Welcome
Over the past few years I have created a straightforward way to rank college football teams. Basically, I wanted a way to combine subjective views towards teams with an objective component. I have tinkered with my formula over the seasons and have what I think is a pretty decent way to compare resumes of different teams. This is NOT a sophisticated algorithm, and should not be treated the same way as Sagarin, KenPom, or other computer rankings found in places like the Massey Ranking Composite. The rankings should also not be used to predict future games; my rankings should be considered a snapshot of how a team’s body of work has been up to this point. Even though it is not the most complicated ranking system ever created, I think its simplicity can be a positive thing.
Basic Idea
I will not go into detail here about how these rankings are calculated, but I will describe the basic concept. Like I mentioned above, these rankings combine subjective and objective features. The subjective component drives the whole process. Every team is placed by me into a bin. There are seven general bins, ranging from -3 to 3. A basic idea of what each bin represents is:
- Bin 3: Elite teams, the cream of the crop. Typically the top 6-8 teams in the country. (e.g. Clemson, Oklahoma)
- Bin 2: Teams that are “solidly ranked.” Not quite elite, but clearly top 25. (e.g. Ohio State, Washington)
- Bin 1: Teams that are “borderline ranked.” You certainly can make a case they are a top 25 team, but certainly can make the case they are not. (e.g. Fresno State, Virginia Tech)
- Bin 0: Teams that are “solidly unranked.” Decent teams that have a pulse, but are not considered close to being top 25. (e.g. Kansas State, Arizona State)
- Bin -1: Starting to get a little worse here. Slightly above-average non-Power 5 teams and below average Power-5 teams are often found here. (e.g. Arkansas, Colorado State, SMU)
- Bin -2: Bad/average non-Power 5 teams, and REALLY bad Power 5 teams. (e.g. Utah State, UL Lafayette, Kansas)
- Bin -3: Really really bad. There are typically about 10 of these. (e.g. Charlotte, Texas State)
If a team seems to be somewhere in between two of these categories, they can be binned as a “0.5”, “1.5”, etc.
This is the subjective part of the process. I make the final call which bin a team falls into, but I try to inform myself as much as possible of the consensus of a given team. For example, for a team to be “borderline ranked” (bin 1), they need to at least appear in the “Other Receiving Votes” area of the AP and Coaches polls. I try to make the bins representative of the nationwide media consensus of a given team. Still, there is definitely subjectivity involved.
The objective element of the rankings gives and takes away points from a team depending on the bins of that team’s opponents. For example, beating a team from bin 0 at home by a “non-blowout score” (less than 22 points) rewards that team 0.5 points, and so on. This is the part of the process that I have tinkered with over the years. A team of course loses points for losing a game, depending on the opponent, where the game was played, and whether it was a blowout or not.
So the basic idea of the system is that we have an idea as fans which “bin” a team falls into. Once we determine that, we can get an obective idea of how a team’s resume is depending on the bins of that team’s wins and losses. The final “Score” of the ranking is simply a sum of the bin you are in and the amount of points you have gained/lost from wins and losses.
Week 13: Alabama Loses and Goes…Up?
All season these rankings have had Alabama well below where the national consensus had the Tide. Their lack of elite wins but unblemished profile always kept them well into the top 10, but outside of the top tier of teams in my rankings. Coming off their first loss, I expected the Tide to fall further down. But of course, going along with the Alabama-head-scratcher theme of the season, the weekend in which Alabama loses results in the Tide going up in the rankings, cracking the top 5.
Why did this happen? Three main reasons. One, it should be mentioned (as I have done in previous weeks) that losing on the road to an elite team barely harms your score at all. So yes, Alabama lost at Auburn, but that barely knocks them down. Two, Fresno State had a big week, beating Boise State and cracking the top 25. Alabama happened to beat the Bulldogs by a large margin early in the season, so Fresno State doing well is indirectly helping Alabama’s score. LSU had a similar bump this week which also helped Alabama. And finally, Miami’s bad loss to Pittsburgh knocks the Canes well out of the top 5. After it’s all said and done, Alabama comes in at tied for 4th with Georgia.
The top 7 are very similar with what the committee has, with the exception of Wisconsin being down at 6. However, if the Badgers win they should pass Alabama and Georgia, if Auburn is able to beat the Bulldogs. The largest top-25 discrepency between these rankings and the committee’s has to be Ohio State, who is all the way down at 15th in this week’s rankings. It should be noted that teams 9-15 are all separated by a very small amount of points. If OSU wins against Wisconsin this week, they will no doubt shoot up the rankings, although they would probably end up outside the top 4 in my system. My rankings are not high on the Buckeyes because of the bad loss to Iowa and because beyond their top 2 wins (PSU and MSU), their resume is not the deepest in the world.
Here are the last power rankings of the regular season:
| 1 |
Clemson |
10.5 |
11-1 |
(7-1) |
1 |
5 |
| 2 |
Auburn |
10 |
10-2 |
(7-1) |
5 |
5 |
| 3 |
Oklahoma |
9 |
11-1 |
(8-1) |
4 |
7 |
| T4 |
Georgia |
8.25 |
11-1 |
(7-1) |
3 |
1 |
| T4 |
Alabama |
8.25 |
11-1 |
(7-1) |
T7 |
NA |
| 6 |
Wisconsin |
7.75 |
12-0 |
(9-0) |
T7 |
7 |
| 7 |
Miami |
7.25 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
2 |
1 |
| 8 |
Notre Dame |
7 |
9-3 |
(0-0) |
6 |
NA |
| 9 |
Washington |
5.75 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
18 |
NA |
| 10 |
Stanford |
5.75 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
16 |
7 |
| 11 |
Penn State |
5.5 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
T9 |
NA |
| T12 |
TCU |
5.25 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
T9 |
1 |
| T12 |
USC |
5.25 |
10-2 |
(8-1) |
T9 |
7 |
| 14 |
UCF |
5 |
11-0 |
(8-0) |
13 |
7 |
| 15 |
Ohio State |
5 |
10-2 |
(8-1) |
12 |
1 |
| T16 |
Michigan State |
2.25 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
17 |
NA |
| T16 |
Washington St |
2.25 |
9-3 |
(6-3) |
14 |
NA |
| 18 |
OK State |
2 |
9-3 |
(6-3) |
19 |
NA |
| 19 |
Memphis |
1.75 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
20 |
7 |
| 20 |
Virginia Tech |
1.75 |
9-3 |
(5-3) |
T21 |
NA |
| 21 |
Northwestern |
1.25 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
T21 |
NA |
| 22 |
LSU |
0.75 |
9-3 |
(6-2) |
23 |
NA |
| 23 |
Mississippi St |
0.5 |
8-4 |
(4-4) |
15 |
NA |
| 24 |
NC State |
-0.25 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
26 |
NA |
| 25 |
San Diego St |
-0.75 |
10-2 |
(6-2) |
34 |
NA |
| 26 |
Iowa |
-0.75 |
7-5 |
(4-5) |
29 |
NA |
| 27 |
Fresno St |
-1.25 |
9-3 |
(7-1) |
44 |
14 |
| 28 |
Michigan |
-1.5 |
8-4 |
(5-4) |
25 |
NA |
| 29 |
Boise State |
-1.75 |
9-3 |
(7-1) |
24 |
13 |
| 30 |
S Florida |
-2.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
