Welcome
Over the past few years I have created a straightforward way to rank college football teams. Basically, I wanted a way to combine subjective views towards teams with an objective component. I have tinkered with my formula over the seasons and have what I think is a pretty decent way to compare resumes of different teams. This is NOT a sophisticated algorithm, and should not be treated the same way as Sagarin, KenPom, or other computer rankings found in places like the Massey Ranking Composite. The rankings should also not be used to predict future games; my rankings should be considered a snapshot of how a team’s body of work has been up to this point. Even though it is not the most complicated ranking system ever created, I think its simplicity can be a positive thing.
Basic Idea
I will not go into detail here about how these rankings are calculated, but I will describe the basic concept. Like I mentioned above, these rankings combine subjective and objective features. The subjective component drives the whole process. Every team is placed by me into a bin. There are seven general bins, ranging from -3 to 3. A basic idea of what each bin represents is:
- Bin 3: Elite teams, the cream of the crop. Typically the top 6-8 teams in the country. (e.g. Clemson, Oklahoma)
- Bin 2: Teams that are “solidly ranked.” Not quite elite, but clearly top 25. (e.g. LSU, Washington)
- Bin 1: Teams that are “borderline ranked.” You certainly can make a case they are a top 25 team, but certainly can make the case they are not. (e.g. Boise State, Virginia Tech)
- Bin 0: Teams that are “solidly unranked.” Decent teams that have a pulse, but are not considered close to being top 25. (e.g. Kansas State, Arizona State)
- Bin -1: Starting to get a little worse here. Slightly above-average non-Power 5 teams and below average Power-5 teams are often found here. (e.g. Arkansas, Colorado State, SMU)
- Bin -2: Bad/average non-Power 5 teams, and REALLY bad Power 5 teams. (e.g. Utah State, UL Lafayette, Kansas)
- Bin -3: Really really bad. There are typically about 10 of these. (e.g. Charlotte, Texas State)
If a team seems to be somewhere in between two of these categories, they can be binned as a “0.5”, “1.5”, etc.
This is the subjective part of the process. I make the final call which bin a team falls into, but I try to inform myself as much as possible of the consensus of a given team. For example, for a team to be “borderline ranked” (bin 1), they need to at least appear in the “Other Receiving Votes” area of the AP and Coaches polls. I try to make the bins representative of the nationwide media consensus of a given team. Still, there is definitely subjectivity involved.
The objective element of the rankings gives and takes away points from a team depending on the bins of that team’s opponents. For example, beating a team from bin 0 at home by a “non-blowout score” (less than 22 points) rewards that team 0.5 points, and so on. This is the part of the process that I have tinkered with over the years. A team of course loses points for losing a game, depending on the opponent, where the game was played, and whether it was a blowout or not.
So the basic idea of the system is that we have an idea as fans which “bin” a team falls into. Once we determine that, we can get an obective idea of how a team’s resume is depending on the bins of that team’s wins and losses. The final “Score” of the ranking is simply a sum of the bin you are in and the amount of points you have gained/lost from wins and losses.
Week 14: Grand Finale
I am trying to get these rankings out before the final rankings are revealed, so this will be short. As we all know, the final spot will very likely be between OSU and Alabama, a two-loss conference champ with good wins and a bad loss versus a one-loss non-conference champ with weaker wins but more excuseable blemishes. I have no clue who will be picked. My gut tells me OSU because the committee has emphasized “big wins” historically, but we shall see. For the record, my system barely likes Alabama over OSU. The two teams are actually tied, but one of my tiebreakers is how many losses a team has, so Bama gets the edge there.
You will also see that Auburn is actually ranked 4th this week. Huh? Auburn has some great wins and two of their losses are to playoff teams away from home (and the third loss is at ranked LSU). Does this suggest that I think 3-loss Auburn should be in the playoff? Absolutely not, but their collection of wins and losses are pretty darn good. Consider their 4th place here sort of a bizarre artifact of my system.
Here are the FINAL, pre-bowl season rankings:
| 1 |
Clemson |
12.5 |
12-1 |
(8-1) |
1 |
NA |
| 2 |
Oklahoma |
11.25 |
12-1 |
(9-1) |
3 |
NA |
| 3 |
Georgia |
10.25 |
12-1 |
(8-1) |
T4 |
NA |
| 4 |
Auburn |
9.5 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
2 |
NA |
| 5 |
Alabama |
7.25 |
11-1 |
(7-1) |
T4 |
NA |
| 6 |
Ohio State |
7.25 |
10-2 |
(8-1) |
15 |
NA |
| 7 |
Wisconsin |
7 |
12-1 |
(9-1) |
6 |
NA |
| 8 |
Miami |
7 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
7 |
NA |
| 9 |
Notre Dame |
7 |
9-3 |
(0-0) |
8 |
NA |
| 10 |
USC |
6.75 |
11-2 |
(9-1) |
T12 |
NA |
| 11 |
UCF |
6 |
12-0 |
(9-0) |
14 |
NA |
| 12 |
Penn State |
5.75 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
11 |
NA |
| 13 |
Stanford |
5.25 |
9-4 |
(7-3) |
10 |
NA |
| 14 |
Washington |
5 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
9 |
NA |
| 15 |
TCU |
5 |
10-3 |
(7-3) |
T12 |
NA |
| 16 |
Michigan State |
2.75 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
T16 |
NA |
| 17 |
Washington St |
2.5 |
9-3 |
(6-3) |
T16 |
NA |
| 18 |
OK State |
2 |
9-3 |
(6-3) |
18 |
NA |
| 19 |
Virginia Tech |
1.75 |
9-3 |
(5-3) |
20 |
NA |
| 20 |
Northwestern |
1 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
21 |
NA |
| 21 |
Memphis |
0.75 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
19 |
NA |
| 22 |
LSU |
0.5 |
9-3 |
(6-2) |
22 |
NA |
| 23 |
Mississippi St |
0.5 |
8-4 |
(4-4) |
23 |
NA |
| 24 |
NC State |
-0.25 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
24 |
NA |
| 25 |
Iowa |
-0.75 |
7-5 |
(4-5) |
26 |
NA |
| 26 |
San Diego St |
-1 |
10-2 |
(6-2) |
25 |
NA |
| 27 |
Boise State |
-1.25 |
10-3 |
(8-1) |
29 |
NA |
| 28 |
Michigan |
-1.25 |
8-4 |
(5-4) |
28 |
NA |
| 29 |
S Florida |
-2.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
30 |
NA |
| 30 |
Louisville |
-2.25 |
8-4 |
(4-4) |
31 |
NA |
| 31 |
Troy |
-2.25 |
10-2 |
(7-1) |
32 |
NA |
| 32 |
South Carolina |
-2.25 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
33 |
NA |
| 33 |
Arizona St |
-2.5 |
7-5 |
(6-3) |
34 |
NA |
| 34 |
West Virginia |
-2.75 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
35 |
NA |
| 35 |
Toledo |
-3.25 |
11-2 |
(8-1) |
36 |
NA |
| 36 |
Fresno St |
-3.25 |
9-4 |
(7-2) |
27 |
NA |
| 37 |
Wake Forest |
-3.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
37 |
NA |
| T38 |
Boston College |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
