Welcome
Over the past few years I have created a straightforward way to rank college football teams. Basically, I wanted a way to combine subjective views towards teams with an objective component. I have tinkered with my formula over the seasons and have what I think is a pretty decent way to compare resumes of different teams. This is NOT a sophisticated algorithm, and should not be treated the same way as Sagarin, KenPom, or other computer rankings found in places like the Massey Ranking Composite. The rankings should also not be used to predict future games; my rankings should be considered a snapshot of how a team’s body of work has been up to this point. Even though it is not the most complicated ranking system ever created, I think its simplicity can be a positive thing.
Basic Idea
I will not go into detail here about how these rankings are calculated, but I will describe the basic concept. Like I mentioned above, these rankings combine subjective and objective features. The subjective component drives the whole process. Every team is placed by me into a bin. There are seven general bins, ranging from -3 to 3. A basic idea of what each bin represents is:
- Bin 3: Elite teams, the cream of the crop. Typically the top 6-8 teams in the country. (e.g. Alabama, Miami)
- Bin 2: Teams that are “solidly ranked.” Not quite elite, but clearly top 25. (e.g. Ohio State, Mississippi St)
- Bin 1: Teams that are “borderline ranked.” You certainly can make a case they are a top 25 team, but certainly can make the case they are not. (e.g. Boise State, Virginia Tech)
- Bin 0: Teams that are “solidly unranked.” Decent teams that have a pulse, but are not considered close to being top 25. (e.g. Kansas State, Arizona State, Kentucky)
- Bin -1: Starting to get a little worse here. Slightly above-average non-Power 5 teams and below average Power-5 teams are often found here. (e.g. Arkansas, Colorado State, SMU)
- Bin -2: Bad/average non-Power 5 teams, and REALLY bad Power 5 teams. (e.g. Utah State, UL Lafayette, Kansas)
- Bin -3: Really really bad. There are typically about 10 of these. (e.g. Charlotte, Texas State)
If a team seems to be somewhere in between two of these categories, they can be binned as a “0.5”, “1.5”, etc.
This is the subjective part of the process. I make the final call which bin a team falls into, but I try to inform myself as much as possible of the consensus of a given team. For example, for a team to be “borderline ranked” (bin 1), they need to at least appear in the “Other Receiving Votes” area of the AP and Coaches polls. I try to make the bins representative of the nationwide media consensus of a given team. Still, there is definitely subjectivity involved.
The objective element of the rankings gives and takes away points from a team depending on the bins of that team’s opponents. For example, beating a team from bin 0 at home by a “non-blowout score” (less than 22 points) rewards that team 0.5 points, and so on. This is the part of the process that I have tinkered with over the years. A team of course loses points for losing a game, depending on the opponent, where the game was played, and whether it was a blowout or not.
So the basic idea of the system is that we have an idea as fans which “bin” a team falls into. Once we determine that, we can get an obective idea of how a team’s resume is depending on the bins of that team’s wins and losses. The final “Score” of the ranking is simply a sum of the bin you are in and the amount of points you have gained/lost from wins and losses.
Week 12: Minor Shuffling
Last week was not the most eventful week of the college football season thus far. It only featured one game between ranked opponents which fizzled out as a flat noon game (Wisconsin versus Michigan). Despite a slow week, there were some small changes throughout the rankings. A clear top 8 has emerged - Clemson, Miami, Georgia, Oklahoma, Auburn, ND, Alabama, and Wisconsin. These 8 are clearly ahead of the rest right now, but they are all very close to one another. They are so close that all Miami and Georgia needed were semi-quality wins over UVA and Kentucky this week to trend upwards in the rankings. The undefeated Canes come in at 2nd, while Georgia passes Auburn (the team that just crushed the Dawgs…) for 4th (South Carolina doing well and cracking the top 25 helps them too). This will all sort itself over the next few weeks - whoever the conference champions are will gain big boosts, and Alabama has a chance to beat two of these top 8 teams in the next two weeks (Auburn and Georgia).
A nice summary of the top 8 teams that encapulates why the rankings are what they are right now is to examine how many top 50 wins each of the top 8 teams have:
- Clemson: 8 (best win, #5 Auburn)
- Miami: 5 (best win, #6 Notre Dame)
- Georgia: 4 (best win, #6 Notre Dame)
- Oklahoma: 5 (best win, #T9 TCU)
- Auburn: 3 (best win, #4 Georgia)
- Notre Dame: 6 (best win, #T9 USC)
- Alabama: 5 (best win, #15 Mississippi St, and keep in mind #44 Fresno State and #T48 Florida St are among those 5)
- Wisconsin: 3 (best win, #T21 Northwestern, and FAU is 51 so they barely missed another)
The Clemson figure is particularly impressive - of 11 games they have played, 8 have been wins against top 50 teams. They are also playing a top-30 South Carolina team this weekend. What’s particularly interesting is that Clemson’s only loss - at #73 Syracuse - was their third-easiest game of the season! Here’s Week 12:
| 1 |
Clemson |
9 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
1 |
21 |
| 2 |
Miami |
8.75 |
10-0 |
(7-0) |
4 |
66 |
| 3 |
Georgia |
8.75 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
5 |
30 |
| 4 |
Oklahoma |
8.5 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
2 |
30 |
| 5 |
Auburn |
8 |
9-2 |
(7-1) |
3 |
1 |
| 6 |
Notre Dame |
7.75 |
9-2 |
(0-0) |
6 |
16 |
| T7 |
Wisconsin |
7.5 |
11-0 |
(8-0) |
8 |
54 |
| T7 |
Alabama |
7.5 |
11-0 |
(8-0) |
7 |
6 |
| T9 |
USC |
5.25 |
10-2 |
(8-1) |
13 |
30 |
| T9 |
Penn State |
5.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
10 |
54 |
| T9 |
TCU |
5.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
12 |
66 |
| 12 |
Ohio State |
4.75 |
9-2 |
(7-1) |
11 |
26 |
| 13 |
UCF |
4.5 |
10-0 |
(7-0) |
14 |
21 |
| 14 |
Washington St |
4 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
16 |
8 |
| 15 |
Mississippi St |
4 |
8-3 |
(4-3) |
15 |
66 |
| 16 |
Stanford |
3.75 |
8-3 |
(7-2) |
18 |
8 |
| 17 |
Michigan State |
2.75 |
8-3 |
(6-2) |
17 |
66 |
| 18 |
Washington |
2.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
21 |
8 |
| 19 |
OK State |
2.25 |
8-3 |
(5-3) |