27 |
NA |
| 31 |
Louisville |
-2.25 |
8-4 |
(4-4) |
37 |
NA |
| 32 |
Troy |
-2.5 |
9-2 |
(6-1) |
36 |
21 |
| 33 |
South Carolina |
-2.5 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
28 |
NA |
| 34 |
Arizona St |
-2.5 |
7-5 |
(6-3) |
38 |
NA |
| 35 |
West Virginia |
-2.75 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
35 |
NA |
| 36 |
Toledo |
-3.25 |
10-2 |
(7-1) |
39 |
23 |
| 37 |
Wake Forest |
-3.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
31 |
NA |
| T38 |
Boston College |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
T46 |
NA |
| T38 |
Texas AM |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
32 |
NA |
| T38 |
Iowa State |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
30 |
NA |
| 41 |
Kansas State |
-3.75 |
7-5 |
(6-4) |
T42 |
NA |
| 42 |
UCLA |
-4 |
6-6 |
(4-5) |
T48 |
NA |
| 43 |
Florida State |
-4.25 |
5-6 |
(3-5) |
T48 |
26 |
| 44 |
Texas |
-4.5 |
6-6 |
(5-4) |
33 |
NA |
| 45 |
Utah |
-4.75 |
6-6 |
(3-6) |
50 |
NA |
| 46 |
Oregon |
-5 |
7-5 |
(4-5) |
T46 |
NA |
| 47 |
Georgia Tech |
-5 |
5-6 |
(4-4) |
T42 |
NA |
| 48 |
Army |
-5 |
8-3 |
(0-0) |
52 |
21 |
| 49 |
FAU |
-5.25 |
9-3 |
(8-0) |
51 |
19 |
| 50 |
Arizona |
-5.5 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
40 |
NA |
| 51 |
Navy |
-5.75 |
6-5 |
(4-4) |
41 |
19 |
| 52 |
Duke |
-6 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
63 |
NA |
| 53 |
Purdue |
-6.25 |
6-6 |
(4-5) |
56 |
NA |
| 54 |
N Texas |
-6.25 |
9-3 |
(7-1) |
61 |
14 |
| 55 |
SMU |
-6.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
58 |
NA |
| 56 |
Texas Tech |
-6.5 |
6-6 |
(3-6) |
62 |
NA |
| 57 |
Houston |
-6.5 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
60 |
NA |
| 58 |
Ole Miss |
-7 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
72 |
NA |
| 59 |
Missouri |
-7.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
59 |
NA |
| 60 |
Virginia |
-7.75 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
53 |
NA |
| 61 |
California |
-7.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
54 |
NA |
| 62 |
Arkansas St |
-7.75 |
7-3 |
(6-1) |
T69 |
14 |
| 63 |
N Illinois |
-8 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
55 |
NA |
| 64 |
Pittsburgh |
-8.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
84 |
NA |
| 65 |
Kentucky |
-8.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
45 |
NA |
| 66 |
Indiana |
-8.5 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
57 |
NA |
| 67 |
App State |
-9.25 |
7-4 |
(6-1) |
75 |
26 |
| 68 |
Colorado |
-9.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
65 |
NA |
| 69 |
Maryland |
-9.75 |
4-8 |
(2-7) |
66 |
NA |
| 70 |
Colorado St |
-10 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
74 |
NA |
| 71 |
FIU |
-10 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
83 |
26 |
| 72 |
Ohio |
-10.25 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
T69 |
NA |
| T73 |
C Michigan |
-10.5 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
81 |
NA |
| T73 |
Southern Miss |
-10.5 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
67 |
NA |
| 75 |
Minnesota |
-10.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
80 |
NA |
| 76 |
Arkansas |
-10.75 |
4-8 |
(1-7) |
64 |
NA |
| 77 |
Florida |
-11 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
68 |
NA |
| 78 |
Akron |
-11 |
7-5 |
(6-2) |
86 |
14 |
| 79 |
Syracuse |
-11.25 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
73 |
NA |
| 80 |
Wyoming |
-11.5 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
71 |
NA |
| 81 |
Nebraska |
-11.75 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
77 |
NA |
| 82 |
UAB |
-11.75 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
91 |
NA |
| 83 |
Georgia St |
-11.75 |
6-4 |
(5-2) |
76 |
32 |
| 84 |
Marshall |
-12 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
78 |
NA |
| 85 |
Temple |
-12.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
89 |
NA |
| 86 |
W Michigan |
-12.5 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
82 |
NA |
| 87 |
Tulane |
-13.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
87 |
NA |
| 88 |
Tennessee |
-13.5 |
4-8 |
(0-8) |
79 |
NA |
| 89 |
Vanderbilt |
-13.75 |
5-7 |
(1-7) |
92 |
NA |
| 90 |
Rutgers |
-13.75 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
85 |
NA |
| 91 |
UTSA |
-14 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
90 |
NA |
| 92 |
Utah State |
-14.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
88 |
NA |
| 93 |
N Mexico St |
-14.75 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
T98 |
26 |
| 94 |
North Carolina |
-15 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
96 |
NA |
| T95 |
Buffalo |
-15.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
T98 |
NA |
| T95 |
Louisiana Tech |
-15.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
T94 |
NA |
| 97 |
Air Force |
-16 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
97 |
NA |
| 98 |
UL Monroe |
-16.25 |
4-7 |
(4-4) |
T94 |
14 |
| 99 |
W Kentucky |
-16.75 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
93 |
NA |
| 100 |
Mid Tennessee |
-17 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
T101 |
NA |
| 101 |
E Michigan |
-17 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
104 |
NA |
| 102 |
UNLV |
-18 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
103 |
NA |
| 103 |
BYU |
-18.75 |
4-9 |
(0-0) |
109 |
NA |
| 104 |
Nevada |
-18.75 |
3-9 |
(3-5) |
113 |
NA |
| 105 |
UL Lafayette |
-19 |
5-6 |
(4-4) |
100 |
23 |
| T106 |
S Alabama |
-19.5 |
4-7 |
(3-4) |
114 |
26 |
| T106 |
Umass |
-19.5 |
4-7 |
(0-0) |
108 |
23 |
| 108 |
Illinois |
-19.5 |
2-10 |
(0-9) |
105 |
NA |
| 109 |
Oregon State |
-19.75 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
107 |
NA |
| T110 |
Miami OH |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
112 |
NA |
| T110 |
Old Dominion |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
T101 |
NA |
| 112 |
Cincinnati |
-20 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
110 |
NA |
| 113 |
Uconn |
-20 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
106 |
NA |
| 114 |
Baylor |
-21.5 |
1-11 |
(1-8) |
115 |
NA |
| 115 |
Tulsa |
-22 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
111 |
NA |
| 116 |
E Carolina |
-22 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
116 |
NA |
| 117 |
New Mexico |
-22.75 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
118 |
NA |
| 118 |
Idaho |
-23 |
3-7 |
(2-5) |
117 |
26 |
| 119 |
Kansas |
-23.25 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
119 |
NA |
| 120 |
Hawaii |
-24 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
120 |
NA |
| 121 |
GA Southern |
-24.75 |
2-9 |
(2-6) |
123 |
33 |
| 122 |
Kent State |
-26.75 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
121 |
NA |
| 123 |
Bowling Green |
-27.25 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
122 |
NA |
| 124 |
Co Carolina |
-27.5 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
126 |
33 |
| 125 |
Rice |
-29.75 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
127 |
NA |
| 126 |
Texas St |
-30.25 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
T124 |
NA |
| 127 |
San Jose St |
-30.25 |
2-11 |
(1-7) |
130 |
NA |
| 128 |
Ball State |
-31.5 |
2-10 |
(0-8) |
T124 |
NA |
| 129 |
Charlotte |
-32.75 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
128 |
NA |
| 130 |
UTEP |
-33.25 |
0-12 |
(0-8) |
129 |
NA |
Conference Ranks

