1. Introduction

Bitcoin is digital money used for secure and instant transfer of value anywhere in the world. It is not controlled or issued by any bank or government - instead it is an open network which is managed by its users. Much in the way email improved communication by making it fast and cheap, bitcoin is . Anybody, so long as you have really fast computers, a lot of electricity and a desire to solve puzzles. The transaction data in each batch is encrypted by a formula that can be unlocked only through trial-and-error guessing on a massive scale.The miners put large-scale computing power to work as they compete to be the first to solve it. If a miner’s answer is verified by others, the data is added to a linked chain of blocks of data and the miner is rewarded with newly issued bitcoin.Unlike credit card networks like Visa and payment processors like Paypal, bitcoin is not owned by an individual or company. Bitcoin is the world’s first completely open payment network which anyone with an internet connection can participate in.an improvement on existing payment methods which were not designed for the internet era.Bitcoin was invented by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2009. Bitcoin is a digital cryptocurrency and payment system that is entirely decentralized, meaning it is based on peerto-peer transactions with no bureaucratic oversight.Transactions and liquidity within the network are instead based on cryptography.

2. Overview of the Study

The skyhigh rise of “Bitcoin” has everyone wondering. It started as a phenomenon sometime back. Bitcoin prices are at an all-time high. Like it, love it, or confused by it, bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have become impossible to ignore. Indeed the price of Bitcoin has hit a new high, flirting near 3,500 dollar a token and reaching a market cap of $55 billion for the first time ever. That’s nearly the size of Luxembourg’s GDP.The real question is “But amid all the partying, the sheer incongruity of this price rise appears to have struck almost no-one. Why are people who want cryptocurrencies to replace fiat currencies such as the U.S. dollar rejoicing because they are making profits in U.S. dollars?” To profit from Bitcoin’s price rise, you must convert it to fiat currency. Since all cryptocurrencies are rising in price versus the U.S. dollar, there is little profit to be made by exchanging Bitcoin for other cryptocurrencies. You can only realize profits from Bitcoin’s price rise versus U.S. dollars if you exchange it for U.S. dollars. Investing in Bitcoin - or simply holding the digital currencies - could provide these investors with more returns.However, it could also be a trap, causing these market participants to suffer sharp losses.

3. An empirical field study of rising value of Bitcoin over time with increasing market price of Bitcoin.

3.1 Overview

The value of BTC is merely based on the law of supply and demand. The financial performance of a company (ie. its earnings) is the independent variable that affects the price of its stock. Similiarly, the rising value of market value of Bitcoin is affecting the market price of across major Bitcoin exchanges.

Hypothesis H1a: There is a sharp increase in the market price of Bitcoin the second half of data.

Hypothesis H1b: There might be a positive association between the stock price and the amount of the stock purchased.

3.2 Data

For this study, we collected data from Kaggle datasets. (https://www.kaggle.com/sudalairajkumar/cryptocurrencypricehistory). which further has been taken from “coinmarketcap”" and it is free to use the data.Bitcoin dataset is originally obtained from Blockchain Info. These features include concepts like the market capitalization of Bitcoin as well as the relationship of Bitcoin transaction volume to USD volume

Blocks are files where data pertaining to the Bitcoin network is permanently recorded. A block records some or all of the most recent Bitcoin transactions that have not yet entered any prior blocks. … A block is thus a permanent store of records which, once written, cannot be altered or removed.