9 |
93 |
| 20 |
Memphis |
1.5 |
9-1 |
(6-1) |
19 |
112 |
| T21 |
Virginia Tech |
0.75 |
8-3 |
(4-3) |
20 |
30 |
| T21 |
Northwestern |
0.75 |
8-3 |
(6-2) |
27 |
93 |
| 23 |
LSU |
0.25 |
8-3 |
(5-2) |
25 |
30 |
| 24 |
Boise State |
0 |
9-2 |
(7-0) |
28 |
66 |
| 25 |
Michigan |
0 |
8-3 |
(5-3) |
26 |
8 |
| 26 |
NC State |
-0.5 |
7-4 |
(5-2) |
23 |
78 |
| 27 |
S Florida |
-1.25 |
9-1 |
(6-1) |
30 |
8 |
| 28 |
South Carolina |
-1.25 |
8-3 |
(5-3) |
33 |
1 |
| 29 |
Iowa |
-1.25 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
24 |
54 |
| 30 |
Iowa State |
-1.5 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
29 |
30 |
| 31 |
Wake Forest |
-1.5 |
7-4 |
(4-4) |
36 |
54 |
| 32 |
Texas AM |
-1.75 |
7-4 |
(4-3) |
35 |
16 |
| 33 |
Texas |
-1.75 |
6-5 |
(5-3) |
34 |
30 |
| 34 |
San Diego St |
-2 |
9-2 |
(5-2) |
T38 |
93 |
| 35 |
West Virginia |
-2.25 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
22 |
1 |
| 36 |
Troy |
-2.75 |
8-2 |
(5-1) |
37 |
127 |
| 37 |
Louisville |
-3.25 |
7-4 |
(4-4) |
43 |
30 |
| 38 |
Arizona St |
-3.5 |
6-5 |
(5-3) |
44 |
30 |
| 39 |
Toledo |
-3.5 |
9-2 |
(6-1) |
41 |
78 |
| 40 |
Arizona |
-3.75 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
31 |
30 |
| 41 |
Navy |
-3.75 |
6-4 |
(4-3) |
42 |
66 |
| T42 |
Kansas State |
-4.25 |
6-5 |
(5-4) |
52 |
26 |
| T42 |
Georgia Tech |
-4.25 |
5-5 |
(4-4) |
32 |
6 |
| 44 |
Fresno St |
-4.25 |
8-3 |
(6-1) |
51 |
21 |
| 45 |
Kentucky |
-4.5 |
7-4 |
(4-4) |
45 |
30 |
| T46 |
Boston College |
-4.5 |
6-5 |
(3-4) |
49 |
54 |
| T46 |
Oregon |
-4.5 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
56 |
78 |
| T48 |
UCLA |
-4.75 |
5-6 |
(3-5) |
T46 |
54 |
| T48 |
Florida State |
-4.75 |
4-6 |
(3-5) |
50 |
66 |
| 50 |
Utah |
-5 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
T46 |
54 |
| 51 |
FAU |
-5.25 |
8-3 |
(7-0) |
58 |
117 |
| 52 |
Army |
-5.5 |
8-3 |
(0-0) |
T38 |
54 |
| 53 |
Virginia |
-6 |
6-5 |
(3-4) |
55 |
21 |
| 54 |
California |
-6.25 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
53 |
30 |
| 55 |
N Illinois |
-6.25 |
8-3 |
(6-1) |
62 |
78 |
| 56 |
Purdue |
-6.5 |
5-6 |
(3-5) |
T68 |
54 |
| 57 |
Indiana |
-6.5 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
60 |
30 |
| 58 |
SMU |
-6.5 |
6-5 |
(3-4) |
54 |
78 |
| 59 |
Missouri |
-6.75 |
6-5 |
(3-4) |
66 |
66 |
| 60 |
Houston |
-6.75 |
6-4 |
(4-3) |
40 |
54 |
| 61 |
N Texas |
-6.75 |
8-3 |
(7-1) |
70 |
117 |
| 62 |
Texas Tech |
-7 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
T46 |
30 |
| 63 |
Duke |
-7.5 |
5-6 |
(2-5) |
71 |
30 |
| 64 |
Arkansas |
-7.75 |
4-7 |
(1-6) |
67 |
30 |
| 65 |
Colorado |
-8 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
T68 |
30 |
| 66 |
Maryland |
-8 |
4-7 |
(2-6) |
65 |
8 |
| 67 |
Southern Miss |
-8 |
8-3 |
(6-2) |
73 |
78 |
| 68 |
Florida |
-8.25 |
4-6 |
(3-5) |
75 |
30 |
| T69 |
Ohio |
-8.25 |
8-3 |
(5-2) |
57 |
93 |
| T69 |
Arkansas St |
-8.25 |
6-3 |
(5-1) |
78 |
112 |
| 71 |
Wyoming |
-8.5 |
7-4 |
(5-2) |
59 |
117 |
| 72 |
Ole Miss |
-8.5 |
5-6 |
(2-5) |
61 |
8 |
| 73 |
Syracuse |
-9 |
4-7 |
(2-5) |
63 |
30 |
| 74 |
Colorado St |
-9 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
79 |
30 |
| 75 |
App State |
-9.25 |
6-4 |
(5-1) |
82 |
124 |
| 76 |
Georgia St |
-9.25 |
6-3 |
(5-1) |
83 |
124 |
| 77 |
Nebraska |
-9.5 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
84 |
30 |
| 78 |
Marshall |
-9.5 |
7-4 |
(4-3) |
64 |
93 |
| 79 |
Tennessee |
-9.75 |
4-7 |
(0-7) |
T80 |
78 |
| 80 |
Minnesota |
-10 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
74 |
1 |
| 81 |
C Michigan |
-10.5 |
7-4 |
(5-2) |
88 |
78 |
| 82 |
W Michigan |
-10.5 |
6-5 |
(4-3) |
76 |
54 |
| 83 |
FIU |
-10.5 |
6-4 |
(4-3) |
72 |
78 |
| 84 |
Pittsburgh |
-11 |
4-7 |
(2-5) |
77 |
1 |
| 85 |
Rutgers |
-11.25 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
T80 |
16 |
| 86 |
Akron |
-11.25 |
6-5 |
(5-2) |
91 |
117 |
| 87 |
Tulane |
-11.25 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
89 |
66 |
| 88 |
Utah State |
-11.25 |
6-5 |
(4-3) |
90 |
78 |
| 89 |
Temple |
-11.75 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
86 |
93 |
| 90 |
UTSA |
-12 |
6-4 |
(3-4) |
92 |
93 |
| 91 |
UAB |
-12.5 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
87 |
117 |
| 92 |
Vanderbilt |
-12.75 |
4-7 |
(0-7) |
85 |
66 |
| 93 |
W Kentucky |
-13.5 |
6-5 |
(4-3) |
95 |
93 |
| T94 |
Louisiana Tech |
-14.5 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
T100 |
78 |
| T94 |
UL Monroe |
-14.5 |
4-6 |
(4-4) |
96 |
78 |
| 96 |
North Carolina |
-14.75 |
3-8 |
(0-7) |
97 |
26 |
| 97 |
Air Force |
-15 |
4-7 |
(3-4) |
94 |
93 |
| T98 |
Buffalo |
-15.25 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
T100 |
78 |
| T98 |
N Mexico St |
-15.25 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
93 |
127 |
| 100 |
UL Lafayette |
-15.75 |
5-5 |
(4-3) |
102 |
127 |
| T101 |
Mid Tennessee |
-16.75 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
98 |
93 |
| T101 |
Old Dominion |
-16.75 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
T111 |
93 |
| 103 |
UNLV |
-17 |
5-6 |
(4-3) |
T111 |
112 |
| 104 |
E Michigan |
-17 |
4-7 |
(2-5) |
107 |
112 |
| 105 |
Illinois |
-17.5 |
2-9 |
(0-8) |
109 |
21 |
| 106 |
Uconn |
-17.75 |
3-8 |
(2-5) |
99 |
93 |
| 107 |
Oregon State |
-18 |
1-9 |
(0-7) |
105 |
30 |
| 108 |
Umass |
-18.75 |
4-7 |
(0-0) |
115 |
30 |
| 109 |
BYU |
-19 |
3-9 |
(0-0) |
108 |
112 |
| 110 |
Cincinnati |
-19.25 |
3-8 |
(1-6) |
104 |
93 |
| 111 |
Tulsa |
-19.5 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
110 |
78 |
| 112 |
Miami OH |
-19.75 |
4-7 |
(3-4) |
106 |
117 |
| 113 |
Nevada |
-19.75 |
2-9 |
(2-5) |
117 |
93 |
| 114 |
S Alabama |
-20 |
4-7 |
(3-4) |
103 |
93 |
| 115 |
Baylor |
-20.25 |
1-10 |
(1-7) |
114 |
8 |
| 116 |
E Carolina |
-20.75 |
3-8 |
(2-5) |
119 |
16 |
| 117 |
Idaho |
-21.25 |
3-7 |
(2-5) |
T111 |
124 |
| 118 |
New Mexico |
-21.5 |
3-8 |
(1-6) |
116 |
26 |
| 119 |
Kansas |
-21.75 |
1-10 |
(0-8) |
120 |
16 |
| 120 |
Hawaii |
-22 |
3-8 |
(1-7) |
118 |
93 |
| 121 |
Kent State |
-24.75 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
121 |
78 |
| 122 |
Bowling Green |
-25.25 |
2-9 |
(2-5) |
122 |
93 |
| 123 |
GA Southern |
-25.5 |
1-9 |
(1-6) |
125 |
130 |
| T124 |
Ball State |
-28 |
2-9 |
(0-7) |
123 |
93 |
| T124 |
Texas St |
-28 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
126 |
54 |
| 126 |
Co Carolina |
-28.25 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
129 |
117 |
| 127 |
Rice |
-28.5 |
1-10 |
(1-6) |
124 |
66 |
| 128 |
Charlotte |
-31 |
1-10 |
(1-6) |
127 |
30 |
| 129 |
UTEP |
-31 |
0-11 |
(0-7) |
128 |
93 |
| 130 |
San Jose St |
-31.25 |
1-11 |
(0-7) |
130 |
66 |
Conference Ranks

