Tahapan Pengestimasian Direct dan Traditional Indirect Estimation:

  1. Data Preparation
library(readxl)
Jatim_pengeluaran <- read_excel("D:/Kuliah/tkt IV/The Journey Start/SAE/Data SAE/Jatim_pengeluaran.xlsx", 
                                col_types = c("text", "text", "numeric", 
                                              "text", "text", "numeric", "numeric", 
                                              "numeric", "numeric"))
Xnew_ya <- read_excel("D:/Kuliah/tkt IV/The Journey Start/SAE/Data SAE/Xnew ya.xlsx", 
                      sheet = "Sheet2", col_types = c("text", "text", "text", "text", "text", "text", 
                                                      "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", 
                                                      "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", 
                                                      "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", 
                                                      "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", 
                                                      "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", 
                                                      "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric", "numeric"))

muatan <- read_excel("D:/Kuliah/tkt IV/The Journey Start/SAE/Data SAE/muatan.xlsx", 
                     sheet = "Sheet3", col_types = c("text","text", "numeric"))

#variabel_X_signifikan
x7 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X7, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x13 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X13, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x14 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X14, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x18 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X18, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x19 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X19, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x20 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X20, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x21 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X21, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x24 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X24, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x25 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X25, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)
x34 <- aggregate(Xnew_ya$X34, list(Xnew_ya$R102),sum,na.rm=TRUE)

dt1 <- data.frame(cbind("bs_o"=Jatim_pengeluaran$`No Kode Sampel`,"pop"=Jatim_pengeluaran$Exp_krb,"kab"=Jatim_pengeluaran$R102))
mat_x <- matrix(cbind(1,x7$x,x13$x,x14$x,x18$x,x19$x,x20$x,x21$x,x24$x,x25$x,x34$x),ncol = 11)

# Fungsi Menghitung Jumlah desa
jml_desa <- function(data){
  r102 = unique(Jatim_pengeluaran$R102)
  de = data.frame(r102)
  Peng_jatim <- data.frame(Jatim_pengeluaran)
  
  ds <- list()
  for (i in r102){
    ds[[i]] <- subset(Peng_jatim, R102 %in% i)
  }
  
  bsz <- list()
  for(j in r102){
    bsz[[j]] <- unique(ds[[j]]$No.Kode.tiga)
  }
  
  Ni <- c()
  for(k in r102){
    Ni[k] <- length(bsz[[k]])
  }
  Ni <- Ni[-c(30:70)]
  N_desa <- data.frame("desa"=Ni)
  return(N_desa)
}

Ni_desa <- jml_desa(Jatim_pengeluaran)

Jumlah desa setiap kabupaten/kota:

Ni_desa
##    desa
## 1    34
## 2    43
## 3    42
## 4    51
## 5    52
## 6    64
## 7    80
## 8    50
## 9    87
## 10   71
## 11   45
## 12   44
## 13   55
## 14   63
## 15   72
## 16   50
## 17   52
## 18   47
## 19   41
## 20   32
## 21   46
## 22   54
## 23   53
## 24   53
## 25   52
## 26   42
## 27   43
## 28   40
## 29   52
  1. Fungsi Estimasi untuk metode SRS

    1. MEnggunakan rumus MSE synthetic yang awal
resampling_srs = function(data, dataX, proporsi,iterasi ){
  myDataY = data
  prop = proporsi
  propinsi <- function(data, prop){  
    srs_sampling <- function(data, prop){
      kab_1= data
      samp_rt <- sample(1:length(kab_1$pop), size = prop*length(kab_1$pop), replace = FALSE)
      hs_samp_srs <-  kab_1[samp_rt,]
      hs_samp_srs$pop <- as.numeric(paste(hs_samp_srs$pop))
      hs_samp_srs <- data.frame(hs_samp_srs)
      est_ybar_srs <- function(data,f){
        hs_samp_srs <- data
        y_tot_samp <- sum(hs_samp_srs$pop)
        n <- length(hs_samp_srs$pop)
        y_bar <- y_tot_samp/n
        Y_cap_est <- n/f*y_bar
        s_kw <- sum((hs_samp_srs$pop - (matrix(y_bar,ncol = 1)))^2)/(n-1)
        var_y_bar <- (1-f)*s_kw/n
        Var_cap_est <- (n/f)^2*var_y_bar
        rel_var_y <- Var_cap_est/Y_cap_est
        hasil <- cbind(Y_cap_est,Var_cap_est,rel_var_y)
        return(hasil)
      }
      result = est_ybar_srs(hs_samp_srs, prop)
      
    }
    
    r102 = unique(dt1$kab)
    datakoeh = list()
    for(b in r102){
      datakoeh[[b]] <- subset(dt1, kab %in% b)
    }
    
    try_ye <- list()
    for(c in r102){
      try_ye[[c]] <- srs_sampling(data = datakoeh[[c]], prop = prop)  
    }
    
    this_it = data.frame()
    for (q in r102) {
      this_it <- rbind(this_it, try_ye[[q]])
    }
    this_it = cbind(r102, this_it)
  }  
  #fungsi estimasi synthetic dan composite
  Y_synth_comp <- function(x,y,vary){
    #synthetic function
    xty <- t(x)%*%y
    xtx <- t(x)%*%x
    bt_xy <- solve(xtx)%*%xty
    bt_xy = t(bt_xy)
    Y_syn <- c(rep(0,nrow(x)))
    for(i in 1: ncol(x)){
      Y_syn = Y_syn + x[,i]*bt_xy[,i]
    }
    Y_syn <- as.data.frame(Y_syn)
    mse_syn <- abs(((Y_syn-y)^2)-vary)
    rel_mse_syn <- mse_syn/Y_syn
    #composite function
    tetha_i <- mse_syn/(vary+mse_syn)
    tetha_i[tetha_i<0]<-0
    tetha_i[tetha_i>1]<-1
    Y_comp <- (tetha_i*y) + ((1-tetha_i)*Y_syn)
    mse_comp <- (1-tetha_i)*mse_syn
    rel_mse_comp <- mse_comp/Y_comp
    Syn_Comp <- data.frame(cbind(Y_syn, Y_comp,mse_syn,  mse_comp, rel_mse_syn, rel_mse_comp))
    colnames(Syn_Comp) = c("Y syn","Y comp", "MSE syn",  "MSE comp", "Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE comp")
    return(Syn_Comp)
  }
  
  dataset = list()
  est_dataset = list()
  for( j in 1:iterasi){
    set.seed(j)
    dataset[[j]] = propinsi(myDataY, prop)
    est_dataset [[j]] = Y_synth_comp(dataX,dataset[[j]]$Y_cap_est,dataset[[j]]$Var_cap_est)
  }
  
  databind = data.frame()
  databind_ind = data.frame()
  for (b in 1:iterasi) {
    databind = rbind(databind, dataset[[b]])
    databind_ind = rbind(databind_ind, est_dataset[[b]])
  }
  
  datafinal = aggregate(list(databind$Y_cap_est,databind_ind$`Y syn`,databind_ind$`Y comp`,
                             databind$Var_cap_est,databind_ind$`MSE syn`,databind_ind$`MSE comp`
                             ,databind$rel_var_y,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE syn`,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE comp`),
                        by=list(databind$r102),
                        FUN=mean)
  colnames(datafinal) = c("kab", "Y dir", "Y syn","Y com", "MSE dir","MSE syn","MSE com",
                          "Relatif MSE dir","Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE com")
  return(datafinal)
}
b. MEnggunakan rumus MSE synthetic yang perbaikan
resampling_srs_2 <- function(data, dataX, Ni, proporsi,iterasi ){
  myDataY <- data
  prop <- proporsi
  propinsi <- function(data, prop){  
    srs_sampling <- function(data, prop){
      kab_1= data
      samp_rt <- sample(1:length(kab_1$pop), size = prop*length(kab_1$pop), replace = FALSE)
      hs_samp_srs <-  kab_1[samp_rt,]
      hs_samp_srs$pop <- as.numeric(paste(hs_samp_srs$pop))
      hs_samp_srs <- data.frame(hs_samp_srs)
      est_ybar_srs <- function(data,f){
        hs_samp_srs <- data
        y_tot_samp <- sum(hs_samp_srs$pop)
        n <- length(hs_samp_srs$pop)
        y_bar <- y_tot_samp/n
        Y_cap_est <- n/f*y_bar
        s_kw <- sum((hs_samp_srs$pop - (matrix(y_bar,ncol = 1)))^2)/(n-1)
        var_y_bar <- (1-f)*s_kw/n
        Var_cap_est <- (n/f)^2*var_y_bar
        rel_var_y <- Var_cap_est/Y_cap_est
        hasil <- cbind(Y_cap_est,Var_cap_est,rel_var_y)
        return(hasil)
      }
      result = est_ybar_srs(hs_samp_srs, prop)
      
    }
    
    r102 = unique(dt1$kab)
    datakoeh = list()
    for(b in r102){
      datakoeh[[b]] <- subset(dt1, kab %in% b)
    }
    
    try_ye <- list()
    for(c in r102){
      try_ye[[c]] <- srs_sampling(data = datakoeh[[c]], prop = prop)  
    }
    
    this_it = data.frame()
    for (q in r102) {
      this_it <- rbind(this_it, try_ye[[q]])
    }
    this_it = cbind(r102, this_it)
  }
  
  #fungsi estimasi synthetic dan composite
  Y_synth_comp <- function(x,y,vary,Ni){
    #synthetic function
    N <- Ni
    xty <- t(x)%*%y
    xtx <- t(x)%*%x
    bt_xy <- solve(xtx)%*%xty
    bt_xy = t(bt_xy)
    Y_syn <- c(rep(0,nrow(x)))
    for(i in 1: ncol(x)){
      Y_syn = Y_syn + x[,i]*bt_xy[,i]
    }
    Y_syn <- as.data.frame(Y_syn)
    var_y_cap_is <- matrix(var(Y_syn),nrow = nrow(N))
    Ni_2 <- N^2/nrow(N) #Ni kuadrat*1/m
    var_Ysyn_y <- matrix(var(Y_syn - y),nrow = nrow(N))
    ht_2 <- 1/N^2*var_Ysyn_y
    y_sel <- data.frame((Y_syn - y)^2)
    ba_2 <- (1/N^2)*(y_sel)-ht_2
    mse_syn <- var_y_cap_is + (Ni_2*ba_2)
    rel_mse_syn <- mse_syn/Y_syn
    #composite function
    tetha_i <- mse_syn/(vary+mse_syn)
    tetha_i[tetha_i<0]<-0
    tetha_i[tetha_i>1]<-1
    Y_comp <- (tetha_i*y) + ((1-tetha_i)*Y_syn)
    mse_comp <- (1-tetha_i)*mse_syn
    rel_mse_comp <- mse_comp/Y_comp
    Syn_Comp <- data.frame(cbind(Y_syn, Y_comp,mse_syn,  mse_comp, rel_mse_syn, rel_mse_comp))
    colnames(Syn_Comp) = c("Y syn","Y comp", "MSE syn",  "MSE comp", "Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE comp")
    return(Syn_Comp)
  }
  
  dataset = list()
  est_dataset = list()
  for( j in 1:iterasi){
    set.seed(j)
    dataset[[j]] = propinsi(myDataY, prop)
    est_dataset [[j]] = Y_synth_comp(dataX,dataset[[j]]$Y_cap_est,dataset[[j]]$Var_cap_est,Ni)
  }
  
  databind = data.frame()
  databind_ind = data.frame()
  for (b in 1:iterasi) {
    databind = rbind(databind, dataset[[b]])
    databind_ind = rbind(databind_ind, est_dataset[[b]])
  }
  
  datafinal = aggregate(list(databind$Y_cap_est,databind_ind$`Y syn`,databind_ind$`Y comp`,
                             databind$Var_cap_est,databind_ind$`MSE syn`,databind_ind$`MSE comp`
                             ,databind$rel_var_y,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE syn`,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE comp`),
                        by=list(databind$r102),
                        FUN=mean)
  colnames(datafinal) = c("kab", "Y dir", "Y syn","Y com", "MSE dir","MSE syn","MSE com",
                          "Relatif MSE dir","Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE com")
  return(datafinal)
}
  1. Fungsi Estimasi untuk metode One stage Cluster

    1. MEnggunakan rumus MSE synthetic yang awal
#Pakai rumus awal
resampling_1st = function(data, dataX, proporsi,iterasi ){
  myDataY = data
  prop = proporsi
  propinsi <- function(data, prop){  
    cb_sampling <- function(data, prop){
      mydata= data
      bs_u <-unique(mydata$bs_o)
      bs_u <- data.frame(bs_u)
      samp_bs <- sample(1:nrow(bs_u), size = prop*nrow(bs_u), replace = FALSE)
      sampi= bs_u[samp_bs,]
      sampi2 = as.matrix(sampi)
      dat = as.matrix(mydata)
      hasil = c()
      for(i in 1: length(sampi2)){
        hasil = rbind(hasil,dat[dat[,1]==sampi[i],])
      }
      hasil <- data.frame(hasil)
      hasil$pop = as.numeric(paste(hasil$pop))
      est_ybar_1cs <- function(data,f){
        hs_sam <- data
        Mi <- data.frame(table(hs_sam$bs_o))
        y_bar_i <- aggregate(hs_sam$pop, by=list(hs_sam$bs_o), FUN=mean)
        y_bar_n <- (sum(y_bar_i$x*Mi$Freq))/sum(Mi$Freq)
        M_bar <- sum(Mi$Freq)/nrow(Mi)
        pnyb <- sum((Mi$Freq^2)*((y_bar_i$x-rep(c(y_bar_n),nrow(Mi)))^2))
        pmbg <- nrow(Mi)*(M_bar)^2*(nrow(Mi)-1)
        var_y_bar_n <- (1-f)*pnyb/pmbg 
        Y_cap_est <- (nrow(Mi)/f)*M_bar*y_bar_n
        Var_cap_est <- ((nrow(Mi)/f)*M_bar)^2*var_y_bar_n
        rel_var_y <- Var_cap_est/Y_cap_est
        hasil <- cbind(Y_cap_est,Var_cap_est,rel_var_y)
        return(hasil)
      }
      result = est_ybar_1cs(hasil, prop)
      
    }
    
    r102 = unique(dt1$kab)
    datakoeh = list()
    for(b in r102){
      datakoeh[[b]] <- subset(dt1, kab %in% b)
    }
    
    try_ye <- list()
    for(c in r102){
      try_ye[[c]] <- cb_sampling(data = datakoeh[[c]], prop = prop)  
    }
    
    this_it = data.frame()
    for (q in r102) {
      this_it <- rbind(this_it, try_ye[[q]])
    }
    this_it = cbind(r102, this_it)
  }  
  #fungsi estimasi synthetic dan composite
  Y_synth_comp <- function(x,y,vary){
    #synthetic function
    xty <- t(x)%*%y
    xtx <- t(x)%*%x
    bt_xy <- solve(xtx)%*%xty
    bt_xy = t(bt_xy)
    Y_syn <- c(rep(0,nrow(x)))
    for(i in 1: ncol(x)){
      Y_syn = Y_syn + x[,i]*bt_xy[,i]
    }
    Y_syn <- as.data.frame(Y_syn)
    mse_syn <- abs(((Y_syn-y)^2)-vary)
    rel_mse_syn <- mse_syn/Y_syn
    #composite function
    tetha_i <- mse_syn/(vary+mse_syn)
    tetha_i[tetha_i<0]<-0
    tetha_i[tetha_i>1]<-1
    Y_comp <- (tetha_i*y) + ((1-tetha_i)*Y_syn)
    mse_comp <- (1-tetha_i)*mse_syn
    rel_mse_comp <- mse_comp/Y_comp
    Syn_Comp <- data.frame(cbind(Y_syn, Y_comp,mse_syn,  mse_comp, rel_mse_syn, rel_mse_comp))
    colnames(Syn_Comp) = c("Y syn","Y comp", "MSE syn",  "MSE comp", "Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE comp")
    return(Syn_Comp)
  }
  
  dataset = list()
  est_dataset = list()
  for( j in 1:iterasi){
    set.seed(j)
    dataset[[j]] = propinsi(myDataY, prop)
    est_dataset [[j]] = Y_synth_comp(dataX,dataset[[j]]$Y_cap_est,dataset[[j]]$Var_cap_est)
  }
  
  databind = data.frame()
  databind_ind = data.frame()
  for (b in 1:iterasi) {
    databind = rbind(databind, dataset[[b]])
    databind_ind = rbind(databind_ind, est_dataset[[b]])
  }
  
  datafinal = aggregate(list(databind$Y_cap_est,databind_ind$`Y syn`,databind_ind$`Y comp`,
                             databind$Var_cap_est,databind_ind$`MSE syn`,databind_ind$`MSE comp`
                             ,databind$rel_var_y,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE syn`,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE comp`),
                        by=list(databind$r102),
                        FUN=mean)
  colnames(datafinal) = c("kab", "Y dir", "Y syn","Y com", "MSE dir","MSE syn","MSE com",
                          "Relatif MSE dir","Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE com")
  return(datafinal)
}
b. MEnggunakan rumus MSE synthetic yang perbaikan
resampling_1st_2 <- function(data, dataX, Ni, proporsi,iterasi ){
  myDataY <- data
  prop <- proporsi
  propinsi <- function(data, prop){  
    cb_sampling <- function(data, prop){
      mydata<- data
      bs_u <-unique(mydata$bs_o)
      bs_u <- data.frame(bs_u)
      samp_bs <- sample(1:nrow(bs_u), size = prop*nrow(bs_u), replace = FALSE)
      sampi=bs_u[samp_bs,]
      sampi2 = as.matrix(sampi)
      dat <- as.matrix(mydata)
      hasil <- c()
      for(i in 1: length(sampi2)){
        hasil = rbind(hasil,dat[dat[,1]==sampi[i],])
      }
      hasil <- data.frame(hasil)
      hasil$pop <- as.numeric(paste(hasil$pop))
      est_ybar_1cs <- function(data,f){
        hs_sam <- data
        Mi <- data.frame(table(hs_sam$bs_o))
        y_bar_i <- aggregate(hs_sam$pop, by=list(hs_sam$bs_o), FUN=mean)
        y_bar_n <- (sum(y_bar_i$x*Mi$Freq))/sum(Mi$Freq)
        M_bar <- sum(Mi$Freq)/nrow(Mi)
        pnyb <- sum((Mi$Freq^2)*((y_bar_i$x-rep(c(y_bar_n),nrow(Mi)))^2))
        pmbg <- nrow(Mi)*(M_bar)^2*(nrow(Mi)-1)
        var_y_bar_n <- (1-f)*pnyb/pmbg 
        Y_cap_est <- (nrow(Mi)/f)*M_bar*y_bar_n
        Var_cap_est <- ((nrow(Mi)/f)*M_bar)^2*var_y_bar_n
        rel_var_y <- Var_cap_est/Y_cap_est
        hasil <- cbind(Y_cap_est,Var_cap_est,rel_var_y)
        return(hasil)
      }
      result <- est_ybar_1cs(hasil, prop)
      
    }
    
    r102 = unique(dt1$kab)
    datakoeh = list()
    for(b in r102){
      datakoeh[[b]] <- subset(dt1, kab %in% b)
    }
    
    try_ye <- list()
    for(c in r102){
      try_ye[[c]] <- cb_sampling(data = datakoeh[[c]], prop = prop)  
    }
    
    this_it = data.frame()
    for (q in r102) {
      this_it <- rbind(this_it, try_ye[[q]])
    }
    this_it = cbind(r102, this_it)
  }
  
  #fungsi estimasi synthetic dan composite
  Y_synth_comp <- function(x,y,vary,Ni){
    #synthetic function
    N <- Ni
    xty <- t(x)%*%y
    xtx <- t(x)%*%x
    bt_xy <- solve(xtx)%*%xty
    bt_xy = t(bt_xy)
    Y_syn <- c(rep(0,nrow(x)))
    for(i in 1: ncol(x)){
      Y_syn = Y_syn + x[,i]*bt_xy[,i]
    }
    Y_syn <- as.data.frame(Y_syn)
    var_y_cap_is <- matrix(var(Y_syn),nrow = nrow(N))
    Ni_2 <- N^2/nrow(N) #Ni kuadrat*1/m
    var_Ysyn_y <- matrix(var(Y_syn - y),nrow = nrow(N))
    ht_2 <- 1/N^2*var_Ysyn_y
    y_sel <- data.frame((Y_syn - y)^2)
    ba_2 <- (1/N^2)*(y_sel)-ht_2
    mse_syn <- var_y_cap_is + (Ni_2*ba_2)
    rel_mse_syn <- mse_syn/Y_syn
    #composite function
    tetha_i <- mse_syn/(vary+mse_syn)
    tetha_i[tetha_i<0]<-0
    tetha_i[tetha_i>1]<-1
    Y_comp <- (tetha_i*y) + ((1-tetha_i)*Y_syn)
    mse_comp <- (1-tetha_i)*mse_syn
    rel_mse_comp <- mse_comp/Y_comp
    Syn_Comp <- data.frame(cbind(Y_syn, Y_comp,mse_syn,  mse_comp, rel_mse_syn, rel_mse_comp))
    colnames(Syn_Comp) = c("Y syn","Y comp", "MSE syn",  "MSE comp", "Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE comp")
    return(Syn_Comp)
  }
  
  dataset = list()
  est_dataset = list()
  for( j in 1:iterasi){
    set.seed(j)
    dataset[[j]] = propinsi(myDataY, prop)
    est_dataset [[j]] = Y_synth_comp(dataX,dataset[[j]]$Y_cap_est,dataset[[j]]$Var_cap_est,Ni)
  }
  
  databind = data.frame()
  databind_ind = data.frame()
  for (b in 1:iterasi) {
    databind = rbind(databind, dataset[[b]])
    databind_ind = rbind(databind_ind, est_dataset[[b]])
  }
  
  datafinal = aggregate(list(databind$Y_cap_est,databind_ind$`Y syn`,databind_ind$`Y comp`,
                             databind$Var_cap_est,databind_ind$`MSE syn`,databind_ind$`MSE comp`
                             ,databind$rel_var_y,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE syn`,databind_ind$`Relatif MSE comp`),
                        by=list(databind$r102),
                        FUN=mean)
  colnames(datafinal) = c("kab", "Y dir", "Y syn","Y com", "MSE dir","MSE syn","MSE com",
                          "Relatif MSE dir","Relatif MSE syn","Relatif MSE com")
  return(datafinal)
}
  1. Running semua metode dengan persentase dari jumlah sampel yang berbeda
res_srs_1 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 1, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_1 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 1, iterasi = 10)

res_srs_0.9 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.9, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.9 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.9, iterasi = 10)

res_srs_0.8 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.8, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.8 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.8, iterasi = 10)

res_srs_0.7 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.7, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.7 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.7, iterasi = 10)

res_srs_0.6 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.6, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.6 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.6, iterasi = 10)

res_srs_0.5 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.5, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.5 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.5, iterasi = 10)

res_srs_0.4 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.4, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.4 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.4, iterasi = 10)

res_srs_0.3 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.3, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.3 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.3, iterasi = 10)

res_srs_0.2 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.2, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.2 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.2, iterasi = 10)

res_srs_0.1 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.1, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.1 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.1, iterasi = 10)

res_srs_0.05 <- resampling_srs(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.05, iterasi = 10)
res_srs2_0.05 <- resampling_srs_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.05, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc_1 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 1, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_1 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 1, iterasi = 10)

res_1sc_0.9 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.9, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.9 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa , proporsi = 0.9, iterasi = 10)

res_1sc_0.8 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.8, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.8 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.8, iterasi = 10)

res_1sc_0.7 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.7, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.7 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.7, iterasi = 10)

res_1sc_0.6 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.6, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.6 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.6, iterasi = 10)

res_1sc_0.5 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.5, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.5 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.5, iterasi = 10)

res_1sc_0.4 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.4, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.4 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.4, iterasi = 10)

res_1sc_0.3 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.3, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.3 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.3, iterasi = 10)

res_1sc_0.2 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.2, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.2 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.2, iterasi = 10)

res_1sc_0.1 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.1, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.1 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.1, iterasi = 10)

res_1sc_0.05 <- resampling_1st(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, proporsi = 0.05, iterasi = 10)
res_1sc2_0.05 <- resampling_1st_2(data = dt1, dataX = mat_x, Ni = Ni_desa, proporsi = 0.05, iterasi = 10)
  1. Hasil Perhitungan:
  1. MEnggunakan rumus MSE synthetic yang awal

