Welcome

Over the past few years I have created a straightforward way to rank college football teams. Basically, I wanted a way to combine subjective views towards teams with an objective component. I have tinkered with my formula over the seasons and have what I think is a pretty decent way to compare resumes of different teams. This is NOT a sophisticated algorithm, and should not be treated the same way as Sagarin, KenPom, or other computer rankings found in places like the Massey Ranking Composite. The rankings should also not be used to predict future games; my rankings should be considered a snapshot of how a team’s body of work has been up to this point. Even though it is not the most complicated ranking system ever created, I think its simplicity can be a positive thing.


Basic Idea

I will not go into detail here about how these rankings are calculated, but I will describe the basic concept. Like I mentioned above, these rankings combine subjective and objective features. The subjective component drives the whole process. Every team is placed by me into a bin. There are seven general bins, ranging from -3 to 3. A basic idea of what each bin represents is:


If a team seems to be somewhere in between two of these categories, they can be binned as a “0.5”, “1.5”, etc. For example, Washington I would argue is not quite elite yet, but seems to be close enough where a 2.5 bin is warranted.

This is the subjective part of the process. I make the final call which bin a team falls into, but I try to inform myself as much as possible of the consensus of a given team. For example, for a team to be “borderline ranked” (bin 1), they need to at least appear in the “Other Receiving Votes” area of the AP and Coaches polls. I try to make the bins representative of the nationwide media consensus of a given team. Still, there is definitely subjectivity involved.

The objective element of the rankings gives and takes away points from a team depending on the bins of that team’s opponents. For example, beating a team from bin 0 at home by a “non-blowout score” (less than 22 points) rewards that team 0.5 points, and so on. This is the part of the process that I have tinkered with over the years. A team of course loses points for losing a game, depending on the opponent, where the game was played, and whether it was a blowout or not.

So the basic idea of the system is that we have an idea as fans which “bin” a team falls into. Once we determine that, we can get an obective idea of how a team’s resume is depending on the bins of that team’s wins and losses. The final “Score” of the ranking is simply a sum of the bin you are in and the amount of points you have gained/lost from wins and losses. For example, Oklahoma is tied for 5th in my rankings with 5 points. They are in bin 3, and received 2 points for beating Ohio State on the road by a non-blowout score (OSU is currently in bin 2). None of their other wins were good enough to warrant any points. Therefore, Oklahoma’s score is 3 + 2 = 5.


Week 5: Clesmon and Alabama on Collision Course

One of the best things about college football is the vast amount of teams at the FBS level. Every season, 130 different teams come in with high aspirations, many with national title hopes. The sheer volume of different contenders is appealing. However, the recent dominance of two programs, Alabama and Clemson, is starting to chip away at the “anyone can win it” spirit. The two teams have of course met in the past two national title games, and everything is pointing towards a third clash between the teams. When did college football become the Warriors vs. Cavs in the NBA??

Alabama is not new to the “dynasty” scene. However, what Clemson has done to join the Tide at the top is remarkable. The Tigers are 36-2 over the past 38 games and have beaten three top-15 teams already this season, the first team to ever do that in September. Their three great wins (two of which came on the road) put them way in first place in this week’s rankings, and they clearly have the best body of work. Kelly Bryant’s seemingly effortless takeover of Deshaun Watson’s role has complemented the most dominant defense in the country (or at least top 2 in the country, Bama is up there too).

Speaking of Alabama, they actually come in at 3rd in this week’s rankings, behind red-hot Georgia. The formula that creates my rankings does not heavily use margin of victory, therefore the total dismemberment of Vanderbilt (59-0) and Ole Miss (66-3) at the hands of Alabama is not reflected in my rankings. Sure, Alabama gets some credit for those wins (especially the Vandy win which was on the road), but they don’t get the “style points” that come with the beatdowns they’ve been having. The collection of teams Bama has beaten this season really isn’t that impressive, especially since FSU has struggled. Hence the slightly low 3rd-place ranking. Still, something tells me we’ll be seeing the Crimson Tide continue to dominate and rise up the rankings.

