991.058 -23.4866185 40.814253 -0.32763459
## 1991.077 -22.3360621 42.072008 -7.73594595
## 1991.096 -22.7696735 43.329763 -3.56008952
## 1991.115 -23.0453902 44.587518 -11.54212785
## 1991.135 -20.4263700 45.845273 -10.41890298
## 1991.154 -18.8910373 47.110358 -9.21932065
## 1991.173 -19.3557047 48.375443 -8.01973828
## 1991.192 -16.7677405 49.640528 -18.87278750
## 1991.212 -14.3376710 50.905613 -18.56794202
## 1991.231 -12.5027488 52.170698 -26.66794924
## 1991.250 -11.1941424 53.435783 -28.24164066
## 1991.269 -8.9907992 54.700868 -27.71006891
## 1991.288 -4.9979822 55.965953 -27.96797085
## 1991.308 3.3128666 56.878050 -35.19091654
## 1991.327 13.2026627 57.790147 -8.99280948
## 1991.346 9.1450903 58.702244 -7.84733401
## 1991.365 15.0875179 59.614341 1.29814151
## 1991.385 13.9678809 60.526437 -8.49431827
## 1991.404 18.9008754 61.438534 -16.33940973
## 1991.423 20.9917646 62.350631 -15.34239581
## 1991.442 22.1352854 63.262728 3.60198656
## 1991.462 24.2514733 63.753411 3.99511581
## 1991.481 35.8413452 64.244094 39.91456103
## 1991.500 35.0101647 64.734777 16.25505862
## 1991.519 35.2316155 65.225460 41.54292493
## 1991.538 30.2280088 65.716143 33.05584870
## 1991.558 31.8559809 66.206825 41.93719367
## 1991.577 29.5892161 66.697508 43.71327557
## 1991.596 26.6908726 67.188191 33.12093622
## 1991.615 26.5589802 67.282678 35.15834197
## 1991.635 25.8481404 67.377164 75.77469520
## 1991.654 18.1899323 67.471651 55.33841667
## 1991.673 10.3738295 67.566138 30.06003291
## 1991.692 1.9511407 67.660624 8.38823515
## 1991.712 -0.7347061 67.755111 2.97959536
## 1991.731 1.5794471 67.849597 11.57095549
## 1991.750 -2.1063997 67.944084 38.16231570
## 1991.769 -0.8095149 67.490684 23.31883055
## 1991.788 -3.7231565 67.037285 21.68587169
## 1991.808 -6.4789034 66.583885 -5.10498191
## 1991.827 -8.4451765 66.130486 -4.68530920
## 1991.846 -10.7775273 65.677086 10.10044121
## 1991.865 -13.7414571 65.223687 -18.48222949
## 1991.885 -14.2317026 64.770287 -12.53858437
## 1991.904 -14.1956324 64.316887 8.87874500
## 1991.923 -19.2790885 63.240761 -3.96167288
## 1991.942 -20.6783341 62.164635 -4.48630125
## 1991.962 -20.5512638 61.088509 -11.53724549
## 1991.981 -23.1610357 60.012383 -6.85134757
## 1992.000 -23.2966301 58.936257 -5.63962718
## 1992.019 -23.6953823 57.860131 -6.16474895
## 1992.038 -24.9362398 56.784005 -8.84776544
## 1992.058 -23.4866185 55.707879 -8.22126072
## 1992.077 -22.3360621 54.477902 -3.14184012
## 1992.096 -22.7696735 53.247925 -4.47825172
## 1992.115 -23.0453902 52.017948 -5.97255809
## 1992.135 -20.4263700 50.787971 -10.36160125
## 1992.154 -18.8910373 49.557994 -11.66695693
## 1992.173 -19.3557047 48.328017 -8.97231256
## 1992.192 -16.7677405 47.098040 -4.33029979
## 1992.212 -14.3376710 45.868063 -2.53039232
## 1992.231 -12.5027488 45.016349 -1.51360064
## 1992.250 -11.1941424 44.164636 -4.97049316
## 1992.269 -8.9907992 43.312922 -8.32212252
## 1992.288 -4.9979822 42.461208 -5.46322557
## 1992.308 3.3128666 41.609494 -9.92236051
## 1992.327 13.2026627 40.757780 -20.96044270
## 1992.346 9.1450903 39.906066 -19.05115648
## 1992.365 15.0875179 39.054352 -2.14187021
## 1992.385 13.9678809 38.593481 6.43863799
## 1992.404 18.9008754 38.132610 9.96651451
## 1992.423 20.9917646 37.671739 6.33649642
## 1992.442 22.1352854 37.210868 14.65384676
## 1992.462 24.2514733 36.749997 8.99853002
## 1992.481 35.8413452 36.289126 -11.13047074
## 1992.500 35.0101647 35.828254 -17.83841914
## 1992.519 35.2316155 35.367383 5.40100118
## 1992.538 30.2280088 35.124117 -4.35212575
## 1992.558 31.8559809 34.880851 -9.73683148
## 1992.577 29.5892161 34.637584 -20.22680028
## 1992.596 26.6908726 34.394318 -27.08519031
## 1992.615 26.5589802 34.151051 -13.71003156
## 1992.635 25.8481404 33.907785 0.24407467
## 1992.654 18.1899323 33.664519 8.14554915
## 1992.673 10.3738295 33.421252 9.20491839
## 1992.692 1.9511407 33.177216 0.87164376
## 1992.712 -0.7347061 32.933179 -1.19847290
## 1992.731 1.5794471 32.689142 -4.26858964
## 1992.750 -2.1063997 32.445106 1.66129371
## 1992.769 -0.8095149 32.201069 -3.39155449
## 1992.788 -3.7231565 31.957033 4.76612362
## 1992.808 -6.4789034 31.712996 7.76590699
## 1992.827 -8.4451765 31.468960 11.97621666
## 1992.846 -10.7775273 31.038695 1.73883230
## 1992.865 -13.7414571 30.608430 -3.86697316
## 1992.885 -14.2317026 30.178165 -2.94646282
## 1992.904 -14.1956324 29.747901 5.44773178
## 1992.923 -19.2790885 29.317636 6.96145267
## 1992.942 -20.6783341 28.887371 2.79096308
## 1992.962 -20.5512638 28.457106 0.09415761
## 1992.981 -23.1610357 28.026841 3.13419429
## 1993.000 -23.2966301 27.536424 1.76020644
## 1993.019 -23.6953823 27.046006 2.64937643
## 1993.038 -24.9362398 26.555588 5.38065170
## 1993.058 -23.4866185 26.065170 9.42144817
## 1993.077 -22.3360621 25.574753 13.76130958
## 1993.096 -22.7696735 25.084335 7.68533877
## 1993.115 -23.0453902 24.593917 8.45147321
## 1993.135 -20.4263700 24.103499 14.32287085
## 1993.154 -18.8910373 23.814937 14.07610050
## 1993.173 -19.3557047 23.526375 7.82933020
## 1993.192 -16.7677405 23.237812 15.52992830
## 1993.212 -14.3376710 22.949250 3.38842110
## 1993.231 -12.5027488 22.660688 10.84206121
## 1993.250 -11.1941424 22.372125 6.82201712
## 1993.269 -8.9907992 22.083563 2.90723619
## 1993.288 -4.9979822 21.795001 -0.79701843
## 1993.308 3.3128666 21.790420 -3.10328657
## 1993.327 13.2026627 21.785839 -17.98850196
## 1993.346 9.1450903 21.781259 -5.92634894
## 1993.365 15.0875179 21.776678 -13.86419589
## 1993.385 13.9678809 21.772097 -23.73997812
## 1993.404 18.9008754 21.767517 -15.66839203
## 1993.423 20.9917646 21.762936 -14.75470056
## 1993.442 22.1352854 21.758355 -16.89364065
## 1993.462 24.2514733 21.997029 -28.24850206
## 1993.481 35.8413452 22.235702 -35.07704750
## 1993.500 35.0101647 22.474376 -34.48454056
## 1993.519 35.2316155 22.713049 -28.94466492
## 1993.538 30.2280088 22.951723 -15.17973180
## 1993.558 31.8559809 23.190397 -19.04637750
## 1993.577 29.5892161 23.429070 -10.01828626
## 1993.596 26.6908726 23.667744 -4.35861626
## 1993.615 26.5589802 24.269315 -19.82829571
## 1993.635 25.8481404 24.870887 -25.71902769
## 1993.654 18.1899323 25.472459 -3.66239142
## 1993.673 10.3738295 26.074031 -5.44786038
## 1993.692 1.9511407 26.675603 9.37325666
## 1993.712 -0.7347061 27.277174 3.45753167
## 1993.731 1.5794471 27.878746 -7.45819341
## 1993.750 -2.1063997 28.480318 4.62608161
## 1993.769 -0.8095149 30.365707 -3.55619158
## 1993.788 -3.7231565 32.251095 6.47206154
## 1993.808 -6.4789034 34.136483 8.34241991
## 1993.827 -8.4451765 36.021872 11.42330459
## 1993.846 -10.7775273 37.907260 -2.12973303
## 1993.865 -13.7414571 39.792649 4.94880825
## 1993.885 -14.2317026 41.678037 9.55366534
## 1993.904 -14.1956324 43.563426 3.63220668
## 1993.923 -19.2790885 47.741545 -3.46245642
## 1993.942 -20.6783341 51.919664 -7.24133000
## 1993.962 -20.5512638 56.097783 -17.54651945
## 1993.981 -23.1610357 60.275902 -14.11486675
## 1994.000 -23.2966301 64.454022 -28.15739157
## 1994.019 -23.6953823 68.632141 -26.93675855
## 1994.038 -24.9362398 72.810260 -33.87402026
## 1994.058 -23.4866185 76.988379 -36.50176075
## 1994.077 -22.3360621 81.614934 -37.27887208
## 1994.096 -22.7696735 86.241489 -50.47181563
## 1994.115 -23.0453902 90.868044 -43.82265393
## 1994.135 -20.4263700 95.494599 -44.06822902
## 1994.154 -18.8910373 100.121154 -47.23011664
## 1994.173 -19.3557047 104.747709 -54.39200421
## 1994.192 -16.7677405 109.374264 -61.60652337
## 1994.212 -14.3376710 114.000819 -61.66314784
## 1994.231 -12.5027488 116.717938 -55.21518882
## 1994.250 -11.1941424 119.435056 -66.24091399
## 1994.269 -8.9907992 122.152175 -64.16137600
## 1994.288 -4.9979822 124.869294 -64.87131171
## 1994.308 3.3128666 127.586413 -50.89927930
## 1994.327 13.2026627 130.303531 -59.50619414
## 1994.346 9.1450903 133.020650 -70.16574058
## 1994.365 15.0875179 135.737769 -61.82528697
## 1994.385 13.9678809 136.395769 -35.36364943
## 1994.404 18.9008754 137.053768 23.04535643
## 1994.423 20.9917646 137.711768 43.29646768
## 1994.442 22.1352854 138.369767 111.49494736
## 1994.462 24.2514733 139.027767 138.72075996
## 1994.481 35.8413452 139.685766 219.47288853
## 1994.500 35.0101647 140.343766 250.64606947
## 1994.519 35.2316155 141.001765 284.76661913
## 1994.538 30.2280088 140.361512 210.41047918
## 1994.558 31.8559809 139.721259 161.42276042
## 1994.577 29.5892161 139.081005 184.32977860
## 1994.596 26.6908726 138.440752 244.86837554
## 1994.615 26.5589802 137.800498 199.64052127
## 1994.635 25.8481404 137.160245 195.99161448
## 1994.654 18.1899323 136.519992 133.29007593
## 1994.673 10.3738295 135.879738 74.74643215
## 1994.692 1.9511407 133.584997 13.46386194
## 1994.712 -0.7347061 131.290256 -18.55555029
## 1994.731 1.5794471 128.995515 23.42503739
## 1994.750 -2.1063997 126.700774 -33.59437483
## 1994.769 -0.8095149 124.406034 -51.59651860
## 1994.788 -3.7231565 122.111293 -62.38813606
## 1994.808 -6.4789034 119.816552 -67.33764827
## 1994.827 -8.4451765 117.521811 -72.07663418
## 1994.846 -10.7775273 113.166648 -76.38912057
## 1994.865 -13.7414571 108.811485 -78.07002808
## 1994.885 -14.2317026 104.456322 -73.22461977
## 1994.904 -14.1956324 100.101160 -65.90552721
## 1994.923 -19.2790885 95.745997 -65.46690837
## 1994.942 -20.6783341 91.390834 -63.71250000
## 1994.962 -20.5512638 87.035671 -50.48440751
## 1994.981 -23.1610357 82.680509 -45.51947287
## 1995.000 -23.2966301 77.849497 -38.55286714
## 1995.019 -23.6953823 73.018486 -44.32310357
## 1995.038 -24.9362398 68.187474 -41.25123471
## 1995.058 -23.4866185 63.356463 -33.86984465
## 1995.077 -22.3360621 58.525452 -31.18938966
## 1995.096 -22.7696735 53.694440 -26.92476688
## 1995.115 -23.0453902 48.863429 -22.81803886
## 1995.135 -20.4263700 44.032418 -19.60604764
## 1995.154 -18.8910373 41.361818 -6.47078040
## 1995.173 -19.3557047 38.691218 -11.33551311
## 1995.192 -16.7677405 36.020618 -12.25287742
## 1995.212 -14.3376710 33.350018 -9.01234703
## 1995.231 -12.5027488 30.679418 -4.17666934
## 1995.250 -11.1941424 28.008818 -9.81467584
## 1995.269 -8.9907992 25.338218 -7.34741918
## 1995.288 -4.9979822 22.667618 -6.66963621
## 1995.308 3.3128666 22.041154 -2.35402091
## 1995.327 13.2026627 21.414690 -17.61735286
## 1995.346 9.1450903 20.788226 -10.93331641
## 1995.365 15.0875179 20.161762 -11.24927991
## 1995.385 13.9678809 19.535298 -16.50317871
## 1995.404 18.9008754 18.908834 -9.80970919
## 1995.423 20.9917646 18.282370 0.72586572
## 1995.442 22.1352854 17.655906 -6.79119093
## 1995.462 24.2514733 17.623757 -10.87523064
## 1995.481 35.8413452 17.591609 -20.43295438
## 1995.500 35.0101647 17.559461 -23.56962575
## 1995.519 35.2316155 17.527313 -22.75892841
## 1995.538 30.2280088 17.495165 -11.72317360
## 1995.558 31.8559809 17.463017 -1.31899760
## 1995.577 29.5892161 17.430869 -7.02008467
## 1995.596 26.6908726 17.398720 -16.08959297
## 1995.615 26.5589802 17.482614 -8.04159424
## 1995.635 25.8481404 17.566508 -24.41464804
## 1995.654 18.1899323 17.650401 -1.84033359
## 1995.673 10.3738295 17.734295 -5.10812437
## 1995.692 1.9511407 17.818188 -2.76932916
## 1995.712 -0.7347061 17.902082 -0.16737597
## 1995.731 1.5794471 17.985976 3.43457714
## 1995.750 -2.1063997 18.069869 -1.96346966
## 1995.769 -0.8095149 18.125062 2.68445295
## 1995.788 -3.7231565 18.180255 -1.45709814
## 1995.808 -6.4789034 18.235447 11.24345604
## 1995.827 -8.4451765 18.290640 10.15453651
## 1995.846 -10.7775273 18.345833 8.43169469
## 1995.865 -13.7414571 18.401025 11.34043177
## 1995.885 -14.2317026 18.456218 18.77548466
## 1995.904 -14.1956324 18.511411 9.68422180
## 1995.923 -19.2790885 18.435468 15.84362005
## 1995.942 -20.6783341 18.359526 6.31880783
## 1995.962 -20.5512638 18.283584 7.26767973
## 1995.981 -23.1610357 18.207642 9.95339378
## 1996.000 -23.2966301 18.131700 16.16493031
## 1996.019 -23.6953823 18.055758 16.63962468
## 1996.038 -24.9362398 17.979815 13.95642432
## 1996.058 -23.4866185 17.903873 9.58274518
## 1996.077 -22.3360621 17.754130 10.58193201
## 1996.096 -22.7696735 17.604387 10.16528663
## 1996.115 -23.0453902 17.454644 7.59074650
## 1996.135 -20.4263700 17.304900 7.12146957
## 1996.154 -18.8910373 17.155157 3.73588011
## 1996.173 -19.3557047 17.005414 6.35029071
## 1996.192 -16.7677405 16.855671 5.91206971
## 1996.212 -14.3376710 16.705928 3.63174341
## 1996.231 -12.5027488 16.620466 -0.11771680
## 1996.250 -11.1941424 16.535004 0.65913879
## 1996.269 -8.9907992 16.449542 3.54125754
## 1996.288 -4.9979822 16.364080 4.63390260
## 1996.308 3.3128666 16.278618 -10.59148422
## 1996.327 13.2026627 16.193156 -17.39581829
## 1996.346 9.1450903 16.107694 -12.25278396
## 1996.365 15.0875179 16.022232 -4.10974959
## 1996.385 13.9678809 16.083969 -9.05184946
## 1996.404 18.9008754 16.145706 -16.04658101
## 1996.423 20.9917646 16.207443 -20.19920717
## 1996.442 22.1352854 16.269179 -14.40446490
## 1996.462 24.2514733 16.330916 -13.58238971
## 1996.481 35.8413452 16.392653 -22.23399855
## 1996.500 35.0101647 16.454390 -22.46455501
## 1996.519 35.2316155 16.516127 -26.74774277
## 1996.538 30.2280088 16.714247 -11.94225592
## 1996.558 31.8559809 16.912367 -15.76834788
## 1996.577 29.5892161 17.110487 -16.69970290
## 1996.596 26.6908726 17.308607 -14.99947917
## 1996.615 26.5589802 17.506726 -13.06570664
## 1996.635 25.8481404 17.704846 -14.55298664
## 1996.654 18.1899323 17.902966 -14.09289839
## 1996.673 10.3738295 18.101086 -1.47491537
## 1996.692 1.9511407 18.345506 3.70335367
## 1996.712 -0.7347061 18.589925 8.14478069
## 1996.731 1.5794471 18.834345 8.58620763
## 1996.750 -2.1063997 19.078765 5.02763465
## 1996.769 -0.8095149 19.323185 14.48633014
## 1996.788 -3.7231565 19.567605 8.15555192
## 1996.808 -6.4789034 19.812024 16.66687897
## 1996.827 -8.4451765 20.056444 8.38873231
## 1996.846 -10.7775273 20.333868 7.44365937
## 1996.865 -13.7414571 20.611292 17.13016531
## 1996.885 -14.2317026 20.888716 21.34298707
## 1996.904 -14.1956324 21.166139 11.02949308
## 1996.923 -19.2790885 21.443563 10.83552538
## 1996.942 -20.6783341 21.720987 7.95734720
## 1996.962 -20.5512638 21.998411 12.55285314
## 1996.981 -23.1610357 22.275834 11.88520124
## 1997.000 -23.2966301 22.619562 11.67706819
## 1997.019 -23.6953823 22.963289 19.73209298
## 1997.038 -24.9362398 23.307017 11.62922306
## 1997.058 -23.4866185 23.650744 7.83587434
## 1997.077 -22.3360621 23.994472 6.34159055
## 1997.096 -22.7696735 24.338199 7.43147455
## 1997.115 -23.0453902 24.681926 1.36346379
## 1997.135 -20.4263700 25.025654 2.40071624
## 1997.154 -18.8910373 25.474996 7.41604142
## 1997.173 -19.3557047 25.924338 -2.56863336
## 1997.192 -16.7677405 26.373680 -0.60593972
## 1997.212 -14.3376710 26.823022 1.51464861
## 1997.231 -12.5027488 27.272365 -7.76961576
## 1997.250 -11.1941424 27.721707 -7.52756431
## 1997.269 -8.9907992 28.171049 -16.18024972
## 1997.288 -4.9979822 28.620391 -20.62240880
## 1997.308 3.3128666 29.172445 -18.48531200
## 1997.327 13.2026627 29.724500 -30.92716244
## 1997.346 9.1450903 30.276554 -29.42164447
## 1997.365 15.0875179 30.828609 -24.91612646
## 1997.385 13.9678809 31.380663 -19.34854375
## 1997.404 18.9008754 31.932717 -3.83359272
## 1997.423 20.9917646 32.484772 -11.47653629
## 1997.442 22.1352854 33.036826 -24.17211144
## 1997.462 24.2514733 33.803605 -24.05507804
## 1997.481 35.8413452 34.570384 -37.41172866
## 1997.500 35.0101647 35.337162 -18.34732692
## 1997.519 35.2316155 36.103941 -15.33555646
## 1997.538 30.2280088 36.870720 2.90127147
## 1997.558 31.8559809 37.637498 42.50652058
## 1997.577 29.5892161 38.404277 2.00650663
## 1997.596 26.6908726 39.171056 -18.86192856
## 1997.615 26.5589802 40.817603 -19.37658338
## 1997.635 25.8481404 42.464150 -19.31229072
## 1997.654 18.1899323 44.110697 3.69937018
## 1997.673 10.3738295 45.757245 -0.13107415
## 1997.692 1.9511407 47.403792 11.64506752
## 1997.712 -0.7347061 49.050339 18.68436716
## 1997.731 1.5794471 50.696886 11.72366672
## 1997.750 -2.1063997 52.343433 17.76296638
## 1997.769 -0.8095149 54.811645 -5.00213015
## 1997.788 -3.7231565 57.279857 -3.55670038
## 1997.808 -6.4789034 59.748069 2.73083466
## 1997.827 -8.4451765 62.216280 21.22889599
## 1997.846 -10.7775273 64.684492 9.09303503
## 1997.865 -13.7414571 67.152704 8.58875297
## 1997.885 -14.2317026 69.620916 -14.38921328
## 1997.904 -14.1956324 72.089128 -7.89349528
## 1997.923 -19.2790885 73.899119 -20.62003091
## 1997.942 -20.6783341 75.709111 -24.03077702
## 1997.962 -20.5512638 77.519103 -18.96783900
## 1997.981 -23.1610357 79.329095 -26.16805883
## 1998.000 -23.2966301 81.139086 -25.84245618
## 1998.019 -23.6953823 82.949078 -33.25369569
## 1998.038 -24.9362398 84.759070 -29.82282992
## 1998.058 -23.4866185 86.569061 -27.08244295
## 1998.077 -22.3360621 87.231322 -29.89526013
## 1998.096 -22.7696735 87.893583 -19.12390953
## 1998.115 -23.0453902 88.555844 -17.51045368
## 1998.135 -20.4263700 89.218105 -24.79173463
## 1998.154 -18.8910373 89.880365 -19.98932809
## 1998.173 -19.3557047 90.542626 -12.18692152
## 1998.192 -16.7677405 91.204887 -3.43714653
## 1998.212 -14.3376710 91.867148 24.47052316
## 1998.231 -12.5027488 91.841409 48.66133985
## 1998.250 -11.1941424 91.815670 46.37847234
## 1998.269 -8.9907992 91.789931 67.20086799
## 1998.288 -4.9979822 91.764192 104.23378996
## 1998.308 