T38 |
NA |
| T38 |
Texas AM |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
T38 |
NA |
| T38 |
Iowa State |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
T38 |
NA |
| 41 |
Kansas State |
-3.75 |
7-5 |
(6-4) |
41 |
NA |
| T42 |
Florida State |
-4.25 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
43 |
NA |
| T42 |
UCLA |
-4.25 |
6-6 |
(4-5) |
42 |
NA |
| 44 |
Texas |
-4.5 |
6-6 |
(5-4) |
44 |
NA |
| 45 |
Army |
-4.5 |
8-3 |
(0-0) |
48 |
2 |
| T46 |
Utah |
-4.75 |
6-6 |
(3-6) |
45 |
NA |
| T46 |
Georgia Tech |
-4.75 |
5-6 |
(4-4) |
47 |
NA |
| 48 |
Oregon |
-5 |
7-5 |
(4-5) |
46 |
NA |
| 49 |
FAU |
-5.25 |
10-3 |
(9-0) |
49 |
NA |
| 50 |
Arizona |
-5.5 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
50 |
NA |
| 51 |
Duke |
-6 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
52 |
NA |
| 52 |
Navy |
-6 |
6-5 |
(4-4) |
51 |
1 |
| T53 |
Purdue |
-6.5 |
6-6 |
(4-5) |
53 |
NA |
| T53 |
Texas Tech |
-6.5 |
6-6 |
(3-6) |
56 |
NA |
| 55 |
SMU |
-6.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
55 |
NA |
| 56 |
Houston |
-7 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
57 |
NA |
| 57 |
Missouri |
-7.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
59 |
NA |
| 58 |
Virginia |
-7.25 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
60 |
NA |
| 59 |
Ole Miss |
-7.25 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
58 |
NA |
| 60 |
California |
-7.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
61 |
NA |
| 61 |
N Illinois |
-8 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
63 |
NA |
| 62 |
N Texas |
-8.25 |
9-4 |
(7-2) |
54 |
NA |
| 63 |
Kentucky |
-8.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
65 |
NA |
| 64 |
Pittsburgh |
-8.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
64 |
NA |
| 65 |
Indiana |
-8.5 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
66 |
NA |
| 66 |
App State |
-9 |
8-4 |
(7-1) |
67 |
NA |
| 67 |
Maryland |
-9.5 |
4-8 |
(2-7) |
69 |
NA |
| 68 |
Colorado |
-9.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
68 |
NA |
| 69 |
Arkansas St |
-9.75 |
7-4 |
(6-2) |
62 |
NA |
| 70 |
Colorado St |
-9.75 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
70 |
NA |
| 71 |
FIU |
-10 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
71 |
NA |
| 72 |
Ohio |
-10.25 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
72 |
NA |
| T73 |
C Michigan |
-10.5 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
T73 |
NA |
| T73 |
Southern Miss |
-10.5 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
T73 |
NA |
| 75 |
Florida |
-10.75 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
77 |
NA |
| 76 |
Minnesota |
-11 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
75 |
NA |
| 77 |
Arkansas |
-11 |
4-8 |
(1-7) |
76 |
NA |
| 78 |
Syracuse |
-11.25 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
79 |
NA |
| 79 |
Nebraska |
-11.5 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
81 |
NA |
| 80 |
UAB |
-11.75 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
82 |
NA |
| 81 |
Wyoming |
-11.75 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
80 |
NA |
| 82 |
Marshall |
-12 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
84 |
NA |
| 83 |
Temple |
-12.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
85 |
NA |
| 84 |
W Michigan |
-12.5 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
86 |
NA |
| 85 |
Akron |
-13 |
7-6 |
(6-3) |
78 |
NA |
| 86 |
Tennessee |
-13.25 |
4-8 |
(0-8) |
88 |
NA |
| T87 |
Vanderbilt |
-13.5 |
5-7 |
(1-7) |
89 |
NA |
| T87 |
Tulane |
-13.5 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
87 |
NA |
| 89 |
Rutgers |
-13.5 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
90 |
NA |
| 90 |
UTSA |
-14 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
91 |
NA |
| 91 |
Utah State |
-14.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
92 |
NA |
| 92 |
N Mexico St |
-14.75 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
93 |
NA |
| 93 |
North Carolina |
-15 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
94 |
NA |
| 94 |
Georgia St |
-15 |
6-5 |
(5-3) |
83 |
NA |
| T95 |
Buffalo |
-15.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
T95 |
NA |
| T95 |
Louisiana Tech |
-15.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
T95 |
NA |
| 97 |
Air Force |
-15.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
97 |
NA |
| 98 |
W Kentucky |
-16.75 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
99 |
NA |
| 99 |
Mid Tennessee |
-17 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
100 |
NA |
| 100 |
E Michigan |
-17 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
101 |
NA |
| 101 |
UNLV |
-18.25 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
102 |
NA |
| 102 |
UL Monroe |
-18.75 |
4-8 |
(4-4) |
98 |
NA |
| 103 |
Illinois |
-19 |
2-10 |
(0-9) |
108 |
NA |
| 104 |
Nevada |
-19 |
3-9 |
(3-5) |
104 |
NA |
| 105 |
BYU |
-19.25 |
4-9 |
(0-0) |
103 |
NA |
| 106 |
Oregon State |
-19.75 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
109 |
NA |
| T107 |
Miami OH |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
T110 |
NA |
| T107 |
Old Dominion |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
T110 |
NA |
| 109 |
Cincinnati |
-20 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
112 |
NA |
| 110 |
Uconn |
-20.5 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
113 |
NA |
| 111 |
Baylor |
-21.5 |
1-11 |
(1-8) |
114 |
NA |
| 112 |
UL Lafayette |
-21.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
105 |
NA |
| 113 |
Umass |
-21.75 |
4-8 |
(0-0) |
T106 |
NA |
| 114 |
S Alabama |
-22 |
4-8 |
(3-5) |
T106 |
NA |
| 115 |
E Carolina |
-22.25 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
116 |
NA |
| 116 |
Tulsa |
-22.5 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
115 |
NA |
| 117 |
New Mexico |
-23 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
117 |
NA |
| 118 |
Idaho |
-23 |
4-8 |
(3-5) |
118 |
NA |
| 119 |
Kansas |
-23.25 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
119 |
NA |
| 120 |
Hawaii |
-24.5 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
120 |
NA |
| 121 |
Kent State |
-26.75 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
122 |
NA |
| 122 |
Bowling Green |
-27.25 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
123 |
NA |
| 123 |
Co Carolina |
-27.5 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
124 |
NA |
| 124 |
GA Southern |
-28 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
121 |
NA |
| 125 |
Rice |
-29.75 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
125 |
NA |
| 126 |
Texas St |
-30.25 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
126 |
NA |
| 127 |
San Jose St |
-30.75 |
2-11 |
(1-7) |
127 |
NA |
| 128 |
Ball State |
-31.5 |
2-10 |
(0-8) |
128 |
NA |
| 129 |
Charlotte |
-32.75 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
129 |
NA |
| 130 |
UTEP |
-33.25 |
0-12 |
(0-8) |
130 |
NA |
Conference Ranks

