Welcome

Over the past few years I have created a straightforward way to rank college football teams. Basically, I wanted a way to combine subjective views towards teams with an objective component. I have tinkered with my formula over the seasons and have what I think is a pretty decent way to compare resumes of different teams. This is NOT a sophisticated algorithm, and should not be treated the same way as Sagarin, KenPom, or other computer rankings found in places like the Massey Ranking Composite. The rankings should also not be used to predict future games; my rankings should be considered a snapshot of how a team’s body of work has been up to this point. Even though it is not the most complicated ranking system ever created, I think its simplicity can be a positive thing.


Basic Idea

I will not go into detail here about how these rankings are calculated, but I will describe the basic concept. Like I mentioned above, these rankings combine subjective and objective features. The subjective component drives the whole process. Every team is placed by me into a bin. There are seven general bins, ranging from -3 to 3. A basic idea of what each bin represents is:


If a team seems to be somewhere in between two of these categories, they can be binned as a “0.5”, “1.5”, etc. For example, Clemson should not be considered in bin 3 after their loss this week, but they seem to be close enough where a 2.5 bin is warranted.

This is the subjective part of the process. I make the final call which bin a team falls into, but I try to inform myself as much as possible of the consensus of a given team. For example, for a team to be “borderline ranked” (bin 1), they need to at least appear in the “Other Receiving Votes” area of the AP and Coaches polls. I try to make the bins representative of the nationwide media consensus of a given team. Still, there is definitely subjectivity involved.

The objective element of the rankings gives and takes away points from a team depending on the bins of that team’s opponents. For example, beating a team from bin 0 at home by a “non-blowout score” (less than 22 points) rewards that team 0.5 points, and so on. This is the part of the process that I have tinkered with over the years. A team of course loses points for losing a game, depending on the opponent, where the game was played, and whether it was a blowout or not.

So the basic idea of the system is that we have an idea as fans which “bin” a team falls into. Once we determine that, we can get an obective idea of how a team’s resume is depending on the bins of that team’s wins and losses. The final “Score” of the ranking is simply a sum of the bin you are in and the amount of points you have gained/lost from wins and losses.


Week 7: Clemson Still 3rd?

Of all the crazy upsets this weekend, the most surprising had to be Clemson’s loss at Syracuse. The Tigers, who were by far the number 1 team in these rankings over the past few weeks, looked pretty much invincible up until Friday night’s shocking result. Despite losing to a mediocre team, Clemson still comes out as the #3 team in this week’s rankings, still above undefeated teams Alabama, Penn State, Miami, and Wisconsin. I’m not too happy about this result, but it is a testament to how strong Clemson’s collection of wins have been this season. Sure, the wins against Louisville and Auburn have lost some shine this week, but Clemson’s wins at VT, at Louisville (by a large margin), versus Auburn, at Wake Forest, and versus BC are considered by my system to be the best collection of wins by any team in the country. I’m a little annoyed how much my system is downplaying Alabama, but Clemson being ranked really high, even with a loss, is not particularly surprising given how much my model has loved the Tigers this season. Consider Clemson the “darling” of this system.

My Rankings Versus ESPN

As I have discussed before, my “objective” rankings are a little different from most computer rankings you may see online. My rankings are intended to rank the bodies of work of what teams have accomplished, while most other ranking systems are only created to predict how teams will perform moving forward. For example, ESPN uses their complex Football Power Index, or FPI, to rank teams. These computer rankings have been shown to be predictive of future games, but they yield some strange results, like OSU being ranked 2nd and Florida State ranked 14th. You should think of the FPI as a decent indicator as to how good a team is, while a ranking like mine ranks accomplishments of teams. This is an important distinction.

Up until this week, I haven’t stumbled upon any established “resume” rankings like mine. However, I saw this weekend that ESPN applies their FPI formula to see what teams have performed the best thus far, essentially trying to rank bodies of work like my rankings do. This system is a little more complex than mine, and is called “FPI Strength of Record (SOR).” I haven’t been able to find the actual page for these rankings, but I was able to find the top 25 on Reddit of all places, so I am linking the top 25 here: https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/76qz6b/2017_week_7_fpi_strength_of_record_1_uga_2_tcu_3/

It is very interesting comparing my rankings, which are simple and accessible to anyone who is interested, with ESPN’s more complex algorithm. At least for the top 25, which is all I have been able to find from ESPN, the rankings are quite similar. The idea that Georgia is #1 right now and TCU is #2 seems a little farfetched, but both me and the experts at ESPN have this result. Another somewhat puzzling result from my rankings is that Michigan State falls at a very high #10. In ESPN’s rankings? Number 10 as well! Some other similar results are Washington being low (#21 in both), Ohio State being relatively low (#11 in mine, #13 in ESPN), and San Diego State being high (#23 in mine, #17 in ESPN, and totally unranked in human polls). I would say these two rankings are very similar, which sort of validates my unsophisticated (at least relative to ESPN) approach.

