Welcome
Over the past few years I have created a straightforward way to rank college football teams. Basically, I wanted a way to combine subjective views towards teams with an objective component. I have tinkered with my formula over the seasons and have what I think is a pretty decent way to compare resumes of different teams. This is NOT a sophisticated algorithm, and should not be treated the same way as Sagarin, KenPom, or other computer rankings found in places like the Massey Ranking Composite. The rankings should also not be used to predict future games; my rankings should be considered a snapshot of how a team’s body of work has been up to this point. Even though it is not the most complicated ranking system ever created, I think its simplicity can be a positive thing.
Basic Idea
I will not go into detail here about how these rankings are calculated, but I will describe the basic concept. Like I mentioned above, these rankings combine subjective and objective features. The subjective component drives the whole process. Every team is placed by me into a bin. There are seven general bins, ranging from -3 to 3. A basic idea of what each bin represents is:
- Bin 3: Elite teams, the cream of the crop. Typically the top 6-8 teams in the country. (e.g. Alabama, Miami)
- Bin 2: Teams that are “solidly ranked.” Not quite elite, but clearly top 25. (e.g. Penn State, Oklahoma St, USC)
- Bin 1: Teams that are “borderline ranked.” You certainly can make a case they are a top 25 team, but certainly can make the case they are not. (e.g. Northwestern, Virginia Tech, West Virginia)
- Bin 0: Teams that are “solidly unranked.” Decent teams that have a pulse, but are not considered close to being top 25. (e.g. Kansas State, Arizona State, Wake Forest)
- Bin -1: Starting to get a little worse here. Slightly above-average non-Power 5 teams and below average Power-5 teams are often found here. (e.g. Arkansas, Colorado State, SMU)
- Bin -2: Bad/average non-Power 5 teams, and REALLY bad Power 5 teams. (e.g. Utah State, UL Lafayette, Kansas)
- Bin -3: Really really bad. There are typically about 10 of these. (e.g. Charlotte, Texas State)
If a team seems to be somewhere in between two of these categories, they can be binned as a “0.5”, “1.5”, etc.
This is the subjective part of the process. I make the final call which bin a team falls into, but I try to inform myself as much as possible of the consensus of a given team. For example, for a team to be “borderline ranked” (bin 1), they need to at least appear in the “Other Receiving Votes” area of the AP and Coaches polls. I try to make the bins representative of the nationwide media consensus of a given team. Still, there is definitely subjectivity involved.
The objective element of the rankings gives and takes away points from a team depending on the bins of that team’s opponents. For example, beating a team from bin 0 at home by a “non-blowout score” (less than 22 points) rewards that team 0.5 points, and so on. This is the part of the process that I have tinkered with over the years. A team of course loses points for losing a game, depending on the opponent, where the game was played, and whether it was a blowout or not.
So the basic idea of the system is that we have an idea as fans which “bin” a team falls into. Once we determine that, we can get an obective idea of how a team’s resume is depending on the bins of that team’s wins and losses. The final “Score” of the ranking is simply a sum of the bin you are in and the amount of points you have gained/lost from wins and losses.
Week 11: Bama the Main Outlier
Taking a look at my rankings and those of the committee, you’ll see that there are some nice similarities. Both favor Clemson more than most. Mississippi State and Michigan State are both the highest three-loss teams, while Washington is pretty low in both. Overall, the two rankings complement each other pretty well; you can tell that the committee values certain things that my system highlights.
Of course, all that goes away when discussing Alabama. Bama has been a thorn in my ranking’s side all season long. They finally go out and get a (close) road win over a ranked team, and… stay in 7th. Ugh. We’ve been over this before, but the Tide’s resume still doesn’t sparkle as much as the teams ahead of them, even with recent wins against LSU and Miss State. Win at Aurburn and against Georgia, and I have little doubt they’ll be in the top 4. Or, knowing how my system has treated them this season, they may fall out of the top 10!
The huge mover this week was Auburn, jumping all the way from 14th to 3rd(!). The loss to LSU is still hurting them, but the dismantling of Mississippi State and now Georgia has put them into the top 5. It doesn’t hurt that their other loss - at Clemson by 6 - is barely hurting them at this stage. Notice that teams 3 through 7 are essentially tied - only 0.5 points (essentially nothing in my system) separates them.
Here is week 11:
| 1 |
Clemson |
9 |
9-1 |
(7-1) |
T2 |
87 |
| 2 |
Oklahoma |
8.75 |
9-1 |
(6-1) |
4 |
53 |
| 3 |
Auburn |
8 |
8-2 |
(6-1) |
14 |
23 |
| 4 |
Miami |
7.75 |
9-0 |
(7-0) |
5 |
43 |
| 5 |
Georgia |
7.75 |
9-1 |
(6-1) |
1 |
35 |
| 6 |
Notre Dame |
7.75 |
8-2 |
(0-0) |
T2 |
27 |
| 7 |
Alabama |
7.5 |
10-0 |
(7-0) |
7 |
43 |
| 8 |
Wisconsin |
5.75 |
10-0 |
(7-0) |
12 |
27 |
| 9 |
OK State |
5.75 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
11 |
68 |
| 10 |
Penn State |
5.5 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
6 |
53 |
| 11 |
Ohio State |
5.25 |
8-2 |
(6-1) |
T16 |
53 |
| 12 |
TCU |
5 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
8 |
53 |
| 13 |
USC |
4.75 |
9-2 |
(7-1) |
10 |
35 |
| 14 |
UCF |
4.5 |
9-0 |
(6-0) |
13 |
43 |
| 15 |
Mississippi St |
4 |
7-3 |
(3-3) |
15 |
68 |
| 16 |
Washington St |
3.5 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
19 |
12 |
| 17 |
Michigan State |
2.75 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
9 |
65 |
| 18 |
Stanford |
2.25 |
7-3 |
(6-2) |
27 |
20 |
| 19 |
Memphis |
2 |
8-1 |
(5-1) |
21 |
92 |
| 20 |
Virginia Tech |
1.25 |
7-3 |
(3-3) |
T16 |
43 |
| 21 |
Washington |
1 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
18 |
12 |