| 1 |
Pac 12 |
-3.3333 |
| 2 |
ACC |
-3.375 |
| 3 |
SEC |
-3.5714 |
| 4 |
Big 10 |
-4.3393 |
| 5 |
Big 12 |
-4.95 |
| 6 |
Ind |
-9.0625 |
| 7 |
Amer |
-10.2917 |
| 8 |
MW |
-14.1042 |
| 9 |
MAC |
-16.0833 |
| 10 |
CUSA |
-16.7321 |
| 11 |
S Belt |
-17.1875 |
Next are the rankings within every conference, as well as each team’s national ranking: (Quick note: for the conference and division rankings, do not pay attention to the “Rem Sched” column this week.)
ACC
| 1 |
Clemson |
10.5 |
11-1 |
(7-1) |
13 |
1 |
| 2 |
Miami |
7.25 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
12 |
7 |
| 3 |
Virginia Tech |
1.75 |
9-3 |
(5-3) |
11 |
20 |
| 4 |
NC State |
-0.25 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
10 |
24 |
| 5 |
Louisville |
-2.25 |
8-4 |
(4-4) |
9 |
31 |
| 6 |
Wake Forest |
-3.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
8 |
37 |
| 7 |
Boston College |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
7 |
T38 |
| 8 |
Florida State |
-4.25 |
5-6 |
(3-5) |
14 |
43 |
| 9 |
Georgia Tech |
-5 |
5-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
47 |
| 10 |
Duke |
-6 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
5 |
52 |
| 11 |
Virginia |
-7.75 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
4 |
60 |
| 12 |
Pittsburgh |
-8.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
3 |
64 |
| 13 |
Syracuse |
-11.25 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
2 |
79 |
| 14 |
North Carolina |
-15 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
1 |
94 |
Big 10
| 1 |
Wisconsin |
7.75 |
12-0 |
(9-0) |
14 |
6 |
| 2 |
Penn State |
5.5 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
12 |
11 |
| 3 |
Ohio State |
5 |
10-2 |
(8-1) |
13 |
15 |
| 4 |
Michigan State |
2.25 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
11 |
T16 |
| 5 |
Northwestern |
1.25 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
10 |
21 |
| 6 |
Iowa |
-0.75 |
7-5 |
(4-5) |
9 |
26 |
| 7 |
Michigan |
-1.5 |
8-4 |
(5-4) |
8 |
28 |
| 8 |
Purdue |
-6.25 |
6-6 |
(4-5) |
7 |
53 |
| 9 |
Indiana |
-8.5 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
6 |
66 |
| 10 |
Maryland |
-9.75 |
4-8 |
(2-7) |
5 |
69 |
| 11 |
Minnesota |
-10.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
4 |
75 |
| 12 |
Nebraska |
-11.75 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
3 |
81 |
| 13 |
Rutgers |
-13.75 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
2 |
90 |
| 14 |
Illinois |
-19.5 |
2-10 |
(0-9) |
1 |
108 |
SEC
| 1 |
Auburn |
10 |
10-2 |
(7-1) |
14 |
2 |
| T2 |
Georgia |
8.25 |
11-1 |
(7-1) |
13 |
T4 |
| T2 |
Alabama |
8.25 |
11-1 |
(7-1) |
12 |
T4 |
| 4 |
LSU |
0.75 |
9-3 |
(6-2) |
11 |
22 |
| 5 |
Mississippi St |
0.5 |
8-4 |
(4-4) |
10 |
23 |
| 6 |
South Carolina |
-2.5 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
9 |
33 |
| 7 |
Texas AM |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
8 |
T38 |
| 8 |
Ole Miss |
-7 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
7 |
58 |
| 9 |
Missouri |
-7.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
6 |
59 |
| 10 |
Kentucky |
-8.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
5 |
65 |
| 11 |
Arkansas |
-10.75 |
4-8 |
(1-7) |
4 |
76 |
| 12 |
Florida |
-11 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
3 |
77 |
| 13 |
Tennessee |
-13.5 |
4-8 |
(0-8) |
2 |
88 |
| 14 |
Vanderbilt |
-13.75 |
5-7 |
(1-7) |
1 |
89 |
Big 12
| 1 |
Oklahoma |
9 |
11-1 |
(8-1) |
10 |
3 |
| 2 |
TCU |
5.25 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
9 |
T12 |
| 3 |
OK State |
2 |
9-3 |
(6-3) |
8 |
18 |
| 4 |
West Virginia |
-2.75 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
7 |
35 |
| 5 |
Iowa State |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
6 |
T38 |
| 6 |
Kansas State |
-3.75 |
7-5 |
(6-4) |
5 |
41 |
| 7 |
Texas |
-4.5 |
6-6 |
(5-4) |
4 |
44 |
| 8 |
Texas Tech |
-6.5 |
6-6 |
(3-6) |
3 |
56 |
| 9 |
Baylor |
-21.5 |
1-11 |
(1-8) |
2 |
114 |
| 10 |
Kansas |
-23.25 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
1 |
119 |
Pac 12
| 1 |
Washington |
5.75 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
10 |
9 |
| 2 |
Stanford |
5.75 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
11 |
10 |
| 3 |
USC |
5.25 |
10-2 |
(8-1) |
11 |
T12 |
| 4 |
Washington St |
2.25 |
9-3 |
(6-3) |
9 |
T16 |
| 5 |
Arizona St |
-2.5 |
7-5 |
(6-3) |
8 |
34 |
| 6 |
UCLA |
-4 |
6-6 |
(4-5) |
7 |
42 |
| 7 |
Utah |
-4.75 |
6-6 |
(3-6) |
6 |
45 |
| 8 |
Oregon |
-5 |
7-5 |
(4-5) |
5 |
46 |
| 9 |
Arizona |
-5.5 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
4 |
50 |
| 10 |
California |
-7.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
3 |
61 |
| 11 |
Colorado |
-9.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
2 |
68 |
| 12 |
Oregon State |
-19.75 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
1 |
109 |
American
| 1 |
UCF |
5 |
11-0 |
(8-0) |
10 |
14 |
| 2 |
Memphis |