There are of course some discrepencies between the two methods. The largest is probably Oklahoma, which is 7th in ESPN’s resume rankings but down at tied for 14th in mine. To understand where ESPN is different from me, we have to understand what ESPN’s SOR is doing. It heavily utilizes their predictive computer rankings - the FPI - to determine the quality of a team’s wins/losses (where I use those “bins” based off of national consensus). This means that differences will arise when ESPN’s FPI rankings are a little different from the national consensus. For example, the FPI has Ohio State at #2 and Texas at #20. Those are higher than the national consensus of these two teams, right? Well, who are Oklahoma’s two best wins? Ohio State and Texas of course… so ESPN rewards Oklahoma handsomely for those two wins, while my system does not view them quite as favorably, leading to OU’s body of work being ranked a little lower in my rankings.

Most main discrepencies can be attriubuted to these FPI oddities. For example, the resumes of Alabama (T4th in mine, 3rd in ESPN), Miami (6th in mine, 4th in ESPN), and especially NC State (T17th in mine, 11th in ESPN) are all rated higher by ESPN than by me. What do all of these teams have in common? They all have beaten 2-3 Florida State, which my system treats as an average, solid unranked team. However, the Seminoles are ranked 14th in the FPI, meaning these three teams are given a lot of credit for beating the Seminoles in ESPN’s rankings, which probably plays a large role in the dicrepencies with mine. In other words, ESPN’s SOR is not its predictive model and ranks bodies of work like my system, but the FPI still plays a large role in these rankings.

Here are the Week 7 rankings!

