Many college courses conclude by giving students the opportunity to evaluate the course and the instructor anonymously. However, the use of these student evaluations as an indicator of course quality and teaching effectiveness is often criticized because these measures may reflect the influence of non-teaching related characteristics, such as the physical appearance of the instructor. The article titled, “Beauty in the classroom: instructors’ pulchritude and putative pedagogical productivity” (Hamermesh and Parker, 2005) found that instructors who are viewed to be better looking receive higher instructional ratings. (Daniel S. Hamermesh, Amy Parker, Beauty in the classroom: instructors pulchritude and putative pedagogical productivity, Economics of Education Review, Volume 24, Issue 4, August 2005, Pages 369-376, ISSN 0272-7757, 10.1016/j.econedurev.2004.07.013. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0272775704001165.)
In this lab we will analyze the data from this study in order to learn what goes into a positive professor evaluation.
The data were gathered from end of semester student evaluations for a large sample of professors from the University of Texas at Austin. In addition, six students rated the professors’ physical appearance. (This is a slightly modified version of the original data set that was released as part of the replication data for Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models (Gelman and Hill, 2007).) The result is a data frame where each row contains a different course and columns represent variables about the courses and professors.
load("more/evals.RData")
library(ggplot2)
library(knitr)
library(kableExtra)
library(dplyr)
library(tidyr)| variable | description |
|---|---|
score |
average professor evaluation score: (1) very unsatisfactory - (5) excellent. |
rank |
rank of professor: teaching, tenure track, tenured. |
ethnicity |
ethnicity of professor: not minority, minority. |
gender |
gender of professor: female, male. |
language |
language of school where professor received education: english or non-english. |
age |
age of professor. |
cls_perc_eval |
percent of students in class who completed evaluation. |
cls_did_eval |
number of students in class who completed evaluation. |
cls_students |
total number of students in class. |
cls_level |
class level: lower, upper. |
cls_profs |
number of professors teaching sections in course in sample: single, multiple. |
cls_credits |
number of credits of class: one credit (lab, PE, etc.), multi credit. |
bty_f1lower |
beauty rating of professor from lower level female: (1) lowest - (10) highest. |
bty_f1upper |
beauty rating of professor from upper level female: (1) lowest - (10) highest. |
bty_f2upper |
beauty rating of professor from second upper level female: (1) lowest - (10) highest. |
bty_m1lower |
beauty rating of professor from lower level male: (1) lowest - (10) highest. |
bty_m1upper |
beauty rating of professor from upper level male: (1) lowest - (10) highest. |
bty_m2upper |
beauty rating of professor from second upper level male: (1) lowest - (10) highest. |
bty_avg |
average beauty rating of professor. |
pic_outfit |
outfit of professor in picture: not formal, formal. |
pic_color |
color of professor’s picture: color, black & white. |
Is this an observational study or an experiment? The original research question posed in the paper is whether beauty leads directly to the differences in course evaluations. Given the study design, is it possible to answer this question as it is phrased? If not, rephrase the question.
This is an observational study because it doesn’t contain a randomized control trial. A better phrasing of the question might be, “Does higher beauty correlate to more favorable course evaluations among professors?”
Describe the distribution of score. Is the distribution skewed? What does that tell you about how students rate courses? Is this what you expected to see? Why, or why not?
The distribution of score appears to be left-skewed. Overall, students in the sample rate courses more favorably, with the most frequent bin appearing to be a rating of 4.5 out of 5. I would expect to see a more normal distribution of scores, unless the sample was drawn from unusually good classes at UT Austin (i.e., unless it was not randomized). However, people tend to be polarized in ratings.
Excluding score, select two other variables and describe their relationship using an appropriate visualization (scatterplot, side-by-side boxplots, or mosaic plot).
I visualized the relationship between gender and average beauty score. It seems like female professors have a higher average beauty rating than male professors, even though there are more male professors in the sample.
The fundamental phenomenon suggested by the study is that better looking teachers are evaluated more favorably. Let’s create a scatterplot to see if this appears to be the case:
plot(evals$score ~ evals$bty_avg)Before we draw conclusions about the trend, compare the number of observations in the data frame with the approximate number of points on the scatterplot. Is anything awry?