3.3128666 91.738453 160.94868004
## 1998.327 13.2026627 91.712714 224.08462286
## 1998.346 9.1450903 91.686976 162.16793410
## 1998.365 15.0875179 91.661237 113.25124537
## 1998.385 13.9678809 91.128954 98.90316470
## 1998.404 18.9008754 90.596672 71.50245235
## 1998.423 20.9917646 90.064390 -12.05615461
## 1998.442 22.1352854 89.532108 -57.66739314
## 1998.462 24.2514733 88.999825 -33.25129875
## 1998.481 35.8413452 88.467543 -22.30888839
## 1998.500 35.0101647 87.935261 4.05457434
## 1998.519 35.2316155 87.402979 -49.63459422
## 1998.538 30.2280088 85.964872 -48.19288121
## 1998.558 31.8559809 84.526766 -52.38274701
## 1998.577 29.5892161 83.088660 -57.67787587
## 1998.596 26.6908726 81.650553 -41.34142598
## 1998.615 26.5589802 80.212447 -22.77142729
## 1998.635 25.8481404 78.774341 -19.62248112
## 1998.654 18.1899323 77.336234 -28.52616672
## 1998.673 10.3738295 75.898128 -13.27195754
## 1998.692 1.9511407 73.680303 13.36855681
## 1998.712 -0.7347061 71.462477 -2.72777087
## 1998.731 1.5794471 69.244651 -11.82409864
## 1998.750 -2.1063997 67.026826 -8.92042631
## 1998.769 -0.8095149 64.809000 13.00051448
## 1998.788 -3.7231565 62.591175 16.13198156
## 1998.808 -6.4789034 60.373349 -6.89444609
## 1998.827 -8.4451765 58.155524 0.28965256
## 1998.846 -10.7775273 56.243831 -3.46630409
## 1998.865 -13.7414571 54.332139 -12.59068184
## 1998.885 -14.2317026 52.420446 -1.18874377
## 1998.904 -14.1956324 50.508754 0.68687854
## 1998.923 -19.2790885 48.597061 -2.31797285
## 1998.942 -20.6783341 46.685369 -14.00703473
## 1998.962 -20.5512638 44.773676 -9.22241248
## 1998.981 -23.1610357 42.861984 2.29905192
## 1999.000 -23.2966301 41.844036 -10.54740621
## 1999.019 -23.6953823 40.826089 -2.13070650
## 1999.038 -24.9362398 39.808141 2.12809849
## 1999.058 -23.4866185 38.790194 -5.30357531
## 1999.077 -22.3360621 37.772246 -6.43618418
## 1999.096 -22.7696735 36.754299 -2.98462527
## 1999.115 -23.0453902 35.736351 7.30903889
## 1999.135 -20.4263700 34.718404 -1.29203374
## 1999.154 -18.8910373 33.905598 -4.01456061
## 1999.173 -19.3557047 33.092792 2.26291258
## 1999.192 -16.7677405 32.279986 -4.51224583
## 1999.212 -14.3376710 31.467181 -10.12950954
## 1999.231 -12.5027488 30.654375 -1.15162595
## 1999.250 -11.1941424 29.841569 -4.64742655
## 1999.269 -8.9907992 29.028763 -7.03796399
## 1999.288 -4.9979822 28.215957 -8.21797512
## 1999.308 3.3128666 27.616416 -0.92928233
## 1999.327 13.2026627 27.016874 -15.21953678
## 1999.346 9.1450903 26.417333 4.43757717
## 1999.365 15.0875179 25.817791 3.09469117
## 1999.385 13.9678809 25.218249 -14.18613013
## 1999.404 18.9008754 24.618708 -22.51958311
## 1999.423 20.9917646 24.019166 2.98906930
## 1999.442 22.1352854 23.419624 10.44509014
## 1999.462 24.2514733 23.128304 12.62022274
## 1999.481 35.8413452 22.836984 -13.67832868
## 1999.500 35.0101647 22.545663 -2.55582774
## 1999.519 35.2316155 22.254343 -25.48595808
## 1999.538 30.2280088 21.963022 -6.19103095
## 1999.558 31.8559809 21.671702 7.47231736
## 1999.577 29.5892161 21.380381 -8.96959739
## 1999.596 26.6908726 21.089061 -10.77993338
## 1999.615 26.5589802 20.900352 -4.45933189
## 1999.635 25.8481404 20.711643 -12.55978293
## 1999.654 18.1899323 20.522933 1.28713428
## 1999.673 10.3738295 20.334224 -5.70805375
## 1999.692 1.9511407 20.145515 -6.09665577
## 1999.712 -0.7347061 19.956806 -2.22209982
## 1999.731 1.5794471 19.768097 -4.34754396
## 1999.750 -2.1063997 19.579388 -1.47298800
## 1999.769 -0.8095149 19.247407 4.56210778
## 1999.788 -3.7231565 18.915427 2.80772987
## 1999.808 -6.4789034 18.583446 5.89545722
## 1999.827 -8.4451765 18.251466 -0.80628913
## 1999.846 -10.7775273 17.919485 -0.14195777
## 1999.865 -13.7414571 17.587505 3.15395248
## 1999.885 -14.2317026 17.255524 0.97617854
## 1999.904 -14.1956324 16.923544 0.27208886
## 1999.923 -19.2790885 16.420073 4.85901583
## 1999.942 -20.6783341 15.916602 12.76173232
## 1999.962 -20.5512638 15.413131 8.13813293
## 1999.981 -23.1610357 14.909660 9.25137570
## 2000.000 -23.2966301 14.406189 9.89044095
## 2000.019 -23.6953823 13.902718 11.79266403
## 2000.038 -24.9362398 13.399247 14.53699240
## 2000.058 -23.4866185 12.895776 13.59084197
## 2000.077 -22.3360621 12.494616 11.84144612
## 2000.096 -22.7696735 12.093455 10.67621805
## 2000.115 -23.0453902 11.692295 11.35309523
## 2000.135 -20.4263700 11.291134 11.13523561
## 2000.154 -18.8910373 10.889974 10.00106347
## 2000.173 -19.3557047 10.488813 8.86689138
## 2000.192 -16.7677405 10.087653 12.68008769
## 2000.212 -14.3376710 9.686492 7.65117871
## 2000.231 -12.5027488 9.530062 8.97268635
## 2000.250 -11.1941424 9.373633 3.82050980
## 2000.269 -8.9907992 9.217203 2.77359641
## 2000.288 -4.9979822 9.060773 -2.06279067
## 2000.308 3.3128666 8.904343 -8.21720964
## 2000.327 13.2026627 8.747913 -16.95057586
## 2000.346 9.1450903 8.591483 -15.73657367
## 2000.365 15.0875179 8.435053 -14.52257144
## 2000.385 13.9678809 8.513445 -20.48132559
## 2000.404 18.9008754 8.591836 -23.49271143
## 2000.423 20.9917646 8.670227 -21.66199188
## 2000.442 22.1352854 8.748618 -24.88390389
## 2000.462 24.2514733 8.827010 -30.07848299
## 2000.481 35.8413452 8.905401 -33.74674611
## 2000.500 35.0101647 8.983792 -29.99395686
## 2000.519 35.2316155 9.062183 -29.29379891
## 2000.538 30.2280088 9.364584 -19.59259306
## 2000.558 31.8559809 9.666985 -32.52296604
## 2000.577 29.5892161 9.969386 -19.55860207
## 2000.596 26.6908726 10.271787 -8.96265935
## 2000.615 26.5589802 10.574188 0.86683217
## 2000.635 25.8481404 10.876588 -6.72472884
## 2000.654 18.1899323 11.178989 0.63107840
## 2000.673 10.3738295 11.481390 1.14478041
## 2000.692 1.9511407 12.040320 2.00853961
## 2000.712 -0.7347061 12.599249 10.13545679
## 2000.731 1.5794471 13.158179 13.26237389
## 2000.750 -2.1063997 