Tahapan Pengestimasian Direct dan Traditional Indirect Estimation:
library(readxl)
Jatim_pengeluaran <- read_excel("D:/Kuliah/tkt IV/The Journey Start/SAE/Data SAE/Jatim_pengeluaran.xlsx",
col_types = c("text", "text", "numeric",
"text", "text", "numeric", "numeric",
"numeric", "numeric"))
Xnew_ya <- read_excel("D:/Kuliah/tkt IV/The Journey Start/SAE/Data SAE/Xnew ya.xlsx",
sheet = "Sheet2", col_types = c("text", "text", "text", "text", "text", "text",
"numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric",
"numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric",
"numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric",
"numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric",
"numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric",
"numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric"))
muatan <- read_excel("D:/Kuliah/tkt IV/The Journey Start/SAE/Data SAE/muatan.xlsx",
sheet = "Sheet3", col_types = c("text","text", "numeric"))
#variabel_X_signifikan
x7 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X7, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x13 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X13, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x14 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X14, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x18 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X18, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x19 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X19, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x20 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X20, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x21 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X21, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x24 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X24, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x25 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X25, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x34 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X34, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
dt1 <- data.frame(cbind("bs_o"=Jatim_pengeluaran$`No Kode Sampel`,"pop"=Jatim_pengeluaran$Exp_krb,"kab"=Jatim_pengeluaran$R102))
mat_x <- matrix(cbind(1,x7$x,x13$x,x14$x,x18$x,x19$x,x20$x,x21$x,x24$x,x25$x,x34$x),ncol = 11)
# Fungsi Menghitung Jumlah desa
jml_desa <- function(data){
r102 = unique(Jatim_pengeluaran$R102)
de = data.frame(r102)
Peng_jatim <- data.frame(Jatim_pengeluaran)
ds <- list()
for (i in r102){
ds[[i]] <- subset(Peng_jatim, R102 %in% i)
}
bsz <- list()
for(j in r102){
bsz[[j]] <- unique(ds[[j]]$No.Kode.tiga)
}
Ni <- c()
for(k in r102){
Ni[k] <- length(bsz[[k]])
}
Ni <- Ni[-c(30:70)]
N_desa <- data.frame("desa"=Ni)
return(N_desa)
}
Ni_desa <- jml_desa(Jatim_pengeluaran)
Jumlah desa setiap kabupaten/kota:
Ni_desa
## desa
## 1 34
## 2 43
## 3 42
## 4 51
## 5 52
## 6 64
## 7 80
## 8 50
## 9 87
## 10 71
## 11 45
## 12 44
## 13 55
## 14 63
## 15 72
## 16 50
## 17 52
## 18 47
## 19 41
## 20 32
## 21 46
## 22 54
## 23 53
## 24 53
## 25 52
## 26 42
## 27 43
## 28 40
## 29 52
Fungsi Estimasi untuk metode SRS
resampling_srs = function(data, dataX, proporsi,iterasi ){
myDataY = data
prop = proporsi
propinsi <- function(data, prop){
srs_sampling <- function(data, prop){
kab_1= data
samp_rt <- sample(1:length(kab_1$pop), size = prop*length(kab_1$pop), replace = FALSE)
hs_samp_srs <- kab_1[samp_rt,]
hs_samp_srs$pop <- as.numeric(paste(hs_samp_srs$pop))
hs_samp_srs <- data.frame(hs_samp_srs)
est_ybar_srs <- function(data,f){
hs_samp_srs <- data
y_tot_samp <- sum(hs_samp_srs$pop)
n <- length(hs_samp_srs$pop)
y_bar <- y_tot_samp/n
Y_cap_est <- n/f*y_bar
s_kw <- sum((hs_samp_srs$pop - (matrix(y_bar,ncol = 1)))^2)/(n-1)
var_y_bar <- (1-f)*s_kw/n
Var_cap_est <- (n/f)^2*var_y_bar
rel_var_y <- Var_cap_est/Y_cap_est
hasil <- cbind(Y_cap_est,Var_cap_est,rel_var_y)
return(hasil)
}
result = est_ybar_srs(hs_samp_srs, prop)
}
r102 = unique(dt1$kab)
datakoeh = list()
for(b in r102){
datakoeh[[b]] <- subset(dt1, kab %in% b)
}
try_ye <- list()
for(c in r102){
try_ye[[c]] <- srs_sampling(data = datakoeh[[c]], prop = prop)
}
this_it = data.frame()
for (q in r102) {
this_it <- rbind(this_it, try_ye[[q]])
}
this_it = cbind(r102, this_it)
}
#fungsi estimasi synthetic dan composite
Y_synth_comp <- function(x,y,vary){
#synthetic function
xty <- t(x)%*%y
xtx <- t(x)%*%x
bt_xy <- solve(xtx)%*%xty
bt_xy = t(bt_xy)
Y_syn <- c(rep(0,nrow(x)))
for(i in 1: ncol(x)){
Y_syn = Y_syn + x[,i]*bt_xy[,i]
}
Y_syn <- as.data.frame(Y_syn)
mse_syn <- abs(((Y_syn-y)^2)-vary)
rel_mse_syn <- mse_syn/Y_syn
#composite function
tetha_i <- mse_syn/(vary+mse_syn)
tetha_i[tetha_i<0]<-0
tetha_i[tetha_i>1]<-1
Y_comp <- (tetha_i*y) + ((1-tetha_i)*Y_syn)
mse_comp <- (1-tetha_i)*mse_syn
rel_mse_comp <- mse_comp/Y_comp
Syn_Comp <- data.frame(cbind(Y_syn, Y_comp,mse_syn, mse_comp, rel_mse_syn, rel_mse_comp))
colnames(Syn_Comp) = c("Y syn","Y comp", "MSE syn", "MSE comp", "Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE comp")
return(Syn_Comp)
}
dataset = list()
est_dataset = list()
for( j in 1:iterasi){
set.seed(j)
dataset[[j]] = propinsi(myDataY, prop)
est_dataset [[j]] = Y_synth_comp(dataX,dataset[[j]]$Y_cap_est,dataset[[j]]$Var_cap_est)
}
databind = data.frame()
databind_ind = data.frame()
for (b in 1:iterasi) {
databind = rbind(databind, dataset[[b]])
databind_ind = rbind(databind_ind, est_dataset[[b]])
}
datafinal = aggregate(list(databind$Y_cap_est,databind_ind$`Y syn`,databind_ind$`Y comp`,
databind$Var_cap_est,databind_ind$`MSE syn`,databind_ind$`MSE comp`
,databind$rel_var_y,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE syn`,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE comp`),
by=list(databind$r102),
FUN=mean)
colnames(datafinal) = c("kab", "Y dir", "Y syn","Y com", "MSE dir","MSE syn","MSE com",
"Relatif MSE dir","Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE com")
return(datafinal)
}
b. MEnggunakan rumus MSE synthetic yang perbaikan
resampling_srs_2 <- function(data, dataX, Ni, proporsi,iterasi ){
myDataY <- data
prop <- proporsi
propinsi <- function(data, prop){
srs_sampling <- function(data, prop){
kab_1= data
samp_rt <- sample(1:length(kab_1$pop), size = prop*length(kab_1$pop), replace = FALSE)
hs_samp_srs <- kab_1[samp_rt,]
hs_samp_srs$pop <- as.numeric(paste(hs_samp_srs$pop))
hs_samp_srs <- data.frame(hs_samp_srs)
est_ybar_srs <- function(data,f){
hs_samp_srs <- data
y_tot_samp <- sum(hs_samp_srs$pop)
n <- length(hs_samp_srs$pop)
y_bar <- y_tot_samp/n
Y_cap_est <- n/f*y_bar
s_kw <- sum((hs_samp_srs$pop - (matrix(y_bar,ncol = 1)))^2)/(n-1)
var_y_bar <- (1-f)*s_kw/n
Var_cap_est <- (n/f)^2*var_y_bar
rel_var_y <- Var_cap_est/Y_cap_est
hasil <- cbind(Y_cap_est,Var_cap_est,rel_var_y)
return(hasil)
}
result = est_ybar_srs(hs_samp_srs, prop)
}
r102 = unique(dt1$kab)
datakoeh = list()
for(b in r102){
datakoeh[[b]] <- subset(dt1, kab %in% b)
}
try_ye <- list()
for(c in r102){
try_ye[[c]] <- srs_sampling(data = datakoeh[[c]], prop = prop)
}
this_it = data.frame()
for (q in r102) {
this_it <- rbind(this_it, try_ye[[q]])
}
this_it = cbind(r102, this_it)
}
#fungsi estimasi synthetic dan composite
Y_synth_comp <- function(x,y,vary,Ni){
#synthetic function
N <- Ni
xty <- t(x)%*%y
xtx <- t(x)%*%x
bt_xy <- solve(xtx)%*%xty
bt_xy = t(bt_xy)
Y_syn <- c(rep(0,nrow(x)))
for(i in 1: ncol(x)){
Y_syn = Y_syn + x[,i]*bt_xy[,i]
}
Y_syn <- as.data.frame(Y_syn)
var_y_cap_is <- matrix(var(Y_syn),nrow = nrow(N))
Ni_2 <- N^2/nrow(N) #Ni kuadrat*1/m
var_Ysyn_y <- matrix(var(Y_syn - y),nrow = nrow(N))
ht_2 <- 1/N^2*var_Ysyn_y
y_sel <- data.frame((Y_syn - y)^2)
ba_2 <- (1/N^2)*(y_sel)-ht_2
mse_syn <- var_y_cap_is + (Ni_2*ba_2)
rel_mse_syn <- mse_syn/Y_syn
#composite function
tetha_i <- mse_syn/(vary+mse_syn)
tetha_i[tetha_i<0]<-0
tetha_i[tetha_i>1]<-1
Y_comp <- (tetha_i*y) + ((1-tetha_i)*Y_syn)
mse_comp <- (1-tetha_i)*mse_syn
rel_mse_comp <- mse_comp/Y_comp
Syn_Comp <- data.frame(cbind(Y_syn, Y_comp,mse_syn, mse_comp, rel_mse_syn, rel_mse_comp))
colnames(Syn_Comp) = c("Y syn","Y comp", "MSE syn", "MSE comp", "Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE comp")
return(Syn_Comp)
}
dataset = list()
est_dataset = list()
for( j in 1:iterasi){
set.seed(j)
dataset[[j]] = propinsi(myDataY, prop)
est_dataset [[j]] = Y_synth_comp(dataX,dataset[[j]]$Y_cap_est,dataset[[j]]$Var_cap_est,Ni)
}
databind = data.frame()
databind_ind = data.frame()
for (b in 1:iterasi) {
databind = rbind(databind, dataset[[b]])
databind_ind = rbind(databind_ind, est_dataset[[b]])
}
datafinal = aggregate(list(databind$Y_cap_est,databind_ind$`Y syn`,databind_ind$`Y comp`,
databind$Var_cap_est,databind_ind$`MSE syn`,databind_ind$`MSE comp`
,databind$rel_var_y,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE syn`,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE comp`),
by=list(databind$r102),
FUN=mean)
colnames(datafinal) = c("kab", "Y dir", "Y syn","Y com", "MSE dir","MSE syn","MSE com",
"Relatif MSE dir","Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE com")
return(datafinal)
}
Fungsi Estimasi untuk metode One stage Cluster
#Pakai rumus awal
resampling_1st = function(data, dataX, proporsi,iterasi ){
myDataY = data
prop = proporsi
propinsi <- function(data, prop){
cb_sampling <- function(data, prop){
mydata= data
bs_u <-unique(mydata$bs_o)
bs_u <- data.frame(bs_u)
samp_bs <- sample(1:nrow(bs_u), size = prop*nrow(bs_u), replace = FALSE)
sampi= bs_u[samp_bs,]
sampi2 = as.matrix(sampi)
dat = as.matrix(mydata)
hasil = c()
for(i in 1: length(sampi2)){
hasil = rbind(hasil,dat[dat[,1]==sampi[i],])
}
hasil <- data.frame(hasil)
hasil$pop = as.numeric(paste(hasil$pop))
est_ybar_1cs <- function(data,f){
hs_sam <- data
Mi <- data.frame(table(hs_sam$bs_o))
y_bar_i <- aggregate(hs_sam$pop, by=list(hs_sam$bs_o), FUN=mean)
y_bar_n <- (sum(y_bar_i$x*Mi$Freq))/sum(Mi$Freq)
M_bar <- sum(Mi$Freq)/nrow(Mi)
pnyb <- sum((Mi$Freq^2)*((y_bar_i$x-rep(c(y_bar_n),nrow(Mi)))^2))
pmbg <- nrow(Mi)*(M_bar)^2*(nrow(Mi)-1)
var_y_bar_n <- (1-f)*pnyb/pmbg
Y_cap_est <- (nrow(Mi)/f)*M_bar*y_bar_n
Var_cap_est <- ((nrow(Mi)/f)*M_bar)^2*var_y_bar_n
rel_var_y <- Var_cap_est/Y_cap_est
hasil <- cbind(Y_cap_est,Var_cap_est,rel_var_y)
return(hasil)
}
result = est_ybar_1cs(hasil, prop)
}
r102 = unique(dt1$kab)
datakoeh = list()
for(b in r102){
datakoeh[[b]] <- subset(dt1, kab %in% b)
}
try_ye <- list()
for(c in r102){
try_ye[[c]] <- cb_sampling(data = datakoeh[[c]], prop = prop)
}
this_it = data.frame()
for (q in r102) {
this_it <- rbind(this_it, try_ye[[q]])
}
this_it = cbind(r102, this_it)
}
#fungsi estimasi synthetic dan composite
Y_synth_comp <- function(x,y,vary){
#synthetic function
xty <- t(x)%*%y
xtx <- t(x)%*%x
bt_xy <- solve(xtx)%*%xty
bt_xy = t(bt_xy)
Y_syn <- c(rep(0,nrow(x)))
for(i in 1: ncol(x)){
Y_syn = Y_syn + x[,i]*bt_xy[,i]
}
Y_syn <- as.data.frame(Y_syn)
mse_syn <- abs(((Y_syn-y)^2)-vary)
rel_mse_syn <- mse_syn/Y_syn
#composite function
tetha_i <- mse_syn/(vary+mse_syn)
tetha_i[tetha_i<0]<-0
tetha_i[tetha_i>1]<-1
Y_comp <- (tetha_i*y) + ((1-tetha_i)*Y_syn)
mse_comp <- (1-tetha_i)*mse_syn
rel_mse_comp <- mse_comp/Y_comp
Syn_Comp <- data.frame(cbind(Y_syn, Y_comp,mse_syn, mse_comp, rel_mse_syn, rel_mse_comp))
colnames(Syn_Comp) = c("Y syn","Y comp", "MSE syn", "MSE comp", "Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE comp")
return(Syn_Comp)
}
dataset = list()
est_dataset = list()
for( j in 1:iterasi){
set.seed(j)
dataset[[j]] = propinsi(myDataY, prop)
est_dataset [[j]] = Y_synth_comp(dataX,dataset[[j]]$Y_cap_est,dataset[[j]]$Var_cap_est)
}
databind = data.frame()
databind_ind = data.frame()
for (b in 1:iterasi) {
databind = rbind(databind, dataset[[b]])
databind_ind = rbind(databind_ind, est_dataset[[b]])
}
datafinal = aggregate(list(databind$Y_cap_est,databind_ind$`Y syn`,databind_ind$`Y comp`,
databind$Var_cap_est,databind_ind$`MSE syn`,databind_ind$`MSE comp`
,databind$rel_var_y,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE syn`,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE comp`),
by=list(databind$r102),
FUN=mean)
colnames(datafinal) = c("kab", "Y dir", "Y syn","Y com", "MSE dir","MSE syn","MSE com",
"Relatif MSE dir","Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE com")
return(datafinal)
}
b. MEnggunakan rumus MSE synthetic yang perbaikan
resampling_1st_2 <- function(data, dataX, Ni, proporsi,iterasi ){
myDataY <- data
prop <- proporsi
propinsi <- function(data, prop){
cb_sampling <- function(data, prop){
mydata<- data
bs_u <-unique(mydata$bs_o)
bs_u <- data.frame(bs_u)
samp_bs <- sample(1:nrow(bs_u), size = prop*nrow(bs_u), replace = FALSE)
sampi=bs_u[samp_bs,]
sampi2 = as.matrix(sampi)
dat <- as.matrix(mydata)
hasil <- c()
for(i in 1: length(sampi2)){
hasil = rbind(hasil,dat[dat[,1]==sampi[i],])
}
hasil <- data.frame(hasil)
hasil$pop <- as.numeric(paste(hasil$pop))
est_ybar_1cs <- function(data,f){
hs_sam <- data
Mi <- data.frame(table(hs_sam$bs_o))
y_bar_i <- aggregate(hs_sam$pop, by=list(hs_sam$bs_o), FUN=mean)
y_bar_n <- (sum(y_bar_i$x*Mi$Freq))/sum(Mi$Freq)
M_bar <- sum(Mi$Freq)/nrow(Mi)
pnyb <- sum((Mi$Freq^2)*((y_bar_i$x-rep(c(y_bar_n),nrow(Mi)))^2))
pmbg <- nrow(Mi)*(M_bar)^2*(nrow(Mi)-1)
var_y_bar_n <- (1-f)*pnyb/pmbg
Y_cap_est <- (nrow(Mi)/f)*M_bar*y_bar_n
Var_cap_est <- ((nrow(Mi)/f)*M_bar)^2*var_y_bar_n
rel_var_y <- Var_cap_est/Y_cap_est
hasil <- cbind(Y_cap_est,Var_cap_est,rel_var_y)
return(hasil)
}
result <- est_ybar_1cs(hasil, prop)
}
r102 = unique(dt1$kab)
datakoeh = list()
for(b in r102){
datakoeh[[b]] <- subset(dt1, kab %in% b)
}
try_ye <- list()
for(c in r102){
try_ye[[c]] <- cb_sampling(data = datakoeh[[c]], prop = prop)
}
this_it = data.frame()
for (q in r102) {
this_it <- rbind(this_it, try_ye[[q]])
}
this_it = cbind(r102, this_it)
}
#fungsi estimasi synthetic dan composite
Y_synth_comp <- function(x,y,vary,Ni){
#synthetic function
N <- Ni
xty <- t(x)%*%y
xtx <- t(x)%*%x
bt_xy <- solve(xtx)%*%xty
bt_xy = t(bt_xy)
Y_syn <- c(rep(0,nrow(x)))
for(i in 1: ncol(x)){
Y_syn = Y_syn + x[,i]*bt_xy[,i]
}
Y_syn <- as.data.frame(Y_syn)
var_y_cap_is <- matrix(var(Y_syn),nrow = nrow(N))
Ni_2 <- N^2/nrow(N) #Ni kuadrat*1/m
var_Ysyn_y <- matrix(var(Y_syn - y),nrow = nrow(N))
ht_2 <- 1/N^2*var_Ysyn_y
y_sel <- data.frame((Y_syn - y)^2)
ba_2 <- (1/N^2)*(y_sel)-ht_2
mse_syn <- var_y_cap_is + (Ni_2*ba_2)
rel_mse_syn <- mse_syn/Y_syn
#composite function
tetha_i <- mse_syn/(vary+mse_syn)
tetha_i[tetha_i<0]<-0
tetha_i[tetha_i>1]<-1
Y_comp <- (tetha_i*y) + ((1-tetha_i)*Y_syn)
mse_comp <- (1-tetha_i)*mse_syn
rel_mse_comp <- mse_comp/Y_comp
Syn_Comp <- data.frame(cbind(Y_syn, Y_comp,mse_syn, mse_comp, rel_mse_syn, rel_mse_comp))
colnames(Syn_Comp) = c("Y syn","Y comp", "MSE syn", "MSE comp", "Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE comp")
return(Syn_Comp)
}
dataset = list()
est_dataset = list()
for( j in 1:iterasi){
set.seed(j)
dataset[[j]] = propinsi(myDataY, prop)
est_dataset [[j]] = Y_synth_comp(dataX,dataset[[j]]$Y_cap_est,dataset[[j]]$Var_cap_est,Ni)
}
databind = data.frame()
databind_ind = data.frame()
for (b in 1:iterasi) {
databind = rbind(databind, dataset[[b]])
databind_ind = rbind(databind_ind, est_dataset[[b]])
}
datafinal = aggregate(list(databind$Y_cap_est,databind_ind$`Y syn`,databind_ind$`Y comp`,
databind$Var_cap_est,databind_ind$`MSE syn`,databind_ind$`MSE comp`
,databind$rel_var_y,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE syn`,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE comp`),
by=list(databind$r102),
FUN=mean)
colnames(datafinal) = c("kab", "Y dir", "Y syn","Y com", "MSE dir","MSE syn","MSE com",
"Relatif MSE dir","Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE com")
return(datafinal)
}
res_srs_1 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 1, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_1 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 1, iterasi = 10)
res_srs_0.9 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.9, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.9 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.9, iterasi = 10)
res_srs_0.8 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.8, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.8 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.8, iterasi = 10)
res_srs_0.7 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.7, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.7 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.7, iterasi = 10)
res_srs_0.6 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.6, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.6 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.6, iterasi = 10)
res_srs_0.5 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.5, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.5 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.5, iterasi = 10)
res_srs_0.4 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.4, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.4 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.4, iterasi = 10)
res_srs_0.3 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.3, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.3 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.3, iterasi = 10)
res_srs_0.2 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.2, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.2 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.2, iterasi = 10)
res_srs_0.1 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.1, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.1 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.1, iterasi = 10)
res_srs_0.05 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.05, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.05 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.05, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc_1 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 1, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_1 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 1, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc_0.9 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.9, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.9 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa , proporsi = 0.9, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc_0.8 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.8, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.8 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.8, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc_0.7 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.7, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.7 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.7, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc_0.6 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.6, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.6 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.6, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc_0.5 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.5, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.5 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.5, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc_0.4 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.4, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.4 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.4, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc_0.3 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.3, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.3 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.3, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc_0.2 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.2, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.2 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.2, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc_0.1 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.1, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.1 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.1, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc_0.05 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.05, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.05 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.05, iterasi = 10)
MEnggunakan rumus MSE synthetic yang awal
res_srs_1
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1637409 1593637 1637409 0 1915959130 0
## 2 10 2452226 2411973 2452226 0 1620293809 0
## 3 11 1432925 1146047 1432925 0 82299323238 0
## 4 12 1628141 1604098 1628141 0 578061217 0
## 5 13 1660654 1539506 1660654 0 14676947727 0
## 6 14 2677707 2613785 2677707 0 4085950156 0
## 7 15 5059790 4628255 5059790 0 186222104807 0
## 8 16 2702258 2538366 2702258 0 26860745533 0
## 9 17 2063216 2755581 2063216 0 479368784452 0
## 10 18 1802921 2055582 1802921 0 63837560347 0
## 11 19 1893080 2458794 1893080 0 320033300994 0
## 12 2 1631372 1434795 1631372 0 38642737109 0
## 13 20 1933963 1528077 1933963 0 164743829852 0
## 14 21 1543883 2075747 1543883 0 282880026972 0
## 15 22 2024290 1912770 2024290 0 12436499438 0
## 16 23 2145480 1996068 2145480 0 22323787837 0
## 17 24 2721467 2809820 2721467 0 7806205403 0
## 18 25 3923463 3735418 3923463 0 35361064290 0
## 19 26 2049321 1442285 2049321 0 368492681119 0
## 20 27 1850200 1431308 1850200 0 175471128846 0
## 21 28 1632444 1718061 1632444 0 7330251063 0
## 22 29 1945828 1910735 1945828 0 1231521822 0
## 23 3 1794553 2646763 1794553 0 726262701413 0
## 24 4 2297582 2461884 2297582 0 26995005332 0
## 25 5 2083579 2122123 2083579 0 1485661569 0
## 26 6 2526531 2357735 2526531 0 28492221686 0
## 27 7 2716794 3573111 2716794 0 733277373716 0
## 28 71 2297609 2288027 2297609 0 91814618 0
## 29 72 1872873 2049375 1872873 0 31152960873 0
## 30 73 3484448 3408041 3484448 0 5838136073 0
## 31 74 2197198 2010784 2197198 0 34750233064 0
## 32 75 1867766 2087481 1867766 0 48274556977 0
## 33 76 2088732 2024320 2088732 0 4148835200 0
## 34 77 2275392 2420130 2275392 0 20949030793 0
## 35 78 7020112 6437879 7020112 0 338995297458 0
## 36 79 2178314 2013176 2178314 0 27270573971 0
## 37 8 2025630 1700059 2025630 0 105996366605 0
## 38 9 2279804 2477361 2279804 0 39028580079 0
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 0 1202.2555 0
## 2 0 671.7710 0
## 3 0 71811.4957 0
## 4 0 360.3653 0
## 5 0 9533.5455 0
## 6 0 1563.2310 0
## 7 0 40235.9187 0
## 8 0 10581.9061 0
## 9 0 173962.8639 0
## 10 0 31055.7161 0
## 11 0 130158.6221 0
## 12 0 26932.5893 0
## 13 0 107811.2248 0
## 14 0 136278.6447 0
## 15 0 6501.8253 0
## 16 0 11183.8810 0
## 17 0 2778.1870 0
## 18 0 9466.4286 0
## 19 0 255492.3460 0
## 20 0 122594.9822 0
## 21 0 4266.5836 0
## 22 0 644.5279 0
## 23 0 274396.5455 0
## 24 0 10965.1824 0
## 25 0 700.0826 0
## 26 0 12084.5759 0
## 27 0 205221.0163 0
## 28 0 40.1283 0
## 29 0 15201.2016 0
## 30 0 1713.0477 0
## 31 0 17281.9355 0
## 32 0 23125.7447 0
## 33 0 2049.4956 0
## 34 0 8656.1605 0
## 35 0 52656.3659 0
## 36 0 13546.0443 0
## 37 0 62348.6268 0
## 38 0 15754.0973 0
b. f = 90%
res_srs_0.9
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1639645 1593490 1629823 412602892 1945754540 298218109