Replot the scatterplot, but this time use the function jitter() on the \(y\)- or the \(x\)-coordinate. (Use ?jitter to learn more.) What was misleading about the initial scatterplot?
There does seem to be a somewhat upward relationship between the variables that the initial scatterplot may have obscured, since many professors have the same average beauty rating.
Let’s see if the apparent trend in the plot is something more than natural variation. Fit a linear model called m_bty to predict average professor score by average beauty rating and add the line to your plot using abline(m_bty). Write out the equation for the linear model and interpret the slope. Is average beauty score a statistically significant predictor? Does it appear to be a practically significant predictor?
The equation for the linear model is \[ \hat{score} = (0.06664 * beauty) + 3.88034 \]
The slope of 0.06664 means that a professor’s evaluation score will increase by 0.0664 points for every 1-point increase in their average beauty rating.
The relationship has a p-value of much less than 0.001, which makes beauty a statistically significant predictor. It doesn’t appear to be a great practical predictor, since there is so much variance in evaluation score.
m_bty <- lm(score ~ bty_avg, data = evals)
plot(evals$score ~ evals$bty_avg)
abline(m_bty)summary(m_bty)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ bty_avg, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.9246 -0.3690 0.1420 0.3977 0.9309
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.88034 0.07614 50.96 < 2e-16 ***
## bty_avg 0.06664 0.01629 4.09 5.08e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5348 on 461 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.03502, Adjusted R-squared: 0.03293
## F-statistic: 16.73 on 1 and 461 DF, p-value: 5.083e-05Use residual plots to evaluate whether the conditions of least squares regression are reasonable. Provide plots and comments for each one (see the Simple Regression Lab for a reminder of how to make these).
The three conditions for least-squares regression are:
Linearity
There does not seem to be an obvious pattern to the way the dots are scattered. This supports a linear relationship.
Constant variability
There appears to be more points below the horizontal than above. This suggests that variability is not constant.
Nearly normal residuals
When we plot the residuals, we see that they are not normal – they are left-skewed. That means there is a bias in the data. This condition is not met.
The data set contains several variables on the beauty score of the professor: individual ratings from each of the six students who were asked to score the physical appearance of the professors and the average of these six scores. Let’s take a look at the relationship between one of these scores and the average beauty score.
plot(evals$bty_avg ~ evals$bty_f1lower)
cor(evals$bty_avg, evals$bty_f1lower)As expected the relationship is quite strong - after all, the average score is calculated using the individual scores. We can actually take a look at the relationships between all beauty variables (columns 13 through 19) using the following command:
plot(evals[,13:19])These variables are collinear (correlated), and adding more than one of these variables to the model would not add much value to the model. In this application and with these highly-correlated predictors, it is reasonable to use the average beauty score as the single representative of these variables.
In order to see if beauty is still a significant predictor of professor score after we’ve accounted for the gender of the professor, we can add the gender term into the model.
m_bty_gen <- lm(score ~ bty_avg + gender, data = evals)
summary(m_bty_gen)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ bty_avg + gender, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.8305 -0.3625 0.1055 0.4213 0.9314
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.74734 0.08466 44.266 < 2e-16 ***
## bty_avg 0.07416 0.01625 4.563 6.48e-06 ***
## gendermale 0.17239 0.05022 3.433 0.000652 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5287 on 460 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.05912, Adjusted R-squared: 0.05503
## F-statistic: 14.45 on 2 and 460 DF, p-value: 8.177e-07
P-values and parameter estimates should only be trusted if the conditions for the regression are reasonable. Verify that the conditions for this model are reasonable using diagnostic plots.
The 4 conditions of least-squares regression are:
When we visualize the histogram and Q-Q plot of the residuals, we see that they are fairly close to normal — but there appears to be a left-skew to the data.
There does not seem to be a definite pattern to the residuals — they have constant variability across the data.
When we plot the residuals in the order in which they were gathered, we do not see a specific pattern. This suggests that the residuals are independent.