    1. Metode SRS
      1. f = 100%
res_srs_1
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com MSE dir      MSE syn MSE com
## 1    1 1637409 1593637 1637409       0   1915959130       0
## 2   10 2452226 2411973 2452226       0   1620293809       0
## 3   11 1432925 1146047 1432925       0  82299323238       0
## 4   12 1628141 1604098 1628141       0    578061217       0
## 5   13 1660654 1539506 1660654       0  14676947727       0
## 6   14 2677707 2613785 2677707       0   4085950156       0
## 7   15 5059790 4628255 5059790       0 186222104807       0
## 8   16 2702258 2538366 2702258       0  26860745533       0
## 9   17 2063216 2755581 2063216       0 479368784452       0
## 10  18 1802921 2055582 1802921       0  63837560347       0
## 11  19 1893080 2458794 1893080       0 320033300994       0
## 12   2 1631372 1434795 1631372       0  38642737109       0
## 13  20 1933963 1528077 1933963       0 164743829852       0
## 14  21 1543883 2075747 1543883       0 282880026972       0
## 15  22 2024290 1912770 2024290       0  12436499438       0
## 16  23 2145480 1996068 2145480       0  22323787837       0
## 17  24 2721467 2809820 2721467       0   7806205403       0
## 18  25 3923463 3735418 3923463       0  35361064290       0
## 19  26 2049321 1442285 2049321       0 368492681119       0
## 20  27 1850200 1431308 1850200       0 175471128846       0
## 21  28 1632444 1718061 1632444       0   7330251063       0
## 22  29 1945828 1910735 1945828       0   1231521822       0
## 23   3 1794553 2646763 1794553       0 726262701413       0
## 24   4 2297582 2461884 2297582       0  26995005332       0
## 25   5 2083579 2122123 2083579       0   1485661569       0
## 26   6 2526531 2357735 2526531       0  28492221686       0
## 27   7 2716794 3573111 2716794       0 733277373716       0
## 28  71 2297609 2288027 2297609       0     91814618       0
## 29  72 1872873 2049375 1872873       0  31152960873       0
## 30  73 3484448 3408041 3484448       0   5838136073       0
## 31  74 2197198 2010784 2197198       0  34750233064       0
## 32  75 1867766 2087481 1867766       0  48274556977       0
## 33  76 2088732 2024320 2088732       0   4148835200       0
## 34  77 2275392 2420130 2275392       0  20949030793       0
## 35  78 7020112 6437879 7020112       0 338995297458       0
## 36  79 2178314 2013176 2178314       0  27270573971       0
## 37   8 2025630 1700059 2025630       0 105996366605       0
## 38   9 2279804 2477361 2279804       0  39028580079       0
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1                0       1202.2555               0
## 2                0        671.7710               0
## 3                0      71811.4957               0
## 4                0        360.3653               0
## 5                0       9533.5455               0
## 6                0       1563.2310               0
## 7                0      40235.9187               0
## 8                0      10581.9061               0
## 9                0     173962.8639               0
## 10               0      31055.7161               0
## 11               0     130158.6221               0
## 12               0      26932.5893               0
## 13               0     107811.2248               0
## 14               0     136278.6447               0
## 15               0       6501.8253               0
## 16               0      11183.8810               0
## 17               0       2778.1870               0
## 18               0       9466.4286               0
## 19               0     255492.3460               0
## 20               0     122594.9822               0
## 21               0       4266.5836               0
## 22               0        644.5279               0
## 23               0     274396.5455               0
## 24               0      10965.1824               0
## 25               0        700.0826               0
## 26               0      12084.5759               0
## 27               0     205221.0163               0
## 28               0         40.1283               0
## 29               0      15201.2016               0
## 30               0       1713.0477               0
## 31               0      17281.9355               0
## 32               0      23125.7447               0
## 33               0       2049.4956               0
## 34               0       8656.1605               0
## 35               0      52656.3659               0
## 36               0      13546.0443               0
## 37               0      62348.6268               0
## 38               0      15754.0973               0
      b. f = 90%
res_srs_0.9
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com    MSE dir      MSE syn    MSE com
## 1    1 1639645 1593490 1629823  412602892   1945754540  298218109
## 2   10 2448742 2405798 2435746  558933113   1535871205  359297891
## 3   11 1424696 1150670 1423383  359475474  75208305549  357737224
## 4   12 1626781 1603040 1619365  312451600    739164064  199522201
## 5   13 1671636 1536746 1668858  369619060  18141438773  361777468
## 6   14 2671805 2610374 2663911  509027956   3865888984  417990434
## 7   15 5060029 4622922 5054303 2495408994 189784410064 2462553531
## 8   16 2705262 2537113 2701956  553145233  27989973639  542177540
## 9   17 2075237 2749228 2075878  431416856 454007146000  431006012
## 10  18 1799886 2050685 1801322  356447692  62893856457  354344185
## 11  19 1901784 2456735 1902571  436081745 307819712261  435457116
## 12   2 1626993 1434382 1625126  358311689  37058376628  354814434
## 13  20 1910331 1525002 1908389  748352625 148072257266  744574343
## 14  21 1544659 2072841 1545283  328912137 279051620772  328519356
## 15  22 2012153 1909823 2009009  318452694  10242767364  308432031
## 16  23 2149845 1997895 2147083  411248329  23323870604  403430752
## 17  24 2730246 2811013 2740674  781445747   6467259849  630302663
## 18  25 3901724 3731078 3894098 1271688494  28494973841 1211922074
## 19  26 2044183 1440400 2043655  319295581 364341103403  319015604
## 20  27 1849521 1428793 1848736  329924224 176918022389  329308258
## 21  28 1630084 1711282 1634732  362787506   6431083470  340080496
## 22  29 1940372 1905252 1927454  445301383    804103894  272565641
## 23   3 1796391 2638112 1797151  639398742 708127534406  638818491
## 24   4 2298079 2457331 2303589  864639145  24738325554  833431477
## 25   5 2079691 2116729 2092995  502592272   1160354551  276503167
## 26   6 2504788 2346747 2500182  717956135  24726304112  696424673
## 27   7 2715793 3571188 2716311  442484679 731892712660  442215723
## 28  71 2281970 2286330 2280892 1137017536   1484090345  580654078
## 29  72 1879872 2047494 1886728 1141841409  27123564453 1094474002
## 30  73 3474307 3401796 3455071 1519607450   5006650519 1016162909
## 31  74 2211954 2008825 2209623  471662773  40971646033  466213946
## 32  75 1873553 2086031 1876904  699934339  44992781980  688437238
## 33  76 2086433 2023828 2068410 1036605383   3382346304  662039443
## 34  77 2260723 2416265 2269816 1366657123  23498190152 1280075667
## 35  78 6996316 6419508 6989046 4187441855 329276011493 4134526363
## 36  79 2169537 2011272 2165364  656522720  24676221337  639038957
## 37   8 2016894 1698681 2015454  457432478 101445418273  455353872
## 38   9 2276090 2473305 2277983  371617836  38714800614  368005918
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         251.5982       1223.6252        182.4606
## 2         228.2285        638.6411        147.1882
## 3         252.0423      65392.6674        251.0552
## 4         191.8945        461.2325        122.9493
## 5         221.0196      11818.6863        216.6842
## 6         190.4751       1483.1892        156.7245
## 7         492.9748      41042.7497        487.0287
## 8         204.4129      11034.2494        200.6018
## 9         207.8904     165134.3752        207.6283
## 10        197.8960      30670.1503        196.5725
## 11        229.2193     125285.8913        228.7961
## 12        220.1055      25836.9712        218.2045
## 13        391.5852      97104.6031        390.0042
## 14        212.8522     134625.7085        212.5123
## 15        158.2159       5367.7652        153.4784
## 16        191.1425      11678.8010        187.7397
## 17        286.1830       2297.8619        230.3533
## 18        325.8618       7632.9816        311.1061
## 19        156.1854     252930.6434        156.0888
## 20        178.3553     123821.7937        178.0978
## 21        222.4542       3758.7396        207.9851
## 22        229.2562        422.9093        141.3044
## 23        355.8431     268417.2131        355.3698
## 24        376.1101      10067.1569        361.6853
## 25        241.6447        548.9931        132.5869
## 26        286.4884      10532.4354        278.3889
## 27        162.9127     204919.9569        162.7826
## 28        497.7468        649.7671        254.8185
## 29        607.3913      13246.1684        580.1069
## 30        437.3156       1474.5863        293.4881
## 31        213.2254      20403.3036        210.9833
## 32        373.4618      21562.4733        366.6876
## 33        496.6062       1672.1582        318.6364
## 34        604.0312       9741.1743        563.6779
## 35        598.4531      51272.9022        591.5010
## 36        302.5004      12267.4138        295.0004
## 37        226.6530      59751.4518        225.7836
## 38        163.2120      15645.4866        161.4923
      c. f = 80%
res_srs_0.8
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com    MSE dir      MSE syn    MSE com
## 1    1 1645708 1592564 1627378  976061242   2092355398  592811027
## 2   10 2435226 2402835 2423057 1266060221   1576991789  612195125
## 3   11 1417544 1140239 1414813  759791092  76750247287  752255111
## 4   12 1619709 1597147 1609616  672626730   1001701716  311614587
## 5   13 1667849 1544167 1660802  849459673  14978941887  798684104
## 6   14 2656217 2612721 2638827 1111588507   2118905820  537338535
## 7   15 5055884 4625945 5042975 5537685622 180529125410 5370639981
## 8   16 2693060 2537617 2684681 1221361980  24194588828 1144177753
## 9   17 2079109 2753700 2080606 1007209806 454789974895 1004951663
## 10  18 1799820 2055935 1802997  802759811  65273286930  792398092
## 11  19 1890108 2457258 1891812  962853964 321344331060  959914778
## 12   2 1632567 1436096 1628244  848022030  37909097245  829241419
## 13  20 1915554 1525365 1911269 1670431779 152417445122 1651975137
## 14  21 1529614 2072870 1530904  694637569 295275104160  692928919
## 15  22 2020044 1926758 2011762  745329386   8296982575  674445895
## 16  23 2151955 2000997 2145700  935214927  22139297522  895595670
## 17  24 2742344 2820391 2766243 1891033459   5497809698 1136671031
## 18  25 3929982 3739064 3913758 2956103567  35392497167 2681904468
## 19  26 2060018 1442098 2058807  748138751 381624363733  746671082
## 20  27 1855199 1428880 1853549  706998291 181864623257  704212282
## 21  28 1642443 1717001 1656404  840736715   5875130021  576936403
## 22  29 1947494 1911699 1920415 1025584673    349796252  225136528
## 23   3 1787227 2650209 1788885 1428627454 743692813020 1425828493
## 24   4 2283567 2459001 2294980 1819145481  30514900063 1666319550
## 25   5 2066832 2116844 2079631 1097880125   2996713751  580632609
## 26   6 2548006 2356518 2538750 1746186828  35645771786 1659494678
## 27   7 2729297 3566466 2730496 1002859219 700560184337 1001414529
## 28  71 2282563 2283184 2278796 2595853137   2052910096 1025657751
## 29  72 1862525 2044956 1876613 2348898155  32582211351 2119090076
## 30  73 3497777 3413301 3475241 3436373841   8711805087 2166083448
## 31  74 2203477 2005111 2198114 1052049629  38935691429 1023040672
## 32  75 1856654 2082170 1863709 1553818952  50218071943 1502490717
## 33  76 2104881 2024822 2079706 2511026683   6521670929 1452320403
## 34  77 2267975 2419386 2287769 3158079572  23160315233 2547128093
## 35  78 7008088 6431018 6991778 9395957043 324948406830 9129265572
## 36  79 2178801 2008243 2169988 1472386742  28580406061 1393311223
## 37   8 2034193 1693682 2030966 1095018795 115563831377 1084536633
## 38   9 2267550 2470600 2271807  856306499  40752451437  837846074
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         592.9973       1323.4578        364.0816
## 2         519.5471        656.7445        251.9873
## 3         534.5119      67236.0969        530.2366
## 4         414.5378        630.2629        192.9041
## 5         509.1301       9720.1673        480.6485
## 6         418.3160        812.4471        202.4255
## 7        1094.8669      39013.0306       1064.5276
## 8         453.5104       9534.7270        425.9269
## 9         484.3621     165132.0985        482.9287
## 10        445.7092      31749.6584        439.1915
## 11        509.2515     130793.3927        507.2399
## 12        519.0599      26377.5587        508.9059
## 13        870.5807      99985.5213        862.8751
## 14        453.3697     142441.4423        451.8721
## 15        368.8770       4319.7429        335.1164
## 16        434.2955      11065.3764        417.0892
## 17        689.4469       1945.3550        412.5926
## 18        752.0203       9457.3151        684.6748
## 19        363.1009     264736.3278        362.6015
## 20        380.0233     127270.1716        378.8711
## 21        511.5822       3407.0318        350.3679
## 22        526.1517        184.3386        117.5610
## 23        798.8425     280581.1949        796.5285
## 24        794.4199      12412.2587        724.6603
## 25        530.9654       1411.5002        281.0914
## 26        685.0310      15125.0399        653.2948
## 27        367.3275     196387.1333        366.6372
## 28       1135.1828        898.2572        449.9697
## 29       1254.8329      15947.2166       1124.0842
## 30        981.5639       2552.8168        620.2858
## 31        477.3626      19421.3394        465.3048
## 32        836.5195      24105.0851        805.9083
## 33       1191.8297       3224.4884        690.7865
## 34       1388.1143       9579.9798       1113.3556
## 35       1340.1487      50484.6597       1305.1154
## 36        675.0185      14235.0215        641.2155
## 37        538.0608      68229.8230        533.7519
## 38        377.3455      16478.7812        368.5244
      d. f = 70%
res_srs_0.7
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1643881 1595362 1618894  1622588981   1743956523   689670120
## 2   10 2454053 2411037 2435509  2178758933   2910571561  1046210150
## 3   11 1428070 1149138 1422918  1424457696  78441589399  1397344030
## 4   12 1621592 1603737 1612683  1179845882    969801238   436994718
## 5   13 1665403 1529078 1654727  1445342372  17709448129  1330557821
## 6   14 2685167 2618372 2659340  2071190263   3550649355  1168430238
## 7   15 5099625 4643864 5077510  9973573254 200140573218  9477100159
## 8   16 2715274 2545414 2701632  2179055532  28369577483  1977290569
## 9   17 2062208 2758272 2064685  1711477778 484114913787  1705198729
## 10  18 1786843 2054020 1792124  1343204801  72352702880  1313199403
## 11  19 1902824 2461785 1905861  1664211653 313163414744  1654391710
## 12   2 1627504 1435618 1620303  1368032478  36499963278  1315181017
## 13  20 1913432 1529438 1905843  2909724793 147974536855  2851656301
## 14  21 1557687 2075540 1560290  1338112577 268005265219  1331221873
## 15  22 2038808 1906684 2028698  1295858085  16893000159  1191012780
## 16  23 2132065 2000547 2117879  1660162187  17824042825  1436945530
## 17  24 2734818 2822265 2769174  3116137345   6209063615  1584945239
## 18  25 3919113 3749444 3888567  4957251641  25220607185  3982320356
## 19  26 2056631 1439708 2054571  1270767310 379726053889  1266518547
## 20  27 1844927 1425997 1842006  1226402744 174530628745  1217706189
## 21  28 1611383 1709118 1625678  1375821733   9986840605  1066624816
## 22  29 1940356 1906691 1914375  1723219890    569621244   409398759
## 23   3 1801348 2635274 1804236  2404572199 693885694321  2396046531
## 24   4 2277542 2465073 2295870  2938654749  34922252222  2491245240
## 25   5 2087355 2120345 2100179  1789265153   2728855659   847254371
## 26   6 2522193 2350030 2504724  2934768773  27800030270  2621941225
## 27   7 2724056 3580307 2726034  1683851971 733104071891  1679858334
## 28  71 2306827 2289351 2299779  4418263187   3321825081  1585550108
## 29  72 1869998 2048171 1897509  4187568323  30537624902  3135107344
## 30  73 3435235 3392898 3415762  5542281367   5436426725  2374766963
## 31  74 2230205 2010884 2221562  1871189991  47105338235  1795663544
## 32  75 1867802 2088762 1880384  2638612106  47833391131  2465957147
## 33  76 2083869 2018570 2046386  4125035732   3709740249  1616919873
## 34  77 2270481 2413903 2312854  5380327785  20261192965  2880974582
## 35  78 7002638 6424022 6974843 15977118311 322073719561 15198932477
## 36  79 2186782 2012398 2172177  2502222142  29154256406  2285914436
## 37   8 2008337 1703533 2002660  1717159402  92936962344  1684602070
## 38   9 2275596 2467275 2283850  1518760043  36556786607  1447112514
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         984.3318       1092.2116        422.7624
## 2         886.6673       1200.9601        426.5007
## 3         995.4105      68897.8924        980.0018
## 4         724.4223        606.0178        270.1780
## 5         865.7438      11560.1791        801.8347
## 6         770.6868       1354.0107        437.4961
## 7        1955.0143      43068.3529       1865.5947
## 8         801.8350      11159.0498        730.7876
## 9         828.5095     175550.3964        824.4805
## 10        749.5867      35210.9396        730.7769
## 11        871.1421     127255.5033        864.6281
## 12        838.2944      25412.3452        809.3617
## 13       1514.9826      96760.9690       1490.5404
## 14        858.5525     129070.1129        852.7125
## 15        635.0712       8868.6559        586.3643
## 16        777.9868       8988.4108        676.9646
## 17       1137.1334       2203.9962        574.7735
## 18       1264.0022       6724.2021       1021.9091
## 19        617.8113     263807.0962        616.3632
## 20        664.1645     122451.2529        660.5233
## 21        852.2310       5844.1038        659.3054
## 22        886.2390        297.4537        213.0019
## 23       1334.6376     263219.8271       1327.7415
## 24       1283.6661      14180.0239       1082.1557
## 25        856.1152       1286.8756        404.7581
## 26       1162.5154      11814.3209       1045.4077
## 27        616.9691     204926.1656        615.0610
## 28       1907.8521       1454.0575        685.4247
## 29       2230.2291      14931.0507       1663.1631
## 30       1610.1012       1596.8552        690.9913
## 31        838.6404      23438.6297        807.8265
## 32       1411.8555      22883.5332       1311.6117
## 33       1974.1940       1841.2796        784.7492
## 34       2360.6371       8388.6957       1263.9992
## 35       2280.2499      50096.4714       2177.6927
## 36       1142.2408      14480.7412       1050.0020
## 37        853.9703      54597.1943        840.1040
## 38        666.9854      14763.9469        633.3087
      e. f = 60%
res_srs_0.6
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1660144 1601793 1630505  2728017706   2787402669  1230372626
## 2   10 2456833 2432239 2435886  3340898199   1609925877   962402613
## 3   11 1441195 1137873 1433546  2319806346  91996996319  2259407221
## 4   12 1628333 1611438 1621258  1681187897   1992898106   765208777
## 5   13 1645861 1532011 1626805  2046494518  12317933582  1646258574
## 6   14 2657402 2618139 2639696  2972297779   4124848495  1340517348
## 7   15 5072784 4618384 5039139 15162100533 198686284873 14019782283
## 8   16 2720515 2523622 2698699  3732750519  37475044439  3115442684
## 9   17 2038517 2748775 2041976  2440215885 503194509682  2427972445
## 10  18 1793347 2057438 1801563  2145055819  68080372921  2075147478
## 11  19 1891623 2440682 1896454  2626766250 299765256948  2602110701
## 12   2 1619041 1426362 1607204  2218254686  36337106016  2073793016
## 13  20 1924025 1530564 1912632  4479799630 153216627123  4349301571
## 14  21 1536750 2061549 1540319  1842148356 275401802618  1828771692
## 15  22 2039237 1932686 2019419  2080113825  12864788809  1443166389
## 16  23 2119516 2014733 2093676  2465050368   9885569812  1749741655
## 17  24 2731205 2834002 2766102  4714938539   8682537533  2806679629
## 18  25 3969053 3762436 3926992  8265016805  36539612548  6398178158
## 19  26 2040955 1432279 2037778  1929409504 370491034536  1919245353
## 20  27 1859522 1436505 1854638  2065642820 178667914471  2041373714
## 21  28 1652919 1722983 1680888  2401285913   4987402471  1116088363
## 22  29 1922170 1893767 1904459  2536612022   1698455683  1003614812
## 23   3 1823233 2650067 1828031  3885214504 683124364358  3859918428
## 24   4 2286894 2450458 2323930  5221635516  27092278566  2946126371
## 25   5 2040312 2105458 2067155  2754425830   4374922145  1380106927
## 26   6 2557100 2350748 2534900  4570370983  38497812406  4072612083
## 27   7 2683785 3532851 2686806  2550015474 721200474618  2540699899
## 28  71 2302109 2277982 2287338  6945127117   5109168676  2866480698
## 29  72 1868969 2042940 1913324  7211979511  34947141351  3568147573
## 30  73 3492302 3372848 3431812  9491296008  10838159617  4045862335
## 31  74 2174407 2006775 2158384  2622470618  26287297455  2358083904
## 32  75 1893589 2081463 1920685  4438112400  34016012043  3551231406
## 33  76 2069063 2020501 2042383  5832433472   5286926777  2483909295
## 34  77 2201092 2402031 2234381  6759351994  38259284201  5017313682
## 35  78 6887210 6339656 6842124 24533508581 277223325621 22485295202
## 36  79 2163639 2008406 2139840  3893065346  22581454820  3182223857
## 37   8 2028385 1708024 2019448  2863374050 100436436587  2781756179
## 38   9 2279722 2452291 2294972  2340627461  29544754542  2061938567
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1        1636.5105       1739.4636        749.5531
## 2        1359.1562        658.1726        393.4883
## 3        1598.6279      80800.3871       1565.2560
## 4        1028.6628       1246.4115        470.0281
## 5        1236.7604       8121.2053       1006.4718
## 6        1116.0622       1579.1923        504.3325
## 7        2978.3373      42828.0725       2770.9442
## 8        1371.5304      14893.4706       1149.6285
## 9        1196.1218     182977.1483       1188.0893
## 10       1194.7594      33080.8548       1150.6206
## 11       1383.5017     122859.9478       1366.9668
## 12       1366.9634      25527.9294       1286.7513
## 13       2321.3763     100093.4144       2266.9530
## 14       1194.5676     133591.4805       1183.1705
## 15       1019.4170       6754.3727        710.5726
## 16       1162.0044       4939.7294        832.3088
## 17       1718.7869       3068.9720       1014.1363
## 18       2080.9313       9732.7375       1624.9903
## 19        944.8985     259102.3008        941.3860
## 20       1109.0035     124423.2476       1098.8710
## 21       1450.1110       2910.1295        674.4285
## 22       1314.7256        891.9762        524.2435
## 23       2118.7394     257693.0985       2099.1828
## 24       2266.4220      11071.7164       1286.2231
## 25       1348.3341       2067.7735        669.8733
## 26       1785.2940      16374.8805       1604.6243
## 27        948.8528     204070.5332        944.3236
## 28       3008.0884       2237.5923       1249.4721
## 29       3793.8312      17257.4542       1896.3049
## 30       2716.2627       3221.0229       1171.5579
## 31       1204.5750      13082.7120       1090.5490
## 32       2338.6865      16303.4392       1855.1497
## 33       2800.1510       2620.9359       1209.8383
## 34       3058.7495      15945.9195       2252.7782
## 35       3562.3220      43715.9226       3286.1437
## 36       1796.2520      11286.4270       1482.5386
## 37       1408.4359      58792.3360       1374.4543
## 38       1021.8843      12080.0252        895.8863
      f. f = 50%
res_srs_0.5
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1647790 1612215 1624218  3724593071   3284521790  1395584391
## 2   10 2490268 2421108 2446662  5275031280   3949232022  1835134964
## 3   11 1445734 1151961 1432754  3801284876  83714841590  3623205445
## 4   12 1658525 1612871 1637934  3154996020   4005220006  1485353606
## 5   13 1662477 1522516 1636617  3140494054  18976221142  2296011552
## 6   14 2654094 2608131 2627616  4186108656   3527587447  1695336218
## 7   15 5090472 4634942 5042947 21494618766 190587402880 19182924795
## 8   16 2710141 2520635 2679929  5403452850  33152927391  4438668997
## 9   17 2038316 2738949 2043606  3641760592 491039192160  3612100547
## 10  18 1773416 2038420 1785422  2996994437  69496808743  2835562426
## 11  19 1899683 2454668 1907279  4121605820 306082422298  4059415488
## 12   2 1647859 1432078 1630325  3540853472  46101517138  3207454592
## 13  20 1899351 1515601 1883023  6239147991 142719835226  5964210662
## 14  21 1542914 2075179 1548447  2888953614 282440066164  2856527908
## 15  22 2007738 1887175 1980104  2971391928  14144044784  2104521705
## 16  23 2133783 1996555 2102148  3700064376  19189260508  2558345451
## 17  24 2707547 2793279 2748427  6782830190   7642149358  3126651111
## 18  25 3909498 3739421 3844731 11759106736  19312010232  7007116020
## 19  26 2049242 1430918 2044738  2794086602 381900447366  2773736961
## 20  27 1844384 1436164 1837421  2833513024 165784250634  2783037116
## 21  28 1616493 1708296 1648726  3238747694   7459235178  1724160363
## 22  29 1961191 1927108 1940952  4553398341   3334831521  1908859461
## 23   3 1815508 2655002 1822127  5398087433 704423761298  5347964397
## 24   4 2296864 2454337 2344660  8169285895  29382382907  3831688788
## 25   5 2081647 2116751 2097720  4221912139   4684197528  1714867745
## 26   6 2487171 2328299 2445818  6152317285  21204117080  4315208871
## 27   7 2690675 3578419 2694994  3809764604 786200474208  3790571444
## 28  71 2312495 2292833 2302469 10578229492   7599817859  4339927145
## 29  72 1907161 2053593 1946267 10564869726  31799304505  5259911999
## 30  73 3451021 3406685 3429937 12917720335  11605847519  5347816296
## 31  74 2181376 2015888 2156373  3906756739  24912948610  3226001410
## 32  75 1869744 2092362 1897921  6113297412  44319822217  5280247606
## 33  76 2120790 2030048 2063820  9933373103   7481543517  3549118571
## 34  77 2266642 2418028 2337279 13170069420  17119284136  5826722755
## 35  78 7038491 6442921 6972738 39055296306 317795583567 34695543404
## 36  79 2147097 2017701 2111039  5169618744  18513556846  3079088524
## 37   8 2022494 1710140 2008957  4208828887  94354097650  4024111017
## 38   9 2274256 2483151 2291378  3523456609  41149541010  3221606586
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         2239.747        2049.736        850.9196