1.75 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
10 |
19 |
| 3 |
S Florida |
-2.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
9 |
30 |
| 4 |
Navy |
-5.75 |
6-5 |
(4-4) |
12 |
51 |
| 5 |
SMU |
-6.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
8 |
55 |
| 6 |
Houston |
-6.5 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
7 |
57 |
| 7 |
Temple |
-12.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
85 |
| 8 |
Tulane |
-13.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
5 |
87 |
| 9 |
Cincinnati |
-20 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
4 |
112 |
| 10 |
Uconn |
-20 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
3 |
113 |
| 11 |
Tulsa |
-22 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
2 |
115 |
| 12 |
E Carolina |
-22 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
1 |
116 |
Mountain West
| 1 |
San Diego St |
-0.75 |
10-2 |
(6-2) |
10 |
25 |
| 2 |
Fresno St |
-1.25 |
9-3 |
(7-1) |
12 |
27 |
| 3 |
Boise State |
-1.75 |
9-3 |
(7-1) |
11 |
29 |
| 4 |
Colorado St |
-10 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
9 |
70 |
| 5 |
Wyoming |
-11.5 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
8 |
80 |
| 6 |
Utah State |
-14.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
7 |
92 |
| 7 |
Air Force |
-16 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
6 |
97 |
| 8 |
UNLV |
-18 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
5 |
102 |
| 9 |
Nevada |
-18.75 |
3-9 |
(3-5) |
4 |
104 |
| 10 |
New Mexico |
-22.75 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
3 |
117 |
| 11 |
Hawaii |
-24 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
2 |
120 |
| 12 |
San Jose St |
-30.25 |
2-11 |
(1-7) |
1 |
127 |
MAC
| 1 |
Toledo |
-3.25 |
10-2 |
(7-1) |
12 |
36 |
| 2 |
N Illinois |
-8 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
10 |
63 |
| 3 |
Ohio |
-10.25 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
9 |
72 |
| 4 |
C Michigan |
-10.5 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
8 |
T73 |
| 5 |
Akron |
-11 |
7-5 |
(6-2) |
11 |
78 |
| 6 |
W Michigan |
-12.5 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
7 |
86 |
| 7 |
Buffalo |
-15.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
T95 |
| 8 |
E Michigan |
-17 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
5 |
101 |
| 9 |
Miami OH |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
4 |
T110 |
| 10 |
Kent State |
-26.75 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
3 |
122 |
| 11 |
Bowling Green |
-27.25 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
2 |
123 |
| 12 |
Ball State |
-31.5 |
2-10 |
(0-8) |
1 |
128 |
CUSA
| 1 |
FAU |
-5.25 |
9-3 |
(8-0) |
13 |
49 |
| 2 |
N Texas |
-6.25 |
9-3 |
(7-1) |
12 |
54 |
| 3 |
FIU |
-10 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
14 |
71 |
| 4 |
Southern Miss |
-10.5 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
11 |
T73 |
| 5 |
UAB |
-11.75 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
10 |
82 |
| 6 |
Marshall |
-12 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
9 |
84 |
| 7 |
UTSA |
-14 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
8 |
91 |
| 8 |
Louisiana Tech |
-15.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
7 |
T95 |
| 9 |
W Kentucky |
-16.75 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
6 |
99 |
| 10 |
Mid Tennessee |
-17 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
5 |
100 |
| 11 |
Old Dominion |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
4 |
T110 |
| 12 |
Rice |
-29.75 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
3 |
125 |
| 13 |
Charlotte |
-32.75 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
2 |
129 |
| 14 |
UTEP |
-33.25 |
0-12 |
(0-8) |
1 |
130 |
Sun Belt
| 1 |
Troy |
-2.5 |
9-2 |
(6-1) |
4 |
32 |
| 2 |
Arkansas St |
-7.75 |
7-3 |
(6-1) |
2 |
62 |
| 3 |
App State |
-9.25 |
7-4 |
(6-1) |
6 |
67 |
| 4 |
Georgia St |
-11.75 |
6-4 |
(5-2) |
10 |
83 |
| 5 |
N Mexico St |
-14.75 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
6 |
93 |
| 6 |
UL Monroe |
-16.25 |
4-7 |
(4-4) |
2 |
98 |
| 7 |
UL Lafayette |
-19 |
5-6 |
(4-4) |
5 |
105 |
| 8 |
S Alabama |
-19.5 |
4-7 |
(3-4) |
6 |
T106 |
| 9 |
Idaho |
-23 |
3-7 |
(2-5) |
6 |
118 |
| 10 |
GA Southern |
-24.75 |
2-9 |
(2-6) |
11 |
121 |
| 11 |
Co Carolina |
-27.5 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
11 |
124 |
| 12 |
Texas St |
-30.25 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
1 |
126 |
Independents
| 1 |
Notre Dame |
7 |
9-3 |
(0-0) |
2 |
8 |
| 2 |
Army |
-5 |
8-3 |
(0-0) |
3 |
48 |
| 3 |
BYU |
-18.75 |
4-9 |
(0-0) |
1 |
103 |
| 4 |
Umass |
-19.5 |
4-7 |
(0-0) |
4 |
T106 |
Division Ranks
For those who are even more curious, here are the same analyses but by division instead of conference. I know the plot is a little busy, but it gives a decent idea of how the divisions fall.