bitcoin.df <- read.csv(paste("bitcoin_dataset.csv", sep="/"), stringsAsFactors = FALSE)
summary(bitcoin.df)
##      Date           btc_market_price   btc_total_bitcoins
##  Length:2641        Min.   :   0.061   Min.   : 3744250  
##  Class :character   1st Qu.:  10.938   1st Qu.: 9170575  
##  Mode  :character   Median : 241.135   Median :12575762  
##                     Mean   : 521.868   Mean   :11884879  
##                     3rd Qu.: 587.875   3rd Qu.:15094069  
##                     Max.   :7437.543   Max.   :16669275  
##                     NA's   :1          NA's   :1         
##  btc_market_cap      btc_trade_volume    btc_blocks_size 
##  Min.   :2.393e+05   Min.   :4.100e+01   Min.   :     1  
##  1st Qu.:9.517e+07   1st Qu.:4.107e+05   1st Qu.:  1331  
##  Median :3.433e+09   Median :1.081e+07   Median : 16485  
##  Mean   :8.063e+09   Mean   :3.499e+07   Mean   : 33957  
##  3rd Qu.:7.872e+09   3rd Qu.:2.764e+07   3rd Qu.: 55294  
##  Max.   :1.240e+11   Max.   :1.267e+09   Max.   :140295  
##  NA's   :1           NA's   :22          NA's   :1       
##  btc_avg_block_size  btc_n_orphaned_blocks btc_n_transactions_per_block
##  Min.   :0.0004342   Min.   :0.0000        Min.   :   1.0              
##  1st Qu.:0.0678815   1st Qu.:0.0000        1st Qu.: 157.8              
##  Median :0.2116168   Median :0.0000        Median : 392.0              
##  Mean   :0.3517627   Mean   :0.4008        Mean   : 673.8              
##  3rd Qu.:0.6627129   3rd Qu.:0.0000        3rd Qu.:1202.5              
##  Max.   :1.0466060   Max.   :7.0000        Max.   :2436.1              
##  NA's   :1           NA's   :1             NA's   :1                   
##  btc_median_confirmation_time btc_hash_rate      btc_difficulty     
##  Min.   : 0.000               Min.   :       0   Min.   :5.120e+02  
##  1st Qu.: 6.596               1st Qu.:      13   1st Qu.:1.778e+06  
##  Median : 8.017               Median :   42303   Median :5.007e+09  
##  Mean   : 7.886               Mean   :  916748   Mean   :1.215e+11  
##  3rd Qu.:10.269               3rd Qu.:  888246   3rd Qu.:1.130e+11  
##  Max.   :47.733               Max.   :12999790   Max.   :1.450e+12  
##  NA's   :1                    NA's   :1          NA's   :1          
##  btc_miners_revenue btc_transaction_fees btc_cost_per_transaction_percent
##  Min.   :     338   Min.   :  0.00       Min.   :  0.1365                
##  1st Qu.:   67607   1st Qu.: 11.35       1st Qu.:  1.1780                
##  Median :  913399   Median : 22.28       Median :  2.3508                
##  Mean   : 1416854   Mean   : 50.57       Mean   :  5.7488                
##  3rd Qu.: 1797487   3rd Qu.: 48.63       3rd Qu.:  4.9938                
##  Max.   :15347363   Max.   :668.13       Max.   :143.1794                
##  NA's   :1          NA's   :1            NA's   :1                       
##  btc_cost_per_transaction btc_n_unique_addresses btc_n_transactions
##  Min.   : 0.1349          Min.   :   284         Min.   :   268    
##  1st Qu.: 4.9231          1st Qu.: 23771         1st Qu.: 22654    
##  Median : 8.0299          Median :139653         Median : 64815    
##  Mean   :12.9189          Mean   :189384         Mean   :102029    
##  3rd Qu.:14.2745          3rd Qu.:353866         3rd Qu.:185619    
##  Max.   :90.2021          Max.   :733878         Max.   :369098    
##  NA's   :1                NA's   :1              NA's   :1         
##  btc_n_transactions_total btc_n_transactions_excluding_popular
##  Min.   :   104808        Min.   :   268                      
##  1st Qu.:  3812718        1st Qu.:  9806                      
##  Median : 35818340        Median : 57361                      
##  Mean   : 66201394        Mean   : 93997                      
##  3rd Qu.:104150558        3rd Qu.:181323                      
##  Max.   :269460981        Max.   :361974                      
##  NA's   :1                NA's   :1                           
##  btc_n_transactions_excluding_chains_longer_than_100 btc_output_volume 
##  Min.   :   235                                      Min.   :   17623  
##  1st Qu.:  9844                                      1st Qu.:  585606  
##  Median : 36871                                      Median : 1160942  
##  Mean   : 62872                                      Mean   : 1640595  
##  3rd Qu.:111758                                      3rd Qu.: 2039087  
##  Max.   :286896                                      Max.   :45992223  
##  NA's   :1                                           NA's   :1         
##  btc_estimated_transaction_volume btc_estimated_transaction_volume_usd
##  Min.   :   6221                  Min.   :5.270e+02                   
##  1st Qu.: 110172                  1st Qu.:1.643e+06                   
##  Median : 184407                  Median :4.156e+07                   
##  Mean   : 215136                  Mean   :1.243e+08                   
##  3rd Qu.: 262853                  3rd Qu.:1.272e+08                   
##  Max.   :5825066                  Max.   :2.396e+09                   
##  NA's   :1                        NA's   :1
library(psych)
describe(bitcoin.df)