The scariest part about these two teams is that their remaining schedules are not very daunting. Clemson only has one more game against an AP top 25 team (NC State), but still plays FSU, GT, and the potential ACC Championship game. Not too difficult, especially considering they’ve already beaten three ranked teams. With the inconsistencies in the SEC, Alabama also only has one ranked team left on their schedule (Auburn) plus potentially Georgia or Florida in the SEC Championship. In fact, Alabama has not played a ranked team yet this season, meaning Auburn is the only top 25 team on the entire ledger this year. Pretty amazing for an SEC West team that played the preseason 3rd ranked team to start the year.

Given the reputations of these programs, either would probably get in the playoff in they win their respective conferences, even if they lose a game somewhere down the line. It seems the only realistic way one of these teams does not make the playoff is if one of them loses a game to a team that steals the division spot and prevents Alabama or Clemson to play for a conference championship. For example, if Auburn enters the Iron Bowl with one or zero SEC losses, that game against Alabama would decide the winner of the SEC West. So a Bama slip there may cost the team the conference chamiponship, and potentially a playoff spot as well. That being said, Ohio State reached the playoffs last year without winning their division, so anything can happen.

Here are the Week 5 rankings:

Rank Team Score Record Conf Prev Rank Rem Sched Rank
1 Clemson 9 5-0 (3-0) 1 60
2 Georgia 6 5-0 (2-0) 2 40
3 Alabama 5.25 5-0 (2-0) T5 60
4 TCU 5.25 4-0 (1-0) 3 51
5 Oklahoma 5 4-0 (1-0) T5 23
6 Penn State 4.75 5-0 (2-0) 8 40
7 Michigan 4.5 4-0 (1-0) 7 17
8 Washington St 3.75 5-0 (2-0) T18 23
9 OK State 3.75 4-1 (1-1) 16 52
10 Washington 3.5 5-0 (2-0) 9 18
11 USC 3.5 4-1 (2-1) 4 55
12 Miami 3.25 3-0 (1-0) T18 33
13 San Diego St 3 5-0 (1-0) 10 110
14 Florida 3 3-1 (3-0) 13 60
T15 Virginia Tech 2.75 4-1 (0-1) 11 52
T15 Ohio State 2.75 4-1 (2-0) 12 18
T15 Auburn 2.75 4-1 (2-0) 22 33
18 UCF 2.75 3-0 (1-0) T28 73
19 Wisconsin 2.5 4-0 (1-0) 15 48
20 Louisville 2.5 4-1 (1-1) 14 52
21 S Florida 2 5-0 (2-0) 21 70
22 Notre Dame 2 4-1 (0-0) 20 14
23 Utah 1.5 4-0 (1-0) 24 2
24 NC State 1.25 4-1 (2-0) 27 23
25 Texas Tech 0.75 3-1 (0-1) 26 33
26 West Virginia 0.5 3-1 (1-0) 32 6
27 Navy 0.5 4-0 (2-0) T35 68
28 Stanford 0.5 3-2 (2-1) 30 10
29 Florida State 0.25 1-2 (1-1) 41 23
30 Duke 0.25 4-1 (1-1) 17 48
31 Oregon 0 4-1 (1-1) T47 23
32 Georgia Tech -0.5 3-1 (2-0) T47 1
T33 Wake Forest -0.5 4-1 (1-1) T28 4
T33 Kentucky -0.5 4-1 (1-1) T39 40
T33 Texas AM -0.5 4-1 (2-0) T45 18
T33 Maryland -0.5 3-1 (1-0) T50 2
T37 Vanderbilt -0.5 3-2 (0-2) 34 60
T37 Indiana -0.5 2-2 (0-2) 37 48
T39 Tennessee -0.75 3-2 (0-2) T39 55
T39 Mississippi St -0.75 3-2 (1-2) 23 65
T39 Purdue -0.75 2-2 (0-1) 43 60
42 Kansas State -1 3-1 (1-0) 44 6
T43 Troy -1 4-1 (1-0) 69 128
T43 Michigan State -1 3-1 (1-0) T50 14
