Expected winning percentage gives a win if you finish in the top half of the league in that category that week and a loss for a bottom half finish. If there is a tie for 4th, a tie is awarded (there can be multiple ties).

The below table is sorted by ‘Expected Winning %’ which is what your winning percentage should be based on how you did against the field each week.

Expected Wins Expected Losses Expected Ties Expected Winning % Actual Wins Actual Losses Actual Ties Actual Winning % Winning % Difference
Erock 105 79 16 0.565 108 76 16 0.580 0.015
Clark 98 84 18 0.535 99 83 18 0.540 0.005
Howell 97 84 19 0.532 87 104 9 0.458 -0.074
Josiah 95 88 17 0.518 106 83 11 0.558 0.040
Justin 91 89 20 0.505 91 94 15 0.492 -0.013
Nic 93 97 10 0.490 91 97 12 0.485 -0.005
Ryan 89 97 14 0.480 91 92 17 0.498 0.018
Waldron 59 122 19 0.342 71 115 14 0.390 0.048

The below table is sorted by ‘Winning % Difference’ which is your ‘Actual Winning %’ minus your ‘Expected Winning %’.

A negative ‘Winning % Difference’ means your getting unlucky, a positive ‘Winning % Difference’ means you’re getting lucky.

(Sorted Unlucky to lucky.)

Expected Wins Expected Losses Expected Ties Expected Winning % Actual Wins Actual Losses Actual Ties Actual Winning % Winning % Difference
Howell 97 84 19 0.532 87 104 9 0.458 -0.074
Justin 91 89 20 0.505 91 94 15 0.492 -0.013
Nic 93 97 10 0.490 91 97 12 0.485 -0.005
Clark 98 84 18 0.535 99 83 18 0.540 0.005
Erock 105 79 16 0.565 108 76 16 0.580 0.015
Ryan 89 97 14 0.480 91 92 17 0.498 0.018
Josiah 95 88 17 0.518 106 83 11 0.558 0.040
Waldron 59 122 19 0.342 71 115 14 0.390 0.048