Welcome
Over the past few years I have created a straightforward way to rank college football teams. Basically, I wanted a way to combine subjective views towards teams with an objective component. I have tinkered with my formula over the seasons and have what I think is a pretty decent way to compare resumes of different teams. This is NOT a sophisticated algorithm, and should not be treated the same way as Sagarin, KenPom, or other computer rankings found in places like the Massey Ranking Composite. The rankings should also not be used to predict future games; my rankings should be considered a snapshot of how a team’s body of work has been up to this point. Even though it is not the most complicated ranking system ever created, I think its simplicity can be a positive thing.
Basic Idea
I will not go into detail here about how these rankings are calculated, but I will describe the basic concept. Like I mentioned above, these rankings combine subjective and objective features. The subjective component drives the whole process. Every team is placed by me into a bin. There are seven general bins, ranging from -3 to 3. A basic idea of what each bin represents is:
- Bin 3: Elite teams, the cream of the crop. Typically the top 6-8 teams in the country. (e.g. Alabama)
- Bin 2: Teams that are “solidly ranked.” Not quite elite, but clearly top 25. (e.g. OK State, Washington)
- Bin 1: Teams that are “borderline ranked.” You certainly can make a case they are a top 25 team, but certainly can make the case they are not. (e.g. Boise State, Virginia Tech)
- Bin 0: Teams that are “solidly unranked.” Decent teams that have a pulse, but are not considered close to being top 25. (e.g. Kansas State, Arizona State)
- Bin -1: Starting to get a little worse here. Slightly above-average non-Power 5 teams and below average Power-5 teams are often found here. (e.g. Arkansas, Colorado State, SMU)
- Bin -2: Bad/average non-Power 5 teams, and REALLY bad Power 5 teams. (e.g. Utah State, UL Lafayette, Kansas)
- Bin -3: Really really bad. There are typically about 10 of these. (e.g. Charlotte, Texas State)
If a team seems to be somewhere in between two of these categories, they can be binned as a “0.5”, “1.5”, etc.
This is the subjective part of the process. I make the final call which bin a team falls into, but I try to inform myself as much as possible of the consensus of a given team. For example, for a team to be “borderline ranked” (bin 1), they need to at least appear in the “Other Receiving Votes” area of the AP and Coaches polls. I try to make the bins representative of the nationwide media consensus of a given team. Still, there is definitely subjectivity involved.
The objective element of the rankings gives and takes away points from a team depending on the bins of that team’s opponents. For example, beating a team from bin 0 at home by a “non-blowout score” (less than 22 points) rewards that team 0.5 points, and so on. This is the part of the process that I have tinkered with over the years. A team of course loses points for losing a game, depending on the opponent, where the game was played, and whether it was a blowout or not.
So the basic idea of the system is that we have an idea as fans which “bin” a team falls into. Once we determine that, we can get an obective idea of how a team’s resume is depending on the bins of that team’s wins and losses. The final “Score” of the ranking is simply a sum of the bin you are in and the amount of points you have gained/lost from wins and losses.
Final Rankings
Here are the last rankings of the season! Always sad to see a season end, although we now have college basketball to follow with March Madness just around the corner. A couple quick notes on the final rankings. Alabama does rise to #1 in my system, so at least I got the champion correct. The rankings actually have Clemson 2nd ahead of a 3rd-place Georgia, which is interesting. My rankings have loved Clemson all season, so it’s not too surprising that they stayed high until the end. A controversial result is that 4-loss Auburn is still ahead of the undefeated UCF team (who finishes 9th), even though UCF actually beat Auburn in their bowl game. Kind of inexplicable, although I guess it shows just how much flimsier UCF’s overall collection of wins is compared to teams from the powerhouse conferences. Obviously the bowl game win was huge, but we shouldn’t throw out the fact that Auburn went 2-2 against playoff teams (including beating the national champion) while UCF had zero top-20 wins outside of the Auburn win. So I get it, UCF should be higher, but if you try to take an objective look at just wins and losses, they finish lower.
The last interesting result is the conference rankings. The Big 10 entered the bowl season 4th in my rankings, but finish 1st after an 8-1 bowl performance. The SEC was 3rd enetring the bowls but finishes 2nd after winning the championship (and having two teams in the championship of course). The Pac 12 falls from 2nd all the way to 5th. My conference rankings value conference depth, not just being top-heavy, so that is why the Big 10 finishes slightly ahead of the top-heavy SEC. Still, the differences between the Power 5 conferences are very minimal.
All that being said, here are the final rankings of the 2017-2018 season!
| 1 |
Alabama |
11.75 |
13-1 |
(8-1) |
5 |
NA |
| 2 |
Clemson |
11.75 |
12-2 |
(8-1) |
1 |
NA |
| 3 |
Georgia |
11.5 |
13-2 |
(8-2) |
3 |
NA |
| 4 |
Oklahoma |
11 |
12-2 |
(9-1) |
2 |
NA |
| 5 |
Ohio State |
9.5 |
12-2 |
(9-1) |
6 |
NA |
| 6 |
Wisconsin |
9 |
13-1 |
(9-1) |
7 |
NA |
| 7 |
Auburn |
8.5 |
10-4 |
(7-2) |
4 |
NA |
| 8 |
Notre Dame |
8.25 |
10-3 |
(0-0) |
9 |
NA |
| 9 |
UCF |
8 |
13-0 |
(9-0) |
11 |
NA |
| 10 |
Penn State |
7.75 |
11-2 |
(7-2) |
12 |
NA |
| 11 |
TCU |
6.25 |
11-3 |
(7-3) |
15 |
NA |
| 12 |
USC |
5.75 |
11-3 |
(9-1) |
10 |
NA |
| 13 |
Miami |
5.25 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
8 |
NA |
| 14 |
Michigan State |
5 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
16 |
NA |
| 15 |
Washington |
4.75 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
14 |
NA |
| 16 |
OK State |
4 |
10-3 |
(6-3) |
18 |
NA |
| 17 |
Stanford |
3.5 |
9-5 |
(7-3) |
13 |
NA |
| 18 |
Northwestern |
2 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
20 |
NA |
| 19 |
Washington St |
1 |
9-4 |
(6-3) |
17 |
NA |
| 20 |
Mississippi St |
0.75 |
9-4 |
(4-4) |
23 |
NA |
| 21 |
Iowa |
0.75 |
8-5 |
(4-5) |
25 |
NA |
| 22 |
LSU |
0.5 |
9-4 |
(6-2) |
22 |
NA |
| T23 |
NC State |
0.5 |
9-4 |
(6-2) |
24 |
NA |
| T23 |
Virginia Tech |
0.5 |
9-4 |
(5-3) |
19 |
NA |
| 25 |
Memphis |
-0.5 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
21 |
NA |
| 26 |
Boise State |
-0.75 |
11-3 |
(8-1) |
27 |
NA |
| 27 |
S Florida |
-1 |
10-2 |
(6-2) |
29 |
NA |
| 28 |
Iowa State |
-1.25 |
8-5 |
(5-4) |
T38 |
NA |
| 29 |
Troy |
-1.5 |
11-2 |
(7-1) |
31 |
NA |
| 30 |
South Carolina |
-1.5 |
9-4 |