## 2 10 2448742 2405798 2435746 558933113 1535871205 359297891
## 3 11 1424696 1150670 1423383 359475474 75208305549 357737224
## 4 12 1626781 1603040 1619365 312451600 739164064 199522201
## 5 13 1671636 1536746 1668858 369619060 18141438773 361777468
## 6 14 2671805 2610374 2663911 509027956 3865888984 417990434
## 7 15 5060029 4622922 5054303 2495408994 189784410064 2462553531
## 8 16 2705262 2537113 2701956 553145233 27989973639 542177540
## 9 17 2075237 2749228 2075878 431416856 454007146000 431006012
## 10 18 1799886 2050685 1801322 356447692 62893856457 354344185
## 11 19 1901784 2456735 1902571 436081745 307819712261 435457116
## 12 2 1626993 1434382 1625126 358311689 37058376628 354814434
## 13 20 1910331 1525002 1908389 748352625 148072257266 744574343
## 14 21 1544659 2072841 1545283 328912137 279051620772 328519356
## 15 22 2012153 1909823 2009009 318452694 10242767364 308432031
## 16 23 2149845 1997895 2147083 411248329 23323870604 403430752
## 17 24 2730246 2811013 2740674 781445747 6467259849 630302663
## 18 25 3901724 3731078 3894098 1271688494 28494973841 1211922074
## 19 26 2044183 1440400 2043655 319295581 364341103403 319015604
## 20 27 1849521 1428793 1848736 329924224 176918022389 329308258
## 21 28 1630084 1711282 1634732 362787506 6431083470 340080496
## 22 29 1940372 1905252 1927454 445301383 804103894 272565641
## 23 3 1796391 2638112 1797151 639398742 708127534406 638818491
## 24 4 2298079 2457331 2303589 864639145 24738325554 833431477
## 25 5 2079691 2116729 2092995 502592272 1160354551 276503167
## 26 6 2504788 2346747 2500182 717956135 24726304112 696424673
## 27 7 2715793 3571188 2716311 442484679 731892712660 442215723
## 28 71 2281970 2286330 2280892 1137017536 1484090345 580654078
## 29 72 1879872 2047494 1886728 1141841409 27123564453 1094474002
## 30 73 3474307 3401796 3455071 1519607450 5006650519 1016162909
## 31 74 2211954 2008825 2209623 471662773 40971646033 466213946
## 32 75 1873553 2086031 1876904 699934339 44992781980 688437238
## 33 76 2086433 2023828 2068410 1036605383 3382346304 662039443
## 34 77 2260723 2416265 2269816 1366657123 23498190152 1280075667
## 35 78 6996316 6419508 6989046 4187441855 329276011493 4134526363
## 36 79 2169537 2011272 2165364 656522720 24676221337 639038957
## 37 8 2016894 1698681 2015454 457432478 101445418273 455353872
## 38 9 2276090 2473305 2277983 371617836 38714800614 368005918
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 251.5982 1223.6252 182.4606
## 2 228.2285 638.6411 147.1882
## 3 252.0423 65392.6674 251.0552
## 4 191.8945 461.2325 122.9493
## 5 221.0196 11818.6863 216.6842
## 6 190.4751 1483.1892 156.7245
## 7 492.9748 41042.7497 487.0287
## 8 204.4129 11034.2494 200.6018
## 9 207.8904 165134.3752 207.6283
## 10 197.8960 30670.1503 196.5725
## 11 229.2193 125285.8913 228.7961
## 12 220.1055 25836.9712 218.2045
## 13 391.5852 97104.6031 390.0042
## 14 212.8522 134625.7085 212.5123
## 15 158.2159 5367.7652 153.4784
## 16 191.1425 11678.8010 187.7397
## 17 286.1830 2297.8619 230.3533
## 18 325.8618 7632.9816 311.1061
## 19 156.1854 252930.6434 156.0888
## 20 178.3553 123821.7937 178.0978
## 21 222.4542 3758.7396 207.9851
## 22 229.2562 422.9093 141.3044
## 23 355.8431 268417.2131 355.3698
## 24 376.1101 10067.1569 361.6853
## 25 241.6447 548.9931 132.5869
## 26 286.4884 10532.4354 278.3889
## 27 162.9127 204919.9569 162.7826
## 28 497.7468 649.7671 254.8185
## 29 607.3913 13246.1684 580.1069
## 30 437.3156 1474.5863 293.4881
## 31 213.2254 20403.3036 210.9833
## 32 373.4618 21562.4733 366.6876
## 33 496.6062 1672.1582 318.6364
## 34 604.0312 9741.1743 563.6779
## 35 598.4531 51272.9022 591.5010
## 36 302.5004 12267.4138 295.0004
## 37 226.6530 59751.4518 225.7836
## 38 163.2120 15645.4866 161.4923
c. f = 80%
res_srs_0.8
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1645708 1592564 1627378 976061242 2092355398 592811027
## 2 10 2435226 2402835 2423057 1266060221 1576991789 612195125
## 3 11 1417544 1140239 1414813 759791092 76750247287 752255111
## 4 12 1619709 1597147 1609616 672626730 1001701716 311614587
## 5 13 1667849 1544167 1660802 849459673 14978941887 798684104
## 6 14 2656217 2612721 2638827 1111588507 2118905820 537338535
## 7 15 5055884 4625945 5042975 5537685622 180529125410 5370639981
## 8 16 2693060 2537617 2684681 1221361980 24194588828 1144177753
## 9 17 2079109 2753700 2080606 1007209806 454789974895 1004951663
## 10 18 1799820 2055935 1802997 802759811 65273286930 792398092
## 11 19 1890108 2457258 1891812 962853964 321344331060 959914778
## 12 2 1632567 1436096 1628244 848022030 37909097245 829241419
## 13 20 1915554 1525365 1911269 1670431779 152417445122 1651975137
## 14 21 1529614 2072870 1530904 694637569 295275104160 692928919
## 15 22 2020044 1926758 2011762 745329386 8296982575 674445895
## 16 23 2151955 2000997 2145700 935214927 22139297522 895595670
## 17 24 2742344 2820391 2766243 1891033459 5497809698 1136671031
## 18 25 3929982 3739064 3913758 2956103567 35392497167 2681904468
## 19 26 2060018 1442098 2058807 748138751 381624363733 746671082
## 20 27 1855199 1428880 1853549 706998291 181864623257 704212282
## 21 28 1642443 1717001 1656404 840736715 5875130021 576936403
## 22 29 1947494 1911699 1920415 1025584673 349796252 225136528
## 23 3 1787227 2650209 1788885 1428627454 743692813020 1425828493
## 24 4 2283567 2459001 2294980 1819145481 30514900063 1666319550
## 25 5 2066832 2116844 2079631 1097880125 2996713751 580632609
## 26 6 2548006 2356518 2538750 1746186828 35645771786 1659494678
## 27 7 2729297 3566466 2730496 1002859219 700560184337 1001414529
## 28 71 2282563 2283184 2278796 2595853137 2052910096 1025657751
## 29 72 1862525 2044956 1876613 2348898155 32582211351 2119090076
## 30 73 3497777 3413301 3475241 3436373841 8711805087 2166083448
## 31 74 2203477 2005111 2198114 1052049629 38935691429 1023040672
## 32 75 1856654 2082170 1863709 1553818952 50218071943 1502490717
## 33 76 2104881 2024822 2079706 2511026683 6521670929 1452320403
## 34 77 2267975 2419386 2287769 3158079572 23160315233 2547128093
## 35 78 7008088 6431018 6991778 9395957043 324948406830 9129265572
## 36 79 2178801 2008243 2169988 1472386742 28580406061 1393311223
## 37 8 2034193 1693682 2030966 1095018795 115563831377 1084536633
## 38 9 2267550 2470600 2271807 856306499 40752451437 837846074
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 592.9973 1323.4578 364.0816
## 2 519.5471 656.7445 251.9873
## 3 534.5119 67236.0969 530.2366
## 4 414.5378 630.2629 192.9041
## 5 509.1301 9720.1673 480.6485
## 6 418.3160 812.4471 202.4255
## 7 1094.8669 39013.0306 1064.5276
## 8 453.5104 9534.7270 425.9269
## 9 484.3621 165132.0985 482.9287
## 10 445.7092 31749.6584 439.1915
## 11 509.2515 130793.3927 507.2399
## 12 519.0599 26377.5587 508.9059
## 13 870.5807 99985.5213 862.8751
## 14 453.3697 142441.4423 451.8721
## 15 368.8770 4319.7429 335.1164
## 16 434.2955 11065.3764 417.0892
## 17 689.4469 1945.3550 412.5926
## 18 752.0203 9457.3151 684.6748
## 19 363.1009 264736.3278 362.6015
## 20 380.0233 127270.1716 378.8711
## 21 511.5822 3407.0318 350.3679
## 22 526.1517 184.3386 117.5610
## 23 798.8425 280581.1949 796.5285
## 24 794.4199 12412.2587 724.6603
## 25 530.9654 1411.5002 281.0914
## 26 685.0310 15125.0399 653.2948
## 27 367.3275 196387.1333 366.6372
## 28 1135.1828 898.2572 449.9697
## 29 1254.8329 15947.2166 1124.0842
## 30 981.5639 2552.8168 620.2858
## 31 477.3626 19421.3394 465.3048
## 32 836.5195 24105.0851 805.9083
## 33 1191.8297 3224.4884 690.7865
## 34 1388.1143 9579.9798 1113.3556
## 35 1340.1487 50484.6597 1305.1154
## 36 675.0185 14235.0215 641.2155
## 37 538.0608 68229.8230 533.7519
## 38 377.3455 16478.7812 368.5244
d. f = 70%
res_srs_0.7
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1643881 1595362 1618894 1622588981 1743956523 689670120
## 2 10 2454053 2411037 2435509 2178758933 2910571561 1046210150
## 3 11 1428070 1149138 1422918 1424457696 78441589399 1397344030
## 4 12 1621592 1603737 1612683 1179845882 969801238 436994718
## 5 13 1665403 1529078 1654727 1445342372 17709448129 1330557821
## 6 14 2685167 2618372 2659340 2071190263 3550649355 1168430238
## 7 15 5099625 4643864 5077510 9973573254 200140573218 9477100159
## 8 16 2715274 2545414 2701632 2179055532 28369577483 1977290569
## 9 17 2062208 2758272 2064685 1711477778 484114913787 1705198729
## 10 18 1786843 2054020 1792124 1343204801 72352702880 1313199403
## 11 19 1902824 2461785 1905861 1664211653 313163414744 1654391710
## 12 2 1627504 1435618 1620303 1368032478 36499963278 1315181017
## 13 20 1913432 1529438 1905843 2909724793 147974536855 2851656301
## 14 21 1557687 2075540 1560290 1338112577 268005265219 1331221873
## 15 22 2038808 1906684 2028698 1295858085 16893000159 1191012780
## 16 23 2132065 2000547 2117879 1660162187 17824042825 1436945530
## 17 24 2734818 2822265 2769174 3116137345 6209063615 1584945239
## 18 25 3919113 3749444 3888567 4957251641 25220607185 3982320356
## 19 26 2056631 1439708 2054571 1270767310 379726053889 1266518547
## 20 27 1844927 1425997 1842006 1226402744 174530628745 1217706189
## 21 28 1611383 1709118 1625678 1375821733 9986840605 1066624816
## 22 29 1940356 1906691 1914375 1723219890 569621244 409398759
## 23 3 1801348 2635274 1804236 2404572199 693885694321 2396046531
## 24 4 2277542 2465073 2295870 2938654749 34922252222 2491245240
## 25 5 2087355 2120345 2100179 1789265153 2728855659 847254371
## 26 6 2522193 2350030 2504724 2934768773 27800030270 2621941225
## 27 7 2724056 3580307 2726034 1683851971 733104071891 1679858334
## 28 71 2306827 2289351 2299779 4418263187 3321825081 1585550108
## 29 72 1869998 2048171 1897509 4187568323 30537624902 3135107344
## 30 73 3435235 3392898 3415762 5542281367 5436426725 2374766963
## 31 74 2230205 2010884 2221562 1871189991 47105338235 1795663544
## 32 75 1867802 2088762 1880384 2638612106 47833391131 2465957147
## 33 76 2083869 2018570 2046386 4125035732 3709740249 1616919873
## 34 77 2270481 2413903 2312854 5380327785 20261192965 2880974582
## 35 78 7002638 6424022 6974843 15977118311 322073719561 15198932477
## 36 79 2186782 2012398 2172177 2502222142 29154256406 2285914436
## 37 8 2008337 1703533 2002660 1717159402 92936962344 1684602070
## 38 9 2275596 2467275 2283850 1518760043 36556786607 1447112514
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 984.3318 1092.2116 422.7624
## 2 886.6673 1200.9601 426.5007
## 3 995.4105 68897.8924 980.0018
## 4 724.4223 606.0178 270.1780
## 5 865.7438 11560.1791 801.8347
## 6 770.6868 1354.0107 437.4961
## 7 1955.0143 43068.3529 1865.5947
## 8 801.8350 11159.0498 730.7876
## 9 828.5095 175550.3964 824.4805
## 10 749.5867 35210.9396 730.7769
## 11 871.1421 127255.5033 864.6281
## 12 838.2944 25412.3452 809.3617
## 13 1514.9826 96760.9690 1490.5404
## 14 858.5525 129070.1129 852.7125
## 15 635.0712 8868.6559 586.3643
## 16 777.9868 8988.4108 676.9646
## 17 1137.1334 2203.9962 574.7735
## 18 1264.0022 6724.2021 1021.9091
## 19 617.8113 263807.0962 616.3632
## 20 664.1645 122451.2529 660.5233
## 21 852.2310 5844.1038 659.3054
## 22 886.2390 297.4537 213.0019
## 23 1334.6376 263219.8271 1327.7415
## 24 1283.6661 14180.0239 1082.1557
## 25 856.1152 1286.8756 404.7581
## 26 1162.5154 11814.3209 1045.4077
## 27 616.9691 204926.1656 615.0610
## 28 1907.8521 1454.0575 685.4247
## 29 2230.2291 14931.0507 1663.1631
## 30 1610.1012 1596.8552 690.9913
## 31 838.6404 23438.6297 807.8265
## 32 1411.8555 22883.5332 1311.6117
## 33 1974.1940 1841.2796 784.7492
## 34 2360.6371 8388.6957 1263.9992
## 35 2280.2499 50096.4714 2177.6927
## 36 1142.2408 14480.7412 1050.0020
## 37 853.9703 54597.1943 840.1040
## 38 666.9854 14763.9469 633.3087
e. f = 60%
res_srs_0.6
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1660144 1601793 1630505 2728017706 2787402669 1230372626
## 2 10 2456833 2432239 2435886 3340898199 1609925877 962402613
## 3 11 1441195 1137873 1433546 2319806346 91996996319 2259407221
## 4 12 1628333 1611438 1621258 1681187897 1992898106 765208777
## 5 13 1645861 1532011 1626805 2046494518 12317933582 1646258574
## 6 14 2657402 2618139 2639696 2972297779 4124848495 1340517348
## 7 15 5072784 4618384 5039139 15162100533 198686284873 14019782283
## 8 16 2720515 2523622 2698699 3732750519 37475044439 3115442684
## 9 17 2038517 2748775 2041976 2440215885 503194509682 2427972445
## 10 18 1793347 2057438 1801563 2145055819 68080372921 2075147478
## 11 19 1891623 2440682 1896454 2626766250 299765256948 2602110701
## 12 2 1619041 1426362 1607204 2218254686 36337106016 2073793016
## 13 20 1924025 1530564 1912632 4479799630 153216627123 4349301571
## 14 21 1536750 2061549 1540319 1842148356 275401802618 1828771692
## 15 22 2039237 1932686 2019419 2080113825 12864788809 1443166389
## 16 23 2119516 2014733 2093676 2465050368 9885569812 1749741655
## 17 24 2731205 2834002 2766102 4714938539 8682537533 2806679629
## 18 25 3969053 3762436 3926992 8265016805 36539612548 6398178158
## 19 26 2040955 1432279 2037778 1929409504 370491034536 1919245353
## 20 27 1859522 1436505 1854638 2065642820 178667914471 2041373714
## 21 28 1652919 1722983 1680888 2401285913 4987402471 1116088363
## 22 29 1922170 1893767 1904459 2536612022 1698455683 1003614812
## 23 3 1823233 2650067 1828031 3885214504 683124364358 3859918428
## 24 4 2286894 2450458 2323930 5221635516 27092278566 2946126371
## 25 5 2040312 2105458 2067155 2754425830 4374922145 1380106927
## 26 6 2557100 2350748 2534900 4570370983 38497812406 4072612083
## 27 7 2683785 3532851 2686806 2550015474 721200474618 2540699899
## 28 71 2302109 2277982 2287338 6945127117 5109168676 2866480698
## 29 72 1868969 2042940 1913324 7211979511 34947141351 3568147573
## 30 73 3492302 3372848 3431812 9491296008 10838159617 4045862335
## 31 74 2174407 2006775 2158384 2622470618 26287297455 2358083904
## 32 75 1893589 2081463 1920685 4438112400 34016012043 3551231406
## 33 76 2069063 2020501 2042383 5832433472 5286926777 2483909295
## 34 77 2201092 2402031 2234381 6759351994 38259284201 5017313682
## 35 78 6887210 6339656 6842124 24533508581 277223325621 22485295202
## 36 79 2163639 2008406 2139840 3893065346 22581454820 3182223857
## 37 8 2028385 1708024 2019448 2863374050 100436436587 2781756179
## 38 9 2279722 2452291 2294972 2340627461 29544754542 2061938567
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 1636.5105 1739.4636 749.5531
## 2 1359.1562 658.1726 393.4883
## 3 1598.6279 80800.3871 1565.2560
## 4 1028.6628 1246.4115 470.0281
## 5 1236.7604 8121.2053 1006.4718
## 6 1116.0622 1579.1923 504.3325
## 7 2978.3373 42828.0725 2770.9442
## 8 1371.5304 14893.4706 1149.6285
## 9 1196.1218 182977.1483 1188.0893
## 10 1194.7594 33080.8548 1150.6206
## 11 1383.5017 122859.9478 1366.9668
## 12 1366.9634 25527.9294 1286.7513
## 13 2321.3763 100093.4144 2266.9530
## 14 1194.5676 133591.4805 1183.1705
## 15 1019.4170 6754.3727 710.5726
## 16 1162.0044 4939.7294 832.3088
## 17 1718.7869 3068.9720 1014.1363
## 18 2080.9313 9732.7375 1624.9903
## 19 944.8985 259102.3008 941.3860
## 20 1109.0035 124423.2476 1098.8710
## 21 1450.1110 2910.1295 674.4285
## 22 1314.7256 891.9762 524.2435
## 23 2118.7394 257693.0985 2099.1828
## 24 2266.4220 11071.7164 1286.2231
## 25 1348.3341 2067.7735 669.8733
## 26 1785.2940 16374.8805 1604.6243
## 27 948.8528 204070.5332 944.3236
## 28 3008.0884 2237.5923 1249.4721
## 29 3793.8312 17257.4542 1896.3049
## 30 2716.2627 3221.0229 1171.5579
## 31 1204.5750 13082.7120 1090.5490
## 32 2338.6865 16303.4392 1855.1497
## 33 2800.1510 2620.9359 1209.8383
## 34 3058.7495 15945.9195 2252.7782
## 35 3562.3220 43715.9226 3286.1437
## 36 1796.2520 11286.4270 1482.5386
## 37 1408.4359 58792.3360 1374.4543
## 38 1021.8843 12080.0252 895.8863
f. f = 50%
res_srs_0.5
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1647790 1612215 1624218 3724593071 3284521790 1395584391
## 2 10 2490268 2421108 2446662 5275031280 3949232022 1835134964
## 3 11 1445734 1151961 1432754 3801284876 83714841590 3623205445
## 4 12 1658525 1612871 1637934 3154996020 4005220006 1485353606
## 5 13 1662477 1522516 1636617 3140494054 18976221142 2296011552
## 6 14 2654094 2608131 2627616 4186108656 3527587447 1695336218
## 7 15 5090472 4634942 5042947 21494618766 190587402880 19182924795
## 8 16 2710141 2520635 2679929 5403452850 33152927391 4438668997
## 9 17 2038316 2738949 2043606 3641760592 491039192160 3612100547
## 10 18 1773416 2038420 1785422 2996994437 69496808743 2835562426
## 11 19 1899683 2454668 1907279 4121605820 306082422298 4059415488
## 12 2 1647859 1432078 1630325 3540853472 46101517138 3207454592
## 13 20 1899351 1515601 1883023 6239147991 142719835226 5964210662
## 14 21 1542914 2075179 1548447 2888953614 282440066164 2856527908
## 15 22 2007738 1887175 1980104 2971391928 14144044784 2104521705
## 16 23 2133783 1996555 2102148 3700064376 19189260508 2558345451
## 17 24 2707547 2793279 2748427 6782830190 7642149358 3126651111
## 18 25 3909498 3739421 3844731 11759106736 19312010232 7007116020
## 19 26 2049242 1430918 2044738 2794086602 381900447366 2773736961
## 20 27 1844384 1436164 1837421 2833513024 165784250634 2783037116
## 21 28 1616493 1708296 1648726 3238747694 7459235178 1724160363
## 22 29 1961191 1927108 1940952 4553398341 3334831521 1908859461
## 23 3 1815508 2655002 1822127 5398087433 704423761298 5347964397
## 24 4 2296864 2454337 2344660 8169285895 29382382907 3831688788
## 25 5 2081647 2116751 2097720 4221912139 4684197528 1714867745
## 26 6 2487171 2328299 2445818 6152317285 21204117080 4315208871
## 27 7 2690675 3578419 2694994 3809764604 786200474208 3790571444
## 28 71 2312495 2292833 2302469 10578229492 7599817859 4339927145
## 29 72 1907161 2053593 1946267 10564869726 31799304505 5259911999
## 30 73 3451021 3406685 3429937 12917720335 11605847519 5347816296
## 31 74 2181376 2015888 2156373 3906756739 24912948610 3226001410
## 32 75 1869744 2092362 1897921 6113297412 44319822217 5280247606
## 33 76 2120790 2030048 2063820 9933373103 7481543517 3549118571
## 34 77 2266642 2418028 2337279 13170069420 17119284136 5826722755
## 35 78 7038491 6442921 6972738 39055296306 317795583567 34695543404
## 36 79 2147097 2017701 2111039 5169618744 18513556846 3079088524
## 37 8 2022494 1710140 2008957 4208828887 94354097650 4024111017
## 38 9 2274256 2483151 2291378 3523456609 41149541010 3221606586
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 2239.747 2049.736 850.9196
## 2 2115.998 1638.398 746.3772
## 3 2614.338 72885.036 2515.5958
## 4 1896.038 2479.085 899.1341
## 5 1874.223 12720.539 1392.7287
## 6 1576.791 1358.910 645.3083
## 7 4209.930 40951.050 3790.5093
## 8 1990.788 13199.300 1650.4775
## 9 1781.073 179177.819 1761.9925
## 10 1683.342 34065.039 1582.5789
## 11 2159.641 124712.365 2118.5099
## 12 2139.854 32234.354 1954.2214
## 13 3282.016 94258.225 3164.8900
## 14 1865.567 136086.054 1838.0071
## 15 1477.430 7528.028 1053.6048
## 16 1731.721 9650.875 1205.5872
## 17 2500.979 2731.017 1139.2202
## 18 3004.634 5166.410 1818.9234
## 19 1361.017 267430.859 1354.0867
## 20 1534.458 115718.969 1512.9903
## 21 1996.933 4373.187 1050.6087
## 22 2307.873 1716.765 976.4388
## 23 2934.442 265912.016 2896.6116
## 24 3517.466 11940.407 1647.5480
## 25 2016.526 2218.793 820.4705
## 26 2464.483 9038.260 1743.1289
## 27 1412.631 219754.655 1403.2601
## 28 4535.920 3315.582 1877.0984
## 29 5455.228 15500.586 2728.8533
## 30 3729.069 3394.697 1546.3785
## 31 1789.753 12348.225 1491.0043
## 32 3265.918 21215.166 2780.4509
## 33 4664.615 3696.878 1704.3655
## 34 5807.245 7093.185 2534.7531
## 35 5545.604 49316.148 4972.8479
## 36 2400.905 9195.263 1431.4513
## 37 2079.839 55186.003 2001.7619
## 38 1544.117 16480.715 1401.4181
g. f = 40%
res_srs_0.4
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1639146 1599797 1608187 5443243449 4090677834 2056423704
## 2 10 2428342 2398987 2406787 7525727556 4680955796 2702923582
## 3 11 1421044 1119967 1404445 4953099129 88974330785 4645309836
## 4 12 1645510 1590511 1615952 4294737077 3492489011 1477317059
## 5 13 1646941 1525644 1613243 4563310843 13604746568 2954829784
## 6 14 2643210 2609702 2624651 6839068922 5396783682 2927093931
## 7 15 5089881 4640779 5017156 31580189475 180652555788 26018264260
## 8 16 2699259 2545438 2649447 7140894094 18936065330 4494235710
## 9 17 2103391 2770604 2113030 6309696386 442207997057 6210346302
## 10 18 1798513 2064647 1818888 4994956884 70627138811 4525474616
## 11 19 1912944 2468026 1924207 6085981460 304472537992 5945329572
## 12 2 1616379 1445576 1587488 5004160705 27473834556 3968791659
## 13 20 1964728 1539193 1939043 10742672330 181701735760 10072347181
## 14 21 1558010 2082673 1566589 4441079743 273573561753 4364940918
## 15 22 2037153 1917506 2001274 4683679490 13159121648 2900090109
## 16 23 2159765 1988382 2126576 5630856992 30589402739 4130820583
## 17 24 2738632 2814194 2789397 13006348229 8419367557 4806691333
## 18 25 3914482 3750299 3846811 17493017952 24810018787 9312008159
## 19 26 2037526 1447368 2030659 4041711056 349854710108 3994077521
## 20 27 1858967 1425790 1848389 4621035934 186555265484 4502592675
## 21 28 1674576 1723372 1688285 5861939397 9582125833 2920093064
## 22 29 1949496 1913518 1928461 6359975095 4976519221 2766314779
## 23 3 1800700 2654232 1810941 8625004203 723556387337 8507783468
## 24 4 2332162 2475847 2369693 12530857058 31078596723 7109609231
## 25 5 2089678 2129427 2094620 7284634927 10703589455 3644977947
## 26 6 2509895 2371816 2461268 10490670916 19573791574 5951648126
## 27 7 2686638 3558236 2693351 5677452304 765825555703 5628740794
## 28 71 2281221 2292096 2265979 15460037496 15416824341 6520565408
## 29 72 1864165 2052030 1923920 14877418811 37480754070 7265142465
## 30 73 3464787 3405483 3441482 19714495323 14573585437 7443531738
## 31 74 2204430 2013841 2169380 6073045390 34179871879 4729741109
## 32 75 1883371 2091038 1932664 9198873993 40300425028 5986891667
## 33 76 2071423 2017064 2026615 14082361390 10562825604 5285325561
## 34 77 2296594 2426753 2347178 20713766855 29211419162 9912722354
## 35 78 7047537 6450139 6956393 53455155570 314089034662 44930757903
## 36 79 2150024 2015734 2104213 8810814864 20385021795 5105043380
## 37 8 2016054 1698713 1996415 6095656771 103416669411 5699333305
## 38 9 2249080 2451233 2275352 5050199738 37010766018 4224378326
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 3257.567 2559.762 1269.9246
## 2 3074.626 1917.947 1106.3328
## 3 3446.725 80721.798 3274.5369
## 4 2608.601 2217.683 907.7832
## 5 2732.622 9120.223 1812.0862
## 6 2576.162 2068.341 1112.6389
## 7 6188.974 38805.394 5163.8483
## 8 2641.130 7452.494 1681.7459
## 9 2990.157 159503.754 2929.8414
## 10 2771.281 34020.387 2485.8864
## 11 3164.724 123386.208 3073.2868
## 12 3080.588 19011.168 2472.9727
## 13 5432.638 118649.366 5155.8382
## 14 2850.138 131281.311 2786.0063
## 15 2293.257 7002.945 1440.4704
## 16 2600.349 15865.690 1930.6500
## 17 4744.600 3010.232 1730.4513
## 18 4461.794 6614.671 2403.3783
## 19 1978.341 241990.981 1961.5763
## 20 2470.047 131252.986 2421.1825
## 21 3485.920 5516.839 1737.1915
## 22 3242.110 2584.006 1424.9207
## 23 4750.211 272384.646 4657.9112
## 24 5307.812 12533.045 3005.7839
## 25 3457.236 4992.526 1740.8434
## 26 4167.614 8205.307 2377.7913
## 27 2104.977 214924.978 2081.8447
## 28 6688.026 6725.940 2866.5281
## 29 7852.080 18411.322 3781.5449
## 30 5668.903 4251.234 2141.0646
## 31 2742.386 16976.527 2153.1910
## 32 4869.658 19274.954 3146.5950
## 33 6698.622 5232.033 2590.7009
## 34 8982.216 12052.243 4254.3375
## 35 7566.377 48385.666 6433.4624
## 36 4076.026 10065.463 2376.3297
## 37 3002.422 61350.072 2832.6733
## 38 2219.157 15177.169 1841.6497
h. f = 30%
res_srs_0.3
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1637855 1545692 1594866 7731218522 14977142552 3383428674