## Warning in describe(bitcoin.df): NAs introduced by coercion
## Warning in FUN(newX[, i], ...): no non-missing arguments to min; returning
## Inf
## Warning in FUN(newX[, i], ...): no non-missing arguments to max; returning
## -Inf
##                                                     vars    n         mean
## Date*                                                  1 2641          NaN
## btc_market_price                                       2 2640 5.218700e+02
## btc_total_bitcoins                                     3 2640 1.188488e+07
## btc_market_cap                                         4 2640 8.063468e+09
## btc_trade_volume                                       5 2619 3.498993e+07
## btc_blocks_size                                        6 2640 3.395685e+04
## btc_avg_block_size                                     7 2640 3.500000e-01
## btc_n_orphaned_blocks                                  8 2640 4.000000e-01
## btc_n_transactions_per_block                           9 2640 6.737900e+02
## btc_median_confirmation_time                          10 2640 7.890000e+00
## btc_hash_rate                                         11 2640 9.167476e+05
## btc_difficulty                                        12 2640 1.215208e+11
## btc_miners_revenue                                    13 2640 1.416854e+06
## btc_transaction_fees                                  14 2640 5.057000e+01
## btc_cost_per_transaction_percent                      15 2640 5.750000e+00
## btc_cost_per_transaction                              16 2640 1.292000e+01
## btc_n_unique_addresses                                17 2640 1.893844e+05
## btc_n_transactions                                    18 2640 1.020290e+05
## btc_n_transactions_total                              19 2640 6.620139e+07
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_popular                  20 2640 9.399701e+04
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_chains_longer_than_100   21 2640 6.287178e+04
## btc_output_volume                                     22 2640 1.640595e+06
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume                      23 2640 2.151358e+05
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume_usd                  24 2640 1.242792e+08
##                                                               sd
## Date*                                                         NA
## btc_market_price                                    9.699400e+02
## btc_total_bitcoins                                  3.649081e+06
## btc_market_cap                                      1.609682e+10
## btc_trade_volume                                    8.636591e+07
## btc_blocks_size                                     3.993538e+04
## btc_avg_block_size                                  3.400000e-01
## btc_n_orphaned_blocks                               8.800000e-01
## btc_n_transactions_per_block                        6.548400e+02
## btc_median_confirmation_time                        4.710000e+00
## btc_hash_rate                                       1.871301e+06
## btc_difficulty                                      2.456113e+11
## btc_miners_revenue                                  2.056449e+06
## btc_transaction_fees                                8.144000e+01
## btc_cost_per_transaction_percent                    1.091000e+01
## btc_cost_per_transaction                            1.353000e+01
## btc_n_unique_addresses                              1.872798e+05
## btc_n_transactions                                  9.746340e+04
## btc_n_transactions_total                            7.573261e+07
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_popular                9.865686e+04
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_chains_longer_than_100 6.611812e+04
## btc_output_volume                                   2.345793e+06
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume                    2.765441e+05
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume_usd                2.497613e+08
##                                                           median
## Date*                                                         NA
## btc_market_price                                    2.411300e+02
## btc_total_bitcoins                                  1.257576e+07
## btc_market_cap                                      3.432534e+09
## btc_trade_volume                                    1.080980e+07
## btc_blocks_size                                     1.648500e+04
## btc_avg_block_size                                  2.100000e-01
## btc_n_orphaned_blocks                               0.000000e+00
## btc_n_transactions_per_block                        3.920000e+02
## btc_median_confirmation_time                        8.020000e+00
## btc_hash_rate                                       4.230261e+04
## btc_difficulty                                      5.006861e+09
## btc_miners_revenue                                  9.133988e+05
## btc_transaction_fees                                2.228000e+01
## btc_cost_per_transaction_percent                    2.350000e+00
## btc_cost_per_transaction                            8.030000e+00
## btc_n_unique_addresses                              1.396530e+05
## btc_n_transactions                                  6.481450e+04
## btc_n_transactions_total                            3.581834e+07
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_popular                5.736100e+04
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_chains_longer_than_100 3.687100e+04
## btc_output_volume                                   1.160942e+06
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume                    1.844070e+05
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume_usd                4.155730e+07