Rank Team Score Record Conf Prev Rank Rem Sched Rank
1 Georgia 7.25 7-0 (4-0) 2 36
2 TCU 6.75 6-0 (3-0) 3 57
3 Clemson 6 6-1 (4-1) 1 57
T4 Penn State 5.75 6-0 (3-0) 4 19
T4 Alabama 5.75 7-0 (4-0) 5 53
6 Miami 5 5-0 (3-0) 7 25
7 Wisconsin 4.5 6-0 (3-0) T12 57
8 USC 4.5 6-1 (4-1) T10 40
9 Notre Dame 4.25 5-1 (0-0) T10 1
10 Michigan State 3.75 5-1 (3-0) 17 19
11 Ohio State 3.5 6-1 (4-0) T15 8
12 UCF 3.5 5-0 (3-0) 14 69
13 Virginia Tech 3.25 5-1 (1-1) 19 40
T14 Washington St 3 6-1 (3-1) 6 25
T14 Oklahoma 3 5-1 (2-1) 21 12
T14 OK State 3 5-1 (2-1) 8 40
T17 NC State 2.75 6-1 (4-0) 22 25
T17 Michigan 2.75 5-1 (2-1) 23 4
19 Stanford 2.75 5-2 (4-1) 18 8
20 S Florida 2 6-0 (3-0) 20 71
21 Washington 1.75 6-1 (3-1) T12 19
22 Auburn 1.25 5-2 (3-1) T15 12
23 San Diego St 1 6-1 (2-1) 9 116
24 West Virginia 1 4-2 (2-1) 28 25
25 Memphis 0.75 5-1 (2-1) T33 80
26 Texas AM 0.5 5-2 (3-1) T37 49
27 Florida State 0.5 2-3 (2-2) 45 57
28 Iowa 0.25 4-2 (1-2) T30 8
29 Mississippi St 0 4-2 (1-2) T30 46
30 Virginia -0.25 5-1 (2-0) T35 19
31 South Carolina -0.5 5-2 (3-2) T49 36
32 Indiana -0.5 3-3 (0-3) T30 46
33 Kentucky -0.75 5-1 (2-1) 41 36
T34 Texas Tech -0.75 4-2 (1-2) 24 12
T34 Boise State -0.75 4-2 (2-0) 53 104
36 LSU -1 5-2 (2-1) T61 30
37 Navy -1 5-1 (3-1) 25 62
38 Utah -1 4-2 (1-2) 26 19
39 California -1 4-3 (1-3) 63 53
40 Toledo -1 5-1 (2-0) 46 114
41 Iowa State -1.5 4-2 (2-1) T49 8
42 Georgia Tech -1.5 3-2 (2-1) 29 1
T43 Florida -1.5 3-3 (3-2) T37 53
T43 Texas -1.5 3-3 (2-1) T42 30
45 Marshall -1.5 5-1 (2-0) 54 100
46 Wake Forest -1.75 4-2 (1-2) T42 12
47 Arizona St -1.75 3-3 (2-1) 52 49
T48 Northwestern -2 3-3 (1-2) 59 62
T48 Purdue -2 3-3 (1-2) T42 71
T50 Syracuse -2.5 4-3 (2-1) 76 36
T50 UCLA -2.5 3-3 (1-2) 51 12
T52 Colorado St -2.75 5-2 (3-0) 60 85
T52 SMU -2.75 4-2 (1-1) T57 64
T54 Louisville -3 4-3 (1-3) 27 44
T54 Oregon -3 4-3 (1-3) T47 46
56 App State -3 4-2 (3-0) 55 128
57 Arizona -3.25 4-2 (2-1) T61 30
58 Duke -3.25 4-3 (1-3) T47 49
T59 Maryland -3.25 3-3 (1-2) T37 1
T59 Ole Miss -3.25 3-3 (1-2) 67 53
T61 Tennessee -3.5 3-3 (0-3) T37 44
T61 Kansas State -3.5 3-3 (1-2) 65 19
63 Fresno St -3.5 4-2 (3-0) 64 80
64 Troy -4 4-2 (1-1) T35 128
T65 Army -4.25 5-2 (0-0) 74 74
T65 N Illinois -4.25 4-2 (2-0) 69 107
67 Houston -4.5 4-2 (2-1) T33 57
68 Boston College -4.5 3-4 (1-3) 77 49
69 Arkansas -4.5 2-4 (0-3) 70 64
70 Vanderbilt -4.75 3-4 (0-4) 56 64
71 Colorado -5 4-3 (1-3) 73 12
72 Pittsburgh -5.25 2-5 (0-3) 71 12
73 Minnesota -5.5 3-3 (0-3) 66 30
T74 Wyoming -5.5 4-2 (2-0) T78 94
T74 Southern Miss -5.5 4-2 (2-1) T81 107
T74 N Texas -5.5 4-2 (3-0) T78 126
77 Nebraska -5.75 3-4 (2-2) 75 30
78 Arkansas St -5.75 3-2 (2-0) T81 116
79 W Michigan -5.75 4-3 (2-1) T57 88
T80 FIU -5.75 4-2 (2-1) 84 85
T80 Georgia St -5.75 3-2 (2-0) 89 116
T82 Ohio -6.5 5-2 (2-1) 90 94
T82 UTSA -6.5 3-2 (0-2) 72 123
T84 Tulane -6.5 3-3 (1-1) 68 68
T84 FAU -6.5 3-3 (2-0) 86 107
86 Akron -6.5 4-3 (3-0) 88 91
87 W Kentucky -7 4-2 (2-1) 91 94
88 UAB -7 4-2 (2-1) 94 116
89 Air Force -7.5 2-4 (1-2) 83 88
90 Rutgers -7.75 2-4 (1-2) 98 4
91 Louisiana Tech -8.5 3-3 (1-1) 103 116
92 UL Monroe -8.75 3-3 (3-1) 87 74
93 Missouri -9 1-5 (0-4) 102 77
94 New Mexico -9.5 3-3 (1-2) 85 73
T95 Temple -9.5 3-4 (1-3) 80 69
T95 Utah State -9.5 3-4 (1-2) 92 85
97 Cincinnati -9.5 2-5 (0-3) 97 83
98 UL Lafayette -9.75 3-3 (2-1) 108 100
T99 N Mexico St -10 3-4 (1-2) 104 104
T99 E Michigan -10 2-4 (0-2) 95 121
T101 UNLV -10.25 2-4 (1-2) 96 123
T101 S Alabama -10.25 2-4 (1-1) 109 121
103 Illinois -10.5 2-4 (0-3) 93 7
104 Mid Tennessee -11 3-4 (1-2) 99 107
105 C Michigan -11.25 3-4 (1-2) T106 100
106 Oregon State -11.5 1-6 (0-4) 100 40
107 Buffalo -11.5 3-4 (1-2) 101 107
108 Uconn -11.5 2-4 (1-3) 121 79
109 North Carolina -11.75 1-6 (0-4) 105 25
110 Tulsa -11.75 2-5 (1-2) 111 64
111 Old Dominion -12.25 2-4 (0-2) T106 123
112 Kent State -12.25 2-5 (1-2) 117 94
113 Baylor -12.5 0-6 (0-3) 113 30
114 Hawaii -12.5 3-4 (1-3) 120 80
115 BYU -13 1-6 (0-0) 115 128
116 Ball State -13 2-4 (0-2) 116 104
117 Idaho -13.25 2-4 (1-2) 110 114
118 Kansas -13.5 1-5 (0-3) 114 6
119 E Carolina -13.75 1-6 (1-3) 119 83
120 Miami OH -14.5 2-5 (1-2) 112 100
121 Rice -15 1-5 (1-1) 124 107
122 Nevada -15.25 1-6 (1-2) 122 76
123 GA Southern -15.5 0-5 (0-2) 118 126
124 Bowling Green -17.5 1-6 (1-2) 123 88
125 Co Carolina -17.75 1-5 (0-3) 125 107
126 Umass -18.75 0-6 (0-0) 129 91
127 Texas St -19.75 1-6 (0-3) 127 94
128 San Jose St -20 1-7 (0-4) 126 77
129 UTEP -20.75 0-7 (0-3) 128 91
130 Charlotte -22.25 0-7 (0-3) 130 94