## 2         2115.998        1638.398        746.3772
## 3         2614.338       72885.036       2515.5958
## 4         1896.038        2479.085        899.1341
## 5         1874.223       12720.539       1392.7287
## 6         1576.791        1358.910        645.3083
## 7         4209.930       40951.050       3790.5093
## 8         1990.788       13199.300       1650.4775
## 9         1781.073      179177.819       1761.9925
## 10        1683.342       34065.039       1582.5789
## 11        2159.641      124712.365       2118.5099
## 12        2139.854       32234.354       1954.2214
## 13        3282.016       94258.225       3164.8900
## 14        1865.567      136086.054       1838.0071
## 15        1477.430        7528.028       1053.6048
## 16        1731.721        9650.875       1205.5872
## 17        2500.979        2731.017       1139.2202
## 18        3004.634        5166.410       1818.9234
## 19        1361.017      267430.859       1354.0867
## 20        1534.458      115718.969       1512.9903
## 21        1996.933        4373.187       1050.6087
## 22        2307.873        1716.765        976.4388
## 23        2934.442      265912.016       2896.6116
## 24        3517.466       11940.407       1647.5480
## 25        2016.526        2218.793        820.4705
## 26        2464.483        9038.260       1743.1289
## 27        1412.631      219754.655       1403.2601
## 28        4535.920        3315.582       1877.0984
## 29        5455.228       15500.586       2728.8533
## 30        3729.069        3394.697       1546.3785
## 31        1789.753       12348.225       1491.0043
## 32        3265.918       21215.166       2780.4509
## 33        4664.615        3696.878       1704.3655
## 34        5807.245        7093.185       2534.7531
## 35        5545.604       49316.148       4972.8479
## 36        2400.905        9195.263       1431.4513
## 37        2079.839       55186.003       2001.7619
## 38        1544.117       16480.715       1401.4181
      g. f = 40%
res_srs_0.4
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1639146 1599797 1608187  5443243449   4090677834  2056423704
## 2   10 2428342 2398987 2406787  7525727556   4680955796  2702923582
## 3   11 1421044 1119967 1404445  4953099129  88974330785  4645309836
## 4   12 1645510 1590511 1615952  4294737077   3492489011  1477317059
## 5   13 1646941 1525644 1613243  4563310843  13604746568  2954829784
## 6   14 2643210 2609702 2624651  6839068922   5396783682  2927093931
## 7   15 5089881 4640779 5017156 31580189475 180652555788 26018264260
## 8   16 2699259 2545438 2649447  7140894094  18936065330  4494235710
## 9   17 2103391 2770604 2113030  6309696386 442207997057  6210346302
## 10  18 1798513 2064647 1818888  4994956884  70627138811  4525474616
## 11  19 1912944 2468026 1924207  6085981460 304472537992  5945329572
## 12   2 1616379 1445576 1587488  5004160705  27473834556  3968791659
## 13  20 1964728 1539193 1939043 10742672330 181701735760 10072347181
## 14  21 1558010 2082673 1566589  4441079743 273573561753  4364940918
## 15  22 2037153 1917506 2001274  4683679490  13159121648  2900090109
## 16  23 2159765 1988382 2126576  5630856992  30589402739  4130820583
## 17  24 2738632 2814194 2789397 13006348229   8419367557  4806691333
## 18  25 3914482 3750299 3846811 17493017952  24810018787  9312008159
## 19  26 2037526 1447368 2030659  4041711056 349854710108  3994077521
## 20  27 1858967 1425790 1848389  4621035934 186555265484  4502592675
## 21  28 1674576 1723372 1688285  5861939397   9582125833  2920093064
## 22  29 1949496 1913518 1928461  6359975095   4976519221  2766314779
## 23   3 1800700 2654232 1810941  8625004203 723556387337  8507783468
## 24   4 2332162 2475847 2369693 12530857058  31078596723  7109609231
## 25   5 2089678 2129427 2094620  7284634927  10703589455  3644977947
## 26   6 2509895 2371816 2461268 10490670916  19573791574  5951648126
## 27   7 2686638 3558236 2693351  5677452304 765825555703  5628740794
## 28  71 2281221 2292096 2265979 15460037496  15416824341  6520565408
## 29  72 1864165 2052030 1923920 14877418811  37480754070  7265142465
## 30  73 3464787 3405483 3441482 19714495323  14573585437  7443531738
## 31  74 2204430 2013841 2169380  6073045390  34179871879  4729741109
## 32  75 1883371 2091038 1932664  9198873993  40300425028  5986891667
## 33  76 2071423 2017064 2026615 14082361390  10562825604  5285325561
## 34  77 2296594 2426753 2347178 20713766855  29211419162  9912722354
## 35  78 7047537 6450139 6956393 53455155570 314089034662 44930757903
## 36  79 2150024 2015734 2104213  8810814864  20385021795  5105043380
## 37   8 2016054 1698713 1996415  6095656771 103416669411  5699333305
## 38   9 2249080 2451233 2275352  5050199738  37010766018  4224378326
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         3257.567        2559.762       1269.9246
## 2         3074.626        1917.947       1106.3328
## 3         3446.725       80721.798       3274.5369
## 4         2608.601        2217.683        907.7832
## 5         2732.622        9120.223       1812.0862
## 6         2576.162        2068.341       1112.6389
## 7         6188.974       38805.394       5163.8483
## 8         2641.130        7452.494       1681.7459
## 9         2990.157      159503.754       2929.8414
## 10        2771.281       34020.387       2485.8864
## 11        3164.724      123386.208       3073.2868
## 12        3080.588       19011.168       2472.9727
## 13        5432.638      118649.366       5155.8382
## 14        2850.138      131281.311       2786.0063
## 15        2293.257        7002.945       1440.4704
## 16        2600.349       15865.690       1930.6500
## 17        4744.600        3010.232       1730.4513
## 18        4461.794        6614.671       2403.3783
## 19        1978.341      241990.981       1961.5763
## 20        2470.047      131252.986       2421.1825
## 21        3485.920        5516.839       1737.1915
## 22        3242.110        2584.006       1424.9207
## 23        4750.211      272384.646       4657.9112
## 24        5307.812       12533.045       3005.7839
## 25        3457.236        4992.526       1740.8434
## 26        4167.614        8205.307       2377.7913
## 27        2104.977      214924.978       2081.8447
## 28        6688.026        6725.940       2866.5281
## 29        7852.080       18411.322       3781.5449
## 30        5668.903        4251.234       2141.0646
## 31        2742.386       16976.527       2153.1910
## 32        4869.658       19274.954       3146.5950
## 33        6698.622        5232.033       2590.7009
## 34        8982.216       12052.243       4254.3375
## 35        7566.377       48385.666       6433.4624
## 36        4076.026       10065.463       2376.3297
## 37        3002.422       61350.072       2832.6733
## 38        2219.157       15177.169       1841.6497
      h. f = 30%
res_srs_0.3
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1637855 1545692 1594866  7731218522  14977142552  3383428674
## 2   10 2451322 2420704 2425831 11574250917   6421704273  3598688044
## 3   11 1472349 1169425 1440114  9564118556  86538974280  8384278427
## 4   12 1610597 1621733 1603418  5990833964   5323928488  2255700279
## 5   13 1625189 1555334 1581504  6624632290   4761200342  2298816493
## 6   14 2736087 2620717 2678447 11550507242  15020794222  5150174716
## 7   15 5011666 4614578 4880822 50297005611 128783354642 32600311680
## 8   16 2741231 2573785 2683457 12346561401  25210505453  7362549050
## 9   17 2046884 2774024 2059881  8725450696 532206831335  8507757414
## 10  18 1812616 2082899 1836288  7601603665  81297656886  5997922434
## 11  19 1854336 2460283 1872239  9250171390 374191380108  8753915098
## 12   2 1594491 1406994 1553169  7064397210  36534434334  4848406590
## 13  20 1964997 1547437 1919282 19048765951 176298495755 16921317192
## 14  21 1535212 2069029 1547299  6242397827 281868081615  6077091202
## 15  22 2024436 1923871 1978802  6846640926   9203887384  3249959898
## 16  23 2116839 2002064 2078938  8206170664  15149480003  3953543069
## 17  24 2705856 2809107 2745279 13736724849  18060831344  7102414641
## 18  25 3940590 3706482 3857957 28515681161  54502552884 16573942598
## 19  26 2038506 1448443 2028215  6054422737 345271262193  5946825947
## 20  27 1857134 1429109 1842071  6515853257 180767701949  6274090310
## 21  28 1649979 1725207 1655548  7378167744  17977004563  3722391451
## 22  29 1965844 1930171 1946578 11792621900  10442018220  5529406747
## 23   3 1701826 2615753 1713945 10811162796 831627264405 10625012059
## 24   4 2344889 2463791 2392857 21156790176  25985059942  9433095705
## 25   5 2084277 2123984 2110463  9615374541   7312001573  3809720505
## 26   6 2627202 2395574 2555660 19383965644  52706473365 12601820454
## 27   7 2725181 3570795 2737065  9670465994 719926075829  9518081824
## 28  71 2360925 2301000 2328798 26573691197  18273077709 10447067004
## 29  72 1904076 2065747 1974326 29547964091  40887034907 11657480740
## 30  73 3573034 3413523 3498561 36297419915  46251980695 15526208300
## 31  74 2172191 2026282 2117640  9380595713  20265443785  5178267447
## 32  75 1884806 2102695 1943211 13948617537  54727719521  8002028323
## 33  76 2148448 2047458 2102773 22610117511  24539618832 11431108527
## 34  77 2281597 2430990 2336099 31724586462  42351840474 15455722765
## 35  78 6960985 6404181 6790683 92107509289 234671358966 61962539001
## 36  79 2101822 2030118 2090385 10598549429  18311021490  5412149697
## 37   8 2038467 1685532 2009159 10199560383 122072270707  9312807077
## 38   9 2301909 2491141 2342865  8478556563  31047821995  6240155500
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         4626.349       10228.718        2086.394
## 2         4670.436        2650.633        1481.438
## 3         6436.834       74972.378        5778.882
## 4         3670.238        3276.113        1414.281
## 5         4026.538        3064.192        1448.034
## 6         4200.381        5743.676        1897.816
## 7         9941.353       27419.474        6540.738
## 8         4484.447        9842.081        2718.826
## 9         4202.017      191835.674        4072.227
## 10        4125.725       39057.205        3270.558
## 11        4860.424      152411.527        4566.011
## 12        4405.378       26528.672        3066.184
## 13        9522.132      114799.567        8636.170
## 14        4042.292      136136.829        3903.900
## 15        3363.829        4797.410        1623.003
## 16        3859.769        7746.251        1897.210
## 17        5022.495        6399.068        2568.819
## 18        7199.382       14700.465        4229.933
## 19        2962.981      239119.920        2925.183
## 20        3476.721      126583.092        3376.850
## 21        4424.261       10182.633        2256.066
## 22        5952.288        5358.596        2815.842
## 23        6271.464      317217.673        6112.117
## 24        8952.478       10543.445        3938.825
## 25        4583.617        3458.692        1809.499
## 26        7209.340       21515.084        4735.006
## 27        3534.978      201263.051        3464.314
## 28       11090.766        7907.541        4450.063
## 29       15193.886       20023.434        5877.721
## 30       10125.625       13490.419        4334.274
## 31        4295.072       10008.174        2401.784
## 32        7320.907       25935.640        4157.290
## 33       10379.825       11921.392        5345.042
## 34       13693.186       17465.717        6599.419
## 35       13163.185       36246.567        9019.790
## 36        4961.542        9064.329        2515.850
## 37        4969.379       72562.412        4599.340
## 38        3660.054       12390.259        2646.948
      i. f = 20%
res_srs_0.2
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1657628 1598530 1615162  14992358277  13741462518  5957301970
## 2   10 2428519 2382360 2397592  20790131645  14856815584  8393352737
## 3   11 1459112 1084822 1420745  14216690167 138165896810 12328190505
## 4   12 1607887 1558345 1583820  10092932338   8984794309  4296205285
## 5   13 1603466 1531015 1569234  10779051230   9369964554  4752120211
## 6   14 2636564 2578730 2604822  15836578258  12812081412  6552704412
## 7   15 4941267 4560006 4758212  76664588025  91560240607 37079226546
## 8   16 2651366 2522249 2593749  17165093526  20641318887  7799904018
## 9   17 2146222 2767990 2176007  16295769651 387947882737 15024300964
## 10  18 1756590 2067812 1806723  14705314821  85836444065 11813403935
## 11  19 1865950 2447621 1891108  13639632072 336490743893 12849821037
## 12   2 1686283 1470769 1623727  16309925764  43712473742 10763203089
## 13  20 1921329 1548590 1855760  25124178871 137465125313 20527006509
## 14  21 1569853 2078077 1593273  10538793803 258832175165  9728321352
## 15  22 2090251 1938593 2034061  13038781314  28836377806  6534033157
## 16  23 2109654 1955210 2052277  15214638630  26410061766  8376624551
## 17  24 2673974 2790022 2697706  33031703021  49205627213 16613955281
## 18  25 3948518 3701386 3807776  51193863087  48435456102 19620144335
## 19  26 2033465 1468876 2010453  12863674140 318956899554 12311547904
## 20  27 1817570 1421422 1787529  12427354482 155133838869 11412798869
## 21  28 1642896 1742988 1699793  14532472375  12764840920  6041497821
## 22  29 1914891 1876974 1894256  17015760563  15465508435  8083837047
## 23   3 1715667 2636825 1734271  16067449542 838985688059 15506044993
## 24   4 2351761 2472223 2346893  39412803714  72711572982 19440677857
## 25   5 2133974 2132681 2129206  17656296463  15717762325  7492182005
## 26   6 2599753 2393483 2477498  32628762578  24588781635 12530734017
## 27   7 2608659 3499232 2625278  14061873167 796454221484 13734993636
## 28  71 2246178 2254804 2246302  28176945017  14856173649  8321741452
## 29  72 1836563 2019573 1896708  31825572066  58903056536 14528919924
## 30  73 3509588 3354595 3445299  55635343591  58625914117 26324340467
## 31  74 2233878 1983530 2164766  17259469136  67465704128 11392716237
## 32  75 1781941 2056838 1840687  21138862774  93141318651 12528603435
## 33  76 2031667 1966742 1990944  32732210237  23331660579 12935160786
## 34  77 2214520 2401833 2278441  46816168415  61221128361 19640954410
## 35  78 6975230 6383276 6717253 153160820499 223970771760 80977766665
## 36  79 2133646 1984313 2046757  19716135434  14784435201  7310564156
## 37   8 2015879 1694674 1960348  17188048682  94310147038 13841906574
## 38   9 2218806 2443954 2280878  12886420450  43408475411  8542394104
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         8695.687        8437.315        3578.184
## 2         8378.965        6205.007        3465.640
## 3         9516.207      127851.524        8489.488
## 4         6238.872        5765.034        2676.992
## 5         6530.353        6102.900        2972.170
## 6         5960.609        5006.693        2497.091
## 7        15465.220       20141.873        7709.860
## 8         6445.226        8269.322        2966.998
## 9         7520.671      140107.306        6872.407
## 10        8323.858       41426.324        6511.823
## 11        7278.181      136728.481        6760.556
## 12        9532.796       29584.218        6448.229
## 13       12689.071       90173.385       10699.057
## 14        6643.852      124182.446        6071.639
## 15        6227.780       15265.373        3131.284
## 16        7165.382       13581.553        4017.834
## 17       11785.073       17578.123        5965.439
## 18       12797.622       13081.574        5051.850
## 19        6286.841      217458.157        6083.134
## 20        6656.386      108900.369        6225.942
## 21        8788.945        7333.165        3583.603
## 22        8500.104        7857.881        4073.647
## 23        8963.732      319927.266        8554.616
## 24       15998.973       29260.910        8131.412
## 25        8160.069        7335.439        3503.920
## 26       12387.005       10192.771        4945.483
## 27        5336.959      227376.132        5181.807
## 28       12285.621        6538.006        3676.459
## 29       16842.028       29233.191        7569.347
## 30       15444.401       17402.374        7475.635
## 31        7609.892       33953.861        5054.369
## 32       11614.051       45314.761        6906.963
## 33       15721.166       11904.982        6365.555
## 34       20654.622       25482.338        8653.489
## 35       21823.271       34892.319       11835.195
## 36        9161.851        7515.543        3551.859
## 37        8434.551       55991.726        6969.636
## 38        5768.047       17489.808        3732.020
      j. f = 10%
res_srs_0.1
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1655637 1618995 1620920  23807636836  36566788458 10879141778
## 2   10 2464440 2417393 2416477  48778025169  34903800703 18015910995
## 3   11 1499114 1178778 1381855  42549084160  72195995104 20215671277
## 4   12 1656208 1653803 1655902  29723303081  21039141500 11566948023
## 5   13 1639921 1534461 1599451  25931075211  29151455268 12145813489
## 6   14 2742225 2652262 2673984  55485865925  27933921791 16825733750
## 7   15 5219980 4658098 4914845 208892425597 226631992706 80357542138
## 8   16 2623203 2544564 2565489  32513963387  18638082848 10797436860
## 9   17 2011069 2745441 2047203  25324034741 527935082036 23806572048
## 10  18 1800951 2070286 1855680  32323847071  94787940851 19283206622
## 11  19 1961778 2461353 2031713  35749439552 255193201008 21274693940
## 12   2 1703614 1425507 1589123  32681866276  62473379553 15665520096
## 13  20 2017152 1550224 1874277  71106846054 229646186038 47481591430
## 14  21 1514774 2071161 1558765  24560726841 320284988704 18233331433
## 15  22 2067243 1938946 2003734  29279596940  31585294122 13488413151
## 16  23 2150384 2075012 2100916  30100918505  33461136423 13766217159
## 17  24 2730974 2868780 2793195  59317199499  64337826795 26097711971
## 18  25 3980105 3796335 3885149 118611624121 118809727590 53434819532
## 19  26 2001847 1424547 1959730  23838440116 315395163898 21930507164
## 20  27 1837982 1462089 1785541  19811790109 133843949383 16897823173
## 21  28 1654971 1711933 1685186  31589030641  25080504265 12225569096
## 22  29 1823021 1789368 1804962  17910308378  16439031309  8553179791
## 23   3 1742090 2664583 1786435  32552852738 890854754107 22396827543
## 24   4 2267260 2451067 2312774  92161525047 136669134371 38446386144
## 25   5 2034965 2102340 2071154  38997335336  36697339781 17113718530
## 26   6 2558233 2335874 2396744  72969560010  33676461543 20850821816
## 27   7 2664928 3536698 2700461  29837993925 750099268642 28420934480
## 28  71 2211727 2315365 2258490  58728160616  45261843014 22609446526
## 29  72 1977795 2080726 1969950 122712818673 131899046751 54906449044
## 30  73 3634282 3392217 3479831 137820875204  87640755358 48910727944
## 31  74 2231223 2042378 2114027  40626946723  30362698108 14901349693
## 32  75 1900901 2120708 1966613  59945471675 106508935425 29833256090
## 33  76 2093345 2084668 2101511  81949275960  72667293374 36691290963
## 34  77 2227363 2419776 2305072 102019560683 115585854669 38615352867
## 35  78 6775195 6268624 6359411 305495195304  86513939204 61256082385
## 36  79 2246555 2045680 2152671  44615028060  61120327208 20456956659
## 37   8 2072663 1716385 1984594  47227193721 152495667128 34407137392
## 38   9 2215010 2383702 2290019  20857262180  25704158369  8168560311
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1        13883.232       23505.437        6595.095
## 2        19396.106       14462.984        7451.841
## 3        26612.529       63330.207       14193.242
## 4        16956.108       12583.655        6783.178
## 5        15150.413       20235.392        7514.713
## 6        19494.240       10180.525        6063.737
## 7        38798.843       46870.780       15409.236
## 8        12295.747        7320.984        4202.041
## 9        12462.031      192038.841       11507.566
## 10       17388.698       45610.886       10307.840
## 11       17325.350      103981.467       10372.412
## 12       18787.761       46320.990        9505.090
## 13       32978.387      147080.815       22380.924
## 14       15172.117      155383.309       11360.485
## 15       13779.185       16957.442        6671.715
## 16       13803.423       16074.046        6442.112
## 17       20499.529       22227.862        8954.875
## 18       29417.959       31312.355       13470.006
## 19       11867.826      223652.199       11163.502
## 20       10563.701       91175.321        9251.264
## 21       18897.932       14754.194        7290.521
## 22        9780.618        9119.195        4710.896
## 23       17498.872      330799.899       12572.479
## 24       37466.857       55248.938       15808.218
## 25       18688.141       17366.006        8148.162
## 26       27545.879       14149.275        8470.036
## 27       11084.867      210255.458       10418.211
## 28       25975.731       19679.478       10066.283
## 29       58030.832       63446.853       27130.730
## 30       37683.825       26084.699       13999.065
## 31       17999.423       14826.110        6915.547
## 32       30243.183       50305.290       15055.768
## 33       37390.343       34659.038       16870.219
## 34       42143.711       47340.030       16430.609
## 35       44915.144       13510.248        9418.515
## 36       19168.672       29747.468        8872.313
## 37       21034.328       89561.788       16062.418
## 38        9297.765       10720.797        3595.231
      k. f = 5%
res_srs_0.05
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1689954 1561587 1606255  54161130058  31267028457  16980176191
## 2   10 2262248 2194145 2190841  69037859810  45925121636  18770224506
## 3   11 1466591 1184764 1321514  81668038894  77734507535  32826379840
## 4   12 1475626 1559219 1494517  36875964849  38541193354  14432810575
## 5   13 1728517 1573883 1613797  79236936873  28017100214  19297664233
## 6   14 2537704 2512514 2491950  96299744667  79835329637  37560600228
## 7   15 4972709 4447414 4647062 314347414603 215552596087 121236983644
## 8   16 2603920 2496399 2531083 102313130122  71820269337  41042794613
## 9   17 2002336 2625928 2108921  62307385676 371277182931  41194046162
## 10  18 1662758 2008471 1668751  66039941924 207403224394  28325058700
## 11  19 1846213 2422345 1946843  47472997567 311527894769  31944819684
## 12   2 1611181 1439140 1508482  59415000309  39800107396  18550406466
## 13  20 2013002 1471376 1752834 158483086541 183902158726  54855417644
## 14  21 1504165 2038048 1605882  45837811986 303716279582  24502690786
## 15  22 2002917 1956340 1960723  55154669240  58638169635  26362896181
## 16  23 2171146 2038845 2110594  84628418086  94628714171  42612254971
## 17  24 2614110 2732555 2684580  75657111300  59622446349  29808560647
## 18  25 3675756 3528222 3597537 175245341149 128533960357  72667359091
## 19  26 2027979 1440157 1931483  52382481728 318974638593  41607811732
## 20  27 1773396 1425734 1621832  63192659497  70771161056  21318579627
## 21  28 1526060 1633589 1574069  48828061548  49741252274  20949449762
## 22  29 2064882 2031794 2047840 104101616758 102317441177  51590002930
## 23   3 1712373 2614032 1798319  54965744709 832892049570  39677119404
## 24   4 2194359 2367071 2243146  83907733873 123632841561  41745966885
## 25   5 1899548 2041010 1930596  48376792850  53010839107  16347079615
## 26   6 2540189 2248293 2337275 183830795223 116506494665  65974944426
## 27   7 2692749 3484359 2787334  69795583334 720877373374  49613850198
## 28  71 2112157 2249589 2152241 127303110667 126156172337  58510492489
## 29  72 1812140 2025294 1844063 163828834559 223022134471  78182389449
## 30  73 3712705 3482201 3589278 342032504866 239171384212 137811309845
## 31  74 2205365 1964011 2078648  73338797240  72478972270  30765952833
## 32  75 1839128 2046578 1865861 107026189583 134576442139  47697049029
## 33  76 2241635 2109657 2123837 284424553186 175503630535  98328826993
## 34  77 2353137 2411296 2314843 308542918511 329722785993 138285907253
## 35  78 6732398 6244872 6394503 650643074972 386320661275 232048438857
## 36  79 2030549 1981188 1993493 101250951881  66875626566  36233771593
## 37   8 2071724 1589206 1900283  97457408002 190089252254  54279699089
## 38   9 2208088 2410286 2265015  43781304822  99473173800  22234442704
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         31281.67        20740.90       10505.810
## 2         27785.05        20899.47        8386.604
## 3         49060.21        70747.22       23241.114
## 4         23709.29        24470.41        9589.653
## 5         40911.02        17616.71       11553.185
## 6         36555.64        31588.47       14768.998
## 7         61890.47        47479.74       25382.704
## 8         36812.91        27770.61       15433.153
## 9         30001.83       142235.62       19545.268
## 10        32988.39       104372.75       15960.021
## 11        24822.79       128879.78       16313.103
## 12        35703.45        29003.51       12274.637
## 13        74234.11       134388.81       29850.965
## 14        28209.51       150231.75       15186.987
## 15        27333.96        29619.99       13370.952
## 16        37501.62        47029.87       19636.049
## 17        28967.38        22082.09       11228.019
## 18        45404.76        35311.78       19378.565
## 19        25646.70       230804.33       21373.699
## 20        33144.50        50373.61       13135.967
## 21        30627.32        29976.14       12929.450
## 22        47945.10        47561.14       23873.732
## 23        30533.43       317287.51       22350.567
## 24        36667.36        52251.41       18259.302
## 25        24230.56        26290.99        8476.967
## 26        70847.24        52228.76       28040.434
## 27        25430.18       199210.55       17954.176
## 28        58830.40        55367.15       26795.056
## 29        82181.02       109710.65       40974.772
## 30        83872.21        65490.26       35483.486
## 31        32236.18        37657.27       14343.422
## 32        53948.83        64492.58       25311.532
## 33       108808.29        78081.62       41573.568
## 34       115513.74       134891.86       55954.295
## 35        94919.96        60507.06       35526.244
## 36        42558.21        33144.69       16879.450
## 37        45009.53       123072.13       27478.534
## 38        19239.55        39933.89        9856.394
  2. Metode One stage cluster 
      a. f = 100%
res_1sc_1
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com MSE dir      MSE syn MSE com