## 2 10 2451322 2420704 2425831 11574250917 6421704273 3598688044
## 3 11 1472349 1169425 1440114 9564118556 86538974280 8384278427
## 4 12 1610597 1621733 1603418 5990833964 5323928488 2255700279
## 5 13 1625189 1555334 1581504 6624632290 4761200342 2298816493
## 6 14 2736087 2620717 2678447 11550507242 15020794222 5150174716
## 7 15 5011666 4614578 4880822 50297005611 128783354642 32600311680
## 8 16 2741231 2573785 2683457 12346561401 25210505453 7362549050
## 9 17 2046884 2774024 2059881 8725450696 532206831335 8507757414
## 10 18 1812616 2082899 1836288 7601603665 81297656886 5997922434
## 11 19 1854336 2460283 1872239 9250171390 374191380108 8753915098
## 12 2 1594491 1406994 1553169 7064397210 36534434334 4848406590
## 13 20 1964997 1547437 1919282 19048765951 176298495755 16921317192
## 14 21 1535212 2069029 1547299 6242397827 281868081615 6077091202
## 15 22 2024436 1923871 1978802 6846640926 9203887384 3249959898
## 16 23 2116839 2002064 2078938 8206170664 15149480003 3953543069
## 17 24 2705856 2809107 2745279 13736724849 18060831344 7102414641
## 18 25 3940590 3706482 3857957 28515681161 54502552884 16573942598
## 19 26 2038506 1448443 2028215 6054422737 345271262193 5946825947
## 20 27 1857134 1429109 1842071 6515853257 180767701949 6274090310
## 21 28 1649979 1725207 1655548 7378167744 17977004563 3722391451
## 22 29 1965844 1930171 1946578 11792621900 10442018220 5529406747
## 23 3 1701826 2615753 1713945 10811162796 831627264405 10625012059
## 24 4 2344889 2463791 2392857 21156790176 25985059942 9433095705
## 25 5 2084277 2123984 2110463 9615374541 7312001573 3809720505
## 26 6 2627202 2395574 2555660 19383965644 52706473365 12601820454
## 27 7 2725181 3570795 2737065 9670465994 719926075829 9518081824
## 28 71 2360925 2301000 2328798 26573691197 18273077709 10447067004
## 29 72 1904076 2065747 1974326 29547964091 40887034907 11657480740
## 30 73 3573034 3413523 3498561 36297419915 46251980695 15526208300
## 31 74 2172191 2026282 2117640 9380595713 20265443785 5178267447
## 32 75 1884806 2102695 1943211 13948617537 54727719521 8002028323
## 33 76 2148448 2047458 2102773 22610117511 24539618832 11431108527
## 34 77 2281597 2430990 2336099 31724586462 42351840474 15455722765
## 35 78 6960985 6404181 6790683 92107509289 234671358966 61962539001
## 36 79 2101822 2030118 2090385 10598549429 18311021490 5412149697
## 37 8 2038467 1685532 2009159 10199560383 122072270707 9312807077
## 38 9 2301909 2491141 2342865 8478556563 31047821995 6240155500
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 4626.349 10228.718 2086.394
## 2 4670.436 2650.633 1481.438
## 3 6436.834 74972.378 5778.882
## 4 3670.238 3276.113 1414.281
## 5 4026.538 3064.192 1448.034
## 6 4200.381 5743.676 1897.816
## 7 9941.353 27419.474 6540.738
## 8 4484.447 9842.081 2718.826
## 9 4202.017 191835.674 4072.227
## 10 4125.725 39057.205 3270.558
## 11 4860.424 152411.527 4566.011
## 12 4405.378 26528.672 3066.184
## 13 9522.132 114799.567 8636.170
## 14 4042.292 136136.829 3903.900
## 15 3363.829 4797.410 1623.003
## 16 3859.769 7746.251 1897.210
## 17 5022.495 6399.068 2568.819
## 18 7199.382 14700.465 4229.933
## 19 2962.981 239119.920 2925.183
## 20 3476.721 126583.092 3376.850
## 21 4424.261 10182.633 2256.066
## 22 5952.288 5358.596 2815.842
## 23 6271.464 317217.673 6112.117
## 24 8952.478 10543.445 3938.825
## 25 4583.617 3458.692 1809.499
## 26 7209.340 21515.084 4735.006
## 27 3534.978 201263.051 3464.314
## 28 11090.766 7907.541 4450.063
## 29 15193.886 20023.434 5877.721
## 30 10125.625 13490.419 4334.274
## 31 4295.072 10008.174 2401.784
## 32 7320.907 25935.640 4157.290
## 33 10379.825 11921.392 5345.042
## 34 13693.186 17465.717 6599.419
## 35 13163.185 36246.567 9019.790
## 36 4961.542 9064.329 2515.850
## 37 4969.379 72562.412 4599.340
## 38 3660.054 12390.259 2646.948
i. f = 20%
res_srs_0.2
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1657628 1598530 1615162 14992358277 13741462518 5957301970
## 2 10 2428519 2382360 2397592 20790131645 14856815584 8393352737
## 3 11 1459112 1084822 1420745 14216690167 138165896810 12328190505
## 4 12 1607887 1558345 1583820 10092932338 8984794309 4296205285
## 5 13 1603466 1531015 1569234 10779051230 9369964554 4752120211
## 6 14 2636564 2578730 2604822 15836578258 12812081412 6552704412
## 7 15 4941267 4560006 4758212 76664588025 91560240607 37079226546
## 8 16 2651366 2522249 2593749 17165093526 20641318887 7799904018
## 9 17 2146222 2767990 2176007 16295769651 387947882737 15024300964
## 10 18 1756590 2067812 1806723 14705314821 85836444065 11813403935
## 11 19 1865950 2447621 1891108 13639632072 336490743893 12849821037
## 12 2 1686283 1470769 1623727 16309925764 43712473742 10763203089
## 13 20 1921329 1548590 1855760 25124178871 137465125313 20527006509
## 14 21 1569853 2078077 1593273 10538793803 258832175165 9728321352
## 15 22 2090251 1938593 2034061 13038781314 28836377806 6534033157
## 16 23 2109654 1955210 2052277 15214638630 26410061766 8376624551
## 17 24 2673974 2790022 2697706 33031703021 49205627213 16613955281
## 18 25 3948518 3701386 3807776 51193863087 48435456102 19620144335
## 19 26 2033465 1468876 2010453 12863674140 318956899554 12311547904
## 20 27 1817570 1421422 1787529 12427354482 155133838869 11412798869
## 21 28 1642896 1742988 1699793 14532472375 12764840920 6041497821
## 22 29 1914891 1876974 1894256 17015760563 15465508435 8083837047
## 23 3 1715667 2636825 1734271 16067449542 838985688059 15506044993
## 24 4 2351761 2472223 2346893 39412803714 72711572982 19440677857
## 25 5 2133974 2132681 2129206 17656296463 15717762325 7492182005
## 26 6 2599753 2393483 2477498 32628762578 24588781635 12530734017
## 27 7 2608659 3499232 2625278 14061873167 796454221484 13734993636
## 28 71 2246178 2254804 2246302 28176945017 14856173649 8321741452
## 29 72 1836563 2019573 1896708 31825572066 58903056536 14528919924
## 30 73 3509588 3354595 3445299 55635343591 58625914117 26324340467
## 31 74 2233878 1983530 2164766 17259469136 67465704128 11392716237
## 32 75 1781941 2056838 1840687 21138862774 93141318651 12528603435
## 33 76 2031667 1966742 1990944 32732210237 23331660579 12935160786
## 34 77 2214520 2401833 2278441 46816168415 61221128361 19640954410
## 35 78 6975230 6383276 6717253 153160820499 223970771760 80977766665
## 36 79 2133646 1984313 2046757 19716135434 14784435201 7310564156
## 37 8 2015879 1694674 1960348 17188048682 94310147038 13841906574
## 38 9 2218806 2443954 2280878 12886420450 43408475411 8542394104
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 8695.687 8437.315 3578.184
## 2 8378.965 6205.007 3465.640
## 3 9516.207 127851.524 8489.488
## 4 6238.872 5765.034 2676.992
## 5 6530.353 6102.900 2972.170
## 6 5960.609 5006.693 2497.091
## 7 15465.220 20141.873 7709.860
## 8 6445.226 8269.322 2966.998
## 9 7520.671 140107.306 6872.407
## 10 8323.858 41426.324 6511.823
## 11 7278.181 136728.481 6760.556
## 12 9532.796 29584.218 6448.229
## 13 12689.071 90173.385 10699.057
## 14 6643.852 124182.446 6071.639
## 15 6227.780 15265.373 3131.284
## 16 7165.382 13581.553 4017.834
## 17 11785.073 17578.123 5965.439
## 18 12797.622 13081.574 5051.850
## 19 6286.841 217458.157 6083.134
## 20 6656.386 108900.369 6225.942
## 21 8788.945 7333.165 3583.603
## 22 8500.104 7857.881 4073.647
## 23 8963.732 319927.266 8554.616
## 24 15998.973 29260.910 8131.412
## 25 8160.069 7335.439 3503.920
## 26 12387.005 10192.771 4945.483
## 27 5336.959 227376.132 5181.807
## 28 12285.621 6538.006 3676.459
## 29 16842.028 29233.191 7569.347
## 30 15444.401 17402.374 7475.635
## 31 7609.892 33953.861 5054.369
## 32 11614.051 45314.761 6906.963
## 33 15721.166 11904.982 6365.555
## 34 20654.622 25482.338 8653.489
## 35 21823.271 34892.319 11835.195
## 36 9161.851 7515.543 3551.859
## 37 8434.551 55991.726 6969.636
## 38 5768.047 17489.808 3732.020
j. f = 10%
res_srs_0.1
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1655637 1618995 1620920 23807636836 36566788458 10879141778
## 2 10 2464440 2417393 2416477 48778025169 34903800703 18015910995
## 3 11 1499114 1178778 1381855 42549084160 72195995104 20215671277
## 4 12 1656208 1653803 1655902 29723303081 21039141500 11566948023
## 5 13 1639921 1534461 1599451 25931075211 29151455268 12145813489
## 6 14 2742225 2652262 2673984 55485865925 27933921791 16825733750
## 7 15 5219980 4658098 4914845 208892425597 226631992706 80357542138
## 8 16 2623203 2544564 2565489 32513963387 18638082848 10797436860
## 9 17 2011069 2745441 2047203 25324034741 527935082036 23806572048
## 10 18 1800951 2070286 1855680 32323847071 94787940851 19283206622
## 11 19 1961778 2461353 2031713 35749439552 255193201008 21274693940
## 12 2 1703614 1425507 1589123 32681866276 62473379553 15665520096
## 13 20 2017152 1550224 1874277 71106846054 229646186038 47481591430
## 14 21 1514774 2071161 1558765 24560726841 320284988704 18233331433
## 15 22 2067243 1938946 2003734 29279596940 31585294122 13488413151
## 16 23 2150384 2075012 2100916 30100918505 33461136423 13766217159
## 17 24 2730974 2868780 2793195 59317199499 64337826795 26097711971
## 18 25 3980105 3796335 3885149 118611624121 118809727590 53434819532
## 19 26 2001847 1424547 1959730 23838440116 315395163898 21930507164
## 20 27 1837982 1462089 1785541 19811790109 133843949383 16897823173
## 21 28 1654971 1711933 1685186 31589030641 25080504265 12225569096
## 22 29 1823021 1789368 1804962 17910308378 16439031309 8553179791
## 23 3 1742090 2664583 1786435 32552852738 890854754107 22396827543
## 24 4 2267260 2451067 2312774 92161525047 136669134371 38446386144
## 25 5 2034965 2102340 2071154 38997335336 36697339781 17113718530
## 26 6 2558233 2335874 2396744 72969560010 33676461543 20850821816
## 27 7 2664928 3536698 2700461 29837993925 750099268642 28420934480
## 28 71 2211727 2315365 2258490 58728160616 45261843014 22609446526
## 29 72 1977795 2080726 1969950 122712818673 131899046751 54906449044
## 30 73 3634282 3392217 3479831 137820875204 87640755358 48910727944
## 31 74 2231223 2042378 2114027 40626946723 30362698108 14901349693
## 32 75 1900901 2120708 1966613 59945471675 106508935425 29833256090
## 33 76 2093345 2084668 2101511 81949275960 72667293374 36691290963
## 34 77 2227363 2419776 2305072 102019560683 115585854669 38615352867
## 35 78 6775195 6268624 6359411 305495195304 86513939204 61256082385
## 36 79 2246555 2045680 2152671 44615028060 61120327208 20456956659
## 37 8 2072663 1716385 1984594 47227193721 152495667128 34407137392
## 38 9 2215010 2383702 2290019 20857262180 25704158369 8168560311
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 13883.232 23505.437 6595.095
## 2 19396.106 14462.984 7451.841
## 3 26612.529 63330.207 14193.242
## 4 16956.108 12583.655 6783.178
## 5 15150.413 20235.392 7514.713
## 6 19494.240 10180.525 6063.737
## 7 38798.843 46870.780 15409.236
## 8 12295.747 7320.984 4202.041
## 9 12462.031 192038.841 11507.566
## 10 17388.698 45610.886 10307.840
## 11 17325.350 103981.467 10372.412
## 12 18787.761 46320.990 9505.090
## 13 32978.387 147080.815 22380.924
## 14 15172.117 155383.309 11360.485
## 15 13779.185 16957.442 6671.715
## 16 13803.423 16074.046 6442.112
## 17 20499.529 22227.862 8954.875
## 18 29417.959 31312.355 13470.006
## 19 11867.826 223652.199 11163.502
## 20 10563.701 91175.321 9251.264
## 21 18897.932 14754.194 7290.521
## 22 9780.618 9119.195 4710.896
## 23 17498.872 330799.899 12572.479
## 24 37466.857 55248.938 15808.218
## 25 18688.141 17366.006 8148.162
## 26 27545.879 14149.275 8470.036
## 27 11084.867 210255.458 10418.211
## 28 25975.731 19679.478 10066.283
## 29 58030.832 63446.853 27130.730
## 30 37683.825 26084.699 13999.065
## 31 17999.423 14826.110 6915.547
## 32 30243.183 50305.290 15055.768
## 33 37390.343 34659.038 16870.219
## 34 42143.711 47340.030 16430.609
## 35 44915.144 13510.248 9418.515
## 36 19168.672 29747.468 8872.313
## 37 21034.328 89561.788 16062.418
## 38 9297.765 10720.797 3595.231
k. f = 5%
res_srs_0.05
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1689954 1561587 1606255 54161130058 31267028457 16980176191
## 2 10 2262248 2194145 2190841 69037859810 45925121636 18770224506
## 3 11 1466591 1184764 1321514 81668038894 77734507535 32826379840
## 4 12 1475626 1559219 1494517 36875964849 38541193354 14432810575
## 5 13 1728517 1573883 1613797 79236936873 28017100214 19297664233
## 6 14 2537704 2512514 2491950 96299744667 79835329637 37560600228
## 7 15 4972709 4447414 4647062 314347414603 215552596087 121236983644
## 8 16 2603920 2496399 2531083 102313130122 71820269337 41042794613
## 9 17 2002336 2625928 2108921 62307385676 371277182931 41194046162
## 10 18 1662758 2008471 1668751 66039941924 207403224394 28325058700
## 11 19 1846213 2422345 1946843 47472997567 311527894769 31944819684
## 12 2 1611181 1439140 1508482 59415000309 39800107396 18550406466
## 13 20 2013002 1471376 1752834 158483086541 183902158726 54855417644
## 14 21 1504165 2038048 1605882 45837811986 303716279582 24502690786
## 15 22 2002917 1956340 1960723 55154669240 58638169635 26362896181
## 16 23 2171146 2038845 2110594 84628418086 94628714171 42612254971
## 17 24 2614110 2732555 2684580 75657111300 59622446349 29808560647
## 18 25 3675756 3528222 3597537 175245341149 128533960357 72667359091
## 19 26 2027979 1440157 1931483 52382481728 318974638593 41607811732
## 20 27 1773396 1425734 1621832 63192659497 70771161056 21318579627
## 21 28 1526060 1633589 1574069 48828061548 49741252274 20949449762
## 22 29 2064882 2031794 2047840 104101616758 102317441177 51590002930
## 23 3 1712373 2614032 1798319 54965744709 832892049570 39677119404
## 24 4 2194359 2367071 2243146 83907733873 123632841561 41745966885
## 25 5 1899548 2041010 1930596 48376792850 53010839107 16347079615
## 26 6 2540189 2248293 2337275 183830795223 116506494665 65974944426
## 27 7 2692749 3484359 2787334 69795583334 720877373374 49613850198
## 28 71 2112157 2249589 2152241 127303110667 126156172337 58510492489
## 29 72 1812140 2025294 1844063 163828834559 223022134471 78182389449
## 30 73 3712705 3482201 3589278 342032504866 239171384212 137811309845
## 31 74 2205365 1964011 2078648 73338797240 72478972270 30765952833
## 32 75 1839128 2046578 1865861 107026189583 134576442139 47697049029
## 33 76 2241635 2109657 2123837 284424553186 175503630535 98328826993
## 34 77 2353137 2411296 2314843 308542918511 329722785993 138285907253
## 35 78 6732398 6244872 6394503 650643074972 386320661275 232048438857
## 36 79 2030549 1981188 1993493 101250951881 66875626566 36233771593
## 37 8 2071724 1589206 1900283 97457408002 190089252254 54279699089
## 38 9 2208088 2410286 2265015 43781304822 99473173800 22234442704
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 31281.67 20740.90 10505.810
## 2 27785.05 20899.47 8386.604
## 3 49060.21 70747.22 23241.114
## 4 23709.29 24470.41 9589.653
## 5 40911.02 17616.71 11553.185
## 6 36555.64 31588.47 14768.998
## 7 61890.47 47479.74 25382.704
## 8 36812.91 27770.61 15433.153
## 9 30001.83 142235.62 19545.268
## 10 32988.39 104372.75 15960.021
## 11 24822.79 128879.78 16313.103
## 12 35703.45 29003.51 12274.637
## 13 74234.11 134388.81 29850.965
## 14 28209.51 150231.75 15186.987
## 15 27333.96 29619.99 13370.952
## 16 37501.62 47029.87 19636.049
## 17 28967.38 22082.09 11228.019
## 18 45404.76 35311.78 19378.565
## 19 25646.70 230804.33 21373.699
## 20 33144.50 50373.61 13135.967
## 21 30627.32 29976.14 12929.450
## 22 47945.10 47561.14 23873.732
## 23 30533.43 317287.51 22350.567
## 24 36667.36 52251.41 18259.302
## 25 24230.56 26290.99 8476.967
## 26 70847.24 52228.76 28040.434
## 27 25430.18 199210.55 17954.176
## 28 58830.40 55367.15 26795.056
## 29 82181.02 109710.65 40974.772
## 30 83872.21 65490.26 35483.486
## 31 32236.18 37657.27 14343.422
## 32 53948.83 64492.58 25311.532
## 33 108808.29 78081.62 41573.568
## 34 115513.74 134891.86 55954.295
## 35 94919.96 60507.06 35526.244
## 36 42558.21 33144.69 16879.450
## 37 45009.53 123072.13 27478.534
## 38 19239.55 39933.89 9856.394
2. Metode One stage cluster
a. f = 100%
res_1sc_1
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1637409 1593637 1637409 0 1915959130 0
## 2 10 2452226 2411973 2452226 0 1620293809 0
## 3 11 1432925 1146047 1432925 0 82299323238 0
## 4 12 1628141 1604098 1628141 0 578061217 0
## 5 13 1660654 1539506 1660654 0 14676947727 0
## 6 14 2677707 2613785 2677707 0 4085950156 0
## 7 15 5059790 4628255 5059790 0 186222104807 0
## 8 16 2702258 2538366 2702258 0 26860745533 0
## 9 17 2063216 2755581 2063216 0 479368784452 0
## 10 18 1802921 2055582 1802921 0 63837560347 0
## 11 19 1893080 2458794 1893080 0 320033300994 0
## 12 2 1631372 1434795 1631372 0 38642737109 0
## 13 20 1933963 1528077 1933963 0 164743829852 0
## 14 21 1543883 2075747 1543883 0 282880026972 0
## 15 22 2024290 1912770 2024290 0 12436499438 0
## 16 23 2145480 1996068 2145480 0 22323787837 0
## 17 24 2721467 2809820 2721467 0 7806205403 0
## 18 25 3923463 3735418 3923463 0 35361064290 0
## 19 26 2049321 1442285 2049321 0 368492681119 0
## 20 27 1850200 1431308 1850200 0 175471128846 0
## 21 28 1632444 1718061 1632444 0 7330251063 0
## 22 29 1945828 1910735 1945828 0 1231521822 0
## 23 3 1794553 2646763 1794553 0 726262701413 0
## 24 4 2297582 2461884 2297582 0 26995005332 0
## 25 5 2083579 2122123 2083579 0 1485661569 0
## 26 6 2526531 2357735 2526531 0 28492221686 0
## 27 7 2716794 3573111 2716794 0 733277373716 0
## 28 71 2297609 2288027 2297609 0 91814618 0
## 29 72 1872873 2049375 1872873 0 31152960873 0
## 30 73 3484448 3408041 3484448 0 5838136073 0
## 31 74 2197198 2010784 2197198 0 34750233064 0
## 32 75 1867766 2087481 1867766 0 48274556977 0
## 33 76 2088732 2024320 2088732 0 4148835200 0
## 34 77 2275392 2420130 2275392 0 20949030793 0
## 35 78 7020112 6437879 7020112 0 338995297458 0
## 36 79 2178314 2013176 2178314 0 27270573971 0
## 37 8 2025630 1700059 2025630 0 105996366605 0
## 38 9 2279804 2477361 2279804 0 39028580079 0
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 0 1202.2555 0
## 2 0 671.7710 0
## 3 0 71811.4957 0
## 4 0 360.3653 0
## 5 0 9533.5455 0
## 6 0 1563.2310 0
## 7 0 40235.9187 0
## 8 0 10581.9061 0
## 9 0 173962.8639 0
## 10 0 31055.7161 0
## 11 0 130158.6221 0
## 12 0 26932.5893 0
## 13 0 107811.2248 0
## 14 0 136278.6447 0
## 15 0 6501.8253 0
## 16 0 11183.8810 0
## 17 0 2778.1870 0
## 18 0 9466.4286 0
## 19 0 255492.3460 0
## 20 0 122594.9822 0
## 21 0 4266.5836 0
## 22 0 644.5279 0
## 23 0 274396.5455 0
## 24 0 10965.1824 0
## 25 0 700.0826 0
## 26 0 12084.5759 0
## 27 0 205221.0163 0
## 28 0 40.1283 0
## 29 0 15201.2016 0
## 30 0 1713.0477 0
## 31 0 17281.9355 0
## 32 0 23125.7447 0
## 33 0 2049.4956 0
## 34 0 8656.1605 0
## 35 0 52656.3659 0
## 36 0 13546.0443 0
## 37 0 62348.6268 0
## 38 0 15754.0973 0
b. f = 90%
res_1sc_0.9
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1626100 1593326 1614000 924392208 1526837331 494290009
## 2 10 2448002 2398098 2435479 908438582 3051700716 573354768
## 3 11 1424706 1146626 1421827 799498398 77359738483 791167174
## 4 12 1637350 1599684 1622785 957120793 1938508077 463558706
## 5 13 1637332 1529460 1631583 572142574 12048664320 534851029
## 6 14 2668447 2604188 2654369 1315509195 4801452604 901837299
## 7 15 5030420 4608106 5010810 8194752932 176639330250 7808133944
## 8 16 2713681 2521658 2709188 851144571 36450010720 830594115
## 9 17 2038131 2733675 2039431 901439893 483411935330 899733974
## 10 18 1793143 2045330 1795549 589257205 64245810793 583220600
## 11 19 1895490 2441432 1896937 788367654 297683313579 786263302
## 12 2 1638243 1433377 1633658 925491658 41680626709 904173720
## 13 20 1900983 1516542 1898032 1128489492 147827369896 1119716193
## 14 21 1544916 2064483 1546374 753057950 269990235519 750896283
## 15 22 2028989 1916100 2020942 861959787 12560811919 793427305
## 16 23 2129060 2009843 2118109 1157811203 14288992298 1017509401
## 17 24 2704771 2802559 2719299 1182362631 9675646275 906292433
## 18 25 3912519 3716711 3877040 6494037776 33853167571 5106705710
## 19 26 2031091 1434739 2028923 1296820356 355614323684 1292089687
## 20 27 1845661 1431535 1843630 841743625 171475743617 837598299
## 21 28 1610149 1699757 1625654 1195182470 7895485984 914087456
## 22 29 1931092 1897776 1906115 1600573688 608703673 426074150
## 23 3 1802738 2634825 1804591 1539208514 691538796247 1535766623
## 24 4 2290792 2444123 2300926 1469580329 23038551743 1359555089
## 25 5 2075232 2106243 2086781 1069567990 1700610427 547416234
## 26 6 2504056 2336633 2493466 1740609864 27212592432 1626993899
## 27 7 2716235 3558665 2717546 1100078487 710579659511 1098350221
## 28 71 2300971 2269174 2286594 2222406219 2268088076 898471931
## 29 72 1869952 2031628 1883685 2108607651 25107211318 1908199993
## 30 73 3498212 3384986 3461559 4311231287 11603463077 2480337809
## 31 74 2163641 1992911 2159126 757328589 29002733736 736544423
## 32 75 1831972 2069271 1839764 1725741708 57058407776 1658408729
## 33 76 2074968 2019434 2052733 1409092238 2516013124 724617937
## 34 77 2233088 2394271 2254603 3074742380 26208041730 2555935121
## 35 78 6930308 6376400 6897372 18274269741 291954763038 17184844901
## 36 79 2139856 1995891 2133221 922966767 20671064084 876827773
## 37 8 2025337 1692663 2022773 849222865 110686899592 842602165
## 38 9 2270498 2466007 2278235 1469228827 37883293172 1407530441
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 567.1724 957.5372 304.6358
## 2 371.0121 1278.3463 234.8317
## 3 560.2244 67459.0074 555.4997
## 4 584.2020 1217.5012 283.6705
## 5 348.4665 7926.6987 326.7918
## 6 492.8916 1846.4256 338.5643
## 7 1624.4085 38282.7144 1553.3910
## 8 313.7213 14460.6192 306.6443
## 9 441.9883 176821.2814 440.8702
## 10 328.3628 31368.1866 324.5742
## 11 415.8698 121912.8538 414.4435
## 12 564.9898 29151.9551 553.5039
## 13 593.5068 97585.4351 589.8029
## 14 486.9819 130784.4048 485.1267
## 15 424.4262 6565.4094 392.0630
## 16 543.7073 7146.8604 479.7069
## 17 437.1046 3434.4608 334.0988
## 18 1659.3661 9108.2572 1313.3116
## 19 637.4614 247867.7039 635.8187
## 20 455.5582 119809.9522 453.8146
## 21 741.9831 4624.9526 564.6332
## 22 827.6172 319.5927 222.7898
## 23 853.6229 262383.2040 850.8406
## 24 641.1675 9423.7274 590.8340
## 25 515.3199 803.6465 262.7231
## 26 694.5608 11635.5678 651.7967
## 27 405.0317 199525.2001 404.2004
## 28 965.5100 998.5849 390.9675
## 29 1125.6734 12380.6191 1011.8627
## 30 1231.4978 3435.0053 712.0223
## 31 349.9926 14579.6075 341.0864
## 32 936.8869 27589.9088 896.6433
## 33 678.6767 1248.5146 350.4809
## 34 1376.0892 10912.1540 1135.7593
## 35 2630.9908 45654.2088 2485.7075
## 36 431.0433 10372.2000 410.7118
## 37 419.1941 65394.6427 416.4488
## 38 647.1300 15337.4011 617.9350
c. f = 80%
res_1sc_0.8
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1627993 1588346 1608268 2126789358 2126219122 999970133
## 2 10 2428995 2391760 2409237 2016091015 2050588359 777530134
## 3 11 1422647 1154451 1415566 1872746934 72564404255 1820549087
## 4 12 1625651 1597700 1617897 2206301065 2536081043 983571583
## 5 13 1670192 1520147 1659491 1493470414 22387701726 1368305246
## 6 14 2655763 2613882 2638355 2872645179 4455024253 1239244284
## 7 15 5085074 4629658 5039460 20033922938 199346746580 17858567155
## 8 16 2695332 2536733 2682637 1899523657 24445371994 1725199628
## 9 17 2065796 2741028 2068932 2114003708 454285818085 2104107910
## 10 18 1794642 2043957 1800321 1349941593 63104278791 1315396265
## 11 19 1871190 2447474 1874107 1659636717 332798885766 1650880162
## 12 2 1615755 1433241 1604740 1947663859 32190510069 1820744808
## 13 20 1956862 1522288 1950614 2691922668 188706563293 2652561781
## 14 21 1528581 2064216 1531732 1650839041 288275509681 1640417444
## 15 22 2024594 1900999 2007923 1963956045 14236641273 1671549726
## 16 23 2131162 2007168 2110152 2663306433 16626141353 1993809764
## 17 24 2732282 2818667 2749612 2651504774 10806421363 1755278915
## 18 25 3905664 3734366 3838676 14425030326 29028535053 7539092034
## 19 26 2025035 1432718 2019925 3018246749 351027730910 2991995451
## 20 27 1850990 1420120 1846491 1928479801 185205005578 1907999138
## 21 28 1604647 1687713 1629370 2688350052 8426622087 1539779206
## 22 29 1944578 1911747 1923358 3516612029 2345244724 1368162934
## 23 3 1776369 2612579 1780494 3438699098 698074043077 3421420020
## 24 4 2319681 2451618 2349428 3289134653 17907366474 2049279690
## 25 5 2078077 2107526 2093003 2181635633 2307690564 739390692
## 26 6 2459153 2332935 2429754 3478405262 14200767574 2551138106
## 27 7 2730679 3573193 2733695 2519507723 712087065988 2510210668
## 28 71 2288167 2269589 2276216 4530074063 3585500539 1959358501
## 29 72 1867150 2027863 1898255 4946672590 25325641670 3558481467
## 30 73 3414667 3357178 3387364 9048735647 9138616465 4243482647
## 31 74 2162994 1991416 2152399 1750602756 29144808857 1634534718
## 32 75 1845377 2069851 1865696 4119839275 50111342117 3651127948
## 33 76 2087312 2003749 2059723 3097555104 7098256976 1750294042
## 34 77 2232419 2384128 2274347 6275886172 25977539480 3355731216
## 35 78 6932765 6358874 6866199 38679667162 298650674825 34151379418
## 36 79 2149847 1992709 2135496 2143493615 24323067567 1927748026
## 37 8 2007880 1695065 2001766 1899933110 97725667970 1862213560
## 38 9 2255728 2445038 2274274 3078308722 35059938032 2646095176
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 1302.2048 1328.9480 616.8424