| 1 |
SEC |
-2.3393 |
| 2 |
Pac 12 |
-3.2083 |
| 3 |
ACC |
-3.4643 |
| 4 |
Big 10 |
-3.5357 |
| 5 |
Big 12 |
-4.275 |
| 6 |
Ind |
-8.875 |
| 7 |
Amer |
-9.375 |
| 8 |
MW |
-13.4583 |
| 9 |
MAC |
-15.0208 |
| 10 |
CUSA |
-15.4643 |
| 11 |
S Belt |
-16.5 |
Next are the rankings within every conference, as well as each team’s national ranking:
ACC
| 1 |
Clemson |
9 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
3 |
1 |
| 2 |
Miami |
8.75 |
10-0 |
(7-0) |
12 |
2 |
| 3 |
Virginia Tech |
0.75 |
8-3 |
(4-3) |
6 |
T21 |
| 4 |
NC State |
-0.5 |
7-4 |
(5-2) |
14 |
26 |
| 5 |
Wake Forest |
-1.5 |
7-4 |
(4-4) |
10 |
31 |
| 6 |
Louisville |
-3.25 |
7-4 |
(4-4) |
6 |
37 |
| 7 |
Georgia Tech |
-4.25 |
5-5 |
(4-4) |
2 |
T42 |
| 8 |
Boston College |
-4.5 |
6-5 |
(3-4) |
10 |
T46 |
| 9 |
Florida State |
-4.75 |
4-6 |
(3-5) |
12 |
T48 |
| 10 |
Virginia |
-6 |
6-5 |
(3-4) |
3 |
53 |
| 11 |
Duke |
-7.5 |
5-6 |
(2-5) |
6 |
63 |
| 12 |
Syracuse |
-9 |
4-7 |
(2-5) |
6 |
73 |
| 13 |
Pittsburgh |
-11 |
4-7 |
(2-5) |
1 |
84 |
| 14 |
North Carolina |
-14.75 |
3-8 |
(0-7) |
5 |
96 |
Big 10
| 1 |
Wisconsin |
7.5 |
11-0 |
(8-0) |
9 |
T7 |
| 2 |
Penn State |
5.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
9 |
T9 |
| 3 |
Ohio State |
4.75 |
9-2 |
(7-1) |
6 |
12 |
| 4 |
Michigan State |
2.75 |
8-3 |
(6-2) |
13 |
17 |
| 5 |
Northwestern |
0.75 |
8-3 |
(6-2) |
14 |
T21 |
| 6 |
Michigan |
0 |
8-3 |
(5-3) |
2 |
25 |
| 7 |
Iowa |
-1.25 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
9 |
29 |
| 8 |
Purdue |
-6.5 |
5-6 |
(3-5) |
9 |
56 |
| 9 |
Indiana |
-6.5 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
7 |
57 |
| 10 |
Maryland |
-8 |
4-7 |
(2-6) |
2 |
66 |
| 11 |
Nebraska |
-9.5 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
7 |
77 |
| 12 |
Minnesota |
-10 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
1 |
80 |
| 13 |
Rutgers |
-11.25 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
4 |
85 |
| 14 |
Illinois |
-17.5 |
2-9 |
(0-8) |
5 |
105 |
SEC
| 1 |
Georgia |
8.75 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
6 |
3 |
| 2 |
Auburn |
8 |
9-2 |
(7-1) |
1 |
5 |
| 3 |
Alabama |
7.5 |
11-0 |
(8-0) |
3 |
T7 |
| 4 |
Mississippi St |
4 |
8-3 |
(4-3) |
11 |
15 |
| 5 |
LSU |
0.25 |
8-3 |
(5-2) |
6 |
23 |
| 6 |
South Carolina |
-1.25 |
8-3 |
(5-3) |
1 |
28 |
| 7 |
Texas AM |
-1.75 |
7-4 |
(4-3) |
5 |
32 |
| 8 |
Kentucky |
-4.5 |
7-4 |
(4-4) |
6 |
45 |
| 9 |
Missouri |
-6.75 |
6-5 |
(3-4) |
11 |
59 |
| 10 |
Arkansas |
-7.75 |
4-7 |
(1-6) |
6 |
64 |
| 11 |
Florida |
-8.25 |
4-6 |
(3-5) |
6 |
68 |
| 12 |
Ole Miss |
-8.5 |
5-6 |
(2-5) |
4 |
72 |
| 13 |
Tennessee |
-9.75 |
4-7 |
(0-7) |
14 |
79 |
| 14 |
Vanderbilt |
-12.75 |
4-7 |
(0-7) |
11 |
92 |
Big 12
| 1 |
Oklahoma |
8.5 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
5 |
4 |
| 2 |
TCU |
5.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
9 |
T9 |
| 3 |
OK State |
2.25 |
8-3 |
(5-3) |
10 |
19 |
| 4 |
Iowa State |
-1.5 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
5 |
30 |
| 5 |
Texas |
-1.75 |
6-5 |
(5-3) |
5 |
33 |
| 6 |
West Virginia |
-2.25 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
1 |
35 |
| 7 |
Kansas State |
-4.25 |
6-5 |
(5-4) |
4 |
T42 |
| 8 |
Texas Tech |
-7 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
5 |
62 |
| 9 |
Baylor |
-20.25 |
1-10 |
(1-7) |
2 |
115 |
| 10 |
Kansas |
-21.75 |
1-10 |
(0-8) |
3 |
119 |
Pac 12
| 1 |
USC |
5.25 |
10-2 |
(8-1) |
4 |
T9 |
| 2 |
Washington St |
4 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
1 |
14 |
| 3 |
Stanford |
3.75 |
8-3 |
(7-2) |
1 |
16 |
| 4 |
Washington |
2.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
1 |
18 |
| 5 |
Arizona St |
-3.5 |
6-5 |
(5-3) |
4 |
38 |
| 6 |
Arizona |
-3.75 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
4 |
40 |
| 7 |
Oregon |
-4.5 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
12 |
T46 |
| 8 |
UCLA |
-4.75 |
5-6 |
(3-5) |
10 |
T48 |
| 9 |
Utah |
-5 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
10 |
50 |
| 10 |
California |
-6.25 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
4 |
54 |
| 11 |