| 22 |
West Virginia |
1 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
23 |
7 |
| 23 |
NC State |
0.75 |
7-3 |
(5-1) |
24 |
65 |
| 24 |
Iowa |
0.5 |
6-4 |
(3-4) |
20 |
53 |
| 25 |
LSU |
0.25 |
7-3 |
(4-2) |
29 |
53 |
| 26 |
Michigan |
0 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
25 |
2 |
| 27 |
Northwestern |
0 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
26 |
81 |
| 28 |
Boise State |
-0.5 |
8-2 |
(6-0) |
32 |
87 |
| 29 |
Iowa State |
-0.5 |
6-4 |
(4-3) |
22 |
53 |
| 30 |
S Florida |
-1 |
8-1 |
(5-1) |
30 |
27 |
| 31 |
Arizona |
-1.5 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
31 |
43 |
| 32 |
Georgia Tech |
-1.75 |
5-4 |
(4-3) |
T37 |
12 |
| 33 |
South Carolina |
-2 |
7-3 |
(5-3) |
34 |
35 |
| 34 |
Texas |
-2 |
5-5 |
(4-3) |
33 |
23 |
| 35 |
Texas AM |
-2.25 |
6-4 |
(3-3) |
T37 |
27 |
| 36 |
Wake Forest |
-2.5 |
6-4 |
(3-4) |
36 |
27 |
| 37 |
Troy |
-2.75 |
8-2 |
(5-1) |
41 |
120 |
| T38 |
San Diego St |
-3 |
8-2 |
(4-2) |
43 |
111 |
| T38 |
Army |
-3 |
8-2 |
(0-0) |
45 |
68 |
| 40 |
Houston |
-3.25 |
6-3 |
(4-2) |
44 |
68 |
| 41 |
Toledo |
-3.25 |
9-2 |
(5-1) |
28 |
99 |
| 42 |
Navy |
-3.75 |
6-3 |
(4-3) |
46 |
12 |
| 43 |
Louisville |
-4 |
6-4 |
(3-4) |
T48 |
43 |
| 44 |
Arizona St |
-4.25 |
5-5 |
(4-3) |
T37 |
53 |
| 45 |
Kentucky |
-4.5 |
7-3 |
(4-3) |
50 |
9 |
| T46 |
Texas Tech |
-4.5 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
47 |
12 |
| T46 |
UCLA |
-4.5 |
5-5 |
(3-4) |
57 |
20 |
| T46 |
Utah |
-4.5 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
T48 |
20 |
| 49 |
Boston College |
-4.75 |
5-5 |
(3-4) |
35 |
81 |
| 50 |
Florida State |
-5 |
3-6 |
(3-5) |
52 |
99 |
| 51 |
Fresno St |
-5 |
7-3 |
(5-1) |
56 |
35 |
| 52 |
Kansas State |
-5.25 |
5-5 |
(3-4) |
40 |
9 |
| 53 |
California |
-5.5 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
54 |
23 |
| 54 |
SMU |
-5.5 |
6-4 |
(3-3) |
42 |
35 |
| 55 |
Virginia |
-5.75 |
6-4 |
(3-3) |
53 |
3 |
| 56 |
Oregon |
-5.75 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
T59 |
53 |
| 57 |
Ohio |
-5.75 |
8-2 |
(5-1) |
71 |
99 |
| 58 |
FAU |
-6 |
7-3 |
(6-0) |
69 |
111 |
| 59 |
Wyoming |
-6.25 |
7-3 |
(5-1) |
67 |
111 |
| 60 |
Indiana |
-6.5 |
4-6 |
(1-6) |
62 |
65 |
| 61 |
Ole Miss |
-6.5 |
5-5 |
(2-4) |
72 |
12 |
| 62 |
N Illinois |
-6.5 |
7-3 |
(5-1) |
64 |
87 |
| 63 |
Syracuse |
-6.75 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
51 |
35 |
| 64 |
Marshall |
-7 |
7-3 |
(4-2) |
76 |
99 |
| 65 |
Maryland |
-7.25 |
4-6 |
(2-5) |
58 |
5 |
| 66 |
Missouri |
-7.5 |
5-5 |
(2-4) |
81 |
68 |
| 67 |
Arkansas |
-7.5 |
4-6 |
(1-5) |
63 |
12 |
| T68 |
Colorado |
-7.75 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
68 |
35 |
| T68 |
Purdue |
-7.75 |
4-6 |
(2-5) |
T73 |
43 |
| 70 |
N Texas |
-7.75 |
7-3 |
(6-1) |
79 |
87 |
| 71 |
Duke |
-8 |
4-6 |
(1-6) |
T65 |
35 |
| 72 |
FIU |
-8 |
6-3 |
(4-2) |
55 |
68 |
| 73 |
Southern Miss |
-8.25 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
84 |
111 |
| 74 |
Minnesota |
-8.5 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
T77 |
5 |
| 75 |
Florida |
-8.5 |
3-6 |
(3-5) |
70 |
81 |
| 76 |
W Michigan |
-8.5 |
6-4 |
(4-2) |
T82 |
68 |
| 77 |
Pittsburgh |
-8.75 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
T59 |
3 |
| 78 |
Arkansas St |
-8.75 |
5-3 |
(4-1) |
61 |
126 |
| 79 |
Colorado St |
-9 |
6-5 |
(4-3) |
75 |
87 |
| T80 |
Rutgers |
-9 |
4-6 |
(3-4) |
80 |
23 |
| T80 |
Tennessee |
-9 |
4-6 |
(0-6) |
T65 |
27 |
| 82 |
App State |
-9.25 |
6-4 |
(5-1) |
85 |
99 |
| 83 |
Georgia St |
-9.25 |
6-3 |
(5-1) |
86 |
92 |
| 84 |
Nebraska |
-9.75 |
4-6 |
(3-4) |
T77 |
12 |
| 85 |
Vanderbilt |
-10.25 |
4-6 |
(0-6) |
T73 |
53 |
| 86 |
Temple |
-10.25 |
5-5 |
(3-3) |
89 |
27 |
| 87 |
UAB |
-10.25 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
90 |
99 |
| 88 |
C Michigan |
-10.5 |
6-4 |
(4-2) |
88 |
111 |
| 89 |
Tulane |
-11 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
93 |
53 |
| 90 |
Utah State |
-11.5 |
5-5 |
(3-3) |
94 |
99 |
| 91 |
Akron |
-11.75 |
5-4 |
(4-2) |
T82 |
99 |
| 92 |
UTSA |
-12.5 |
5-4 |
(2-4) |
87 |
92 |
| 93 |
N Mexico St |
-13 |
4-5 |
(2-3) |
T95 |
127 |
| 94 |
Air Force |
-13.25 |
4-6 |
(3-3) |
91 |
53 |
| 95 |
W Kentucky |
-13.5 |
5-5 |
(3-3) |
92 |
92 |
| 96 |
UL Monroe |
-13.75 |
4-5 |
(4-3) |
100 |
27 |
| 97 |
North Carolina |
-14.5 |
1-9 |
(0-7) |
99 |
68 |
| 98 |
Mid Tennessee |
-14.5 |
5-5 |
(3-3) |
101 |
92 |
| 99 |
Uconn |
-15.25 |
3-7 |
(2-6) |
106 |
68 |
| T100 |
Buffalo |
-15.5 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
T107 |
99 |
| T100 |
Louisiana Tech |
-15.5 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
T95 |
120 |
| 102 |
UL Lafayette |
-15.75 |
4-5 |
(3-3) |
98 |
128 |
| 103 |
S Alabama |
-15.75 |
4-6 |
(3-3) |
T107 |
120 |
| 104 |
Cincinnati |
-15.75 |
3-7 |
(1-5) |
97 |
111 |
| 105 |
Oregon State |
-16 |
1-9 |
(0-7) |
105 |
43 |
| 106 |
Miami OH |
-16.5 |
4-6 |
(3-3) |
110 |
120 |
| 107 |
E Michigan |
-16.5 |
3-7 |
(1-5) |
104 |
111 |
| 108 |
BYU |
-16.5 |
3-8 |
(0-0) |
115 |
111 |
| 109 |
Illinois |
-16.75 |
2-8 |
(0-7) |
102 |
7 |
| 110 |
Tulsa |
-17.25 |
2-8 |
(1-5) |
112 |
43 |
| T111 |
UNLV |
-17.25 |
4-6 |
(3-3) |
103 |
111 |
| T111 |
Old Dominion |
-17.25 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
117 |
120 |
| T111 |
Idaho |
-17.25 |
3-6 |
(2-4) |
116 |
129 |
| 114 |
Baylor |
-18 |
1-9 |
(1-6) |
109 |
9 |
| 115 |
Umass |
-18.5 |
3-7 |
(0-0) |
119 |
68 |
| 116 |
New Mexico |
-18.75 |
3-7 |
(1-5) |
114 |
68 |
| 117 |
Nevada |
-18.75 |
2-8 |
(2-4) |
120 |
68 |
| 118 |
Hawaii |
-19.5 |
3-7 |
(1-6) |
113 |
99 |
| 119 |
E Carolina |
-20 |
2-8 |
(1-5) |
111 |
43 |
| 120 |
Kansas |
-20.5 |
1-9 |
(0-7) |
118 |
1 |
| 121 |
Kent State |
-21.75 |
2-8 |
(1-5) |
121 |
92 |
| 122 |
Bowling Green |
-22.5 |
2-8 |
(2-4) |
122 |
81 |
| 123 |
Ball State |
-25.25 |
2-8 |
(0-6) |
123 |
99 |
| 124 |
Rice |
-25.5 |
1-9 |
(1-5) |
125 |
92 |
| 125 |
GA Southern |
-25.75 |
0-9 |
(0-6) |
126 |
129 |
| 126 |
Texas St |
-26 |
2-8 |
(1-5) |
124 |
81 |
| 127 |
Charlotte |
-27.75 |
1-9 |
(1-5) |
127 |
81 |
| 128 |
UTEP |
-28 |
0-10 |
(0-6) |
129 |
99 |
| 129 |
Co Carolina |
-28.5 |
1-9 |
(0-6) |
128 |
120 |
| 130 |
San Jose St |
-29.25 |
1-10 |
(0-6) |
130 |
68 |
Conference Ranks