## 1    1 1637409 1593637 1637409       0   1915959130       0
## 2   10 2452226 2411973 2452226       0   1620293809       0
## 3   11 1432925 1146047 1432925       0  82299323238       0
## 4   12 1628141 1604098 1628141       0    578061217       0
## 5   13 1660654 1539506 1660654       0  14676947727       0
## 6   14 2677707 2613785 2677707       0   4085950156       0
## 7   15 5059790 4628255 5059790       0 186222104807       0
## 8   16 2702258 2538366 2702258       0  26860745533       0
## 9   17 2063216 2755581 2063216       0 479368784452       0
## 10  18 1802921 2055582 1802921       0  63837560347       0
## 11  19 1893080 2458794 1893080       0 320033300994       0
## 12   2 1631372 1434795 1631372       0  38642737109       0
## 13  20 1933963 1528077 1933963       0 164743829852       0
## 14  21 1543883 2075747 1543883       0 282880026972       0
## 15  22 2024290 1912770 2024290       0  12436499438       0
## 16  23 2145480 1996068 2145480       0  22323787837       0
## 17  24 2721467 2809820 2721467       0   7806205403       0
## 18  25 3923463 3735418 3923463       0  35361064290       0
## 19  26 2049321 1442285 2049321       0 368492681119       0
## 20  27 1850200 1431308 1850200       0 175471128846       0
## 21  28 1632444 1718061 1632444       0   7330251063       0
## 22  29 1945828 1910735 1945828       0   1231521822       0
## 23   3 1794553 2646763 1794553       0 726262701413       0
## 24   4 2297582 2461884 2297582       0  26995005332       0
## 25   5 2083579 2122123 2083579       0   1485661569       0
## 26   6 2526531 2357735 2526531       0  28492221686       0
## 27   7 2716794 3573111 2716794       0 733277373716       0
## 28  71 2297609 2288027 2297609       0     91814618       0
## 29  72 1872873 2049375 1872873       0  31152960873       0
## 30  73 3484448 3408041 3484448       0   5838136073       0
## 31  74 2197198 2010784 2197198       0  34750233064       0
## 32  75 1867766 2087481 1867766       0  48274556977       0
## 33  76 2088732 2024320 2088732       0   4148835200       0
## 34  77 2275392 2420130 2275392       0  20949030793       0
## 35  78 7020112 6437879 7020112       0 338995297458       0
## 36  79 2178314 2013176 2178314       0  27270573971       0
## 37   8 2025630 1700059 2025630       0 105996366605       0
## 38   9 2279804 2477361 2279804       0  39028580079       0
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1                0       1202.2555               0
## 2                0        671.7710               0
## 3                0      71811.4957               0
## 4                0        360.3653               0
## 5                0       9533.5455               0
## 6                0       1563.2310               0
## 7                0      40235.9187               0
## 8                0      10581.9061               0
## 9                0     173962.8639               0
## 10               0      31055.7161               0
## 11               0     130158.6221               0
## 12               0      26932.5893               0
## 13               0     107811.2248               0
## 14               0     136278.6447               0
## 15               0       6501.8253               0
## 16               0      11183.8810               0
## 17               0       2778.1870               0
## 18               0       9466.4286               0
## 19               0     255492.3460               0
## 20               0     122594.9822               0
## 21               0       4266.5836               0
## 22               0        644.5279               0
## 23               0     274396.5455               0
## 24               0      10965.1824               0
## 25               0        700.0826               0
## 26               0      12084.5759               0
## 27               0     205221.0163               0
## 28               0         40.1283               0
## 29               0      15201.2016               0
## 30               0       1713.0477               0
## 31               0      17281.9355               0
## 32               0      23125.7447               0
## 33               0       2049.4956               0
## 34               0       8656.1605               0
## 35               0      52656.3659               0
## 36               0      13546.0443               0
## 37               0      62348.6268               0
## 38               0      15754.0973               0
      b. f = 90%
res_1sc_0.9
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1626100 1593326 1614000   924392208   1526837331   494290009
## 2   10 2448002 2398098 2435479   908438582   3051700716   573354768
## 3   11 1424706 1146626 1421827   799498398  77359738483   791167174
## 4   12 1637350 1599684 1622785   957120793   1938508077   463558706
## 5   13 1637332 1529460 1631583   572142574  12048664320   534851029
## 6   14 2668447 2604188 2654369  1315509195   4801452604   901837299
## 7   15 5030420 4608106 5010810  8194752932 176639330250  7808133944
## 8   16 2713681 2521658 2709188   851144571  36450010720   830594115
## 9   17 2038131 2733675 2039431   901439893 483411935330   899733974
## 10  18 1793143 2045330 1795549   589257205  64245810793   583220600
## 11  19 1895490 2441432 1896937   788367654 297683313579   786263302
## 12   2 1638243 1433377 1633658   925491658  41680626709   904173720
## 13  20 1900983 1516542 1898032  1128489492 147827369896  1119716193
## 14  21 1544916 2064483 1546374   753057950 269990235519   750896283
## 15  22 2028989 1916100 2020942   861959787  12560811919   793427305
## 16  23 2129060 2009843 2118109  1157811203  14288992298  1017509401
## 17  24 2704771 2802559 2719299  1182362631   9675646275   906292433
## 18  25 3912519 3716711 3877040  6494037776  33853167571  5106705710
## 19  26 2031091 1434739 2028923  1296820356 355614323684  1292089687
## 20  27 1845661 1431535 1843630   841743625 171475743617   837598299
## 21  28 1610149 1699757 1625654  1195182470   7895485984   914087456
## 22  29 1931092 1897776 1906115  1600573688    608703673   426074150
## 23   3 1802738 2634825 1804591  1539208514 691538796247  1535766623
## 24   4 2290792 2444123 2300926  1469580329  23038551743  1359555089
## 25   5 2075232 2106243 2086781  1069567990   1700610427   547416234
## 26   6 2504056 2336633 2493466  1740609864  27212592432  1626993899
## 27   7 2716235 3558665 2717546  1100078487 710579659511  1098350221
## 28  71 2300971 2269174 2286594  2222406219   2268088076   898471931
## 29  72 1869952 2031628 1883685  2108607651  25107211318  1908199993
## 30  73 3498212 3384986 3461559  4311231287  11603463077  2480337809
## 31  74 2163641 1992911 2159126   757328589  29002733736   736544423
## 32  75 1831972 2069271 1839764  1725741708  57058407776  1658408729
## 33  76 2074968 2019434 2052733  1409092238   2516013124   724617937
## 34  77 2233088 2394271 2254603  3074742380  26208041730  2555935121
## 35  78 6930308 6376400 6897372 18274269741 291954763038 17184844901
## 36  79 2139856 1995891 2133221   922966767  20671064084   876827773
## 37   8 2025337 1692663 2022773   849222865 110686899592   842602165
## 38   9 2270498 2466007 2278235  1469228827  37883293172  1407530441
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         567.1724        957.5372        304.6358
## 2         371.0121       1278.3463        234.8317
## 3         560.2244      67459.0074        555.4997
## 4         584.2020       1217.5012        283.6705
## 5         348.4665       7926.6987        326.7918
## 6         492.8916       1846.4256        338.5643
## 7        1624.4085      38282.7144       1553.3910
## 8         313.7213      14460.6192        306.6443
## 9         441.9883     176821.2814        440.8702
## 10        328.3628      31368.1866        324.5742
## 11        415.8698     121912.8538        414.4435
## 12        564.9898      29151.9551        553.5039
## 13        593.5068      97585.4351        589.8029
## 14        486.9819     130784.4048        485.1267
## 15        424.4262       6565.4094        392.0630
## 16        543.7073       7146.8604        479.7069
## 17        437.1046       3434.4608        334.0988
## 18       1659.3661       9108.2572       1313.3116
## 19        637.4614     247867.7039        635.8187
## 20        455.5582     119809.9522        453.8146
## 21        741.9831       4624.9526        564.6332
## 22        827.6172        319.5927        222.7898
## 23        853.6229     262383.2040        850.8406
## 24        641.1675       9423.7274        590.8340
## 25        515.3199        803.6465        262.7231
## 26        694.5608      11635.5678        651.7967
## 27        405.0317     199525.2001        404.2004
## 28        965.5100        998.5849        390.9675
## 29       1125.6734      12380.6191       1011.8627
## 30       1231.4978       3435.0053        712.0223
## 31        349.9926      14579.6075        341.0864
## 32        936.8869      27589.9088        896.6433
## 33        678.6767       1248.5146        350.4809
## 34       1376.0892      10912.1540       1135.7593
## 35       2630.9908      45654.2088       2485.7075
## 36        431.0433      10372.2000        410.7118
## 37        419.1941      65394.6427        416.4488
## 38        647.1300      15337.4011        617.9350
      c. f = 80%
res_1sc_0.8
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1627993 1588346 1608268  2126789358   2126219122   999970133
## 2   10 2428995 2391760 2409237  2016091015   2050588359   777530134
## 3   11 1422647 1154451 1415566  1872746934  72564404255  1820549087
## 4   12 1625651 1597700 1617897  2206301065   2536081043   983571583
## 5   13 1670192 1520147 1659491  1493470414  22387701726  1368305246
## 6   14 2655763 2613882 2638355  2872645179   4455024253  1239244284
## 7   15 5085074 4629658 5039460 20033922938 199346746580 17858567155
## 8   16 2695332 2536733 2682637  1899523657  24445371994  1725199628
## 9   17 2065796 2741028 2068932  2114003708 454285818085  2104107910
## 10  18 1794642 2043957 1800321  1349941593  63104278791  1315396265
## 11  19 1871190 2447474 1874107  1659636717 332798885766  1650880162
## 12   2 1615755 1433241 1604740  1947663859  32190510069  1820744808
## 13  20 1956862 1522288 1950614  2691922668 188706563293  2652561781
## 14  21 1528581 2064216 1531732  1650839041 288275509681  1640417444
## 15  22 2024594 1900999 2007923  1963956045  14236641273  1671549726
## 16  23 2131162 2007168 2110152  2663306433  16626141353  1993809764
## 17  24 2732282 2818667 2749612  2651504774  10806421363  1755278915
## 18  25 3905664 3734366 3838676 14425030326  29028535053  7539092034
## 19  26 2025035 1432718 2019925  3018246749 351027730910  2991995451
## 20  27 1850990 1420120 1846491  1928479801 185205005578  1907999138
## 21  28 1604647 1687713 1629370  2688350052   8426622087  1539779206
## 22  29 1944578 1911747 1923358  3516612029   2345244724  1368162934
## 23   3 1776369 2612579 1780494  3438699098 698074043077  3421420020
## 24   4 2319681 2451618 2349428  3289134653  17907366474  2049279690
## 25   5 2078077 2107526 2093003  2181635633   2307690564   739390692
## 26   6 2459153 2332935 2429754  3478405262  14200767574  2551138106
## 27   7 2730679 3573193 2733695  2519507723 712087065988  2510210668
## 28  71 2288167 2269589 2276216  4530074063   3585500539  1959358501
## 29  72 1867150 2027863 1898255  4946672590  25325641670  3558481467
## 30  73 3414667 3357178 3387364  9048735647   9138616465  4243482647
## 31  74 2162994 1991416 2152399  1750602756  29144808857  1634534718
## 32  75 1845377 2069851 1865696  4119839275  50111342117  3651127948
## 33  76 2087312 2003749 2059723  3097555104   7098256976  1750294042
## 34  77 2232419 2384128 2274347  6275886172  25977539480  3355731216
## 35  78 6932765 6358874 6866199 38679667162 298650674825 34151379418
## 36  79 2149847 1992709 2135496  2143493615  24323067567  1927748026
## 37   8 2007880 1695065 2001766  1899933110  97725667970  1862213560
## 38   9 2255728 2445038 2274274  3078308722  35059938032  2646095176
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1        1302.2048       1328.9480        616.8424
## 2         829.4320        863.4018        322.4099
## 3        1310.1898      63630.8538       1280.1767
## 4        1356.1884       1590.9387        603.8975
## 5         894.1787      14870.9590        824.4364
## 6        1080.7612       1726.1081        467.5768
## 7        3928.3262      42984.5639       3529.4449
## 8         704.7533       9636.6207        642.4640
## 9        1023.4819     165684.0195       1017.1407
## 10        751.3295      30808.4513        730.0022
## 11        885.5150     135991.0424        879.4950
## 12       1204.7818      22527.4521       1133.7390
## 13       1375.1229     124249.4171       1359.3046
## 14       1077.3331     139569.9897       1068.3693
## 15        968.7667       7496.0005        830.7669
## 16       1248.6462       8388.4448        940.2806
## 17        969.7668       3781.6577        639.3130
## 18       3670.0261       7707.4061       1922.2636
## 19       1488.7900     245094.5708       1479.5474
## 20       1041.6846     130556.4640       1033.1205
## 21       1672.1899       4953.3894        953.8688
## 22       1803.2515       1213.8683        705.6902
## 23       1933.8071     266881.1638       1919.6142
## 24       1414.9336       7282.0855        880.5189
## 25       1047.8813       1097.1851        355.6638
## 26       1407.5210       6074.0877       1041.1530
## 27        921.8201     198896.9697        917.3994
## 28       1977.3871       1577.7157        859.9930
## 29       2640.8934      12469.9043       1882.3076
## 30       2649.1661       2740.2293       1252.6191
## 31        809.2764      14655.0169        759.0966
## 32       2217.8196      24246.2986       1945.9533
## 33       1485.0028       3574.3189        846.6761
## 34       2794.1792      10954.2928       1496.2434
## 35       5537.8868      46697.6697       4936.9237
## 36        995.1669      12209.9022        899.7927
## 37        944.4014      57633.3006        928.4215
## 38       1362.3552      14258.0373       1162.9881
      d. f = 70%
res_1sc_0.7
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1614251 1587051 1598505  3453994315   3145319785  1438036933
## 2   10 2410571 2406249 2403635  3316783085   2358929645  1277557420
## 3   11 1425295 1137212 1414705  3080854314  82283655804  2965732117
## 4   12 1655758 1594241 1631052  3900096788   5266913417  2020516129
## 5   13 1661629 1542366 1640365  2412140736  12987411327  1926546971
## 6   14 2640960 2609519 2637752  4574051622   7075820019  1780430046
## 7   15 5049635 4602247 4973684 31618434112 187703590828 25340035700
## 8   16 2701276 2523553 2680219  3253969432  32282872212  2738764487
## 9   17 2030188 2746543 2035115  3392614965 516929771868  3365296321
## 10  18 1791248 2042551 1801050  2338288909  62629428225  2232726788
## 11  19 1878392 2446224 1883677  2950053593 321700485737  2920688297
## 12   2 1597897 1426139 1578988  3132301135  28121402509  2764705154
## 13  20 1919890 1526320 1908934  4327799489 152162406368  4206570535
## 14  21 1547598 2061611 1553512  2996255672 263368676875  2959646178
## 15  22 2046263 1901136 2022261  3356768625  20569343012  2643212174
## 16  23 2134333 1971142 2109392  4378960401  27848305920  3413719919
## 17  24 2713429 2815540 2746715  4396617544  10378501695  2516819588
## 18  25 3926621 3741164 3825815 27014486662  25259731937 11560136646
## 19  26 2033297 1433054 2024351  5314122478 359169899179  5232458563
## 20  27 1832217 1418752 1824625  3139992287 170116626127  3081960185
## 21  28 1645563 1721302 1673656  4849722863   8348267833  2510375436
## 22  29 1913229 1880721 1894767  5669924006   4525017863  2506847540
## 23   3 1812928 2633442 1820810  6438673890 668471275128  6375360574
## 24   4 2262458 2451612 2293435  5182115222  41667245945  3500958849
## 25   5 2063758 2111332 2090832  4115276001   3386881851  1714608412
## 26   6 2527732 2349177 2487963  6884984857  26913694132  5251376669
## 27   7 2701387 3543142 2706460  4252102844 708217901929  4225806973
## 28  71 2352184 2274434 2304217  9344535104   6548976544  3595704022
## 29  72 1866726 2037266 1929617  8878460795  25540930532  4214680416
## 30  73 3428748 3373108 3390256 15526196192  10968795818  5985378009
## 31  74 2176271 2000731 2158934  2841054955  30231480192  2513492858
## 32  75 1845094 2076976 1884391  6586926733  57477830348  4354998187
## 33  76 1990993 1996763 1995065  4726674481   5301400764  2301260458
## 34  77 2293196 2408365 2331841 12228486463  21626222294  6501801043
## 35  78 6962974 6386352 6838176 71254496234 267471317630 54910896865
## 36  79 2162129 2001497 2138036  3758923204  23147529599  3149365307
## 37   8 2049184 1697718 2039705  3255648211 125030951334  3164134441
## 38   9 2252879 2441627 2285888  5727927336  32319425370  4469743693
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         2129.735       2001.8755        897.6265
## 2         1375.188        983.8371        533.0846
## 3         2144.131      72270.1262       2079.5306
## 4         2355.036       3334.2708       1234.9332
## 5         1447.894       8474.6416       1170.1686
## 6         1730.334       2668.5412        664.8250
## 7         6227.555      40540.0489       5031.0202
## 8         1203.597      12868.9526       1017.8000
## 9         1655.732     188274.2116       1638.3107
## 10        1303.014      30623.4892       1237.7511
## 11        1564.827     131459.8034       1544.8943
## 12        1956.311      19716.3408       1744.0500
## 13        2247.394      99683.1347       2197.0266
## 14        1929.924     127749.1994       1899.0827
## 15        1637.753      10934.3765       1300.1052
## 16        2049.892      14309.1244       1610.5341
## 17        1618.182       3731.5959        923.8039
## 18        6870.819       6738.1955       2999.2157
## 19        2614.017     251033.5848       2585.1159
## 20        1709.206     119920.8978       1684.5437
## 21        2947.233       4807.9086       1510.9808
## 22        2919.897       2366.7801       1302.3102
## 23        3549.685     253770.7419       3499.5128
## 24        2273.340      17047.8659       1542.8831
## 25        1993.695       1602.1215        821.2929
## 26        2718.025      11468.3324       2102.6812
## 27        1575.785     199636.3154       1563.0582
## 28        3965.551       2878.0145       1555.3283
## 29        4717.322      12608.5612       2211.4364
## 30        4525.952       3255.8835       1765.8367
## 31        1304.971      15120.6421       1162.3087
## 32        3514.906      27587.5487       2304.7356
## 33        2364.505       2651.4226       1149.3707
## 34        5324.152       8934.8374       2815.1630
## 35       10200.795      41765.3402       8001.9621
## 36        1737.674      11587.5216       1470.4475
## 37        1585.877      73823.4445       1547.9995
## 38        2534.588      13063.8077       1948.4737
      e. f = 60%
res_1sc_0.6
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1578803 1576951 1568743   4882180633   3183002863  1636822809
## 2   10 2431184 2386664 2405082   5432136392   3847449780  2048010632
## 3   11 1377819 1123449 1360429   4329361062  64237480639  4001558423
## 4   12 1622486 1572605 1602125   5670832834   7677983623  2715151958
## 5   13 1665443 1531519 1639991   3452265296  20127692590  2201185807
## 6   14 2615295 2569326 2583668   7423862205   4997918639  2703255588
## 7   15 4987527 4549911 4872615  49924068243 152122680083 36112045083
## 8   16 2690828 2511410 2660325   5276973046  28253334747  4309775988
## 9   17 2086119 2733935 2094026   4988195174 418199953754  4918929324
## 10  18 1799780 2036783 1816002   3473859730  56791561651  3173220216
## 11  19 1862110 2435088 1870336   4609167858 327104625294  4537189007
## 12   2 1634036 1434953 1607277   5183927421  40340548456  4239339153
## 13  20 1886562 1515109 1868031   6543345710 139365467138  6184344126
## 14  21 1540525 2060446 1550237   4834414536 271635980034  4729728463
## 15  22 1983172 1898480 1943800   4827761595   7753954094  2043166827
## 16  23 2127399 1951295 2090830   7187415487  29739105979  5358716595
## 17  24 2703135 2765260 2732274   6334410411   8362101794  2661888412
## 18  25 3797271 3669162 3709386  34828958528  20077376922 11209915014
## 19  26 2046316 1444729 2032190   8440461092 359639118764  8235596441
## 20  27 1804110 1412980 1792250   4689216837 152249276968  4546167771
## 21  28 1675955 1714695 1685665   7608873156  10874868798  3447322899
## 22  29 1928818 1892966 1908843   9648806211   8234313899  4425674423
## 23   3 1820402 2612762 1832013   8860197128 626200152740  8704321620
## 24   4 2313379 2442854 2357290   8442302386  16753209055  4764603205
## 25   5 2065162 2109976 2089635   5950170767   5269754838  2379105843
## 26   6 2453609 2345921 2394413   8425948302   7590748129  3603623413
## 27   7 2697924 3530160 2706497   7129471382 688862468537  7054424131
## 28  71 2272521 2258876 2268574  14164331536  10577150061  5888530479
## 29  72 1848310 2023655 1897015  13621141497  35886372547  7415245492
## 30  73 3439886 3375492 3384162  27657948414  14567122694  8593666078
## 31  74 2176606 1985441 2157739   4738664960  40886481747  3915351047
## 32  75 1817624 2059976 1866613  10316986026  54285105358  7133905170
## 33  76 2038359 1986715 2004925   7833637290   3978558572  2421783912
## 34  77 2264002 2402107 2316565  18244026357  27236754613  9091419809
## 35  78 6969958 6400747 6766220 115712582470 213822564427 72165792859
## 36  79 2155027 1987591 2121491   5380791534  25692325061  4219164232
## 37   8 2028573 1683693 2013195   5169415187 117969641622  4923046703
## 38   9 2270868 2483220 2317022   8620955494  39135671996  5872033949
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         3054.286        2026.232       1043.2704
## 2         2228.919        1605.757        847.5705
## 3         3097.004       57630.483       2899.1643
## 4         3487.182        4946.022       1675.3988
## 5         2060.861       13779.496       1339.0390
## 6         2826.340        1945.719       1044.5952
## 7         9938.961       33263.484       7335.5770
## 8         1960.733       11255.458       1617.5425
## 9         2377.106      153141.283       2335.1359
## 10        1927.161       27893.191       1747.9552
## 11        2466.934      134378.687       2417.9618
## 12        3154.647       28324.465       2605.9066
## 13        3468.518       92446.244       3307.5165
## 14        3122.543      131654.313       3036.0655
## 15        2436.271        4159.255       1040.8523
## 16        3372.098       15312.953       2542.8092
## 17        2333.677        3000.374        981.0405
## 18        9070.776        5507.278       3018.3101
## 19        4113.522      249332.957       4041.3786
## 20        2584.067      108151.823       2521.9850
## 21        4531.240        6364.640       2068.4989
## 22        4922.240        4273.940       2278.9183
## 23        4817.302      239997.155       4702.3528
## 24        3648.362        6836.803       2034.3792
## 25        2876.730        2497.271       1139.5790
## 26        3422.934        3237.212       1494.8729
## 27        2645.019      194926.324       2608.7438
## 28        6214.500        4672.076       2586.6625
## 29        7290.414       17664.048       3934.3370
## 30        8022.527        4349.449       2558.3001
## 31        2168.894       20731.575       1799.5219
## 32        5642.763       26255.230       3853.7041
## 33        3821.986        2011.877       1206.9233
## 34        7975.344       11388.083       3930.9345
## 35       16513.133       33234.482      10595.4490
## 36        2480.275       12861.266       1965.3732
## 37        2547.428       70520.120       2443.9395
## 38        3766.363       15692.214       2520.9008
      f. f = 50%
res_1sc_0.5
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1627741 1588367 1608411   8045010236   6930004340  3407001031
## 2   10 2477529 2453043 2454828   7899322465   6233795981  3216635908
## 3   11 1431624 1140220 1401473   8082848644  84629457646  7044192686
## 4   12 1609380 1589063 1601081   8421561198  11693321390  4335420673
## 5   13 1692325 1548627 1656368   5737486942  24978568005  3586084819
## 6   14 2648819 2622499 2621302  11439794884   6739594328  3759739799
## 7   15 5032898 4649268 4849437  80151928580 110023887037 36641427568
## 8   16 2657185 2528614 2613830   7122229213  17488661768  3897834900
## 9   17 2088839 2764877 2101978   8564430153 458886081426  8374543971
## 10  18 1772566 2032682 1792586   4632434558  68133915304  4154470189
## 11  19 1857221 2459087 1868705   6740624723 361428715876  6599550624
## 12   2 1637140 1433125 1593100   8073273634  39187954874  5894650987
## 13  20 1915055 1504373 1889702  10202323274 162399304732  9516951216
## 14  21 1551385 2078005 1565810   7244547558 276671798967  7016161333
## 15  22 1986974 1880369 1936437   7660827412   9830593912  3522974546
## 16  23 2129016 1950476 2084037  10457202775  40377782332  6461163872
## 17  24 2764976 2808541 2782796  11156707936  14917588262  5648337630
## 18  25 3935527 3748284 3840123  61515514571  54018940686 24627434094
## 19  26 1986543 1438297 1962638  13006013201 297862103678 12413639925
## 20  27 1834229 1413667 1816926   7241929164 173883306411  6932693296
## 21  28 1633153 1724038 1653453   9948531044  18464314102  4567260675
## 22  29 1874141 1835943 1852934  11856065686  10566310221  5570544403
## 23   3 1777057 2637017 1794488  14828337217 730127073622 14509386938
## 24   4 2363589 2468497 2380687  14329154816  30066422820  6061470995
## 25   5 2096708 2135709 2121831  10611417051   8623704855  4351663283
## 26   6 2538880 2355740 2464087  15071786853  29566496849  7797228955
## 27   7 2781352 3635751 2794269  10619318363 736501731344 10435484886
## 28  71 2334633 2273402 2291318  19778579807  11698524470  6375757861
## 29  72 1770343 2027983 1823607  14873893555  66101951951  9884611201
## 30  73 3440449 3409541 3424694  33166750571  27645480997 12072926863
## 31  74 2220845 1992798 2187022   7159866191  49286184210  5914902767
## 32  75 1856712 2068889 1909639  15267458644  50413808477  8234735052
## 33  76 2085460 1972872 2037807  12590330343  18700304801  6046852672
## 34  77 2226147 2414420 2314585  25920505558  38394723666  9508094438
## 35  78 7199438 6579245 6900831 181349648729 221099347888 83479425673
## 36  79 2197160 1991834 2156398   9327957036  52208427608  6258820605
## 37   8 2039375 1714434 2013044   8139231154 104640356842  7403242272
## 38   9 2344872 2547689 2430680  16789319769  31633013017  7403813255
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         4887.563        4341.533        2091.158