Colorado |
-8 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
4 |
65 |
| 12 |
Oregon State |
-18 |
1-9 |
(0-7) |
4 |
107 |
American
| 1 |
UCF |
4.5 |
10-0 |
(7-0) |
3 |
13 |
| 2 |
Memphis |
1.5 |
9-1 |
(6-1) |
12 |
20 |
| 3 |
S Florida |
-1.25 |
9-1 |
(6-1) |
1 |
27 |
| 4 |
Navy |
-3.75 |
6-4 |
(4-3) |
5 |
41 |
| 5 |
SMU |
-6.5 |
6-5 |
(3-4) |
7 |
58 |
| 6 |
Houston |
-6.75 |
6-4 |
(4-3) |
4 |
60 |
| 7 |
Tulane |
-11.25 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
5 |
87 |
| 8 |
Temple |
-11.75 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
9 |
89 |
| 9 |
Uconn |
-17.75 |
3-8 |
(2-5) |
9 |
106 |
| 10 |
Cincinnati |
-19.25 |
3-8 |
(1-6) |
9 |
110 |
| 11 |
Tulsa |
-19.5 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
7 |
111 |
| 12 |
E Carolina |
-20.75 |
3-8 |
(2-5) |
2 |
116 |
Mountain West
| 1 |
Boise State |
0 |
9-2 |
(7-0) |
4 |
24 |
| 2 |
San Diego St |
-2 |
9-2 |
(5-2) |
7 |
34 |
| 3 |
Fresno St |
-4.25 |
8-3 |
(6-1) |
1 |
44 |
| 4 |
Wyoming |
-8.5 |
7-4 |
(5-2) |
12 |
71 |
| 5 |
Colorado St |
-9 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
3 |
74 |
| 6 |
Utah State |
-11.25 |
6-5 |
(4-3) |
6 |
88 |
| 7 |
Air Force |
-15 |
4-7 |
(3-4) |
7 |
97 |
| 8 |
UNLV |
-17 |
5-6 |
(4-3) |
11 |
103 |
| 9 |
Nevada |
-19.75 |
2-9 |
(2-5) |
7 |
113 |
| 10 |
New Mexico |
-21.5 |
3-8 |
(1-6) |
2 |
118 |
| 11 |
Hawaii |
-22 |
3-8 |
(1-7) |
7 |
120 |
| 12 |
San Jose St |
-31.25 |
1-11 |
(0-7) |
4 |
130 |
MAC
| 1 |
Toledo |
-3.5 |
9-2 |
(6-1) |
2 |
39 |
| 2 |
N Illinois |
-6.25 |
8-3 |
(6-1) |
2 |
55 |
| 3 |
Ohio |
-8.25 |
8-3 |
(5-2) |
7 |
T69 |
| 4 |
C Michigan |
-10.5 |
7-4 |
(5-2) |
2 |
81 |
| 5 |
W Michigan |
-10.5 |
6-5 |
(4-3) |
1 |
82 |
| 6 |
Akron |
-11.25 |
6-5 |
(5-2) |
11 |
86 |
| 7 |
Buffalo |
-15.25 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
2 |
T98 |
| 8 |
E Michigan |
-17 |
4-7 |
(2-5) |
10 |
104 |
| 9 |
Miami OH |
-19.75 |
4-7 |
(3-4) |
11 |
112 |
| 10 |
Kent State |
-24.75 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
2 |
121 |
| 11 |
Bowling Green |
-25.25 |
2-9 |
(2-5) |
7 |
122 |
| 12 |
Ball State |
-28 |
2-9 |
(0-7) |
7 |
T124 |
CUSA
| 1 |
FAU |
-5.25 |
8-3 |
(7-0) |
12 |
51 |
| 2 |
N Texas |
-6.75 |
8-3 |
(7-1) |
12 |
61 |
| 3 |
Southern Miss |
-8 |
8-3 |
(6-2) |
3 |
67 |
| 4 |
Marshall |
-9.5 |
7-4 |
(4-3) |
6 |
78 |
| 5 |
FIU |
-10.5 |
6-4 |
(4-3) |
3 |
83 |
| 6 |
UTSA |
-12 |
6-4 |
(3-4) |
6 |
90 |
| 7 |
UAB |
-12.5 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
12 |
91 |
| 8 |
W Kentucky |
-13.5 |
6-5 |
(4-3) |
6 |
93 |
| 9 |
Louisiana Tech |
-14.5 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
3 |
T94 |
| T10 |
Mid Tennessee |
-16.75 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
6 |
T101 |
| T10 |
Old Dominion |
-16.75 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
6 |
T101 |
| 12 |
Rice |
-28.5 |
1-10 |
(1-6) |
2 |
127 |
| 13 |
Charlotte |
-31 |
1-10 |
(1-6) |
1 |
128 |
| 14 |
UTEP |
-31 |
0-11 |
(0-7) |
6 |
129 |
Sun Belt
| 1 |
Troy |
-2.75 |
8-2 |
(5-1) |
9 |
36 |
| 2 |
Arkansas St |
-8.25 |
6-3 |
(5-1) |
4 |
T69 |
| 3 |
App State |
-9.25 |
6-4 |
(5-1) |
6 |
75 |
| 4 |
Georgia St |
-9.25 |
6-3 |
(5-1) |
6 |
76 |
| 5 |
UL Monroe |
-14.5 |
4-6 |
(4-4) |
2 |
T94 |
| 6 |
N Mexico St |
-15.25 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
9 |
T98 |
| 7 |
UL Lafayette |
-15.75 |
5-5 |
(4-3) |
9 |
100 |
| 8 |
S Alabama |
-20 |
4-7 |
(3-4) |
3 |
114 |
| 9 |
Idaho |
-21.25 |
3-7 |
(2-5) |
6 |
117 |
| 10 |
GA Southern |
-25.5 |
1-9 |
(1-6) |
12 |
123 |
| 11 |
Texas St |
-28 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
1 |
T124 |
| 12 |
Co Carolina |
-28.25 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
5 |
126 |
Independents
| 1 |
Notre Dame |
7.75 |
9-2 |
(0-0) |
1 |
6 |
| 2 |
Army |
-5.5 |
8-3 |
(0-0) |
3 |
52 |
| 3 |
Umass |
-18.75 |
4-7 |
(0-0) |
2 |
108 |
| 4 |
BYU |
-19 |
3-9 |
(0-0) |
4 |
109 |
Division Ranks
For those who are even more curious, here are the same analyses but by division instead of conference. I know the plot is a little busy, but it gives a decent idea of how the divisions fall.