T43 Memphis -1 3-1 (0-1) 25 78
T46 Iowa -1.25 3-2 (0-2) 33 33
T46 California -1.25 3-2 (0-2) 31 40
48 SMU -1.25 4-1 (1-0) 49 66
49 Virginia -1.5 3-1 (0-0) T50 18
50 Toledo -1.5 3-1 (0-0) 54 110
51 UTSA -1.5 3-0 (0-0) 55 128
52 Arkansas -1.75 2-2 (0-1) 56 55
53 Minnesota -2 3-1 (0-1) T35 30
54 Texas -2 2-2 (1-0) T57 10
T55 UCLA -2.25 3-2 (1-1) 61 14
T55 Colorado -2.25 3-2 (0-2) 42 33
57 Houston -2.25 3-1 (1-0) 62 67
58 Ole Miss -2.25 2-2 (0-1) 59 55
T59 South Carolina -2.5 3-2 (1-2) T45 23
T59 Northwestern -2.5 2-2 (0-1) T50 45
61 Boise State -2.5 2-2 (1-0) 70 91
62 Colorado St -2.5 3-2 (1-0) T64 95
63 Marshall -2.5 3-1 (0-0) 67 121
64 App State -2.75 2-2 (1-0) 68 130
65 Pittsburgh -2.75 2-3 (0-1) 71 23
66 Arizona St -3 2-3 (1-1) T57 30
67 W Michigan -3 3-2 (1-0) T64 95
68 Tulane -3 2-2 (0-0) 72 73
69 Nebraska -3.5 3-2 (2-0) 83 4
70 Ohio -3.5 4-1 (1-0) 73 110
71 Fresno St -3.5 2-2 (1-0) 77 84
72 LSU -3.75 3-2 (0-1) 38 10
73 N Illinois -4 2-2 (0-0) T75 116
74 FIU -4 2-1 (2-0) 82 88
75 Iowa State -4.5 2-2 (0-1) 63 10
T76 Illinois -4.5 2-2 (0-1) 60 45
T76 Arizona -4.5 2-2 (0-1) 80 33
78 Army -4.75 3-2 (0-0) 85 78
79 Utah State -5 3-2 (1-0) 88 83
80 Wyoming -5.25 3-2 (1-0) T90 88
81 Air Force -5.25 1-3 (0-2) T64 86
T82 Louisiana Tech -5.5 3-2 (1-0) 87 119
T82 N Texas -5.5 3-2 (2-0) T97 110
T82 Arkansas St -5.5 1-2 (0-0) T92 125
85 Syracuse -5.75 2-3 (0-1) 78 6
86 Boston College -5.75 2-3 (0-2) 89 33
T87 E Michigan -5.75 2-2 (0-1) 79 102
T87 Southern Miss -5.75 2-2 (0-1) T75 123
T89 Buffalo -5.75 3-2 (1-0) T94 95
T89 Old Dominion -5.75 2-2 (0-0) T94 123
91 Cincinnati -6 2-3 (0-1) 74 71
T92 New Mexico -6.25 3-2 (1-1) 107 75
T92 W Kentucky -6.25 2-2 (0-1) 99 121
94 UL Monroe -6.25 2-2 (2-0) T94 82
95 UNLV -6.5 2-2 (1-0) 104 102
96 Akron -6.5 2-3 (1-0) 108 91
97 Temple -6.75 2-3 (0-2) 81 75
98 Georgia St -6.75 1-2 (0-0) 105 119
99 North Carolina -7 1-4 (0-3) 86 40
100 Missouri -7 1-3 (0-2) T109 59
101 N Mexico St -7 2-3 (0-1) T97 106
102 FAU -7.25 2-3 (1-0) 113 106
103 Idaho -7.5 2-2 (1-0) 112 110
104 Rutgers -7.5 1-4 (0-2) 100 18
105 Oregon State -7.75 1-4 (0-2) T109 45
106 UAB -7.75 2-2 (0-1) 117 102
107 Mid Tennessee -8 2-3 (0-1) T90 125
108 Tulsa -8.25 1-4 (0-2) 106 69
109 Miami OH -8.5 2-3 (1-0) 103 116
110 Ball State -8.75 2-3 (0-1) 101 88
111 E Carolina -9 1-4 (1-1) 116 81
T112 Hawaii -9.25 2-3 (0-2) T92 95
T112 C Michigan -9.25 2-3 (0-1) 111 86
T112 Kansas -9.25 1-3 (0-1) 119 6
115 BYU -9.25 1-4 (0-0) 84 116
116 Kent State -9.5 1-4 (0-1) 102 95
117 GA Southern -9.5 0-3 (0-0) 120 125
118 Uconn -9.75 1-3 (0-2) 115 78
119 UL Lafayette -10 1-3 (0-1) 122 110
120 S Alabama -10 1-4 (0-1) 114 106
121 Baylor -10.75 0-5 (0-2) 118 30
122 Rice -12 1-4 (1-1) 121 95
123 Co Carolina -12.5 1-3 (0-1) 124 95
124 Texas St -12.75 1-4 (0-1) 123 106
125 San Jose St -13 1-5 (0-2) 125 84
126 Nevada -14 0-5 (0-1) 126 77
127 UTEP -14.75 0-5 (0-1) 128 91
128 Bowling Green -15.25 0-5 (0-1) 127 91
129 Charlotte -17.25 0-5 (0-1) 129 102
130 Umass -18.25 0-6 (0-0) 130 71