| 1 |
SEC W |
-0.25 |
| 2 |
ACC Atl |
-2.0357 |
| 3 |
Big 10 E |
-2.9643 |
| 4 |
Pac 12 N |
-3.125 |
| 5 |
Pac 12 S |
-3.5417 |
| 6 |
ACC Coast |
-4.7143 |
| 7 |
Big 12 |
-4.95 |
| 8 |
Big 10 W |
-5.7143 |
| 9 |
SEC E |
-6.8929 |
| 10 |
Amer W |
-8.6667 |
| 11 |
Ind |
-9.0625 |
| 12 |
Amer E |
-11.9167 |
| 13 |
MW Moun |
-12.7083 |
| 14 |
MAC W |
-13.7917 |
| 15 |
MW West |
-15.5 |
| 16 |
CUSA E |
-16.2143 |
| 17 |
S Belt |
-17.1875 |
| 18 |
CUSA W |
-17.25 |
| 19 |
MAC E |
-18.375 |
Next are the rankings within every division, as well as each team’s national ranking (now with plots!):
ACC Coastal
| 1 |
Miami |
7.25 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
7 |
7 |
| 2 |
Virginia Tech |
1.75 |
9-3 |
(5-3) |
6 |
20 |
| 3 |
Georgia Tech |
-5 |
5-6 |
(4-4) |
5 |
47 |
| 4 |
Duke |
-6 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
4 |
52 |
| 5 |
Virginia |
-7.75 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
3 |
60 |
| 6 |
Pittsburgh |
-8.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
2 |
64 |
| 7 |
North Carolina |
-15 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
1 |
94 |