## 2 829.4320 863.4018 322.4099
## 3 1310.1898 63630.8538 1280.1767
## 4 1356.1884 1590.9387 603.8975
## 5 894.1787 14870.9590 824.4364
## 6 1080.7612 1726.1081 467.5768
## 7 3928.3262 42984.5639 3529.4449
## 8 704.7533 9636.6207 642.4640
## 9 1023.4819 165684.0195 1017.1407
## 10 751.3295 30808.4513 730.0022
## 11 885.5150 135991.0424 879.4950
## 12 1204.7818 22527.4521 1133.7390
## 13 1375.1229 124249.4171 1359.3046
## 14 1077.3331 139569.9897 1068.3693
## 15 968.7667 7496.0005 830.7669
## 16 1248.6462 8388.4448 940.2806
## 17 969.7668 3781.6577 639.3130
## 18 3670.0261 7707.4061 1922.2636
## 19 1488.7900 245094.5708 1479.5474
## 20 1041.6846 130556.4640 1033.1205
## 21 1672.1899 4953.3894 953.8688
## 22 1803.2515 1213.8683 705.6902
## 23 1933.8071 266881.1638 1919.6142
## 24 1414.9336 7282.0855 880.5189
## 25 1047.8813 1097.1851 355.6638
## 26 1407.5210 6074.0877 1041.1530
## 27 921.8201 198896.9697 917.3994
## 28 1977.3871 1577.7157 859.9930
## 29 2640.8934 12469.9043 1882.3076
## 30 2649.1661 2740.2293 1252.6191
## 31 809.2764 14655.0169 759.0966
## 32 2217.8196 24246.2986 1945.9533
## 33 1485.0028 3574.3189 846.6761
## 34 2794.1792 10954.2928 1496.2434
## 35 5537.8868 46697.6697 4936.9237
## 36 995.1669 12209.9022 899.7927
## 37 944.4014 57633.3006 928.4215
## 38 1362.3552 14258.0373 1162.9881
d. f = 70%
res_1sc_0.7
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1614251 1587051 1598505 3453994315 3145319785 1438036933
## 2 10 2410571 2406249 2403635 3316783085 2358929645 1277557420
## 3 11 1425295 1137212 1414705 3080854314 82283655804 2965732117
## 4 12 1655758 1594241 1631052 3900096788 5266913417 2020516129
## 5 13 1661629 1542366 1640365 2412140736 12987411327 1926546971
## 6 14 2640960 2609519 2637752 4574051622 7075820019 1780430046
## 7 15 5049635 4602247 4973684 31618434112 187703590828 25340035700
## 8 16 2701276 2523553 2680219 3253969432 32282872212 2738764487
## 9 17 2030188 2746543 2035115 3392614965 516929771868 3365296321
## 10 18 1791248 2042551 1801050 2338288909 62629428225 2232726788
## 11 19 1878392 2446224 1883677 2950053593 321700485737 2920688297
## 12 2 1597897 1426139 1578988 3132301135 28121402509 2764705154
## 13 20 1919890 1526320 1908934 4327799489 152162406368 4206570535
## 14 21 1547598 2061611 1553512 2996255672 263368676875 2959646178
## 15 22 2046263 1901136 2022261 3356768625 20569343012 2643212174
## 16 23 2134333 1971142 2109392 4378960401 27848305920 3413719919
## 17 24 2713429 2815540 2746715 4396617544 10378501695 2516819588
## 18 25 3926621 3741164 3825815 27014486662 25259731937 11560136646
## 19 26 2033297 1433054 2024351 5314122478 359169899179 5232458563
## 20 27 1832217 1418752 1824625 3139992287 170116626127 3081960185
## 21 28 1645563 1721302 1673656 4849722863 8348267833 2510375436
## 22 29 1913229 1880721 1894767 5669924006 4525017863 2506847540
## 23 3 1812928 2633442 1820810 6438673890 668471275128 6375360574
## 24 4 2262458 2451612 2293435 5182115222 41667245945 3500958849
## 25 5 2063758 2111332 2090832 4115276001 3386881851 1714608412
## 26 6 2527732 2349177 2487963 6884984857 26913694132 5251376669
## 27 7 2701387 3543142 2706460 4252102844 708217901929 4225806973
## 28 71 2352184 2274434 2304217 9344535104 6548976544 3595704022
## 29 72 1866726 2037266 1929617 8878460795 25540930532 4214680416
## 30 73 3428748 3373108 3390256 15526196192 10968795818 5985378009
## 31 74 2176271 2000731 2158934 2841054955 30231480192 2513492858
## 32 75 1845094 2076976 1884391 6586926733 57477830348 4354998187
## 33 76 1990993 1996763 1995065 4726674481 5301400764 2301260458
## 34 77 2293196 2408365 2331841 12228486463 21626222294 6501801043
## 35 78 6962974 6386352 6838176 71254496234 267471317630 54910896865
## 36 79 2162129 2001497 2138036 3758923204 23147529599 3149365307
## 37 8 2049184 1697718 2039705 3255648211 125030951334 3164134441
## 38 9 2252879 2441627 2285888 5727927336 32319425370 4469743693
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 2129.735 2001.8755 897.6265
## 2 1375.188 983.8371 533.0846
## 3 2144.131 72270.1262 2079.5306
## 4 2355.036 3334.2708 1234.9332
## 5 1447.894 8474.6416 1170.1686
## 6 1730.334 2668.5412 664.8250
## 7 6227.555 40540.0489 5031.0202
## 8 1203.597 12868.9526 1017.8000
## 9 1655.732 188274.2116 1638.3107
## 10 1303.014 30623.4892 1237.7511
## 11 1564.827 131459.8034 1544.8943
## 12 1956.311 19716.3408 1744.0500
## 13 2247.394 99683.1347 2197.0266
## 14 1929.924 127749.1994 1899.0827
## 15 1637.753 10934.3765 1300.1052
## 16 2049.892 14309.1244 1610.5341
## 17 1618.182 3731.5959 923.8039
## 18 6870.819 6738.1955 2999.2157
## 19 2614.017 251033.5848 2585.1159
## 20 1709.206 119920.8978 1684.5437
## 21 2947.233 4807.9086 1510.9808
## 22 2919.897 2366.7801 1302.3102
## 23 3549.685 253770.7419 3499.5128
## 24 2273.340 17047.8659 1542.8831
## 25 1993.695 1602.1215 821.2929
## 26 2718.025 11468.3324 2102.6812
## 27 1575.785 199636.3154 1563.0582
## 28 3965.551 2878.0145 1555.3283
## 29 4717.322 12608.5612 2211.4364
## 30 4525.952 3255.8835 1765.8367
## 31 1304.971 15120.6421 1162.3087
## 32 3514.906 27587.5487 2304.7356
## 33 2364.505 2651.4226 1149.3707
## 34 5324.152 8934.8374 2815.1630
## 35 10200.795 41765.3402 8001.9621
## 36 1737.674 11587.5216 1470.4475
## 37 1585.877 73823.4445 1547.9995
## 38 2534.588 13063.8077 1948.4737
e. f = 60%
res_1sc_0.6
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1578803 1576951 1568743 4882180633 3183002863 1636822809
## 2 10 2431184 2386664 2405082 5432136392 3847449780 2048010632
## 3 11 1377819 1123449 1360429 4329361062 64237480639 4001558423
## 4 12 1622486 1572605 1602125 5670832834 7677983623 2715151958
## 5 13 1665443 1531519 1639991 3452265296 20127692590 2201185807
## 6 14 2615295 2569326 2583668 7423862205 4997918639 2703255588
## 7 15 4987527 4549911 4872615 49924068243 152122680083 36112045083
## 8 16 2690828 2511410 2660325 5276973046 28253334747 4309775988
## 9 17 2086119 2733935 2094026 4988195174 418199953754 4918929324
## 10 18 1799780 2036783 1816002 3473859730 56791561651 3173220216
## 11 19 1862110 2435088 1870336 4609167858 327104625294 4537189007
## 12 2 1634036 1434953 1607277 5183927421 40340548456 4239339153
## 13 20 1886562 1515109 1868031 6543345710 139365467138 6184344126
## 14 21 1540525 2060446 1550237 4834414536 271635980034 4729728463
## 15 22 1983172 1898480 1943800 4827761595 7753954094 2043166827
## 16 23 2127399 1951295 2090830 7187415487 29739105979 5358716595
## 17 24 2703135 2765260 2732274 6334410411 8362101794 2661888412
## 18 25 3797271 3669162 3709386 34828958528 20077376922 11209915014
## 19 26 2046316 1444729 2032190 8440461092 359639118764 8235596441
## 20 27 1804110 1412980 1792250 4689216837 152249276968 4546167771
## 21 28 1675955 1714695 1685665 7608873156 10874868798 3447322899
## 22 29 1928818 1892966 1908843 9648806211 8234313899 4425674423
## 23 3 1820402 2612762 1832013 8860197128 626200152740 8704321620
## 24 4 2313379 2442854 2357290 8442302386 16753209055 4764603205
## 25 5 2065162 2109976 2089635 5950170767 5269754838 2379105843
## 26 6 2453609 2345921 2394413 8425948302 7590748129 3603623413
## 27 7 2697924 3530160 2706497 7129471382 688862468537 7054424131
## 28 71 2272521 2258876 2268574 14164331536 10577150061 5888530479
## 29 72 1848310 2023655 1897015 13621141497 35886372547 7415245492
## 30 73 3439886 3375492 3384162 27657948414 14567122694 8593666078
## 31 74 2176606 1985441 2157739 4738664960 40886481747 3915351047
## 32 75 1817624 2059976 1866613 10316986026 54285105358 7133905170
## 33 76 2038359 1986715 2004925 7833637290 3978558572 2421783912
## 34 77 2264002 2402107 2316565 18244026357 27236754613 9091419809
## 35 78 6969958 6400747 6766220 115712582470 213822564427 72165792859
## 36 79 2155027 1987591 2121491 5380791534 25692325061 4219164232
## 37 8 2028573 1683693 2013195 5169415187 117969641622 4923046703
## 38 9 2270868 2483220 2317022 8620955494 39135671996 5872033949
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 3054.286 2026.232 1043.2704
## 2 2228.919 1605.757 847.5705
## 3 3097.004 57630.483 2899.1643
## 4 3487.182 4946.022 1675.3988
## 5 2060.861 13779.496 1339.0390
## 6 2826.340 1945.719 1044.5952
## 7 9938.961 33263.484 7335.5770
## 8 1960.733 11255.458 1617.5425
## 9 2377.106 153141.283 2335.1359
## 10 1927.161 27893.191 1747.9552
## 11 2466.934 134378.687 2417.9618
## 12 3154.647 28324.465 2605.9066
## 13 3468.518 92446.244 3307.5165
## 14 3122.543 131654.313 3036.0655
## 15 2436.271 4159.255 1040.8523
## 16 3372.098 15312.953 2542.8092
## 17 2333.677 3000.374 981.0405
## 18 9070.776 5507.278 3018.3101
## 19 4113.522 249332.957 4041.3786
## 20 2584.067 108151.823 2521.9850
## 21 4531.240 6364.640 2068.4989
## 22 4922.240 4273.940 2278.9183
## 23 4817.302 239997.155 4702.3528
## 24 3648.362 6836.803 2034.3792
## 25 2876.730 2497.271 1139.5790
## 26 3422.934 3237.212 1494.8729
## 27 2645.019 194926.324 2608.7438
## 28 6214.500 4672.076 2586.6625
## 29 7290.414 17664.048 3934.3370
## 30 8022.527 4349.449 2558.3001
## 31 2168.894 20731.575 1799.5219
## 32 5642.763 26255.230 3853.7041
## 33 3821.986 2011.877 1206.9233
## 34 7975.344 11388.083 3930.9345
## 35 16513.133 33234.482 10595.4490
## 36 2480.275 12861.266 1965.3732
## 37 2547.428 70520.120 2443.9395
## 38 3766.363 15692.214 2520.9008
f. f = 50%
res_1sc_0.5
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1627741 1588367 1608411 8045010236 6930004340 3407001031
## 2 10 2477529 2453043 2454828 7899322465 6233795981 3216635908
## 3 11 1431624 1140220 1401473 8082848644 84629457646 7044192686
## 4 12 1609380 1589063 1601081 8421561198 11693321390 4335420673
## 5 13 1692325 1548627 1656368 5737486942 24978568005 3586084819
## 6 14 2648819 2622499 2621302 11439794884 6739594328 3759739799
## 7 15 5032898 4649268 4849437 80151928580 110023887037 36641427568
## 8 16 2657185 2528614 2613830 7122229213 17488661768 3897834900
## 9 17 2088839 2764877 2101978 8564430153 458886081426 8374543971
## 10 18 1772566 2032682 1792586 4632434558 68133915304 4154470189
## 11 19 1857221 2459087 1868705 6740624723 361428715876 6599550624
## 12 2 1637140 1433125 1593100 8073273634 39187954874 5894650987
## 13 20 1915055 1504373 1889702 10202323274 162399304732 9516951216
## 14 21 1551385 2078005 1565810 7244547558 276671798967 7016161333
## 15 22 1986974 1880369 1936437 7660827412 9830593912 3522974546
## 16 23 2129016 1950476 2084037 10457202775 40377782332 6461163872
## 17 24 2764976 2808541 2782796 11156707936 14917588262 5648337630
## 18 25 3935527 3748284 3840123 61515514571 54018940686 24627434094
## 19 26 1986543 1438297 1962638 13006013201 297862103678 12413639925
## 20 27 1834229 1413667 1816926 7241929164 173883306411 6932693296
## 21 28 1633153 1724038 1653453 9948531044 18464314102 4567260675
## 22 29 1874141 1835943 1852934 11856065686 10566310221 5570544403
## 23 3 1777057 2637017 1794488 14828337217 730127073622 14509386938
## 24 4 2363589 2468497 2380687 14329154816 30066422820 6061470995
## 25 5 2096708 2135709 2121831 10611417051 8623704855 4351663283
## 26 6 2538880 2355740 2464087 15071786853 29566496849 7797228955
## 27 7 2781352 3635751 2794269 10619318363 736501731344 10435484886
## 28 71 2334633 2273402 2291318 19778579807 11698524470 6375757861
## 29 72 1770343 2027983 1823607 14873893555 66101951951 9884611201
## 30 73 3440449 3409541 3424694 33166750571 27645480997 12072926863
## 31 74 2220845 1992798 2187022 7159866191 49286184210 5914902767
## 32 75 1856712 2068889 1909639 15267458644 50413808477 8234735052
## 33 76 2085460 1972872 2037807 12590330343 18700304801 6046852672
## 34 77 2226147 2414420 2314585 25920505558 38394723666 9508094438
## 35 78 7199438 6579245 6900831 181349648729 221099347888 83479425673
## 36 79 2197160 1991834 2156398 9327957036 52208427608 6258820605
## 37 8 2039375 1714434 2013044 8139231154 104640356842 7403242272
## 38 9 2344872 2547689 2430680 16789319769 31633013017 7403813255
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 4887.563 4341.533 2091.158
## 2 3178.664 2540.515 1312.007
## 3 5596.088 74360.324 4930.103
## 4 5160.127 7300.008 2660.161
## 5 3344.120 16584.263 2113.235
## 6 4316.202 2569.418 1436.303
## 7 15834.812 23507.005 7367.083
## 8 2683.463 6953.894 1478.578
## 9 4076.213 165756.356 3960.607
## 10 2607.880 33319.502 2318.723
## 11 3619.594 146773.402 3522.456
## 12 4917.502 27660.332 3666.155
## 13 5332.456 108986.594 5041.624
## 14 4649.486 132800.685 4463.346
## 15 3845.462 5369.976 1815.291
## 16 4923.091 21411.415 3064.171
## 17 4030.868 5253.634 2033.075
## 18 15338.950 14176.603 6244.232
## 19 6521.595 207012.261 6299.032
## 20 3934.922 123001.458 3802.507
## 21 6018.876 10831.317 2801.203
## 22 6149.357 5556.855 2911.427
## 23 8311.707 276076.957 8053.761
## 24 6006.806 12265.555 2589.490
## 25 5044.007 4040.398 2053.079
## 26 5869.113 12520.171 3099.643
## 27 3804.556 200937.225 3720.825
## 28 8392.104 5170.210 2776.997
## 29 8301.230 32527.338 5395.210
## 30 9526.073 7979.210 3447.509
## 31 3219.214 24866.006 2694.010
## 32 8053.536 24528.057 4327.164
## 33 6002.298 9481.054 2925.502
## 34 11542.265 16046.076 4220.802
## 35 24972.660 33298.267 11863.237
## 36 4232.826 26537.170 2836.456
## 37 3980.187 61374.249 3662.370
## 38 7072.809 12491.592 3053.959
g. f = 40%
res_1sc_0.4
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1600567 1578556 1585704 11070046118 12134871370 4128725509
## 2 10 2525642 2444933 2502402 12973137626 18848347002 6440034122
## 3 11 1452693 1177903 1409365 11962506431 65957432837 9874815173
## 4 12 1609666 1628899 1620277 12096440126 9484284130 5198310772
## 5 13 1601385 1499866 1572407 6222135086 18221449764 3599158649
## 6 14 2647384 2603587 2611594 17982491746 10104940651 5818064127
## 7 15 5042029 4552778 4865507 104633286814 214481582398 60678778856
## 8 16 2744896 2537079 2686199 12368532530 40946906466 7473642250
## 9 17 2021197 2734658 2037278 11136419425 504568996333 10846487245
## 10 18 1769857 2067301 1799731 7264794074 93663858911 6115740063
## 11 19 1828457 2406184 1845738 9485144999 332560963033 9144950909
## 12 2 1646913 1416051 1589095 13093749141 41323577048 9640827022
## 13 20 1970892 1551745 1922514 19319169702 172892408414 16894721790
## 14 21 1536421 2033919 1558368 10443795238 243473169727 9896295908
## 15 22 2052386 1938964 2012074 12666304146 22618402798 6668621079
## 16 23 2137207 2047166 2113096 13971516592 21323731156 6554403182
## 17 24 2753582 2846465 2800298 17095228097 15847558025 6810352266
## 18 25 3868828 3720815 3759439 98177788153 66096930319 36398626827
## 19 26 2009330 1437871 1980503 16991839615 326950189143 16085281015
## 20 27 1825706 1431211 1800938 9686556126 153635974233 8962264904
## 21 28 1601912 1696608 1632564 15616682234 19975848679 7146276584
## 22 29 1945705 1914669 1929420 22832842730 21703588190 11117649252
## 23 3 1755864 2546969 1783621 21396852272 611897408855 20546608496
## 24 4 2218285 2430188 2285149 18227030315 39364540446 11142645827
## 25 5 2059702 2076840 2067794 13021406012 12790324858 6143386653
## 26 6 2537834 2330865 2469173 23805431616 50548116562 13832101259
## 27 7 2680242 3478695 2698056 13988315592 632100611342 13636661642
## 28 71 2312159 2253961 2293231 31740561708 29956977623 14874453960
## 29 72 1945917 2022723 1962088 33052776437 49150720327 17535412323
## 30 73 3400506 3235768 3317212 53011188039 61364532572 23352205950
## 31 74 2154131 1994295 2115266 9885144543 36965330116 6127195972
## 32 75 1793502 2067178 1867776 25465931934 71036482391 12357978316
## 33 76 2009235 1996716 1989044 16569657825 9628357374 5014729141
## 34 77 2214529 2337385 2256532 39538629488 44973524839 18780887380
## 35 78 6539689 6047947 6225338 187371010764 111842685827 63739204869
## 36 79 2095617 1993474 2044133 14366369971 13222105474 6152968082
## 37 8 2082536 1717808 2043965 12362995408 133630755126 10549371261
## 38 9 2242792 2437156 2322115 16903413160 29923570076 6365528639
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 6800.626 7949.398 2607.368
## 2 5131.245 7807.372 2552.971
## 3 8159.509 56018.151 6956.961
## 4 7470.462 5839.489 3206.196
## 5 3820.460 12502.759 2226.332
## 6 6783.299 3886.976 2225.916
## 7 20428.547 46871.581 12160.803
## 8 4514.491 16333.034 2757.030
## 9 5478.947 184192.446 5293.613
## 10 4090.589 44856.032 3415.607
## 11 5154.396 138077.881 4924.487
## 12 7959.125 29349.658 6064.882
## 13 9728.830 111631.584 8679.851
## 14 6755.862 119673.720 6316.756
## 15 6093.796 12123.455 3274.397
## 16 6550.655 10805.262 3090.718
## 17 6165.258 5421.914 2405.084
## 18 25104.037 17611.565 9558.133
## 19 8346.932 231350.262 8025.012
## 20 5251.688 107719.763 4927.514
## 21 9744.697 11606.574 4429.100
## 22 11596.003 11164.972 5684.058
## 23 12065.091 241520.024 11408.645
## 24 8162.466 16192.852 4877.437
## 25 6275.237 6169.332 2968.387
## 26 9180.929 21505.820 5418.801
## 27 5204.864 181257.638 5038.925
## 28 13479.374 13258.640 6374.592
## 29 16645.553 24171.385 8864.586
## 30 15162.448 18878.546 6802.712
## 31 4547.343 18715.392 2808.945
## 32 13772.571 34914.985 6589.402
## 33 8147.216 4891.111 2541.881
## 34 17352.443 19451.199 8220.996
## 35 28384.254 18594.081 10173.487
## 36 6844.755 6609.446 2981.484
## 37 5913.209 78901.734 5104.259
## 38 7346.402 12259.251 2740.277
h. f = 30%
res_1sc_0.3
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1506829 1523987 1507357 15333816810 8112097076 4517717961
## 2 10 2500593 2426510 2450924 20250823070 10712552466 6456076069
## 3 11 1440820 1117114 1378437 19783636221 91084470078 15375453157
## 4 12 1678739 1570947 1626479 21766954422 22466585643 9174586056
## 5 13 1596205 1494120 1552664 8580223227 27996140150 4464180188
## 6 14 2606450 2582217 2593425 24635466577 18495731674 9393824970
## 7 15 4890990 4598238 4653977 156107528308 55168643226 37008844858
## 8 16 2693426 2496933 2612737 19428093245 35197531734 8824449717
## 9 17 2004531 2724616 2034102 19701469793 515385952762 18570598488
## 10 18 1812366 2017900 1860362 12430550868 48672353667 7553535131
## 11 19 1821767 2400153 1856830 15154172805 360202846423 13051814960
## 12 2 1588394 1380473 1511166 19119870546 42460418506 11308498766
## 13 20 1771579 1474521 1705051 18433337122 83365558106 13514452470
## 14 21 1530598 2033456 1565012 16717437146 246985551541 15385365581
## 15 22 2013887 1852185 1948580 18649310161 32994489383 9293974862
## 16 23 2115314 1947360 2043609 24286414820 31527046018 11941209584
## 17 24 2698602 2729899 2726913 24210716062 12562458398 7673511439
## 18 25 3862671 3658540 3730058 123348532177 95775472370 48385578777
## 19 26 1977937 1403436 1933266 25232891279 311751739951 23058045203
## 20 27 1806140 1391796 1765479 16527809409 176478026222 14648994828
## 21 28 1537521 1670772 1571350 25483189671 46322373254 12728525559
## 22 29 1949100 1903408 1924628 27899330113 25572197844 13323165181
## 23 3 1710325 2580013 1747640 29066319913 753187329356 27080095653
## 24 4 2368420 2423509 2407275 32227210668 21998704616 11427534393
## 25 5 2097618 2098374 2121960 19438175595 24757707388 7808983981
## 26 6 2485733 2345257 2401745 38783966793 22419428255 11819701780
## 27 7 2677317 3596710 2707434 26311012391 847741994061 25228627726
## 28 71 2321684 2220824 2262632 39686446432 30462745753 15433821610
## 29 72 1835648 1978618 1861207 41580345151 78505228403 16868473800
## 30 73 3392158 3342857 3347998 97936990807 78334926285 41434257945
## 31 74 2118639 1944563 2043181 13743914172 23113402760 6310778716
## 32 75 1776354 2017727 1810456 33131248632 104725551858 19672429487
## 33 76 2049293 1949493 2005024 32215020037 36971963290 15475286316
## 34 77 2052232 2341141 2129459 48704566837 106122523590 29200733760
## 35 78 7155690 6468785 6613963 405010641450 109695214222 75869008287
## 36 79 2086591 1945016 2025087 17710354970 32902983413 8197246673
## 37 8 2068800 1666443 2020527 19787120117 155375291771 17379802188
## 38 9 2253346 2536396 2374987 35336023402 58381999605 10494943398
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 10054.392 5353.888 3008.871
## 2 8094.286 4393.776 2619.172
## 3 13510.489 85133.041 11058.667
## 4 12888.934 14780.749 5559.369
## 5 5300.875 19286.871 2821.671
## 6 9360.752 7140.108 3584.598
## 7 30682.080 11876.067 7791.843
## 8 7247.007 14164.439 3321.592
## 9 9644.367 189324.709 8961.505
## 10 6790.499 24166.988 4097.351
## 11 8137.846 148134.467 6974.206
## 12 11793.701 30959.298 7141.911
## 13 10245.241 56720.880 7660.876
## 14 10916.588 121062.007 9833.633
## 15 9076.744 17968.841 4649.252
## 16 11412.339 16546.114 5780.033
## 17 8955.288 4670.830 2835.090
## 18 30875.873 25444.513 12524.770
## 19 12748.395 223824.138 11933.762
## 20 8979.082 128534.476 8149.448
## 21 15828.039 27836.553 7933.658
## 22 13718.756 12825.001 6619.517
## 23 16453.301 293273.670 15013.129
## 24 13553.534 9043.681 4727.273
## 25 9059.653 11760.383 3488.714
## 26 15253.547 9628.348 4870.375
## 27 9715.499 233114.849 9209.352
## 28 16441.802 13525.977 6544.176
## 29 21486.467 39252.988 8965.858
## 30 28775.975 23631.671 12477.852
## 31 6462.155 11908.567 3018.056
## 32 17537.935 52279.848 10565.305
## 33 15335.361 18802.370 7529.811
## 34 22827.714 45273.202 13474.247
## 35 55643.213 16707.172 11168.486
## 36 8389.166 17095.013 3895.174
## 37 9408.860 93017.714 8451.088
## 38 14906.727 23335.313 4521.443
i. f = 20%
res_1sc_0.2
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1442004 1513391 1497859 20037434580 10999515284 6169847104
## 2 10 2411697 2313345 2346164 33603855652 22587988731 12238721466
## 3 11 1418402 1140103 1333679 29584918371 76969563720 17054764188
## 4 12 1664991 1557232 1585297 33563401744 22198045308 12242113441
## 5 13 1558023 1511997 1523494 26074863991 17594265793 10105980730
## 6 14 2598269 2554870 2569772 47805125858 31555492252 17089145240
## 7 15 4900814 4514057 4669725 261502072874 179680389453 99482700421
## 8 16 2775206 2495334 2713241 31299619562 108664017686 19424000456
## 9 17 1954449 2694264 1997571 29304288332 531729453137 26496621729
## 10 18 1679093 1987651 1744425 19425063773 106756233721 10260942783
## 11 19 1841308 2415820 1895011 25874336379 332173146527 21676421073
## 12 2 1605256 1384807 1518366 32704970169 45214545786 15469416014
## 13 20 1883044 1497548 1787932 35801828284 130781386398 25503109553
## 14 21 1573362 2028208 1654862 33900168406 195983600949 22909173152
## 15 22 1865379 1780893 1826487 20787530061 24632496002 10123230735
## 16 23 1999623 1875185 1947100 34707199681 39527379243 15438794173
## 17 24 2639826 2699917 2672553 41941489005 25969941075 13130126408
## 18 25 3770078 3609710 3643566 271357981647 176598212500 99355640403
## 19 26 2047978 1402525 1971189 51966556031 393695283050 45392664574
## 20 27 1778935 1368034 1710585 25648146819 165315053272 20084697672
## 21 28 1532790 1664743 1627034 37950757226 22793308408 12746010454
## 22 29 1873961 1841449 1857257 55416895070 53855701584 27306837802
## 23 3 1800459 2537529 1891233 59716046820 510355165579 47493360566
## 24 4 2368030 2411719 2399542 49140359781 53212134348 22213341802
## 25 5 1984400 2090772 2027260 41934372365 42038933027 16002597060
## 26 6 2472198 2310761 2360042 46626846652 26186240560 15605288969
## 27 7 2682986 3526475 2731717 37490368146 703805197794 34103103226
## 28 71 2255003 2239795 2243533 57411462832 100527775331 29819121987
## 29 72 1773801 2000995 1820341 70294128346 121130701830 34374856447
## 30 73 3536158 3308854 3401208 139092821199 114170426480 54927405025
## 31 74 2177096 1964988 2114670 27531392837 57936827990 15328753281
## 32 75 1769948 2043682 1807453 47788783030 150129574271 25634143617
## 33 76 1899303 1941577 1917967 43880951589 30160556337 15623797261
## 34 77 2202158 2368402 2262230 82230350942 92801731261 30321678961
## 35 78 6881602 6352584 6521398 751897509300 448818099596 274564518640
## 36 79 2121806 1964623 2064789 32697943517 43826218510 16550080186
## 37 8 2053235 1643812 1965016 35549428527 175393841081 26068303941
## 38 9 2142839 2377859 2202296 25527240491 66797295866 14573483134
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 13750.22 7441.127 4197.119