Interesting Plot of the Week

LSU, NC State, Virginia, and Michigan State have all been high risers over the past few weeks, as this plot shows. Virginia has come out of nowhere to crack the top 40 with a 5-1 start, while LSU has overcome an embarassing loss by beating Florida and Auburn back-to-back to claw their way back to relevance. MSU and NC State started the year with decent expectations, but have seen those hopes rise into the top 20 with great one-loss starts.


Conference Ranks: Still Close, but Pac 12 Takes Hit

Like last week, the “battle” for best conference is very close at the top, with the SEC a scrape ahead of the ACC and Big 10. Last week’s 1st-place conference, the Pac 12, has slipped down to 4th. It was a rough week out west, as undefeateds Washington and Washington St both lost in embarassing fashion. With those two losses, the Pac 12 is now the only Power 5 conference wth no undefeated teams remaining. USC is now the highest ranked team in the conference at #8 nationally. Another result that indirectly hurt the conference was San Diego State’s home loss to Boise State. The Aztecs are actually 2-0 against Pac 12 teams this season, beating both Arizona St (who beat Washington Saturday).

Rank Conf Avg
1 SEC -1
2 ACC -1.1607
3 Big 10 -1.1964
4 Pac 12 -1.4167
5 Big 12 -1.95
6 Amer -5.375
7 Ind -7.9375
8 MW -8
9 MAC -9.5
10 CUSA -9.6429
11 S Belt -10.2917



Next are the rankings within every conference, as well as each team’s national ranking:

ACC: Florida State Revisited

Florida State has been the butt of a lot of jokes this season, as the preseason top-3 Seminoles started 1-3 and freefalled out of the top 25. However, after taking a deep breath, a sober look at their resume is actually quite interesting. FSU has had zero easy games, with at Duke or at Wake being the closest they’ve had to a “gimme” win. Their three losses are to Alabama, NC State, and at Miami, all in somewhat close fashion. Those three teams are all top-20 and have one combined loss. Yes, FSU has been a big disappointment relative to their preseason expectations, but their resume actually is not horrible due to their ridiculously difficult schedule.

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Clemson 6 6-1 (4-1) 13 3
2 Miami 5 5-0 (3-0) 5 6
3 Virginia Tech 3.25 5-1 (1-1) 9 13
4 NC State 2.75 6-1 (4-0) 5 T17
5 Florida State 0.5 2-3 (2-2) 13 27
6 Virginia -0.25 5-1 (2-0) 4 30
7 Georgia Tech -1.5 3-2 (2-1) 1 42
8 Wake Forest -1.75 4-2 (1-2) 2 46
9 Syracuse -2.5 4-3 (2-1) 8 T50
10 Louisville -3 4-3 (1-3) 10 T54
11 Duke -3.25 4-3 (1-3) 11 58
12 Boston College -4.5 3-4 (1-3) 11 68
13 Pittsburgh -5.25 2-5 (0-3) 2 72
14 North Carolina -11.75 1-6 (0-4) 5 109


Big 10: Ohio State Destroying Inferior Teams

Since the Buckeyes’ loss to Oklahoma, they have obliterated everything placed in front of them, including Nebraska on Saturday. These impressive destructions have pleased AP voters, as OSU now finds themselves 6th in the national polls, the top 1-loss team in the nation. Despite passing the eye test over the past few weeks, their resume is still largely empty, with winning at Indiana being their best win. The Buckeyes should be right in the middle of the national title conversation and will have their opportunity to prove themselves against the big boys of the conference, but right now their body of work is not quite top-6 material.