##                                                          trimmed
## Date*                                                        NaN
## btc_market_price                                    2.921800e+02
## btc_total_bitcoins                                  1.218452e+07
## btc_market_cap                                      4.137443e+09
## btc_trade_volume                                    1.499827e+07
## btc_blocks_size                                     2.722170e+04
## btc_avg_block_size                                  3.200000e-01
## btc_n_orphaned_blocks                               1.700000e-01
## btc_n_transactions_per_block                        5.943900e+02
## btc_median_confirmation_time                        7.830000e+00
## btc_hash_rate                                       4.214968e+05
## btc_difficulty                                      5.631057e+10
## btc_miners_revenue                                  9.752063e+05
## btc_transaction_fees                                3.054000e+01
## btc_cost_per_transaction_percent                    3.200000e+00
## btc_cost_per_transaction                            1.018000e+01
## btc_n_unique_addresses                              1.666998e+05
## btc_n_transactions                                  9.040423e+04
## btc_n_transactions_total                            5.343689e+07
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_popular                8.115738e+04
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_chains_longer_than_100 5.307862e+04
## btc_output_volume                                   1.296439e+06
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume                    1.877909e+05
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume_usd                6.239433e+07
##                                                              mad
## Date*                                                         NA
## btc_market_price                                    3.478100e+02
## btc_total_bitcoins                                  4.173649e+06
## btc_market_cap                                      5.011027e+09
## btc_trade_volume                                    1.563971e+07
## btc_blocks_size                                     2.393880e+04
## btc_avg_block_size                                  2.900000e-01
## btc_n_orphaned_blocks                               0.000000e+00
## btc_n_transactions_per_block                        5.159400e+02
## btc_median_confirmation_time                        2.640000e+00
## btc_hash_rate                                       6.271782e+04
## btc_difficulty                                      7.423170e+09
## btc_miners_revenue                                  1.264751e+06
## btc_transaction_fees                                2.353000e+01
## btc_cost_per_transaction_percent                    2.100000e+00
## btc_cost_per_transaction                            5.650000e+00
## btc_n_unique_addresses                              1.835703e+05
## btc_n_transactions                                  8.545855e+04
## btc_n_transactions_total                            5.059779e+07
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_popular                7.649178e+04
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_chains_longer_than_100 4.526674e+04
## btc_output_volume                                   1.024690e+06
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume                    1.129699e+05
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume_usd                6.058451e+07
##                                                            min
## Date*                                                      Inf
## btc_market_price                                          0.06
## btc_total_bitcoins                                  3744250.00
## btc_market_cap                                       239284.55
## btc_trade_volume                                         41.06
## btc_blocks_size                                           1.00
## btc_avg_block_size                                        0.00
## btc_n_orphaned_blocks                                     0.00
## btc_n_transactions_per_block                              1.00
## btc_median_confirmation_time                              0.00
## btc_hash_rate                                             0.00
## btc_difficulty                                          511.77
## btc_miners_revenue                                      337.89
## btc_transaction_fees                                      0.00
## btc_cost_per_transaction_percent                          0.14
## btc_cost_per_transaction                                  0.13
## btc_n_unique_addresses                                  284.00
## btc_n_transactions                                      268.00
## btc_n_transactions_total                             104808.00
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_popular                    268.00
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_chains_longer_than_100     235.00
## btc_output_volume                                     17622.84
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume                       6221.00
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume_usd                    527.00