| 1 |
ACC |
-3.1964 |
| 2 |
Pac 12 |
-3.3125 |
| 3 |
SEC |
-3.5 |
| 4 |
Big 10 |
-4.125 |
| 5 |
Big 12 |
-4.75 |
| 6 |
Ind |
-9.625 |
| 7 |
Amer |
-10.5 |
| 8 |
MW |
-14.375 |
| 9 |
MAC |
-16.25 |
| 10 |
CUSA |
-16.875 |
| 11 |
S Belt |
-18.5 |
Next are the rankings within every conference, as well as each team’s national ranking: (Quick note: for the conference and division rankings, do not pay attention to the “Rem Sched” column this week.)
ACC
| 1 |
Clemson |
12.5 |
12-1 |
(8-1) |
14 |
1 |
| 2 |
Miami |
7 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
13 |
8 |
| 3 |
Virginia Tech |
1.75 |
9-3 |
(5-3) |
12 |
19 |
| 4 |
NC State |
-0.25 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
11 |
24 |
| 5 |
Louisville |
-2.25 |
8-4 |
(4-4) |
10 |
30 |
| 6 |
Wake Forest |
-3.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
9 |
37 |
| 7 |
Boston College |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
8 |
T38 |
| 8 |
Florida State |
-4.25 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
7 |
T42 |
| 9 |
Georgia Tech |
-4.75 |
5-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
T46 |
| 10 |
Duke |
-6 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
5 |
51 |
| 11 |
Virginia |
-7.25 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
4 |
58 |
| 12 |
Pittsburgh |
-8.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
3 |
64 |
| 13 |
Syracuse |
-11.25 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
2 |
78 |
| 14 |
North Carolina |
-15 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
1 |
93 |
Big 10
| 1 |
Ohio State |
7.25 |
10-2 |
(8-1) |
14 |
6 |
| 2 |
Wisconsin |
7 |
12-1 |
(9-1) |
13 |
7 |
| 3 |
Penn State |
5.75 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
12 |
12 |
| 4 |
Michigan State |
2.75 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
11 |
16 |
| 5 |
Northwestern |
1 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
10 |
20 |
| 6 |
Iowa |
-0.75 |
7-5 |
(4-5) |
9 |
25 |
| 7 |
Michigan |
-1.25 |
8-4 |
(5-4) |
8 |
28 |
| 8 |
Purdue |
-6.5 |
6-6 |
(4-5) |
7 |
T53 |
| 9 |
Indiana |
-8.5 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
6 |
65 |
| 10 |
Maryland |
-9.5 |
4-8 |
(2-7) |
5 |
67 |
| 11 |
Minnesota |
-11 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
4 |
76 |
| 12 |
Nebraska |
-11.5 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
3 |
79 |
| 13 |
Rutgers |
-13.5 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
2 |
89 |
| 14 |
Illinois |
-19 |
2-10 |
(0-9) |
1 |
103 |
SEC
| 1 |
Georgia |
10.25 |
12-1 |
(8-1) |
14 |
3 |
| 2 |
Auburn |
9.5 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
13 |
4 |
| 3 |
Alabama |
7.25 |
11-1 |
(7-1) |
12 |
5 |
| 4 |
LSU |
0.5 |
9-3 |
(6-2) |
11 |
22 |
| 5 |
Mississippi St |
0.5 |
8-4 |
(4-4) |
10 |
23 |
| 6 |
South Carolina |
-2.25 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
9 |
32 |
| 7 |
Texas AM |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
8 |
T38 |
| 8 |
Missouri |
-7.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
7 |
57 |
| 9 |
Ole Miss |
-7.25 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
6 |
59 |
| 10 |
Kentucky |
-8.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
5 |
63 |
| 11 |
Florida |
-10.75 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
4 |
75 |
| 12 |
Arkansas |
-11 |
4-8 |
(1-7) |
3 |
77 |
| 13 |
Tennessee |
-13.25 |
4-8 |
(0-8) |
2 |
86 |
| 14 |
Vanderbilt |
-13.5 |
5-7 |
(1-7) |
1 |
T87 |
Big 12
| 1 |
Oklahoma |
11.25 |
12-1 |
(9-1) |
10 |
2 |
| 2 |
TCU |
5 |
10-3 |
(7-3) |
9 |
15 |
| 3 |
OK State |
2 |
9-3 |
(6-3) |
8 |
18 |
| 4 |
West Virginia |
-2.75 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
7 |
34 |
| 5 |
Iowa State |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
6 |
T38 |
| 6 |
Kansas State |
-3.75 |
7-5 |
(6-4) |
5 |
41 |
| 7 |
Texas |
-4.5 |
6-6 |
(5-4) |
4 |
44 |
| 8 |
Texas Tech |
-6.5 |
6-6 |
(3-6) |
3 |
T53 |
| 9 |
Baylor |
-21.5 |
1-11 |
(1-8) |
2 |
111 |
| 10 |
Kansas |
-23.25 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
1 |
119 |
Pac 12
| 1 |
USC |
6.75 |
11-2 |
(9-1) |
12 |
10 |
| 2 |
Stanford |
5.25 |
9-4 |
(7-3) |
11 |
13 |
| 3 |
Washington |
5 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
10 |
14 |
| 4 |
Washington St |
2.5 |
9-3 |
(6-3) |
9 |
17 |
| 5 |
Arizona St |
-2.5 |
7-5 |
(6-3) |
8 |
33 |
| 6 |
UCLA |
-4.25 |
6-6 |
(4-5) |
7 |
T42 |
| 7 |
Utah |
-4.75 |
6-6 |
(3-6) |
6 |
T46 |
| 8 |
Oregon |
-5 |
7-5 |
(4-5) |
5 |
48 |
| 9 |
Arizona |
-5.5 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
4 |
50 |
| 10 |
California |
-7.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
3 |
60 |
| 11 |
Colorado |
-9.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
2 |
68 |
| 12 |
Oregon State |
-19.75 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
1 |
106 |
American
| 1 |
UCF |
6 |
12-0 |
(9-0) |
11 |
11 |
| 2 |
Memphis |
0.75 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