13.717109 2.38929108
## 2000.769 -0.8095149 14.276038 3.53347673
## 2000.788 -3.7231565 14.834968 8.88818868
## 2000.808 -6.4789034 15.393897 8.08500589
## 2000.827 -8.4451765 15.952827 2.49234939
## 2000.846 -10.7775273 16.691970 7.08555736
## 2000.865 -13.7414571 17.431113 16.31034422
## 2000.885 -14.2317026 18.170256 5.06144690
## 2000.904 -14.1956324 18.909399 13.28623383
## 2000.923 -19.2790885 19.648541 8.63054704
## 2000.942 -20.6783341 20.387684 8.29064977
## 2000.962 -20.5512638 21.126827 18.42443664
## 2000.981 -23.1610357 21.865970 12.29506565
## 2001.000 -23.2966301 22.471921 4.82470866
## 2001.019 -23.6953823 23.077873 6.61750951
## 2001.038 -24.9362398 23.683824 7.25241564
## 2001.058 -23.4866185 24.289775 7.19684298
## 2001.077 -22.3360621 24.895727 10.44033525
## 2001.096 -22.7696735 25.501678 5.26799531
## 2001.115 -23.0453902 26.107630 4.93776061
## 2001.135 -20.4263700 26.713581 -1.28721088
## 2001.154 -18.8910373 26.979548 7.91148965
## 2001.173 -19.3557047 27.245515 4.11019022
## 2001.192 -16.7677405 27.511481 0.25625921
## 2001.212 -14.3376710 27.777448 4.56022289
## 2001.231 -12.5027488 28.043415 -5.54066612
## 2001.250 -11.1941424 28.309382 4.88476068
## 2001.269 -8.9907992 28.575349 -5.58454937
## 2001.288 -4.9979822 28.841315 -7.84333311
## 2001.308 3.3128666 28.883006 -14.19587252
## 2001.327 13.2026627 28.924697 -15.12735918
## 2001.346 9.1450903 28.966387 -0.11147743
## 2001.365 15.0875179 29.008078 -9.09559564
## 2001.385 13.9678809 29.049768 -2.01764915
## 2001.404 18.9008754 29.091459 3.00766567
## 2001.423 20.9917646 29.133149 14.87508587
## 2001.442 22.1352854 29.174840 3.68987451
## 2001.462 24.2514733 29.124566 0.62396099
## 2001.481 35.8413452 29.074291 -2.91563656
## 2001.500 35.0101647 29.024017 -0.03418173
## 2001.519 35.2316155 28.973743 -8.20535820
## 2001.538 30.2280088 28.923468 5.84852280
## 2001.558 31.8559809 28.873194 10.27082499
## 2001.577 29.5892161 28.822920 16.58786412
## 2001.596 26.6908726 28.772645 15.53648200
## 2001.615 26.5589802 28.607518 16.83350136
## 2001.635 25.8481404 28.442391 -7.29053181
## 2001.654 18.1899323 28.277264 -19.46719673
## 2001.673 10.3738295 28.112137 -3.48596689
## 2001.692 1.9511407 27.947010 -4.89815105
## 2001.712 -0.7347061 27.781883 -8.04717723
## 2001.731 1.5794471 27.616756 7.80379650
## 2001.750 -2.1063997 27.451629 12.65477032
## 2001.769 -0.8095149 26.969155 7.84036015
## 2001.788 -3.7231565 26.486680 3.23647628
## 2001.808 -6.4789034 26.004206 -0.52530232
## 2001.827 -8.4451765 25.521731 0.92344537
## 2001.846 -10.7775273 25.039257 7.73827077
## 2001.865 -13.7414571 24.556782 5.18467506
## 2001.885 -14.2317026 24.074307 8.15739516
## 2001.904 -14.1956324 23.591833 -3.39620048
## 2001.923 -19.2790885 22.725209 8.55387968
## 2001.942 -20.6783341 21.858585 4.81974936
## 2001.962 -20.5512638 20.991961 5.55930317
## 2001.981 -23.1610357 20.125337 6.03569913
## 2002.000 -23.2966301 19.258713 11.03791756
## 2002.019 -23.6953823 18.392088 11.30329383
## 2002.038 -24.9362398 17.525464 8.41077539
## 2002.058 -23.4866185 16.658840 9.82777815
## 2002.077 -22.3360621 15.763122 8.57294038
## 2002.096 -22.7696735 14.867403 9.90227039
## 2002.115 -23.0453902 13.971685 10.07370565
## 2002.135 -20.4263700 13.075966 17.35040411
## 2002.154 -18.8910373 12.180247 9.71079006
## 2002.173 -19.3557047 11.284529 11.07117604
## 2002.192 -16.7677405 10.388810 7.37893044
## 2002.212 -14.3376710 9.493091 5.84457954
## 2002.231 -12.5027488 8.923940 5.57880850
## 2002.250 -11.1941424 8.354789 8.83935328
## 2002.269 -8.9907992 7.785638 4.20516121
## 2002.288 -4.9979822 7.216487 0.78149546
## 2002.308 3.3128666 6.647336 -4.96020218
## 2002.327 13.2026627 6.078184 -15.28084708
## 2002.346 9.1450903 5.509033 -7.65412356
## 2002.365 15.0875179 4.939882 -14.02740001
## 2002.385 13.9678809 4.770539 -13.73841980
## 2002.404 18.9008754 4.601196 -16.50207127
## 2002.423 20.9917646 4.431853 -19.42361736
## 2002.442 22.1352854 4.262510 -22.39779501
## 2002.462 24.2514733 4.093166 -24.34463974
## 2002.481 35.8413452 3.923823 -32.76516851
## 2002.500 35.0101647 3.754480 -29.76464490
## 2002.519 35.2316155 3.585137 -33.81675258
## 2002.538 30.2280088 3.786255 -29.01426352
## 2002.558 31.8559809 3.987372 -25.84335328
## 2002.577 29.5892161 4.188490 -27.77770610
## 2002.596 26.6908726 4.389608 -18.08048016
## 2002.615 26.5589802 4.590725 -25.14970543
## 2002.635 25.8481404 4.791843 -25.63998322
## 2002.654 18.1899323 4.992960 -18.18289277
## 2002.673 10.3738295 5.194078 -6.56790755
## 2002.692 1.9511407 5.700792 -4.65193295
## 2002.712 -0.7347061 6.207507 0.52719962
## 2002.731 1.5794471 6.714221 2.70633210
## 2002.750 -2.1063997 7.220935 1.88546468
## 2002.769 -0.8095149 7.727649 0.08186572
## 2002.788 -3.7231565 8.234363 10.48879306
## 2002.808 -6.4789034 8.741078 6.73782566
## 2002.827 -8.4451765 9.247792 5.19738455
## 2002.846 -10.7775273 9.861538 6.91598959
## 2002.865 -13.7414571 10.475284 9.26617352
## 2002.885 -14.2317026 11.089029 10.14267326
## 2002.904 -14.1956324 11.702775 12.49285726
## 2002.923 -19.2790885 12.316521 14.96256754
## 2002.942 -20.6783341 12.930267 14.74806734
## 2002.962 -20.5512638 13.544013 19.00725127
## 2002.981 -23.1610357 14.157758 12.00327734
## 2003.000 -23.2966301 14.591691 10.70493945
## 2003.019 -23.6953823 15.025623 15.66975940
## 2003.038 -24.9362398 15.459555 14.47668463
## 2003.058 -23.4866185 15.893487 12.59313106
## 2003.077 -22.3360621 16.327420 13.00864243
## 2003.096 -22.7696735 16.761352 13.00832158
## 2003.115 -23.0453902 17.195284 12.85010598
## 2003.135 -20.4263700 17.629216 9.79715358
## 2003.154 -18.8910373 17.754364 11.13667364
## 2003.173 -19.3557047 17.879511 14.47619375
## 2003.192 -16.7677405 18.004658 8.76308227
## 2003.212 -14.3376710 