Interesting Plot of the Week

LSU should not lose to Troy. It just shouldn’t happen. That being said, Troy is actually not a horrible team. The Trojans went 10-3 last year, and lost to the National Champion Clemson Tigers just 30-24 early in the year. Their only loss so far this year was a 24-13 setback at Boise State early in the year, so they actually end up in the top 50 of my rankings this week. LSU, on the other hand, falls way down into the 70’s. They have no quality win (sorry, BYU definitely does not count) and their blowout loss to Mississippi State looks worse and worse by the week. They are probably better than a lot of teams ahead of them in my rankings (including in-state opponent Tulane!), but their resume screams “70’s” right now.

I am also including Central Florida in this plot, since they have shot up the rankings with two big wins the past two weeks.


Conference Ranks: Despite Struggles, SEC Still First

The SEC is taking a lot of heat right now. The struggles at LSU, Tennessee, Arkansas, and others is fun to watch, but the conference is still among the top in the country. My rankings has it #1, even though its lead isn’t as big as it’s been. The conference, despite the drama, had a solid nonconference performance (except for LSU vs. Troy of course!). Don’t forget that Alabama beat FSU, Vanderbilt beat Kansas St, South Carolina beat NC State, Tennessee beat Georgia Tech, and Georgia beat Notre Dame. The conference is not as dominant as it once was, but it is still arguably as good as any other conference. I can’t believe I’m defending the SEC…


Rank Conf Avg
1 SEC -0.2321
2 ACC -0.3214
3 Big 10 -0.6786
4 Pac 12 -0.6875
5 Big 12 -1.225
6 Amer -3.5
7 MW -5.8333
8 MAC -6.7708
9 CUSA -7.4107
10 Ind -7.5625
11 S Belt -7.625



Next are the rankings within every conference, as well as each team’s national ranking:

ACC: Miami Ready to Shine

Last week I highighted that both Duke and Wake were undefeated and looking pretty good. Well, they promptly both lost this week, preserving some balance in the universe. Duke got beat up at home by Miami, who we haven’t seen much of this season but has really shined so far. The U features a new starting QB in Malik Rosier who has looked good so far, and a scary, talented defense that held Duke to 6 points. They have kind of slipped under the radar due to a soft opening scedule and Hurricane Irma, but they were favored to win the Costal division for a reason, and have done nothing but impress so far. We’ll learn more about the Canes this weekend when they play at FSU. Is the U finally “back?”

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Clemson 9 5-0 (3-0) 14 1
2 Miami 3.25 3-0 (1-0) 8 12
3 Virginia Tech 2.75 4-1 (0-1) 12 T15
4 Louisville 2.5 4-1 (1-1) 12 20
5 NC State 1.25 4-1 (2-0) 5 24
6 Florida State 0.25 1-2 (1-1) 5 29
7 Duke 0.25 4-1 (1-1) 11 30
8 Georgia Tech -0.5 3-1 (2-0) 1 32
9 Wake Forest -0.5 4-1 (1-1) 2 T33
10 Virginia -1.5 3-1 (0-0) 4 49
11 Pittsburgh -2.75 2-3 (0-1) 5 65
12 Syracuse -5.75 2-3 (0-1) 3 85
13 Boston College -5.75 2-3 (0-2) 8 86
14 North Carolina -7 1-4 (0-3) 10 99


Big 10: Maryland Roller Coaster

I talked last week about how the Big 10 had four great teams and a bunch of confusion after that. Could Maryland be the conference’s 5th best team? My rankings say that they have currently have the cobference’s 5th best body of work. The Terps have two nice road wins - at Texas and at Minnesota this past week. I ruled them dead after Week 4, when they got smoked by UCF at home and lost their second string QB for the season. In response, they went out and beat a previously-unbeaten Minnesota team to get to 3-1 on the year. They’ll probably get toasted by Ohio State this Saturday, but they have some impressive road wins this season.