10 |
21 |
| 3 |
S Florida |
-2.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
9 |
29 |
| 4 |
Navy |
-6 |
6-5 |
(4-4) |
12 |
52 |
| 5 |
SMU |
-6.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
8 |
55 |
| 6 |
Houston |
-7 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
7 |
56 |
| 7 |
Temple |
-12.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
83 |
| 8 |
Tulane |
-13.5 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
5 |
T87 |
| 9 |
Cincinnati |
-20 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
4 |
109 |
| 10 |
Uconn |
-20.5 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
3 |
110 |
| 11 |
E Carolina |
-22.25 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
2 |
115 |
| 12 |
Tulsa |
-22.5 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
1 |
116 |
Mountain West
| 1 |
San Diego St |
-1 |
10-2 |
(6-2) |
12 |
26 |
| 2 |
Boise State |
-1.25 |
10-3 |
(8-1) |
11 |
27 |
| 3 |
Fresno St |
-3.25 |
9-4 |
(7-2) |
10 |
36 |
| 4 |
Colorado St |
-9.75 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
9 |
70 |
| 5 |
Wyoming |
-11.75 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
8 |
81 |
| 6 |
Utah State |
-14.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
7 |
91 |
| 7 |
Air Force |
-15.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
6 |
97 |
| 8 |
UNLV |
-18.25 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
5 |
101 |
| 9 |
Nevada |
-19 |
3-9 |
(3-5) |
4 |
104 |
| 10 |
New Mexico |
-23 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
3 |
117 |
| 11 |
Hawaii |
-24.5 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
2 |
120 |
| 12 |
San Jose St |
-30.75 |
2-11 |
(1-7) |
1 |
127 |
MAC
| 1 |
Toledo |
-3.25 |
11-2 |
(8-1) |
12 |
35 |
| 2 |
N Illinois |
-8 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
11 |
61 |
| 3 |
Ohio |
-10.25 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
10 |
72 |
| 4 |
C Michigan |
-10.5 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
9 |
T73 |
| 5 |
W Michigan |
-12.5 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
8 |
84 |
| 6 |
Akron |
-13 |
7-6 |
(6-3) |
7 |
85 |
| 7 |
Buffalo |
-15.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
T95 |
| 8 |
E Michigan |
-17 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
5 |
100 |
| 9 |
Miami OH |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
4 |
T107 |
| 10 |
Kent State |
-26.75 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
3 |
121 |
| 11 |
Bowling Green |
-27.25 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
2 |
122 |
| 12 |
Ball State |
-31.5 |
2-10 |
(0-8) |
1 |
128 |
CUSA
| 1 |
FAU |
-5.25 |
10-3 |
(9-0) |
14 |
49 |
| 2 |
N Texas |
-8.25 |
9-4 |
(7-2) |
13 |
62 |
| 3 |
FIU |
-10 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
12 |
71 |
| 4 |
Southern Miss |
-10.5 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
11 |
T73 |
| 5 |
UAB |
-11.75 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
10 |
80 |
| 6 |
Marshall |
-12 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
9 |
82 |
| 7 |
UTSA |
-14 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
8 |
90 |
| 8 |
Louisiana Tech |
-15.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
7 |
T95 |
| 9 |
W Kentucky |
-16.75 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
98 |
| 10 |
Mid Tennessee |
-17 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
5 |
99 |
| 11 |
Old Dominion |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
4 |
T107 |
| 12 |
Rice |
-29.75 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
3 |
125 |
| 13 |
Charlotte |
-32.75 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
2 |
129 |
| 14 |
UTEP |
-33.25 |
0-12 |
(0-8) |
1 |
130 |
Sun Belt
| 1 |
Troy |
-2.25 |
10-2 |
(7-1) |
12 |
31 |
| 2 |
App State |
-9 |
8-4 |
(7-1) |
11 |
66 |
| 3 |
Arkansas St |
-9.75 |
7-4 |
(6-2) |
10 |
69 |
| 4 |
N Mexico St |
-14.75 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
9 |
92 |
| 5 |
Georgia St |
-15 |
6-5 |
(5-3) |
8 |
94 |
| 6 |
UL Monroe |
-18.75 |
4-8 |
(4-4) |
7 |
102 |
| 7 |
UL Lafayette |
-21.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
6 |
112 |
| 8 |
S Alabama |
-22 |
4-8 |
(3-5) |
5 |
114 |
| 9 |
Idaho |
-23 |
4-8 |
(3-5) |
4 |
118 |
| 10 |
Co Carolina |
-27.5 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
3 |
123 |
| 11 |
GA Southern |
-28 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
2 |
124 |
| 12 |
Texas St |
-30.25 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
1 |
126 |
Independents
| 1 |
Notre Dame |
7 |
9-3 |
(0-0) |
3 |
9 |
| 2 |
Army |
-4.5 |
8-3 |
(0-0) |
4 |
45 |
| 3 |
BYU |
-19.25 |
4-9 |
(0-0) |
2 |
105 |
| 4 |
Umass |
-21.75 |
4-8 |
(0-0) |
1 |
113 |
Division Ranks
For those who are even more curious, here are the same analyses but by division instead of conference. I know the plot is a little busy, but it gives a decent idea of how the divisions fall.

