Updated Exclusion Criteria:

Updated Sample Sizes:

New Gammas Fit to Full Exploratory Data Frame:

Random Effects Structure I

Affect ~ outcome + PE + ( 1 + outcome + PE | cohort / exam_num / id)

Dataset Affect predictor Estimate SE df t_stat p_Val
Exploratory Positive outcome 0.2939259 0.3063250 0.6827217 0.9595230 0.5654511
Exploratory Positive PE 3.8793119 0.8978651 1.4873555 4.3205954 0.0816432
Exploratory Negative outcome -0.6148613 0.4108051 0.9684240 -1.4967225 0.3805886
Exploratory Negative PE -2.7892094 0.9311117 1.8078796 -2.9955689 0.1079370
Confirmatory Positive outcome 0.2112718 0.3194255 1.2488045 0.6614118 0.6091468
Confirmatory Positive PE 3.1232271 0.5349815 5.2264938 5.8380096 0.0017962
Confirmatory Negative outcome -0.4587680 0.3329608 1.1294713 -1.3778440 0.3799484
Confirmatory Negative PE -1.9634029 0.7033203 1.0581823 -2.7916200 0.2077783

Random Effects Structure II

Affect ~ outcome + PE + ( 1 + outcome + PE | cohort / id / exam_num)

With new structure, PE is trending in exploratory dataset, and significant in confirmatory
Dataset Affect predictor Estimate SE df t_stat p_Val
Exploratory Positive outcome 0.2771896 0.3069613 0.8026184 0.9030116 0.5602445
Exploratory Positive PE 3.7160393 0.7761725 0.7760435 4.7876460 0.1826861
Exploratory Negative outcome -0.6695420 0.3669981 1.1837480 -1.8243748 0.2885669
Exploratory Negative PE -2.7806832 0.8487211 1.0146715 -3.2763215 0.1857015
Confirmatory Positive outcome 0.4429418 0.2648576 0.9732648 1.6723774 0.3480611
Confirmatory Positive PE 3.4788673 0.5003967 64.1829506 6.9522184 0.0000000
Confirmatory Negative outcome -0.5392715 0.2896359 1.0839537 -1.8618945 0.2987380
Confirmatory Negative PE -2.1903448 0.6272350 1.4375740 -3.4920642 0.1147359