(5-3) |
32 |
NA |
| 31 |
Michigan |
-2 |
8-5 |
(5-4) |
28 |
NA |
| 32 |
Fresno St |
-2.75 |
10-4 |
(7-2) |
36 |
NA |
| T33 |
Wake Forest |
-2.75 |
8-5 |
(4-4) |
37 |
NA |
| T33 |
Kansas State |
-2.75 |
8-5 |
(6-4) |
41 |
NA |
| T35 |
San Diego St |
-3.25 |
10-3 |
(6-2) |
26 |
NA |
| T35 |
Army |
-3.25 |
10-3 |
(0-0) |
45 |
NA |
| 37 |
Texas |
-3.25 |
6-6 |
(5-4) |
44 |
NA |
| 38 |
Louisville |
-3.5 |
8-5 |
(4-4) |
30 |
NA |
| 39 |
Arizona St |
-4.25 |
7-6 |
(6-3) |
33 |
NA |
| 40 |
FAU |
-4.5 |
11-3 |
(9-0) |
49 |
NA |
| 41 |
West Virginia |
-4.5 |
7-6 |
(5-4) |
34 |
NA |
| 42 |
Florida State |
-4.75 |
7-6 |
(3-5) |
T42 |
NA |
| T43 |
Texas AM |
-5 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
T38 |
NA |
| T43 |
Utah |
-5 |
7-6 |
(3-6) |
T46 |
NA |
| T45 |
Boston College |
-5.75 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
T38 |
NA |
| T45 |
Purdue |
-5.75 |
7-6 |
(4-5) |
T53 |
NA |
| T45 |
Georgia Tech |
-5.75 |
5-6 |
(4-4) |
T46 |
NA |
| 48 |
Duke |
-6 |
7-6 |
(3-5) |
51 |
NA |
| 49 |
UCLA |
-6.25 |
6-7 |
(4-5) |
T42 |
NA |
| 50 |
Navy |
-6.25 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
52 |
NA |
| 51 |
Oregon |
-6.5 |
7-6 |
(4-5) |
48 |
NA |
| 52 |
Toledo |
-6.5 |
11-3 |
(8-1) |
35 |
NA |
| 53 |
Texas Tech |
-7 |
6-7 |
(3-6) |
T53 |
NA |
| 54 |
Arizona |
-7.25 |
7-6 |
(5-4) |
50 |
NA |
| 55 |
Ole Miss |
-7.25 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
59 |
NA |
| 56 |
Houston |
-7.75 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
56 |
NA |
| 57 |
App State |
-8 |
9-4 |
(7-1) |
66 |
NA |
| 58 |
Kentucky |
-8.25 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
63 |
NA |
| T59 |
Pittsburgh |
-8.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
64 |
NA |
| T59 |
California |
-8.25 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
60 |
NA |
| 61 |
Maryland |
-8.5 |
4-8 |
(2-7) |
67 |
NA |
| 62 |
N Texas |
-8.75 |
9-5 |
(7-2) |
62 |
NA |
| 63 |
Indiana |
-8.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
65 |
NA |
| 64 |
SMU |
-8.75 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
55 |
NA |
| 65 |
Missouri |
-9 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
57 |
NA |
| T66 |
Virginia |
-10 |
6-7 |
(3-5) |
58 |
NA |
| T66 |
Colorado |
-10 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
68 |
NA |
| 68 |
Minnesota |
-10.25 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
76 |
NA |
| 69 |
Arkansas |
-10.5 |
4-8 |
(1-7) |
77 |
NA |
| 70 |
Wyoming |
-10.75 |
8-5 |
(5-3) |
81 |
NA |
| 71 |
Florida |
-10.75 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
75 |
NA |
| 72 |
Ohio |
-10.75 |
9-4 |
(5-3) |
72 |
NA |
| 73 |
N Illinois |
-10.75 |
8-5 |
(6-2) |
61 |
NA |
| 74 |
Nebraska |
-11 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
79 |
NA |
| 75 |
Colorado St |
-11.25 |
7-6 |
(5-3) |
70 |
NA |
| 76 |
Temple |
-11.25 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
83 |
NA |
| 77 |
Syracuse |
-11.75 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
78 |
NA |
| 78 |
Marshall |
-11.75 |
8-5 |
(4-4) |
82 |
NA |
| 79 |
Arkansas St |
-12 |
7-5 |
(6-2) |
69 |
NA |
| 80 |
FIU |
-12 |
8-5 |
(5-3) |
71 |
NA |
| 81 |
Southern Miss |
-12.5 |
8-5 |
(6-2) |
T73 |
NA |
| 82 |
W Michigan |
-12.5 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
84 |
NA |
| T83 |
Rutgers |
-13 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
89 |
NA |
| T83 |
Tennessee |
-13 |
4-8 |
(0-8) |
86 |
NA |
| 85 |
C Michigan |
-13.25 |
8-5 |
(6-2) |
T73 |
NA |
| T86 |
Vanderbilt |
-13.25 |
5-7 |
(1-7) |
T87 |
NA |
| T86 |
Tulane |
-13.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
T87 |
NA |
| 88 |
Louisiana Tech |
-13.75 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
T95 |
NA |
| 89 |
UTSA |
-13.75 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
90 |
NA |
| 90 |
N Mexico St |
-14 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
92 |
NA |
| 91 |
Georgia St |
-14.25 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
94 |
NA |
| 92 |
UAB |
-14.5 |
8-5 |
(6-2) |
80 |
NA |
| 93 |
Akron |
-14.75 |
7-7 |
(6-3) |
85 |
NA |
| 94 |
Buffalo |
-14.75 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
T95 |
NA |
| 95 |
Air Force |
-15.25 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
97 |
NA |
| 96 |
North Carolina |
-15.75 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
93 |
NA |
| 97 |
Utah State |
-16.25 |
6-7 |
(4-4) |
91 |
NA |
| 98 |
Mid Tennessee |
-16.75 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
99 |
NA |
| 99 |
E Michigan |
-17 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
100 |
NA |
| 100 |
UNLV |
-18.25 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
101 |
NA |
| 101 |
Illinois |
-18.25 |
2-10 |
(0-9) |
103 |
NA |
| 102 |
BYU |
-18.5 |
4-9 |
(0-0) |
105 |
NA |
| 103 |
W Kentucky |
-18.75 |
6-7 |
(4-4) |
98 |
NA |
| T104 |
Cincinnati |
-19.25 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
109 |
NA |
| T104 |
UL Monroe |
-19.25 |
4-8 |
(4-4) |
102 |
NA |
| 106 |
Nevada |
-19.25 |
3-9 |
(3-5) |
104 |
NA |
| 107 |
Old Dominion |
-19.5 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
T107 |
NA |
| 108 |
Miami OH |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
T107 |
NA |
| 109 |
Oregon State |
-20.5 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
106 |
NA |
| 110 |
Uconn |
-20.5 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
110 |
NA |
| 111 |
S Alabama |
-20.75 |
4-8 |
(3-5) |
114 |
NA |
| 112 |
Baylor |
-21 |
1-11 |
(1-8) |
111 |
NA |
| 113 |
UL Lafayette |
-21.25 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
112 |
NA |
| 114 |
Umass |
-21.25 |
4-8 |
(0-0) |
113 |
NA |
| 115 |
E Carolina |
-21.75 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
115 |
NA |
| 116 |
Tulsa |
-22.25 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
116 |
NA |
| 117 |
Idaho |
-22.25 |
4-8 |
(3-5) |
118 |
NA |
| 118 |
New Mexico |
-22.75 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
117 |
NA |
| 119 |
Kansas |
-23 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
119 |
NA |
| 120 |
Hawaii |
-24.5 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
120 |
NA |
| 121 |
Co Carolina |
-26.75 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
123 |
NA |
| 122 |
Bowling Green |
-27 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
122 |
NA |
| 123 |
Kent State |
-27 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
121 |
NA |
| 124 |
GA Southern |
-27.75 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
124 |
NA |
| 125 |
Texas St |
-29.25 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
126 |
NA |
| 126 |
Rice |
-29.5 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
125 |
NA |
| 127 |
San Jose St |
-30.75 |
2-11 |
(1-7) |
127 |
NA |
| 128 |
Ball State |
-31.75 |
2-10 |
(0-8) |
128 |
NA |
| 129 |
Charlotte |
-32.5 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
129 |
NA |
| 130 |
UTEP |
-33 |
0-12 |
(0-8) |
130 |
NA |
Conference Ranks