| 1 |
SEC W |
0.25 |
| 2 |
Big 10 E |
-1.8571 |
| 3 |
ACC Atl |
-2.0714 |
| 4 |
Pac 12 N |
-3.125 |
| 5 |
Pac 12 S |
-3.2917 |
| 6 |
Big 12 |
-4.275 |
| 7 |
ACC Coast |
-4.8571 |
| 8 |
SEC E |
-4.9286 |
| 9 |
Big 10 W |
-5.2143 |
| 10 |
Amer W |
-7.7083 |
| 11 |
Ind |
-8.875 |
| 12 |
MW Moun |
-10.875 |
| 13 |
Amer E |
-11.0417 |
| 14 |
MAC W |
-12.625 |
| 15 |
CUSA E |
-14.75 |
| 16 |
MW West |
-16.0417 |
| 17 |
CUSA W |
-16.1786 |
| 18 |
S Belt |
-16.5 |
| 19 |
MAC E |
-17.4167 |
Next are the rankings within every division, as well as each team’s national ranking (now with plots!):
ACC Coastal
| 1 |
Miami |
8.75 |
10-0 |
(7-0) |
7 |
2 |
| 2 |
Virginia Tech |
0.75 |
8-3 |
(4-3) |
5 |
T21 |
| 3 |
Georgia Tech |
-4.25 |
5-5 |
(4-4) |
2 |
T42 |
| 4 |
Virginia |
-6 |
6-5 |
(3-4) |
3 |
53 |
| 5 |
Duke |
-7.5 |
5-6 |
(2-5) |
5 |
63 |
| 6 |
Pittsburgh |
-11 |
4-7 |
(2-5) |
1 |
84 |
| 7 |
North Carolina |
-14.75 |
3-8 |
(0-7) |
4 |
96 |