| 1 |
SEC W |
-0.5714 |
| 2 |
ACC Atl |
-1.75 |
| 3 |
Big 10 E |
-2.4286 |
| 4 |
Pac 12 N |
-3.2917 |
| 5 |
Pac 12 S |
-3.3333 |
| 6 |
ACC Coast |
-4.6429 |
| 7 |
Big 12 |
-4.75 |
| 8 |
Big 10 W |
-5.8214 |
| 9 |
SEC E |
-6.4286 |
| 10 |
Amer W |
-9.125 |
| 11 |
Ind |
-9.625 |
| 12 |
Amer E |
-11.875 |
| 13 |
MW Moun |
-12.625 |
| 14 |
MAC W |
-13.7917 |
| 15 |
MW West |
-16.125 |
| 16 |
CUSA E |
-16.2143 |
| 17 |
CUSA W |
-17.5357 |
| 18 |
S Belt |
-18.5 |
| 19 |
MAC E |
-18.7083 |
Next are the rankings within every division, as well as each team’s national ranking (now with plots!):
ACC Coastal
| 1 |
Miami |
7 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
7 |
8 |
| 2 |
Virginia Tech |
1.75 |
9-3 |
(5-3) |
6 |
19 |
| 3 |
Georgia Tech |
-4.75 |
5-6 |
(4-4) |
5 |
T46 |
| 4 |
Duke |
-6 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
4 |
51 |
| 5 |
Virginia |
-7.25 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
3 |
58 |
| 6 |
Pittsburgh |
-8.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
2 |
64 |
| 7 |
North Carolina |
-15 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
1 |
93 |