| 1 |
SEC |
-2.1786 |
| 2 |
Big 12 |
-3.025 |
| 3 |
ACC |
-3.0714 |
| 4 |
Pac 12 |
-3.1875 |
| 5 |
Big 10 |
-3.2679 |
| 6 |
Ind |
-7.5625 |
| 7 |
Amer |
-8.0417 |
| 8 |
MW |
-12.6667 |
| 9 |
MAC |
-13.6875 |
| 10 |
CUSA |
-14.4107 |
| 11 |
S Belt |
-15.4792 |
Next are the rankings within every conference, as well as each team’s national ranking:
ACC
| 1 |
Clemson |
9 |
9-1 |
(7-1) |
13 |
1 |
| 2 |
Miami |
7.75 |
9-0 |
(7-0) |
7 |
4 |
| 3 |
Virginia Tech |
1.25 |
7-3 |
(3-3) |
7 |
20 |
| 4 |
NC State |
0.75 |
7-3 |
(5-1) |
10 |
23 |
| 5 |
Georgia Tech |
-1.75 |
5-4 |
(4-3) |
3 |
32 |
| 6 |
Wake Forest |
-2.5 |
6-4 |
(3-4) |
4 |
36 |
| 7 |
Louisville |
-4 |
6-4 |
(3-4) |
7 |
43 |
| 8 |
Boston College |
-4.75 |
5-5 |
(3-4) |
12 |
49 |
| 9 |
Florida State |
-5 |
3-6 |
(3-5) |
14 |
50 |
| 10 |
Virginia |
-5.75 |
6-4 |
(3-3) |
1 |
55 |
| 11 |
Syracuse |
-6.75 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
5 |
63 |
| 12 |
Duke |
-8 |
4-6 |
(1-6) |
5 |
71 |
| 13 |
Pittsburgh |
-8.75 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
1 |
77 |
| 14 |
North Carolina |
-14.5 |
1-9 |
(0-7) |
11 |
97 |
Big 10
| 1 |
Wisconsin |
5.75 |
10-0 |
(7-0) |
7 |
8 |
| 2 |
Penn State |
5.5 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
9 |
10 |
| 3 |
Ohio State |
5.25 |
8-2 |
(6-1) |
9 |
11 |
| 4 |
Michigan State |
2.75 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
12 |
17 |
| 5 |
Iowa |
0.5 |
6-4 |
(3-4) |
9 |
24 |
| 6 |
Michigan |
0 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
1 |
26 |
| 7 |
Northwestern |
0 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
14 |
27 |
| 8 |
Indiana |
-6.5 |
4-6 |
(1-6) |
12 |
60 |
| 9 |
Maryland |
-7.25 |
4-6 |
(2-5) |
2 |
65 |
| 10 |
Purdue |
-7.75 |
4-6 |
(2-5) |
8 |
T68 |
| 11 |
Minnesota |
-8.5 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
2 |
74 |
| 12 |
Rutgers |
-9 |
4-6 |
(3-4) |
6 |
T80 |
| 13 |
Nebraska |
-9.75 |
4-6 |
(3-4) |
5 |
84 |
| 14 |
Illinois |
-16.75 |
2-8 |
(0-7) |
4 |
109 |
SEC
| 1 |
Auburn |
8 |
8-2 |
(6-1) |
4 |
3 |
| 2 |
Georgia |
7.75 |
9-1 |
(6-1) |
7 |
5 |
| 3 |
Alabama |
7.5 |
10-0 |
(7-0) |
9 |
7 |
| 4 |
Mississippi St |
4 |
7-3 |
(3-3) |
12 |
15 |
| 5 |
LSU |
0.25 |
7-3 |
(4-2) |
10 |
25 |
| 6 |
South Carolina |
-2 |
7-3 |
(5-3) |
7 |
33 |
| 7 |
Texas AM |
-2.25 |
6-4 |
(3-3) |
5 |
35 |
| 8 |
Kentucky |
-4.5 |
7-3 |
(4-3) |
1 |
45 |
| 9 |
Ole Miss |
-6.5 |
5-5 |
(2-4) |
2 |
61 |
| 10 |
Missouri |
-7.5 |
5-5 |
(2-4) |
12 |
66 |
| 11 |
Arkansas |
-7.5 |
4-6 |
(1-5) |
2 |
67 |
| 12 |
Florida |
-8.5 |
3-6 |
(3-5) |
14 |
75 |
| 13 |
Tennessee |
-9 |
4-6 |
(0-6) |
5 |
T80 |
| 14 |
Vanderbilt |
-10.25 |
4-6 |
(0-6) |
10 |
85 |
Big 12
| 1 |
Oklahoma |
8.75 |
9-1 |
(6-1) |
7 |
2 |
| 2 |
OK State |
5.75 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
10 |
9 |
| 3 |
TCU |
5 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
7 |
12 |
| 4 |
West Virginia |
1 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
2 |
22 |
| 5 |
Iowa State |
-0.5 |
6-4 |
(4-3) |
7 |
29 |
| 6 |
Texas |
-2 |
5-5 |
(4-3) |
6 |
34 |
| 7 |
Texas Tech |
-4.5 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
5 |
T46 |
| 8 |
Kansas State |
-5.25 |
5-5 |
(3-4) |
3 |
52 |
| 9 |
Baylor |
-18 |
1-9 |
(1-6) |
3 |
114 |
| 10 |
Kansas |
-20.5 |
1-9 |
(0-7) |
1 |
120 |
Pac 12
| 1 |
USC |
4.75 |
9-2 |
(7-1) |
7 |
13 |
| 2 |
Washington St |
3.5 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
1 |
16 |
| 3 |
Stanford |
2.25 |
7-3 |
(6-2) |
3 |
18 |
| 4 |
Washington |
1 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
1 |
21 |
| 5 |
Arizona |
-1.5 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
9 |
31 |
| 6 |
Arizona St |
-4.25 |
5-5 |
(4-3) |
11 |
44 |
| T7 |
UCLA |
-4.5 |
5-5 |
(3-4) |
3 |
T46 |
| T7 |
Utah |
-4.5 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
3 |
T46 |
| 9 |
California |
-5.5 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
6 |
53 |
| 10 |