When we plot the points, we see there are a few outliers, but most follow a linear pattern by gender.
Is bty_avg still a significant predictor of score? Has the addition of gender to the model changed the parameter estimate for bty_avg?
Yes. When we compare using bty_avg alone vs. using bty_avg along with score, we see that the P-Value is much smaller and the R-squared is larger in the latter case.
Note that the estimate for gender is now called gendermale. You’ll see this name change whenever you introduce a categorical variable. The reason is that R recodes gender from having the values of female and male to being an indicator variable called gendermale that takes a value of \(0\) for females and a value of \(1\) for males. (Such variables are often referred to as “dummy” variables.)
As a result, for females, the parameter estimate is multiplied by zero, leaving the intercept and slope form familiar from simple regression.
\[ \begin{aligned} \widehat{score} &= \hat{\beta}_0 + \hat{\beta}_1 \times bty\_avg + \hat{\beta}_2 \times (0) \\ &= \hat{\beta}_0 + \hat{\beta}_1 \times bty\_avg\end{aligned} \]
We can plot this line and the line corresponding to males with the following custom function.
multiLines(m_bty_gen)
summary(m_bty_gen)What is the equation of the line corresponding to males? (Hint: For males, the parameter estimate is multiplied by 1.) For two professors who received the same beauty rating, which gender tends to have the higher course evaluation score?
\(\widehat{score} = \hat{\beta}_0 + \hat{\beta}_1 \times bty\_avg + \hat{\beta}_2 \times (1)\)
\(\widehat{score} = 3.74734 + 0.07416 \times bty\_avg + 0.17239 \times (1)\)
\(\widehat{score} = 3.91973 + 0.07416 \times bty\_avg\)
In this model, male professors tend to receive a higher course evaluation score — by 0.17239 points.
The decision to call the indicator variable gendermale instead ofgenderfemale has no deeper meaning. R simply codes the category that comes first alphabetically as a \(0\). (You can change the reference level of a categorical variable, which is the level that is coded as a 0, using therelevel function. Use ?relevel to learn more.)
Create a new model called m_bty_rank with gender removed and rank added in. How does R appear to handle categorical variables that have more than two levels? Note that the rank variable has three levels: teaching, tenure track, tenured.
R seems to recode the rank variable twice – once to set tenure track as 1, with all other variables as 0, and once to set tenured as 1.
m_bty_gen <- lm(score ~ bty_avg + rank, data = evals)
summary(m_bty_gen)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ bty_avg + rank, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.8713 -0.3642 0.1489 0.4103 0.9525
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.98155 0.09078 43.860 < 2e-16 ***
## bty_avg 0.06783 0.01655 4.098 4.92e-05 ***
## ranktenure track -0.16070 0.07395 -2.173 0.0303 *
## ranktenured -0.12623 0.06266 -2.014 0.0445 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5328 on 459 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.04652, Adjusted R-squared: 0.04029
## F-statistic: 7.465 on 3 and 459 DF, p-value: 6.88e-05The interpretation of the coefficients in multiple regression is slightly different from that of simple regression. The estimate for bty_avg reflects how much higher a group of professors is expected to score if they have a beauty rating that is one point higher while holding all other variables constant. In this case, that translates into considering only professors of the same rank with bty_avg scores that are one point apart.
We will start with a full model that predicts professor score based on rank, ethnicity, gender, language of the university where they got their degree, age, proportion of students that filled out evaluations, class size, course level, number of professors, number of credits, average beauty rating, outfit, and picture color.
Which variable would you expect to have the highest p-value in this model? Why? Hint: Think about which variable would you expect to not have any association with the professor score.
I would expect that the language of the university where they got their degree, outfit, and picture color would have the least association with on professor score.