| 1 |
Big 10 |
-3.1071 |
| 2 |
SEC |
-3.25 |
| 3 |
ACC |
-4.0179 |
| 4 |
Big 12 |
-4.15 |
| 5 |
Pac 12 |
-4.4167 |
| 6 |
Ind |
-8.6875 |
| 7 |
Amer |
-10.375 |
| 8 |
MW |
-14.6458 |
| 9 |
MAC |
-17.1458 |
| 10 |
CUSA |
-17.25 |
| 11 |
S Belt |
-18.0833 |
Next are the rankings within every conference, as well as each team’s national ranking: (Quick note: for the conference and division rankings, do not pay attention to the “Rem Sched” column this week.)
ACC
| 1 |
Clemson |
11.75 |
12-2 |
(8-1) |
14 |
2 |
| 2 |
Miami |
5.25 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
13 |
13 |
| T3 |
NC State |
0.5 |
9-4 |
(6-2) |
12 |
T23 |
| T3 |
Virginia Tech |
0.5 |
9-4 |
(5-3) |
11 |
T23 |
| 5 |
Wake Forest |
-2.75 |
8-5 |
(4-4) |
10 |
T33 |
| 6 |
Louisville |
-3.5 |
8-5 |
(4-4) |
9 |
38 |
| 7 |
Florida State |
-4.75 |
7-6 |
(3-5) |
8 |
42 |
| T8 |
Boston College |
-5.75 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
7 |
T45 |
| T8 |
Georgia Tech |
-5.75 |
5-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
T45 |
| 10 |
Duke |
-6 |
7-6 |
(3-5) |
5 |
48 |
| 11 |
Pittsburgh |
-8.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
4 |
T59 |
| 12 |
Virginia |
-10 |
6-7 |
(3-5) |
3 |
T66 |
| 13 |
Syracuse |
-11.75 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
2 |
77 |
| 14 |
North Carolina |
-15.75 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
1 |
96 |
Big 10
| 1 |
Ohio State |
9.5 |
12-2 |
(9-1) |
14 |
5 |
| 2 |
Wisconsin |
9 |
13-1 |
(9-1) |
13 |
6 |
| 3 |
Penn State |
7.75 |
11-2 |
(7-2) |
12 |
10 |
| 4 |
Michigan State |
5 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
11 |
14 |
| 5 |
Northwestern |
2 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
10 |
18 |
| 6 |
Iowa |
0.75 |
8-5 |
(4-5) |
9 |
21 |
| 7 |
Michigan |
-2 |
8-5 |
(5-4) |
8 |
31 |
| 8 |
Purdue |
-5.75 |
7-6 |
(4-5) |
7 |
T45 |
| 9 |
Maryland |
-8.5 |
4-8 |
(2-7) |
6 |
61 |
| 10 |
Indiana |
-8.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
5 |
63 |
| 11 |
Minnesota |
-10.25 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
4 |
68 |
| 12 |
Nebraska |
-11 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
3 |
74 |
| 13 |
Rutgers |
-13 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
2 |
T83 |
| 14 |
Illinois |
-18.25 |
2-10 |
(0-9) |
1 |
101 |
SEC
| 1 |
Alabama |
11.75 |
13-1 |
(8-1) |
14 |
1 |
| 2 |
Georgia |
11.5 |
13-2 |
(8-2) |
13 |
3 |
| 3 |
Auburn |
8.5 |
10-4 |
(7-2) |
12 |
7 |
| 4 |
Mississippi St |
0.75 |
9-4 |
(4-4) |
11 |
20 |
| 5 |
LSU |
0.5 |
9-4 |
(6-2) |
10 |
22 |
| 6 |
South Carolina |
-1.5 |
9-4 |
(5-3) |
9 |
30 |
| 7 |
Texas AM |
-5 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
8 |
T43 |
| 8 |
Ole Miss |
-7.25 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
7 |
55 |
| 9 |
Kentucky |
-8.25 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
58 |
| 10 |
Missouri |
-9 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
5 |
65 |
| 11 |
Arkansas |
-10.5 |
4-8 |
(1-7) |
4 |
69 |
| 12 |
Florida |
-10.75 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
3 |
71 |
| 13 |
Tennessee |
-13 |
4-8 |
(0-8) |
2 |
T83 |
| 14 |
Vanderbilt |
-13.25 |
5-7 |
(1-7) |
1 |
T86 |
Big 12
| 1 |
Oklahoma |
11 |
12-2 |
(9-1) |
10 |
4 |
| 2 |
TCU |
6.25 |
11-3 |
(7-3) |
9 |
11 |
| 3 |
OK State |
4 |
10-3 |
(6-3) |
8 |
16 |
| 4 |
Iowa State |
-1.25 |
8-5 |
(5-4) |
7 |
28 |
| 5 |
Kansas State |
-2.75 |
8-5 |
(6-4) |
6 |
T33 |
| 6 |
Texas |
-3.25 |
6-6 |
(5-4) |
5 |
37 |
| 7 |
West Virginia |
-4.5 |
7-6 |
(5-4) |
4 |
41 |
| 8 |
Texas Tech |
-7 |
6-7 |
(3-6) |
3 |
53 |
| 9 |
Baylor |
-21 |
1-11 |
(1-8) |
2 |
112 |
| 10 |
Kansas |
-23 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
1 |
119 |
Pac 12
| 1 |
USC |
5.75 |
11-3 |
(9-1) |
12 |
12 |
| 2 |
Washington |
4.75 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
11 |
15 |
| 3 |
Stanford |
3.5 |
9-5 |
(7-3) |
10 |
17 |
| 4 |
Washington St |
1 |
9-4 |
(6-3) |
9 |
19 |
| 5 |
Arizona St |
-4.25 |
7-6 |
(6-3) |
8 |
39 |
| 6 |
Utah |
-5 |
7-6 |
(3-6) |
7 |
T43 |
| 7 |
UCLA |
-6.25 |
6-7 |
(4-5) |
6 |
49 |
| 8 |
Oregon |
-6.5 |
7-6 |
(4-5) |
5 |
51 |
| 9 |
Arizona |
-7.25 |
7-6 |
(5-4) |
4 |
54 |
| 10 |
California |
-8.25 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
3 |
T59 |
| 11 |
Colorado |
-10 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
2 |
T66 |
| 12 |
Oregon State |
-20.5 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
1 |
109 |
American
| 1 |
UCF |
8 |
13-0 |
(9-0) |
12 |
9 |
| 2 |
Memphis |
-0.5 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
11 |
25 |
| 3 |