ACC Atlantic
| 1 |
Clemson |
9 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
1 |
1 |
| 2 |
NC State |
-0.5 |
7-4 |
(5-2) |
7 |
26 |
| 3 |
Wake Forest |
-1.5 |
7-4 |
(4-4) |
4 |
31 |
| 4 |
Louisville |
-3.25 |
7-4 |
(4-4) |
2 |
37 |
| 5 |
Boston College |
-4.5 |
6-5 |
(3-4) |
4 |
T46 |
| 6 |
Florida State |
-4.75 |
4-6 |
(3-5) |
6 |
T48 |
| 7 |
Syracuse |
-9 |
4-7 |
(2-5) |
2 |
73 |

SEC East
| 1 |
Georgia |
8.75 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
2 |
3 |
| 2 |
South Carolina |
-1.25 |
8-3 |
(5-3) |
1 |
28 |
| 3 |
Kentucky |
-4.5 |
7-4 |
(4-4) |
2 |
45 |
| 4 |
Missouri |
-6.75 |
6-5 |
(3-4) |
5 |
59 |
| 5 |
Florida |
-8.25 |
4-6 |
(3-5) |
2 |
68 |
| 6 |
Tennessee |
-9.75 |
4-7 |
(0-7) |
7 |
79 |
| 7 |
Vanderbilt |
-12.75 |
4-7 |
(0-7) |
5 |
92 |