## 2 13849.62 9723.546 5179.122
## 3 20253.12 71964.487 12383.696
## 4 19810.19 14226.367 7650.894
## 5 16188.67 11412.813 6480.354
## 6 18339.38 12347.837 6610.461
## 7 52464.40 39916.833 21116.421
## 8 11350.33 42899.357 6970.751
## 9 14633.32 197856.768 12961.535
## 10 11361.21 52339.428 6016.843
## 11 13772.38 135848.918 11271.295
## 12 20324.55 34147.110 10180.606
## 13 18570.42 88841.393 13838.334
## 14 21122.29 96629.285 14082.199
## 15 10892.77 13713.289 5379.584
## 16 17225.36 21432.716 7775.253
## 17 15582.19 9400.981 4892.553
## 18 67324.19 47824.132 26130.371
## 19 24592.68 279619.572 22368.184
## 20 14230.01 124101.526 11448.714
## 21 24766.59 13646.424 7802.529
## 22 26829.95 26573.466 13348.563
## 23 32740.58 199353.358 24673.530
## 24 20381.93 21939.341 9129.928
## 25 20877.75 20421.246 7906.936
## 26 18656.24 11261.624 6560.949
## 27 13572.58 199715.169 12170.150
## 28 24690.75 45056.755 12949.298
## 29 37486.09 60496.183 18282.301
## 30 38946.90 34432.564 15875.276
## 31 12623.96 30359.946 7202.163
## 32 24100.02 73429.460 13240.194
## 33 22599.15 15505.955 8110.183
## 34 35702.48 39656.934 13315.208
## 35 103460.63 67154.945 39684.036
## 36 15045.21 22595.315 7829.560
## 37 16944.31 110990.563 12823.303
## 38 11631.78 28004.966 6482.797
j. f = 10%
res_1sc_0.1
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1325309 1426136 1351249 51513018047 57238327297 24327125167
## 2 10 2215090 2269278 2244210 46858163005 31104483806 18216090768
## 3 11 1477067 1148426 1330355 79989789451 146474724218 37810238868
## 4 12 1620136 1517337 1545186 81797937843 45925016813 28375091566
## 5 13 1756410 1599232 1693291 52640696586 84940163745 27066543630
## 6 14 2525812 2620951 2594562 117688271042 81601191875 45433915537
## 7 15 4906774 4426236 4631708 404479489874 302653278761 150432748907
## 8 16 2817233 2515308 2693090 61383034126 107965930299 28014910390
## 9 17 2082434 2700021 2186730 56476582290 337239880260 38997279315
## 10 18 1884866 2004520 1948405 55802121634 63836864747 24524111585
## 11 19 1619435 2350618 1688656 40230099559 538280153984 30923114655
## 12 2 1527161 1355118 1425292 69951236621 58769446435 30643035174
## 13 20 1908373 1544056 1710878 91802393746 79483707874 36975695383
## 14 21 1457433 1943900 1584377 55815494293 205566723977 27647399033
## 15 22 1920019 1881602 1919574 71341096979 63150908520 27451982732
## 16 23 2021599 1876509 1937668 99844747195 90691646130 41530274858
## 17 24 2566643 2896758 2645092 70274844931 167876940162 38248392490
## 18 25 4149964 3703348 3786689 562002676451 259927857887 157542609800
## 19 26 1998055 1393663 1826747 135672741458 349640713452 82167767938
## 20 27 1773533 1309208 1656567 63246445963 202035559135 36813786576
## 21 28 1528516 1670955 1635253 88076752455 59744388046 32531578717
## 22 29 1858866 1853847 1856211 145114673101 144018697074 72276493456
## 23 3 1622056 2420555 1731941 92926681893 642866967167 58202163454
## 24 4 2340948 2379143 2297216 126760358865 131905515459 50211180024
## 25 5 2125371 2030015 2071678 113615767197 165959421341 58285156492
## 26 6 2398749 2353367 2381467 192350656594 129843451159 75997524977
## 27 7 2550333 3394187 2667084 94729314149 808233422589 52804738606
## 28 71 2042299 2124866 2055834 104794417143 98123377485 47793021520
## 29 72 1520735 1892010 1592189 103939639733 247153058653 57987152311
## 30 73 3329556 3051326 3094659 424933142298 434853214184 174587864814
## 31 74 1889586 1866781 1877023 74951739229 55939650822 31375470602
## 32 75 1740334 1946866 1771639 71244840732 121633921402 30577406848
## 33 76 1743167 1791457 1749065 71732407187 80881414759 35252475459
## 34 77 2408354 2236309 2297713 284034113119 176176658970 99335842378
## 35 78 6245444 5837250 5960323 783521492255 519439879930 298098449236
## 36 79 1947500 1860124 1876756 53267793224 62507946303 22207382824
## 37 8 2081985 1610069 1884976 95361707471 147680059169 47411885943
## 38 9 2021688 2147481 2057008 41797762760 63850943607 19772227278
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 36889.84 40619.94 17696.400
## 2 21152.63 13472.15 8042.741
## 3 50194.32 137507.60 24021.498
## 4 48086.50 30071.94 17808.607
## 5 28446.00 55866.05 15414.206
## 6 46601.63 31464.41 17631.692
## 7 78506.76 68497.52 31394.924
## 8 21881.45 43107.98 10142.861
## 9 26531.38 125051.85 18028.284
## 10 29206.17 31152.85 12396.807
## 11 24128.12 225008.49 18122.384
## 12 44521.91 44020.88 21031.062
## 13 46587.97 51290.14 20771.893
## 14 37151.47 105237.60 17664.511
## 15 37411.99 39204.86 14651.388
## 16 48083.78 57230.78 21550.150
## 17 26441.88 54220.20 14077.577
## 18 122133.37 70782.22 40230.325
## 19 64474.77 256067.02 42418.006
## 20 34798.90 156626.24 21529.909
## 21 56259.41 34988.96 19517.372
## 22 72536.05 71799.53 36078.504
## 23 52092.93 263062.16 32223.587
## 24 53809.50 55419.51 21939.508
## 25 50717.04 83073.98 26604.856
## 26 71834.58 53316.17 29989.572
## 27 35394.65 228851.15 20133.157
## 28 47778.70 45621.31 22251.804
## 29 58613.18 128908.88 32813.690
## 30 124894.23 137706.37 55672.216
## 31 39892.31 29614.04 16677.707
## 32 37565.70 61285.72 16244.230
## 33 41134.33 44120.29 19982.867
## 34 112807.00 78348.24 42328.061
## 35 123292.65 90634.56 50391.415
## 36 26190.38 33734.47 11495.966
## 37 45006.52 93768.87 24651.697
## 38 20279.44 28598.00 9558.508
k. f = 5%
res_1sc_0.05
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1270926 1362216.5 1271780 1.526720e+11 1.835622e+11 7.561898e+10
## 2 10 2466523 2476544.1 2444190 2.129773e+11 2.004705e+11 9.928514e+10
## 3 11 1085620 949134.8 1016947 7.678419e+10 8.550030e+10 2.372956e+10
## 4 12 1858476 1452461.2 1643326 2.163492e+11 1.704128e+11 8.020924e+10
## 5 13 1643654 1129846.3 1527870 6.572677e+10 2.484822e+11 4.772587e+10
## 6 14 2280376 2597234.6 2403547 2.190924e+11 2.556719e+11 9.381126e+10
## 7 15 5160348 4772675.3 4959380 2.075547e+12 1.914165e+12 9.714736e+11
## 8 16 2602419 2357708.8 2423090 1.229644e+11 5.605070e+10 3.527031e+10
## 9 17 1967308 2636037.9 2015113 2.496139e+11 8.229444e+11 1.315557e+11
## 10 18 1867560 1858833.3 1841831 6.633483e+10 4.554801e+10 2.283652e+10
## 11 19 1495219 2175756.1 1616373 1.099827e+11 5.033693e+11 4.755148e+10
## 12 2 1373280 1176436.6 1214972 1.230824e+11 3.895392e+10 2.802303e+10
## 13 20 1595656 1327444.7 1425481 1.976240e+11 1.578245e+11 7.554759e+10
## 14 21 1391397 1836954.1 1514356 7.460091e+10 2.031955e+11 4.134227e+10
## 15 22 1694501 1573900.8 1684872 1.033828e+11 1.229749e+11 3.662690e+10
## 16 23 2381957 1876176.8 2180338 2.785913e+11 2.853360e+11 1.148454e+11
## 17 24 2521014 2703588.8 2543952 1.266334e+11 2.224228e+11 6.515899e+10
## 18 25 4105979 3789709.4 3882059 1.072644e+12 8.629491e+11 4.616137e+11
## 19 26 1580176 1153815.8 1330983 1.570924e+11 9.157531e+10 4.300819e+10
## 20 27 1473655 1193930.2 1378052 7.854684e+10 1.505270e+11 4.620646e+10
## 21 28 1332934 1390523.1 1300554 1.601773e+11 4.747150e+11 8.337329e+10
## 22 29 1810363 1764206.1 1784831 5.839944e+10 5.505485e+10 2.817479e+10
## 23 3 1307660 2285025.2 1427884 1.038164e+11 9.302084e+11 8.320190e+10
## 24 4 2084148 2312651.9 2139183 6.946496e+10 1.937041e+11 3.408046e+10
## 25 5 2234265 1951139.7 2011877 2.872634e+11 1.490030e+11 8.942720e+10
## 26 6 2107042 2199198.4 2156115 2.034006e+11 1.810342e+11 9.309583e+10
## 27 7 2578304 3614044.4 2763033 1.870728e+11 1.081875e+12 1.037554e+11
## 28 71 2460415 1946265.0 2252250 2.876014e+11 3.629184e+11 1.403581e+11
## 29 72 1533557 1661802.9 1527566 2.344046e+11 2.188182e+11 8.835104e+10
## 30 73 2387560 2732207.4 2451121 3.686828e+11 5.622554e+11 1.699068e+11
## 31 74 1594615 1674703.1 1606154 1.014752e+11 1.139497e+11 4.711538e+10
## 32 75 1415644 1747170.9 1463230 1.252309e+11 2.563462e+11 6.342955e+10
## 33 76 1728137 1541669.2 1640424 1.639415e+11 1.289161e+11 6.171268e+10
## 34 77 1967613 1878571.1 1892902 6.725700e+11 7.635090e+11 3.153723e+11
## 35 78 6880871 6073255.3 6411113 5.378924e+12 4.433354e+12 2.404380e+12
## 36 79 1385100 1649019.9 1432939 4.163852e+10 1.468950e+11 1.847950e+10
## 37 8 2089000 1614938.9 1910556 1.345691e+11 2.457962e+11 7.378985e+10
## 38 9 2020317 2296789.8 2099494 1.581675e+11 2.425131e+11 8.192474e+10
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 101191.58 125020.16 52018.13
## 2 81704.35 80113.12 39416.58
## 3 69048.95 122300.81 23521.43
## 4 105528.21 125187.66 46599.73
## 5 38806.69 238258.31 30568.79
## 6 93549.39 96472.66 37799.47
## 7 355795.79 364917.55 174895.29
## 8 45045.20 24027.89 14579.17
## 9 99486.77 310798.81 54821.73
## 10 35157.12 23733.09 12139.81
## 11 63696.37 232757.38 26372.04
## 12 78082.68 31648.44 21568.41
## 13 115062.59 120901.90 51452.82
## 14 51047.79 111884.79 27441.20
## 15 56629.98 95913.73 22006.57
## 16 111249.96 182584.02 54038.53
## 17 46989.70 78600.49 24079.40
## 18 252111.62 225421.49 115809.47
## 19 96596.45 85032.19 34245.22
## 20 48212.42 128188.23 29350.57
## 21 98452.97 328964.30 52332.88
## 22 30140.84 28749.17 14639.10
## 23 77495.26 399728.74 57206.27
## 24 32822.25 85641.73 16111.16
## 25 124281.48 77222.87 44474.33
## 26 87597.82 77663.32 39817.09
## 27 64658.59 302075.90 35209.70
## 28 106604.20 187691.67 58018.64
## 29 102948.70 124263.97 44487.58
## 30 134399.69 191930.95 60238.84
## 31 60912.39 65010.54 27850.77
## 32 77973.40 148110.04 39192.74
## 33 80515.71 83739.97 33736.44
## 34 286598.39 405658.38 145980.14
## 35 670026.28 637294.35 323773.24
## 36 28555.49 85310.77 12208.77
## 37 55123.85 146810.69 32911.02
## 38 75694.46 104935.52 39028.00
MEnggunakan rumus MSE synthetic yang perbaikan
res_srs2_1
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1637409 1593637 1637409 0 955703889270 0
## 2 10 2452226 2411973 2452226 0 955693693914 0
## 3 11 1432925 1146047 1432925 0 958475729411 0
## 4 12 1628141 1604098 1628141 0 955657754859 0
## 5 13 1660654 1539506 1660654 0 956143923359 0
## 6 14 2677707 2613785 2677707 0 955778716546 0
## 7 15 5059790 4628255 5059790 0 962059273603 0
## 8 16 2702258 2538366 2702258 0 956564054318 0
## 9 17 2063216 2755581 2063216 0 972167779798 0
## 10 18 1802921 2055582 1802921 0 957839116898 0
## 11 19 1893080 2458794 1893080 0 966673452782 0
## 12 2 1631372 1434795 1631372 0 956970329890 0
## 13 20 1933963 1528077 1933963 0 961318643432 0
## 14 21 1543883 2075747 1543883 0 965392305402 0
## 15 22 2024290 1912770 2024290 0 956066666522 0
## 16 23 2145480 1996068 2145480 0 956407607501 0
## 17 24 2721467 2809820 2721467 0 955907001210 0
## 18 25 3923463 3735418 3923463 0 956857168758 0
## 19 26 2049321 1442285 2049321 0 968344465890 0
## 20 27 1850200 1431308 1850200 0 961688550294 0
## 21 28 1632444 1718061 1632444 0 955890588991 0
## 22 29 1945828 1910735 1945828 0 955680287983 0
## 23 3 1794553 2646763 1794553 0 980681363141 0
## 24 4 2297582 2461884 2297582 0 956568683966 0
## 25 5 2083579 2122123 2083579 0 955689051423 0
## 26 6 2526531 2357735 2526531 0 956620312116 0
## 27 7 2716794 3573111 2716794 0 980923248393 0
## 28 71 2297609 2288027 2297609 0 955640987735 0
## 29 72 1872873 2049375 1872873 0 956712061744 0
## 30 73 3484448 3408041 3484448 0 955839136750 0
## 31 74 2197198 2010784 2197198 0 956836105612 0
## 32 75 1867766 2087481 1867766 0 957302461609 0
## 33 76 2088732 2024320 2088732 0 955780884996 0
## 34 77 2275392 2420130 2275392 0 956360202086 0
## 35 78 7020112 6437879 7020112 0 967327314729 0
## 36 79 2178314 2013176 2178314 0 956578186333 0
## 37 8 2025630 1700059 2025630 0 959292868838 0
## 38 9 2279804 2477361 2279804 0 956983634820 0
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 0 599699.8 0
## 2 0 396229.0 0
## 3 0 836332.2 0
## 4 0 595760.3 0
## 5 0 621072.0 0
## 6 0 365668.4 0
## 7 0 207866.5 0
## 8 0 376842.5 0
## 9 0 352799.5 0
## 10 0 465969.9 0
## 11 0 393149.4 0
## 12 0 666973.7 0
## 13 0 629103.6 0
## 14 0 465081.8 0
## 15 0 499833.5 0
## 16 0 479145.8 0
## 17 0 340202.2 0
## 18 0 256158.0 0
## 19 0 671396.2 0
## 20 0 671895.1 0
## 21 0 556377.5 0
## 22 0 500163.7 0
## 23 0 370521.0 0
## 24 0 388551.5 0
## 25 0 450345.7 0
## 26 0 405737.1 0
## 27 0 274529.2 0
## 28 0 417670.4 0
## 29 0 466831.2 0
## 30 0 280465.9 0
## 31 0 475852.3 0
## 32 0 458592.1 0
## 33 0 472149.1 0
## 34 0 395169.0 0
## 35 0 150255.6 0
## 36 0 475158.7 0
## 37 0 564270.2 0
## 38 0 386291.6 0
b. f = 90%
res_srs2_0.9
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1639645 1593490 1639625 412602892 951106653781 412423799
## 2 10 2448742 2405798 2448717 558933113 951096286392 558604209
## 3 11 1424696 1150670 1424592 359475474 953631408505 359338217
## 4 12 1626781 1603040 1626773 312451600 951059517372 312348297
## 5 13 1671636 1536746 1671583 369619060 951663935292 369474531
## 6 14 2671805 2610374 2671772 509027956 951173860712 508754762
## 7 15 5060029 4622922 5058889 2495408994 957655961541 2488908132
## 8 16 2705262 2537113 2705164 553145233 952009868431 552822942
## 9 17 2075237 2749228 2075538 431416856 966695918224 431224065
## 10 18 1799886 2050685 1799979 356447692 953206667923 356313553
## 11 19 1901784 2456735 1902035 436081745 961655133091 435883463
## 12 2 1626993 1434382 1626920 358311689 952315853584 358176074
## 13 20 1910331 1525002 1910030 748352625 956157368121 747765960
## 14 21 1544659 2072841 1544839 328912137 960659434432 328799302
## 15 22 2012153 1909823 2012118 318452694 951389802955 318345712
## 16 23 2149845 1997895 2149779 411248329 951844075330 411068961
## 17 24 2730246 2811013 2730312 781445747 951274002251 780803473
## 18 25 3901724 3731078 3901495 1271688494 952052059585 1269985491
## 19 26 2044183 1440400 2043983 319295581 963600119469 319189626
## 20 27 1849521 1428793 1849376 329924224 957137621112 329810333
## 21 28 1630084 1711282 1630115 362787506 951259894366 362648394
## 22 29 1940372 1905252 1940356 445301383 951068705893 445090102
## 23 3 1796391 2638112 1796942 639398742 975465862027 638978766
## 24 4 2298079 2457331 2298223 864639145 951908483805 863848125
## 25 5 2079691 2116729 2079710 502592272 951080628598 502326465
## 26 6 2504788 2346747 2504668 717956135 951903011237 717411658
## 27 7 2715793 3571188 2716181 442484679 976278560792 442284022
## 28 71 2281970 2286330 2281972 1137017536 951068387156 1135646122
## 29 72 1879872 2047494 1880072 1141841409 952000292120 1140472295
## 30 73 3474307 3401796 3474190 1519607450 951240998038 1517180835
## 31 74 2211954 2008825 2211853 471662773 952454702567 471429212
## 32 75 1873553 2086031 1873708 699934339 952601233860 699418986
## 33 76 2086433 2023828 2086364 1036605383 951177215264 1035471267
## 34 77 2260723 2416265 2260944 1366657123 951883031480 1364681418
## 35 78 6996316 6419508 6993817 4187441855 962524362723 4169297028
## 36 79 2169537 2011272 2169427 656522720 951899165851 656068190
## 37 8 2016894 1698681 2016741 457432478 954539514358 457212198
## 38 9 2276090 2473305 2276167 371617836 952373430486 371472255
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 251.5982 596927.4 251.4921
## 2 228.2285 395357.3 228.0966
## 3 252.0423 828855.9 251.9648
## 4 191.8945 593320.0 191.8321
## 5 221.0196 619314.6 220.9403
## 6 190.4751 364385.2 190.3753
## 7 492.9748 207148.7 491.8022
## 8 204.4129 375233.2 204.3013
## 9 207.8904 351621.5 207.7673
## 10 197.8960 464835.2 197.8113
## 11 229.2193 391432.2 229.0848
## 12 220.1055 663958.8 220.0322
## 13 391.5852 627023.9 391.3404
## 14 212.8522 463449.1 212.7543
## 15 158.2159 498227.8 158.1655
## 16 191.1425 476456.1 191.0652
## 17 286.1830 338432.9 285.9410
## 18 325.8618 255180.0 325.4448
## 19 156.1854 669027.9 156.1489
## 20 178.3553 669933.4 178.3078
## 21 222.4542 555905.3 222.3647
## 22 229.2562 499220.2 229.1494
## 23 355.8431 369756.5 355.5003
## 24 376.1101 387371.5 375.7425
## 25 241.6447 449311.0 241.5147
## 26 286.4884 405626.6 286.2851
## 27 162.9127 273365.6 162.8156
## 28 497.7468 415988.8 497.1470
## 29 607.3913 464976.6 606.5984
## 30 437.3156 279629.4 436.6323
## 31 213.2254 474156.9 213.1295
## 32 373.4618 456674.8 373.1560
## 33 496.6062 470012.7 496.0796
## 34 604.0312 393957.2 603.1000
## 35 598.4531 149930.4 596.0731
## 36 302.5004 473302.3 302.3064
## 37 226.6530 561983.7 226.5612
## 38 163.2120 385083.5 163.1425
c. f = 80%
res_srs2_0.8
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1645708 1592564 1645653 976061242 955587121079 975063992
## 2 10 2435226 2402835 2435181 1266060221 955558831388 1264378343
## 3 11 1417544 1140239 1417322 759791092 958156041470 759173929
## 4 12 1619709 1597147 1619692 672626730 955521371071 672143981
## 5 13 1667849 1544167 1667739 849459673 956029088477 848703265
## 6 14 2656217 2612721 2656165 1111588507 955577088030 1110281440
## 7 15 5055884 4625945 5053411 5537685622 961899378459 5505832029
## 8 16 2693060 2537617 2692861 1221361980 956359693623 1219792173
## 9 17 2079109 2753700 2079807 1007209806 971200425826 1006162083
## 10 18 1799820 2055935 1800033 802759811 957761765897 802081893
## 11 19 1890108 2457258 1890671 962853964 966597322389 961889695
## 12 2 1632567 1436096 1632393 848022030 956819733915 847266730
## 13 20 1915554 1525365 1914871 1670431779 960796656592 1667496916
## 14 21 1529614 2072870 1530003 694637569 965689134689 694129267
## 15 22 2020044 1926758 2019971 745329386 955795085387 744747021
## 16 23 2151955 2000997 2151807 935214927 956278954369 934295077
## 17 24 2742344 2820391 2742497 1891033459 955727844147 1887295555
## 18 25 3929982 3739064 3929389 2956103567 956805647069 2946979059
## 19 26 2060018 1442098 2059541 748138751 968668540233 747560588
## 20 27 1855199 1428880 1854882 706998291 961778854683 706459853
## 21 28 1642443 1717001 1642506 840736715 955713939021 839992970
## 22 29 1947494 1911699 1947456 1025584673 955528200432 1024471318
## 23 3 1787227 2650209 1788481 1428627454 981177124301 1426515164
## 24 4 2283567 2459001 2283887 1819145481 956598248614 1815573950
## 25 5 2066832 2116844 2066887 1097880125 955617379062 1096612919
## 26 6 2548006 2356518 2547655 1746186828 956772659410 1742996260
## 27 7 2729297 3566466 2730152 1002859219 979675110615 1001830786
## 28 71 2282563 2283184 2282552 2595853137 955532463370 2588687504
## 29 72 1862525 2044956 1862950 2348898155 956687802544 2342783379
## 30 73 3497777 3413301 3497462 3436373841 955841136921 3423962990
## 31 74 2203477 2005111 2203258 1052049629 956862169149 1050890804
## 32 75 1856654 2082170 1857017 1553818952 957268519143 1551290701
## 33 76 2104881 2024822 2104668 2511026683 955767455085 2504404637
## 34 77 2267975 2419386 2268448 3158079572 956371245651 3147348889
## 35 78 7008088 6431018 7002531 9395957043 967012397522 9305376664
## 36 79 2178801 2008243 2178535 1472386742 956519584727 1470095836
## 37 8 2034193 1693682 2033804 1095018795 959506000498 1093764686
## 38 9 2267550 2470600 2267731 856306499 956918066283 855534663
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 592.9973 600114.6 592.4110
## 2 519.5471 397682.1 518.8674
## 3 534.5119 840697.4 534.1650
## 4 414.5378 598406.2 414.2454
## 5 509.1301 619164.9 508.7108
## 6 418.3160 365742.6 417.8326
## 7 1094.8669 207925.2 1089.1077
## 8 453.5104 376886.8 452.9612
## 9 484.3621 352677.2 483.6957
## 10 445.7092 465876.5 445.2804
## 11 509.2515 393356.9 508.5893
## 12 519.0599 666368.7 518.6536
## 13 870.5807 629953.4 869.3680
## 14 453.3697 465855.6 452.9225
## 15 368.8770 496153.7 368.6024
## 16 434.2955 478070.8 433.8988
## 17 689.4469 338893.0 688.0459
## 18 752.0203 255893.6 749.8134
## 19 363.1009 671740.4 362.9045
## 20 380.0233 673196.2 379.8016
## 21 511.5822 556624.6 511.1103
## 22 526.1517 499927.8 525.5915
## 23 798.8425 370225.9 797.0947
## 24 794.4199 389004.1 792.7534
## 25 530.9654 451406.8 530.3391
## 26 685.0310 406002.1 683.8745
## 27 367.3275 274668.9 366.8357
## 28 1135.1828 418533.3 1132.0637
## 29 1254.8329 467878.1 1251.2875
## 30 981.5639 280033.9 978.1123
## 31 477.3626 477261.0 476.8846
## 32 836.5195 459791.1 834.9962
## 33 1191.8297 472195.9 1188.8122
## 34 1388.1143 395307.1 1383.1257
## 35 1340.1487 150349.0 1328.2889
## 36 675.0185 476350.2 674.0531
## 37 538.0608 566527.4 537.5480
## 38 377.3455 387298.6 376.9753
d. f = 70%
res_srs2_0.7
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1643881 1595362 1643795 1622588981 957291146797 1619736575
## 2 10 2454053 2411037 2453952 2178758933 957300118627 2173732849
## 3 11 1428070 1149138 1427648 1424457696 959947453347 1422279049
## 4 12 1621592 1603737 1621562 1179845882 957254315087 1178335152
## 5 13 1665403 1529078 1665193 1445342372 957853961741 1443112993
## 6 14 2685167 2618372 2685018 2071190263 957373824794 2066677508
## 7 15 5099625 4643864 5094958 9973573254 964438767119 9871024945
## 8 16 2715274 2545414 2714880 2179055532 958246852862 2174029619
## 9 17 2062208 2758272 2063423 1711477778 973946085915 1708439738
## 10 18 1786843 2054020 1787208 1343204801 959734689919 1341291099
## 11 19 1902824 2461785 1903770 1664211653 968049576772 1661270831
## 12 2 1627504 1435618 1627225 1368032478 958499244681 1366035657
## 13 20 1913432 1529438 1912254 2909724793 962396357297 2900734818
## 14 21 1557687 2075540 1558402 1338112577 966481154406 1336247206
## 15 22 2038808 1906684 2038628 1295858085 957820653732 1294091255
## 16 23 2132065 2000547 2131833 1660162187 957865320862 1657249341
## 17 24 2734818 2822265 2735096 3116137345 957496612376 3105750071
## 18 25 3919113 3749444 3918229 4957251641 958234067545 4931549002
## 19 26 2056631 1439708 2055821 1270767310 970331273144 1269097099
## 20 27 1844927 1425997 1844391 1226402744 963254039016 1224797289
## 21 28 1611383 1709118 1611519 1375821733 957578122753 1373821732
## 22 29 1940356 1906691 1940295 1723219890 957233230987 1720068246
## 23 3 1801348 2635274 1803382 2404572199 981203460914 2398596388
## 24 4 2277542 2465073 2278079 2938654749 958499000240 2928980866
## 25 5 2087355 2120345 2087409 1789265153 957282450188 1785850778
## 26 6 2522193 2350030 2521662 2934768773 958253272380 2925715438
## 27 7 2724056 3580307 2725516 1683851971 982530966339 1680933159
## 28 71 2306827 2289351 2306705 4418263187 957337264416 4397111994
## 29 72 1869998 2048171 1870740 4187568323 958388560518 4168569534
## 30 73 3435235 3392898 3434944 5542281367 957454997996 5509958042
## 31 74 2230205 2010884 2229775 1871189991 958882297524 1867528548
## 32 75 1867802 2088762 1868402 2638612106 958933865628 2631308507
## 33 76 2083869 2018570 2083565 4125035732 957408619946 4106680857
## 34 77 2270481 2413903 2271227 5380327785 958059595505 5349452632
## 35 78 7002638 6424022 6993239 15977118311 968850377167 15717681002
## 36 79 2186782 2012398 2186316 2502222142 958285054432 2495586782
## 37 8 2008337 1703533 2007788 1717159402 960457386956 1714064734
## 38 9 2275596 2467275 2275898 1518760043 958506401608 1516334074
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 984.3318 600171.9 982.6604