Oregon |
-5.75 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
11 |
56 |
| 11 |
Colorado |
-7.75 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
7 |
T68 |
| 12 |
Oregon State |
-16 |
1-9 |
(0-7) |
9 |
105 |
American
| 1 |
UCF |
4.5 |
9-0 |
(6-0) |
5 |
14 |
| 2 |
Memphis |
2 |
8-1 |
(5-1) |
11 |
19 |
| 3 |
S Florida |
-1 |
8-1 |
(5-1) |
2 |
30 |
| 4 |
Houston |
-3.25 |
6-3 |
(4-2) |
9 |
40 |
| 5 |
Navy |
-3.75 |
6-3 |
(4-3) |
1 |
42 |
| 6 |
SMU |
-5.5 |
6-4 |
(3-3) |
4 |
54 |
| 7 |
Temple |
-10.25 |
5-5 |
(3-3) |
2 |
86 |
| 8 |
Tulane |
-11 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
8 |
89 |
| 9 |
Uconn |
-15.25 |
3-7 |
(2-6) |
9 |
99 |
| 10 |
Cincinnati |
-15.75 |
3-7 |
(1-5) |
12 |
104 |
| 11 |
Tulsa |
-17.25 |
2-8 |
(1-5) |
5 |
110 |
| 12 |
E Carolina |
-20 |
2-8 |
(1-5) |
5 |
119 |
Mountain West
| 1 |
Boise State |
-0.5 |
8-2 |
(6-0) |
6 |
28 |
| 2 |
San Diego St |
-3 |
8-2 |
(4-2) |
10 |
T38 |
| 3 |
Fresno St |
-5 |
7-3 |
(5-1) |
1 |
51 |
| 4 |
Wyoming |
-6.25 |
7-3 |
(5-1) |
10 |
59 |
| 5 |
Colorado St |
-9 |
6-5 |
(4-3) |
6 |
79 |
| 6 |
Utah State |
-11.5 |
5-5 |
(3-3) |
8 |
90 |
| 7 |
Air Force |
-13.25 |
4-6 |
(3-3) |
2 |
94 |
| 8 |
UNLV |
-17.25 |
4-6 |
(3-3) |
10 |
T111 |
| 9 |
New Mexico |
-18.75 |
3-7 |
(1-5) |
3 |
116 |
| 10 |
Nevada |
-18.75 |
2-8 |
(2-4) |
3 |
117 |
| 11 |
Hawaii |
-19.5 |
3-7 |
(1-6) |
8 |
118 |
| 12 |
San Jose St |
-29.25 |
1-10 |
(0-6) |
3 |
130 |
MAC
| 1 |
Toledo |
-3.25 |
9-2 |
(5-1) |
5 |
41 |
| 2 |
Ohio |
-5.75 |
8-2 |
(5-1) |
5 |
57 |
| 3 |
N Illinois |
-6.5 |
7-3 |
(5-1) |
3 |
62 |
| 4 |
W Michigan |
-8.5 |
6-4 |
(4-2) |
1 |
76 |
| 5 |
C Michigan |
-10.5 |
6-4 |
(4-2) |
10 |
88 |
| 6 |
Akron |
-11.75 |
5-4 |
(4-2) |
5 |
91 |
| 7 |
Buffalo |
-15.5 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
5 |
T100 |
| 8 |
Miami OH |
-16.5 |
4-6 |
(3-3) |
12 |
106 |
| 9 |
E Michigan |
-16.5 |
3-7 |
(1-5) |
10 |
107 |
| 10 |
Kent State |
-21.75 |
2-8 |
(1-5) |
4 |
121 |
| 11 |
Bowling Green |
-22.5 |
2-8 |
(2-4) |
2 |
122 |
| 12 |
Ball State |
-25.25 |
2-8 |
(0-6) |
5 |
123 |
CUSA
| 1 |
FAU |
-6 |
7-3 |
(6-0) |
11 |
58 |
| 2 |
Marshall |
-7 |
7-3 |
(4-2) |
8 |
64 |
| 3 |
N Texas |
-7.75 |
7-3 |
(6-1) |
3 |
70 |
| 4 |
FIU |
-8 |
6-3 |
(4-2) |
1 |
72 |
| 5 |
Southern Miss |
-8.25 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
11 |
73 |
| 6 |
UAB |
-10.25 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
8 |
87 |
| 7 |
UTSA |
-12.5 |
5-4 |
(2-4) |
4 |
92 |
| 8 |
W Kentucky |
-13.5 |
5-5 |
(3-3) |
4 |
95 |
| 9 |
Mid Tennessee |
-14.5 |
5-5 |
(3-3) |
4 |
98 |
| 10 |
Louisiana Tech |
-15.5 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
13 |
T100 |
| 11 |
Old Dominion |
-17.25 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
13 |
T111 |
| 12 |
Rice |
-25.5 |
1-9 |
(1-5) |
4 |
124 |
| 13 |
Charlotte |
-27.75 |
1-9 |
(1-5) |
2 |
127 |
| 14 |
UTEP |
-28 |
0-10 |
(0-6) |
8 |
128 |
Sun Belt
| 1 |
Troy |
-2.75 |
8-2 |
(5-1) |
5 |
37 |
| 2 |
Arkansas St |
-8.75 |
5-3 |
(4-1) |
8 |
78 |
| 3 |
App State |
-9.25 |
6-4 |
(5-1) |
4 |
82 |
| 4 |
Georgia St |
-9.25 |
6-3 |
(5-1) |
3 |
83 |
| 5 |
N Mexico St |
-13 |
4-5 |
(2-3) |
9 |
93 |
| 6 |
UL Monroe |
-13.75 |
4-5 |
(4-3) |
1 |
96 |
| 7 |
UL Lafayette |
-15.75 |
4-5 |
(3-3) |
10 |
102 |
| 8 |
S Alabama |
-15.75 |
4-6 |
(3-3) |
5 |
103 |
| 9 |
Idaho |
-17.25 |
3-6 |
(2-4) |
11 |
T111 |
| 10 |
GA Southern |
-25.75 |
0-9 |
(0-6) |
11 |
125 |
| 11 |
Texas St |
-26 |
2-8 |
(1-5) |
2 |
126 |
| 12 |
Co Carolina |
-28.5 |
1-9 |
(0-6) |
5 |
129 |
Independents
| 1 |
Notre Dame |
7.75 |
8-2 |
(0-0) |
1 |
6 |
| 2 |
Army |
-3 |
8-2 |
(0-0) |
2 |
T38 |
| 3 |
BYU |
-16.5 |
3-8 |
(0-0) |
4 |
108 |
| 4 |
Umass |
-18.5 |
3-7 |
(0-0) |
2 |
115 |
Division Ranks
For those who are even more curious, here are the same analyses but by division instead of conference. I know the plot is a little busy, but it gives a decent idea of how the divisions fall.