S Florida |
-1 |
10-2 |
(6-2) |
10 |
27 |
| 4 |
Navy |
-6.25 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
9 |
50 |
| 5 |
Houston |
-7.75 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
8 |
56 |
| 6 |
SMU |
-8.75 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
7 |
64 |
| 7 |
Temple |
-11.25 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
76 |
| 8 |
Tulane |
-13.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
5 |
T86 |
| 9 |
Cincinnati |
-19.25 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
4 |
T104 |
| 10 |
Uconn |
-20.5 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
3 |
110 |
| 11 |
E Carolina |
-21.75 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
2 |
115 |
| 12 |
Tulsa |
-22.25 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
1 |
116 |
Mountain West
| 1 |
Boise State |
-0.75 |
11-3 |
(8-1) |
12 |
26 |
| 2 |
Fresno St |
-2.75 |
10-4 |
(7-2) |
11 |
32 |
| 3 |
San Diego St |
-3.25 |
10-3 |
(6-2) |
10 |
T35 |
| 4 |
Wyoming |
-10.75 |
8-5 |
(5-3) |
9 |
70 |
| 5 |
Colorado St |
-11.25 |
7-6 |
(5-3) |
8 |
75 |
| 6 |
Air Force |
-15.25 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
7 |
95 |
| 7 |
Utah State |
-16.25 |
6-7 |
(4-4) |
6 |
97 |
| 8 |
UNLV |
-18.25 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
5 |
100 |
| 9 |
Nevada |
-19.25 |
3-9 |
(3-5) |
4 |
106 |
| 10 |
New Mexico |
-22.75 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
3 |
118 |
| 11 |
Hawaii |
-24.5 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
2 |
120 |
| 12 |
San Jose St |
-30.75 |
2-11 |
(1-7) |
1 |
127 |
MAC
| 1 |
Toledo |
-6.5 |
11-3 |
(8-1) |
12 |
52 |
| 2 |
Ohio |
-10.75 |
9-4 |
(5-3) |
11 |
72 |
| 3 |
N Illinois |
-10.75 |
8-5 |
(6-2) |
10 |
73 |
| 4 |
W Michigan |
-12.5 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
9 |
82 |
| 5 |
C Michigan |
-13.25 |
8-5 |
(6-2) |
8 |
85 |
| 6 |
Akron |
-14.75 |
7-7 |
(6-3) |
7 |
93 |
| 7 |
Buffalo |
-14.75 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
94 |
| 8 |
E Michigan |
-17 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
5 |
99 |
| 9 |
Miami OH |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
4 |
108 |
| 10 |
Bowling Green |
-27 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
3 |
122 |
| 11 |
Kent State |
-27 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
2 |
123 |
| 12 |
Ball State |
-31.75 |
2-10 |
(0-8) |
1 |
128 |
CUSA
| 1 |
FAU |
-4.5 |
11-3 |
(9-0) |
14 |
40 |
| 2 |
N Texas |
-8.75 |
9-5 |
(7-2) |
13 |
62 |
| 3 |
Marshall |
-11.75 |
8-5 |
(4-4) |
12 |
78 |
| 4 |
FIU |
-12 |
8-5 |
(5-3) |
11 |
80 |
| 5 |
Southern Miss |
-12.5 |
8-5 |
(6-2) |
10 |
81 |
| 6 |
Louisiana Tech |
-13.75 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
9 |
88 |
| 7 |
UTSA |
-13.75 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
8 |
89 |
| 8 |
UAB |
-14.5 |
8-5 |
(6-2) |
7 |
92 |
| 9 |
Mid Tennessee |
-16.75 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
98 |
| 10 |
W Kentucky |
-18.75 |
6-7 |
(4-4) |
5 |
103 |
| 11 |
Old Dominion |
-19.5 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
4 |
107 |
| 12 |
Rice |
-29.5 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
3 |
126 |
| 13 |
Charlotte |
-32.5 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
2 |
129 |
| 14 |
UTEP |
-33 |
0-12 |
(0-8) |
1 |
130 |
Sun Belt
| 1 |
Troy |
-1.5 |
11-2 |
(7-1) |
12 |
29 |
| 2 |
App State |
-8 |
9-4 |
(7-1) |
11 |
57 |
| 3 |
Arkansas St |
-12 |
7-5 |
(6-2) |
10 |
79 |
| 4 |
N Mexico St |
-14 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
9 |
90 |
| 5 |
Georgia St |
-14.25 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
8 |
91 |
| 6 |
UL Monroe |
-19.25 |
4-8 |
(4-4) |
7 |
T104 |
| 7 |
S Alabama |
-20.75 |
4-8 |
(3-5) |
6 |
111 |
| 8 |
UL Lafayette |
-21.25 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
5 |
113 |
| 9 |
Idaho |
-22.25 |
4-8 |
(3-5) |
4 |
117 |
| 10 |
Co Carolina |
-26.75 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
3 |
121 |
| 11 |
GA Southern |
-27.75 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
2 |
124 |
| 12 |
Texas St |
-29.25 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
1 |
125 |
Independents
| 1 |
Notre Dame |
8.25 |
10-3 |
(0-0) |
4 |
8 |
| 2 |
Army |
-3.25 |
10-3 |
(0-0) |
3 |
T35 |
| 3 |
BYU |
-18.5 |
4-9 |
(0-0) |
2 |
102 |
| 4 |
Umass |
-21.25 |
4-8 |
(0-0) |
1 |
114 |
Division Ranks
For those who are even more curious, here are the same analyses but by division instead of conference. I know the plot is a little busy, but it gives a decent idea of how the divisions fall.

