DATA (INDUSTRIAL NATIONAL CONFEDERATION) SINCE 1999

VERY BRIEF DISCUSSION OF WHAT IS GOING ON

There are trends and points along the graph that are noteworthy. For the traditional political parties, who overthrew Presidenta Dilma in April of 2016, the situation characterizing the upcoming elections could not be worse. Presidential approval is at an all time low since 1999 and disapproval is at an all time high. The Temer disapproval rating which translates into an approval rating of 6 percent certainly carries weight from its minimal size in all the major parties who opposed the Dilma presidency.

On the other hand, the popularity of Lula at the end of his presidency, December of 2010, had an approval rating at 80 percent, disapproval was at 15. The expectations for the elections in October of this year are that the major impeachment parties have little chance of winning the presidency even though Lula has been eliminated from the election imprisoned, and now has negligible contact with the political world in light of his unusually strict visitation rights. Condemning Lula through a judicial process without a jury as permitted in Brazilian law, but with an obviously biased judge making obviously biased judgments, and national coverage in the media, has produced a political martyr cultivated from an already popular public figure.

The graph shows how much Lula’s popularity grew starting in 2006 up to the demonstrations against Dilma in mid 2013. Since her impeachment in September of 2016, the traditional parties who led the impeachment process have suffered from a rapid deterioration in popularity to minimum levels never experienced before.