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Penn State 5.75 6-0 (3-0) 7 T4
2 Wisconsin 4.5 6-0 (3-0) 12 7
3 Michigan State 3.75 5-1 (3-0) 7 10
4 Ohio State 3.5 6-1 (4-0) 5 11
5 Michigan 2.75 5-1 (2-1) 2 T17
6 Iowa 0.25 4-2 (1-2) 5 28
7 Indiana -0.5 3-3 (0-3) 11 32
T8 Northwestern -2 3-3 (1-2) 13 T48
T8 Purdue -2 3-3 (1-2) 14 T48
10 Maryland -3.25 3-3 (1-2) 1 T59
11 Minnesota -5.5 3-3 (0-3) 9 73
12 Nebraska -5.75 3-4 (2-2) 9 77
13 Rutgers -7.75 2-4 (1-2) 2 90
14 Illinois -10.5 2-4 (0-3) 4 103


SEC: South Carolina Sneaky Good

Throughout the deep mediocrity of the the majority of the SEC, the South Carolina Gamecocks have been a pleasant surprise. The 5-2 squad has lost at home to Kentucky and at Texas AM following star Deebo Samuel’s injury, but has rebounded nicely with wins versus Arkansas and at Tennessee. They aren’t a national title contender or anything like that, but a nice 8-win season is a reasonable goal. And don’t forget their big nonconference win against NC State to start the season.

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Georgia 7.25 7-0 (4-0) 3 1
2 Alabama 5.75 7-0 (4-0) 9 T4
3 Auburn 1.25 5-2 (3-1) 1 22
4 Texas AM 0.5 5-2 (3-1) 8 26
5 Mississippi St 0 4-2 (1-2) 7 29
6 South Carolina -0.5 5-2 (3-2) 3 31
7 Kentucky -0.75 5-1 (2-1) 3 33
8 LSU -1 5-2 (2-1) 2 36
9 Florida -1.5 3-3 (3-2) 9 T43
10 Ole Miss -3.25 3-3 (1-2) 9 T59
11 Tennessee -3.5 3-3 (0-3) 6 T61
12 Arkansas -4.5 2-4 (0-3) 12 69
13 Vanderbilt -4.75 3-4 (0-4) 12 70
14 Missouri -9 1-5 (0-4) 14 93


Big 12: Cowboys Under the Radar

At the beginning of the season, Oklahoma State was the talk of the town. Their explosive offense was getting a lot of hype up until their home loss against TCU. Since then, no one has been talking about them, and they are one of the sneakier one-loss teams right now. They haven’t picked up a marquee win yet though, with their win at Texas Tech probably being their best so far this year.

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 TCU 6.75 6-0 (3-0) 10 2
T2 Oklahoma 3 5-1 (2-1) 3 T14
T2 OK State 3 5-1 (2-1) 9 T14
4 West Virginia 1 4-2 (2-1) 6 24
5 Texas Tech -0.75 4-2 (1-2) 3 T34
6 Iowa State -1.5 4-2 (2-1) 2 41
7 Texas -1.5 3-3 (2-1) 7 T43
8 Kansas State -3.5 3-3 (1-2) 5 T61
9 Baylor -12.5 0-6 (0-3) 7 113
10 Kansas -13.5 1-5 (0-3) 1 118


Pac 12: Arizona Emerging

Coming into the season, Arizona was supposed to struggle and Rich Rodriguez was supposed to be on the hottest of hot seats. They did go 3-9 last year, after all. Despite some early losses to Houston and Utah, the Wildcats now find themselves at 4-2 with a win over UCLA this past weekend. Leading their charge is new starting QB Khalil Tate, who has combined for 557 rushing yards on just 29 carries over the past two games. As Pat White and Denard Robinson would tell you, Rich Rodriguez can be dangerous with an athletic quarterback.

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 USC 4.5 6-1 (4-1) 8 8
2 Washington St 3 6-1 (3-1) 6 T14
3 Stanford 2.75 5-2 (4-1) 1 19
4 Washington 1.75 6-1 (3-1) 4 21
5 Utah -1 4-2 (1-2) 4 38
6 California -1 4-3 (1-3) 12 39
7 Arizona St -1.75 3-3 (2-1) 11 47
8 UCLA -2.5 3-3 (1-2) 2 T50
9 Oregon -3 4-3 (1-3) 10 T54
10 Arizona -3.25 4-2 (2-1) 7 57
11 Colorado -5 4-3 (1-3) 2 71
12 Oregon State -11.5 1-6 (0-4) 8 106