## 2 886.6673 397213.1 884.6620
## 3 995.4105 836508.0 994.1950
## 4 724.4223 597219.7 723.5147
## 5 865.7438 626470.5 864.5246
## 6 770.6868 365662.0 769.0526
## 7 1955.0143 207653.8 1936.6975
## 8 801.8350 376455.5 800.1060
## 9 828.5095 353055.6 826.5521
## 10 749.5867 467275.4 748.3696
## 11 871.1421 393171.7 869.1709
## 12 838.2944 667707.4 837.2217
## 13 1514.9826 629283.4 1511.2705
## 14 858.5525 465603.0 856.9616
## 15 635.0712 502570.7 634.2631
## 16 777.9868 479162.7 776.7101
## 17 1137.1334 339330.0 1133.2329
## 18 1264.0022 255553.0 1257.7402
## 19 617.8113 674020.8 617.2432
## 20 664.1645 675778.3 663.4940
## 21 852.2310 560311.9 850.9236
## 22 886.2390 502223.4 884.6501
## 23 1334.6376 372309.7 1329.7955
## 24 1283.6661 388774.6 1279.1538
## 25 856.1152 451416.5 854.4636
## 26 1162.5154 407733.9 1159.1793
## 27 616.9691 274410.6 615.5698
## 28 1907.8521 418144.1 1898.8775
## 29 2230.2291 467923.2 2219.2551
## 30 1610.1012 282146.7 1600.8790
## 31 838.6404 476854.5 837.1625
## 32 1411.8555 459083.2 1407.4959
## 33 1974.1940 474418.7 1965.7378
## 34 2360.6371 396833.4 2346.3918
## 35 2280.2499 150777.4 2246.2548
## 36 1142.2408 476201.2 1139.4677
## 37 853.9703 563923.0 852.6697
## 38 666.9854 388617.1 665.8326
e. f = 60%
res_srs2_0.6
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1660144 1601793 1659963 2728017706 932720861443 2719655399
## 2 10 2456833 2432239 2456741 3340898199 932651532593 3328848182
## 3 11 1441195 1137873 1440427 2319806346 935828441157 2313743792
## 4 12 1628333 1611438 1628289 1681187897 932661580833 1677998559
## 5 13 1645861 1532011 1645601 2046494518 933071462724 2041683813
## 6 14 2657402 2618139 2657255 2972297779 932718134403 2962483791
## 7 15 5072784 4618384 5065445 15162100533 939950219872 14917098109
## 8 16 2720515 2523622 2719725 3732750519 933997096064 3717826820
## 9 17 2038517 2748775 2040329 2440215885 950011817809 2433884910
## 10 18 1793347 2057438 1793951 2145055819 934997704125 2140027653
## 11 19 1891623 2440682 1893138 2626766250 943003448762 2619179518
## 12 2 1619041 1426362 1618579 2218254686 933905632814 2212917599
## 13 20 1924025 1530564 1922120 4479799630 938013945436 4457966281
## 14 21 1536750 2061549 1537765 1842148356 942136273857 1838467723
## 15 22 2039237 1932686 2039001 2080113825 933077304718 2075453514
## 16 23 2119516 2014733 2119233 2465050368 933002021071 2458493842
## 17 24 2731205 2834002 2731700 4714938539 932978820755 4689598428
## 18 25 3969053 3762436 3967216 8265016805 934121124836 8192042050
## 19 26 2040955 1432279 2039712 1929409504 945418221894 1925456311
## 20 27 1859522 1436505 1858586 2065642820 938808329248 2061002599
## 21 28 1652919 1722983 1653090 2401285913 932798729600 2395055903
## 22 29 1922170 1893767 1922094 2536612022 932605039560 2529456857
## 23 3 1823233 2650067 1826539 3885214504 956266123095 3868296525
## 24 4 2286894 2450458 2287709 5221635516 933663734537 5189920724
## 25 5 2040312 2105458 2040497 2754425830 932769731661 2746181141
## 26 6 2557100 2350748 2556084 4570370983 934061247389 4547719748
## 27 7 2683785 3532851 2686033 2550015474 957533051068 2543158755
## 28 71 2302109 2277982 2301882 6945127117 932693384669 6891370905
## 29 72 1868969 2042940 1870080 7211979511 933952382085 7150867682
## 30 73 3492302 3372848 3491063 9491296008 933164324528 9394808605
## 31 74 2174407 2006775 2173933 2622470618 933573026171 2615022892
## 32 75 1893589 2081463 1894453 4438112400 933902141908 4416827533
## 33 76 2069063 2020501 2068687 5832433472 932787828562 5794254526
## 34 77 2201092 2402031 2202447 6759351994 934092568969 6707268380
## 35 78 6887210 6339656 6873320 24533508581 942981545693 23910275539
## 36 79 2163639 2008406 2162975 3893065346 933477304654 3876568804
## 37 8 2028385 1708024 2027399 2863374050 936138200053 2854370273
## 38 9 2279722 2452291 2280135 2340627461 933675633548 2334498149
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 1636.5105 582456.5 1631.6992
## 2 1359.1562 383539.5 1354.3097
## 3 1598.6279 822814.6 1595.3696
## 4 1028.6628 578967.7 1026.7557
## 5 1236.7604 609797.5 1234.0823
## 6 1116.0622 356267.9 1112.4573
## 7 2978.3373 203481.8 2934.7113
## 8 1371.5304 370124.1 1366.4481
## 9 1196.1218 345622.2 1191.9561
## 10 1194.7594 454548.8 1191.5566
## 11 1383.5017 386356.9 1378.3830
## 12 1366.9634 655055.2 1364.0807
## 13 2321.3763 613164.9 2312.4544
## 14 1194.5676 457000.8 1191.3977
## 15 1019.4170 483183.9 1017.2525
## 16 1162.0044 463119.9 1159.0749
## 17 1718.7869 329292.5 1709.2756
## 18 2080.9313 248267.2 2063.5384
## 19 944.8985 660390.0 943.5419
## 20 1109.0035 653729.0 1107.0875
## 21 1450.1110 541672.3 1446.2120
## 22 1314.7256 492587.2 1311.0849
## 23 2118.7394 360841.5 2105.5704
## 24 2266.4220 381014.5 2251.9607
## 25 1348.3341 443059.5 1344.1831
## 26 1785.2940 397541.3 1777.1804
## 27 948.8528 270990.2 945.5064
## 28 3008.0884 409477.0 2985.2307
## 29 3793.8312 457249.0 3759.8872
## 30 2716.2627 276657.7 2689.6440
## 31 1204.5750 465307.9 1201.4243
## 32 2338.6865 448761.9 2326.4487
## 33 2800.1510 461704.4 2782.5349
## 34 3058.7495 388942.9 3033.3982
## 35 3562.3220 148711.3 3478.8304
## 36 1796.2520 464877.4 1789.2205
## 37 1408.4359 548215.9 1404.7185
## 38 1021.8843 380776.0 1019.0343
f. f = 50%
res_srs2_0.5
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1647790 1612215 1647578 3724593071 959338073399 3708149181
## 2 10 2490268 2421108 2489873 5275031280 959370811239 5245604773
## 3 11 1445734 1151961 1444564 3801284876 962173718091 3785334953
## 4 12 1658525 1612871 1658356 3154996020 959300164800 3144320442
## 5 13 1662477 1522516 1662022 3140494054 959918565978 3129183348
## 6 14 2654094 2608131 2653882 4186108656 959309722436 4167572652
## 7 15 5090472 4634942 5080460 21494618766 966469093787 21016167418
## 8 16 2710141 2520635 2709056 5403452850 960485450980 5372596781
## 9 17 2038316 2738949 2040897 3641760592 976213884514 3627793503
## 10 18 1773416 2038420 1774215 2996994437 961655706943 2987334037
## 11 19 1899683 2454668 1902001 4121605820 969852611251 4103293097
## 12 2 1647859 1432078 1647042 3540853472 960867726510 3527428694
## 13 20 1899351 1515601 1896865 6239147991 964292437289 6197515802
## 14 21 1542914 2075179 1544477 2888953614 968994852343 2880104487
## 15 22 2007738 1887175 2007356 2971391928 959744742442 2962067284
## 16 23 2133783 1996555 2133239 3700064376 959945207691 3685577941
## 17 24 2707547 2793279 2708141 6782830190 959494480320 6731675732
## 18 25 3909498 3739421 3907428 11759106736 960192612122 11614921389
## 19 26 2049242 1430918 2047453 2794086602 972421249384 2785951447
## 20 27 1844384 1436164 1843182 2833513024 964970326270 2824895300
## 21 28 1616493 1708296 1616781 3238747694 959496570604 3227420765
## 22 29 1961191 1927108 1961028 4553398341 959197940172 4530692981
## 23 3 1815508 2655002 1819966 5398087433 983632536100 5366210287
## 24 4 2296864 2454337 2297952 8169285895 960331776516 8091194677
## 25 5 2081647 2116751 2081730 4221912139 959381571429 4202153593
## 26 6 2487171 2328299 2486122 6152317285 960099245949 6112056426
## 27 7 2690675 3578419 2694069 3809764604 986397652999 3794908695
## 28 71 2312495 2292833 2312031 10578229492 959473342060 10453542888
## 29 72 1907161 2053593 1908371 10564869726 960293529564 10433956177
## 30 73 3451021 3406685 3450242 12917720335 959525311900 12740760580
## 31 74 2181376 2015888 2180696 3906756739 960149703570 3890613446
## 32 75 1869744 2092362 1871137 6113297412 960894993717 6073766479
## 33 76 2120790 2030048 2119778 9933373103 959575557082 9827935976
## 34 77 2266642 2418028 2268703 13170069420 960066699457 12986240641
## 35 78 7038491 6442921 7015416 39055296306 971461123381 37535198743
## 36 79 2147097 2017701 2146366 5169618744 959927627705 5141072658
## 37 8 2022494 1710140 2021127 4208828887 962554642231 4190322790
## 38 9 2274256 2483151 2275026 3523456609 960696368820 3510243063
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 2239.747 594991.0 2230.319
## 2 2115.998 396310.8 2104.557
## 3 2614.338 836985.5 2605.651
## 4 1896.038 594865.4 1889.853
## 5 1874.223 632430.1 1868.066
## 6 1576.791 367794.7 1569.943
## 7 4209.930 208464.1 4124.873
## 8 1990.788 381156.5 1980.258
## 9 1781.073 356445.0 1771.993
## 10 1683.342 471911.3 1677.183
## 11 2159.641 395101.8 2147.419
## 12 2139.854 671231.7 2132.875
## 13 3282.016 636660.5 3264.581
## 14 1865.567 466919.1 1857.959
## 15 1477.430 508821.4 1473.090
## 16 1731.721 480764.9 1725.402
## 17 2500.979 343587.1 2481.562
## 18 3004.634 256721.8 2969.419
## 19 1361.017 680257.9 1358.269
## 20 1534.458 672020.8 1530.837
## 21 1996.933 562038.5 1989.633
## 22 2307.873 498233.6 2296.625
## 23 2934.442 370457.0 2909.935
## 24 3517.466 391276.9 3482.524
## 25 2016.526 453258.1 2007.124
## 26 2464.483 412595.6 2449.473
## 27 1412.631 275620.2 1405.350
## 28 4535.920 418449.6 4484.182
## 29 5455.228 467650.3 5385.568
## 30 3729.069 281698.9 3679.196
## 31 1789.753 476306.3 1782.933
## 32 3265.918 459252.3 3242.360
## 33 4664.615 472750.8 4617.695
## 34 5807.245 397173.1 5720.945
## 35 5545.604 150745.6 5347.497
## 36 2400.905 475778.7 2388.536
## 37 2079.839 562893.7 2072.116
## 38 1544.117 387423.2 1537.823
g. f = 40%
res_srs2_0.4
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1639146 1599797 1638777 5443243449 964714481989 5405409534
## 2 10 2428342 2398987 2428067 7525727556 964608211461 7463396824
## 3 11 1421044 1119967 1419480 4953099129 967713882153 4924596301
## 4 12 1645510 1590511 1645251 4294737077 964677300920 4275185366
## 5 13 1646941 1525644 1646334 4563310843 965087193074 4537691209
## 6 14 2643210 2609702 2642884 6839068922 964713915454 6786578804
## 7 15 5089881 4640779 5075521 31580189475 971793375786 30558771669
## 8 16 2699259 2545438 2698092 7140894094 965374210757 7087665515
## 9 17 2103391 2770604 2107615 6309696386 979941132620 6268386939
## 10 18 1798513 2064647 1799864 4994956884 967082663732 4968100430
## 11 19 1912944 2468026 1916318 6085981460 975183919724 6046209087
## 12 2 1616379 1445576 1615448 5004160705 965584021593 4976719254
## 13 20 1964728 1539193 1959891 10742672330 971111019332 10620332972
## 14 21 1558010 2082673 1560395 4441079743 974061717035 4420394927
## 15 22 2037153 1917506 2036569 4683679490 965060766784 4660221553
## 16 23 2159765 1988382 2158770 5630856992 965697785258 5596763496
## 17 24 2738632 2814194 2739615 13006348229 964788461782 12824723977
## 18 25 3914482 3750299 3911398 17493017952 965686996988 17177769046
## 19 26 2037526 1447368 2035078 4041711056 976678330127 4024829005
## 20 27 1858967 1425790 1856856 4621035934 971067291515 4597168647
## 21 28 1674576 1723372 1674812 5861939397 964726095123 5825260101
## 22 29 1949496 1913518 1949253 6359975095 964522710635 6314093446
## 23 3 1800700 2654232 1807971 8625004203 989722639451 8544430962
## 24 4 2332162 2475847 2333593 12530857058 965609267505 12349617640
## 25 5 2089678 2129427 2089835 7284634927 964822183282 7225364144
## 26 6 2509895 2371816 2508296 10490670916 965417822651 10375172081
## 27 7 2686638 3558236 2691540 5677452304 991078557260 5643767017
## 28 71 2281221 2292096 2280942 15460037496 964880804116 15189080430
## 29 72 1864165 2052030 1866525 14877418811 965998323561 14610702821
## 30 73 3464787 3405483 3463244 19714495323 965205744259 19303941038
## 31 74 2204430 2013841 2203176 6073045390 965863036890 6033019047
## 32 75 1883371 2091038 1885271 9198873993 966162687240 9110651568
## 33 76 2071423 2017064 2070298 14082361390 964941477611 13855191057
## 34 77 2296594 2426753 2298953 20713766855 965484312945 20239683078
## 35 78 7047537 6450139 7016417 53455155570 977148942854 50657037725
## 36 79 2150024 2015734 2148660 8810814864 965358395952 8727323075
## 37 8 2016054 1698713 2013948 6095656771 968251292369 6054993066
## 38 9 2249080 2451233 2250114 5050199738 965925383389 5020620753
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 3257.567 603265.8 3236.253
## 2 3074.626 402472.5 3049.771
## 3 3446.725 870820.8 3431.227
## 4 2608.601 607671.0 2597.174
## 5 2732.622 634808.2 2718.605
## 6 2576.162 369641.8 2556.858
## 7 6188.974 209250.3 6006.647
## 8 2641.130 379222.4 2622.659
## 9 2990.157 353470.4 2964.643
## 10 2771.281 468536.5 2754.280
## 11 3164.724 394995.0 3138.452
## 12 3080.588 667962.8 3065.659
## 13 5432.638 631166.6 5384.983
## 14 2850.138 467520.8 2832.441
## 15 2293.257 504456.6 2282.484
## 16 2600.349 487153.7 2585.878
## 17 4744.600 343160.0 4676.767
## 18 4461.794 257427.9 4385.092
## 19 1978.341 675059.3 1972.501
## 20 2470.047 682255.0 2460.384
## 21 3485.920 559990.3 3463.776
## 22 3242.110 503985.2 3219.259
## 23 4750.211 372885.1 4686.184
## 24 5307.812 389748.4 5229.121
## 25 3457.236 452798.3 3429.136
## 26 4167.614 406914.0 4124.630
## 27 2104.977 278396.7 2088.719
## 28 6688.026 421059.3 6573.463
## 29 7852.080 471077.2 7702.569
## 30 5668.903 283475.6 5554.235
## 31 2742.386 479881.2 2726.032
## 32 4869.658 462280.5 4818.327
## 33 6698.622 479709.5 6595.963
## 34 8982.216 397954.2 8768.031
## 35 7566.377 151326.4 7202.986
## 36 4076.026 479238.6 4040.452
## 37 3002.422 570267.4 2985.932
## 38 2219.157 394637.8 2205.273
h. f = 30%
res_srs2_0.3
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1637855 1545692 1636897 7731218522 947297331274 7649649842
## 2 10 2451322 2420704 2450750 11574250917 946808842368 11417822692
## 3 11 1472349 1169425 1469271 9564118556 949923085541 9453723290
## 4 12 1610597 1621733 1610508 5990833964 946873896924 5947984773
## 5 13 1625189 1555334 1624668 6624632290 946863341539 6567856483
## 6 14 2736087 2620717 2734485 11550507242 947300947319 11396083265
## 7 15 5011666 4614578 4990690 50297005611 952784370625 47640117815
## 8 16 2741231 2573785 2738927 12346561401 947790098499 12177012835
## 9 17 2046884 2774024 2053147 8725450696 965262023100 8635390096
## 10 18 1812616 2082899 1814496 7601603665 949577459812 7530553950
## 11 19 1854336 2460283 1859676 9250171390 959831308254 9144267967
## 12 2 1594491 1406994 1592978 7064397210 948099285743 7006703310
## 13 20 1964997 1547437 1956000 19048765951 953345298261 18636251171
## 14 21 1535212 2069029 1538617 6242397827 956544029907 6198488302
## 15 22 2024436 1923871 2023649 6846640926 947068494311 6794860471
## 16 23 2116839 2002064 2115791 8206170664 947356671571 8129858884
## 17 24 2705856 2809107 2707256 13736724849 947261568625 13491199280
## 18 25 3940590 3706482 3933060 28515681161 949082289070 27631997538
## 19 26 2038506 1448443 2034756 6054422737 958723864579 6015229054
## 20 27 1857134 1429109 1854107 6515853257 953067239416 6466070296
## 21 28 1649979 1725207 1650372 7378167744 947266054047 7313603099
## 22 29 1965844 1930171 1965404 11792621900 946655758329 11631198466
## 23 3 1701826 2615753 1711733 10811162796 975658786726 10660500849
## 24 4 2344889 2463791 2346945 21156790176 947418338110 20610041422
## 25 5 2084277 2123984 2084508 9615374541 946838647230 9511579723
## 26 6 2627202 2395574 2621967 19383965644 948988327827 18951288609
## 27 7 2725181 3570795 2733384 9670465994 971767687230 9569866770
## 28 71 2360925 2301000 2358182 26573691197 947305665078 25729401586
## 29 72 1904076 2065747 1907603 29547964091 947998039665 28473567686
## 30 73 3573034 3413523 3566252 36297419915 948595983107 34888534501
## 31 74 2172191 2026282 2170616 9380595713 947557199377 9282509828
## 32 75 1884806 2102695 1887591 13948617537 948788628528 13727683576
## 33 76 2148448 2047458 2145526 22610117511 947456701107 22032349584
## 34 77 2281597 2430990 2285817 31724586462 947833602462 30558048520
## 35 78 6960985 6404181 6911441 92107509289 957877422625 83898807662
## 36 79 2101822 2030118 2100617 10598549429 947343119274 10461516103
## 37 8 2038467 1685532 2034579 10199560383 951170283412 10085588366
## 38 9 2301909 2491141 2303624 8478556563 947932663561 8395898614
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 4626.349 615016.3 4582.284
## 2 4670.436 391524.2 4609.651
## 3 6436.834 816104.0 6378.257
## 4 3670.238 584891.2 3644.894
## 5 4026.538 609565.2 3994.125
## 6 4200.381 361442.2 4147.498
## 7 9941.353 206337.4 9464.084
## 8 4484.447 368327.5 4427.253
## 9 4202.017 347896.4 4146.256
## 10 4125.725 456338.8 4083.994
## 11 4860.424 390123.9 4791.264
## 12 4405.378 676153.3 4374.305
## 13 9522.132 617003.2 9365.507
## 14 4042.292 462491.5 4004.855
## 15 3363.829 492763.0 3339.956
## 16 3859.769 474287.0 3826.134
## 17 5022.495 337496.2 4930.631
## 18 7199.382 256011.6 6992.501
## 19 2962.981 663606.2 2949.391
## 20 3476.721 668371.9 3456.647
## 21 4424.261 549674.4 4385.146
## 22 5952.288 491585.5 5873.178
## 23 6271.464 372793.6 6141.783
## 24 8952.478 384503.6 8714.163
## 25 4583.617 445926.8 4534.215
## 26 7209.340 396880.7 7068.127
## 27 3534.978 271991.2 3487.715
## 28 11090.766 411870.1 10759.734
## 29 15193.886 459243.4 14619.183
## 30 10125.625 277767.3 9754.429
## 31 4295.072 467995.3 4253.859
## 32 7320.907 451536.8 7196.203
## 33 10379.825 463209.0 10136.583
## 34 13693.186 390021.8 13170.142
## 35 13163.185 149414.8 12082.714
## 36 4961.542 467007.2 4902.744
## 37 4969.379 565258.3 4924.155
## 38 3660.054 381388.9 3621.698
i. f = 20%
res_srs2_0.2
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1657628 1598530 1656235 14992358277 936213030326 14640380126
## 2 10 2428519 2382360 2426950 20790131645 936064928766 20254790474
## 3 11 1459112 1084822 1453176 14216690167 940939263564 13945661841
## 4 12 1607887 1558345 1607311 10092932338 935943125981 9966343511
## 5 13 1603466 1531015 1602221 10779051230 936241897057 10613837011
## 6 14 2636564 2578730 2635054 15836578258 936245655095 15532518059
## 7 15 4941267 4560006 4910423 76664588025 941218872111 70374153387
## 8 16 2651366 2522249 2648638 17165093526 936789715810 16839693009
## 9 17 2146222 2767990 2156325 16295769651 949624127889 16000650317
## 10 18 1756590 2067812 1761387 14705314821 939151648802 14450830868
## 11 19 1865950 2447621 1873896 13639632072 947758152840 13417546658
## 12 2 1686283 1470769 1682166 16309925764 937636181853 15991125168
## 13 20 1921329 1548590 1910057 25124178871 941291219330 24300697644
## 14 21 1569853 2078077 1575294 10538793803 944973345702 10406188234
## 15 22 2090251 1938593 2088091 13038781314 936875997680 12851499179
## 16 23 2109654 1955210 2107060 15214638630 936818913052 14948593199
## 17 24 2673974 2790022 2675371 33031703021 936846928628 31389951947
## 18 25 3948518 3701386 3934283 51193863087 938463326174 48282918994
## 19 26 2033465 1468876 2025732 12863674140 947126780347 12684189433
## 20 27 1817570 1421422 1811565 12427354482 941462663784 12200566031
## 21 28 1642896 1742988 1644401 14532472375 936217728304 14294632255
## 22 29 1914891 1876974 1914182 17015760563 935738148569 16576045102
## 23 3 1715667 2636825 1729781 16067449542 965169282551 15701950719
## 24 4 2351761 2472223 2351513 39412803714 937892699691 37164323126
## 25 5 2133974 2132681 2133363 17656296463 936140650928 17282356618
## 26 6 2599753 2393483 2591706 32628762578 937415800006 31369138741
## 27 7 2608659 3499232 2621085 14061873167 963633522449 13846008375
## 28 71 2246178 2254804 2244872 28176945017 936702318498 27238626274
## 29 72 1836563 2019573 1841019 31825572066 937558554993 30392194071
## 30 73 3509588 3354595 3496752 55635343591 938498638300 52089242969
## 31 74 2233878 1983530 2228617 17259469136 938555602692 16910473068
## 32 75 1781941 2056838 1786932 21138862774 939303107380 20634904874
## 33 76 2031667 1966742 2028025 32732210237 936507248385 31341771646
## 34 77 2214520 2401833 2218879 46816168415 938462214814 43904644991
## 35 78 6975230 6383276 6892320 153160820499 948527979009 131624424389
## 36 79 2133646 1984313 2130374 19716135434 936654097156 19267771149
## 37 8 2015879 1694674 2009791 17188048682 939529456969 16850132676
## 38 9 2218806 2443954 2221806 12886420450 937625894905 12697429125
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 8695.687 587430.5 8507.699
## 2 8378.965 393845.6 8173.652
## 3 9516.207 868891.4 9384.977
## 4 6238.872 602173.3 6163.782
## 5 6530.353 611978.5 6440.091
## 6 5960.609 363048.8 5852.458
## 7 15465.220 206234.3 14300.137
## 8 6445.226 371586.2 6330.840
## 9 7520.671 343102.4 7350.643
## 10 8323.858 455113.1 8157.321
## 11 7278.181 387037.8 7126.698
## 12 9532.796 639408.3 9374.869
## 13 12689.071 609694.8 12379.381
## 14 6643.852 454690.2 6537.298
## 15 6227.780 485083.9 6145.184
## 16 7165.382 480821.5 7050.153
## 17 11785.073 336053.2 11209.281
## 18 12797.622 253531.6 12128.745
## 19 6286.841 645539.8 6223.861
## 20 6656.386 664211.6 6568.204
## 21 8788.945 537847.1 8637.557
## 22 8500.104 499358.3 8290.115
## 23 8963.732 366094.2 8686.325
## 24 15998.973 379331.5 15126.111
## 25 8160.069 438912.6 7993.368
## 26 12387.005 392686.8 11959.634
## 27 5336.959 275072.2 5230.687
## 28 12285.621 415394.7 11898.898
## 29 16842.028 464333.1 16046.482
## 30 15444.401 279452.6 14547.723
## 31 7609.892 473439.3 7479.535
## 32 11614.051 456850.2 11314.484
## 33 15721.166 476763.4 15111.765
## 34 20654.622 390395.3 19382.116
## 35 21823.271 148333.8 18995.378
## 36 9161.851 472232.0 8971.149
## 37 8434.551 555637.3 8297.598
## 38 5768.047 383567.6 5675.723
j. f = 10%
res_srs2_0.1
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1655637 1618995 1653504 23807636836 932968048287 23121821807
## 2 10 2464440 2417393 2460359 48778025169 932610869362 46071723354
## 3 11 1499114 1178778 1483496 42549084160 935096191186 39300774498
## 4 12 1656208 1653803 1654380 29723303081 931981946378 28466943642
## 5 13 1639921 1534461 1635362 25931075211 932652934559 24849874254
## 6 14 2742225 2652262 2734630 55485865925 932278502027 51109658280
## 7 15 5219980 4658098 5114328 208892425597 945171555135 166699651341
## 8 16 2623203 2544564 2619723 32513963387 931926969945 31287438354
## 9 17 2011069 2745441 2029646 25324034741 950360890200 24596280262
## 10 18 1800951 2070286 1807198 32323847071 934778799860 30887772027
## 11 19 1961778 2461353 1976299 35749439552 940867643803 33646481102
## 12 2 1703614 1425507 1693551 32681866276 934463479091 31354771615
## 13 20 2017152 1550224 1971810 71106846054 941553809896 63698141845
## 14 21 1514774 2071161 1526397 24560726841 942900483249 23621438478
## 15 22 2067243 1938946 2062065 29279596940 932699202007 28216888059
## 16 23 2150384 2075012 2146200 30100918505 932548649259 28934136746
## 17 24 2730974 2868780 2733361 59317199499 932899240883 52127333514
## 18 25 3980105 3796335 3955081 118611624121 934180234295 104052294936
## 19 26 2001847 1424547 1987501 23838440116 942980700104 23207450664
## 20 27 1837982 1462089 1829141 19811790109 936581463397 19303630019
## 21 28 1654971 1711933 1656351 31589030641 932250393836 30427880439
## 22 29 1823021 1789368 1822387 17910308378 931333723313 17541082987
## 23 3 1742090 2664583 1766044 32552852738 962884973370 30282630402
## 24 4 2267260 2451067 2267664 92161525047 935430649030 77539575797
## 25 5 2034965 2102340 2036103 38997335336 931859306155 37175750320
## 26 6 2558233 2335874 2539048 72969560010 933825628639 67141621085
## 27 7 2664928 3536698 2690910 29837993925 958177377985 28870286091
## 28 71 2211727 2315365 2214716 58728160616 932874535359 54769901300
## 29 72 1977795 2080726 1970355 122712818673 934599602626 99592245960
## 30 73 3634282 3392217 3602620 137820875204 935643933831 119310157515
## 31 74 2231223 2042378 2222659 40626946723 932983652878 38654446394
## 32 75 1900901 2120708 1907515 59945471675 935902736180 55525937335
## 33 76 2093345 2084668 2084148 81949275960 933275030575 72895702728
## 34 77 2227363 2419776 2225699 102019560683 935763625024 84258639440
## 35 78 6775195 6268624 6647917 305495195304 940550092584 228903342657
## 36 79 2246555 2045680 2231608 44615028060 934195146575 41824784904
## 37 8 2072663 1716385 2045815 47227193721 937968578448 43140541023
## 38 9 2215010 2383702 2218470 20857262180 932648985246 20287404004
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 13883.232 582948.8 13518.558