Let’s run the model…
m_full <- lm(score ~ rank + ethnicity + gender + language + age + cls_perc_eval
+ cls_students + cls_level + cls_profs + cls_credits + bty_avg
+ pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
summary(m_full)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ rank + ethnicity + gender + language + age +
## cls_perc_eval + cls_students + cls_level + cls_profs + cls_credits +
## bty_avg + pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.77397 -0.32432 0.09067 0.35183 0.95036
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.0952141 0.2905277 14.096 < 2e-16 ***
## ranktenure track -0.1475932 0.0820671 -1.798 0.07278 .
## ranktenured -0.0973378 0.0663296 -1.467 0.14295
## ethnicitynot minority 0.1234929 0.0786273 1.571 0.11698
## gendermale 0.2109481 0.0518230 4.071 5.54e-05 ***
## languagenon-english -0.2298112 0.1113754 -2.063 0.03965 *
## age -0.0090072 0.0031359 -2.872 0.00427 **
## cls_perc_eval 0.0053272 0.0015393 3.461 0.00059 ***
## cls_students 0.0004546 0.0003774 1.205 0.22896
## cls_levelupper 0.0605140 0.0575617 1.051 0.29369
## cls_profssingle -0.0146619 0.0519885 -0.282 0.77806
## cls_creditsone credit 0.5020432 0.1159388 4.330 1.84e-05 ***
## bty_avg 0.0400333 0.0175064 2.287 0.02267 *
## pic_outfitnot formal -0.1126817 0.0738800 -1.525 0.12792
## pic_colorcolor -0.2172630 0.0715021 -3.039 0.00252 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.498 on 448 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.1871, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1617
## F-statistic: 7.366 on 14 and 448 DF, p-value: 6.552e-14
Check your suspicions from the previous exercise. Include the model output in your response.
Surprisingly, the p-values of non-English university language (0.03965) and picture color (0.00252) had a significant association with professor score. Outfit, as suspected, did not have a p-value above 0.05.
Interpret the coefficient associated with the ethnicity variable.
All else being equal, a professor identifying as a non-minority has an evaluation score that is 0.1234929 points higher than a professor that identifies as a minority.
Drop the variable with the highest p-value and re-fit the model. Did the coefficients and significance of the other explanatory variables change? (One of the things that makes multiple regression interesting is that coefficient estimates depend on the other variables that are included in the model.) If not, what does this say about whether or not the dropped variable was collinear with the other explanatory variables?
The variable with the highest p-value was cls_profs, or the number of professors in the class. When we run the linear model after removing cls_profs, we see that the coefficient estimates do change – they all increase or decrease slightly. The coefficient with the greatest change was pic_color, which dropped by 4.3 points.
This means that the variable we dropped depends on other variables too.
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ rank + ethnicity + gender + language + age +
## cls_perc_eval + cls_students + cls_level + cls_credits +
## bty_avg + pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.7836 -0.3257 0.0859 0.3513 0.9551
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.0872523 0.2888562 14.150 < 2e-16 ***
## ranktenure track -0.1476746 0.0819824 -1.801 0.072327 .
## ranktenured -0.0973829 0.0662614 -1.470 0.142349
## ethnicitynot minority 0.1274458 0.0772887 1.649 0.099856 .
## gendermale 0.2101231 0.0516873 4.065 5.66e-05 ***
## languagenon-english -0.2282894 0.1111305 -2.054 0.040530 *
## age -0.0089992 0.0031326 -2.873 0.004262 **
## cls_perc_eval 0.0052888 0.0015317 3.453 0.000607 ***
## cls_students 0.0004687 0.0003737 1.254 0.210384
## cls_levelupper 0.0606374 0.0575010 1.055 0.292200
## cls_creditsone credit 0.5061196 0.1149163 4.404 1.33e-05 ***
## bty_avg 0.0398629 0.0174780 2.281 0.023032 *
## pic_outfitnot formal -0.1083227 0.0721711 -1.501 0.134080
## pic_colorcolor -0.2190527 0.0711469 -3.079 0.002205 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.4974 on 449 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.187, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1634
## F-statistic: 7.943 on 13 and 449 DF, p-value: 2.336e-14
| Change in Coefficient | |
|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 0.0079618 |
| ranktenure track | 0.0000813 |
| ranktenured | 0.0000451 |
| ethnicitynot minority | -0.0039528 |
| gendermale | 0.0008250 |
| languagenon-english | -0.0015217 |
| age | -0.0000080 |
| cls_perc_eval | 0.0000385 |
| cls_students | -0.0000141 |
| cls_levelupper | -0.0001235 |
| cls_profssingle | -0.5207815 |
| cls_creditsone credit | 0.4621803 |
| bty_avg | 0.1483560 |
| pic_outfitnot formal | 0.1063710 |
| pic_colorcolor | -4.3045153 |
Using backward-selection and p-value as the selection criterion, determine the best model. You do not need to show all steps in your answer, just the output for the final model. Also, write out the linear model for predicting score based on the final model you settle on.