| 1 |
SEC W |
0.5 |
| 2 |
Big 10 E |
-1.3214 |
| 3 |
ACC Atl |
-1.8929 |
| 4 |
Pac 12 S |
-2.9583 |
| 5 |
Big 12 |
-3.025 |
| 6 |
Pac 12 N |
-3.4167 |
| 7 |
ACC Coast |
-4.25 |
| 8 |
SEC E |
-4.8571 |
| 9 |
Big 10 W |
-5.2143 |
| 10 |
Amer W |
-6.4583 |
| 11 |
Ind |
-7.5625 |
| 12 |
Amer E |
-9.625 |
| 13 |
MW Moun |
-9.875 |
| 14 |
MAC W |
-11.75 |
| 15 |
CUSA E |
-13.4286 |
| 16 |
CUSA W |
-15.3929 |
| 17 |
MW West |
-15.4583 |
| 18 |
S Belt |
-15.4792 |
| 19 |
MAC E |
-15.625 |
Next are the rankings within every division, as well as each team’s national ranking (now with plots!):
ACC Coastal
| 1 |
Miami |
7.75 |
9-0 |
(7-0) |
5 |
4 |
| 2 |
Virginia Tech |
1.25 |
7-3 |
(3-3) |
5 |
20 |
| 3 |
Georgia Tech |
-1.75 |
5-4 |
(4-3) |
3 |
32 |
| 4 |
Virginia |
-5.75 |
6-4 |
(3-3) |
1 |
55 |
| 5 |
Duke |
-8 |
4-6 |
(1-6) |
4 |
71 |
| 6 |
Pittsburgh |
-8.75 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
1 |
77 |
| 7 |
North Carolina |
-14.5 |
1-9 |
(0-7) |
7 |
97 |