##                                                              max
## Date*                                                       -Inf
## btc_market_price                                    7.437540e+03
## btc_total_bitcoins                                  1.666928e+07
## btc_market_cap                                      1.240000e+11
## btc_trade_volume                                    1.267435e+09
## btc_blocks_size                                     1.402946e+05
## btc_avg_block_size                                  1.050000e+00
## btc_n_orphaned_blocks                               7.000000e+00
## btc_n_transactions_per_block                        2.436070e+03
## btc_median_confirmation_time                        4.773000e+01
## btc_hash_rate                                       1.299979e+07
## btc_difficulty                                      1.450000e+12
## btc_miners_revenue                                  1.534736e+07
## btc_transaction_fees                                6.681300e+02
## btc_cost_per_transaction_percent                    1.431800e+02
## btc_cost_per_transaction                            9.020000e+01
## btc_n_unique_addresses                              7.338780e+05
## btc_n_transactions                                  3.690980e+05
## btc_n_transactions_total                            2.694610e+08
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_popular                3.619740e+05
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_chains_longer_than_100 2.868960e+05
## btc_output_volume                                   4.599222e+07
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume                    5.825066e+06
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume_usd                2.396482e+09
##                                                            range  skew
## Date*                                                       -Inf    NA
## btc_market_price                                    7.437480e+03  3.70
## btc_total_bitcoins                                  1.292503e+07 -0.54
## btc_market_cap                                      1.239998e+11  3.80
## btc_trade_volume                                    1.267435e+09  5.79
## btc_blocks_size                                     1.402936e+05  1.15
## btc_avg_block_size                                  1.050000e+00  0.69
## btc_n_orphaned_blocks                               7.000000e+00  2.62
## btc_n_transactions_per_block                        2.435070e+03  0.85
## btc_median_confirmation_time                        4.773000e+01  0.23
## btc_hash_rate                                       1.299979e+07  2.90
## btc_difficulty                                      1.450000e+12  2.83
## btc_miners_revenue                                  1.534703e+07  3.10
## btc_transaction_fees                                6.681300e+02  3.24
## btc_cost_per_transaction_percent                    1.430400e+02  4.85
## btc_cost_per_transaction                            9.007000e+01  2.03
## btc_n_unique_addresses                              7.335940e+05  0.79
## btc_n_transactions                                  3.688300e+05  0.85
## btc_n_transactions_total                            2.693562e+08  1.16
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_popular                3.617060e+05  0.88
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_chains_longer_than_100 2.866610e+05  1.08
## btc_output_volume                                   4.597460e+07  8.59
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume                    5.818845e+06 11.50
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume_usd                2.396482e+09  3.88
##                                                     kurtosis           se
## Date*                                                     NA           NA
## btc_market_price                                       15.52 1.888000e+01
## btc_total_bitcoins                                     -0.83 7.102014e+04
## btc_market_cap                                         16.16 3.132840e+08
## btc_trade_volume                                       47.72 1.687620e+06
## btc_blocks_size                                         0.09 7.772400e+02
## btc_avg_block_size                                     -1.01 1.000000e-02
## btc_n_orphaned_blocks                                   7.53 2.000000e-02
## btc_n_transactions_per_block                           -0.61 1.274000e+01
## btc_median_confirmation_time                            2.33 9.000000e-02
## btc_hash_rate                                           8.94 3.642015e+04
## btc_difficulty                                          8.35 4.780204e+09
## btc_miners_revenue                                     12.04 4.002358e+04
## btc_transaction_fees                                   12.09 1.590000e+00
## btc_cost_per_transaction_percent                       31.48 2.100000e-01
## btc_cost_per_transaction                                4.20 2.600000e-01
## btc_n_unique_addresses                                 -0.62 3.644930e+03
## btc_n_transactions                                     -0.56 1.896880e+03
## btc_n_transactions_total                                0.17 1.473944e+06
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_popular                   -0.61 1.920110e+03
## btc_n_transactions_excluding_chains_longer_than_100    -0.08 1.286820e+03
## btc_output_volume                                     114.23 4.565494e+04
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume                      177.15 5.382230e+03
## btc_estimated_transaction_volume_usd                   18.82 4.860972e+06
attach(bitcoin.df)