| 1 |
SEC W |
-0.1786 |
| 2 |
Big 10 E |
-1.4286 |
| 3 |
ACC Atl |
-2.3214 |
| 4 |
Big 12 |
-4.15 |
| 5 |
Pac 12 N |
-4.3333 |
| 6 |
Pac 12 S |
-4.5 |
| 7 |
Big 10 W |
-4.7857 |
| 8 |
ACC Coast |
-5.7143 |
| 9 |
SEC E |
-6.3214 |
| 10 |
Ind |
-8.6875 |
| 11 |
Amer W |
-9.7917 |
| 12 |
Amer E |
-10.9583 |
| 13 |
MW Moun |
-12.8333 |
| 14 |
MAC W |
-15.2917 |
| 15 |
MW West |
-16.4583 |
| 16 |
CUSA E |
-16.5357 |
| 17 |
CUSA W |
-17.9643 |
| 18 |
S Belt |
-18.0833 |
| 19 |
MAC E |
-19 |
Next are the rankings within every division, as well as each team’s national ranking (now with plots!):
ACC Coastal
| 1 |
Miami |
5.25 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
7 |
13 |
| 2 |
Virginia Tech |
0.5 |
9-4 |
(5-3) |
6 |
T23 |
| 3 |
Georgia Tech |
-5.75 |
5-6 |
(4-4) |
5 |
T45 |
| 4 |
Duke |
-6 |
7-6 |
(3-5) |
4 |
48 |
| 5 |
Pittsburgh |
-8.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
3 |
T59 |
| 6 |
Virginia |
-10 |
6-7 |
(3-5) |
2 |
T66 |
| 7 |
North Carolina |
-15.75 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
1 |
96 |