American

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 UCF 3.5 5-0 (3-0) 6 12
2 S Florida 2 6-0 (3-0) 8 20
3 Memphis 0.75 5-1 (2-1) 10 25
4 Navy -1 5-1 (3-1) 2 37
5 SMU -2.75 4-2 (1-1) 3 T52
6 Houston -4.5 4-2 (2-1) 1 67
7 Tulane -6.5 3-3 (1-1) 5 T84
8 Temple -9.5 3-4 (1-3) 6 T95
9 Cincinnati -9.5 2-5 (0-3) 11 97
10 Uconn -11.5 2-4 (1-3) 9 108
11 Tulsa -11.75 2-5 (1-2) 3 110
12 E Carolina -13.75 1-6 (1-3) 11 119


Mountain West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 San Diego St 1 6-1 (2-1) 11 23
2 Boise State -0.75 4-2 (2-0) 10 T34
3 Colorado St -2.75 5-2 (3-0) 6 T52
4 Fresno St -3.5 4-2 (3-0) 4 63
5 Wyoming -5.5 4-2 (2-0) 9 T74
6 Air Force -7.5 2-4 (1-2) 8 89
7 New Mexico -9.5 3-3 (1-2) 1 94
8 Utah State -9.5 3-4 (1-2) 6 T95
9 UNLV -10.25 2-4 (1-2) 12 T101
10 Hawaii -12.5 3-4 (1-3) 4 114
11 Nevada -15.25 1-6 (1-2) 2 122
12 San Jose St -20 1-7 (0-4) 3 128


MAC

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Toledo -1 5-1 (2-0) 11 40
2 N Illinois -4.25 4-2 (2-0) 9 T65
3 W Michigan -5.75 4-3 (2-1) 1 79
4 Ohio -6.5 5-2 (2-1) 4 T82
5 Akron -6.5 4-3 (3-0) 3 86
6 E Michigan -10 2-4 (0-2) 12 T99
7 C Michigan -11.25 3-4 (1-2) 6 105
8 Buffalo -11.5 3-4 (1-2) 9 107
9 Kent State -12.25 2-5 (1-2) 4 112
10 Ball State -13 2-4 (0-2) 8 116
11 Miami OH -14.5 2-5 (1-2) 6 120
12 Bowling Green -17.5 1-6 (1-2) 1 124


CUSA

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Marshall -1.5 5-1 (2-0) 5 45
T2 Southern Miss -5.5 4-2 (2-1) 6 T74
T2 N Texas -5.5 4-2 (3-0) 14 T74
4 FIU -5.75 4-2 (2-1) 1 T80
5 UTSA -6.5 3-2 (0-2) 12 T82
6 FAU -6.5 3-3 (2-0) 6 T84
7 W Kentucky -7 4-2 (2-1) 3 87
8 UAB -7 4-2 (2-1) 10 88
9 Louisiana Tech -8.5 3-3 (1-1) 10 91
10 Mid Tennessee -11 3-4 (1-2) 6 104
11 Old Dominion -12.25 2-4 (0-2) 12 111
12 Rice -15 1-5 (1-1) 6 121
13 UTEP -20.75 0-7 (0-3) 2 129
14 Charlotte -22.25 0-7 (0-3) 3 130


Sun Belt

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 App State -3 4-2 (3-0) 11 56
2 Troy -4 4-2 (1-1) 11 64
3 Arkansas St -5.75 3-2 (2-0) 7 78
4 Georgia St -5.75 3-2 (2-0) 7 T80
5 UL Monroe -8.75 3-3 (3-1) 1 92
6 UL Lafayette -9.75 3-3 (2-1) 3 98
7 N Mexico St -10 3-4 (1-2) 4 T99
8 S Alabama -10.25 2-4 (1-1) 9 T101
9 Idaho -13.25 2-4 (1-2) 6 117
10 GA Southern -15.5 0-5 (0-2) 10 123
11 Co Carolina -17.75 1-5 (0-3) 5 125
12 Texas St -19.75 1-6 (0-3) 2 127


Independents

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Notre Dame 4.25 5-1 (0-0) 1 9
2 Army -4.25 5-2 (0-0) 2 T65
3 BYU -13 1-6 (0-0) 4 115
4 Umass -18.75 0-6 (0-0) 3 126

Bonus Image of the Week

Thanks for reading this far! Here’s a bonus image for the week. There is nothing funnier than a bulldog getting terrified by Lee Corso with a mascot hat on:

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Division Ranks

For those who are even more curious, here are the same analyses but by division instead of conference. I know the plot is a little busy, but it gives a decent idea of how the divisions fall.