ACC Atlantic
| 1 |
Clemson |
9 |
9-1 |
(7-1) |
6 |
1 |
| 2 |
NC State |
0.75 |
7-3 |
(5-1) |
4 |
23 |
| 3 |
Wake Forest |
-2.5 |
6-4 |
(3-4) |
1 |
36 |
| 4 |
Louisville |
-4 |
6-4 |
(3-4) |
3 |
43 |
| 5 |
Boston College |
-4.75 |
5-5 |
(3-4) |
5 |
49 |
| 6 |
Florida State |
-5 |
3-6 |
(3-5) |
7 |
50 |
| 7 |
Syracuse |
-6.75 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
2 |
63 |

SEC East
| 1 |
Georgia |
7.75 |
9-1 |
(6-1) |
3 |
5 |
| 2 |
South Carolina |
-2 |
7-3 |
(5-3) |
3 |
33 |
| 3 |
Kentucky |
-4.5 |
7-3 |
(4-3) |
1 |
45 |
| 4 |
Missouri |
-7.5 |
5-5 |
(2-4) |
6 |
66 |
| 5 |
Florida |
-8.5 |
3-6 |
(3-5) |
7 |
75 |
| 6 |
Tennessee |
-9 |
4-6 |
(0-6) |
2 |
T80 |
| 7 |
Vanderbilt |
-10.25 |
4-6 |
(0-6) |
5 |
85 |