ACC Atlantic
| 1 |
Clemson |
11.75 |
12-2 |
(8-1) |
7 |
2 |
| 2 |
NC State |
0.5 |
9-4 |
(6-2) |
6 |
T23 |
| 3 |
Wake Forest |
-2.75 |
8-5 |
(4-4) |
5 |
T33 |
| 4 |
Louisville |
-3.5 |
8-5 |
(4-4) |
4 |
38 |
| 5 |
Florida State |
-4.75 |
7-6 |
(3-5) |
3 |
42 |
| 6 |
Boston College |
-5.75 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
2 |
T45 |
| 7 |
Syracuse |
-11.75 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
1 |
77 |

SEC East
| 1 |
Georgia |
11.5 |
13-2 |
(8-2) |
7 |
3 |
| 2 |
South Carolina |
-1.5 |
9-4 |
(5-3) |
6 |
30 |
| 3 |
Kentucky |
-8.25 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
5 |
58 |
| 4 |
Missouri |
-9 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
4 |
65 |
| 5 |
Florida |
-10.75 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
3 |
71 |
| 6 |
Tennessee |
-13 |
4-8 |
(0-8) |
2 |
T83 |
| 7 |
Vanderbilt |
-13.25 |
5-7 |
(1-7) |
1 |
T86 |