18.129806 10.20786549
## 2003.231 -12.5027488 18.254953 5.24779600
## 2003.250 -11.1941424 18.380100 12.81404233
## 2003.269 -8.9907992 18.505247 15.48555181
## 2003.288 -4.9979822 18.630395 3.36758761
## 2003.308 3.3128666 18.584573 -3.89743979
## 2003.327 13.2026627 18.538752 -6.74141444
## 2003.346 9.1450903 18.492930 -6.63802069
## 2003.365 15.0875179 18.447109 -2.53462689
## 2003.385 13.9678809 18.401288 -0.36916838
## 2003.404 18.9008754 18.355466 -11.25634155
## 2003.423 20.9917646 18.309645 -4.30140934
## 2003.442 22.1352854 18.263823 -12.39910869
## 2003.462 24.2514733 18.242322 -5.49379524
## 2003.481 35.8413452 18.220821 -13.06216582
## 2003.500 35.0101647 18.199319 -19.20948403
## 2003.519 35.2316155 18.177818 -23.40943352
## 2003.538 30.2280088 18.156317 -9.38432555
## 2003.558 31.8559809 18.134815 -10.99079639
## 2003.577 29.5892161 18.113314 -8.70253029
## 2003.596 26.6908726 18.091813 -10.78268543
## 2003.615 26.5589802 18.145592 -14.70457258
## 2003.635 25.8481404 18.199372 -7.04751225
## 2003.654 18.1899323 18.253151 -7.44308367
## 2003.673 10.3738295 18.306931 -2.68076033
## 2003.692 1.9511407 18.360710 -5.31185099
## 2003.712 -0.7347061 18.414490 4.32021632
## 2003.731 1.5794471 18.468269 -5.04771644
## 2003.750 -2.1063997 18.522049 3.58435088
## 2003.769 -0.8095149 18.499793 -3.69027788
## 2003.788 -3.7231565 18.477537 -4.75438033
## 2003.808 -6.4789034 18.455281 9.02362247
## 2003.827 -8.4451765 18.433025 4.01215158
## 2003.846 -10.7775273 18.410769 6.36675839
## 2003.865 -13.7414571 18.388513 4.35294410
## 2003.885 -14.2317026 18.366257 6.86544562
## 2003.904 -14.1956324 18.344001 0.85163139
## 2003.923 -19.2790885 18.086547 7.19254112
## 2003.942 -20.6783341 17.829094 9.84924036
## 2003.962 -20.5512638 17.571640 13.97962373
## 2003.981 -23.1610357 17.314186 9.84684926
## 2004.000 -23.2966301 17.056733 9.23989726
## 2004.019 -23.6953823 16.799279 8.89610310
## 2004.038 -24.9362398 16.541826 14.39441422
## 2004.058 -23.4866185 16.284372 17.20224655
## 2004.077 -22.3360621 15.872908 13.46315422
## 2004.096 -22.7696735 15.461444 12.30822968
## 2004.115 -23.0453902 15.049980 10.99541039
## 2004.135 -20.4263700 14.638516 17.78785429
## 2004.154 -18.8910373 14.227052 17.66398568
## 2004.173 -19.3557047 13.815588 15.54011711
## 2004.192 -16.7677405 13.404124 16.36361696
## 2004.212 -14.3376710 12.992660 14.34501150
## 2004.231 -12.5027488 12.648563 7.85418599
## 2004.250 -11.1941424 12.304466 19.88967630
## 2004.269 -8.9907992 11.960369 15.03042976
## 2004.288 -4.9979822 11.616273 1.38170953
## 2004.308 3.3128666 11.272176 -7.58504258
## 2004.327 13.2026627 10.928079 -4.13074194
## 2004.346 9.1450903 10.583983 -5.72907290
## 2004.365 15.0875179 10.239886 -11.32740381
## 2004.385 13.9678809 10.079156 -17.04703676
## 2004.404 18.9008754 9.918426 -14.81930138
## 2004.423 20.9917646 9.757696 -20.74946062
## 2004.442 22.1352854 9.596966 -18.73225142
## 2004.462 24.2514733 9.436236 -6.68770931
## 2004.481 35.8413452 9.275506 -32.11685123
## 2004.500 35.0101647 9.114776 -26.12494077
## 2004.519 35.2316155 8.954046 -28.18566160
## 2004.538 30.2280088 9.077014 -23.30502292
## 2004.558 31.8559809 9.199982 -21.05596305
## 2004.577 29.5892161 9.322950 -21.91216624
## 2004.596 26.6908726 9.445918 -32.13679068
## 2004.615 26.5589802 9.568886 -21.12786632
## 2004.635 25.8481404 9.691854 -27.53999449
## 2004.654 18.1899323 9.814822 -22.00475441
## 2004.673 10.3738295 9.937790 -8.31161956
## 2004.692 1.9511407 10.728756 2.32010308
## 2004.712 -0.7347061 11.519722 0.21498370
## 2004.731 1.5794471 12.310689 -3.89013576
## 2004.750 -2.1063997 13.101655 4.00474487
## 2004.769 -0.8095149 13.892621 3.91689395
## 2004.788 -3.7231565 14.683587 -3.96043066
## 2004.808 -6.4789034 15.474553 -1.99565001
## 2004.827 -8.4451765 16.265520 0.17965693
## 2004.846 -10.7775273 17.593292 2.18423505
## 2004.865 -13.7414571 18.921065 6.82039207
## 2004.885 -14.2317026 20.248838 5.98286489
## 2004.904 -14.1956324 21.576610 -2.38097803
## 2004.923 -19.2790885 22.904383 0.37470534
## 2004.942 -20.6783341 24.232156 7.44617822
## 2004.962 -20.5512638 25.559929 -1.00866476
## 2004.981 -23.1610357 26.887701 1.27333440
## 2005.000 -23.2966301 27.882202 2.41442778
## 2005.019 -23.6953823 28.876703 -4.18132100
## 2005.038 -24.9362398 29.871204 -3.93496450
## 2005.058 -23.4866185 30.865705 -3.37908679
## 2005.077 -22.3360621 31.860206 -7.52414415
## 2005.096 -22.7696735 32.854707 -4.08503373
## 2005.115 -23.0453902 33.849208 -7.80381805
## 2005.135 -20.4263700 34.843709 -10.41733918
## 2005.154 -18.8910373 35.138015 -6.24697722
## 2005.173 -19.3557047 35.432320 -4.07661521
## 2005.192 -16.7677405 35.726625 2.04111521
## 2005.212 -14.3376710 36.020931 4.31674033
## 2005.231 -12.5027488 36.315236 -2.81248725
## 2005.250 -11.1941424 36.609541 4.58460097
## 2005.269 -8.9907992 36.903847 17.08695236
## 2005.288 -4.9979822 37.198152 23.79983005
## 2005.308 3.3128666 37.092128 34.59500495
## 2005.327 13.2026627 36.986105 32.81123260
## 2005.346 9.1450903 36.880081 35.97482865
## 2005.365 15.0875179 36.774057 74.13842475
## 2005.385 13.9678809 36.668034 68.36408555
## 2005.404 18.9008754 36.562010 81.53711468
## 2005.423 20.9917646 36.455986 73.55224919
## 2005.442 22.1352854 36.349962 53.51475214
## 2005.462 24.2514733 36.085416 21.66311032
## 2005.481 35.8413452 35.820870 1.33778447
## 2005.500 35.0101647 35.556324 -27.56648901
## 2005.519 35.2316155 35.291778 -15.52339377
## 2005.538 30.2280088 35.027232 -10.25524107
## 2005.558 31.8559809 34.762686 -13.61866718
## 2005.577 29.5892161 34.498140 -18.08735635
## 2005.596 26.6908726 34.233594 -17.92446676
## 2005.615 26.5589802 33.639030 -31.19801041
## 2005.635 25.8481404 33.044466 -36.89260658
## 2005.654 18.1899323 