SEC West
| 1 |
Auburn |
8 |
8-2 |
(6-1) |
3 |
3 |
| 2 |
Alabama |
7.5 |
10-0 |
(7-0) |
5 |
7 |
| 3 |
Mississippi St |
4 |
7-3 |
(3-3) |
7 |
15 |
| 4 |
LSU |
0.25 |
7-3 |
(4-2) |
6 |
25 |
| 5 |
Texas AM |
-2.25 |
6-4 |
(3-3) |
4 |
35 |
| 6 |
Ole Miss |
-6.5 |
5-5 |
(2-4) |
1 |
61 |
| 7 |
Arkansas |
-7.5 |
4-6 |
(1-5) |
1 |
67 |

Big 10 East
| 1 |
Penn State |
5.5 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
4 |
10 |
| 2 |
Ohio State |
5.25 |
8-2 |
(6-1) |
4 |
11 |
| 3 |
Michigan State |
2.75 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
6 |
17 |
| 4 |
Michigan |
0 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
1 |
26 |
| 5 |
Indiana |
-6.5 |
4-6 |
(1-6) |
6 |
60 |
| 6 |
Maryland |
-7.25 |
4-6 |
(2-5) |
2 |
65 |
| 7 |
Rutgers |
-9 |
4-6 |
(3-4) |
3 |
T80 |

Big 10 West
| 1 |
Wisconsin |
5.75 |
10-0 |
(7-0) |
4 |
8 |
| 2 |
Iowa |
0.5 |
6-4 |
(3-4) |
6 |
24 |
| 3 |
Northwestern |
0 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
7 |
27 |
| 4 |
Purdue |
-7.75 |
4-6 |
(2-5) |
5 |
T68 |
| 5 |
Minnesota |
-8.5 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
1 |
74 |
| 6 |
Nebraska |
-9.75 |
4-6 |
(3-4) |
3 |
84 |
| 7 |
Illinois |
-16.75 |
2-8 |
(0-7) |
2 |
109 |

Big 12
| 1 |
Oklahoma |
8.75 |
9-1 |
(6-1) |
7 |
2 |
| 2 |
OK State |
5.75 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
10 |
9 |
| 3 |
TCU |
5 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
7 |
12 |
| 4 |
West Virginia |
1 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
2 |
22 |
| 5 |
Iowa State |
-0.5 |
6-4 |
(4-3) |
7 |
29 |
| 6 |
Texas |
-2 |
5-5 |
(4-3) |
6 |
34 |
| 7 |
Texas Tech |
-4.5 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
5 |
T46 |
| 8 |
Kansas State |
-5.25 |
5-5 |
(3-4) |
3 |
52 |
| 9 |
Baylor |
-18 |
1-9 |
(1-6) |
3 |
114 |
| 10 |
Kansas |
-20.5 |
1-9 |
(0-7) |
1 |
120 |

Pac 12 North
| 1 |
Washington St |
3.5 |
9-2 |
(6-2) |
1 |
16 |
| 2 |
Stanford |
2.25 |
7-3 |
(6-2) |
3 |
18 |
| 3 |
Washington |
1 |
8-2 |
(5-2) |
1 |
21 |
| 4 |
California |
-5.5 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
4 |
53 |
| 5 |
Oregon |
-5.75 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
6 |
56 |
| 6 |
Oregon State |
-16 |
1-9 |
(0-7) |
5 |
105 |

Pac 12 South
| 1 |
USC |
4.75 |
9-2 |
(7-1) |
3 |
13 |
| 2 |
Arizona |
-1.5 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
5 |
31 |
| 3 |
Arizona St |
-4.25 |
5-5 |
(4-3) |
6 |
44 |
| T4 |
UCLA |
-4.5 |
5-5 |
(3-4) |
1 |
T46 |
| T4 |
Utah |
-4.5 |
5-5 |
(2-5) |
1 |
T46 |
| 6 |
Colorado |
-7.75 |
5-6 |
(2-6) |
3 |
T68 |

American East
| 1 |
UCF |
4.5 |
9-0 |
(6-0) |
3 |
14 |
| 2 |
S Florida |
-1 |
8-1 |
(5-1) |
1 |
30 |
| 3 |
Temple |
-10.25 |
5-5 |
(3-3) |
1 |
86 |
| 4 |
Uconn |
-15.25 |
3-7 |
(2-6) |
5 |
99 |
| 5 |
Cincinnati |
-15.75 |
3-7 |
(1-5) |
6 |
104 |
| 6 |
E Carolina |
-20 |
2-8 |
(1-5) |
3 |
119 |

American West
| 1 |
Memphis |
2 |
8-1 |
(5-1) |
6 |
19 |
| 2 |
Houston |
-3.25 |
6-3 |
(4-2) |
5 |
40 |
| 3 |
Navy |
-3.75 |
6-3 |
(4-3) |
1 |
42 |
| 4 |
SMU |
-5.5 |
6-4 |
(3-3) |
2 |
54 |
| 5 |
Tulane |
-11 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
4 |
89 |
| 6 |
Tulsa |
-17.25 |
2-8 |
(1-5) |
3 |
110 |