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Penn State 4.75 5-0 (2-0) 9 6
2 Michigan 4.5 4-0 (1-0) 4 7
3 Ohio State 2.75 4-1 (2-0) 5 T15
4 Wisconsin 2.5 4-0 (1-0) 12 19
5 Maryland -0.5 3-1 (1-0) 1 T33
6 Indiana -0.5 2-2 (0-2) 12 T37
7 Purdue -0.75 2-2 (0-1) 14 T39
8 Michigan State -1 3-1 (1-0) 3 T43
9 Iowa -1.25 3-2 (0-2) 8 T46
10 Minnesota -2 3-1 (0-1) 7 53
11 Northwestern -2.5 2-2 (0-1) 10 T59
12 Nebraska -3.5 3-2 (2-0) 2 69
13 Illinois -4.5 2-2 (0-1) 10 T76
14 Rutgers -7.5 1-4 (0-2) 5 104


SEC: Florida has an Impressive Resume

The SEC has some struggling teams right now. Tennessee and LSU are at the top of that list, but many pundits are including Florida in the group of disappointments. However, the Gators have a sneaky-good resume thus far, resulting in them being ranked much higher in my rankings relative to human polls. UF is sort of like a reverse Alabama: Bama has destroyed mediocre teams in dominating fashion, while UF has beaten some pretty good teams in very lackluster ways. Since my method ignores the style points (or lack thereof) and focuses on actual wins/losses, the Gators have been rewarded well in my system. Their wins include Tennessee, at Kentucky, and Vanderbilt. Those three teams are not worldbeaters, but having three solid wins like that at this point of the season is not horrible. Remember, Tennessee did beat GT, Vandy beat KSU, and Kentucky won at a South Carolina team that took down NC State.

Do I think Florida is an amazing team? Not really, but they have three quality wins and a forgivable loss (to Michigan). Can Wisconsin, Louisville, or Ohio State (teams currently behind UF in my rankings but ahead of them in the AP poll) say the same thing?

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Georgia 6 5-0 (2-0) 5 2
2 Alabama 5.25 5-0 (2-0) 11 3
3 Florida 3 3-1 (3-0) 11 14
4 Auburn 2.75 4-1 (2-0) 4 T15
T5 Kentucky -0.5 4-1 (1-1) 5 T33
T5 Texas AM -0.5 4-1 (2-0) 2 T33
7 Vanderbilt -0.5 3-2 (0-2) 11 T37
T8 Tennessee -0.75 3-2 (0-2) 7 T39
T8 Mississippi St -0.75 3-2 (1-2) 14 T39
10 Arkansas -1.75 2-2 (0-1) 7 52
11 Ole Miss -2.25 2-2 (0-1) 7 58
12 South Carolina -2.5 3-2 (1-2) 3 T59
13 LSU -3.75 3-2 (0-1) 1 72
14 Missouri -7 1-3 (0-2) 10 100


Big 12: West Virginia Test Coming

After losing to Virginia Tech in Week 1, West Virginia has disappeared into a soft schedule that included East Carolina, Delaware State, and Kansas. The Mounatineers have actually looked really good destroying these cupcakes, but my system hasn’t bought in (WV is stuck at 26th in this week’s rankings). This week West Virginia goes at TCU, so we will see how Will Grier and company really are. I think their offense is going to be very impressive, but how will their defense hold up against a red-hot Kenny Hill and Darius Anderson?