ACC Atlantic
| 1 |
Clemson |
10.5 |
11-1 |
(7-1) |
6 |
1 |
| 2 |
NC State |
-0.25 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
5 |
24 |
| 3 |
Louisville |
-2.25 |
8-4 |
(4-4) |
4 |
31 |
| 4 |
Wake Forest |
-3.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
3 |
37 |
| 5 |
Boston College |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
2 |
T38 |
| 6 |
Florida State |
-4.25 |
5-6 |
(3-5) |
7 |
43 |
| 7 |
Syracuse |
-11.25 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
1 |
79 |

SEC East
| 1 |
Georgia |
8.25 |
11-1 |
(7-1) |
7 |
T4 |
| 2 |
South Carolina |
-2.5 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
6 |
33 |
| 3 |
Missouri |
-7.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
5 |
59 |
| 4 |
Kentucky |
-8.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
4 |
65 |
| 5 |
Florida |
-11 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
3 |
77 |
| 6 |
Tennessee |
-13.5 |
4-8 |
(0-8) |
2 |
88 |
| 7 |
Vanderbilt |
-13.75 |
5-7 |
(1-7) |
1 |
89 |

SEC West
| 1 |
Auburn |
10 |
10-2 |
(7-1) |
7 |
2 |
| 2 |
Alabama |
8.25 |
11-1 |
(7-1) |
6 |
T4 |
| 3 |
LSU |
0.75 |
9-3 |
(6-2) |
5 |
22 |
| 4 |
Mississippi St |
0.5 |
8-4 |
(4-4) |
4 |
23 |
| 5 |
Texas AM |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
3 |
T38 |
| 6 |
Ole Miss |
-7 |
6-6 |
(3-5) |
2 |
58 |
| 7 |
Arkansas |
-10.75 |
4-8 |
(1-7) |
1 |
76 |