## 2 19396.106 385893.4 18369.481
## 3 26612.529 808614.8 25056.417
## 4 16956.108 565341.6 16308.054
## 5 15150.413 618352.2 14604.023
## 6 19494.240 350658.7 18077.457
## 7 38798.843 201864.4 31861.277
## 8 12295.747 365872.7 11853.120
## 9 12462.031 345228.4 11990.335
## 10 17388.698 450532.0 16588.838
## 11 17325.350 382216.5 16221.800
## 12 18787.761 665397.9 18163.039
## 13 32978.387 608853.0 30763.918
## 14 15172.117 454911.3 14507.830
## 15 13779.185 485990.2 13332.201
## 16 13803.423 449124.3 13309.573
## 17 20499.529 327445.1 18174.486
## 18 29417.959 245902.0 26030.056
## 19 11867.826 667955.0 11641.471
## 20 10563.701 640428.1 10360.920
## 21 18897.932 547530.6 18187.217
## 22 9780.618 519973.1 9583.128
## 23 17498.872 360223.6 16170.677
## 24 37466.857 380902.3 31851.962
## 25 18688.141 441937.6 17829.324
## 26 27545.879 398135.8 25595.611
## 27 11084.867 269642.0 10620.691
## 28 25975.731 403520.7 24248.627
## 29 58030.832 450629.4 47808.663
## 30 37683.825 275426.9 32914.598
## 31 17999.423 458334.8 17204.072
## 32 30243.183 442730.3 28040.187
## 33 37390.343 448072.7 33663.230
## 34 42143.711 388412.0 35824.108
## 35 44915.144 149255.2 34306.963
## 36 19168.672 458150.0 18198.615
## 37 21034.328 549214.9 19739.228
## 38 9297.765 391523.1 9029.587
k. f = 5%
res_srs2_0.05
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1689954 1561587 1679536 54161130058 906489639860 50612054788
## 2 10 2262248 2194145 2242839 69037859810 908347485142 59765913038
## 3 11 1466591 1184764 1433703 81668038894 909706052759 70227009431
## 4 12 1475626 1559219 1475875 36875964849 906201141767 34785124561
## 5 13 1728517 1573883 1706387 79236936873 907103422796 68065488246
## 6 14 2537704 2512514 2529341 96299744667 907415531678 81037592219
## 7 15 4972709 4447414 4832644 314347414603 917485125327 227519133707
## 8 16 2603920 2496399 2586323 102313130122 905983423548 84202095901
## 9 17 2002336 2625928 2038154 62307385676 919577374570 57419216722
## 10 18 1662758 2008471 1667246 66039941924 912584139117 55699348281
## 11 19 1846213 2422345 1872108 47472997567 917289654110 44303495148
## 12 2 1611181 1439140 1597941 59415000309 906551881100 54040659455
## 13 20 2013002 1471376 1929117 158483086541 915924666203 118238546298
## 14 21 1504165 2038048 1525273 45837811986 916662587012 42253257533
## 15 22 2002917 1956340 2000933 55154669240 906801248376 51214730065
## 16 23 2171146 2038845 2157363 84628418086 907209840710 75319697027
## 17 24 2614110 2732555 2621881 75657111300 906218764232 69108536313
## 18 25 3675756 3528222 3637941 175245341149 909449282973 141045820176
## 19 26 2027979 1440157 1995878 52382481728 917715730937 49173256217
## 20 27 1773396 1425734 1747195 63192659497 909381135148 54167712164
## 21 28 1526060 1633589 1529356 48828061548 906233340696 45694908909
## 22 29 2064882 2031794 2062603 104101616758 904971836291 87042999506
## 23 3 1712373 2614032 1756120 54965744709 935526099004 51174409768
## 24 4 2194359 2367071 2204011 83907733873 907673950566 74255823893
## 25 5 1899548 2041010 1900636 48376792850 907154754846 44631901760
## 26 6 2540189 2248293 2478041 183830795223 909916172176 145102998756
## 27 7 2692749 3484359 2739490 69795583334 931515741158 64204757342
## 28 71 2112157 2249589 2121341 127303110667 908061704298 108119854978
## 29 72 1812140 2025294 1810293 163828834559 910722348478 124993525788
## 30 73 3712705 3482201 3602598 342032504866 915246307722 223267110045
## 31 74 2205365 1964011 2182727 73338797240 908566163845 66720390259
## 32 75 1839128 2046578 1844036 107026189583 910700067211 91629939014
## 33 76 2241635 2109657 2162380 284424553186 910565668549 170428498117
## 34 77 2353137 2411296 2302591 308542918511 912236518708 197638117418
## 35 78 6732398 6244872 6533723 650643074972 914956183069 373880702048
## 36 79 2030549 1981188 1998326 101250951881 909104191020 82135662489
## 37 8 2071724 1589206 2014431 97457408002 914666182586 82400070819
## 38 9 2208088 2410286 2214981 43781304822 908120064562 41300970466
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 31281.67 581232.5 29490.58
## 2 27785.05 413066.9 24745.40
## 3 49060.21 784094.0 44439.83
## 4 23709.29 585072.2 22460.61
## 5 40911.02 580212.8 36409.25
## 6 36555.64 361569.7 31096.00
## 7 61890.47 205722.2 46495.51
## 8 36812.91 366853.9 31138.71
## 9 30001.83 351382.8 27201.67
## 10 32988.39 461950.0 28414.27
## 11 24822.79 378975.4 22868.41
## 12 35703.45 641381.8 32975.01
## 13 74234.11 639067.7 59845.80
## 14 28209.51 451363.2 25724.78
## 15 27333.96 471558.3 25434.92
## 16 37501.62 456900.6 33765.24
## 17 28967.38 330863.5 26361.04
## 18 45404.76 256349.8 37269.15
## 19 25646.70 649754.8 24490.15
## 20 33144.50 645200.3 29564.43
## 21 30627.32 558507.5 28673.10
## 22 47945.10 447349.8 40392.52
## 23 30533.43 356398.1 27826.22
## 24 36667.36 384671.4 32463.44
## 25 24230.56 445992.4 22470.15
## 26 70847.24 409510.6 57949.79
## 27 25430.18 266203.2 23043.93
## 28 58830.40 403699.6 49946.53
## 29 82181.02 450471.1 64583.74
## 30 83872.21 262106.4 59070.57
## 31 32236.18 463424.5 29771.25
## 32 53948.83 445478.3 46871.81
## 33 108808.29 436499.1 72046.78
## 34 115513.74 378418.8 79079.29
## 35 94919.96 145316.4 56451.71
## 36 42558.21 459818.4 36485.73
## 37 45009.53 576185.8 39932.05
## 38 19239.55 376456.8 18128.11
2. Metode One stage cluster
a. f = 100%
res_1sc2_1
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1637409 1593637 1637409 0 955703889270 0
## 2 10 2452226 2411973 2452226 0 955693693914 0
## 3 11 1432925 1146047 1432925 0 958475729411 0
## 4 12 1628141 1604098 1628141 0 955657754859 0
## 5 13 1660654 1539506 1660654 0 956143923359 0
## 6 14 2677707 2613785 2677707 0 955778716546 0
## 7 15 5059790 4628255 5059790 0 962059273603 0
## 8 16 2702258 2538366 2702258 0 956564054318 0
## 9 17 2063216 2755581 2063216 0 972167779798 0
## 10 18 1802921 2055582 1802921 0 957839116898 0
## 11 19 1893080 2458794 1893080 0 966673452782 0
## 12 2 1631372 1434795 1631372 0 956970329890 0
## 13 20 1933963 1528077 1933963 0 961318643432 0
## 14 21 1543883 2075747 1543883 0 965392305402 0
## 15 22 2024290 1912770 2024290 0 956066666522 0
## 16 23 2145480 1996068 2145480 0 956407607501 0
## 17 24 2721467 2809820 2721467 0 955907001210 0
## 18 25 3923463 3735418 3923463 0 956857168758 0
## 19 26 2049321 1442285 2049321 0 968344465890 0
## 20 27 1850200 1431308 1850200 0 961688550294 0
## 21 28 1632444 1718061 1632444 0 955890588991 0
## 22 29 1945828 1910735 1945828 0 955680287983 0
## 23 3 1794553 2646763 1794553 0 980681363141 0
## 24 4 2297582 2461884 2297582 0 956568683966 0
## 25 5 2083579 2122123 2083579 0 955689051423 0
## 26 6 2526531 2357735 2526531 0 956620312116 0
## 27 7 2716794 3573111 2716794 0 980923248393 0
## 28 71 2297609 2288027 2297609 0 955640987735 0
## 29 72 1872873 2049375 1872873 0 956712061744 0
## 30 73 3484448 3408041 3484448 0 955839136750 0
## 31 74 2197198 2010784 2197198 0 956836105612 0
## 32 75 1867766 2087481 1867766 0 957302461609 0
## 33 76 2088732 2024320 2088732 0 955780884996 0
## 34 77 2275392 2420130 2275392 0 956360202086 0
## 35 78 7020112 6437879 7020112 0 967327314729 0
## 36 79 2178314 2013176 2178314 0 956578186333 0
## 37 8 2025630 1700059 2025630 0 959292868838 0
## 38 9 2279804 2477361 2279804 0 956983634820 0
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 0 599699.8 0
## 2 0 396229.0 0
## 3 0 836332.2 0
## 4 0 595760.3 0
## 5 0 621072.0 0
## 6 0 365668.4 0
## 7 0 207866.5 0
## 8 0 376842.5 0
## 9 0 352799.5 0
## 10 0 465969.9 0
## 11 0 393149.4 0
## 12 0 666973.7 0
## 13 0 629103.6 0
## 14 0 465081.8 0
## 15 0 499833.5 0
## 16 0 479145.8 0
## 17 0 340202.2 0
## 18 0 256158.0 0
## 19 0 671396.2 0
## 20 0 671895.1 0
## 21 0 556377.5 0
## 22 0 500163.7 0
## 23 0 370521.0 0
## 24 0 388551.5 0
## 25 0 450345.7 0
## 26 0 405737.1 0
## 27 0 274529.2 0
## 28 0 417670.4 0
## 29 0 466831.2 0
## 30 0 280465.9 0
## 31 0 475852.3 0
## 32 0 458592.1 0
## 33 0 472149.1 0
## 34 0 395169.0 0
## 35 0 150255.6 0
## 36 0 475158.7 0
## 37 0 564270.2 0
## 38 0 386291.6 0
b. f = 90%
res_1sc2_0.9
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1626100 1593326 1626065 924392208 939716830797 923465120
## 2 10 2448002 2398098 2447953 908438582 939774651553 907555658
## 3 11 1424706 1146626 1424469 799498398 942346660281 798812864
## 4 12 1637350 1599684 1637311 957120793 939729708675 956139732
## 5 13 1637332 1529460 1637265 572142574 940086714419 571784660
## 6 14 2668447 2604188 2668356 1315509195 939841393007 1313664293
## 7 15 5030420 4608106 5026680 8194752932 946025103257 8122517547
## 8 16 2713681 2521658 2713508 851144571 940937760915 850373737
## 9 17 2038131 2733675 2038786 901439893 956351975396 900583417
## 10 18 1793143 2045330 1793300 589257205 941887206181 588887465
## 11 19 1895490 2441432 1895943 788367654 949943641120 787710888
## 12 2 1638243 1433377 1638041 925491658 941120690677 924581368
## 13 20 1900983 1516542 1900524 1128489492 944787923126 1127139443
## 14 21 1544916 2064483 1545327 753057950 948987489818 752454423
## 15 22 2028989 1916100 2028884 861959787 940114368378 861162983
## 16 23 2129060 2009843 2128913 1157811203 940184162578 1156382336
## 17 24 2704771 2802559 2704894 1182362631 940025584895 1180874363
## 18 25 3912519 3716711 3911174 6494037776 941042797124 6449365594
## 19 26 2031091 1434739 2030274 1296820356 951958795010 1295028695
## 20 27 1845661 1431535 1845291 841743625 945593496500 840987393
## 21 28 1610149 1699757 1610261 1195182470 939964985507 1193654408
## 22 29 1931092 1897776 1931036 1600573688 939691178288 1597809847
## 23 3 1802738 2634825 1804066 1539208514 963550755725 1536745591
## 24 4 2290792 2444123 2291029 1469580329 940496622184 1467278379
## 25 5 2075232 2106243 2075267 1069567990 939712743452 1068347311
## 26 6 2504056 2336633 2503742 1740609864 940649900467 1737355686
## 27 7 2716235 3558665 2717194 1100078487 964192194802 1098820450
## 28 71 2300971 2269174 2300891 2222406219 939768627448 2217140291
## 29 72 1869952 2031628 1870305 2108607651 940589990698 2103805750
## 30 73 3498212 3384986 3497681 4311231287 940175666758 4291430715
## 31 74 2163641 1992911 2163503 757328589 940677723227 756716644
## 32 75 1831972 2069271 1832389 1725741708 941678553819 1722427759
## 33 76 2074968 2019434 2074885 1409092238 939775114077 1406966238
## 34 77 2233088 2394271 2233603 3074742380 940661265358 3064656092
## 35 78 6930308 6376400 6919792 18274269741 950349067036 17925814886
## 36 79 2139856 1995891 2139714 922966767 940396135935 922046751
## 37 8 2025337 1692663 2025037 849222865 943497587369 848456517
## 38 9 2270498 2466007 2270802 1469228827 941008497699 1466935063
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 567.1724 589731.1 566.6176
## 2 371.0121 391968.3 370.6591
## 3 560.2244 822243.7 559.8393
## 4 584.2020 587663.4 583.6177
## 5 348.4665 614875.5 348.2636
## 6 492.8916 360901.9 492.2174
## 7 1624.4085 205281.3 1611.3643
## 8 313.7213 373159.6 313.4571
## 9 441.9883 349830.2 441.4262
## 10 328.3628 460591.7 328.1284
## 11 415.8698 389042.6 415.4238
## 12 564.9898 656500.1 564.5037
## 13 593.5068 623125.9 592.9404
## 14 486.9819 459613.7 486.4618
## 15 424.4262 490796.7 424.0563
## 16 543.7073 468038.1 543.0738
## 17 437.1046 335490.4 436.5346
## 18 1659.3661 253204.1 1648.5221
## 19 637.4614 663494.9 636.8418
## 20 455.5582 660659.7 455.2415
## 21 741.9831 553056.4 740.9843
## 22 827.6172 495479.8 826.2147
## 23 853.6229 365661.8 851.6298
## 24 641.1675 384761.4 640.0980
## 25 515.3199 446095.2 514.7232
## 26 694.5608 402586.5 693.3517
## 27 405.0317 270893.1 404.4255
## 28 965.5100 414148.6 963.2576
## 29 1125.6734 463022.0 1122.9031
## 30 1231.4978 277745.0 1226.0355
## 31 349.9926 472060.5 349.7321
## 32 936.8869 455110.1 934.8777
## 33 678.6767 465524.6 677.6810
## 34 1376.0892 392891.7 1371.2645
## 35 2630.9908 149005.3 2584.8892
## 36 431.0433 471222.7 430.6428
## 37 419.1941 557435.2 418.8781
## 38 647.1300 381560.8 646.0331
c. f = 80%
res_1sc2_0.8
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1627993 1588346 1627906 2126789358 942534307955 2121870821
## 2 10 2428995 2391760 2428913 2016091015 942530952250 2011744637
## 3 11 1422647 1154451 1422107 1872746934 945010688372 1868845884
## 4 12 1625651 1597700 1625588 2206301065 942576478126 2201110143
## 5 13 1670192 1520147 1669957 1493470414 943267378750 1491091731
## 6 14 2655763 2613882 2655617 2872645179 942641036345 2863822137
## 7 15 5085074 4629658 5075481 20033922938 950008740728 19612206751
## 8 16 2695332 2536733 2695011 1899523657 943352334733 1895664041
## 9 17 2065796 2741028 2067289 2114003708 958181814945 2109309388
## 10 18 1794642 2043957 1794998 1349941593 944666449379 1347982582
## 11 19 1871190 2447474 1872188 1659636717 953976942555 1656714503
## 12 2 1615755 1433241 1615378 1947663859 943621068467 1943598495
## 13 20 1956862 1522288 1955631 2691922668 949043837847 2684281868
## 14 21 1528581 2064216 1529499 1650839041 952441350356 1647915562
## 15 22 2024594 1900999 2024336 1963956045 943002531342 1959794772
## 16 23 2131162 2007168 2130811 2663306433 943093682018 2655770819
## 17 24 2732282 2818667 2732517 2651504774 942852405475 2643992307
## 18 25 3905664 3734366 3902797 14425030326 943835140741 14199093104
## 19 26 2025035 1432718 2023154 3018246749 954652372043 3008601886
## 20 27 1850990 1420120 1850110 1928479801 948896768861 1924509758
## 21 28 1604647 1687713 1604876 2688350052 942787682691 2680528985
## 22 29 1944578 1911747 1944460 3516612029 942484282031 3502949144
## 23 3 1776369 2612579 1779336 3438699098 966633984613 3426311764
## 24 4 2319681 2451618 2320115 3289134653 943167412343 3277463166
## 25 5 2078077 2107526 2078133 2181635633 942538699692 2176430575
## 26 6 2459153 2332935 2458660 3478405262 943053516705 3464779178
## 27 7 2730679 3573193 2732867 2519507723 967085496045 2512830236
## 28 71 2288167 2269589 2288072 4530074063 942476461556 4508017504
## 29 72 1867150 2027863 1867962 4946672590 943463206692 4920091803
## 30 73 3414667 3357178 3414106 9048735647 942714507979 8962271504
## 31 74 2162994 1991416 2162676 1750602756 943509249076 1747353075
## 32 75 1845377 2069851 1846306 4119839275 944313930793 4100656292
## 33 76 2087312 2003749 2087047 3097555104 942749689650 3087328594
## 34 77 2232419 2384128 2233326 6275886172 943502781172 6232129901
## 35 78 6932765 6358874 6910043 38679667162 954075970813 37113250325
## 36 79 2149847 1992709 2149477 2143493615 943356530096 2138511598
## 37 8 2007880 1695065 2007241 1899933110 945879255610 1896042849
## 38 9 2255728 2445038 2256322 3078308722 943759002012 3067523588
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 1302.2048 593649.8 1299.2688
## 2 829.4320 394183.8 827.6738
## 3 1310.1898 821694.5 1307.9856
## 4 1356.1884 590645.9 1353.0498
## 5 894.1787 621466.5 892.8801
## 6 1080.7612 360557.0 1077.5076
## 7 3928.3262 205034.0 3853.2013
## 8 704.7533 371917.5 703.4058
## 9 1023.4819 349456.2 1020.4673
## 10 751.3295 462356.3 750.0913
## 11 885.5150 389628.1 883.4867
## 12 1204.7818 658492.7 1202.5510
## 13 1375.1229 624098.8 1372.0851
## 14 1077.3331 461222.4 1074.7836
## 15 968.7667 496520.8 966.8422
## 16 1248.6462 470127.4 1245.3225
## 17 969.7668 334614.7 966.9400
## 18 3670.0261 252644.0 3615.6962
## 19 1488.7900 666816.0 1485.4278
## 20 1041.6846 668543.3 1040.0403
## 21 1672.1899 559029.5 1667.1025
## 22 1803.2515 493385.3 1796.3778
## 23 1933.8071 369720.9 1923.6055
## 24 1414.9336 384535.3 1409.6653
## 25 1047.8813 447038.7 1045.3602
## 26 1407.5210 404316.8 1402.3342
## 27 921.8201 270433.4 918.6335
## 28 1977.3871 415253.9 1967.8571
## 29 2640.8934 465386.3 2625.6015
## 30 2649.1661 280626.3 2624.2831
## 31 809.2764 473953.3 807.8937
## 32 2217.8196 456343.7 2206.4131
## 33 1485.0028 470706.8 1480.2795
## 34 2794.1792 395721.2 2773.7143
## 35 5537.8868 149865.1 5332.9781
## 36 995.1669 473571.2 993.0355
## 37 944.4014 558236.4 942.7767
## 38 1362.3552 385947.4 1357.2203
d. f = 70%
res_1sc2_0.7
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1614251 1587051 1614130 3453994315 945063806050 3440888180
## 2 10 2410571 2406249 2410556 3316783085 945026304434 3305131358
## 3 11 1425295 1137212 1424337 3080854314 947901043758 3070342798
## 4 12 1655758 1594241 1655504 3900096788 945175267222 3883897102
## 5 13 1661629 1542366 1661316 2412140736 945488458997 2405747643
## 6 14 2640960 2609519 2640792 4574051622 945244601693 4551450071
## 7 15 5049635 4602247 5034664 31618434112 952520268407 30561388262
## 8 16 2701276 2523553 2700658 3253969432 946182848293 3242671773
## 9 17 2030188 2746543 2032634 3392614965 962899591231 3379660220
## 10 18 1791248 2042551 1791858 2338288909 947197706069 2332430665
## 11 19 1878392 2446224 1880119 2950053593 956152286144 2940755191
## 12 2 1597897 1426139 1597319 3132301135 946035153879 3121816316
## 13 20 1919890 1526320 1918076 4327799489 950353653956 4307554118
## 14 21 1547598 2061611 1549190 2996255672 954142437634 2986654994
## 15 22 2046263 1901136 2045737 3356768625 945776061006 3344669003
## 16 23 2134333 1971142 2133567 4378960401 946043935049 4358339330
## 17 24 2713429 2815540 2713888 4396617544 945410284884 4376012402
## 18 25 3926621 3741164 3921182 27014486662 946396878575 26249115017
## 19 26 2033297 1433054 2029970 5314122478 957525854500 5284409974
## 20 27 1832217 1418752 1830832 3139992287 950931806113 3129411181
## 21 28 1645563 1721302 1645945 4849722863 945281773482 4824884665
## 22 29 1913229 1880721 1913026 5669924006 944996919483 5632400009
## 23 3 1812928 2633442 1818347 6438673890 968230196823 6395458160
## 24 4 2262458 2451612 2263382 5182115222 946534000373 5151802893
## 25 5 2063758 2111332 2063964 4115276001 945076473491 4097308047
## 26 6 2527732 2349177 2526396 6884984857 946122911650 6833463563
## 27 7 2701387 3543142 2705073 4252102844 969525371160 4233086970
## 28 71 2352184 2274434 2351377 9344535104 945267756016 9251616022
## 29 72 1866726 2037266 1868181 8878460795 946143771252 8791338413
## 30 73 3428748 3373108 3427797 15526196192 945213058303 15272215699
## 31 74 2176271 2000731 2175742 2841054955 946097872207 2832463657
## 32 75 1845094 2076976 1846468 6586926733 947166569515 6534584077
## 33 76 1990993 1996763 1990975 4726674481 945106529026 4702238973
## 34 77 2293196 2408365 2294518 12228486463 945736430581 12068397348
## 35 78 6962974 6386352 6922989 71254496234 956637640439 66171752159
## 36 79 2162129 2001497 2161475 3758923204 945885248678 3743520268
## 37 8 2049184 1697718 2047956 3255648211 949381115807 3244356928
## 38 9 2252879 2441627 2253981 5727927336 946269417640 5691074749
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 2129.735 595603.7 2121.877
## 2 1375.188 392880.3 1370.368
## 3 2144.131 834572.5 2138.383
## 4 2355.036 593579.4 2345.622
## 5 1447.894 613422.7 1444.353
## 6 1730.334 362441.5 1721.907
## 7 6227.555 206957.2 6039.278
## 8 1203.597 374986.8 1199.701
## 9 1655.732 350583.9 1647.377
## 10 1303.014 464040.2 1299.314
## 11 1564.827 390795.9 1558.464
## 12 1956.311 663757.7 1950.501
## 13 2247.394 623213.3 2239.090
## 14 1929.924 462769.8 1921.750
## 15 1637.753 498020.8 1632.293
## 16 2049.892 480794.9 2041.003
## 17 1618.182 335961.5 1610.343
## 18 6870.819 253005.6 6686.126
## 19 2614.017 668386.1 2603.703
## 20 1709.206 670945.2 1704.781
## 21 2947.233 549291.9 2931.451
## 22 2919.897 504426.8 2901.090
## 23 3549.685 367655.4 3515.285
## 24 2273.340 386049.2 2259.184
## 25 1993.695 447602.6 1984.789
## 26 2718.025 403012.1 2699.224
## 27 1575.785 273555.7 1566.544
## 28 3965.551 415559.7 3927.603
## 29 4717.322 464409.6 4667.531
## 30 4525.952 280120.2 4453.217
## 31 1304.971 472875.5 1301.346
## 32 3514.906 456021.1 3484.623
## 33 2364.505 473511.9 2352.402
## 34 5324.152 392637.5 5251.717
## 35 10200.795 149720.0 9531.098
## 36 1737.674 472593.2 1731.109
## 37 1585.877 559269.9 1581.352
## 38 2534.588 387541.7 2517.019
e. f = 60%
res_1sc2_0.6
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1578803 1576951 1578741 4882180633 940074894060 4853750029
## 2 10 2431184 2386664 2430895 5432136392 940130837708 5400100609
## 3 11 1377819 1123449 1376591 4329361062 942320083852 4306742831
## 4 12 1622486 1572605 1622168 5670832834 940203840970 5636356233
## 5 13 1665443 1531519 1664986 3452265296 940740551806 3438579993
## 6 14 2615295 2569326 2614846 7423862205 940256996062 7363539412
## 7 15 4987527 4549911 4964793 49924068243 946922839253 47273522857
## 8 16 2690828 2511410 2689809 5276973046 941111927510 5247081717
## 9 17 2086119 2733935 2089433 4988195174 954548404791 4960578884
## 10 18 1799780 2036783 1800636 3473859730 942033827979 3460739055
## 11 19 1862110 2435088 1864844 4609167858 951394116660 4586345510
## 12 2 1634036 1434953 1632893 5183927421 941513392591 5154472128
## 13 20 1886562 1515109 1883969 6543345710 944987048374 6497921374
## 14 21 1540525 2060446 1543117 4834414536 949489171882 4808287785
## 15 22 1983172 1898480 1982746 4827761595 940314831915 4802388610
## 16 23 2127399 1951295 2126020 7187415487 941182679644 7131546149
## 17 24 2703135 2765260 2703531 6334410411 940246712544 6290352670
## 18 25 3797271 3669162 3791941 34828958528 941011079104 33459808376
## 19 26 2046316 1444729 2040941 8440461092 952648109305 8363360588
## 20 27 1804110 1412980 1802105 4689216837 945367382200 4664668332
## 21 28 1675955 1714695 1676181 7608873156 940298640365 7546075054
## 22 29 1928818 1892966 1928438 9648806211 940004485597 9536057339
## 23 3 1820402 2612762 1827463 8860197128 961854342754 8771326743
## 24 4 2313379 2442854 2314492 8442302386 940687059054 8364553587
## 25 5 2065162 2109976 2065402 5950170767 940191232410 5911482376
## 26 6 2453609 2345921 2452604 8425948302 940417521628 8346126019
## 27 7 2697924 3530160 2704076 7129471382 963955432066 7075547445
## 28 71 2272521 2258876 2272183 14164331536 940164657449 13945420730
## 29 72 1848310 2023655 1850504 13621141497 941417620635 13407998331
## 30 73 3439886 3375492 3437552 27657948414 940407117783 26832882530
## 31 74 2176606 1985441 2175578 4738664960 941522710087 4713801016
## 32 75 1817624 2059976 1820173 10316986026 942183368324 10188676758
## 33 76 2038359 1986715 2037875 7833637290 940190759904 7767001836
## 34 77 2264002 2402107 2266253 18244026357 941041654832 17873558271
## 35 78 6969958 6400747 6908436 115712582470 951318990927 102765662094
## 36 79 2155027 1987591 2153997 5380791534 941027196779 5347896916
## 37 8 2028573 1683693 2026678 5169415187 944201884373 5140571542
## 38 9 2270868 2483220 2272707 8620955494 941602490258 8532072358
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 3054.286 596874.6 3036.879
## 2 2228.919 394078.2 2216.104
## 3 3097.004 844905.3 3084.117
## 4 3487.182 599035.2 3466.756
## 5 2060.861 617019.0 2053.302
## 6 2826.340 366083.6 2804.041
## 7 9938.961 208008.8 9461.040
## 8 1960.733 374703.4 1950.381
## 9 2377.106 349012.2 2360.151
## 10 1927.161 462458.7 1918.975
## 11 2466.934 390551.5 2451.138
## 12 3154.647 657227.8 3139.115
## 13 3468.518 624234.1 3449.199
## 14 3122.543 460736.6 3100.409
## 15 2436.271 496049.3 2423.993
## 16 3372.098 483136.5 3348.176
## 17 2333.677 340520.7 2317.186
## 18 9070.776 256558.1 8730.829
## 19 4113.522 659950.9 4087.111
## 20 2584.067 670095.5 2573.622
## 21 4531.240 549070.8 4493.422
## 22 4922.240 498518.1 4866.617
## 23 4817.302 368040.1 4750.135
## 24 3648.362 384937.6 3612.990
## 25 2876.730 445528.0 2857.726
## 26 3422.934 400733.7 3392.138
## 27 2645.019 273009.2 2618.847
## 28 6214.500 416162.7 6119.836
## 29 7290.414 465274.5 7168.832
## 30 8022.527 278534.9 7789.763
## 31 2168.894 474312.6 2158.617
## 32 5642.763 457445.2 5564.333
## 33 3821.986 473701.6 3790.661
## 34 7975.344 391767.4 7807.335
## 35 16513.133 148467.3 14806.154
## 36 2480.275 473539.5 2466.506
## 37 2547.428 561382.1 2535.630
## 38 3766.363 379351.8 3724.514
f. f = 50%
res_1sc2_0.5
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1627741 1588367 1627322 8045010236 1.011516e+12 7973034263