3.3 Model

In order to test Hypothesis 1a & 1b, we proposed the following model:

\[BTCMktPrice= \alpha_0 + \alpha_1 BTCValue + \alpha_2 Total Transactions + \epsilon\]

Regression Model:-

mod<-lm(btc_market_price~btc_market_cap + btc_n_transactions + btc_miners_revenue, data=bitcoin.df)
summary(mod)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = btc_market_price ~ btc_market_cap + btc_n_transactions + 
##     btc_miners_revenue, data = bitcoin.df)
## 
## Residuals:
##      Min       1Q   Median       3Q      Max 
## -191.008  -11.272   -7.069   12.177  265.881 
## 
## Coefficients:
##                      Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept)         1.165e+01  8.289e-01  14.055  < 2e-16 ***
## btc_market_cap      5.282e-08  1.055e-10 500.603  < 2e-16 ***
## btc_n_transactions -2.897e-05  6.909e-06  -4.193 2.84e-05 ***
## btc_miners_revenue  6.158e-05  8.148e-07  75.573  < 2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 26.87 on 2636 degrees of freedom
##   (1 observation deleted due to missingness)
## Multiple R-squared:  0.9992, Adjusted R-squared:  0.9992 
## F-statistic: 1.145e+06 on 3 and 2636 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16

3.4 Results

We established the effect of total USD value of bitcoin supply in circulation on USD market price across major bitcoin exchanges.P-value of total USD value i.e. btc_market_cap, btc_n_transactions and btc_miners_revenue is less then 0.05, hence it is significant in determinig the market prices of Bitcoins. Also adjusted R-squared value is high therefore model fits the data.

library(ggplot2)
## 
## Attaching package: 'ggplot2'
## The following objects are masked from 'package:psych':
## 
##     %+%, alpha
ggplot(bitcoin.df, aes(bitcoin.df$btc_market_cap, bitcoin.df$btc_market_price)) + 
  geom_point(color="red") +
  ggtitle('BTC Market Capitalization vs. Market Price') +
  theme(plot.title = element_text(size=19.5, face="bold", 
    margin = margin(10, 0, 10, 0)))+
  labs(x="Market Cap (USD)", y="Market Price (USD)")+
  theme(axis.text.x=element_text(angle=50, vjust=0.5)) +
  theme(panel.background = element_rect(fill = 'grey75'))+
  stat_smooth(method = "lm",  formula = y ~ x, col = "blue")
## Warning: Removed 1 rows containing non-finite values (stat_smooth).
## Warning: Removed 1 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