## 2         3178.664        2540.515        1312.007
## 3         5596.088       74360.324        4930.103
## 4         5160.127        7300.008        2660.161
## 5         3344.120       16584.263        2113.235
## 6         4316.202        2569.418        1436.303
## 7        15834.812       23507.005        7367.083
## 8         2683.463        6953.894        1478.578
## 9         4076.213      165756.356        3960.607
## 10        2607.880       33319.502        2318.723
## 11        3619.594      146773.402        3522.456
## 12        4917.502       27660.332        3666.155
## 13        5332.456      108986.594        5041.624
## 14        4649.486      132800.685        4463.346
## 15        3845.462        5369.976        1815.291
## 16        4923.091       21411.415        3064.171
## 17        4030.868        5253.634        2033.075
## 18       15338.950       14176.603        6244.232
## 19        6521.595      207012.261        6299.032
## 20        3934.922      123001.458        3802.507
## 21        6018.876       10831.317        2801.203
## 22        6149.357        5556.855        2911.427
## 23        8311.707      276076.957        8053.761
## 24        6006.806       12265.555        2589.490
## 25        5044.007        4040.398        2053.079
## 26        5869.113       12520.171        3099.643
## 27        3804.556      200937.225        3720.825
## 28        8392.104        5170.210        2776.997
## 29        8301.230       32527.338        5395.210
## 30        9526.073        7979.210        3447.509
## 31        3219.214       24866.006        2694.010
## 32        8053.536       24528.057        4327.164
## 33        6002.298        9481.054        2925.502
## 34       11542.265       16046.076        4220.802
## 35       24972.660       33298.267       11863.237
## 36        4232.826       26537.170        2836.456
## 37        3980.187       61374.249        3662.370
## 38        7072.809       12491.592        3053.959
      g. f = 40%
res_1sc_0.4
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1600567 1578556 1585704  11070046118  12134871370  4128725509
## 2   10 2525642 2444933 2502402  12973137626  18848347002  6440034122
## 3   11 1452693 1177903 1409365  11962506431  65957432837  9874815173
## 4   12 1609666 1628899 1620277  12096440126   9484284130  5198310772
## 5   13 1601385 1499866 1572407   6222135086  18221449764  3599158649
## 6   14 2647384 2603587 2611594  17982491746  10104940651  5818064127
## 7   15 5042029 4552778 4865507 104633286814 214481582398 60678778856
## 8   16 2744896 2537079 2686199  12368532530  40946906466  7473642250
## 9   17 2021197 2734658 2037278  11136419425 504568996333 10846487245
## 10  18 1769857 2067301 1799731   7264794074  93663858911  6115740063
## 11  19 1828457 2406184 1845738   9485144999 332560963033  9144950909
## 12   2 1646913 1416051 1589095  13093749141  41323577048  9640827022
## 13  20 1970892 1551745 1922514  19319169702 172892408414 16894721790
## 14  21 1536421 2033919 1558368  10443795238 243473169727  9896295908
## 15  22 2052386 1938964 2012074  12666304146  22618402798  6668621079
## 16  23 2137207 2047166 2113096  13971516592  21323731156  6554403182
## 17  24 2753582 2846465 2800298  17095228097  15847558025  6810352266
## 18  25 3868828 3720815 3759439  98177788153  66096930319 36398626827
## 19  26 2009330 1437871 1980503  16991839615 326950189143 16085281015
## 20  27 1825706 1431211 1800938   9686556126 153635974233  8962264904
## 21  28 1601912 1696608 1632564  15616682234  19975848679  7146276584
## 22  29 1945705 1914669 1929420  22832842730  21703588190 11117649252
## 23   3 1755864 2546969 1783621  21396852272 611897408855 20546608496
## 24   4 2218285 2430188 2285149  18227030315  39364540446 11142645827
## 25   5 2059702 2076840 2067794  13021406012  12790324858  6143386653
## 26   6 2537834 2330865 2469173  23805431616  50548116562 13832101259
## 27   7 2680242 3478695 2698056  13988315592 632100611342 13636661642
## 28  71 2312159 2253961 2293231  31740561708  29956977623 14874453960
## 29  72 1945917 2022723 1962088  33052776437  49150720327 17535412323
## 30  73 3400506 3235768 3317212  53011188039  61364532572 23352205950
## 31  74 2154131 1994295 2115266   9885144543  36965330116  6127195972
## 32  75 1793502 2067178 1867776  25465931934  71036482391 12357978316
## 33  76 2009235 1996716 1989044  16569657825   9628357374  5014729141
## 34  77 2214529 2337385 2256532  39538629488  44973524839 18780887380
## 35  78 6539689 6047947 6225338 187371010764 111842685827 63739204869
## 36  79 2095617 1993474 2044133  14366369971  13222105474  6152968082
## 37   8 2082536 1717808 2043965  12362995408 133630755126 10549371261
## 38   9 2242792 2437156 2322115  16903413160  29923570076  6365528639
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         6800.626        7949.398        2607.368
## 2         5131.245        7807.372        2552.971
## 3         8159.509       56018.151        6956.961
## 4         7470.462        5839.489        3206.196
## 5         3820.460       12502.759        2226.332
## 6         6783.299        3886.976        2225.916
## 7        20428.547       46871.581       12160.803
## 8         4514.491       16333.034        2757.030
## 9         5478.947      184192.446        5293.613
## 10        4090.589       44856.032        3415.607
## 11        5154.396      138077.881        4924.487
## 12        7959.125       29349.658        6064.882
## 13        9728.830      111631.584        8679.851
## 14        6755.862      119673.720        6316.756
## 15        6093.796       12123.455        3274.397
## 16        6550.655       10805.262        3090.718
## 17        6165.258        5421.914        2405.084
## 18       25104.037       17611.565        9558.133
## 19        8346.932      231350.262        8025.012
## 20        5251.688      107719.763        4927.514
## 21        9744.697       11606.574        4429.100
## 22       11596.003       11164.972        5684.058
## 23       12065.091      241520.024       11408.645
## 24        8162.466       16192.852        4877.437
## 25        6275.237        6169.332        2968.387
## 26        9180.929       21505.820        5418.801
## 27        5204.864      181257.638        5038.925
## 28       13479.374       13258.640        6374.592
## 29       16645.553       24171.385        8864.586
## 30       15162.448       18878.546        6802.712
## 31        4547.343       18715.392        2808.945
## 32       13772.571       34914.985        6589.402
## 33        8147.216        4891.111        2541.881
## 34       17352.443       19451.199        8220.996
## 35       28384.254       18594.081       10173.487
## 36        6844.755        6609.446        2981.484
## 37        5913.209       78901.734        5104.259
## 38        7346.402       12259.251        2740.277
      h. f = 30%
res_1sc_0.3
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1506829 1523987 1507357  15333816810   8112097076  4517717961
## 2   10 2500593 2426510 2450924  20250823070  10712552466  6456076069
## 3   11 1440820 1117114 1378437  19783636221  91084470078 15375453157
## 4   12 1678739 1570947 1626479  21766954422  22466585643  9174586056
## 5   13 1596205 1494120 1552664   8580223227  27996140150  4464180188
## 6   14 2606450 2582217 2593425  24635466577  18495731674  9393824970
## 7   15 4890990 4598238 4653977 156107528308  55168643226 37008844858
## 8   16 2693426 2496933 2612737  19428093245  35197531734  8824449717
## 9   17 2004531 2724616 2034102  19701469793 515385952762 18570598488
## 10  18 1812366 2017900 1860362  12430550868  48672353667  7553535131
## 11  19 1821767 2400153 1856830  15154172805 360202846423 13051814960
## 12   2 1588394 1380473 1511166  19119870546  42460418506 11308498766
## 13  20 1771579 1474521 1705051  18433337122  83365558106 13514452470
## 14  21 1530598 2033456 1565012  16717437146 246985551541 15385365581
## 15  22 2013887 1852185 1948580  18649310161  32994489383  9293974862
## 16  23 2115314 1947360 2043609  24286414820  31527046018 11941209584
## 17  24 2698602 2729899 2726913  24210716062  12562458398  7673511439
## 18  25 3862671 3658540 3730058 123348532177  95775472370 48385578777
## 19  26 1977937 1403436 1933266  25232891279 311751739951 23058045203
## 20  27 1806140 1391796 1765479  16527809409 176478026222 14648994828
## 21  28 1537521 1670772 1571350  25483189671  46322373254 12728525559
## 22  29 1949100 1903408 1924628  27899330113  25572197844 13323165181
## 23   3 1710325 2580013 1747640  29066319913 753187329356 27080095653
## 24   4 2368420 2423509 2407275  32227210668  21998704616 11427534393
## 25   5 2097618 2098374 2121960  19438175595  24757707388  7808983981
## 26   6 2485733 2345257 2401745  38783966793  22419428255 11819701780
## 27   7 2677317 3596710 2707434  26311012391 847741994061 25228627726
## 28  71 2321684 2220824 2262632  39686446432  30462745753 15433821610
## 29  72 1835648 1978618 1861207  41580345151  78505228403 16868473800
## 30  73 3392158 3342857 3347998  97936990807  78334926285 41434257945
## 31  74 2118639 1944563 2043181  13743914172  23113402760  6310778716
## 32  75 1776354 2017727 1810456  33131248632 104725551858 19672429487
## 33  76 2049293 1949493 2005024  32215020037  36971963290 15475286316
## 34  77 2052232 2341141 2129459  48704566837 106122523590 29200733760
## 35  78 7155690 6468785 6613963 405010641450 109695214222 75869008287
## 36  79 2086591 1945016 2025087  17710354970  32902983413  8197246673
## 37   8 2068800 1666443 2020527  19787120117 155375291771 17379802188
## 38   9 2253346 2536396 2374987  35336023402  58381999605 10494943398
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1        10054.392        5353.888        3008.871
## 2         8094.286        4393.776        2619.172
## 3        13510.489       85133.041       11058.667
## 4        12888.934       14780.749        5559.369
## 5         5300.875       19286.871        2821.671
## 6         9360.752        7140.108        3584.598
## 7        30682.080       11876.067        7791.843
## 8         7247.007       14164.439        3321.592
## 9         9644.367      189324.709        8961.505
## 10        6790.499       24166.988        4097.351
## 11        8137.846      148134.467        6974.206
## 12       11793.701       30959.298        7141.911
## 13       10245.241       56720.880        7660.876
## 14       10916.588      121062.007        9833.633
## 15        9076.744       17968.841        4649.252
## 16       11412.339       16546.114        5780.033
## 17        8955.288        4670.830        2835.090
## 18       30875.873       25444.513       12524.770
## 19       12748.395      223824.138       11933.762
## 20        8979.082      128534.476        8149.448
## 21       15828.039       27836.553        7933.658
## 22       13718.756       12825.001        6619.517
## 23       16453.301      293273.670       15013.129
## 24       13553.534        9043.681        4727.273
## 25        9059.653       11760.383        3488.714
## 26       15253.547        9628.348        4870.375
## 27        9715.499      233114.849        9209.352
## 28       16441.802       13525.977        6544.176
## 29       21486.467       39252.988        8965.858
## 30       28775.975       23631.671       12477.852
## 31        6462.155       11908.567        3018.056
## 32       17537.935       52279.848       10565.305
## 33       15335.361       18802.370        7529.811
## 34       22827.714       45273.202       13474.247
## 35       55643.213       16707.172       11168.486
## 36        8389.166       17095.013        3895.174
## 37        9408.860       93017.714        8451.088
## 38       14906.727       23335.313        4521.443
      i. f = 20%
res_1sc_0.2
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1442004 1513391 1497859  20037434580  10999515284   6169847104
## 2   10 2411697 2313345 2346164  33603855652  22587988731  12238721466
## 3   11 1418402 1140103 1333679  29584918371  76969563720  17054764188
## 4   12 1664991 1557232 1585297  33563401744  22198045308  12242113441
## 5   13 1558023 1511997 1523494  26074863991  17594265793  10105980730
## 6   14 2598269 2554870 2569772  47805125858  31555492252  17089145240
## 7   15 4900814 4514057 4669725 261502072874 179680389453  99482700421
## 8   16 2775206 2495334 2713241  31299619562 108664017686  19424000456
## 9   17 1954449 2694264 1997571  29304288332 531729453137  26496621729
## 10  18 1679093 1987651 1744425  19425063773 106756233721  10260942783
## 11  19 1841308 2415820 1895011  25874336379 332173146527  21676421073
## 12   2 1605256 1384807 1518366  32704970169  45214545786  15469416014
## 13  20 1883044 1497548 1787932  35801828284 130781386398  25503109553
## 14  21 1573362 2028208 1654862  33900168406 195983600949  22909173152
## 15  22 1865379 1780893 1826487  20787530061  24632496002  10123230735
## 16  23 1999623 1875185 1947100  34707199681  39527379243  15438794173
## 17  24 2639826 2699917 2672553  41941489005  25969941075  13130126408
## 18  25 3770078 3609710 3643566 271357981647 176598212500  99355640403
## 19  26 2047978 1402525 1971189  51966556031 393695283050  45392664574
## 20  27 1778935 1368034 1710585  25648146819 165315053272  20084697672
## 21  28 1532790 1664743 1627034  37950757226  22793308408  12746010454
## 22  29 1873961 1841449 1857257  55416895070  53855701584  27306837802
## 23   3 1800459 2537529 1891233  59716046820 510355165579  47493360566
## 24   4 2368030 2411719 2399542  49140359781  53212134348  22213341802
## 25   5 1984400 2090772 2027260  41934372365  42038933027  16002597060
## 26   6 2472198 2310761 2360042  46626846652  26186240560  15605288969
## 27   7 2682986 3526475 2731717  37490368146 703805197794  34103103226
## 28  71 2255003 2239795 2243533  57411462832 100527775331  29819121987
## 29  72 1773801 2000995 1820341  70294128346 121130701830  34374856447
## 30  73 3536158 3308854 3401208 139092821199 114170426480  54927405025
## 31  74 2177096 1964988 2114670  27531392837  57936827990  15328753281
## 32  75 1769948 2043682 1807453  47788783030 150129574271  25634143617
## 33  76 1899303 1941577 1917967  43880951589  30160556337  15623797261
## 34  77 2202158 2368402 2262230  82230350942  92801731261  30321678961
## 35  78 6881602 6352584 6521398 751897509300 448818099596 274564518640
## 36  79 2121806 1964623 2064789  32697943517  43826218510  16550080186
## 37   8 2053235 1643812 1965016  35549428527 175393841081  26068303941
## 38   9 2142839 2377859 2202296  25527240491  66797295866  14573483134
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         13750.22        7441.127        4197.119
## 2         13849.62        9723.546        5179.122
## 3         20253.12       71964.487       12383.696
## 4         19810.19       14226.367        7650.894
## 5         16188.67       11412.813        6480.354
## 6         18339.38       12347.837        6610.461
## 7         52464.40       39916.833       21116.421
## 8         11350.33       42899.357        6970.751
## 9         14633.32      197856.768       12961.535
## 10        11361.21       52339.428        6016.843
## 11        13772.38      135848.918       11271.295
## 12        20324.55       34147.110       10180.606
## 13        18570.42       88841.393       13838.334
## 14        21122.29       96629.285       14082.199
## 15        10892.77       13713.289        5379.584
## 16        17225.36       21432.716        7775.253
## 17        15582.19        9400.981        4892.553
## 18        67324.19       47824.132       26130.371
## 19        24592.68      279619.572       22368.184
## 20        14230.01      124101.526       11448.714
## 21        24766.59       13646.424        7802.529
## 22        26829.95       26573.466       13348.563
## 23        32740.58      199353.358       24673.530
## 24        20381.93       21939.341        9129.928
## 25        20877.75       20421.246        7906.936
## 26        18656.24       11261.624        6560.949
## 27        13572.58      199715.169       12170.150
## 28        24690.75       45056.755       12949.298
## 29        37486.09       60496.183       18282.301
## 30        38946.90       34432.564       15875.276
## 31        12623.96       30359.946        7202.163
## 32        24100.02       73429.460       13240.194
## 33        22599.15       15505.955        8110.183
## 34        35702.48       39656.934       13315.208
## 35       103460.63       67154.945       39684.036
## 36        15045.21       22595.315        7829.560
## 37        16944.31      110990.563       12823.303
## 38        11631.78       28004.966        6482.797
      j. f = 10%
res_1sc_0.1
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1325309 1426136 1351249  51513018047  57238327297  24327125167
## 2   10 2215090 2269278 2244210  46858163005  31104483806  18216090768
## 3   11 1477067 1148426 1330355  79989789451 146474724218  37810238868
## 4   12 1620136 1517337 1545186  81797937843  45925016813  28375091566
## 5   13 1756410 1599232 1693291  52640696586  84940163745  27066543630
## 6   14 2525812 2620951 2594562 117688271042  81601191875  45433915537
## 7   15 4906774 4426236 4631708 404479489874 302653278761 150432748907
## 8   16 2817233 2515308 2693090  61383034126 107965930299  28014910390
## 9   17 2082434 2700021 2186730  56476582290 337239880260  38997279315
## 10  18 1884866 2004520 1948405  55802121634  63836864747  24524111585
## 11  19 1619435 2350618 1688656  40230099559 538280153984  30923114655
## 12   2 1527161 1355118 1425292  69951236621  58769446435  30643035174
## 13  20 1908373 1544056 1710878  91802393746  79483707874  36975695383
## 14  21 1457433 1943900 1584377  55815494293 205566723977  27647399033
## 15  22 1920019 1881602 1919574  71341096979  63150908520  27451982732
## 16  23 2021599 1876509 1937668  99844747195  90691646130  41530274858
## 17  24 2566643 2896758 2645092  70274844931 167876940162  38248392490
## 18  25 4149964 3703348 3786689 562002676451 259927857887 157542609800
## 19  26 1998055 1393663 1826747 135672741458 349640713452  82167767938
## 20  27 1773533 1309208 1656567  63246445963 202035559135  36813786576
## 21  28 1528516 1670955 1635253  88076752455  59744388046  32531578717
## 22  29 1858866 1853847 1856211 145114673101 144018697074  72276493456
## 23   3 1622056 2420555 1731941  92926681893 642866967167  58202163454
## 24   4 2340948 2379143 2297216 126760358865 131905515459  50211180024
## 25   5 2125371 2030015 2071678 113615767197 165959421341  58285156492
## 26   6 2398749 2353367 2381467 192350656594 129843451159  75997524977
## 27   7 2550333 3394187 2667084  94729314149 808233422589  52804738606
## 28  71 2042299 2124866 2055834 104794417143  98123377485  47793021520
## 29  72 1520735 1892010 1592189 103939639733 247153058653  57987152311
## 30  73 3329556 3051326 3094659 424933142298 434853214184 174587864814
## 31  74 1889586 1866781 1877023  74951739229  55939650822  31375470602
## 32  75 1740334 1946866 1771639  71244840732 121633921402  30577406848
## 33  76 1743167 1791457 1749065  71732407187  80881414759  35252475459
## 34  77 2408354 2236309 2297713 284034113119 176176658970  99335842378
## 35  78 6245444 5837250 5960323 783521492255 519439879930 298098449236
## 36  79 1947500 1860124 1876756  53267793224  62507946303  22207382824
## 37   8 2081985 1610069 1884976  95361707471 147680059169  47411885943
## 38   9 2021688 2147481 2057008  41797762760  63850943607  19772227278
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         36889.84        40619.94       17696.400
## 2         21152.63        13472.15        8042.741
## 3         50194.32       137507.60       24021.498
## 4         48086.50        30071.94       17808.607
## 5         28446.00        55866.05       15414.206
## 6         46601.63        31464.41       17631.692
## 7         78506.76        68497.52       31394.924
## 8         21881.45        43107.98       10142.861
## 9         26531.38       125051.85       18028.284
## 10        29206.17        31152.85       12396.807
## 11        24128.12       225008.49       18122.384
## 12        44521.91        44020.88       21031.062
## 13        46587.97        51290.14       20771.893
## 14        37151.47       105237.60       17664.511
## 15        37411.99        39204.86       14651.388
## 16        48083.78        57230.78       21550.150
## 17        26441.88        54220.20       14077.577
## 18       122133.37        70782.22       40230.325
## 19        64474.77       256067.02       42418.006
## 20        34798.90       156626.24       21529.909
## 21        56259.41        34988.96       19517.372
## 22        72536.05        71799.53       36078.504
## 23        52092.93       263062.16       32223.587
## 24        53809.50        55419.51       21939.508
## 25        50717.04        83073.98       26604.856
## 26        71834.58        53316.17       29989.572
## 27        35394.65       228851.15       20133.157
## 28        47778.70        45621.31       22251.804
## 29        58613.18       128908.88       32813.690
## 30       124894.23       137706.37       55672.216
## 31        39892.31        29614.04       16677.707
## 32        37565.70        61285.72       16244.230
## 33        41134.33        44120.29       19982.867
## 34       112807.00        78348.24       42328.061
## 35       123292.65        90634.56       50391.415
## 36        26190.38        33734.47       11495.966
## 37        45006.52        93768.87       24651.697
## 38        20279.44        28598.00        9558.508
      k. f = 5%
res_1sc_0.05
##    kab   Y dir     Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1270926 1362216.5 1271780 1.526720e+11 1.835622e+11 7.561898e+10
## 2   10 2466523 2476544.1 2444190 2.129773e+11 2.004705e+11 9.928514e+10
## 3   11 1085620  949134.8 1016947 7.678419e+10 8.550030e+10 2.372956e+10
## 4   12 1858476 1452461.2 1643326 2.163492e+11 1.704128e+11 8.020924e+10
## 5   13 1643654 1129846.3 1527870 6.572677e+10 2.484822e+11 4.772587e+10
## 6   14 2280376 2597234.6 2403547 2.190924e+11 2.556719e+11 9.381126e+10
## 7   15 5160348 4772675.3 4959380 2.075547e+12 1.914165e+12 9.714736e+11
## 8   16 2602419 2357708.8 2423090 1.229644e+11 5.605070e+10 3.527031e+10
## 9   17 1967308 2636037.9 2015113 2.496139e+11 8.229444e+11 1.315557e+11
## 10  18 1867560 1858833.3 1841831 6.633483e+10 4.554801e+10 2.283652e+10
## 11  19 1495219 2175756.1 1616373 1.099827e+11 5.033693e+11 4.755148e+10
## 12   2 1373280 1176436.6 1214972 1.230824e+11 3.895392e+10 2.802303e+10
## 13  20 1595656 1327444.7 1425481 1.976240e+11 1.578245e+11 7.554759e+10
## 14  21 1391397 1836954.1 1514356 7.460091e+10 2.031955e+11 4.134227e+10
## 15  22 1694501 1573900.8 1684872 1.033828e+11 1.229749e+11 3.662690e+10
## 16  23 2381957 1876176.8 2180338 2.785913e+11 2.853360e+11 1.148454e+11
## 17  24 2521014 2703588.8 2543952 1.266334e+11 2.224228e+11 6.515899e+10
## 18  25 4105979 3789709.4 3882059 1.072644e+12 8.629491e+11 4.616137e+11
## 19  26 1580176 1153815.8 1330983 1.570924e+11 9.157531e+10 4.300819e+10
## 20  27 1473655 1193930.2 1378052 7.854684e+10 1.505270e+11 4.620646e+10
## 21  28 1332934 1390523.1 1300554 1.601773e+11 4.747150e+11 8.337329e+10
## 22  29 1810363 1764206.1 1784831 5.839944e+10 5.505485e+10 2.817479e+10
## 23   3 1307660 2285025.2 1427884 1.038164e+11 9.302084e+11 8.320190e+10
## 24   4 2084148 2312651.9 2139183 6.946496e+10 1.937041e+11 3.408046e+10
## 25   5 2234265 1951139.7 2011877 2.872634e+11 1.490030e+11 8.942720e+10
## 26   6 2107042 2199198.4 2156115 2.034006e+11 1.810342e+11 9.309583e+10
## 27   7 2578304 3614044.4 2763033 1.870728e+11 1.081875e+12 1.037554e+11
## 28  71 2460415 1946265.0 2252250 2.876014e+11 3.629184e+11 1.403581e+11
## 29  72 1533557 1661802.9 1527566 2.344046e+11 2.188182e+11 8.835104e+10
## 30  73 2387560 2732207.4 2451121 3.686828e+11 5.622554e+11 1.699068e+11
## 31  74 1594615 1674703.1 1606154 1.014752e+11 1.139497e+11 4.711538e+10
## 32  75 1415644 1747170.9 1463230 1.252309e+11 2.563462e+11 6.342955e+10
## 33  76 1728137 1541669.2 1640424 1.639415e+11 1.289161e+11 6.171268e+10
## 34  77 1967613 1878571.1 1892902 6.725700e+11 7.635090e+11 3.153723e+11
## 35  78 6880871 6073255.3 6411113 5.378924e+12 4.433354e+12 2.404380e+12
## 36  79 1385100 1649019.9 1432939 4.163852e+10 1.468950e+11 1.847950e+10
## 37   8 2089000 1614938.9 1910556 1.345691e+11 2.457962e+11 7.378985e+10
## 38   9 2020317 2296789.8 2099494 1.581675e+11 2.425131e+11 8.192474e+10
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1        101191.58       125020.16        52018.13
## 2         81704.35        80113.12        39416.58
## 3         69048.95       122300.81        23521.43
## 4        105528.21       125187.66        46599.73
## 5         38806.69       238258.31        30568.79
## 6         93549.39        96472.66        37799.47
## 7        355795.79       364917.55       174895.29
## 8         45045.20        24027.89        14579.17
## 9         99486.77       310798.81        54821.73
## 10        35157.12        23733.09        12139.81
## 11        63696.37       232757.38        26372.04
## 12        78082.68        31648.44        21568.41
## 13       115062.59       120901.90        51452.82
## 14        51047.79       111884.79        27441.20
## 15        56629.98        95913.73        22006.57
## 16       111249.96       182584.02        54038.53
## 17        46989.70        78600.49        24079.40
## 18       252111.62       225421.49       115809.47
## 19        96596.45        85032.19        34245.22
## 20        48212.42       128188.23        29350.57
## 21        98452.97       328964.30        52332.88
## 22        30140.84        28749.17        14639.10
## 23        77495.26       399728.74        57206.27
## 24        32822.25        85641.73        16111.16
## 25       124281.48        77222.87        44474.33
## 26        87597.82        77663.32        39817.09
## 27        64658.59       302075.90        35209.70
## 28       106604.20       187691.67        58018.64
## 29       102948.70       124263.97        44487.58
## 30       134399.69       191930.95        60238.84
## 31        60912.39        65010.54        27850.77
## 32        77973.40       148110.04        39192.74
## 33        80515.71        83739.97        33736.44
## 34       286598.39       405658.38       145980.14
## 35       670026.28       637294.35       323773.24
## 36        28555.49        85310.77        12208.77
## 37        55123.85       146810.69        32911.02
## 38        75694.46       104935.52        39028.00
  1. MEnggunakan rumus MSE synthetic yang perbaikan