After using the step function to backward-select for variables with p-values at 0.05 or below, I chose to include the following 8 variables in my linear model: ethnicity, gender, language, age, cls_perc_eval, csl_credits, bty_avg, and pic_color.
The 5 variables I removed were: cls_did_eval, cls_students, cls_level, cls_profs, and pic_outfit. The p-values of these variables were higher than the ones I chose.
Here is the linear model with the intercept and the coefficients of all 8 variables:
\(\widehat{score} = 3.771922 +\)
\(0.167872 \times ethncicity\_not\_minority(1) +\)
\(0.207112 \times gender\_male(1) +\)
\(-0.206178 \times language\_non\_english(1) +\)
\(-0.006046 \times age +\)
\(0.004656 \times cls\_perc\_eval +\)
\(0.505306 \times cls\_credit +\)
\(0.051069 \times bty\_avg +\)
\(-0.190579 \times pic\_color\_color(1)\)
And here is the summary of the model:
step1 <- step(m_full1, data=evals, direction="backward")
summary(step1)m_full3 <- lm(score ~ ethnicity + gender + language + age + cls_perc_eval + cls_credits + bty_avg + pic_color, data = evals)
summary(m_full3)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ ethnicity + gender + language + age + cls_perc_eval +
## cls_credits + bty_avg + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.85320 -0.32394 0.09984 0.37930 0.93610
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.771922 0.232053 16.255 < 2e-16 ***
## ethnicitynot minority 0.167872 0.075275 2.230 0.02623 *
## gendermale 0.207112 0.050135 4.131 4.30e-05 ***
## languagenon-english -0.206178 0.103639 -1.989 0.04726 *
## age -0.006046 0.002612 -2.315 0.02108 *
## cls_perc_eval 0.004656 0.001435 3.244 0.00127 **
## cls_creditsone credit 0.505306 0.104119 4.853 1.67e-06 ***
## bty_avg 0.051069 0.016934 3.016 0.00271 **
## pic_colorcolor -0.190579 0.067351 -2.830 0.00487 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.4992 on 454 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.1722, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1576
## F-statistic: 11.8 on 8 and 454 DF, p-value: 2.58e-15Verify that the conditions for this model are reasonable using diagnostic plots.
When we plot the residuals for m_full3, my “best” model, we see that they are not quite normal – still left-skewed. There is no strong pattern to the residuals, which does suggest constant variability. Based on these criteria, we can conclude that conditions for linear modeling are reasonable for these data.
The original paper describes how these data were gathered by taking a sample of professors from the University of Texas at Austin and including all courses that they have taught. Considering that each row represents a course, could this new information have an impact on any of the conditions of linear regression?
Yes. Some professors may be over-represented in the data, if they have taught multiple courses. This also complicates the idea that each evaluation is independent, if a student has taken many courses taught by the same professor and evaluates them similarly, despite the change in course.
Based on your final model, describe the characteristics of a professor and course at University of Texas at Austin that would be associated with a high evaluation score.
A professor associated with a high evaluation score at UT Austin would be:
Would you be comfortable generalizing your conclusions to apply to professors generally (at any university)? Why or why not?
Since these data were collected from just one university, I don’t my conclusions could apply to any university, but perhaps universities similar to UT Austin in size, type endowment, rank, number of tenured professors, etc.
This is a product of OpenIntro that is released under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported. This lab was written by Mine Çetinkaya-Rundel and Andrew Bray.