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 TCU 5.25 4-0 (1-0) 9 4
2 Oklahoma 5 4-0 (1-0) 6 5
3 OK State 3.75 4-1 (1-1) 10 9
4 Texas Tech 0.75 3-1 (0-1) 8 25
5 West Virginia 0.5 3-1 (1-0) 1 26
6 Kansas State -1 3-1 (1-0) 1 42
7 Texas -2 2-2 (1-0) 4 54
8 Iowa State -4.5 2-2 (0-1) 4 75
9 Kansas -9.25 1-3 (0-1) 1 T112
10 Baylor -10.75 0-5 (0-2) 7 121


Pac 12: Gotta Love Love

If you haven’t noticed, Stanford running back Bryce Love has been putting up ridiculous numbers out west. In just 5 games, Christian McCaffrey’s replacement already has over 1,000 rushing yards after gouging Arizona State for 301 yards this past Saturday. Love, who is averaging 11.1 (!) yards per carry so far, already has more 20+ yard rushes than McCaffrey did ALL of last year. He is putting up Heisman-level numbers for the Cardinal, who is the the highest ranked two-loss team in this week’s rankings.

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Washington St 3.75 5-0 (2-0) 5 8
2 Washington 3.5 5-0 (2-0) 4 10
3 USC 3.5 4-1 (2-1) 12 11
4 Utah 1.5 4-0 (1-0) 1 23
5 Stanford 0.5 3-2 (2-1) 2 28
6 Oregon 0 4-1 (1-1) 5 31
7 California -1.25 3-2 (0-2) 10 T46
T8 UCLA -2.25 3-2 (1-1) 3 T55
T8 Colorado -2.25 3-2 (0-2) 8 T55
10 Arizona St -3 2-3 (1-1) 7 66
11 Arizona -4.5 2-2 (0-1) 8 T76
12 Oregon State -7.75 1-4 (0-2) 11 105


American: Navy Still Undefeated

There are three undefeated teams remaining in the American: the preseason favorite South Florida, the hot team of the week Central Florida, and… Navy? The Midshipmen have been very consistent over the past few years, and have a silent undefeated start thus far. Have they beaten anyone of note? No, but their offensive style is always a challenge and they’ve done well. They almost crack my top 25 due to their clean resume, coming in at 27th.

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 UCF 2.75 3-0 (1-0) 7 18
2 S Florida 2 5-0 (2-0) 5 21
3 Navy 0.5 4-0 (2-0) 3 27
4 Memphis -1 3-1 (0-1) 10 T43
5 SMU -1.25 4-1 (1-0) 1 48
6 Houston -2.25 3-1 (1-0) 2 57
7 Tulane -3 2-2 (0-0) 7 68
8 Cincinnati -6 2-3 (0-1) 6 91
9 Temple -6.75 2-3 (0-2) 9 97
10 Tulsa -8.25 1-4 (0-2) 4 108
11 E Carolina -9 1-4 (1-1) 12 111
12 Uconn -9.75 1-3 (0-2) 10 118


Mountain West: Fresno State’s Rankings

The one team that I have been the most frustrated with the way my rankings have treated it so far is Fresno State. The Bulldogs were not supposed to be very good this year, but are curretly 71st in this week’s rankings, which, coincindentally, is one spot above LSU! However, their resume is a perfect example of how my system should not be used for predictive purposes. Fresno State is currently 2-2, with their two losses being beatdowns at Alabama and Washington. Their two wins are… Incarnate Word and Nevada. The logic that my system uses is that we really haven’t learned anything about Fresno State this season; they’ve won against teams they were supposed to beat, and have gotten creamed by their tough opponents. Since none of their games have been particularly informative, my system has kind of kept them around the middle of pack, at least until they start playing some more intriguing games. Still, I’m not really pleased how they get spit out in my rankings. Florida International is another team with a similar situation.

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 San Diego St 3 5-0 (1-0) 12 13
2 Boise State -2.5 2-2 (1-0) 8 61
3 Colorado St -2.5 3-2 (1-0) 9 62
4 Fresno St -3.5 2-2 (1-0) 4 71
5 Utah State -5 3-2 (1-0) 3 79
6 Wyoming -5.25 3-2 (1-0) 7 80
7 Air Force -5.25 1-3 (0-2) 6 81
8 New Mexico -6.25 3-2 (1-1) 1 T92
9 UNLV -6.5 2-2 (1-0) 11 95
10 Hawaii -9.25 2-3 (0-2) 9 T112
11 San Jose St -13 1-5 (0-2) 4 125
12 Nevada -14 0-5 (0-1) 2 126


MAC: Some Impressive Losses

The most noteworthy encouraging results from the MAC this weekend came from two losses. Northern Illinois, already with a win at Nebraska, nearly upset San Diego State on the road, and Eastern Michigan lost a close 24-20 game at Kentucky. Some teams in the MAC - namely Toledo, W Michigan, E Michigan, N Illinois, and Ohio - have a pulse this year. Everyone else, meh… Also, for those who care, there is a HUGE difference between divisions, where the West division is far superior to the East.