Rank Div Avg
1 Big 10 E 0.6071
2 SEC W -0.1786
3 ACC Atl -0.3571
4 Pac 12 N -1.3333
5 Pac 12 S -1.5
6 SEC E -1.8214
7 Big 12 -1.95
8 ACC Coast -1.9643
9 Big 10 W -3
10 Amer W -4.2917
11 MW Moun -5.9167
12 Amer E -6.4583
13 MAC W -7.5417
14 Ind -7.9375
15 CUSA E -9.4643
16 CUSA W -9.8214
17 MW West -10.0833
18 S Belt -10.2917
19 MAC E -11.4583


Next are the rankings within every division, as well as each team’s national ranking (now with plots!):

ACC Coastal

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Miami 5 5-0 (3-0) 4 6
2 Virginia Tech 3.25 5-1 (1-1) 6 13
3 Virginia -0.25 5-1 (2-0) 3 30
4 Georgia Tech -1.5 3-2 (2-1) 1 42
5 Duke -3.25 4-3 (1-3) 7 58
6 Pittsburgh -5.25 2-5 (0-3) 2 72
7 North Carolina -11.75 1-6 (0-4) 4 109


ACC Atlantic

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Clemson 6 6-1 (4-1) 6 3
2 NC State 2.75 6-1 (4-0) 2 T17
3 Florida State 0.5 2-3 (2-2) 6 27
4 Wake Forest -1.75 4-2 (1-2) 1 46
5 Syracuse -2.5 4-3 (2-1) 3 T50
6 Louisville -3 4-3 (1-3) 4 T54
7 Boston College -4.5 3-4 (1-3) 5 68


SEC East

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Georgia 7.25 7-0 (4-0) 1 1
2 South Carolina -0.5 5-2 (3-2) 1 31
3 Kentucky -0.75 5-1 (2-1) 1 33
4 Florida -1.5 3-3 (3-2) 5 T43
5 Tennessee -3.5 3-3 (0-3) 4 T61
6 Vanderbilt -4.75 3-4 (0-4) 6 70
7 Missouri -9 1-5 (0-4) 7 93


SEC West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Alabama 5.75 7-0 (4-0) 5 T4
2 Auburn 1.25 5-2 (3-1) 1 22
3 Texas AM 0.5 5-2 (3-1) 4 26
4 Mississippi St 0 4-2 (1-2) 3 29
5 LSU -1 5-2 (2-1) 2 36
6 Ole Miss -3.25 3-3 (1-2) 5 T59
7 Arkansas -4.5 2-4 (0-3) 7 69


Big 10 East

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Penn State 5.75 6-0 (3-0) 5 T4
2 Michigan State 3.75 5-1 (3-0) 5 10
3 Ohio State 3.5 6-1 (4-0) 4 11
4 Michigan 2.75 5-1 (2-1) 2 T17
5 Indiana -0.5 3-3 (0-3) 7 32
6 Maryland -3.25 3-3 (1-2) 1 T59
7 Rutgers -7.75 2-4 (1-2) 2 90


Big 10 West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Wisconsin 4.5 6-0 (3-0) 5 7
2 Iowa 0.25 4-2 (1-2) 2 28
T3 Northwestern -2 3-3 (1-2) 6 T48
T3 Purdue -2 3-3 (1-2) 7 T48
5 Minnesota -5.5 3-3 (0-3) 3 73
6 Nebraska -5.75 3-4 (2-2) 3 77
7 Illinois -10.5 2-4 (0-3) 1 103


Big 12

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 TCU 6.75 6-0 (3-0) 10 2
T2 Oklahoma 3 5-1 (2-1) 3 T14
T2 OK State 3 5-1 (2-1) 9 T14
4 West Virginia 1 4-2 (2-1) 6 24
5 Texas Tech -0.75 4-2 (1-2) 3 T34
6 Iowa State -1.5 4-2 (2-1) 2 41
7 Texas -1.5 3-3 (2-1) 7 T43
8 Kansas State -3.5 3-3 (1-2) 5 T61
9 Baylor -12.5 0-6 (0-3) 7 113
10 Kansas -13.5 1-5 (0-3) 1 118


Pac 12 North

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Washington St 3 6-1 (3-1) 3 T14
2 Stanford 2.75 5-2 (4-1) 1 19
3 Washington 1.75 6-1 (3-1) 2 21
4 California -1 4-3 (1-3) 6 39
5 Oregon -3 4-3 (1-3) 5 T54
6 Oregon State -11.5 1-6 (0-4) 4 106