ACC Atlantic
| 1 |
Clemson |
12.5 |
12-1 |
(8-1) |
7 |
1 |
| 2 |
NC State |
-0.25 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
6 |
24 |
| 3 |
Louisville |
-2.25 |
8-4 |
(4-4) |
5 |
30 |
| 4 |
Wake Forest |
-3.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
4 |
37 |
| 5 |
Boston College |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
3 |
T38 |
| 6 |
Florida State |
-4.25 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
2 |
T42 |
| 7 |
Syracuse |
-11.25 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
1 |
78 |

SEC East
| 1 |
Georgia |
10.25 |
12-1 |
(8-1) |
7 |
3 |
| 2 |
South Carolina |
-2.25 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
6 |
32 |
| 3 |
Missouri |
-7.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
5 |
57 |
| 4 |
Kentucky |
-8.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
4 |
63 |
| 5 |
Florida |
-10.75 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
3 |
75 |
| 6 |
Tennessee |
-13.25 |
4-8 |
(0-8) |
2 |
86 |
| 7 |
Vanderbilt |
-13.5 |
5-7 |
(1-7) |
1 |
T87 |

SEC West
| 1 |
Auburn |
9.5 |
10-3 |
(7-2) |
7 |
4 |
| 2 |
Alabama |
7.25 |
11-1 |
(7-1) |
6 |
5 |
| 3 |
LSU |
0.5 |
9-3 |
(6-2) |
5 |
22 |
| 4 |
Mississippi St |
0.5 |
8-4 |
(4-4) |
4 |
23 |
| 5 |
Texas AM |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
3 |
T38 |
| 6 |
Ole Miss |
-7.25 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
2 |
59 |
| 7 |
Arkansas |
-11 |
4-8 |
(1-7) |
1 |
77 |