ggplot(bitcoin.df, aes(bitcoin.df$btc_miners_revenue/1000000, bitcoin.df$btc_market_price)) + 
  geom_point(color="firebrick") +
  ggtitle('BTC Miners Revenue vs. Market Price') +
  theme(plot.title = element_text(size=19.5, face="bold", 
    margin = margin(10, 0, 10, 0)))+
  labs(x="Miners Revenue MM (USD)", y="Market Price (USD)")+
  theme(axis.text.x=element_text(angle=90, vjust=0.5)) +
  theme(panel.background = element_rect(fill = 'grey75'))+
  stat_smooth(method = "lm",  formula = y ~ poly(x,2), col = "yellow")
## Warning: Removed 1 rows containing non-finite values (stat_smooth).
## Warning: Removed 1 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

ggplot(bitcoin.df, aes(bitcoin.df$btc_n_transactions, bitcoin.df$btc_market_price)) + 
  geom_point(color="firebrick") +
  ggtitle('BTC Transactions vs. Market Price') +
  theme(plot.title = element_text(size=19.5, face="bold", 
    margin = margin(10, 0, 10, 0)))+
  labs(x="Transaction Volume MM (USD)", y="Market Price (USD)")+
  theme(axis.text.x=element_text(angle=90, vjust=0.5)) +
  theme(panel.background = element_rect(fill = 'grey75'))+
  stat_smooth(method = "lm",  formula = y ~ poly(x,2), col = "yellow")
## Warning: Removed 1 rows containing non-finite values (stat_smooth).
## Warning: Removed 1 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

bitcoin.df <- na.omit(bitcoin.df)
library(corrplot)
## corrplot 0.84 loaded
cor <- cor(bitcoin.df[,2:12])
corrplot(cor, method = "pie", main = "Correlation Matrix")

The variables closest related to Market Price are Market Cap, Trade Volume, Blocks Size, Transactions per block, Hash Rate, Difficulty rate to find a new block.

4. Conclusion

This project has been done to realise the trend behind the rise of “Bitcoin”. The initial price of bitcoin, set in 2010, was less than 1 cent. Now it’s crossed $16,000. Once seen as the province of nerds, libertarians and drug dealers, bitcoin today is drawing millions of dollars from hedge funds. The recent price surge may be a bubble. Or it could be a belated recognition by the broader financial community that so-called cryptocurrencies – digital forms of money – are going mainstream. It might be time to nail down what a bitcoin is, and why its price has been going through the roof.Bitcoin’s rapid growth model is a sign of shifting paradigms in the world of finance. Bitcoin’s upward trajectory in the markets continues, traders could expect to see even more record prices in coming weeks. Bitcoin’s growth in popularity is the lack of external regulation and control from big banks.Coinbase, a bitcoin exchange, was overwhelmed by two to three times its normal traffic on Nov. 29, when bitcoin’s price soared past 11,000 dollar, making its service temporarily unavailable to some users. New crypto-focused hedge funds are opening up weekly, and already surpass 100. Most of them invest at least part of their funds in bitcoin.

A recent survey shows, that trust inbanks and regulatory authorities, and governemtns is at an all time low. People are actually trusting businesspeople more than they’re trusting governments and leaders. in another survye, 45 percent of people in this very crucial demographic in the U.S. were saying that they’re comfortable using an independent or branded currency.Corporations are filling gaps that governments can’t afford to fill.

Cryptocurrencies are the first step of this evolution. Cryptocurrencies are digital money that isn’t run by any government or bank. It’s money designed to work in a world without intermediaries. Bitcoin is the most ubiquitous cryptocurrency, but there are hundreds of them. There’s Ethereum, Litecoin, Stellar, Dogecoin, and those are just a few of the more popular ones. And these things are real money.

Cryptocurrencies are the first step to a world with a global programmable money. And in a world with programmable money, I can pay anyone else securely without having to sign up or ask permission, or do a conversion or worry about my money getting stuck. And I can send money around the world. This is a really amazing thing. It’s the idea of permission-less innovation. The Internet caused an explosion of innovation, because it was built upon an open architecture. And just like the Internet changed the way we communicate, programmable money is going to change the way we pay, allocate and decide on value. Programmable money democratizes money.

“Evolution of the current financial system or a revolution to come in terms of the circulation of financial flows”