## 2 10 2477529 2453043 2477300 7899322465 1.011446e+12 7835494359
## 3 11 1431624 1140220 1429244 8082848644 1.014418e+12 8015760303
## 4 12 1609380 1589063 1609039 8421561198 1.011590e+12 8346966126
## 5 13 1692325 1548627 1691478 5737486942 1.012232e+12 5702010775
## 6 14 2648819 2622499 2648495 11439794884 1.011452e+12 11310944806
## 7 15 5032898 4649268 5003278 80151928580 1.017268e+12 74047811661
## 8 16 2657185 2528614 2656289 7122229213 1.011974e+12 7071064699
## 9 17 2088839 2764877 2094377 8564430153 1.027340e+12 8486673784
## 10 18 1772566 2032682 1773748 4632434558 1.013730e+12 4610970012
## 11 19 1857221 2459087 1861188 6740624723 1.023916e+12 6693633834
## 12 2 1637140 1433125 1635497 8073273634 1.012850e+12 8006567644
## 13 20 1915055 1504373 1910970 10202323274 1.017172e+12 10096033964
## 14 21 1551385 2078005 1555062 7244547558 1.021011e+12 7190747472
## 15 22 1986974 1880369 1986162 7660827412 1.011710e+12 7601291105
## 16 23 2129016 1950476 2127216 10457202775 1.012823e+12 10347460211
## 17 24 2764976 2808541 2765400 11156707936 1.011806e+12 11032500407
## 18 25 3935527 3748284 3921676 61515514571 1.013865e+12 57608988331
## 19 26 1986543 1438297 1979411 13006013201 1.021940e+12 12833544677
## 20 27 1834229 1413667 1831185 7241929164 1.017466e+12 7188681547
## 21 28 1633153 1724038 1633792 9948531044 1.011979e+12 9840285579
## 22 29 1874141 1835943 1873755 11856065686 1.011282e+12 11681284751
## 23 3 1777057 2637017 1789155 14828337217 1.036909e+12 14611320613
## 24 4 2363589 2468497 2364704 14329154816 1.012451e+12 14118861458
## 25 5 2096708 2135709 2097005 10611417051 1.011415e+12 10492794770
## 26 6 2538880 2355740 2535937 15071786853 1.012682e+12 14829214369
## 27 7 2781352 3635751 2789857 10619318363 1.036983e+12 10505082046
## 28 71 2334633 2273402 2333044 19778579807 1.011704e+12 19359337036
## 29 72 1770343 2027983 1773644 14873893555 1.013882e+12 14622952003
## 30 73 3440449 3409541 3438484 33166750571 1.012533e+12 32057435772
## 31 74 2220845 1992798 2219237 7159866191 1.013167e+12 7107064967
## 32 75 1856712 2068889 1859308 15267458644 1.013186e+12 14984237086
## 33 76 2085460 1972872 2083930 12590330343 1.011968e+12 12428117832
## 34 77 2226147 2414420 2230053 25920505558 1.012961e+12 25178793548
## 35 78 7199438 6579245 7106432 181349648729 1.025098e+12 152837013189
## 36 79 2197160 1991834 2195148 9327957036 1.013247e+12 9240185831
## 37 8 2039375 1714434 2036721 8139231154 1.015110e+12 8071939660
## 38 9 2344872 2547689 2347998 16789319769 1.012837e+12 16498919673
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 4887.563 639103.1 4845.944
## 2 3178.664 412127.9 3153.353
## 3 5596.088 890993.3 5559.645
## 4 5160.127 636630.4 5116.425
## 5 3344.120 653246.0 3325.436
## 6 4316.202 385145.3 4268.080
## 7 15834.812 218551.3 14724.832
## 8 2683.463 400468.9 2665.065
## 9 4076.213 371521.9 4028.214
## 10 2607.880 498921.8 2594.072
## 11 3619.594 416401.9 3586.501
## 12 4917.502 708681.5 4881.981
## 13 5332.456 678932.5 5288.622
## 14 4649.486 491299.7 4604.084
## 15 3845.462 538140.0 3817.233
## 16 4923.091 519914.0 4875.307
## 17 4030.868 360789.1 3985.462
## 18 15338.950 270567.9 14437.749
## 19 6521.595 711662.5 6459.801
## 20 3934.922 719225.7 3912.814
## 21 6018.876 587385.0 5951.983
## 22 6149.357 553497.4 6061.915
## 23 8311.707 392472.2 8134.246
## 24 6006.806 410243.1 5916.833
## 25 5044.007 473402.6 4987.242
## 26 5869.113 429687.8 5782.879
## 27 3804.556 284654.6 3751.914
## 28 8392.104 445514.4 8222.852
## 29 8301.230 500709.3 8146.531
## 30 9526.073 296430.5 9216.570
## 31 3219.214 509456.2 3197.897
## 32 8053.536 490700.7 7895.803
## 33 6002.298 512928.9 5929.863
## 34 11542.265 419686.9 11196.387
## 35 24972.660 155461.8 21355.768
## 36 4232.826 509611.8 4197.207
## 37 3980.187 593546.5 3952.651
## 38 7072.809 397143.7 6941.283
g. f = 40%
res_1sc2_0.4
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1600567 1578556 1599952 11070046118 855322724740 10898749419
## 2 10 2525642 2444933 2524436 12973137626 855490654279 12773849438
## 3 11 1452693 1177903 1448823 11962506431 857505796155 11775404934
## 4 12 1609666 1628899 1609717 12096440126 855009675529 11916632164
## 5 13 1601385 1499866 1600347 6222135086 855589958288 6164254914
## 6 14 2647384 2603587 2646359 17982491746 855280611062 17601466042
## 7 15 5042029 4552778 4982952 104633286814 865259852265 92124749200
## 8 16 2744896 2537079 2741999 12368532530 856583460921 12182427579
## 9 17 2021197 2734658 2030152 11136419425 872601847069 10981987058
## 10 18 1769857 2067301 1772304 7264794074 858299200076 7201107425
## 11 19 1828457 2406184 1834555 9485144999 866613595078 9375118353
## 12 2 1646913 1416051 1643438 13093749141 856695361221 12894685769
## 13 20 1970892 1551745 1961344 19319169702 861446887150 18879889633
## 14 21 1536421 2033919 1542282 10443795238 863574659110 10309945859
## 15 22 2052386 1938964 2050383 12666304146 855770946349 12459258083
## 16 23 2137207 2047166 2135714 13971516592 855643933564 13740361160
## 17 24 2753582 2846465 2755220 17095228097 855454067255 16733078659
## 18 25 3868828 3720815 3849996 98177788153 856659469625 87175324703
## 19 26 2009330 1437871 1997655 16991839615 866678971655 16611525678
## 20 27 1825706 1431211 1821128 9686556126 860450713089 9562397122
## 21 28 1601912 1696608 1603497 15616682234 855687857690 15328127364
## 22 29 1945705 1914669 1944986 22832842730 854857841509 22137155767
## 23 3 1755864 2546969 1774237 21396852272 876656634840 20863918713
## 24 4 2218285 2430188 2222538 18227030315 856610831876 17781690007
## 25 5 2059702 2076840 2059876 13021406012 855129712112 12802478094
## 26 6 2537834 2330865 2531317 23805431616 856986601654 23035389573
## 27 7 2680242 3478695 2692732 13988315592 877097830213 13750539779
## 28 71 2312159 2253961 2308245 31740561708 855821442720 30426640953
## 29 72 1945917 2022723 1946582 33052776437 856284915017 31646852896
## 30 73 3400506 3235768 3387277 53011188039 857574081979 49519435108
## 31 74 2154131 1994295 2152092 9885144543 856263802656 9765579744
## 32 75 1793502 2067178 1800071 25465931934 857743049082 24455672095
## 33 76 2009235 1996716 2008641 16569657825 855379281508 16213380541
## 34 77 2214529 2337385 2217543 39538629488 856153893099 37561244712
## 35 78 6539689 6047947 6451025 187371010764 863852955902 152234780522
## 36 79 2095617 1993474 2093844 14366369971 855424050774 14115423627
## 37 8 2082536 1717808 2077231 12362995408 859853168957 12176086497
## 38 9 2242792 2437156 2246281 16903413160 856292846565 16446458275
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 6800.626 543089.3 6701.046
## 2 5131.245 350590.7 5054.877
## 3 8159.509 728902.3 8057.620
## 4 7470.462 525294.4 7360.374
## 5 3820.460 570794.5 3789.023
## 6 6783.299 328632.0 6642.525
## 7 20428.547 190028.4 18247.390
## 8 4514.491 337776.3 4451.131
## 9 5478.947 319259.5 5378.146
## 10 4090.589 415940.5 4049.225
## 11 5154.396 359894.9 5077.662
## 12 7959.125 606289.7 7854.888
## 13 9728.830 556569.9 9557.046
## 14 6755.862 424432.5 6643.038
## 15 6093.796 443963.4 6002.432
## 16 6550.655 420415.3 6447.099
## 17 6165.258 301840.3 6032.375
## 18 25104.037 230697.3 22440.401
## 19 8346.932 604217.8 8218.121
## 20 5251.688 601729.3 5199.474
## 21 9744.697 504947.4 9554.743
## 22 11596.003 447806.0 11250.841
## 23 12065.091 344103.7 11642.931
## 24 8162.466 352564.4 7947.690
## 25 6275.237 411826.1 6170.507
## 26 9180.929 368449.6 8913.846
## 27 5204.864 251910.7 5091.171
## 28 13479.374 379489.5 12964.589
## 29 16645.553 423150.7 15951.124
## 30 15162.448 264767.8 14247.141
## 31 4547.343 429316.4 4497.507
## 32 13772.571 414869.7 13178.120
## 33 8147.216 428558.6 7977.968
## 34 17352.443 366008.9 16487.337
## 35 28384.254 142659.6 23441.928
## 36 6844.755 428990.8 6731.573
## 37 5913.209 501669.9 5839.876
## 38 7346.402 351788.0 7137.905
h. f = 30%
res_1sc2_0.3
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1506829 1523987 1506838 15333816810 9.919644e+11 15032191872
## 2 10 2500593 2426510 2499150 20250823070 9.920703e+11 19830432488
## 3 11 1440820 1117114 1434292 19783636221 9.953591e+11 19349250312
## 4 12 1678739 1570947 1676096 21766954422 9.926517e+11 21250721436
## 5 13 1596205 1494120 1595184 8580223227 9.927323e+11 8485793954
## 6 14 2606450 2582217 2605372 24635466577 9.921613e+11 23996473819
## 7 15 4890990 4598238 4838624 156107528308 9.965951e+11 129885681318
## 8 16 2693426 2496933 2689763 19428093245 9.931894e+11 19035922163
## 9 17 2004531 2724616 2017691 19701469793 1.009987e+12 19253595553
## 10 18 1812366 2017900 1814618 12430550868 9.935045e+11 12250370424
## 11 19 1821767 2400153 1829573 15154172805 1.004479e+12 14881255511
## 12 2 1588394 1380473 1583914 19119870546 9.935473e+11 18718024989
## 13 20 1771579 1474521 1765696 18433337122 9.950463e+11 18062774486
## 14 21 1530598 2033456 1538959 16717437146 1.000629e+12 16411257966
## 15 22 2013887 1852185 2010496 18649310161 9.929661e+11 18221988937
## 16 23 2115314 1947360 2110954 24286414820 9.931420e+11 23672378919
## 17 24 2698602 2729899 2699626 24210716062 9.920105e+11 23602321509
## 18 25 3862671 3658540 3827584 123348532177 9.957800e+11 105745315044
## 19 26 1977937 1403436 1963945 25232891279 1.003156e+12 24584807858
## 20 27 1806140 1391796 1798530 16527809409 9.981914e+11 16181285357
## 21 28 1537521 1670772 1539772 25483189671 9.928411e+11 24683568089
## 22 29 1949100 1903408 1947830 27899330113 9.916163e+11 26791838909
## 23 3 1710325 2580013 1733597 29066319913 1.018510e+12 27977548144
## 24 4 2368420 2423509 2369889 32227210668 9.925225e+11 31119314349
## 25 5 2097618 2098374 2096511 19438175595 9.926336e+11 18992158808
## 26 6 2485733 2345257 2479628 38783966793 9.927919e+11 36872038080
## 27 7 2677317 3596710 2699989 26311012391 1.021676e+12 25554383747
## 28 71 2321684 2220824 2314118 39686446432 9.930712e+11 37619841451
## 29 72 1835648 1978618 1835813 41580345151 9.943712e+11 39146642067
## 30 73 3392158 3342857 3384319 97936990807 9.931563e+11 88576597052
## 31 74 2118639 1944563 2116234 13743914172 9.927408e+11 13534681691
## 32 75 1776354 2017727 1780613 33131248632 9.948910e+11 31387764220
## 33 76 2049293 1949493 2045033 32215020037 9.930789e+11 31031401185
## 34 77 2052232 2341141 2061844 48704566837 9.953258e+11 45486850481
## 35 78 7155690 6468785 6959335 405010641450 1.008504e+12 283985967345
## 36 79 2086591 1945016 2083578 17710354970 9.930436e+11 17364579882
## 37 8 2068800 1666443 2060280 19787120117 9.975761e+11 19353032116
## 38 9 2253346 2536396 2262171 35336023402 9.945471e+11 33583959192
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 10054.392 651787.1 9860.745
## 2 8094.286 409733.1 7930.766
## 3 13510.489 909265.6 13284.546
## 4 12888.934 635225.8 12607.164
## 5 5300.875 671603.5 5248.155
## 6 9360.752 384146.5 9124.409
## 7 30682.080 216140.8 25998.503
## 8 7247.007 397768.2 7109.638
## 9 9644.367 370069.4 9362.343
## 10 6790.499 492588.1 6684.981
## 11 8137.846 417867.4 7958.451
## 12 11793.701 720826.8 11587.391
## 13 10245.241 677271.3 10079.503
## 14 10916.588 491214.8 10654.488
## 15 9076.744 540455.0 8889.985
## 16 11412.339 512793.7 11150.220
## 17 8955.288 365520.9 8727.596
## 18 30875.873 272138.5 26862.447
## 19 12748.395 716450.8 12513.669
## 20 8979.082 720316.5 8837.487
## 21 15828.039 597893.6 15330.991
## 22 13718.756 524980.5 13206.236
## 23 16453.301 394323.6 15590.282
## 24 13553.534 408655.0 13081.140
## 25 9059.653 472098.9 8867.261
## 26 15253.547 423343.3 14559.476
## 27 9715.499 283212.0 9354.543
## 28 16441.802 447262.2 15685.110
## 29 21486.467 503311.8 20320.805
## 30 28775.975 296531.9 26109.993
## 31 6462.155 511290.5 6371.953
## 32 17537.935 493800.4 16631.815
## 33 15335.361 511637.2 14814.379
## 34 22827.714 425459.6 21294.250
## 35 55643.213 155241.8 40348.056
## 36 8389.166 511388.5 8239.767
## 37 9408.860 599158.9 9248.673
## 38 14906.727 393011.7 14122.992
i. f = 20%
res_1sc2_0.2
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1442004 1513391 1443792 20037434580 952757730956 19516319505
## 2 10 2411697 2313345 2407755 33603855652 952921537157 32251070066
## 3 11 1418402 1140103 1408604 29584918371 955692665234 28319369022
## 4 12 1664991 1557232 1659324 33563401744 953285585843 32155211111
## 5 13 1558023 1511997 1555459 26074863991 952660634720 24942952486
## 6 14 2598269 2554870 2595188 47805125858 953404956751 45438118656
## 7 15 4900814 4514057 4808034 261502072874 959594535879 196629829413
## 8 16 2775206 2495334 2765224 31299619562 956381499627 30212285487
## 9 17 1954449 2694264 1975085 29304288332 971584187307 28193055109
## 10 18 1679093 1987651 1684401 19425063773 956359508714 18941450871
## 11 19 1841308 2415820 1855381 25874336379 964584661150 25020080381
## 12 2 1605256 1384807 1598013 32704970169 954240228728 31415197183
## 13 20 1883044 1497548 1868451 35801828284 957982445004 34340766740
## 14 21 1573362 2028208 1587575 33900168406 960043480693 32493384205
## 15 22 1865379 1780893 1862821 20787530061 953238045342 20183647543
## 16 23 1999623 1875185 1995041 34707199681 954033833536 33349723119
## 17 24 2639826 2699917 2641844 41941489005 953534462680 39896445426
## 18 25 3770078 3609710 3704218 271357981647 956813439506 192961692336
## 19 26 2047978 1402525 2013253 51966556031 967605845846 48793885013
## 20 27 1778935 1368034 1767031 25648146819 958823134156 24835385668
## 21 28 1532790 1664743 1538032 37950757226 953313967693 36286509536
## 22 29 1873961 1841449 1871831 55416895070 952292030480 49850375893
## 23 3 1800459 2537529 1838266 59716046820 971895824236 55471470571
## 24 4 2368030 2411719 2366544 49140359781 954065172594 46107314688
## 25 5 1984400 2090772 1986997 41934372365 953683661523 39833391940
## 26 6 2472198 2310761 2464685 46626846652 953475566850 44247888139
## 27 7 2682986 3526475 2712184 37490368146 977800112289 35894518565
## 28 71 2255003 2239795 2251720 57411462832 954443410516 52975907837
## 29 72 1773801 2000995 1780851 70294128346 955779947535 63244748150
## 30 73 3536158 3308854 3495972 139092821199 956409504348 118064296089
## 31 74 2177096 1964988 2170720 27531392837 954750372077 26724240383
## 32 75 1769948 2043682 1774086 47788783030 957219316536 43885178753
## 33 76 1899303 1941577 1899832 43880951589 953070322833 41643686494
## 34 77 2202158 2368402 2207879 82230350942 955453864464 72834112452
## 35 78 6881602 6352584 6659310 751897509300 963256150183 393201461725
## 36 79 2121806 1964623 2114602 32697943517 954285107245 31345786693
## 37 8 2053235 1643812 2037361 35549428527 959458017681 34121929486
## 38 9 2142839 2377859 2147681 25527240491 954712980503 24630447506
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 13750.22 632124.2 13372.98
## 2 13849.62 415757.0 13323.62
## 3 20253.12 860222.9 19585.47
## 4 19810.19 620161.6 19077.25
## 5 16188.67 634198.8 15550.97
## 6 18339.38 373082.1 17457.50
## 7 52464.40 211426.3 40421.37
## 8 11350.33 383246.3 10996.63
## 9 14633.32 359890.0 13926.02
## 10 11361.21 482530.5 11049.38
## 11 13772.38 398109.8 13213.72
## 12 20324.55 690997.4 19620.13
## 13 18570.42 646324.7 17983.89
## 14 21122.29 472115.0 20077.30
## 15 10892.77 537957.6 10601.88
## 16 17225.36 512523.9 16594.22
## 17 15582.19 355692.5 14827.46
## 18 67324.19 265936.6 49499.94
## 19 24592.68 692687.4 23600.22
## 20 14230.01 707233.1 13888.47
## 21 24766.59 575986.5 23582.09
## 22 26829.95 523921.4 24348.30
## 23 32740.58 381821.8 29659.56
## 24 20381.93 394465.6 19173.25
## 25 20877.75 455333.8 19802.66
## 26 18656.24 413765.7 17761.33
## 27 13572.58 275777.9 12863.70
## 28 24690.75 426799.9 22855.90
## 29 37486.09 479756.4 33689.57
## 30 38946.90 287741.9 33542.97
## 31 12623.96 488670.0 12293.77
## 32 24100.02 470596.8 22317.61
## 33 22599.15 494075.8 21469.90
## 34 35702.48 403404.8 31670.48
## 35 103460.63 150333.3 57212.76
## 36 15045.21 488237.9 14501.34
## 37 16944.31 587643.8 16415.30
## 38 11631.78 401528.0 11206.13
j. f = 10%
res_1sc2_0.1
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1325309 1426136 1326049 51513018047 863280135401 46725265961
## 2 10 2215090 2269278 2217142 46858163005 862636272790 43796519537
## 3 11 1477067 1148426 1438080 79989789451 868259879282 69489664316
## 4 12 1620136 1517337 1605680 81797937843 863150900951 71104229597
## 5 13 1756410 1599232 1739313 52640696586 865097521909 46782116034
## 6 14 2525812 2620951 2536064 117688271042 863308754637 101200453847
## 7 15 4906774 4426236 4731208 404479489874 876782608863 259941068196
## 8 16 2817233 2515308 2793510 61383034126 866174260071 56223401800
## 9 17 2082434 2700021 2119872 56476582290 875170337392 51791310863
## 10 18 1884866 2004520 1892645 55802121634 863502687497 51473446925
## 11 19 1619435 2350618 1650473 40230099559 881542537082 37161624109
## 12 2 1527161 1355118 1507334 69951236621 863902822482 61514617480
## 13 20 1908373 1544056 1867112 91802393746 866769139742 79465878278
## 14 21 1457433 1943900 1485649 55815494293 870474685616 50458520145
## 15 22 1920019 1881602 1915852 71341096979 863630322908 64375026596
## 16 23 2021599 1876509 2002241 99844747195 864976908029 88457360146
## 17 24 2566643 2896758 2589672 70274844931 867959951327 63269427008
## 18 25 4149964 3703348 3921401 562002676451 876391443001 270355480746
## 19 26 1998055 1393663 1911270 135672741458 877296811836 108540555196
## 20 27 1773533 1309208 1739949 63246445963 870261122173 56602806560
## 21 28 1528516 1670955 1541527 88076752455 862721321914 76305868878
## 22 29 1858866 1853847 1859786 145114673101 861631699926 105920166504
## 23 3 1622056 2420555 1684667 92926681893 885906542503 75857669407
## 24 4 2340948 2379143 2332349 126760358865 866059679415 107304713889
## 25 5 2125371 2030015 2092177 113615767197 867293936250 96105362053
## 26 6 2398749 2353367 2358123 192350656594 863937457717 134868713048
## 27 7 2550333 3394187 2611783 94729314149 891349237424 79557861948
## 28 71 2042299 2124866 2036809 104794417143 863471014821 78865708439
## 29 72 1520735 1892010 1533809 103939639733 869004073102 76617630139
## 30 73 3329556 3051326 3175889 424933142298 878594624625 260121157320
## 31 74 1889586 1866781 1890509 74951739229 862543225020 66105009374
## 32 75 1740334 1946866 1742139 71244840732 865310133340 61243379601
## 33 76 1743167 1791457 1745011 71732407187 863671291839 63856088252
## 34 77 2408354 2236309 2347301 284034113119 867269361819 195388306325
## 35 78 6245444 5837250 6044784 783521492255 875639580050 387751399225
## 36 79 1947500 1860124 1936496 53267793224 864147092469 48773318761
## 37 8 2081985 1610069 2029362 95361707471 869970697177 82553512122
## 38 9 2021688 2147481 2025146 41797762760 863479884755 39289250688
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 36889.84 627537.0 33722.58
## 2 21152.63 387777.6 19789.62
## 3 50194.32 823831.2 45799.95
## 4 48086.50 600242.2 42693.84
## 5 28446.00 553873.5 26051.70
## 6 46601.63 331619.0 39870.88
## 7 78506.76 195800.2 53299.42
## 8 21881.45 344631.8 20247.01
## 9 26531.38 322824.9 23939.85
## 10 29206.17 439540.8 26849.85
## 11 24128.12 372298.4 21797.06
## 12 44521.91 650344.2 39939.50
## 13 46587.97 583030.4 41641.30
## 14 37151.47 446875.2 32855.35
## 15 37411.99 490137.3 33937.73
## 16 48083.78 498409.2 43298.99
## 17 26441.88 307451.2 23659.63
## 18 122133.37 238131.3 65873.11
## 19 64474.77 644446.1 54655.45
## 20 34798.90 706313.5 31951.35
## 21 56259.41 525558.4 48449.68
## 22 72536.05 478527.4 53880.07
## 23 52092.93 366270.8 41509.82
## 24 53809.50 362336.8 45875.90
## 25 50717.04 425626.8 44181.81
## 26 71834.58 368483.6 52968.55
## 27 35394.65 258305.4 29124.11
## 28 47778.70 406004.6 36723.33
## 29 58613.18 461862.0 44571.79
## 30 124894.23 282925.2 80511.80
## 31 39892.31 465718.6 34912.15
## 32 37565.70 446778.9 32554.61
## 33 41134.33 492996.5 36641.24
## 34 112807.00 384316.4 81029.65
## 35 123292.65 146224.3 62395.76
## 36 26190.38 468274.8 24236.57
## 37 45006.52 555652.1 40339.62
## 38 20279.44 399567.5 19068.31
k. f = 5%
res_1sc2_0.05
## kab Y dir Y syn Y com MSE dir MSE syn MSE com
## 1 1 1270926 1362216.5 1262372 1.526720e+11 1.150364e+12 117031185793
## 2 10 2466523 2476544.1 2448072 2.129773e+11 1.150259e+12 164305264343
## 3 11 1085620 949134.8 1079184 7.678419e+10 1.151647e+12 68738741154
## 4 12 1858476 1452461.2 1771257 2.163492e+11 1.157693e+12 164322681602
## 5 13 1643654 1129846.3 1613997 6.572677e+10 1.157997e+12 61397544597
## 6 14 2280376 2597234.6 2323358 2.190924e+11 1.154021e+12 164081437798
## 7 15 5160348 4772675.3 4896619 2.075547e+12 1.164852e+12 573746384550
## 8 16 2602419 2357708.8 2557489 1.229644e+11 1.150794e+12 99204120356
## 9 17 1967308 2636037.9 1987034 2.496139e+11 1.172399e+12 154009151991
## 10 18 1867560 1858833.3 1868736 6.633483e+10 1.150063e+12 60523444037
## 11 19 1495219 2175756.1 1527097 1.099827e+11 1.165912e+12 87692085178
## 12 2 1373280 1176436.6 1343141 1.230824e+11 1.150335e+12 103420136749
## 13 20 1595656 1327444.7 1543009 1.976240e+11 1.153499e+12 142114290681
## 14 21 1391397 1836954.1 1416692 7.460091e+10 1.156030e+12 68981343119
## 15 22 1694501 1573900.8 1678369 1.033828e+11 1.152043e+12 86689774886
## 16 23 2381957 1876176.8 2263066 2.785913e+11 1.160910e+12 196596711920
## 17 24 2521014 2703588.8 2528268 1.266334e+11 1.153304e+12 101490446121
## 18 25 4105979 3789709.4 3973307 1.072644e+12 1.154584e+12 399966382009
## 19 26 1580176 1153815.8 1520018 1.570924e+11 1.154212e+12 126433756067
## 20 27 1473655 1193930.2 1449646 7.854684e+10 1.153193e+12 70679580922
## 21 28 1332934 1390523.1 1293821 1.601773e+11 1.161762e+12 115219850850
## 22 29 1810363 1764206.1 1808848 5.839944e+10 1.147523e+12 53748400799
## 23 3 1307660 2285025.2 1380021 1.038164e+11 1.183010e+12 93024799029
## 24 4 2084148 2312651.9 2094972 6.946496e+10 1.153709e+12 62871764023
## 25 5 2234265 1951139.7 2149515 2.872634e+11 1.154384e+12 201002916699
## 26 6 2107042 2199198.4 2102626 2.034006e+11 1.148854e+12 137411891848
## 27 7 2578304 3614044.4 2687622 1.870728e+11 1.190633e+12 143703587476
## 28 71 2460415 1946265.0 2356466 2.876014e+11 1.161130e+12 181876365573
## 29 72 1533557 1661802.9 1479713 2.344046e+11 1.153629e+12 107266558523
## 30 73 2387560 2732207.4 2405754 3.686828e+11 1.158907e+12 209061262438
## 31 74 1594615 1674703.1 1596597 1.014752e+11 1.148895e+12 87315223952
## 32 75 1415644 1747170.9 1422349 1.252309e+11 1.153599e+12 94592457985
## 33 76 1728137 1541669.2 1690002 1.639415e+11 1.152817e+12 125571004694
## 34 77 1967613 1878571.1 1859800 6.725700e+11 1.161198e+12 252584957879
## 35 78 6880871 6073255.3 6228020 5.378924e+12 1.179959e+12 857447604555
## 36 79 1385100 1649019.9 1391488 4.163852e+10 1.151898e+12 37467741133
## 37 8 2089000 1614938.9 2010197 1.345691e+11 1.160017e+12 105509872732
## 38 9 2020317 2296789.8 2036355 1.581675e+11 1.153707e+12 126553384783
## Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1 101191.58 858746.0 81139.29
## 2 81704.35 477496.6 64594.82
## 3 69048.95 1363194.2 62346.74
## 4 105528.21 847821.9 87629.90
## 5 38806.69 1029529.8 37156.35
## 6 93549.39 449040.5 68091.69
## 7 355795.79 243234.0 110013.23
## 8 45045.20 491287.4 37891.71
## 9 99486.77 442476.2 65276.70
## 10 35157.12 629197.3 31790.53
## 11 63696.37 530129.3 49212.21
## 12 78082.68 981304.9 68856.73
## 13 115062.59 896953.8 88417.15
## 14 51047.79 623527.1 46213.32
## 15 56629.98 767419.6 49084.16
## 16 111249.96 700925.2 86026.74
## 17 46989.70 437156.1 37890.74
## 18 252111.62 308515.4 97774.72
## 19 96596.45 1020341.2 82995.85
## 20 48212.42 999948.8 44392.54
## 21 98452.97 861789.2 74846.32
## 22 30140.84 667511.1 27952.69
## 23 77495.26 513063.8 64902.99
## 24 32822.25 493938.4 29481.13
## 25 124281.48 586364.9 92508.06
## 26 87597.82 523414.7 62080.16
## 27 64658.59 325483.9 47669.72
## 28 106604.20 600562.3 73658.25
## 29 102948.70 708203.4 60555.15
## 30 134399.69 428837.8 78236.45
## 31 60912.39 699566.5 52196.73
## 32 77973.40 670340.1 59112.95
## 33 80515.71 790611.2 65671.65
## 34 286598.39 629181.7 129469.43
## 35 670026.28 191775.5 129797.74
## 36 28555.49 714141.6 25504.78
## 37 55123.85 733207.6 47653.19
## 38 75694.46 512243.1 61602.78