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Toledo -1.5 3-1 (0-0) 9 50
2 W Michigan -3 3-2 (1-0) 5 67
3 Ohio -3.5 4-1 (1-0) 9 70
4 N Illinois -4 2-2 (0-0) 11 73
5 E Michigan -5.75 2-2 (0-1) 8 T87
6 Buffalo -5.75 3-2 (1-0) 5 T89
7 Akron -6.5 2-3 (1-0) 3 96
8 Miami OH -8.5 2-3 (1-0) 11 109
9 Ball State -8.75 2-3 (0-1) 2 110
10 C Michigan -9.25 2-3 (0-1) 1 T112
11 Kent State -9.5 1-4 (0-1) 5 116
12 Bowling Green -15.25 0-5 (0-1) 3 128


CUSA: UTSA Undefeated

Let’s give some props to the UTSA Roadrunners, who have the last remaining undefeated record in the CUSA. UTSA was able to win at Baylor earlier this year, so they were at least able to snag one win over Power 5 opposition. They come in at 51st in my rankings this week, making them (by a pretty large margin) the lowest-ranked undefeated team in the country.

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 UTSA -1.5 3-0 (0-0) 14 51
2 Marshall -2.5 3-1 (0-0) 9 63
3 FIU -4 2-1 (2-0) 1 74
T4 Louisiana Tech -5.5 3-2 (1-0) 8 T82
T4 N Texas -5.5 3-2 (2-0) 7 T82
6 Southern Miss -5.75 2-2 (0-1) 11 T87
7 Old Dominion -5.75 2-2 (0-0) 11 T89
8 W Kentucky -6.25 2-2 (0-1) 9 T92
9 FAU -7.25 2-3 (1-0) 6 102
10 UAB -7.75 2-2 (0-1) 4 106
11 Mid Tennessee -8 2-3 (0-1) 13 107
12 Rice -12 1-4 (1-1) 3 122
13 UTEP -14.75 0-5 (0-1) 2 127
14 Charlotte -17.25 0-5 (0-1) 4 129


Sun Belt: TROY!!

Here’s Troy University’s awesome tweet following their win at LSU:

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Troy -1 4-1 (1-0) 11 T43
2 App State -2.75 2-2 (1-0) 12 64
3 Arkansas St -5.5 1-2 (0-0) 9 T82
4 UL Monroe -6.25 2-2 (2-0) 1 94
5 Georgia St -6.75 1-2 (0-0) 8 98
6 N Mexico St -7 2-3 (0-1) 3 101
7 Idaho -7.5 2-2 (1-0) 6 103
8 GA Southern -9.5 0-3 (0-0) 9 117
9 UL Lafayette -10 1-3 (0-1) 6 119
10 S Alabama -10 1-4 (0-1) 3 120
11 Co Carolina -12.5 1-3 (0-1) 2 123
12 Texas St -12.75 1-4 (0-1) 3 124


Independents

Notre Dame still looks pretty strong, while the wheels have completely fallen off of BYU’s season. They lost 40-16 against Utah State this weekend, ouch…

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Notre Dame 2 4-1 (0-0) 1 22
2 Army -4.75 3-2 (0-0) 3 78
3 BYU -9.25 1-4 (0-0) 4 115
4 Umass -18.25 0-6 (0-0) 2 130

Bonus Video of the Week

Thanks for reading this far! Here’s a bonus video for the week. Let’s all be like Jim Harbaugh and dive into Week 6…


Division Ranks

For those who are even more curious, here are the same analyses but by division instead of conference. I know the plot is a little busy, but it gives a decent idea of how the divisions fall.