SEC West
| 1 |
Auburn |
8 |
9-2 |
(7-1) |
1 |
5 |
| 2 |
Alabama |
7.5 |
11-0 |
(8-0) |
2 |
T7 |
| 3 |
Mississippi St |
4 |
8-3 |
(4-3) |
7 |
15 |
| 4 |
LSU |
0.25 |
8-3 |
(5-2) |
5 |
23 |
| 5 |
Texas AM |
-1.75 |
7-4 |
(4-3) |
4 |
32 |
| 6 |
Arkansas |
-7.75 |
4-7 |
(1-6) |
5 |
64 |
| 7 |
Ole Miss |
-8.5 |
5-6 |
(2-5) |
3 |
72 |

Big 10 East
| 1 |
Penn State |
5.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
6 |
T9 |
| 2 |
Ohio State |
4.75 |
9-2 |
(7-1) |
4 |
12 |
| 3 |
Michigan State |
2.75 |
8-3 |
(6-2) |
7 |
17 |
| 4 |
Michigan |
0 |
8-3 |
(5-3) |
1 |
25 |
| 5 |
Indiana |
-6.5 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
5 |
57 |
| 6 |
Maryland |
-8 |
4-7 |
(2-6) |
1 |
66 |
| 7 |
Rutgers |
-11.25 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
3 |
85 |

Big 10 West
| 1 |
Wisconsin |
7.5 |
11-0 |
(8-0) |
4 |
T7 |
| 2 |
Northwestern |
0.75 |
8-3 |
(6-2) |
7 |
T21 |
| 3 |
Iowa |
-1.25 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
4 |
29 |
| 4 |
Purdue |
-6.5 |
5-6 |
(3-5) |
4 |
56 |
| 5 |
Nebraska |
-9.5 |
4-7 |
(3-5) |
3 |
77 |
| 6 |
Minnesota |
-10 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
1 |
80 |
| 7 |
Illinois |
-17.5 |
2-9 |
(0-8) |
2 |
105 |

Big 12
| 1 |
Oklahoma |
8.5 |
10-1 |
(7-1) |
5 |
4 |
| 2 |
TCU |
5.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
9 |
T9 |
| 3 |
OK State |
2.25 |
8-3 |
(5-3) |
10 |
19 |
| 4 |
Iowa State |
-1.5 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
5 |
30 |
| 5 |
Texas |
-1.75 |
6-5 |
(5-3) |
5 |
33 |
| 6 |
West Virginia |
-2.25 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
1 |
35 |
| 7 |
Kansas State |
-4.25 |
6-5 |
(5-4) |
4 |
T42 |
| 8 |
Texas Tech |
-7 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
5 |
62 |
| 9 |
Baylor |
-20.25 |
1-10 |
(1-7) |
2 |
115 |
| 10 |
Kansas |
-21.75 |
1-10 |
(0-8) |
3 |
119 |

Pac 12 North
| 1 |
Washington St |
4 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
1 |
14 |
| 2 |
Stanford |
3.75 |
8-3 |
(7-2) |
1 |
16 |
| 3 |
Washington |
2.25 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
1 |
18 |
| 4 |
Oregon |
-4.5 |
6-5 |
(3-5) |
6 |
T46 |
| 5 |
California |
-6.25 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
4 |
54 |
| 6 |
Oregon State |
-18 |
1-9 |
(0-7) |
4 |
107 |

Pac 12 South
| 1 |
USC |
5.25 |
10-2 |
(8-1) |
1 |
T9 |
| 2 |
Arizona St |
-3.5 |
6-5 |
(5-3) |
1 |
38 |
| 3 |
Arizona |
-3.75 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
1 |
40 |
| 4 |
UCLA |
-4.75 |
5-6 |
(3-5) |
5 |
T48 |
| 5 |
Utah |
-5 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
5 |
50 |
| 6 |
Colorado |
-8 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
1 |
65 |

American East
| 1 |
UCF |
4.5 |
10-0 |
(7-0) |
3 |
13 |
| 2 |
S Florida |
-1.25 |
9-1 |
(6-1) |
1 |
27 |
| 3 |
Temple |
-11.75 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
4 |
89 |
| 4 |
Uconn |
-17.75 |
3-8 |
(2-5) |
4 |
106 |
| 5 |
Cincinnati |
-19.25 |
3-8 |
(1-6) |
4 |
110 |
| 6 |
E Carolina |
-20.75 |
3-8 |
(2-5) |
2 |
116 |

American West
| 1 |
Memphis |
1.5 |
9-1 |
(6-1) |
6 |
20 |
| 2 |
Navy |
-3.75 |
6-4 |
(4-3) |
2 |
41 |
| 3 |
SMU |
-6.5 |
6-5 |
(3-4) |
4 |
58 |
| 4 |
Houston |
-6.75 |
6-4 |
(4-3) |
1 |
60 |
| 5 |
Tulane |
-11.25 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
2 |
87 |
| 6 |
Tulsa |
-19.5 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
4 |
111 |