SEC West
| 1 |
Alabama |
11.75 |
13-1 |
(8-1) |
7 |
1 |
| 2 |
Auburn |
8.5 |
10-4 |
(7-2) |
6 |
7 |
| 3 |
Mississippi St |
0.75 |
9-4 |
(4-4) |
5 |
20 |
| 4 |
LSU |
0.5 |
9-4 |
(6-2) |
4 |
22 |
| 5 |
Texas AM |
-5 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
3 |
T43 |
| 6 |
Ole Miss |
-7.25 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
2 |
55 |
| 7 |
Arkansas |
-10.5 |
4-8 |
(1-7) |
1 |
69 |

Big 10 East
| 1 |
Ohio State |
9.5 |
12-2 |
(9-1) |
7 |
5 |
| 2 |
Penn State |
7.75 |
11-2 |
(7-2) |
6 |
10 |
| 3 |
Michigan State |
5 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
5 |
14 |
| 4 |
Michigan |
-2 |
8-5 |
(5-4) |
4 |
31 |
| 5 |
Maryland |
-8.5 |
4-8 |
(2-7) |
3 |
61 |
| 6 |
Indiana |
-8.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
2 |
63 |
| 7 |
Rutgers |
-13 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
1 |
T83 |

Big 10 West
| 1 |
Wisconsin |
9 |
13-1 |
(9-1) |
7 |
6 |
| 2 |
Northwestern |
2 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
6 |
18 |
| 3 |
Iowa |
0.75 |
8-5 |
(4-5) |
5 |
21 |
| 4 |
Purdue |
-5.75 |
7-6 |
(4-5) |
4 |
T45 |
| 5 |
Minnesota |
-10.25 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
3 |
68 |
| 6 |
Nebraska |
-11 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
2 |
74 |
| 7 |
Illinois |
-18.25 |
2-10 |
(0-9) |
1 |
101 |

Big 12
| 1 |
Oklahoma |
11 |
12-2 |
(9-1) |
10 |
4 |
| 2 |
TCU |
6.25 |
11-3 |
(7-3) |
9 |
11 |
| 3 |
OK State |
4 |
10-3 |
(6-3) |
8 |
16 |
| 4 |
Iowa State |
-1.25 |
8-5 |
(5-4) |
7 |
28 |
| 5 |
Kansas State |
-2.75 |
8-5 |
(6-4) |
6 |
T33 |
| 6 |
Texas |
-3.25 |
6-6 |
(5-4) |
5 |
37 |
| 7 |
West Virginia |
-4.5 |
7-6 |
(5-4) |
4 |
41 |
| 8 |
Texas Tech |
-7 |
6-7 |
(3-6) |
3 |
53 |
| 9 |
Baylor |
-21 |
1-11 |
(1-8) |
2 |
112 |
| 10 |
Kansas |
-23 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
1 |
119 |

Pac 12 North
| 1 |
Washington |
4.75 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
6 |
15 |
| 2 |
Stanford |
3.5 |
9-5 |
(7-3) |
5 |
17 |
| 3 |
Washington St |
1 |
9-4 |
(6-3) |
4 |
19 |
| 4 |
Oregon |
-6.5 |
7-6 |
(4-5) |
3 |
51 |
| 5 |
California |
-8.25 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
2 |
T59 |
| 6 |
Oregon State |
-20.5 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
1 |
109 |

Pac 12 South
| 1 |
USC |
5.75 |
11-3 |
(9-1) |
6 |
12 |
| 2 |
Arizona St |
-4.25 |
7-6 |
(6-3) |
5 |
39 |
| 3 |
Utah |
-5 |
7-6 |
(3-6) |
4 |
T43 |
| 4 |
UCLA |
-6.25 |
6-7 |
(4-5) |
3 |
49 |
| 5 |
Arizona |
-7.25 |
7-6 |
(5-4) |
2 |
54 |
| 6 |
Colorado |
-10 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
1 |
T66 |

American East
| 1 |
UCF |
8 |
13-0 |
(9-0) |
6 |
9 |
| 2 |
S Florida |
-1 |
10-2 |
(6-2) |
5 |
27 |
| 3 |
Temple |
-11.25 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
4 |
76 |
| 4 |
Cincinnati |
-19.25 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
3 |
T104 |
| 5 |
Uconn |
-20.5 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
2 |
110 |
| 6 |
E Carolina |
-21.75 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
1 |
115 |