MW Mountain
| 1 |
Boise State |
-0.5 |
8-2 |
(6-0) |
3 |
28 |
| 2 |
Wyoming |
-6.25 |
7-3 |
(5-1) |
6 |
59 |
| 3 |
Colorado St |
-9 |
6-5 |
(4-3) |
3 |
79 |
| 4 |
Utah State |
-11.5 |
5-5 |
(3-3) |
5 |
90 |
| 5 |
Air Force |
-13.25 |
4-6 |
(3-3) |
1 |
94 |
| 6 |
New Mexico |
-18.75 |
3-7 |
(1-5) |
2 |
116 |

MW West
| 1 |
San Diego St |
-3 |
8-2 |
(4-2) |
5 |
T38 |
| 2 |
Fresno St |
-5 |
7-3 |
(5-1) |
1 |
51 |
| 3 |
UNLV |
-17.25 |
4-6 |
(3-3) |
5 |
T111 |
| 4 |
Nevada |
-18.75 |
2-8 |
(2-4) |
2 |
117 |
| 5 |
Hawaii |
-19.5 |
3-7 |
(1-6) |
4 |
118 |
| 6 |
San Jose St |
-29.25 |
1-10 |
(0-6) |
2 |
130 |

MAC East
| 1 |
Ohio |
-5.75 |
8-2 |
(5-1) |
3 |
57 |
| 2 |
Akron |
-11.75 |
5-4 |
(4-2) |
3 |
91 |
| 3 |
Buffalo |
-15.5 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
3 |
T100 |
| 4 |
Miami OH |
-16.5 |
4-6 |
(3-3) |
6 |
106 |
| 5 |
Kent State |
-21.75 |
2-8 |
(1-5) |
2 |
121 |
| 6 |
Bowling Green |
-22.5 |
2-8 |
(2-4) |
1 |
122 |

MAC West
| 1 |
Toledo |
-3.25 |
9-2 |
(5-1) |
3 |
41 |
| 2 |
N Illinois |
-6.5 |
7-3 |
(5-1) |
2 |
62 |
| 3 |
W Michigan |
-8.5 |
6-4 |
(4-2) |
1 |
76 |
| 4 |
C Michigan |
-10.5 |
6-4 |
(4-2) |
5 |
88 |
| 5 |
E Michigan |
-16.5 |
3-7 |
(1-5) |
5 |
107 |
| 6 |
Ball State |
-25.25 |
2-8 |
(0-6) |
3 |
123 |

C-USA East
| 1 |
FAU |
-6 |
7-3 |
(6-0) |
6 |
58 |
| 2 |
Marshall |
-7 |
7-3 |
(4-2) |
5 |
64 |
| 3 |
FIU |
-8 |
6-3 |
(4-2) |
1 |
72 |
| 4 |
W Kentucky |
-13.5 |
5-5 |
(3-3) |
3 |
95 |
| 5 |
Mid Tennessee |
-14.5 |
5-5 |
(3-3) |
3 |
98 |
| 6 |
Old Dominion |
-17.25 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
7 |
T111 |
| 7 |
Charlotte |
-27.75 |
1-9 |
(1-5) |
2 |
127 |

C-USA West
| 1 |
N Texas |
-7.75 |
7-3 |
(6-1) |
1 |
70 |
| 2 |
Southern Miss |
-8.25 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
6 |
73 |
| 3 |
UAB |
-10.25 |
7-3 |
(5-2) |
4 |
87 |
| 4 |
UTSA |
-12.5 |
5-4 |
(2-4) |
2 |
92 |
| 5 |
Louisiana Tech |
-15.5 |
4-6 |
(2-4) |
7 |
T100 |
| 6 |
Rice |
-25.5 |
1-9 |
(1-5) |
2 |
124 |
| 7 |
UTEP |
-28 |
0-10 |
(0-6) |
4 |
128 |

Sun Belt
| 1 |
Troy |
-2.75 |
8-2 |
(5-1) |
5 |
37 |
| 2 |
Arkansas St |
-8.75 |
5-3 |
(4-1) |
8 |
78 |
| 3 |
App State |
-9.25 |
6-4 |
(5-1) |
4 |
82 |
| 4 |
Georgia St |
-9.25 |
6-3 |
(5-1) |
3 |
83 |
| 5 |
N Mexico St |
-13 |
4-5 |
(2-3) |
9 |
93 |
| 6 |
UL Monroe |
-13.75 |
4-5 |
(4-3) |
1 |
96 |
| 7 |
UL Lafayette |
-15.75 |
4-5 |
(3-3) |
10 |
102 |
| 8 |
S Alabama |
-15.75 |
4-6 |
(3-3) |
5 |
103 |
| 9 |
Idaho |
-17.25 |
3-6 |
(2-4) |
11 |
T111 |
| 10 |
GA Southern |
-25.75 |
0-9 |
(0-6) |
11 |
125 |
| 11 |
Texas St |
-26 |
2-8 |
(1-5) |
2 |
126 |
| 12 |
Co Carolina |
-28.5 |
1-9 |
(0-6) |
5 |
129 |

Independents
| 1 |
Notre Dame |
7.75 |
8-2 |
(0-0) |
1 |
6 |
| 2 |
Army |
-3 |
8-2 |
(0-0) |
2 |
T38 |
| 3 |
BYU |
-16.5 |
3-8 |
(0-0) |
4 |
108 |
| 4 |
Umass |
-18.5 |
3-7 |
(0-0) |
2 |
115 |