Big 10 East
| 1 |
Penn State |
5.5 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
6 |
11 |
| 2 |
Ohio State |
5 |
10-2 |
(8-1) |
7 |
15 |
| 3 |
Michigan State |
2.25 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
5 |
T16 |
| 4 |
Michigan |
-1.5 |
8-4 |
(5-4) |
4 |
28 |
| 5 |
Indiana |
-8.5 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
3 |
66 |
| 6 |
Maryland |
-9.75 |
4-8 |
(2-7) |
2 |
69 |
| 7 |
Rutgers |
-13.75 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
1 |
90 |

Big 10 West
| 1 |
Wisconsin |
7.75 |
12-0 |
(9-0) |
7 |
6 |
| 2 |
Northwestern |
1.25 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
6 |
21 |
| 3 |
Iowa |
-0.75 |
7-5 |
(4-5) |
5 |
26 |
| 4 |
Purdue |
-6.25 |
6-6 |
(4-5) |
4 |
53 |
| 5 |
Minnesota |
-10.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
3 |
75 |
| 6 |
Nebraska |
-11.75 |
4-8 |
(3-6) |
2 |
81 |
| 7 |
Illinois |
-19.5 |
2-10 |
(0-9) |
1 |
108 |

Big 12
| 1 |
Oklahoma |
9 |
11-1 |
(8-1) |
10 |
3 |
| 2 |
TCU |
5.25 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
9 |
T12 |
| 3 |
OK State |
2 |
9-3 |
(6-3) |
8 |
18 |
| 4 |
West Virginia |
-2.75 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
7 |
35 |
| 5 |
Iowa State |
-3.5 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
6 |
T38 |
| 6 |
Kansas State |
-3.75 |
7-5 |
(6-4) |
5 |
41 |
| 7 |
Texas |
-4.5 |
6-6 |
(5-4) |
4 |
44 |
| 8 |
Texas Tech |
-6.5 |
6-6 |
(3-6) |
3 |
56 |
| 9 |
Baylor |
-21.5 |
1-11 |
(1-8) |
2 |
114 |
| 10 |
Kansas |
-23.25 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
1 |
119 |

Pac 12 North
| 1 |
Washington |
5.75 |
10-2 |
(7-2) |
5 |
9 |
| 2 |
Stanford |
5.75 |
9-3 |
(7-2) |
6 |
10 |
| 3 |
Washington St |
2.25 |
9-3 |
(6-3) |
4 |
T16 |
| 4 |
Oregon |
-5 |
7-5 |
(4-5) |
3 |
46 |
| 5 |
California |
-7.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
2 |
61 |
| 6 |
Oregon State |
-19.75 |
1-11 |
(0-9) |
1 |
109 |

Pac 12 South
| 1 |
USC |
5.25 |
10-2 |
(8-1) |
6 |
T12 |
| 2 |
Arizona St |
-2.5 |
7-5 |
(6-3) |
5 |
34 |
| 3 |
UCLA |
-4 |
6-6 |
(4-5) |
4 |
42 |
| 4 |
Utah |
-4.75 |
6-6 |
(3-6) |
3 |
45 |
| 5 |
Arizona |
-5.5 |
7-5 |
(5-4) |
2 |
50 |
| 6 |
Colorado |
-9.75 |
5-7 |
(2-7) |
1 |
68 |

American East
| 1 |
UCF |
5 |
11-0 |
(8-0) |
6 |
14 |
| 2 |
S Florida |
-2.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
5 |
30 |
| 3 |
Temple |
-12.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
4 |
85 |
| 4 |
Cincinnati |
-20 |
4-8 |
(2-6) |
3 |
112 |
| 5 |
Uconn |
-20 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
2 |
113 |
| 6 |
E Carolina |
-22 |
3-9 |
(2-6) |
1 |
116 |

American West
| 1 |
Memphis |
1.75 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
5 |
19 |
| 2 |
Navy |
-5.75 |
6-5 |
(4-4) |
6 |
51 |
| 3 |
SMU |
-6.25 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
4 |
55 |
| 4 |
Houston |
-6.5 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
3 |
57 |
| 5 |
Tulane |
-13.25 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
2 |
87 |
| 6 |
Tulsa |
-22 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
1 |
115 |

