Updated Exclusion Criteria:

Updated Sample Sizes:

New Gammas Fit to Full Exploratory Data Frame:

Random Effects Structure I

Affect ~ outcome + PE + ( 1 + outcome + PE | cohort / exam_num / id)

Dataset Affect predictor Estimate SE df t_stat p_Val
Exploratory Positive outcome 0.3381905 0.2001976 5.608594 1.6892832 0.1455747
Exploratory Positive PE 3.7807479 0.7886752 4.262214 4.7937956 0.0074084
Exploratory Negative outcome -0.6068125 0.3951412 1.215238 -1.5356852 0.3345566
Exploratory Negative PE -2.6740427 0.8646741 3.286446 -3.0925439 0.0474750
Confirmatory Positive outcome 0.2158519 0.3170549 1.235805 0.6808031 0.6009263
Confirmatory Positive PE 3.1369099 0.5432564 5.822864 5.7742710 0.0013076
Confirmatory Negative outcome -0.4572960 0.3317150 1.157256 -1.3785809 0.3759657
Confirmatory Negative PE -1.9518399 0.7137204 1.074915 -2.7347402 0.2089239

Random Effects Structure II

Affect ~ outcome + PE + ( 1 + outcome + PE | cohort / id / exam_num)

With new structure, PE is trending in exploratory dataset, and significant in confirmatory
Dataset Affect predictor Estimate SE df t_stat p_Val
Exploratory Positive outcome 0.3102355 0.2160938 2.3624013 1.435652 0.2692764
Exploratory Positive PE 3.5752270 0.6013576 1.3909792 5.945259 0.0590905
Exploratory Negative outcome -0.6449324 0.3796406 1.0432242 -1.698798 0.3309908
Exploratory Negative PE -2.6717013 0.7686514 1.6284042 -3.475830 0.0980165
Confirmatory Positive outcome 0.4384121 0.2576754 0.9817883 1.701412 0.3416694
Confirmatory Positive PE 3.4700851 0.5053408 72.9347299 6.866822 0.0000000
Confirmatory Negative outcome -0.5384790 0.2885021 1.1152864 -1.866465 0.2928893
Confirmatory Negative PE -2.1758658 0.6399473 1.4356868 -3.400070 0.1190673