    1. Metode SRS
      1. f = 100%
res_srs2_1
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com MSE dir      MSE syn MSE com
## 1    1 1637409 1593637 1637409       0 955703889270       0
## 2   10 2452226 2411973 2452226       0 955693693914       0
## 3   11 1432925 1146047 1432925       0 958475729411       0
## 4   12 1628141 1604098 1628141       0 955657754859       0
## 5   13 1660654 1539506 1660654       0 956143923359       0
## 6   14 2677707 2613785 2677707       0 955778716546       0
## 7   15 5059790 4628255 5059790       0 962059273603       0
## 8   16 2702258 2538366 2702258       0 956564054318       0
## 9   17 2063216 2755581 2063216       0 972167779798       0
## 10  18 1802921 2055582 1802921       0 957839116898       0
## 11  19 1893080 2458794 1893080       0 966673452782       0
## 12   2 1631372 1434795 1631372       0 956970329890       0
## 13  20 1933963 1528077 1933963       0 961318643432       0
## 14  21 1543883 2075747 1543883       0 965392305402       0
## 15  22 2024290 1912770 2024290       0 956066666522       0
## 16  23 2145480 1996068 2145480       0 956407607501       0
## 17  24 2721467 2809820 2721467       0 955907001210       0
## 18  25 3923463 3735418 3923463       0 956857168758       0
## 19  26 2049321 1442285 2049321       0 968344465890       0
## 20  27 1850200 1431308 1850200       0 961688550294       0
## 21  28 1632444 1718061 1632444       0 955890588991       0
## 22  29 1945828 1910735 1945828       0 955680287983       0
## 23   3 1794553 2646763 1794553       0 980681363141       0
## 24   4 2297582 2461884 2297582       0 956568683966       0
## 25   5 2083579 2122123 2083579       0 955689051423       0
## 26   6 2526531 2357735 2526531       0 956620312116       0
## 27   7 2716794 3573111 2716794       0 980923248393       0
## 28  71 2297609 2288027 2297609       0 955640987735       0
## 29  72 1872873 2049375 1872873       0 956712061744       0
## 30  73 3484448 3408041 3484448       0 955839136750       0
## 31  74 2197198 2010784 2197198       0 956836105612       0
## 32  75 1867766 2087481 1867766       0 957302461609       0
## 33  76 2088732 2024320 2088732       0 955780884996       0
## 34  77 2275392 2420130 2275392       0 956360202086       0
## 35  78 7020112 6437879 7020112       0 967327314729       0
## 36  79 2178314 2013176 2178314       0 956578186333       0
## 37   8 2025630 1700059 2025630       0 959292868838       0
## 38   9 2279804 2477361 2279804       0 956983634820       0
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1                0        599699.8               0
## 2                0        396229.0               0
## 3                0        836332.2               0
## 4                0        595760.3               0
## 5                0        621072.0               0
## 6                0        365668.4               0
## 7                0        207866.5               0
## 8                0        376842.5               0
## 9                0        352799.5               0
## 10               0        465969.9               0
## 11               0        393149.4               0
## 12               0        666973.7               0
## 13               0        629103.6               0
## 14               0        465081.8               0
## 15               0        499833.5               0
## 16               0        479145.8               0
## 17               0        340202.2               0
## 18               0        256158.0               0
## 19               0        671396.2               0
## 20               0        671895.1               0
## 21               0        556377.5               0
## 22               0        500163.7               0
## 23               0        370521.0               0
## 24               0        388551.5               0
## 25               0        450345.7               0
## 26               0        405737.1               0
## 27               0        274529.2               0
## 28               0        417670.4               0
## 29               0        466831.2               0
## 30               0        280465.9               0
## 31               0        475852.3               0
## 32               0        458592.1               0
## 33               0        472149.1               0
## 34               0        395169.0               0
## 35               0        150255.6               0
## 36               0        475158.7               0
## 37               0        564270.2               0
## 38               0        386291.6               0
      b. f = 90%
res_srs2_0.9
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com    MSE dir      MSE syn    MSE com
## 1    1 1639645 1593490 1639625  412602892 951106653781  412423799
## 2   10 2448742 2405798 2448717  558933113 951096286392  558604209
## 3   11 1424696 1150670 1424592  359475474 953631408505  359338217
## 4   12 1626781 1603040 1626773  312451600 951059517372  312348297
## 5   13 1671636 1536746 1671583  369619060 951663935292  369474531
## 6   14 2671805 2610374 2671772  509027956 951173860712  508754762
## 7   15 5060029 4622922 5058889 2495408994 957655961541 2488908132
## 8   16 2705262 2537113 2705164  553145233 952009868431  552822942
## 9   17 2075237 2749228 2075538  431416856 966695918224  431224065
## 10  18 1799886 2050685 1799979  356447692 953206667923  356313553
## 11  19 1901784 2456735 1902035  436081745 961655133091  435883463
## 12   2 1626993 1434382 1626920  358311689 952315853584  358176074
## 13  20 1910331 1525002 1910030  748352625 956157368121  747765960
## 14  21 1544659 2072841 1544839  328912137 960659434432  328799302
## 15  22 2012153 1909823 2012118  318452694 951389802955  318345712
## 16  23 2149845 1997895 2149779  411248329 951844075330  411068961
## 17  24 2730246 2811013 2730312  781445747 951274002251  780803473
## 18  25 3901724 3731078 3901495 1271688494 952052059585 1269985491
## 19  26 2044183 1440400 2043983  319295581 963600119469  319189626
## 20  27 1849521 1428793 1849376  329924224 957137621112  329810333
## 21  28 1630084 1711282 1630115  362787506 951259894366  362648394
## 22  29 1940372 1905252 1940356  445301383 951068705893  445090102
## 23   3 1796391 2638112 1796942  639398742 975465862027  638978766
## 24   4 2298079 2457331 2298223  864639145 951908483805  863848125
## 25   5 2079691 2116729 2079710  502592272 951080628598  502326465
## 26   6 2504788 2346747 2504668  717956135 951903011237  717411658
## 27   7 2715793 3571188 2716181  442484679 976278560792  442284022
## 28  71 2281970 2286330 2281972 1137017536 951068387156 1135646122
## 29  72 1879872 2047494 1880072 1141841409 952000292120 1140472295
## 30  73 3474307 3401796 3474190 1519607450 951240998038 1517180835
## 31  74 2211954 2008825 2211853  471662773 952454702567  471429212
## 32  75 1873553 2086031 1873708  699934339 952601233860  699418986
## 33  76 2086433 2023828 2086364 1036605383 951177215264 1035471267
## 34  77 2260723 2416265 2260944 1366657123 951883031480 1364681418
## 35  78 6996316 6419508 6993817 4187441855 962524362723 4169297028
## 36  79 2169537 2011272 2169427  656522720 951899165851  656068190
## 37   8 2016894 1698681 2016741  457432478 954539514358  457212198
## 38   9 2276090 2473305 2276167  371617836 952373430486  371472255
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         251.5982        596927.4        251.4921
## 2         228.2285        395357.3        228.0966
## 3         252.0423        828855.9        251.9648
## 4         191.8945        593320.0        191.8321
## 5         221.0196        619314.6        220.9403
## 6         190.4751        364385.2        190.3753
## 7         492.9748        207148.7        491.8022
## 8         204.4129        375233.2        204.3013
## 9         207.8904        351621.5        207.7673
## 10        197.8960        464835.2        197.8113
## 11        229.2193        391432.2        229.0848
## 12        220.1055        663958.8        220.0322
## 13        391.5852        627023.9        391.3404
## 14        212.8522        463449.1        212.7543
## 15        158.2159        498227.8        158.1655
## 16        191.1425        476456.1        191.0652
## 17        286.1830        338432.9        285.9410
## 18        325.8618        255180.0        325.4448
## 19        156.1854        669027.9        156.1489
## 20        178.3553        669933.4        178.3078
## 21        222.4542        555905.3        222.3647
## 22        229.2562        499220.2        229.1494
## 23        355.8431        369756.5        355.5003
## 24        376.1101        387371.5        375.7425
## 25        241.6447        449311.0        241.5147
## 26        286.4884        405626.6        286.2851
## 27        162.9127        273365.6        162.8156
## 28        497.7468        415988.8        497.1470
## 29        607.3913        464976.6        606.5984
## 30        437.3156        279629.4        436.6323
## 31        213.2254        474156.9        213.1295
## 32        373.4618        456674.8        373.1560
## 33        496.6062        470012.7        496.0796
## 34        604.0312        393957.2        603.1000
## 35        598.4531        149930.4        596.0731
## 36        302.5004        473302.3        302.3064
## 37        226.6530        561983.7        226.5612
## 38        163.2120        385083.5        163.1425
      c. f = 80%
res_srs2_0.8
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com    MSE dir      MSE syn    MSE com
## 1    1 1645708 1592564 1645653  976061242 955587121079  975063992
## 2   10 2435226 2402835 2435181 1266060221 955558831388 1264378343
## 3   11 1417544 1140239 1417322  759791092 958156041470  759173929
## 4   12 1619709 1597147 1619692  672626730 955521371071  672143981
## 5   13 1667849 1544167 1667739  849459673 956029088477  848703265
## 6   14 2656217 2612721 2656165 1111588507 955577088030 1110281440
## 7   15 5055884 4625945 5053411 5537685622 961899378459 5505832029
## 8   16 2693060 2537617 2692861 1221361980 956359693623 1219792173
## 9   17 2079109 2753700 2079807 1007209806 971200425826 1006162083
## 10  18 1799820 2055935 1800033  802759811 957761765897  802081893
## 11  19 1890108 2457258 1890671  962853964 966597322389  961889695
## 12   2 1632567 1436096 1632393  848022030 956819733915  847266730
## 13  20 1915554 1525365 1914871 1670431779 960796656592 1667496916
## 14  21 1529614 2072870 1530003  694637569 965689134689  694129267
## 15  22 2020044 1926758 2019971  745329386 955795085387  744747021
## 16  23 2151955 2000997 2151807  935214927 956278954369  934295077
## 17  24 2742344 2820391 2742497 1891033459 955727844147 1887295555
## 18  25 3929982 3739064 3929389 2956103567 956805647069 2946979059
## 19  26 2060018 1442098 2059541  748138751 968668540233  747560588
## 20  27 1855199 1428880 1854882  706998291 961778854683  706459853
## 21  28 1642443 1717001 1642506  840736715 955713939021  839992970
## 22  29 1947494 1911699 1947456 1025584673 955528200432 1024471318
## 23   3 1787227 2650209 1788481 1428627454 981177124301 1426515164
## 24   4 2283567 2459001 2283887 1819145481 956598248614 1815573950
## 25   5 2066832 2116844 2066887 1097880125 955617379062 1096612919
## 26   6 2548006 2356518 2547655 1746186828 956772659410 1742996260
## 27   7 2729297 3566466 2730152 1002859219 979675110615 1001830786
## 28  71 2282563 2283184 2282552 2595853137 955532463370 2588687504
## 29  72 1862525 2044956 1862950 2348898155 956687802544 2342783379
## 30  73 3497777 3413301 3497462 3436373841 955841136921 3423962990
## 31  74 2203477 2005111 2203258 1052049629 956862169149 1050890804
## 32  75 1856654 2082170 1857017 1553818952 957268519143 1551290701
## 33  76 2104881 2024822 2104668 2511026683 955767455085 2504404637
## 34  77 2267975 2419386 2268448 3158079572 956371245651 3147348889
## 35  78 7008088 6431018 7002531 9395957043 967012397522 9305376664
## 36  79 2178801 2008243 2178535 1472386742 956519584727 1470095836
## 37   8 2034193 1693682 2033804 1095018795 959506000498 1093764686
## 38   9 2267550 2470600 2267731  856306499 956918066283  855534663
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         592.9973        600114.6        592.4110
## 2         519.5471        397682.1        518.8674
## 3         534.5119        840697.4        534.1650
## 4         414.5378        598406.2        414.2454
## 5         509.1301        619164.9        508.7108
## 6         418.3160        365742.6        417.8326
## 7        1094.8669        207925.2       1089.1077
## 8         453.5104        376886.8        452.9612
## 9         484.3621        352677.2        483.6957
## 10        445.7092        465876.5        445.2804
## 11        509.2515        393356.9        508.5893
## 12        519.0599        666368.7        518.6536
## 13        870.5807        629953.4        869.3680
## 14        453.3697        465855.6        452.9225
## 15        368.8770        496153.7        368.6024
## 16        434.2955        478070.8        433.8988
## 17        689.4469        338893.0        688.0459
## 18        752.0203        255893.6        749.8134
## 19        363.1009        671740.4        362.9045
## 20        380.0233        673196.2        379.8016
## 21        511.5822        556624.6        511.1103
## 22        526.1517        499927.8        525.5915
## 23        798.8425        370225.9        797.0947
## 24        794.4199        389004.1        792.7534
## 25        530.9654        451406.8        530.3391
## 26        685.0310        406002.1        683.8745
## 27        367.3275        274668.9        366.8357
## 28       1135.1828        418533.3       1132.0637
## 29       1254.8329        467878.1       1251.2875
## 30        981.5639        280033.9        978.1123
## 31        477.3626        477261.0        476.8846
## 32        836.5195        459791.1        834.9962
## 33       1191.8297        472195.9       1188.8122
## 34       1388.1143        395307.1       1383.1257
## 35       1340.1487        150349.0       1328.2889
## 36        675.0185        476350.2        674.0531
## 37        538.0608        566527.4        537.5480
## 38        377.3455        387298.6        376.9753
      d. f = 70%
res_srs2_0.7
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1643881 1595362 1643795  1622588981 957291146797  1619736575
## 2   10 2454053 2411037 2453952  2178758933 957300118627  2173732849
## 3   11 1428070 1149138 1427648  1424457696 959947453347  1422279049
## 4   12 1621592 1603737 1621562  1179845882 957254315087  1178335152
## 5   13 1665403 1529078 1665193  1445342372 957853961741  1443112993
## 6   14 2685167 2618372 2685018  2071190263 957373824794  2066677508
## 7   15 5099625 4643864 5094958  9973573254 964438767119  9871024945
## 8   16 2715274 2545414 2714880  2179055532 958246852862  2174029619
## 9   17 2062208 2758272 2063423  1711477778 973946085915  1708439738
## 10  18 1786843 2054020 1787208  1343204801 959734689919  1341291099
## 11  19 1902824 2461785 1903770  1664211653 968049576772  1661270831
## 12   2 1627504 1435618 1627225  1368032478 958499244681  1366035657
## 13  20 1913432 1529438 1912254  2909724793 962396357297  2900734818
## 14  21 1557687 2075540 1558402  1338112577 966481154406  1336247206
## 15  22 2038808 1906684 2038628  1295858085 957820653732  1294091255
## 16  23 2132065 2000547 2131833  1660162187 957865320862  1657249341
## 17  24 2734818 2822265 2735096  3116137345 957496612376  3105750071
## 18  25 3919113 3749444 3918229  4957251641 958234067545  4931549002
## 19  26 2056631 1439708 2055821  1270767310 970331273144  1269097099
## 20  27 1844927 1425997 1844391  1226402744 963254039016  1224797289
## 21  28 1611383 1709118 1611519  1375821733 957578122753  1373821732
## 22  29 1940356 1906691 1940295  1723219890 957233230987  1720068246
## 23   3 1801348 2635274 1803382  2404572199 981203460914  2398596388
## 24   4 2277542 2465073 2278079  2938654749 958499000240  2928980866
## 25   5 2087355 2120345 2087409  1789265153 957282450188  1785850778
## 26   6 2522193 2350030 2521662  2934768773 958253272380  2925715438
## 27   7 2724056 3580307 2725516  1683851971 982530966339  1680933159
## 28  71 2306827 2289351 2306705  4418263187 957337264416  4397111994
## 29  72 1869998 2048171 1870740  4187568323 958388560518  4168569534
## 30  73 3435235 3392898 3434944  5542281367 957454997996  5509958042
## 31  74 2230205 2010884 2229775  1871189991 958882297524  1867528548
## 32  75 1867802 2088762 1868402  2638612106 958933865628  2631308507
## 33  76 2083869 2018570 2083565  4125035732 957408619946  4106680857
## 34  77 2270481 2413903 2271227  5380327785 958059595505  5349452632
## 35  78 7002638 6424022 6993239 15977118311 968850377167 15717681002
## 36  79 2186782 2012398 2186316  2502222142 958285054432  2495586782
## 37   8 2008337 1703533 2007788  1717159402 960457386956  1714064734
## 38   9 2275596 2467275 2275898  1518760043 958506401608  1516334074
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         984.3318        600171.9        982.6604
## 2         886.6673        397213.1        884.6620
## 3         995.4105        836508.0        994.1950
## 4         724.4223        597219.7        723.5147
## 5         865.7438        626470.5        864.5246
## 6         770.6868        365662.0        769.0526
## 7        1955.0143        207653.8       1936.6975
## 8         801.8350        376455.5        800.1060
## 9         828.5095        353055.6        826.5521
## 10        749.5867        467275.4        748.3696
## 11        871.1421        393171.7        869.1709
## 12        838.2944        667707.4        837.2217
## 13       1514.9826        629283.4       1511.2705
## 14        858.5525        465603.0        856.9616
## 15        635.0712        502570.7        634.2631
## 16        777.9868        479162.7        776.7101
## 17       1137.1334        339330.0       1133.2329
## 18       1264.0022        255553.0       1257.7402
## 19        617.8113        674020.8        617.2432
## 20        664.1645        675778.3        663.4940
## 21        852.2310        560311.9        850.9236
## 22        886.2390        502223.4        884.6501
## 23       1334.6376        372309.7       1329.7955
## 24       1283.6661        388774.6       1279.1538
## 25        856.1152        451416.5        854.4636
## 26       1162.5154        407733.9       1159.1793
## 27        616.9691        274410.6        615.5698
## 28       1907.8521        418144.1       1898.8775
## 29       2230.2291        467923.2       2219.2551
## 30       1610.1012        282146.7       1600.8790
## 31        838.6404        476854.5        837.1625
## 32       1411.8555        459083.2       1407.4959
## 33       1974.1940        474418.7       1965.7378
## 34       2360.6371        396833.4       2346.3918
## 35       2280.2499        150777.4       2246.2548
## 36       1142.2408        476201.2       1139.4677
## 37        853.9703        563923.0        852.6697
## 38        666.9854        388617.1        665.8326
      e. f = 60%
res_srs2_0.6
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1660144 1601793 1659963  2728017706 932720861443  2719655399
## 2   10 2456833 2432239 2456741  3340898199 932651532593  3328848182
## 3   11 1441195 1137873 1440427  2319806346 935828441157  2313743792
## 4   12 1628333 1611438 1628289  1681187897 932661580833  1677998559
## 5   13 1645861 1532011 1645601  2046494518 933071462724  2041683813
## 6   14 2657402 2618139 2657255  2972297779 932718134403  2962483791
## 7   15 5072784 4618384 5065445 15162100533 939950219872 14917098109
## 8   16 2720515 2523622 2719725  3732750519 933997096064  3717826820
## 9   17 2038517 2748775 2040329  2440215885 950011817809  2433884910
## 10  18 1793347 2057438 1793951  2145055819 934997704125  2140027653
## 11  19 1891623 2440682 1893138  2626766250 943003448762  2619179518
## 12   2 1619041 1426362 1618579  2218254686 933905632814  2212917599
## 13  20 1924025 1530564 1922120  4479799630 938013945436  4457966281
## 14  21 1536750 2061549 1537765  1842148356 942136273857  1838467723
## 15  22 2039237 1932686 2039001  2080113825 933077304718  2075453514
## 16  23 2119516 2014733 2119233  2465050368 933002021071  2458493842
## 17  24 2731205 2834002 2731700  4714938539 932978820755  4689598428
## 18  25 3969053 3762436 3967216  8265016805 934121124836  8192042050
## 19  26 2040955 1432279 2039712  1929409504 945418221894  1925456311
## 20  27 1859522 1436505 1858586  2065642820 938808329248  2061002599
## 21  28 1652919 1722983 1653090  2401285913 932798729600  2395055903
## 22  29 1922170 1893767 1922094  2536612022 932605039560  2529456857
## 23   3 1823233 2650067 1826539  3885214504 956266123095  3868296525
## 24   4 2286894 2450458 2287709  5221635516 933663734537  5189920724
## 25   5 2040312 2105458 2040497  2754425830 932769731661  2746181141
## 26   6 2557100 2350748 2556084  4570370983 934061247389  4547719748
## 27   7 2683785 3532851 2686033  2550015474 957533051068  2543158755
## 28  71 2302109 2277982 2301882  6945127117 932693384669  6891370905
## 29  72 1868969 2042940 1870080  7211979511 933952382085  7150867682
## 30  73 3492302 3372848 3491063  9491296008 933164324528  9394808605
## 31  74 2174407 2006775 2173933  2622470618 933573026171  2615022892
## 32  75 1893589 2081463 1894453  4438112400 933902141908  4416827533
## 33  76 2069063 2020501 2068687  5832433472 932787828562  5794254526
## 34  77 2201092 2402031 2202447  6759351994 934092568969  6707268380
## 35  78 6887210 6339656 6873320 24533508581 942981545693 23910275539
## 36  79 2163639 2008406 2162975  3893065346 933477304654  3876568804
## 37   8 2028385 1708024 2027399  2863374050 936138200053  2854370273
## 38   9 2279722 2452291 2280135  2340627461 933675633548  2334498149
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1        1636.5105        582456.5       1631.6992
## 2        1359.1562        383539.5       1354.3097
## 3        1598.6279        822814.6       1595.3696
## 4        1028.6628        578967.7       1026.7557
## 5        1236.7604        609797.5       1234.0823
## 6        1116.0622        356267.9       1112.4573
## 7        2978.3373        203481.8       2934.7113
## 8        1371.5304        370124.1       1366.4481
## 9        1196.1218        345622.2       1191.9561
## 10       1194.7594        454548.8       1191.5566
## 11       1383.5017        386356.9       1378.3830
## 12       1366.9634        655055.2       1364.0807
## 13       2321.3763        613164.9       2312.4544
## 14       1194.5676        457000.8       1191.3977
## 15       1019.4170        483183.9       1017.2525
## 16       1162.0044        463119.9       1159.0749
## 17       1718.7869        329292.5       1709.2756
## 18       2080.9313        248267.2       2063.5384
## 19        944.8985        660390.0        943.5419
## 20       1109.0035        653729.0       1107.0875
## 21       1450.1110        541672.3       1446.2120
## 22       1314.7256        492587.2       1311.0849
## 23       2118.7394        360841.5       2105.5704
## 24       2266.4220        381014.5       2251.9607
## 25       1348.3341        443059.5       1344.1831
## 26       1785.2940        397541.3       1777.1804
## 27        948.8528        270990.2        945.5064
## 28       3008.0884        409477.0       2985.2307
## 29       3793.8312        457249.0       3759.8872
## 30       2716.2627        276657.7       2689.6440
## 31       1204.5750        465307.9       1201.4243
## 32       2338.6865        448761.9       2326.4487
## 33       2800.1510        461704.4       2782.5349
## 34       3058.7495        388942.9       3033.3982
## 35       3562.3220        148711.3       3478.8304
## 36       1796.2520        464877.4       1789.2205
## 37       1408.4359        548215.9       1404.7185
## 38       1021.8843        380776.0       1019.0343
      f. f = 50%
res_srs2_0.5
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1647790 1612215 1647578  3724593071 959338073399  3708149181
## 2   10 2490268 2421108 2489873  5275031280 959370811239  5245604773
## 3   11 1445734 1151961 1444564  3801284876 962173718091  3785334953
## 4   12 1658525 1612871 1658356  3154996020 959300164800  3144320442
## 5   13 1662477 1522516 1662022  3140494054 959918565978  3129183348
## 6   14 2654094 2608131 2653882  4186108656 959309722436  4167572652
## 7   15 5090472 4634942 5080460 21494618766 966469093787 21016167418
## 8   16 2710141 2520635 2709056  5403452850 960485450980  5372596781
## 9   17 2038316 2738949 2040897  3641760592 976213884514  3627793503
## 10  18 1773416 2038420 1774215  2996994437 961655706943  2987334037
## 11  19 1899683 2454668 1902001  4121605820 969852611251  4103293097
## 12   2 1647859 1432078 1647042  3540853472 960867726510  3527428694
## 13  20 1899351 1515601 1896865  6239147991 964292437289  6197515802
## 14  21 1542914 2075179 1544477  2888953614 968994852343  2880104487
## 15  22 2007738 1887175 2007356  2971391928 959744742442  2962067284
## 16  23 2133783 1996555 2133239  3700064376 959945207691  3685577941
## 17  24 2707547 2793279 2708141  6782830190 959494480320  6731675732
## 18  25 3909498 3739421 3907428 11759106736 960192612122 11614921389
## 19  26 2049242 1430918 2047453  2794086602 972421249384  2785951447
## 20  27 1844384 1436164 1843182  2833513024 964970326270  2824895300
## 21  28 1616493 1708296 1616781  3238747694 959496570604  3227420765
## 22  29 1961191 1927108 1961028  4553398341 959197940172  4530692981
## 23   3 1815508 2655002 1819966  5398087433 983632536100  5366210287
## 24   4 2296864 2454337 2297952  8169285895 960331776516  8091194677
## 25   5 2081647 2116751 2081730  4221912139 959381571429  4202153593
## 26   6 2487171 2328299 2486122  6152317285 960099245949  6112056426
## 27   7 2690675 3578419 2694069  3809764604 986397652999  3794908695
## 28  71 2312495 2292833 2312031 10578229492 959473342060 10453542888
## 29  72 1907161 2053593 1908371 10564869726 960293529564 10433956177
## 30  73 3451021 3406685 3450242 12917720335 959525311900 12740760580
## 31  74 2181376 2015888 2180696  3906756739 960149703570  3890613446
## 32  75 1869744 2092362 1871137  6113297412 960894993717  6073766479
## 33  76 2120790 2030048 2119778  9933373103 959575557082  9827935976
## 34  77 2266642 2418028 2268703 13170069420 960066699457 12986240641
## 35  78 7038491 6442921 7015416 39055296306 971461123381 37535198743
## 36  79 2147097 2017701 2146366  5169618744 959927627705  5141072658
## 37   8 2022494 1710140 2021127  4208828887 962554642231  4190322790
## 38   9 2274256 2483151 2275026  3523456609 960696368820  3510243063
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         2239.747        594991.0        2230.319
## 2         2115.998        396310.8        2104.557
## 3         2614.338        836985.5        2605.651
## 4         1896.038        594865.4        1889.853
## 5         1874.223        632430.1        1868.066
## 6         1576.791        367794.7        1569.943
## 7         4209.930        208464.1        4124.873
## 8         1990.788        381156.5        1980.258
## 9         1781.073        356445.0        1771.993
## 10        1683.342        471911.3        1677.183
## 11        2159.641        395101.8        2147.419
## 12        2139.854        671231.7        2132.875
## 13        3282.016        636660.5        3264.581
## 14        1865.567        466919.1        1857.959
## 15        1477.430        508821.4        1473.090
## 16        1731.721        480764.9        1725.402
## 17        2500.979        343587.1        2481.562
## 18        3004.634        256721.8        2969.419
## 19        1361.017        680257.9        1358.269
## 20        1534.458        672020.8        1530.837
## 21        1996.933        562038.5        1989.633
## 22        2307.873        498233.6        2296.625
## 23        2934.442        370457.0        2909.935
## 24        3517.466        391276.9        3482.524
## 25        2016.526        453258.1        2007.124
## 26        2464.483        412595.6        2449.473
## 27        1412.631        275620.2        1405.350
## 28        4535.920        418449.6        4484.182
## 29        5455.228        467650.3        5385.568
## 30        3729.069        281698.9        3679.196
## 31        1789.753        476306.3        1782.933
## 32        3265.918        459252.3        3242.360
## 33        4664.615        472750.8        4617.695
## 34        5807.245        397173.1        5720.945
## 35        5545.604        150745.6        5347.497
## 36        2400.905        475778.7        2388.536
## 37        2079.839        562893.7        2072.116
## 38        1544.117        387423.2        1537.823
      g. f = 40%
res_srs2_0.4
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1639146 1599797 1638777  5443243449 964714481989  5405409534
## 2   10 2428342 2398987 2428067  7525727556 964608211461  7463396824
## 3   11 1421044 1119967 1419480  4953099129 967713882153  4924596301
## 4   12 1645510 1590511 1645251  4294737077 964677300920  4275185366
## 5   13 1646941 1525644 1646334  4563310843 965087193074  4537691209
## 6   14 2643210 2609702 2642884  6839068922 964713915454  6786578804
## 7   15 5089881 4640779 5075521 31580189475 971793375786 30558771669
## 8   16 2699259 2545438 2698092  7140894094 965374210757  7087665515
## 9   17 2103391 2770604 2107615  6309696386 979941132620  6268386939
## 10  18 1798513 2064647 1799864  4994956884 967082663732  4968100430
## 11  19 1912944 2468026 1916318  6085981460 975183919724  6046209087
## 12   2 1616379 1445576 1615448  5004160705 965584021593  4976719254
## 13  20 1964728 1539193 1959891 10742672330 971111019332 10620332972
## 14  21 1558010 2082673 1560395  4441079743 974061717035  4420394927
## 15  22 2037153 1917506 2036569  4683679490 965060766784  4660221553
## 16  23 2159765 1988382 2158770  5630856992 965697785258  5596763496
## 17  24 2738632 2814194 2739615 13006348229 964788461782 12824723977
## 18  25 3914482 3750299 3911398 17493017952 965686996988 17177769046
## 19  26 2037526 1447368 2035078  4041711056 976678330127  4024829005
## 20  27 1858967 1425790 1856856  4621035934 971067291515  4597168647
## 21  28 1674576 1723372 1674812  5861939397 964726095123  5825260101
## 22  29 1949496 1913518 1949253  6359975095 964522710635  6314093446
## 23   3 1800700 2654232 1807971  8625004203 989722639451  8544430962
## 24   4 2332162 2475847 2333593 12530857058 965609267505 12349617640
## 25   5 2089678 2129427 2089835  7284634927 964822183282  7225364144
## 26   6 2509895 2371816 2508296 10490670916 965417822651 10375172081
## 27   7 2686638 3558236 2691540  5677452304 991078557260  5643767017
## 28  71 2281221 2292096 2280942 15460037496 964880804116 15189080430
## 29  72 1864165 2052030 1866525 14877418811 965998323561 14610702821
## 30  73 3464787 3405483 3463244 19714495323 965205744259 19303941038
## 31  74 2204430 2013841 2203176  6073045390 965863036890  6033019047
## 32  75 1883371 2091038 1885271  9198873993 966162687240  9110651568
## 33  76 2071423 2017064 2070298 14082361390 964941477611 13855191057
## 34  77 2296594 2426753 2298953 20713766855 965484312945 20239683078
## 35  78 7047537 6450139 7016417 53455155570 977148942854 50657037725
## 36  79 2150024 2015734 2148660  8810814864 965358395952  8727323075
## 37   8 2016054 1698713 2013948  6095656771 968251292369  6054993066
## 38   9 2249080 2451233 2250114  5050199738 965925383389  5020620753
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         3257.567        603265.8        3236.253
## 2         3074.626        402472.5        3049.771
## 3         3446.725        870820.8        3431.227
## 4         2608.601        607671.0        2597.174
## 5         2732.622        634808.2        2718.605
## 6         2576.162        369641.8        2556.858
## 7         6188.974        209250.3        6006.647
## 8         2641.130        379222.4        2622.659
## 9         2990.157        353470.4        2964.643
## 10        2771.281        468536.5        2754.280
## 11        3164.724        394995.0        3138.452
## 12        3080.588        667962.8        3065.659
## 13        5432.638        631166.6        5384.983
## 14        2850.138        467520.8        2832.441
## 15        2293.257        504456.6        2282.484
## 16        2600.349        487153.7        2585.878
## 17        4744.600        343160.0        4676.767
## 18        4461.794        257427.9        4385.092
## 19        1978.341        675059.3        1972.501
## 20        2470.047        682255.0        2460.384
## 21        3485.920        559990.3        3463.776
## 22        3242.110        503985.2        3219.259
## 23        4750.211        372885.1        4686.184
## 24        5307.812        389748.4        5229.121
## 25        3457.236        452798.3        3429.136
## 26        4167.614        406914.0        4124.630
## 27        2104.977        278396.7        2088.719
## 28        6688.026        421059.3        6573.463
## 29        7852.080        471077.2        7702.569
## 30        5668.903        283475.6        5554.235
## 31        2742.386        479881.2        2726.032
## 32        4869.658        462280.5        4818.327
## 33        6698.622        479709.5        6595.963
## 34        8982.216        397954.2        8768.031
## 35        7566.377        151326.4        7202.986
## 36        4076.026        479238.6        4040.452
## 37        3002.422        570267.4        2985.932
## 38        2219.157        394637.8        2205.273
      h. f = 30%
res_srs2_0.3
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1637855 1545692 1636897  7731218522 947297331274  7649649842
## 2   10 2451322 2420704 2450750 11574250917 946808842368 11417822692
## 3   11 1472349 1169425 1469271  9564118556 949923085541  9453723290
## 4   12 1610597 1621733 1610508  5990833964 946873896924  5947984773
## 5   13 1625189 1555334 1624668  6624632290 946863341539  6567856483
## 6   14 2736087 2620717 2734485 11550507242 947300947319 11396083265
## 7   15 5011666 4614578 4990690 50297005611 952784370625 47640117815
## 8   16 2741231 2573785 2738927 12346561401 947790098499 12177012835
## 9   17 2046884 2774024 2053147  8725450696 965262023100  8635390096
## 10  18 1812616 2082899 1814496  7601603665 949577459812  7530553950
## 11  19 1854336 2460283 1859676  9250171390 959831308254  9144267967
## 12   2 1594491 1406994 1592978  7064397210 948099285743  7006703310
## 13  20 1964997 1547437 1956000 19048765951 953345298261 18636251171
## 14  21 1535212 2069029 1538617  6242397827 956544029907  6198488302
## 15  22 2024436 1923871 2023649  6846640926 947068494311  6794860471
## 16  23 2116839 2002064 2115791  8206170664 947356671571  8129858884
## 17  24 2705856 2809107 2707256 13736724849 947261568625 13491199280
## 18  25 3940590 3706482 3933060 28515681161 949082289070 27631997538
## 19  26 2038506 1448443 2034756  6054422737 958723864579  6015229054
## 20  27 1857134 1429109 1854107  6515853257 953067239416  6466070296
## 21  28 1649979 1725207 1650372  7378167744 947266054047  7313603099
## 22  29 1965844 1930171 1965404 11792621900 946655758329 11631198466
## 23   3 1701826 2615753 1711733 10811162796 975658786726 10660500849
## 24   4 2344889 2463791 2346945 21156790176 947418338110 20610041422
## 25   5 2084277 2123984 2084508  9615374541 946838647230  9511579723
## 26   6 2627202 2395574 2621967 19383965644 948988327827 18951288609
## 27   7 2725181 3570795 2733384  9670465994 971767687230  9569866770
## 28  71 2360925 2301000 2358182 26573691197 947305665078 25729401586
## 29  72 1904076 2065747 1907603 29547964091 947998039665 28473567686
## 30  73 3573034 3413523 3566252 36297419915 948595983107 34888534501
## 31  74 2172191 2026282 2170616  9380595713 947557199377  9282509828
## 32  75 1884806 2102695 1887591 13948617537 948788628528 13727683576
## 33  76 2148448 2047458 2145526 22610117511 947456701107 22032349584
## 34  77 2281597 2430990 2285817 31724586462 947833602462 30558048520
## 35  78 6960985 6404181 6911441 92107509289 957877422625 83898807662
## 36  79 2101822 2030118 2100617 10598549429 947343119274 10461516103
## 37   8 2038467 1685532 2034579 10199560383 951170283412 10085588366
## 38   9 2301909 2491141 2303624  8478556563 947932663561  8395898614
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         4626.349        615016.3        4582.284