MW Mountain
| 1 |
Boise State |
-1.75 |
9-3 |
(7-1) |
6 |
29 |
| 2 |
Colorado St |
-10 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
5 |
70 |
| 3 |
Wyoming |
-11.5 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
4 |
80 |
| 4 |
Utah State |
-14.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
3 |
92 |
| 5 |
Air Force |
-16 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
2 |
97 |
| 6 |
New Mexico |
-22.75 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
1 |
117 |

MW West
| 1 |
San Diego St |
-0.75 |
10-2 |
(6-2) |
5 |
25 |
| 2 |
Fresno St |
-1.25 |
9-3 |
(7-1) |
6 |
27 |
| 3 |
UNLV |
-18 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
4 |
102 |
| 4 |
Nevada |
-18.75 |
3-9 |
(3-5) |
3 |
104 |
| 5 |
Hawaii |
-24 |
3-9 |
(1-7) |
2 |
120 |
| 6 |
San Jose St |
-30.25 |
2-11 |
(1-7) |
1 |
127 |

MAC East
| 1 |
Ohio |
-10.25 |
8-4 |
(5-3) |
5 |
72 |
| 2 |
Akron |
-11 |
7-5 |
(6-2) |
6 |
78 |
| 3 |
Buffalo |
-15.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
4 |
T95 |
| 4 |
Miami OH |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(4-4) |
3 |
T110 |
| 5 |
Kent State |
-26.75 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
2 |
122 |
| 6 |
Bowling Green |
-27.25 |
2-10 |
(2-6) |
1 |
123 |

MAC West
| 1 |
Toledo |
-3.25 |
10-2 |
(7-1) |
6 |
36 |
| 2 |
N Illinois |
-8 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
5 |
63 |
| 3 |
C Michigan |
-10.5 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
4 |
T73 |
| 4 |
W Michigan |
-12.5 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
3 |
86 |
| 5 |
E Michigan |
-17 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
2 |
101 |
| 6 |
Ball State |
-31.5 |
2-10 |
(0-8) |
1 |
128 |

C-USA East
| 1 |
FAU |
-5.25 |
9-3 |
(8-0) |
6 |
49 |
| 2 |
FIU |
-10 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
7 |
71 |
| 3 |
Marshall |
-12 |
7-5 |
(4-4) |
5 |
84 |
| 4 |
W Kentucky |
-16.75 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
4 |
99 |
| 5 |
Mid Tennessee |
-17 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
3 |
100 |
| 6 |
Old Dominion |
-19.75 |
5-7 |
(3-5) |
2 |
T110 |
| 7 |
Charlotte |
-32.75 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
1 |
129 |

C-USA West
| 1 |
N Texas |
-6.25 |
9-3 |
(7-1) |
7 |
54 |
| 2 |
Southern Miss |
-10.5 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
6 |
T73 |
| 3 |
UAB |
-11.75 |
8-4 |
(6-2) |
5 |
82 |
| 4 |
UTSA |
-14 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
4 |
91 |
| 5 |
Louisiana Tech |
-15.25 |
6-6 |
(4-4) |
3 |
T95 |
| 6 |
Rice |
-29.75 |
1-11 |
(1-7) |
2 |
125 |
| 7 |
UTEP |
-33.25 |
0-12 |
(0-8) |
1 |
130 |

Sun Belt
| 1 |
Troy |
-2.5 |
9-2 |
(6-1) |
4 |
32 |
| 2 |
Arkansas St |
-7.75 |
7-3 |
(6-1) |
2 |
62 |
| 3 |
App State |
-9.25 |
7-4 |
(6-1) |
6 |
67 |
| 4 |
Georgia St |
-11.75 |
6-4 |
(5-2) |
10 |
83 |
| 5 |
N Mexico St |
-14.75 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
6 |
93 |
| 6 |
UL Monroe |
-16.25 |
4-7 |
(4-4) |
2 |
98 |
| 7 |
UL Lafayette |
-19 |
5-6 |
(4-4) |
5 |
105 |
| 8 |
S Alabama |
-19.5 |
4-7 |
(3-4) |
6 |
T106 |
| 9 |
Idaho |
-23 |
3-7 |
(2-5) |
6 |
118 |
| 10 |
GA Southern |
-24.75 |
2-9 |
(2-6) |
11 |
121 |
| 11 |
Co Carolina |
-27.5 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
11 |
124 |
| 12 |
Texas St |
-30.25 |
2-10 |
(1-7) |
1 |
126 |

Independents
| 1 |
Notre Dame |
7 |
9-3 |
(0-0) |
2 |
8 |
| 2 |
Army |
-5 |
8-3 |
(0-0) |
3 |
48 |
| 3 |
BYU |
-18.75 |
4-9 |
(0-0) |
1 |
103 |
| 4 |
Umass |
-19.5 |
4-7 |
(0-0) |
4 |
T106 |