32.449902 -24.63983451
## 2005.673 10.3738295 31.855338 -29.22916767
## 2005.692 1.9511407 31.260774 -16.21191483
## 2005.712 -0.7347061 30.666210 -21.93150402
## 2005.731 1.5794471 30.071646 -18.65109328
## 2005.750 -2.1063997 29.477082 -17.37068246
## 2005.769 -0.8095149 28.533434 -10.72391950
## 2005.788 -3.7231565 27.589787 -4.86663024
## 2005.808 -6.4789034 26.646139 -11.16723572
## 2005.827 -8.4451765 25.702491 -8.25731490
## 2005.846 -10.7775273 24.758844 -4.98131636
## 2005.865 -13.7414571 23.815196 -7.07373894
## 2005.885 -14.2317026 22.871548 -1.63984570
## 2005.904 -14.1956324 21.927901 -0.73226821
## 2005.923 -19.2790885 21.066554 -1.78746576
## 2005.942 -20.6783341 20.205208 2.47312622
## 2005.962 -20.5512638 19.343862 4.20740232
## 2005.981 -23.1610357 18.482515 7.67852058
## 2006.000 -23.2966301 17.621169 6.67546131
## 2006.019 -23.6953823 16.759822 9.93555988
## 2006.038 -24.9362398 15.898476 12.03776373
## 2006.058 -23.4866185 15.037130 11.44948879
## 2006.077 -22.3360621 14.599407 14.73665555
## 2006.096 -22.7696735 14.161683 11.60799010
## 2006.115 -23.0453902 13.723960 14.32142989
## 2006.135 -20.4263700 13.286237 18.14013288
## 2006.154 -18.8910373 12.848514 11.04252335
## 2006.173 -19.3557047 12.410791 11.94491387
## 2006.192 -16.7677405 11.973068 10.79467280
## 2006.212 -14.3376710 11.535345 8.80232643
## 2006.231 -12.5027488 11.337062 5.16568699
## 2006.250 -11.1941424 11.138779 4.05536336
## 2006.269 -8.9907992 10.940496 6.05030288
## 2006.288 -4.9979822 10.742214 8.25576872
## 2006.308 3.3128666 10.543931 -1.85679733
## 2006.327 13.2026627 10.345648 -7.54831063
## 2006.346 9.1450903 10.147365 -9.29245552
## 2006.365 15.0875179 9.949082 -9.03660037
## 2006.385 13.9678809 9.959624 -5.92750526
## 2006.404 18.9008754 9.970166 -13.87104182
## 2006.423 20.9917646 9.980708 -7.97247300
## 2006.442 22.1352854 9.991250 -15.12653574
## 2006.462 24.2514733 10.001792 -1.25326557
## 2006.481 35.8413452 10.012334 -30.85367942
## 2006.500 35.0101647 10.022876 -32.03304090
## 2006.519 35.2316155 10.033418 -34.26503368
## 2006.538 30.2280088 10.330163 -26.55817225
## 2006.558 31.8559809 10.626909 -25.48288963
## 2006.577 29.5892161 10.923654 -21.51287008
## 2006.596 26.6908726 11.220399 -17.91127176
## 2006.615 26.5589802 11.517144 -26.07612466
## 2006.635 25.8481404 11.813890 -16.66203008
## 2006.654 18.1899323 12.110635 -23.30056725
## 2006.673 10.3738295 12.407380 -3.78120966
## 2006.692 1.9511407 13.191441 -5.14258146
## 2006.712 -0.7347061 13.975501 -0.24079529
## 2006.731 1.5794471 14.759562 -6.33900920
## 2006.750 -2.1063997 15.543623 -5.43722303
## 2006.769 -0.8095149 16.327683 5.48183161
## 2006.788 -3.7231565 17.111744 -2.38858745
## 2006.808 -6.4789034 17.895805 -2.41690125
## 2006.827 -8.4451765 18.679865 3.76531124
## 2006.846 -10.7775273 19.971763 4.80576391
## 2006.865 -13.7414571 21.263662 7.47779548
## 2006.885 -14.2317026 22.555560 9.67614285
## 2006.904 -14.1956324 23.847458 6.34817448
## 2006.923 -19.2790885 25.139356 6.13973239
## 2006.942 -20.6783341 26.431254 14.24707983
## 2006.962 -20.5512638 27.723152 0.82811139
## 2006.981 -23.1610357 29.015051 -2.85401490
## 2007.000 -23.2966301 30.062120 6.23451043
## 2007.019 -23.6953823 31.109189 -3.41380640
## 2007.038 -24.9362398 32.156258 -6.22001795
## 2007.058 -23.4866185 33.203327 0.28329171
## 2007.077 -22.3360621 34.250396 -3.91433370
## 2007.096 -22.7696735 35.297465 0.47220867
## 2007.115 -23.0453902 36.344534 -3.29914370
## 2007.135 -20.4263700 37.391603 4.03476712
## 2007.154 -18.8910373 37.710071 -0.81903400
## 2007.173 -19.3557047 38.028540 2.32716494
## 2007.192 -16.7677405 38.347008 12.42073228
## 2007.212 -14.3376710 38.665477 0.67219432
## 2007.231 -12.5027488 38.983945 7.51880367
## 2007.250 -11.1941424 39.302414 4.89172882
## 2007.269 -8.9907992 39.620882 9.36991712
## 2007.288 -4.9979822 39.939350 7.05863174
## 2007.308 3.3128666 39.753856 -7.06672248
## 2007.327 13.2026627 39.568361 19.22897604
## 2007.346 9.1450903 39.382867 26.47204297
## 2007.365 15.0875179 39.197372 21.71510994
## 2007.385 13.9678809 39.011878 39.02024162
## 2007.404 18.9008754 38.826383 13.27274162
## 2007.423 20.9917646 38.640888 52.36734700
## 2007.442 22.1352854 38.455394 45.40932082
## 2007.462 24.2514733 38.096571 38.65195609
## 2007.481 35.8413452 37.737748 96.42090734
## 2007.500 35.0101647 37.378924 62.61091095
## 2007.519 35.2316155 37.020101 33.74828328
## 2007.538 30.2280088 36.661278 1.11071307
## 2007.558 31.8559809 36.302455 -20.15843595
## 2007.577 29.5892161 35.943632 -17.53284802
## 2007.596 26.6908726 35.584809 -36.27568135
## 2007.615 26.5589802 34.952631 -28.51161093
## 2007.635 25.8481404 34.320453 -31.16859303
## 2007.654 18.1899323 33.688275 -34.87820688
## 2007.673 10.3738295 33.056096 -31.42992598
## 2007.692 1.9511407 32.423918 -21.37505907
## 2007.712 -0.7347061 31.791740 -14.05703419
## 2007.731 1.5794471 31.159562 -17.73900939
## 2007.750 -2.1063997 30.527384 -14.42098450
## 2007.769 -0.8095149 29.539798 -13.73028267
## 2007.788 -3.7231565 28.552211 -14.82905454
## 2007.808 -6.4789034 27.564625 -12.08572115
## 2007.827 -8.4451765 26.577038 -16.13186146
## 2007.846 -10.7775273 25.589451 -8.81192406
## 2007.865 -13.7414571 24.601865 -2.86040778
## 2007.885 -14.2317026 23.614278 -4.38257567
## 2007.904 -14.1956324 22.626692 -7.43105932
## 2007.923 -19.2790885 21.723739 -0.44465047
## 2007.942 -20.6783341 20.820786 2.85754790
## 2007.962 -20.5512638 19.917833 4.63343039
## 2007.981 -23.1610357 19.014881 7.14615504
## 2008.000 -23.2966301 18.111928 6.18470216
## 2008.019 -23.6953823 17.208975 9.48640712
## 2008.038 -24.9362398 16.306022 13.63021737
## 2008.058 -23.4866185 15.403070 10.08354882
## 2008.077 -22.3360621 15.132983 10.20307924
## 2008.096 -22.7696735 14.862896 9.90677744
## 2008.115 -23.0453902 14.592809 11.45258089
## 2008.135 -20.4263700 14.322722 8.10364754
## 2008.154 -18.8910373 14.052636 6.83840167
## 2008.173 -19.3557047 13.782549 8.57315585
## 2008.192 -16.7677405 13.512462 7.25527844
## 2008.212 -14.3376710 13.242375 4.09529572
## 2008.231 -12.5027488 13.553302 2.94944725
## 2008.250 -11.1941424 13.864228 1.32991458
## 2008.269 -8.9907992 14.175154 -1.18435493
## 2008.288 -4.9979822 14.486080 -2.48809813
## 2008.308 3.3128666 14.797007 -12.10987322
## 2008.327 13.2026627 15.107933 -13.31059555
## 2008.346 9.1450903 15.418859 -13.56394949
## 2008.365 15.0875179 15.729785 -21.81730337
## 2008.385 13.9678809 16.258792 -21.22667311
## 2008.404 18.9008754 16.787799 -23.68867453
## 2008.423 20.9917646 17.316806 -25.30857055
## 2008.442 22.1352854 17.845813 -26.98109815
## 2008.462 24.2514733 18.374820 -29.62629283
## 2008.481 35.8413452 18.903826 -34.74517153
## 2008.500 35.0101647 19.432833 -26.44299787
## 2008.519 35.2316155 19.961840 -10.19345549
## 2008.538 30.2280088 20.468934 -22.69694238
## 2008.558 31.8559809 20.976027 -18.83200807
## 2008.577 29.5892161 21.483121 -10.07233683
## 2008.596 26.6908726 21.990214 -12.68108683
## 2008.615 26.5589802 22.497308 -11.05628804
## 2008.635 25.8481404 23.004401 -0.85254178
## 2008.654 18.1899323 23.511495 -14.70142726
## 2008.673 10.3738295 24.018588 -11.39241798
## 2008.692 1.9511407 24.595332 1.45352737
## 2008.712 -0.7347061 25.172075 17.56263069
## 2008.731 1.5794471 25.748819 2.67173394
## 2008.750 -2.1063997 26.325562 -6.21916273
## 2008.769 -0.8095149 26.902306 11.90720906
## 2008.788 -3.7231565 27.479049 4.24410715
## 2008.808 -6.4789034 28.055793 14.42311051
## 2008.827 -8.4451765 28.632536 23.81264016
## 2008.846 -10.7775273 29.307332 22.47019553
## 2008.865 -13.7414571 29.982127 18.75932979
## 2008.885 -14.2317026 30.656923 11.57477987
## 2008.904 -14.1956324 31.331718 10.86391419
## 2008.923 -19.2790885 32.006514 9.27257481
## 2008.942 -20.6783341 32.681309 13.99702494
## 2008.962 -20.5512638 33.356105 11.19515920
## 2008.981 -23.1610357 34.030900 -1.86986439
## 2009.000 -23.2966301 34.771239 9.52539159
## 2009.019 -23.6953823 35.511577 -1.81619459
## 2009.038 -24.9362398 36.251915 3.68432450
## 2009.058 -23.4866185 36.992254 -9.50563519
##
## $weights
## [1] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [36] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [71] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [106] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [141] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [176] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [211] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [246] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [281] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [316] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [351] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [386] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [421] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [456] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [491] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [526] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [561] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [596] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [631] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [666] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [701] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [736] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [771] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [806] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [841] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [876] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [911] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [946] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [981] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
##
## $call
## stl(x = tsdengue, s.window = "periodic")
##
## $win
## s t l
## 9891 79 53
##
## $deg
## s t l
## 0 1 1
##
## $jump
## s t l
## 990 8 6
plot(forecast(pred.dengue), xlab = "Año", ylab = "Casos", flty = 2)
#ARIMA
pred.arima <- auto.arima(x = tsdengue)
predict(pred.arima, n.ahead = 52, se.fit = TRUE)
## $pred
## Time Series:
## Start = c(2009, 5)
## End = c(2010, 4)
## Frequency = 52
## [1] 2.6961171 1.7557436 1.0775366 0.5884069 0.2356416 -0.0187763
## [7] -0.2022651 -0.3345990 -0.4300396 -0.4988724 -0.5485152 -0.5843182
## [13] -0.6101396 -0.6287623 -0.6421931 -0.6518796 -0.6588656 -0.6639040
## [19] -0.6675377 -0.6701584 -0.6720484 -0.6734116 -0.6743947 -0.6751037
## [25] -0.6756150 -0.6759838 -0.6762498 -0.6764416 -0.6765800 -0.6766798
## [31] -0.6767517 -0.6768036 -0.6768410 -0.6768680 -0.6768875 -0.6769016
## [37] -0.6769117 -0.6769190 -0.6769243 -0.6769281 -0.6769308 -0.6769328
## [43] -0.6769342 -0.6769352 -0.6769360 -0.6769365 -0.6769369 -0.6769372
## [49] -0.6769374 -0.6769375 -0.6769376 -0.6769377
##
## $se
## Time Series:
## Start = c(2009, 5)
## End = c(2010, 4)
## Frequency = 52
## [1] 13.22874 19.78333 25.30471 30.23543 34.73805 38.89925 42.77584
## [8] 46.40964 49.83344 53.07388 56.15304 59.08944 61.89878 64.59440
## [15] 67.18778 69.68875 72.10585 74.44649 76.71713 78.92343 81.07040
## [22] 83.16243 85.20345 87.19695 89.14605 91.05355 92.92198 94.75364
## [29] 96.55060 98.31475 100.04782 101.75139 103.42691 105.07573 106.69907
## [36] 108.29809 109.87385 111.42732 112.95943 114.47104 115.96295 117.43591
## [43] 118.89062 120.32774 121.74790 123.15169 124.53965 125.91232 127.27018
## [50] 128.61370 129.94334 131.25951
dengue.for <- forecast(object = pred.arima, h = 52)
plot(dengue.for)