## 2         4670.436        391524.2        4609.651
## 3         6436.834        816104.0        6378.257
## 4         3670.238        584891.2        3644.894
## 5         4026.538        609565.2        3994.125
## 6         4200.381        361442.2        4147.498
## 7         9941.353        206337.4        9464.084
## 8         4484.447        368327.5        4427.253
## 9         4202.017        347896.4        4146.256
## 10        4125.725        456338.8        4083.994
## 11        4860.424        390123.9        4791.264
## 12        4405.378        676153.3        4374.305
## 13        9522.132        617003.2        9365.507
## 14        4042.292        462491.5        4004.855
## 15        3363.829        492763.0        3339.956
## 16        3859.769        474287.0        3826.134
## 17        5022.495        337496.2        4930.631
## 18        7199.382        256011.6        6992.501
## 19        2962.981        663606.2        2949.391
## 20        3476.721        668371.9        3456.647
## 21        4424.261        549674.4        4385.146
## 22        5952.288        491585.5        5873.178
## 23        6271.464        372793.6        6141.783
## 24        8952.478        384503.6        8714.163
## 25        4583.617        445926.8        4534.215
## 26        7209.340        396880.7        7068.127
## 27        3534.978        271991.2        3487.715
## 28       11090.766        411870.1       10759.734
## 29       15193.886        459243.4       14619.183
## 30       10125.625        277767.3        9754.429
## 31        4295.072        467995.3        4253.859
## 32        7320.907        451536.8        7196.203
## 33       10379.825        463209.0       10136.583
## 34       13693.186        390021.8       13170.142
## 35       13163.185        149414.8       12082.714
## 36        4961.542        467007.2        4902.744
## 37        4969.379        565258.3        4924.155
## 38        3660.054        381388.9        3621.698
      i. f = 20%
res_srs2_0.2
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1657628 1598530 1656235  14992358277 936213030326  14640380126
## 2   10 2428519 2382360 2426950  20790131645 936064928766  20254790474
## 3   11 1459112 1084822 1453176  14216690167 940939263564  13945661841
## 4   12 1607887 1558345 1607311  10092932338 935943125981   9966343511
## 5   13 1603466 1531015 1602221  10779051230 936241897057  10613837011
## 6   14 2636564 2578730 2635054  15836578258 936245655095  15532518059
## 7   15 4941267 4560006 4910423  76664588025 941218872111  70374153387
## 8   16 2651366 2522249 2648638  17165093526 936789715810  16839693009
## 9   17 2146222 2767990 2156325  16295769651 949624127889  16000650317
## 10  18 1756590 2067812 1761387  14705314821 939151648802  14450830868
## 11  19 1865950 2447621 1873896  13639632072 947758152840  13417546658
## 12   2 1686283 1470769 1682166  16309925764 937636181853  15991125168
## 13  20 1921329 1548590 1910057  25124178871 941291219330  24300697644
## 14  21 1569853 2078077 1575294  10538793803 944973345702  10406188234
## 15  22 2090251 1938593 2088091  13038781314 936875997680  12851499179
## 16  23 2109654 1955210 2107060  15214638630 936818913052  14948593199
## 17  24 2673974 2790022 2675371  33031703021 936846928628  31389951947
## 18  25 3948518 3701386 3934283  51193863087 938463326174  48282918994
## 19  26 2033465 1468876 2025732  12863674140 947126780347  12684189433
## 20  27 1817570 1421422 1811565  12427354482 941462663784  12200566031
## 21  28 1642896 1742988 1644401  14532472375 936217728304  14294632255
## 22  29 1914891 1876974 1914182  17015760563 935738148569  16576045102
## 23   3 1715667 2636825 1729781  16067449542 965169282551  15701950719
## 24   4 2351761 2472223 2351513  39412803714 937892699691  37164323126
## 25   5 2133974 2132681 2133363  17656296463 936140650928  17282356618
## 26   6 2599753 2393483 2591706  32628762578 937415800006  31369138741
## 27   7 2608659 3499232 2621085  14061873167 963633522449  13846008375
## 28  71 2246178 2254804 2244872  28176945017 936702318498  27238626274
## 29  72 1836563 2019573 1841019  31825572066 937558554993  30392194071
## 30  73 3509588 3354595 3496752  55635343591 938498638300  52089242969
## 31  74 2233878 1983530 2228617  17259469136 938555602692  16910473068
## 32  75 1781941 2056838 1786932  21138862774 939303107380  20634904874
## 33  76 2031667 1966742 2028025  32732210237 936507248385  31341771646
## 34  77 2214520 2401833 2218879  46816168415 938462214814  43904644991
## 35  78 6975230 6383276 6892320 153160820499 948527979009 131624424389
## 36  79 2133646 1984313 2130374  19716135434 936654097156  19267771149
## 37   8 2015879 1694674 2009791  17188048682 939529456969  16850132676
## 38   9 2218806 2443954 2221806  12886420450 937625894905  12697429125
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         8695.687        587430.5        8507.699
## 2         8378.965        393845.6        8173.652
## 3         9516.207        868891.4        9384.977
## 4         6238.872        602173.3        6163.782
## 5         6530.353        611978.5        6440.091
## 6         5960.609        363048.8        5852.458
## 7        15465.220        206234.3       14300.137
## 8         6445.226        371586.2        6330.840
## 9         7520.671        343102.4        7350.643
## 10        8323.858        455113.1        8157.321
## 11        7278.181        387037.8        7126.698
## 12        9532.796        639408.3        9374.869
## 13       12689.071        609694.8       12379.381
## 14        6643.852        454690.2        6537.298
## 15        6227.780        485083.9        6145.184
## 16        7165.382        480821.5        7050.153
## 17       11785.073        336053.2       11209.281
## 18       12797.622        253531.6       12128.745
## 19        6286.841        645539.8        6223.861
## 20        6656.386        664211.6        6568.204
## 21        8788.945        537847.1        8637.557
## 22        8500.104        499358.3        8290.115
## 23        8963.732        366094.2        8686.325
## 24       15998.973        379331.5       15126.111
## 25        8160.069        438912.6        7993.368
## 26       12387.005        392686.8       11959.634
## 27        5336.959        275072.2        5230.687
## 28       12285.621        415394.7       11898.898
## 29       16842.028        464333.1       16046.482
## 30       15444.401        279452.6       14547.723
## 31        7609.892        473439.3        7479.535
## 32       11614.051        456850.2       11314.484
## 33       15721.166        476763.4       15111.765
## 34       20654.622        390395.3       19382.116
## 35       21823.271        148333.8       18995.378
## 36        9161.851        472232.0        8971.149
## 37        8434.551        555637.3        8297.598
## 38        5768.047        383567.6        5675.723
      j. f = 10%
res_srs2_0.1
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1655637 1618995 1653504  23807636836 932968048287  23121821807
## 2   10 2464440 2417393 2460359  48778025169 932610869362  46071723354
## 3   11 1499114 1178778 1483496  42549084160 935096191186  39300774498
## 4   12 1656208 1653803 1654380  29723303081 931981946378  28466943642
## 5   13 1639921 1534461 1635362  25931075211 932652934559  24849874254
## 6   14 2742225 2652262 2734630  55485865925 932278502027  51109658280
## 7   15 5219980 4658098 5114328 208892425597 945171555135 166699651341
## 8   16 2623203 2544564 2619723  32513963387 931926969945  31287438354
## 9   17 2011069 2745441 2029646  25324034741 950360890200  24596280262
## 10  18 1800951 2070286 1807198  32323847071 934778799860  30887772027
## 11  19 1961778 2461353 1976299  35749439552 940867643803  33646481102
## 12   2 1703614 1425507 1693551  32681866276 934463479091  31354771615
## 13  20 2017152 1550224 1971810  71106846054 941553809896  63698141845
## 14  21 1514774 2071161 1526397  24560726841 942900483249  23621438478
## 15  22 2067243 1938946 2062065  29279596940 932699202007  28216888059
## 16  23 2150384 2075012 2146200  30100918505 932548649259  28934136746
## 17  24 2730974 2868780 2733361  59317199499 932899240883  52127333514
## 18  25 3980105 3796335 3955081 118611624121 934180234295 104052294936
## 19  26 2001847 1424547 1987501  23838440116 942980700104  23207450664
## 20  27 1837982 1462089 1829141  19811790109 936581463397  19303630019
## 21  28 1654971 1711933 1656351  31589030641 932250393836  30427880439
## 22  29 1823021 1789368 1822387  17910308378 931333723313  17541082987
## 23   3 1742090 2664583 1766044  32552852738 962884973370  30282630402
## 24   4 2267260 2451067 2267664  92161525047 935430649030  77539575797
## 25   5 2034965 2102340 2036103  38997335336 931859306155  37175750320
## 26   6 2558233 2335874 2539048  72969560010 933825628639  67141621085
## 27   7 2664928 3536698 2690910  29837993925 958177377985  28870286091
## 28  71 2211727 2315365 2214716  58728160616 932874535359  54769901300
## 29  72 1977795 2080726 1970355 122712818673 934599602626  99592245960
## 30  73 3634282 3392217 3602620 137820875204 935643933831 119310157515
## 31  74 2231223 2042378 2222659  40626946723 932983652878  38654446394
## 32  75 1900901 2120708 1907515  59945471675 935902736180  55525937335
## 33  76 2093345 2084668 2084148  81949275960 933275030575  72895702728
## 34  77 2227363 2419776 2225699 102019560683 935763625024  84258639440
## 35  78 6775195 6268624 6647917 305495195304 940550092584 228903342657
## 36  79 2246555 2045680 2231608  44615028060 934195146575  41824784904
## 37   8 2072663 1716385 2045815  47227193721 937968578448  43140541023
## 38   9 2215010 2383702 2218470  20857262180 932648985246  20287404004
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1        13883.232        582948.8       13518.558
## 2        19396.106        385893.4       18369.481
## 3        26612.529        808614.8       25056.417
## 4        16956.108        565341.6       16308.054
## 5        15150.413        618352.2       14604.023
## 6        19494.240        350658.7       18077.457
## 7        38798.843        201864.4       31861.277
## 8        12295.747        365872.7       11853.120
## 9        12462.031        345228.4       11990.335
## 10       17388.698        450532.0       16588.838
## 11       17325.350        382216.5       16221.800
## 12       18787.761        665397.9       18163.039
## 13       32978.387        608853.0       30763.918
## 14       15172.117        454911.3       14507.830
## 15       13779.185        485990.2       13332.201
## 16       13803.423        449124.3       13309.573
## 17       20499.529        327445.1       18174.486
## 18       29417.959        245902.0       26030.056
## 19       11867.826        667955.0       11641.471
## 20       10563.701        640428.1       10360.920
## 21       18897.932        547530.6       18187.217
## 22        9780.618        519973.1        9583.128
## 23       17498.872        360223.6       16170.677
## 24       37466.857        380902.3       31851.962
## 25       18688.141        441937.6       17829.324
## 26       27545.879        398135.8       25595.611
## 27       11084.867        269642.0       10620.691
## 28       25975.731        403520.7       24248.627
## 29       58030.832        450629.4       47808.663
## 30       37683.825        275426.9       32914.598
## 31       17999.423        458334.8       17204.072
## 32       30243.183        442730.3       28040.187
## 33       37390.343        448072.7       33663.230
## 34       42143.711        388412.0       35824.108
## 35       44915.144        149255.2       34306.963
## 36       19168.672        458150.0       18198.615
## 37       21034.328        549214.9       19739.228
## 38        9297.765        391523.1        9029.587
      k. f = 5%
res_srs2_0.05
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1689954 1561587 1679536  54161130058 906489639860  50612054788
## 2   10 2262248 2194145 2242839  69037859810 908347485142  59765913038
## 3   11 1466591 1184764 1433703  81668038894 909706052759  70227009431
## 4   12 1475626 1559219 1475875  36875964849 906201141767  34785124561
## 5   13 1728517 1573883 1706387  79236936873 907103422796  68065488246
## 6   14 2537704 2512514 2529341  96299744667 907415531678  81037592219
## 7   15 4972709 4447414 4832644 314347414603 917485125327 227519133707
## 8   16 2603920 2496399 2586323 102313130122 905983423548  84202095901
## 9   17 2002336 2625928 2038154  62307385676 919577374570  57419216722
## 10  18 1662758 2008471 1667246  66039941924 912584139117  55699348281
## 11  19 1846213 2422345 1872108  47472997567 917289654110  44303495148
## 12   2 1611181 1439140 1597941  59415000309 906551881100  54040659455
## 13  20 2013002 1471376 1929117 158483086541 915924666203 118238546298
## 14  21 1504165 2038048 1525273  45837811986 916662587012  42253257533
## 15  22 2002917 1956340 2000933  55154669240 906801248376  51214730065
## 16  23 2171146 2038845 2157363  84628418086 907209840710  75319697027
## 17  24 2614110 2732555 2621881  75657111300 906218764232  69108536313
## 18  25 3675756 3528222 3637941 175245341149 909449282973 141045820176
## 19  26 2027979 1440157 1995878  52382481728 917715730937  49173256217
## 20  27 1773396 1425734 1747195  63192659497 909381135148  54167712164
## 21  28 1526060 1633589 1529356  48828061548 906233340696  45694908909
## 22  29 2064882 2031794 2062603 104101616758 904971836291  87042999506
## 23   3 1712373 2614032 1756120  54965744709 935526099004  51174409768
## 24   4 2194359 2367071 2204011  83907733873 907673950566  74255823893
## 25   5 1899548 2041010 1900636  48376792850 907154754846  44631901760
## 26   6 2540189 2248293 2478041 183830795223 909916172176 145102998756
## 27   7 2692749 3484359 2739490  69795583334 931515741158  64204757342
## 28  71 2112157 2249589 2121341 127303110667 908061704298 108119854978
## 29  72 1812140 2025294 1810293 163828834559 910722348478 124993525788
## 30  73 3712705 3482201 3602598 342032504866 915246307722 223267110045
## 31  74 2205365 1964011 2182727  73338797240 908566163845  66720390259
## 32  75 1839128 2046578 1844036 107026189583 910700067211  91629939014
## 33  76 2241635 2109657 2162380 284424553186 910565668549 170428498117
## 34  77 2353137 2411296 2302591 308542918511 912236518708 197638117418
## 35  78 6732398 6244872 6533723 650643074972 914956183069 373880702048
## 36  79 2030549 1981188 1998326 101250951881 909104191020  82135662489
## 37   8 2071724 1589206 2014431  97457408002 914666182586  82400070819
## 38   9 2208088 2410286 2214981  43781304822 908120064562  41300970466
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         31281.67        581232.5        29490.58
## 2         27785.05        413066.9        24745.40
## 3         49060.21        784094.0        44439.83
## 4         23709.29        585072.2        22460.61
## 5         40911.02        580212.8        36409.25
## 6         36555.64        361569.7        31096.00
## 7         61890.47        205722.2        46495.51
## 8         36812.91        366853.9        31138.71
## 9         30001.83        351382.8        27201.67
## 10        32988.39        461950.0        28414.27
## 11        24822.79        378975.4        22868.41
## 12        35703.45        641381.8        32975.01
## 13        74234.11        639067.7        59845.80
## 14        28209.51        451363.2        25724.78
## 15        27333.96        471558.3        25434.92
## 16        37501.62        456900.6        33765.24
## 17        28967.38        330863.5        26361.04
## 18        45404.76        256349.8        37269.15
## 19        25646.70        649754.8        24490.15
## 20        33144.50        645200.3        29564.43
## 21        30627.32        558507.5        28673.10
## 22        47945.10        447349.8        40392.52
## 23        30533.43        356398.1        27826.22
## 24        36667.36        384671.4        32463.44
## 25        24230.56        445992.4        22470.15
## 26        70847.24        409510.6        57949.79
## 27        25430.18        266203.2        23043.93
## 28        58830.40        403699.6        49946.53
## 29        82181.02        450471.1        64583.74
## 30        83872.21        262106.4        59070.57
## 31        32236.18        463424.5        29771.25
## 32        53948.83        445478.3        46871.81
## 33       108808.29        436499.1        72046.78
## 34       115513.74        378418.8        79079.29
## 35        94919.96        145316.4        56451.71
## 36        42558.21        459818.4        36485.73
## 37        45009.53        576185.8        39932.05
## 38        19239.55        376456.8        18128.11
  2. Metode One stage cluster 
      a. f = 100%
res_1sc2_1
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com MSE dir      MSE syn MSE com
## 1    1 1637409 1593637 1637409       0 955703889270       0
## 2   10 2452226 2411973 2452226       0 955693693914       0
## 3   11 1432925 1146047 1432925       0 958475729411       0
## 4   12 1628141 1604098 1628141       0 955657754859       0
## 5   13 1660654 1539506 1660654       0 956143923359       0
## 6   14 2677707 2613785 2677707       0 955778716546       0
## 7   15 5059790 4628255 5059790       0 962059273603       0
## 8   16 2702258 2538366 2702258       0 956564054318       0
## 9   17 2063216 2755581 2063216       0 972167779798       0
## 10  18 1802921 2055582 1802921       0 957839116898       0
## 11  19 1893080 2458794 1893080       0 966673452782       0
## 12   2 1631372 1434795 1631372       0 956970329890       0
## 13  20 1933963 1528077 1933963       0 961318643432       0
## 14  21 1543883 2075747 1543883       0 965392305402       0
## 15  22 2024290 1912770 2024290       0 956066666522       0
## 16  23 2145480 1996068 2145480       0 956407607501       0
## 17  24 2721467 2809820 2721467       0 955907001210       0
## 18  25 3923463 3735418 3923463       0 956857168758       0
## 19  26 2049321 1442285 2049321       0 968344465890       0
## 20  27 1850200 1431308 1850200       0 961688550294       0
## 21  28 1632444 1718061 1632444       0 955890588991       0
## 22  29 1945828 1910735 1945828       0 955680287983       0
## 23   3 1794553 2646763 1794553       0 980681363141       0
## 24   4 2297582 2461884 2297582       0 956568683966       0
## 25   5 2083579 2122123 2083579       0 955689051423       0
## 26   6 2526531 2357735 2526531       0 956620312116       0
## 27   7 2716794 3573111 2716794       0 980923248393       0
## 28  71 2297609 2288027 2297609       0 955640987735       0
## 29  72 1872873 2049375 1872873       0 956712061744       0
## 30  73 3484448 3408041 3484448       0 955839136750       0
## 31  74 2197198 2010784 2197198       0 956836105612       0
## 32  75 1867766 2087481 1867766       0 957302461609       0
## 33  76 2088732 2024320 2088732       0 955780884996       0
## 34  77 2275392 2420130 2275392       0 956360202086       0
## 35  78 7020112 6437879 7020112       0 967327314729       0
## 36  79 2178314 2013176 2178314       0 956578186333       0
## 37   8 2025630 1700059 2025630       0 959292868838       0
## 38   9 2279804 2477361 2279804       0 956983634820       0
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1                0        599699.8               0
## 2                0        396229.0               0
## 3                0        836332.2               0
## 4                0        595760.3               0
## 5                0        621072.0               0
## 6                0        365668.4               0
## 7                0        207866.5               0
## 8                0        376842.5               0
## 9                0        352799.5               0
## 10               0        465969.9               0
## 11               0        393149.4               0
## 12               0        666973.7               0
## 13               0        629103.6               0
## 14               0        465081.8               0
## 15               0        499833.5               0
## 16               0        479145.8               0
## 17               0        340202.2               0
## 18               0        256158.0               0
## 19               0        671396.2               0
## 20               0        671895.1               0
## 21               0        556377.5               0
## 22               0        500163.7               0
## 23               0        370521.0               0
## 24               0        388551.5               0
## 25               0        450345.7               0
## 26               0        405737.1               0
## 27               0        274529.2               0
## 28               0        417670.4               0
## 29               0        466831.2               0
## 30               0        280465.9               0
## 31               0        475852.3               0
## 32               0        458592.1               0
## 33               0        472149.1               0
## 34               0        395169.0               0
## 35               0        150255.6               0
## 36               0        475158.7               0
## 37               0        564270.2               0
## 38               0        386291.6               0
      b. f = 90%
res_1sc2_0.9
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1626100 1593326 1626065   924392208 939716830797   923465120
## 2   10 2448002 2398098 2447953   908438582 939774651553   907555658
## 3   11 1424706 1146626 1424469   799498398 942346660281   798812864
## 4   12 1637350 1599684 1637311   957120793 939729708675   956139732
## 5   13 1637332 1529460 1637265   572142574 940086714419   571784660
## 6   14 2668447 2604188 2668356  1315509195 939841393007  1313664293
## 7   15 5030420 4608106 5026680  8194752932 946025103257  8122517547
## 8   16 2713681 2521658 2713508   851144571 940937760915   850373737
## 9   17 2038131 2733675 2038786   901439893 956351975396   900583417
## 10  18 1793143 2045330 1793300   589257205 941887206181   588887465
## 11  19 1895490 2441432 1895943   788367654 949943641120   787710888
## 12   2 1638243 1433377 1638041   925491658 941120690677   924581368
## 13  20 1900983 1516542 1900524  1128489492 944787923126  1127139443
## 14  21 1544916 2064483 1545327   753057950 948987489818   752454423
## 15  22 2028989 1916100 2028884   861959787 940114368378   861162983
## 16  23 2129060 2009843 2128913  1157811203 940184162578  1156382336
## 17  24 2704771 2802559 2704894  1182362631 940025584895  1180874363
## 18  25 3912519 3716711 3911174  6494037776 941042797124  6449365594
## 19  26 2031091 1434739 2030274  1296820356 951958795010  1295028695
## 20  27 1845661 1431535 1845291   841743625 945593496500   840987393
## 21  28 1610149 1699757 1610261  1195182470 939964985507  1193654408
## 22  29 1931092 1897776 1931036  1600573688 939691178288  1597809847
## 23   3 1802738 2634825 1804066  1539208514 963550755725  1536745591
## 24   4 2290792 2444123 2291029  1469580329 940496622184  1467278379
## 25   5 2075232 2106243 2075267  1069567990 939712743452  1068347311
## 26   6 2504056 2336633 2503742  1740609864 940649900467  1737355686
## 27   7 2716235 3558665 2717194  1100078487 964192194802  1098820450
## 28  71 2300971 2269174 2300891  2222406219 939768627448  2217140291
## 29  72 1869952 2031628 1870305  2108607651 940589990698  2103805750
## 30  73 3498212 3384986 3497681  4311231287 940175666758  4291430715
## 31  74 2163641 1992911 2163503   757328589 940677723227   756716644
## 32  75 1831972 2069271 1832389  1725741708 941678553819  1722427759
## 33  76 2074968 2019434 2074885  1409092238 939775114077  1406966238
## 34  77 2233088 2394271 2233603  3074742380 940661265358  3064656092
## 35  78 6930308 6376400 6919792 18274269741 950349067036 17925814886
## 36  79 2139856 1995891 2139714   922966767 940396135935   922046751
## 37   8 2025337 1692663 2025037   849222865 943497587369   848456517
## 38   9 2270498 2466007 2270802  1469228827 941008497699  1466935063
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         567.1724        589731.1        566.6176
## 2         371.0121        391968.3        370.6591
## 3         560.2244        822243.7        559.8393
## 4         584.2020        587663.4        583.6177
## 5         348.4665        614875.5        348.2636
## 6         492.8916        360901.9        492.2174
## 7        1624.4085        205281.3       1611.3643
## 8         313.7213        373159.6        313.4571
## 9         441.9883        349830.2        441.4262
## 10        328.3628        460591.7        328.1284
## 11        415.8698        389042.6        415.4238
## 12        564.9898        656500.1        564.5037
## 13        593.5068        623125.9        592.9404
## 14        486.9819        459613.7        486.4618
## 15        424.4262        490796.7        424.0563
## 16        543.7073        468038.1        543.0738
## 17        437.1046        335490.4        436.5346
## 18       1659.3661        253204.1       1648.5221
## 19        637.4614        663494.9        636.8418
## 20        455.5582        660659.7        455.2415
## 21        741.9831        553056.4        740.9843
## 22        827.6172        495479.8        826.2147
## 23        853.6229        365661.8        851.6298
## 24        641.1675        384761.4        640.0980
## 25        515.3199        446095.2        514.7232
## 26        694.5608        402586.5        693.3517
## 27        405.0317        270893.1        404.4255
## 28        965.5100        414148.6        963.2576
## 29       1125.6734        463022.0       1122.9031
## 30       1231.4978        277745.0       1226.0355
## 31        349.9926        472060.5        349.7321
## 32        936.8869        455110.1        934.8777
## 33        678.6767        465524.6        677.6810
## 34       1376.0892        392891.7       1371.2645
## 35       2630.9908        149005.3       2584.8892
## 36        431.0433        471222.7        430.6428
## 37        419.1941        557435.2        418.8781
## 38        647.1300        381560.8        646.0331
      c. f = 80%
res_1sc2_0.8
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1627993 1588346 1627906  2126789358 942534307955  2121870821
## 2   10 2428995 2391760 2428913  2016091015 942530952250  2011744637
## 3   11 1422647 1154451 1422107  1872746934 945010688372  1868845884
## 4   12 1625651 1597700 1625588  2206301065 942576478126  2201110143
## 5   13 1670192 1520147 1669957  1493470414 943267378750  1491091731
## 6   14 2655763 2613882 2655617  2872645179 942641036345  2863822137
## 7   15 5085074 4629658 5075481 20033922938 950008740728 19612206751
## 8   16 2695332 2536733 2695011  1899523657 943352334733  1895664041
## 9   17 2065796 2741028 2067289  2114003708 958181814945  2109309388
## 10  18 1794642 2043957 1794998  1349941593 944666449379  1347982582
## 11  19 1871190 2447474 1872188  1659636717 953976942555  1656714503
## 12   2 1615755 1433241 1615378  1947663859 943621068467  1943598495
## 13  20 1956862 1522288 1955631  2691922668 949043837847  2684281868
## 14  21 1528581 2064216 1529499  1650839041 952441350356  1647915562
## 15  22 2024594 1900999 2024336  1963956045 943002531342  1959794772
## 16  23 2131162 2007168 2130811  2663306433 943093682018  2655770819
## 17  24 2732282 2818667 2732517  2651504774 942852405475  2643992307
## 18  25 3905664 3734366 3902797 14425030326 943835140741 14199093104
## 19  26 2025035 1432718 2023154  3018246749 954652372043  3008601886
## 20  27 1850990 1420120 1850110  1928479801 948896768861  1924509758
## 21  28 1604647 1687713 1604876  2688350052 942787682691  2680528985
## 22  29 1944578 1911747 1944460  3516612029 942484282031  3502949144
## 23   3 1776369 2612579 1779336  3438699098 966633984613  3426311764
## 24   4 2319681 2451618 2320115  3289134653 943167412343  3277463166
## 25   5 2078077 2107526 2078133  2181635633 942538699692  2176430575
## 26   6 2459153 2332935 2458660  3478405262 943053516705  3464779178
## 27   7 2730679 3573193 2732867  2519507723 967085496045  2512830236
## 28  71 2288167 2269589 2288072  4530074063 942476461556  4508017504
## 29  72 1867150 2027863 1867962  4946672590 943463206692  4920091803
## 30  73 3414667 3357178 3414106  9048735647 942714507979  8962271504
## 31  74 2162994 1991416 2162676  1750602756 943509249076  1747353075
## 32  75 1845377 2069851 1846306  4119839275 944313930793  4100656292
## 33  76 2087312 2003749 2087047  3097555104 942749689650  3087328594
## 34  77 2232419 2384128 2233326  6275886172 943502781172  6232129901
## 35  78 6932765 6358874 6910043 38679667162 954075970813 37113250325
## 36  79 2149847 1992709 2149477  2143493615 943356530096  2138511598
## 37   8 2007880 1695065 2007241  1899933110 945879255610  1896042849
## 38   9 2255728 2445038 2256322  3078308722 943759002012  3067523588
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1        1302.2048        593649.8       1299.2688
## 2         829.4320        394183.8        827.6738
## 3        1310.1898        821694.5       1307.9856
## 4        1356.1884        590645.9       1353.0498
## 5         894.1787        621466.5        892.8801
## 6        1080.7612        360557.0       1077.5076
## 7        3928.3262        205034.0       3853.2013
## 8         704.7533        371917.5        703.4058
## 9        1023.4819        349456.2       1020.4673
## 10        751.3295        462356.3        750.0913
## 11        885.5150        389628.1        883.4867
## 12       1204.7818        658492.7       1202.5510
## 13       1375.1229        624098.8       1372.0851
## 14       1077.3331        461222.4       1074.7836
## 15        968.7667        496520.8        966.8422
## 16       1248.6462        470127.4       1245.3225
## 17        969.7668        334614.7        966.9400
## 18       3670.0261        252644.0       3615.6962
## 19       1488.7900        666816.0       1485.4278
## 20       1041.6846        668543.3       1040.0403
## 21       1672.1899        559029.5       1667.1025
## 22       1803.2515        493385.3       1796.3778
## 23       1933.8071        369720.9       1923.6055
## 24       1414.9336        384535.3       1409.6653
## 25       1047.8813        447038.7       1045.3602
## 26       1407.5210        404316.8       1402.3342
## 27        921.8201        270433.4        918.6335
## 28       1977.3871        415253.9       1967.8571
## 29       2640.8934        465386.3       2625.6015
## 30       2649.1661        280626.3       2624.2831
## 31        809.2764        473953.3        807.8937
## 32       2217.8196        456343.7       2206.4131
## 33       1485.0028        470706.8       1480.2795
## 34       2794.1792        395721.2       2773.7143
## 35       5537.8868        149865.1       5332.9781
## 36        995.1669        473571.2        993.0355
## 37        944.4014        558236.4        942.7767
## 38       1362.3552        385947.4       1357.2203
      d. f = 70%
res_1sc2_0.7
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com     MSE dir      MSE syn     MSE com
## 1    1 1614251 1587051 1614130  3453994315 945063806050  3440888180
## 2   10 2410571 2406249 2410556  3316783085 945026304434  3305131358
## 3   11 1425295 1137212 1424337  3080854314 947901043758  3070342798
## 4   12 1655758 1594241 1655504  3900096788 945175267222  3883897102
## 5   13 1661629 1542366 1661316  2412140736 945488458997  2405747643
## 6   14 2640960 2609519 2640792  4574051622 945244601693  4551450071
## 7   15 5049635 4602247 5034664 31618434112 952520268407 30561388262
## 8   16 2701276 2523553 2700658  3253969432 946182848293  3242671773
## 9   17 2030188 2746543 2032634  3392614965 962899591231  3379660220
## 10  18 1791248 2042551 1791858  2338288909 947197706069  2332430665
## 11  19 1878392 2446224 1880119  2950053593 956152286144  2940755191
## 12   2 1597897 1426139 1597319  3132301135 946035153879  3121816316
## 13  20 1919890 1526320 1918076  4327799489 950353653956  4307554118
## 14  21 1547598 2061611 1549190  2996255672 954142437634  2986654994
## 15  22 2046263 1901136 2045737  3356768625 945776061006  3344669003
## 16  23 2134333 1971142 2133567  4378960401 946043935049  4358339330
## 17  24 2713429 2815540 2713888  4396617544 945410284884  4376012402
## 18  25 3926621 3741164 3921182 27014486662 946396878575 26249115017
## 19  26 2033297 1433054 2029970  5314122478 957525854500  5284409974
## 20  27 1832217 1418752 1830832  3139992287 950931806113  3129411181
## 21  28 1645563 1721302 1645945  4849722863 945281773482  4824884665
## 22  29 1913229 1880721 1913026  5669924006 944996919483  5632400009
## 23   3 1812928 2633442 1818347  6438673890 968230196823  6395458160
## 24   4 2262458 2451612 2263382  5182115222 946534000373  5151802893
## 25   5 2063758 2111332 2063964  4115276001 945076473491  4097308047
## 26   6 2527732 2349177 2526396  6884984857 946122911650  6833463563
## 27   7 2701387 3543142 2705073  4252102844 969525371160  4233086970
## 28  71 2352184 2274434 2351377  9344535104 945267756016  9251616022
## 29  72 1866726 2037266 1868181  8878460795 946143771252  8791338413
## 30  73 3428748 3373108 3427797 15526196192 945213058303 15272215699
## 31  74 2176271 2000731 2175742  2841054955 946097872207  2832463657
## 32  75 1845094 2076976 1846468  6586926733 947166569515  6534584077
## 33  76 1990993 1996763 1990975  4726674481 945106529026  4702238973
## 34  77 2293196 2408365 2294518 12228486463 945736430581 12068397348
## 35  78 6962974 6386352 6922989 71254496234 956637640439 66171752159
## 36  79 2162129 2001497 2161475  3758923204 945885248678  3743520268
## 37   8 2049184 1697718 2047956  3255648211 949381115807  3244356928
## 38   9 2252879 2441627 2253981  5727927336 946269417640  5691074749
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         2129.735        595603.7        2121.877