MW Mountain
| 1 |
Boise State |
0 |
9-2 |
(7-0) |
3 |
24 |
| 2 |
Wyoming |
-8.5 |
7-4 |
(5-2) |
6 |
71 |
| 3 |
Colorado St |
-9 |
7-5 |
(5-3) |
2 |
74 |
| 4 |
Utah State |
-11.25 |
6-5 |
(4-3) |
4 |
88 |
| 5 |
Air Force |
-15 |
4-7 |
(3-4) |
5 |
97 |
| 6 |
New Mexico |
-21.5 |
3-8 |
(1-6) |
1 |
118 |

MW West
| 1 |
San Diego St |
-2 |
9-2 |
(5-2) |
3 |
34 |
| 2 |
Fresno St |
-4.25 |
8-3 |
(6-1) |
1 |
44 |
| 3 |
UNLV |
-17 |
5-6 |
(4-3) |
6 |
103 |
| 4 |
Nevada |
-19.75 |
2-9 |
(2-5) |
3 |
113 |
| 5 |
Hawaii |
-22 |
3-8 |
(1-7) |
3 |
120 |
| 6 |
San Jose St |
-31.25 |
1-11 |
(0-7) |
2 |
130 |

MAC East
| 1 |
Ohio |
-8.25 |
8-3 |
(5-2) |
3 |
T69 |
| 2 |
Akron |
-11.25 |
6-5 |
(5-2) |
5 |
86 |
| 3 |
Buffalo |
-15.25 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
1 |
T98 |
| 4 |
Miami OH |
-19.75 |
4-7 |
(3-4) |
5 |
112 |
| 5 |
Kent State |
-24.75 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
1 |
121 |
| 6 |
Bowling Green |
-25.25 |
2-9 |
(2-5) |
3 |
122 |

MAC West
| 1 |
Toledo |
-3.5 |
9-2 |
(6-1) |
2 |
39 |
| 2 |
N Illinois |
-6.25 |
8-3 |
(6-1) |
2 |
55 |
| 3 |
C Michigan |
-10.5 |
7-4 |
(5-2) |
2 |
81 |
| 4 |
W Michigan |
-10.5 |
6-5 |
(4-3) |
1 |
82 |
| 5 |
E Michigan |
-17 |
4-7 |
(2-5) |
6 |
104 |
| 6 |
Ball State |
-28 |
2-9 |
(0-7) |
5 |
T124 |

C-USA East
| 1 |
FAU |
-5.25 |
8-3 |
(7-0) |
7 |
51 |
| 2 |
Marshall |
-9.5 |
7-4 |
(4-3) |
3 |
78 |
| 3 |
FIU |
-10.5 |
6-4 |
(4-3) |
2 |
83 |
| 4 |
W Kentucky |
-13.5 |
6-5 |
(4-3) |
3 |
93 |
| T5 |
Mid Tennessee |
-16.75 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
3 |
T101 |
| T5 |
Old Dominion |
-16.75 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
3 |
T101 |
| 7 |
Charlotte |
-31 |
1-10 |
(1-6) |
1 |
128 |

C-USA West
| 1 |
N Texas |
-6.75 |
8-3 |
(7-1) |
6 |
61 |
| 2 |
Southern Miss |
-8 |
8-3 |
(6-2) |
2 |
67 |
| 3 |
UTSA |
-12 |
6-4 |
(3-4) |
4 |
90 |
| 4 |
UAB |
-12.5 |
7-4 |
(5-3) |
6 |
91 |
| 5 |
Louisiana Tech |
-14.5 |
5-6 |
(3-4) |
2 |
T94 |
| 6 |
Rice |
-28.5 |
1-10 |
(1-6) |
1 |
127 |
| 7 |
UTEP |
-31 |
0-11 |
(0-7) |
4 |
129 |

Sun Belt
| 1 |
Troy |
-2.75 |
8-2 |
(5-1) |
9 |
36 |
| 2 |
Arkansas St |
-8.25 |
6-3 |
(5-1) |
4 |
T69 |
| 3 |
App State |
-9.25 |
6-4 |
(5-1) |
6 |
75 |
| 4 |
Georgia St |
-9.25 |
6-3 |
(5-1) |
6 |
76 |
| 5 |
UL Monroe |
-14.5 |
4-6 |
(4-4) |
2 |
T94 |
| 6 |
N Mexico St |
-15.25 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
9 |
T98 |
| 7 |
UL Lafayette |
-15.75 |
5-5 |
(4-3) |
9 |
100 |
| 8 |
S Alabama |
-20 |
4-7 |
(3-4) |
3 |
114 |
| 9 |
Idaho |
-21.25 |
3-7 |
(2-5) |
6 |
117 |
| 10 |
GA Southern |
-25.5 |
1-9 |
(1-6) |
12 |
123 |
| 11 |
Texas St |
-28 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
1 |
T124 |
| 12 |
Co Carolina |
-28.25 |
2-9 |
(1-6) |
5 |
126 |

Independents
| 1 |
Notre Dame |
7.75 |
9-2 |
(0-0) |
1 |
6 |
| 2 |
Army |
-5.5 |
8-3 |
(0-0) |
3 |
52 |
| 3 |
Umass |
-18.75 |
4-7 |
(0-0) |
2 |
108 |
| 4 |
BYU |
-19 |
3-9 |
(0-0) |
4 |
109 |