Big 10 East
| 1 |
Ohio State |
7.25 |
10-2 |
(8-1) |
7 |
6 |
| 2 |
Penn State |
5.75 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
6 |
12 |
| 3 |
Michigan State |
2.75 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
5 |
16 |
| 4 |
Michigan |
-1.25 |
8-4 |
(5-4) |
4 |
28 |
| 5 |
Indiana |
-8.5 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
3 |
65 |
| 6 |
Maryland |
-9.5 |
4-8 |
(2-7) |
2 |
67 |
| 7 |
Rutgers |
-13.5 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
1 |
89 |

Big 10 West
| 1 |
Wisconsin |
7 |
12-1 |
(9-1) |
7 |
7 |
| 2 |
Northwestern |
1 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
6 |
20 |
| 3 |
Iowa |
-0.75 |
7-5 |
(4-5) |
5 |
25 |
| 4 |
Purdue |
-6.5 |
6-6 |
(4-5) |
4 |
T53 |
| 5 |
Minnesota |
-11 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
3 |
76 |
| 6 |
Nebraska |
-11.5 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
2 |
79 |
| 7 |
Illinois |
-19 |
2-10 |
(0-9) |
1 |
103 |

Big 12
| 1 |
Oklahoma |
11.25 |
12-1 |
(9-1) |
10 |
2 |
| 2 |
TCU |
5 |
10-3 |
(7-3) |
9 |
15 |
| 3 |
OK State |
2 |
9-3 |
(6-3) |
8 |
18 |
| 4 |
West Virginia |
-2.75 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
7 |
34 |
| 5 |
Iowa State |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
6 |
T38 |
| 6 |
Kansas State |
-3.75 |
7-5 |
(6-4) |
5 |
41 |
| 7 |
Texas |
-4.5 |
6-6 |
(5-4) |
4 |
44 |
| 8 |
Texas Tech |
-6.5 |
6-6 |
(3-6) |
3 |
T53 |
| 9 |
Baylor |
-21.5 |
1-11 |
(1-8) |
2 |
111 |
| 10 |
Kansas |
-23.25 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
1 |
119 |

Pac 12 North
| 1 |
Stanford |
5.25 |
9-4 |
(7-3) |
6 |
13 |
| 2 |
Washington |
5 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
5 |
14 |
| 3 |
Washington St |
2.5 |
9-3 |
(6-3) |
4 |
17 |
| 4 |
Oregon |
-5 |
7-5 |
(4-5) |
3 |
48 |
| 5 |
California |
-7.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
2 |
60 |
| 6 |
Oregon State |
-19.75 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
1 |
106 |

Pac 12 South
| 1 |
USC |
6.75 |
11-2 |
(9-1) |
6 |
10 |
| 2 |
Arizona St |
-2.5 |
7-5 |
(6-3) |
5 |
33 |
| 3 |
UCLA |
-4.25 |
6-6 |
(4-5) |
4 |
T42 |
| 4 |
Utah |
-4.75 |
6-6 |
(3-6) |
3 |
T46 |
| 5 |
Arizona |
-5.5 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
2 |
50 |
| 6 |
Colorado |
-9.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
1 |
68 |

American East
| 1 |
UCF |
6 |
12-0 |
(9-0) |
6 |
11 |
| 2 |
S Florida |
-2.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
5 |
29 |
| 3 |
Temple |
-12.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
4 |
83 |
| 4 |
Cincinnati |
-20 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
3 |
109 |
| 5 |
Uconn |
-20.5 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
2 |
110 |
| 6 |
E Carolina |
-22.25 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
1 |
115 |