## 2         1375.188        392880.3        1370.368
## 3         2144.131        834572.5        2138.383
## 4         2355.036        593579.4        2345.622
## 5         1447.894        613422.7        1444.353
## 6         1730.334        362441.5        1721.907
## 7         6227.555        206957.2        6039.278
## 8         1203.597        374986.8        1199.701
## 9         1655.732        350583.9        1647.377
## 10        1303.014        464040.2        1299.314
## 11        1564.827        390795.9        1558.464
## 12        1956.311        663757.7        1950.501
## 13        2247.394        623213.3        2239.090
## 14        1929.924        462769.8        1921.750
## 15        1637.753        498020.8        1632.293
## 16        2049.892        480794.9        2041.003
## 17        1618.182        335961.5        1610.343
## 18        6870.819        253005.6        6686.126
## 19        2614.017        668386.1        2603.703
## 20        1709.206        670945.2        1704.781
## 21        2947.233        549291.9        2931.451
## 22        2919.897        504426.8        2901.090
## 23        3549.685        367655.4        3515.285
## 24        2273.340        386049.2        2259.184
## 25        1993.695        447602.6        1984.789
## 26        2718.025        403012.1        2699.224
## 27        1575.785        273555.7        1566.544
## 28        3965.551        415559.7        3927.603
## 29        4717.322        464409.6        4667.531
## 30        4525.952        280120.2        4453.217
## 31        1304.971        472875.5        1301.346
## 32        3514.906        456021.1        3484.623
## 33        2364.505        473511.9        2352.402
## 34        5324.152        392637.5        5251.717
## 35       10200.795        149720.0        9531.098
## 36        1737.674        472593.2        1731.109
## 37        1585.877        559269.9        1581.352
## 38        2534.588        387541.7        2517.019
      e. f = 60%
res_1sc2_0.6
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1578803 1576951 1578741   4882180633 940074894060   4853750029
## 2   10 2431184 2386664 2430895   5432136392 940130837708   5400100609
## 3   11 1377819 1123449 1376591   4329361062 942320083852   4306742831
## 4   12 1622486 1572605 1622168   5670832834 940203840970   5636356233
## 5   13 1665443 1531519 1664986   3452265296 940740551806   3438579993
## 6   14 2615295 2569326 2614846   7423862205 940256996062   7363539412
## 7   15 4987527 4549911 4964793  49924068243 946922839253  47273522857
## 8   16 2690828 2511410 2689809   5276973046 941111927510   5247081717
## 9   17 2086119 2733935 2089433   4988195174 954548404791   4960578884
## 10  18 1799780 2036783 1800636   3473859730 942033827979   3460739055
## 11  19 1862110 2435088 1864844   4609167858 951394116660   4586345510
## 12   2 1634036 1434953 1632893   5183927421 941513392591   5154472128
## 13  20 1886562 1515109 1883969   6543345710 944987048374   6497921374
## 14  21 1540525 2060446 1543117   4834414536 949489171882   4808287785
## 15  22 1983172 1898480 1982746   4827761595 940314831915   4802388610
## 16  23 2127399 1951295 2126020   7187415487 941182679644   7131546149
## 17  24 2703135 2765260 2703531   6334410411 940246712544   6290352670
## 18  25 3797271 3669162 3791941  34828958528 941011079104  33459808376
## 19  26 2046316 1444729 2040941   8440461092 952648109305   8363360588
## 20  27 1804110 1412980 1802105   4689216837 945367382200   4664668332
## 21  28 1675955 1714695 1676181   7608873156 940298640365   7546075054
## 22  29 1928818 1892966 1928438   9648806211 940004485597   9536057339
## 23   3 1820402 2612762 1827463   8860197128 961854342754   8771326743
## 24   4 2313379 2442854 2314492   8442302386 940687059054   8364553587
## 25   5 2065162 2109976 2065402   5950170767 940191232410   5911482376
## 26   6 2453609 2345921 2452604   8425948302 940417521628   8346126019
## 27   7 2697924 3530160 2704076   7129471382 963955432066   7075547445
## 28  71 2272521 2258876 2272183  14164331536 940164657449  13945420730
## 29  72 1848310 2023655 1850504  13621141497 941417620635  13407998331
## 30  73 3439886 3375492 3437552  27657948414 940407117783  26832882530
## 31  74 2176606 1985441 2175578   4738664960 941522710087   4713801016
## 32  75 1817624 2059976 1820173  10316986026 942183368324  10188676758
## 33  76 2038359 1986715 2037875   7833637290 940190759904   7767001836
## 34  77 2264002 2402107 2266253  18244026357 941041654832  17873558271
## 35  78 6969958 6400747 6908436 115712582470 951318990927 102765662094
## 36  79 2155027 1987591 2153997   5380791534 941027196779   5347896916
## 37   8 2028573 1683693 2026678   5169415187 944201884373   5140571542
## 38   9 2270868 2483220 2272707   8620955494 941602490258   8532072358
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         3054.286        596874.6        3036.879
## 2         2228.919        394078.2        2216.104
## 3         3097.004        844905.3        3084.117
## 4         3487.182        599035.2        3466.756
## 5         2060.861        617019.0        2053.302
## 6         2826.340        366083.6        2804.041
## 7         9938.961        208008.8        9461.040
## 8         1960.733        374703.4        1950.381
## 9         2377.106        349012.2        2360.151
## 10        1927.161        462458.7        1918.975
## 11        2466.934        390551.5        2451.138
## 12        3154.647        657227.8        3139.115
## 13        3468.518        624234.1        3449.199
## 14        3122.543        460736.6        3100.409
## 15        2436.271        496049.3        2423.993
## 16        3372.098        483136.5        3348.176
## 17        2333.677        340520.7        2317.186
## 18        9070.776        256558.1        8730.829
## 19        4113.522        659950.9        4087.111
## 20        2584.067        670095.5        2573.622
## 21        4531.240        549070.8        4493.422
## 22        4922.240        498518.1        4866.617
## 23        4817.302        368040.1        4750.135
## 24        3648.362        384937.6        3612.990
## 25        2876.730        445528.0        2857.726
## 26        3422.934        400733.7        3392.138
## 27        2645.019        273009.2        2618.847
## 28        6214.500        416162.7        6119.836
## 29        7290.414        465274.5        7168.832
## 30        8022.527        278534.9        7789.763
## 31        2168.894        474312.6        2158.617
## 32        5642.763        457445.2        5564.333
## 33        3821.986        473701.6        3790.661
## 34        7975.344        391767.4        7807.335
## 35       16513.133        148467.3       14806.154
## 36        2480.275        473539.5        2466.506
## 37        2547.428        561382.1        2535.630
## 38        3766.363        379351.8        3724.514
      f. f = 50%
res_1sc2_0.5
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1627741 1588367 1627322   8045010236 1.011516e+12   7973034263
## 2   10 2477529 2453043 2477300   7899322465 1.011446e+12   7835494359
## 3   11 1431624 1140220 1429244   8082848644 1.014418e+12   8015760303
## 4   12 1609380 1589063 1609039   8421561198 1.011590e+12   8346966126
## 5   13 1692325 1548627 1691478   5737486942 1.012232e+12   5702010775
## 6   14 2648819 2622499 2648495  11439794884 1.011452e+12  11310944806
## 7   15 5032898 4649268 5003278  80151928580 1.017268e+12  74047811661
## 8   16 2657185 2528614 2656289   7122229213 1.011974e+12   7071064699
## 9   17 2088839 2764877 2094377   8564430153 1.027340e+12   8486673784
## 10  18 1772566 2032682 1773748   4632434558 1.013730e+12   4610970012
## 11  19 1857221 2459087 1861188   6740624723 1.023916e+12   6693633834
## 12   2 1637140 1433125 1635497   8073273634 1.012850e+12   8006567644
## 13  20 1915055 1504373 1910970  10202323274 1.017172e+12  10096033964
## 14  21 1551385 2078005 1555062   7244547558 1.021011e+12   7190747472
## 15  22 1986974 1880369 1986162   7660827412 1.011710e+12   7601291105
## 16  23 2129016 1950476 2127216  10457202775 1.012823e+12  10347460211
## 17  24 2764976 2808541 2765400  11156707936 1.011806e+12  11032500407
## 18  25 3935527 3748284 3921676  61515514571 1.013865e+12  57608988331
## 19  26 1986543 1438297 1979411  13006013201 1.021940e+12  12833544677
## 20  27 1834229 1413667 1831185   7241929164 1.017466e+12   7188681547
## 21  28 1633153 1724038 1633792   9948531044 1.011979e+12   9840285579
## 22  29 1874141 1835943 1873755  11856065686 1.011282e+12  11681284751
## 23   3 1777057 2637017 1789155  14828337217 1.036909e+12  14611320613
## 24   4 2363589 2468497 2364704  14329154816 1.012451e+12  14118861458
## 25   5 2096708 2135709 2097005  10611417051 1.011415e+12  10492794770
## 26   6 2538880 2355740 2535937  15071786853 1.012682e+12  14829214369
## 27   7 2781352 3635751 2789857  10619318363 1.036983e+12  10505082046
## 28  71 2334633 2273402 2333044  19778579807 1.011704e+12  19359337036
## 29  72 1770343 2027983 1773644  14873893555 1.013882e+12  14622952003
## 30  73 3440449 3409541 3438484  33166750571 1.012533e+12  32057435772
## 31  74 2220845 1992798 2219237   7159866191 1.013167e+12   7107064967
## 32  75 1856712 2068889 1859308  15267458644 1.013186e+12  14984237086
## 33  76 2085460 1972872 2083930  12590330343 1.011968e+12  12428117832
## 34  77 2226147 2414420 2230053  25920505558 1.012961e+12  25178793548
## 35  78 7199438 6579245 7106432 181349648729 1.025098e+12 152837013189
## 36  79 2197160 1991834 2195148   9327957036 1.013247e+12   9240185831
## 37   8 2039375 1714434 2036721   8139231154 1.015110e+12   8071939660
## 38   9 2344872 2547689 2347998  16789319769 1.012837e+12  16498919673
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         4887.563        639103.1        4845.944
## 2         3178.664        412127.9        3153.353
## 3         5596.088        890993.3        5559.645
## 4         5160.127        636630.4        5116.425
## 5         3344.120        653246.0        3325.436
## 6         4316.202        385145.3        4268.080
## 7        15834.812        218551.3       14724.832
## 8         2683.463        400468.9        2665.065
## 9         4076.213        371521.9        4028.214
## 10        2607.880        498921.8        2594.072
## 11        3619.594        416401.9        3586.501
## 12        4917.502        708681.5        4881.981
## 13        5332.456        678932.5        5288.622
## 14        4649.486        491299.7        4604.084
## 15        3845.462        538140.0        3817.233
## 16        4923.091        519914.0        4875.307
## 17        4030.868        360789.1        3985.462
## 18       15338.950        270567.9       14437.749
## 19        6521.595        711662.5        6459.801
## 20        3934.922        719225.7        3912.814
## 21        6018.876        587385.0        5951.983
## 22        6149.357        553497.4        6061.915
## 23        8311.707        392472.2        8134.246
## 24        6006.806        410243.1        5916.833
## 25        5044.007        473402.6        4987.242
## 26        5869.113        429687.8        5782.879
## 27        3804.556        284654.6        3751.914
## 28        8392.104        445514.4        8222.852
## 29        8301.230        500709.3        8146.531
## 30        9526.073        296430.5        9216.570
## 31        3219.214        509456.2        3197.897
## 32        8053.536        490700.7        7895.803
## 33        6002.298        512928.9        5929.863
## 34       11542.265        419686.9       11196.387
## 35       24972.660        155461.8       21355.768
## 36        4232.826        509611.8        4197.207
## 37        3980.187        593546.5        3952.651
## 38        7072.809        397143.7        6941.283
      g. f = 40%
res_1sc2_0.4
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1600567 1578556 1599952  11070046118 855322724740  10898749419
## 2   10 2525642 2444933 2524436  12973137626 855490654279  12773849438
## 3   11 1452693 1177903 1448823  11962506431 857505796155  11775404934
## 4   12 1609666 1628899 1609717  12096440126 855009675529  11916632164
## 5   13 1601385 1499866 1600347   6222135086 855589958288   6164254914
## 6   14 2647384 2603587 2646359  17982491746 855280611062  17601466042
## 7   15 5042029 4552778 4982952 104633286814 865259852265  92124749200
## 8   16 2744896 2537079 2741999  12368532530 856583460921  12182427579
## 9   17 2021197 2734658 2030152  11136419425 872601847069  10981987058
## 10  18 1769857 2067301 1772304   7264794074 858299200076   7201107425
## 11  19 1828457 2406184 1834555   9485144999 866613595078   9375118353
## 12   2 1646913 1416051 1643438  13093749141 856695361221  12894685769
## 13  20 1970892 1551745 1961344  19319169702 861446887150  18879889633
## 14  21 1536421 2033919 1542282  10443795238 863574659110  10309945859
## 15  22 2052386 1938964 2050383  12666304146 855770946349  12459258083
## 16  23 2137207 2047166 2135714  13971516592 855643933564  13740361160
## 17  24 2753582 2846465 2755220  17095228097 855454067255  16733078659
## 18  25 3868828 3720815 3849996  98177788153 856659469625  87175324703
## 19  26 2009330 1437871 1997655  16991839615 866678971655  16611525678
## 20  27 1825706 1431211 1821128   9686556126 860450713089   9562397122
## 21  28 1601912 1696608 1603497  15616682234 855687857690  15328127364
## 22  29 1945705 1914669 1944986  22832842730 854857841509  22137155767
## 23   3 1755864 2546969 1774237  21396852272 876656634840  20863918713
## 24   4 2218285 2430188 2222538  18227030315 856610831876  17781690007
## 25   5 2059702 2076840 2059876  13021406012 855129712112  12802478094
## 26   6 2537834 2330865 2531317  23805431616 856986601654  23035389573
## 27   7 2680242 3478695 2692732  13988315592 877097830213  13750539779
## 28  71 2312159 2253961 2308245  31740561708 855821442720  30426640953
## 29  72 1945917 2022723 1946582  33052776437 856284915017  31646852896
## 30  73 3400506 3235768 3387277  53011188039 857574081979  49519435108
## 31  74 2154131 1994295 2152092   9885144543 856263802656   9765579744
## 32  75 1793502 2067178 1800071  25465931934 857743049082  24455672095
## 33  76 2009235 1996716 2008641  16569657825 855379281508  16213380541
## 34  77 2214529 2337385 2217543  39538629488 856153893099  37561244712
## 35  78 6539689 6047947 6451025 187371010764 863852955902 152234780522
## 36  79 2095617 1993474 2093844  14366369971 855424050774  14115423627
## 37   8 2082536 1717808 2077231  12362995408 859853168957  12176086497
## 38   9 2242792 2437156 2246281  16903413160 856292846565  16446458275
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         6800.626        543089.3        6701.046
## 2         5131.245        350590.7        5054.877
## 3         8159.509        728902.3        8057.620
## 4         7470.462        525294.4        7360.374
## 5         3820.460        570794.5        3789.023
## 6         6783.299        328632.0        6642.525
## 7        20428.547        190028.4       18247.390
## 8         4514.491        337776.3        4451.131
## 9         5478.947        319259.5        5378.146
## 10        4090.589        415940.5        4049.225
## 11        5154.396        359894.9        5077.662
## 12        7959.125        606289.7        7854.888
## 13        9728.830        556569.9        9557.046
## 14        6755.862        424432.5        6643.038
## 15        6093.796        443963.4        6002.432
## 16        6550.655        420415.3        6447.099
## 17        6165.258        301840.3        6032.375
## 18       25104.037        230697.3       22440.401
## 19        8346.932        604217.8        8218.121
## 20        5251.688        601729.3        5199.474
## 21        9744.697        504947.4        9554.743
## 22       11596.003        447806.0       11250.841
## 23       12065.091        344103.7       11642.931
## 24        8162.466        352564.4        7947.690
## 25        6275.237        411826.1        6170.507
## 26        9180.929        368449.6        8913.846
## 27        5204.864        251910.7        5091.171
## 28       13479.374        379489.5       12964.589
## 29       16645.553        423150.7       15951.124
## 30       15162.448        264767.8       14247.141
## 31        4547.343        429316.4        4497.507
## 32       13772.571        414869.7       13178.120
## 33        8147.216        428558.6        7977.968
## 34       17352.443        366008.9       16487.337
## 35       28384.254        142659.6       23441.928
## 36        6844.755        428990.8        6731.573
## 37        5913.209        501669.9        5839.876
## 38        7346.402        351788.0        7137.905
      h. f = 30%
res_1sc2_0.3
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1506829 1523987 1506838  15333816810 9.919644e+11  15032191872
## 2   10 2500593 2426510 2499150  20250823070 9.920703e+11  19830432488
## 3   11 1440820 1117114 1434292  19783636221 9.953591e+11  19349250312
## 4   12 1678739 1570947 1676096  21766954422 9.926517e+11  21250721436
## 5   13 1596205 1494120 1595184   8580223227 9.927323e+11   8485793954
## 6   14 2606450 2582217 2605372  24635466577 9.921613e+11  23996473819
## 7   15 4890990 4598238 4838624 156107528308 9.965951e+11 129885681318
## 8   16 2693426 2496933 2689763  19428093245 9.931894e+11  19035922163
## 9   17 2004531 2724616 2017691  19701469793 1.009987e+12  19253595553
## 10  18 1812366 2017900 1814618  12430550868 9.935045e+11  12250370424
## 11  19 1821767 2400153 1829573  15154172805 1.004479e+12  14881255511
## 12   2 1588394 1380473 1583914  19119870546 9.935473e+11  18718024989
## 13  20 1771579 1474521 1765696  18433337122 9.950463e+11  18062774486
## 14  21 1530598 2033456 1538959  16717437146 1.000629e+12  16411257966
## 15  22 2013887 1852185 2010496  18649310161 9.929661e+11  18221988937
## 16  23 2115314 1947360 2110954  24286414820 9.931420e+11  23672378919
## 17  24 2698602 2729899 2699626  24210716062 9.920105e+11  23602321509
## 18  25 3862671 3658540 3827584 123348532177 9.957800e+11 105745315044
## 19  26 1977937 1403436 1963945  25232891279 1.003156e+12  24584807858
## 20  27 1806140 1391796 1798530  16527809409 9.981914e+11  16181285357
## 21  28 1537521 1670772 1539772  25483189671 9.928411e+11  24683568089
## 22  29 1949100 1903408 1947830  27899330113 9.916163e+11  26791838909
## 23   3 1710325 2580013 1733597  29066319913 1.018510e+12  27977548144
## 24   4 2368420 2423509 2369889  32227210668 9.925225e+11  31119314349
## 25   5 2097618 2098374 2096511  19438175595 9.926336e+11  18992158808
## 26   6 2485733 2345257 2479628  38783966793 9.927919e+11  36872038080
## 27   7 2677317 3596710 2699989  26311012391 1.021676e+12  25554383747
## 28  71 2321684 2220824 2314118  39686446432 9.930712e+11  37619841451
## 29  72 1835648 1978618 1835813  41580345151 9.943712e+11  39146642067
## 30  73 3392158 3342857 3384319  97936990807 9.931563e+11  88576597052
## 31  74 2118639 1944563 2116234  13743914172 9.927408e+11  13534681691
## 32  75 1776354 2017727 1780613  33131248632 9.948910e+11  31387764220
## 33  76 2049293 1949493 2045033  32215020037 9.930789e+11  31031401185
## 34  77 2052232 2341141 2061844  48704566837 9.953258e+11  45486850481
## 35  78 7155690 6468785 6959335 405010641450 1.008504e+12 283985967345
## 36  79 2086591 1945016 2083578  17710354970 9.930436e+11  17364579882
## 37   8 2068800 1666443 2060280  19787120117 9.975761e+11  19353032116
## 38   9 2253346 2536396 2262171  35336023402 9.945471e+11  33583959192
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1        10054.392        651787.1        9860.745
## 2         8094.286        409733.1        7930.766
## 3        13510.489        909265.6       13284.546
## 4        12888.934        635225.8       12607.164
## 5         5300.875        671603.5        5248.155
## 6         9360.752        384146.5        9124.409
## 7        30682.080        216140.8       25998.503
## 8         7247.007        397768.2        7109.638
## 9         9644.367        370069.4        9362.343
## 10        6790.499        492588.1        6684.981
## 11        8137.846        417867.4        7958.451
## 12       11793.701        720826.8       11587.391
## 13       10245.241        677271.3       10079.503
## 14       10916.588        491214.8       10654.488
## 15        9076.744        540455.0        8889.985
## 16       11412.339        512793.7       11150.220
## 17        8955.288        365520.9        8727.596
## 18       30875.873        272138.5       26862.447
## 19       12748.395        716450.8       12513.669
## 20        8979.082        720316.5        8837.487
## 21       15828.039        597893.6       15330.991
## 22       13718.756        524980.5       13206.236
## 23       16453.301        394323.6       15590.282
## 24       13553.534        408655.0       13081.140
## 25        9059.653        472098.9        8867.261
## 26       15253.547        423343.3       14559.476
## 27        9715.499        283212.0        9354.543
## 28       16441.802        447262.2       15685.110
## 29       21486.467        503311.8       20320.805
## 30       28775.975        296531.9       26109.993
## 31        6462.155        511290.5        6371.953
## 32       17537.935        493800.4       16631.815
## 33       15335.361        511637.2       14814.379
## 34       22827.714        425459.6       21294.250
## 35       55643.213        155241.8       40348.056
## 36        8389.166        511388.5        8239.767
## 37        9408.860        599158.9        9248.673
## 38       14906.727        393011.7       14122.992
      i. f = 20%
res_1sc2_0.2
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1442004 1513391 1443792  20037434580 952757730956  19516319505
## 2   10 2411697 2313345 2407755  33603855652 952921537157  32251070066
## 3   11 1418402 1140103 1408604  29584918371 955692665234  28319369022
## 4   12 1664991 1557232 1659324  33563401744 953285585843  32155211111
## 5   13 1558023 1511997 1555459  26074863991 952660634720  24942952486
## 6   14 2598269 2554870 2595188  47805125858 953404956751  45438118656
## 7   15 4900814 4514057 4808034 261502072874 959594535879 196629829413
## 8   16 2775206 2495334 2765224  31299619562 956381499627  30212285487
## 9   17 1954449 2694264 1975085  29304288332 971584187307  28193055109
## 10  18 1679093 1987651 1684401  19425063773 956359508714  18941450871
## 11  19 1841308 2415820 1855381  25874336379 964584661150  25020080381
## 12   2 1605256 1384807 1598013  32704970169 954240228728  31415197183
## 13  20 1883044 1497548 1868451  35801828284 957982445004  34340766740
## 14  21 1573362 2028208 1587575  33900168406 960043480693  32493384205
## 15  22 1865379 1780893 1862821  20787530061 953238045342  20183647543
## 16  23 1999623 1875185 1995041  34707199681 954033833536  33349723119
## 17  24 2639826 2699917 2641844  41941489005 953534462680  39896445426
## 18  25 3770078 3609710 3704218 271357981647 956813439506 192961692336
## 19  26 2047978 1402525 2013253  51966556031 967605845846  48793885013
## 20  27 1778935 1368034 1767031  25648146819 958823134156  24835385668
## 21  28 1532790 1664743 1538032  37950757226 953313967693  36286509536
## 22  29 1873961 1841449 1871831  55416895070 952292030480  49850375893
## 23   3 1800459 2537529 1838266  59716046820 971895824236  55471470571
## 24   4 2368030 2411719 2366544  49140359781 954065172594  46107314688
## 25   5 1984400 2090772 1986997  41934372365 953683661523  39833391940
## 26   6 2472198 2310761 2464685  46626846652 953475566850  44247888139
## 27   7 2682986 3526475 2712184  37490368146 977800112289  35894518565
## 28  71 2255003 2239795 2251720  57411462832 954443410516  52975907837
## 29  72 1773801 2000995 1780851  70294128346 955779947535  63244748150
## 30  73 3536158 3308854 3495972 139092821199 956409504348 118064296089
## 31  74 2177096 1964988 2170720  27531392837 954750372077  26724240383
## 32  75 1769948 2043682 1774086  47788783030 957219316536  43885178753
## 33  76 1899303 1941577 1899832  43880951589 953070322833  41643686494
## 34  77 2202158 2368402 2207879  82230350942 955453864464  72834112452
## 35  78 6881602 6352584 6659310 751897509300 963256150183 393201461725
## 36  79 2121806 1964623 2114602  32697943517 954285107245  31345786693
## 37   8 2053235 1643812 2037361  35549428527 959458017681  34121929486
## 38   9 2142839 2377859 2147681  25527240491 954712980503  24630447506
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         13750.22        632124.2        13372.98
## 2         13849.62        415757.0        13323.62
## 3         20253.12        860222.9        19585.47
## 4         19810.19        620161.6        19077.25
## 5         16188.67        634198.8        15550.97
## 6         18339.38        373082.1        17457.50
## 7         52464.40        211426.3        40421.37
## 8         11350.33        383246.3        10996.63
## 9         14633.32        359890.0        13926.02
## 10        11361.21        482530.5        11049.38
## 11        13772.38        398109.8        13213.72
## 12        20324.55        690997.4        19620.13
## 13        18570.42        646324.7        17983.89
## 14        21122.29        472115.0        20077.30
## 15        10892.77        537957.6        10601.88
## 16        17225.36        512523.9        16594.22
## 17        15582.19        355692.5        14827.46
## 18        67324.19        265936.6        49499.94
## 19        24592.68        692687.4        23600.22
## 20        14230.01        707233.1        13888.47
## 21        24766.59        575986.5        23582.09
## 22        26829.95        523921.4        24348.30
## 23        32740.58        381821.8        29659.56
## 24        20381.93        394465.6        19173.25
## 25        20877.75        455333.8        19802.66
## 26        18656.24        413765.7        17761.33
## 27        13572.58        275777.9        12863.70
## 28        24690.75        426799.9        22855.90
## 29        37486.09        479756.4        33689.57
## 30        38946.90        287741.9        33542.97
## 31        12623.96        488670.0        12293.77
## 32        24100.02        470596.8        22317.61
## 33        22599.15        494075.8        21469.90
## 34        35702.48        403404.8        31670.48
## 35       103460.63        150333.3        57212.76
## 36        15045.21        488237.9        14501.34
## 37        16944.31        587643.8        16415.30
## 38        11631.78        401528.0        11206.13
      j. f = 10%
res_1sc2_0.1
##    kab   Y dir   Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1325309 1426136 1326049  51513018047 863280135401  46725265961
## 2   10 2215090 2269278 2217142  46858163005 862636272790  43796519537
## 3   11 1477067 1148426 1438080  79989789451 868259879282  69489664316
## 4   12 1620136 1517337 1605680  81797937843 863150900951  71104229597
## 5   13 1756410 1599232 1739313  52640696586 865097521909  46782116034
## 6   14 2525812 2620951 2536064 117688271042 863308754637 101200453847
## 7   15 4906774 4426236 4731208 404479489874 876782608863 259941068196
## 8   16 2817233 2515308 2793510  61383034126 866174260071  56223401800
## 9   17 2082434 2700021 2119872  56476582290 875170337392  51791310863
## 10  18 1884866 2004520 1892645  55802121634 863502687497  51473446925
## 11  19 1619435 2350618 1650473  40230099559 881542537082  37161624109
## 12   2 1527161 1355118 1507334  69951236621 863902822482  61514617480
## 13  20 1908373 1544056 1867112  91802393746 866769139742  79465878278
## 14  21 1457433 1943900 1485649  55815494293 870474685616  50458520145
## 15  22 1920019 1881602 1915852  71341096979 863630322908  64375026596
## 16  23 2021599 1876509 2002241  99844747195 864976908029  88457360146
## 17  24 2566643 2896758 2589672  70274844931 867959951327  63269427008
## 18  25 4149964 3703348 3921401 562002676451 876391443001 270355480746
## 19  26 1998055 1393663 1911270 135672741458 877296811836 108540555196
## 20  27 1773533 1309208 1739949  63246445963 870261122173  56602806560
## 21  28 1528516 1670955 1541527  88076752455 862721321914  76305868878
## 22  29 1858866 1853847 1859786 145114673101 861631699926 105920166504
## 23   3 1622056 2420555 1684667  92926681893 885906542503  75857669407
## 24   4 2340948 2379143 2332349 126760358865 866059679415 107304713889
## 25   5 2125371 2030015 2092177 113615767197 867293936250  96105362053
## 26   6 2398749 2353367 2358123 192350656594 863937457717 134868713048
## 27   7 2550333 3394187 2611783  94729314149 891349237424  79557861948
## 28  71 2042299 2124866 2036809 104794417143 863471014821  78865708439
## 29  72 1520735 1892010 1533809 103939639733 869004073102  76617630139
## 30  73 3329556 3051326 3175889 424933142298 878594624625 260121157320
## 31  74 1889586 1866781 1890509  74951739229 862543225020  66105009374
## 32  75 1740334 1946866 1742139  71244840732 865310133340  61243379601
## 33  76 1743167 1791457 1745011  71732407187 863671291839  63856088252
## 34  77 2408354 2236309 2347301 284034113119 867269361819 195388306325
## 35  78 6245444 5837250 6044784 783521492255 875639580050 387751399225
## 36  79 1947500 1860124 1936496  53267793224 864147092469  48773318761
## 37   8 2081985 1610069 2029362  95361707471 869970697177  82553512122
## 38   9 2021688 2147481 2025146  41797762760 863479884755  39289250688
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1         36889.84        627537.0        33722.58
## 2         21152.63        387777.6        19789.62
## 3         50194.32        823831.2        45799.95
## 4         48086.50        600242.2        42693.84
## 5         28446.00        553873.5        26051.70
## 6         46601.63        331619.0        39870.88
## 7         78506.76        195800.2        53299.42
## 8         21881.45        344631.8        20247.01
## 9         26531.38        322824.9        23939.85
## 10        29206.17        439540.8        26849.85
## 11        24128.12        372298.4        21797.06
## 12        44521.91        650344.2        39939.50
## 13        46587.97        583030.4        41641.30
## 14        37151.47        446875.2        32855.35
## 15        37411.99        490137.3        33937.73
## 16        48083.78        498409.2        43298.99
## 17        26441.88        307451.2        23659.63
## 18       122133.37        238131.3        65873.11
## 19        64474.77        644446.1        54655.45
## 20        34798.90        706313.5        31951.35
## 21        56259.41        525558.4        48449.68
## 22        72536.05        478527.4        53880.07
## 23        52092.93        366270.8        41509.82
## 24        53809.50        362336.8        45875.90
## 25        50717.04        425626.8        44181.81
## 26        71834.58        368483.6        52968.55
## 27        35394.65        258305.4        29124.11
## 28        47778.70        406004.6        36723.33
## 29        58613.18        461862.0        44571.79
## 30       124894.23        282925.2        80511.80
## 31        39892.31        465718.6        34912.15
## 32        37565.70        446778.9        32554.61
## 33        41134.33        492996.5        36641.24
## 34       112807.00        384316.4        81029.65
## 35       123292.65        146224.3        62395.76
## 36        26190.38        468274.8        24236.57
## 37        45006.52        555652.1        40339.62
## 38        20279.44        399567.5        19068.31
      k. f = 5%
res_1sc2_0.05
##    kab   Y dir     Y syn   Y com      MSE dir      MSE syn      MSE com
## 1    1 1270926 1362216.5 1262372 1.526720e+11 1.150364e+12 117031185793
## 2   10 2466523 2476544.1 2448072 2.129773e+11 1.150259e+12 164305264343
## 3   11 1085620  949134.8 1079184 7.678419e+10 1.151647e+12  68738741154
## 4   12 1858476 1452461.2 1771257 2.163492e+11 1.157693e+12 164322681602
## 5   13 1643654 1129846.3 1613997 6.572677e+10 1.157997e+12  61397544597
## 6   14 2280376 2597234.6 2323358 2.190924e+11 1.154021e+12 164081437798
## 7   15 5160348 4772675.3 4896619 2.075547e+12 1.164852e+12 573746384550
## 8   16 2602419 2357708.8 2557489 1.229644e+11 1.150794e+12  99204120356
## 9   17 1967308 2636037.9 1987034 2.496139e+11 1.172399e+12 154009151991
## 10  18 1867560 1858833.3 1868736 6.633483e+10 1.150063e+12  60523444037
## 11  19 1495219 2175756.1 1527097 1.099827e+11 1.165912e+12  87692085178
## 12   2 1373280 1176436.6 1343141 1.230824e+11 1.150335e+12 103420136749
## 13  20 1595656 1327444.7 1543009 1.976240e+11 1.153499e+12 142114290681
## 14  21 1391397 1836954.1 1416692 7.460091e+10 1.156030e+12  68981343119
## 15  22 1694501 1573900.8 1678369 1.033828e+11 1.152043e+12  86689774886
## 16  23 2381957 1876176.8 2263066 2.785913e+11 1.160910e+12 196596711920
## 17  24 2521014 2703588.8 2528268 1.266334e+11 1.153304e+12 101490446121
## 18  25 4105979 3789709.4 3973307 1.072644e+12 1.154584e+12 399966382009
## 19  26 1580176 1153815.8 1520018 1.570924e+11 1.154212e+12 126433756067
## 20  27 1473655 1193930.2 1449646 7.854684e+10 1.153193e+12  70679580922
## 21  28 1332934 1390523.1 1293821 1.601773e+11 1.161762e+12 115219850850
## 22  29 1810363 1764206.1 1808848 5.839944e+10 1.147523e+12  53748400799
## 23   3 1307660 2285025.2 1380021 1.038164e+11 1.183010e+12  93024799029
## 24   4 2084148 2312651.9 2094972 6.946496e+10 1.153709e+12  62871764023
## 25   5 2234265 1951139.7 2149515 2.872634e+11 1.154384e+12 201002916699
## 26   6 2107042 2199198.4 2102626 2.034006e+11 1.148854e+12 137411891848
## 27   7 2578304 3614044.4 2687622 1.870728e+11 1.190633e+12 143703587476
## 28  71 2460415 1946265.0 2356466 2.876014e+11 1.161130e+12 181876365573
## 29  72 1533557 1661802.9 1479713 2.344046e+11 1.153629e+12 107266558523
## 30  73 2387560 2732207.4 2405754 3.686828e+11 1.158907e+12 209061262438
## 31  74 1594615 1674703.1 1596597 1.014752e+11 1.148895e+12  87315223952
## 32  75 1415644 1747170.9 1422349 1.252309e+11 1.153599e+12  94592457985
## 33  76 1728137 1541669.2 1690002 1.639415e+11 1.152817e+12 125571004694
## 34  77 1967613 1878571.1 1859800 6.725700e+11 1.161198e+12 252584957879
## 35  78 6880871 6073255.3 6228020 5.378924e+12 1.179959e+12 857447604555
## 36  79 1385100 1649019.9 1391488 4.163852e+10 1.151898e+12  37467741133
## 37   8 2089000 1614938.9 2010197 1.345691e+11 1.160017e+12 105509872732
## 38   9 2020317 2296789.8 2036355 1.581675e+11 1.153707e+12 126553384783
##    Relatif MSE dir Relatif MSE syn Relatif MSE com
## 1        101191.58        858746.0        81139.29
## 2         81704.35        477496.6        64594.82
## 3         69048.95       1363194.2        62346.74
## 4        105528.21        847821.9        87629.90
## 5         38806.69       1029529.8        37156.35
## 6         93549.39        449040.5        68091.69
## 7        355795.79        243234.0       110013.23
## 8         45045.20        491287.4        37891.71
## 9         99486.77        442476.2        65276.70
## 10        35157.12        629197.3        31790.53
## 11        63696.37        530129.3        49212.21
## 12        78082.68        981304.9        68856.73
## 13       115062.59        896953.8        88417.15
## 14        51047.79        623527.1        46213.32
## 15        56629.98        767419.6        49084.16
## 16       111249.96        700925.2        86026.74
## 17        46989.70        437156.1        37890.74
## 18       252111.62        308515.4        97774.72
## 19        96596.45       1020341.2        82995.85
## 20        48212.42        999948.8        44392.54
## 21        98452.97        861789.2        74846.32
## 22        30140.84        667511.1        27952.69
## 23        77495.26        513063.8        64902.99
## 24        32822.25        493938.4        29481.13
## 25       124281.48        586364.9        92508.06
## 26        87597.82        523414.7        62080.16
## 27        64658.59        325483.9        47669.72
## 28       106604.20        600562.3        73658.25
## 29       102948.70        708203.4        60555.15
## 30       134399.69        428837.8        78236.45
## 31        60912.39        699566.5        52196.73
## 32        77973.40        670340.1        59112.95
## 33        80515.71        790611.2        65671.65
## 34       286598.39        629181.7       129469.43
## 35       670026.28        191775.5       129797.74
## 36        28555.49        714141.6        25504.78
## 37        55123.85        733207.6        47653.19
## 38        75694.46        512243.1        61602.78