American West
| 1 |
Memphis |
-0.5 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
6 |
25 |
| 2 |
Navy |
-6.25 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
5 |
50 |
| 3 |
Houston |
-7.75 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
4 |
56 |
| 4 |
SMU |
-8.75 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
3 |
64 |
| 5 |
Tulane |
-13.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
2 |
T86 |
| 6 |
Tulsa |
-22.25 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
1 |
116 |

MW Mountain
| 1 |
Boise State |
-0.75 |
11-3 |
(8-1) |
6 |
26 |
| 2 |
Wyoming |
-10.75 |
8-5 |
(5-3) |
5 |
70 |
| 3 |
Colorado St |
-11.25 |
7-6 |
(5-3) |
4 |
75 |
| 4 |
Air Force |
-15.25 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
3 |
95 |
| 5 |
Utah State |
-16.25 |
6-7 |
(4-4) |
2 |
97 |
| 6 |
New Mexico |
-22.75 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
1 |
118 |

MW West
| 1 |
Fresno St |
-2.75 |
10-4 |
(7-2) |
6 |
32 |
| 2 |
San Diego St |
-3.25 |
10-3 |
(6-2) |
5 |
T35 |
| 3 |
UNLV |
-18.25 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
4 |
100 |
| 4 |
Nevada |
-19.25 |
3-9 |
(3-5) |
3 |
106 |
| 5 |
Hawaii |
-24.5 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
2 |
120 |
| 6 |
San Jose St |
-30.75 |
2-11 |
(1-7) |
1 |
127 |

MAC East
| 1 |
Ohio |
-10.75 |
9-4 |
(5-3) |
6 |
72 |
| 2 |
Akron |
-14.75 |
7-7 |
(6-3) |
5 |
93 |
| 3 |
Buffalo |
-14.75 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
4 |
94 |
| 4 |
Miami OH |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
3 |
108 |
| 5 |
Bowling Green |
-27 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
2 |
122 |
| 6 |
Kent State |
-27 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
1 |
123 |

MAC West
| 1 |
Toledo |
-6.5 |
11-3 |
(8-1) |
6 |
52 |
| 2 |
N Illinois |
-10.75 |
8-5 |
(6-2) |
5 |
73 |
| 3 |
W Michigan |
-12.5 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
4 |
82 |
| 4 |
C Michigan |
-13.25 |
8-5 |
(6-2) |
3 |
85 |
| 5 |
E Michigan |
-17 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
2 |
99 |
| 6 |
Ball State |
-31.75 |
2-10 |
(0-8) |
1 |
128 |

C-USA East
| 1 |
FAU |
-4.5 |
11-3 |
(9-0) |
7 |
40 |
| 2 |
Marshall |
-11.75 |
8-5 |
(4-4) |
6 |
78 |
| 3 |
FIU |
-12 |
8-5 |
(5-3) |
5 |
80 |
| 4 |
Mid Tennessee |
-16.75 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
4 |
98 |
| 5 |
W Kentucky |
-18.75 |
6-7 |
(4-4) |
3 |
103 |
| 6 |
Old Dominion |
-19.5 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
2 |
107 |
| 7 |
Charlotte |
-32.5 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
1 |
129 |

C-USA West
| 1 |
N Texas |
-8.75 |
9-5 |
(7-2) |
7 |
62 |
| 2 |
Southern Miss |
-12.5 |
8-5 |
(6-2) |
6 |
81 |
| 3 |
Louisiana Tech |
-13.75 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
5 |
88 |
| 4 |
UTSA |
-13.75 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
4 |
89 |
| 5 |
UAB |
-14.5 |
8-5 |
(6-2) |
3 |
92 |
| 6 |
Rice |
-29.5 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
2 |
126 |
| 7 |
UTEP |
-33 |
0-12 |
(0-8) |
1 |
130 |

Sun Belt
| 1 |
Troy |
-1.5 |
11-2 |
(7-1) |
12 |
29 |
| 2 |
App State |
-8 |
9-4 |
(7-1) |
11 |
57 |
| 3 |
Arkansas St |
-12 |
7-5 |
(6-2) |
10 |
79 |
| 4 |
N Mexico St |
-14 |
7-6 |
(4-4) |
9 |
90 |
| 5 |
Georgia St |
-14.25 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
8 |
91 |
| 6 |
UL Monroe |
-19.25 |
4-8 |
(4-4) |
7 |
T104 |
| 7 |
S Alabama |
-20.75 |
4-8 |
(3-5) |
6 |
111 |
| 8 |
UL Lafayette |
-21.25 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
5 |
113 |
| 9 |
Idaho |
-22.25 |
4-8 |
(3-5) |
4 |
117 |
| 10 |
Co Carolina |
-26.75 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
3 |
121 |
| 11 |
GA Southern |
-27.75 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
2 |
124 |
| 12 |
Texas St |
-29.25 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
1 |
125 |

Independents
| 1 |
Notre Dame |
8.25 |
10-3 |
(0-0) |
4 |
8 |
| 2 |
Army |
-3.25 |
10-3 |
(0-0) |
3 |
T35 |
| 3 |
BYU |
-18.5 |
4-9 |
(0-0) |
2 |
102 |
| 4 |
Umass |
-21.25 |
4-8 |
(0-0) |
1 |
114 |