American West
| 1 |
Memphis |
0.75 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
5 |
21 |
| 2 |
Navy |
-6 |
6-5 |
(4-4) |
6 |
52 |
| 3 |
SMU |
-6.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
4 |
55 |
| 4 |
Houston |
-7 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
3 |
56 |
| 5 |
Tulane |
-13.5 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
2 |
T87 |
| 6 |
Tulsa |
-22.5 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
1 |
116 |

MW Mountain
| 1 |
Boise State |
-1.25 |
10-3 |
(8-1) |
6 |
27 |
| 2 |
Colorado St |
-9.75 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
5 |
70 |
| 3 |
Wyoming |
-11.75 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
4 |
81 |
| 4 |
Utah State |
-14.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
3 |
91 |
| 5 |
Air Force |
-15.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
2 |
97 |
| 6 |
New Mexico |
-23 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
1 |
117 |

MW West
| 1 |
San Diego St |
-1 |
10-2 |
(6-2) |
6 |
26 |
| 2 |
Fresno St |
-3.25 |
9-4 |
(7-2) |
5 |
36 |
| 3 |
UNLV |
-18.25 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
4 |
101 |
| 4 |
Nevada |
-19 |
3-9 |
(3-5) |
3 |
104 |
| 5 |
Hawaii |
-24.5 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
2 |
120 |
| 6 |
San Jose St |
-30.75 |
2-11 |
(1-7) |
1 |
127 |

MAC East
| 1 |
Ohio |
-10.25 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
6 |
72 |
| 2 |
Akron |
-13 |
7-6 |
(6-3) |
5 |
85 |
| 3 |
Buffalo |
-15.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
4 |
T95 |
| 4 |
Miami OH |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
3 |
T107 |
| 5 |
Kent State |
-26.75 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
2 |
121 |
| 6 |
Bowling Green |
-27.25 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
1 |
122 |

MAC West
| 1 |
Toledo |
-3.25 |
11-2 |
(8-1) |
6 |
35 |
| 2 |
N Illinois |
-8 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
5 |
61 |
| 3 |
C Michigan |
-10.5 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
4 |
T73 |
| 4 |
W Michigan |
-12.5 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
3 |
84 |
| 5 |
E Michigan |
-17 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
2 |
100 |
| 6 |
Ball State |
-31.5 |
2-10 |
(0-8) |
1 |
128 |

C-USA East
| 1 |
FAU |
-5.25 |
10-3 |
(9-0) |
7 |
49 |
| 2 |
FIU |
-10 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
6 |
71 |
| 3 |
Marshall |
-12 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
5 |
82 |
| 4 |
W Kentucky |
-16.75 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
4 |
98 |
| 5 |
Mid Tennessee |
-17 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
3 |
99 |
| 6 |
Old Dominion |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
2 |
T107 |
| 7 |
Charlotte |
-32.75 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
1 |
129 |

C-USA West
| 1 |
N Texas |
-8.25 |
9-4 |
(7-2) |
7 |
62 |
| 2 |
Southern Miss |
-10.5 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
6 |
T73 |
| 3 |
UAB |
-11.75 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
5 |
80 |
| 4 |
UTSA |
-14 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
4 |
90 |
| 5 |
Louisiana Tech |
-15.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
3 |
T95 |
| 6 |
Rice |
-29.75 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
2 |
125 |
| 7 |
UTEP |
-33.25 |
0-12 |
(0-8) |
1 |
130 |

Sun Belt
| 1 |
Troy |
-2.25 |
10-2 |
(7-1) |
12 |
31 |
| 2 |
App State |
-9 |
8-4 |
(7-1) |
11 |
66 |
| 3 |
Arkansas St |
-9.75 |
7-4 |
(6-2) |
10 |
69 |
| 4 |
N Mexico St |
-14.75 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
9 |
92 |
| 5 |
Georgia St |
-15 |
6-5 |
(5-3) |
8 |
94 |
| 6 |
UL Monroe |
-18.75 |
4-8 |
(4-4) |
7 |
102 |
| 7 |
UL Lafayette |
-21.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
6 |
112 |
| 8 |
S Alabama |
-22 |
4-8 |
(3-5) |
5 |
114 |
| 9 |
Idaho |
-23 |
4-8 |
(3-5) |
4 |
118 |
| 10 |
Co Carolina |
-27.5 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
3 |
123 |
| 11 |
GA Southern |
-28 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
2 |
124 |
| 12 |
Texas St |
-30.25 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
1 |
126 |

Independents
| 1 |
Notre Dame |
7 |
9-3 |
(0-0) |
3 |
9 |
| 2 |
Army |
-4.5 |
8-3 |
(0-0) |
4 |
45 |
| 3 |
BYU |
-19.25 |
4-9 |
(0-0) |
2 |
105 |
| 4 |
Umass |
-21.75 |
4-8 |
(0-0) |
1 |
113 |