Pac 12 South

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 USC 4.5 6-1 (4-1) 5 8
2 Utah -1 4-2 (1-2) 3 38
3 Arizona St -1.75 3-3 (2-1) 6 47
4 UCLA -2.5 3-3 (1-2) 1 T50
5 Arizona -3.25 4-2 (2-1) 4 57
6 Colorado -5 4-3 (1-3) 1 71


American East

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 UCF 3.5 5-0 (3-0) 1 12
2 S Florida 2 6-0 (3-0) 3 20
3 Temple -9.5 3-4 (1-3) 1 T95
4 Cincinnati -9.5 2-5 (0-3) 5 97
5 Uconn -11.5 2-4 (1-3) 4 108
6 E Carolina -13.75 1-6 (1-3) 5 119


American West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Memphis 0.75 5-1 (2-1) 6 25
2 Navy -1 5-1 (3-1) 2 37
3 SMU -2.75 4-2 (1-1) 3 T52
4 Houston -4.5 4-2 (2-1) 1 67
5 Tulane -6.5 3-3 (1-1) 5 T84
6 Tulsa -11.75 2-5 (1-2) 3 110


MW Mountain

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Boise State -0.75 4-2 (2-0) 6 T34
2 Colorado St -2.75 5-2 (3-0) 2 T52
3 Wyoming -5.5 4-2 (2-0) 5 T74
4 Air Force -7.5 2-4 (1-2) 4 89
5 Utah State -9.5 3-4 (1-2) 2 T95
6 New Mexico -9.5 3-3 (1-2) 1 94


MW West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 San Diego St 1 6-1 (2-1) 5 23
2 Fresno St -3.5 4-2 (3-0) 3 63
3 UNLV -10.25 2-4 (1-2) 6 T101
4 Hawaii -12.5 3-4 (1-3) 3 114
5 Nevada -15.25 1-6 (1-2) 1 122
6 San Jose St -20 1-7 (0-4) 2 128


MAC East

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Ohio -6.5 5-2 (2-1) 3 T82
2 Akron -6.5 4-3 (3-0) 2 86
3 Buffalo -11.5 3-4 (1-2) 6 107
4 Kent State -12.25 2-5 (1-2) 3 112
5 Miami OH -14.5 2-5 (1-2) 5 120
6 Bowling Green -17.5 1-6 (1-2) 1 124


MAC West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Toledo -1 5-1 (2-0) 5 40
2 N Illinois -4.25 4-2 (2-0) 4 T65
3 W Michigan -5.75 4-3 (2-1) 1 79
4 E Michigan -10 2-4 (0-2) 6 T99
5 C Michigan -11.25 3-4 (1-2) 2 105
6 Ball State -13 2-4 (0-2) 3 116


C-USA East

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Marshall -1.5 5-1 (2-0) 4 45
2 FIU -5.75 4-2 (2-1) 1 T80
3 FAU -6.5 3-3 (2-0) 5 T84
4 W Kentucky -7 4-2 (2-1) 2 87
5 Mid Tennessee -11 3-4 (1-2) 5 104
6 Old Dominion -12.25 2-4 (0-2) 7 111
7 Charlotte -22.25 0-7 (0-3) 2 130


C-USA West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
T1 Southern Miss -5.5 4-2 (2-1) 2 T74
T1 N Texas -5.5 4-2 (3-0) 7 T74
3 UTSA -6.5 3-2 (0-2) 6 T82
4 UAB -7 4-2 (2-1) 4 88
5 Louisiana Tech -8.5 3-3 (1-1) 4 91
6 Rice -15 1-5 (1-1) 2 121
7 UTEP -20.75 0-7 (0-3) 1 129


Sun Belt

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 App State -3 4-2 (3-0) 11 56
2 Troy -4 4-2 (1-1) 11 64
3 Arkansas St -5.75 3-2 (2-0) 7 78
4 Georgia St -5.75 3-2 (2-0) 7 T80
5 UL Monroe -8.75 3-3 (3-1) 1 92
6 UL Lafayette -9.75 3-3 (2-1) 3 98
7 N Mexico St -10 3-4 (1-2) 4 T99
8 S Alabama -10.25 2-4 (1-1) 9 T101
9 Idaho -13.25 2-4 (1-2) 6 117
10 GA Southern -15.5 0-5 (0-2) 10 123
11 Co Carolina -17.75 1-5 (0-3) 5 125
12 Texas St -19.75 1-6 (0-3) 2 127


Independents

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Notre Dame 4.25 5-1 (0-0) 1 9
2 Army -4.25 5-2 (0-0) 2 T65
3 BYU -13 1-6 (0-0) 4 115
4 Umass -18.75 0-6 (0-0) 3 126