Rank Div Avg
1 Big 10 E 0.3571
2 ACC Atl 0.1429
3 SEC W -0.1429
4 Pac 12 N -0.2083
5 SEC E -0.3214
6 ACC Coast -0.7857
7 Pac 12 S -1.1667
8 Big 12 -1.225
9 Big 10 W -1.7143
10 Amer W -2.5417
11.5 Amer E -4.4583
11.5 MW Moun -4.4583
13 MAC W -5.375
14 MW West -7.2083
15 CUSA E -7.2857
16 CUSA W -7.5357
17 Ind -7.5625
18 S Belt -7.625
19 MAC E -8.1667


Next are the rankings within every division, as well as each team’s national ranking (now with plots!):

ACC Coastal

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Miami 3.25 3-0 (1-0) 4 12
2 Virginia Tech 2.75 4-1 (0-1) 7 T15
3 Duke 0.25 4-1 (1-1) 6 30
4 Georgia Tech -0.5 3-1 (2-0) 1 32
5 Virginia -1.5 3-1 (0-0) 2 49
6 Pittsburgh -2.75 2-3 (0-1) 3 65
7 North Carolina -7 1-4 (0-3) 5 99


ACC Atlantic

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Clemson 9 5-0 (3-0) 7 1
2 Louisville 2.5 4-1 (1-1) 6 20
3 NC State 1.25 4-1 (2-0) 3 24
4 Florida State 0.25 1-2 (1-1) 3 29
5 Wake Forest -0.5 4-1 (1-1) 1 T33
6 Syracuse -5.75 2-3 (0-1) 2 85
7 Boston College -5.75 2-3 (0-2) 5 86


SEC East

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Georgia 6 5-0 (2-0) 2 2
2 Florida 3 3-1 (3-0) 6 14
3 Kentucky -0.5 4-1 (1-1) 2 T33
4 Vanderbilt -0.5 3-2 (0-2) 6 T37
5 Tennessee -0.75 3-2 (0-2) 4 T39
6 South Carolina -2.5 3-2 (1-2) 1 T59
7 Missouri -7 1-3 (0-2) 5 100


SEC West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Alabama 5.25 5-0 (2-0) 6 3
2 Auburn 2.75 4-1 (2-0) 3 T15
3 Texas AM -0.5 4-1 (2-0) 2 T33
4 Mississippi St -0.75 3-2 (1-2) 7 T39
5 Arkansas -1.75 2-2 (0-1) 4 52
6 Ole Miss -2.25 2-2 (0-1) 4 58
7 LSU -3.75 3-2 (0-1) 1 72


Big 10 East

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Penn State 4.75 5-0 (2-0) 6 6
2 Michigan 4.5 4-0 (1-0) 3 7
3 Ohio State 2.75 4-1 (2-0) 4 T15
4 Maryland -0.5 3-1 (1-0) 1 T33
5 Indiana -0.5 2-2 (0-2) 7 T37
6 Michigan State -1 3-1 (1-0) 2 T43
7 Rutgers -7.5 1-4 (0-2) 4 104


Big 10 West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Wisconsin 2.5 4-0 (1-0) 6 19
2 Purdue -0.75 2-2 (0-1) 7 T39
3 Iowa -1.25 3-2 (0-2) 3 T46
4 Minnesota -2 3-1 (0-1) 2 53
5 Northwestern -2.5 2-2 (0-1) 4 T59
6 Nebraska -3.5 3-2 (2-0) 1 69
7 Illinois -4.5 2-2 (0-1) 4 T76


Big 12

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 TCU 5.25 4-0 (1-0) 9 4
2 Oklahoma 5 4-0 (1-0) 6 5
3 OK State 3.75 4-1 (1-1) 10 9
4 Texas Tech 0.75 3-1 (0-1) 8 25
5 West Virginia 0.5 3-1 (1-0) 1 26
6 Kansas State -1 3-1 (1-0) 1 42
7 Texas -2 2-2 (1-0) 4 54
8 Iowa State -4.5 2-2 (0-1) 4 75
9 Kansas -9.25 1-3 (0-1) 1 T112
10 Baylor -10.75 0-5 (0-2) 7 121


Pac 12 North

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Washington St 3.75 5-0 (2-0) 3 8
2 Washington 3.5 5-0 (2-0) 2 10
3 Stanford 0.5 3-2 (2-1) 1 28
4 Oregon 0 4-1 (1-1) 3 31
5 California -1.25 3-2 (0-2) 5 T46
6 Oregon State -7.75 1-4 (0-2) 6 105


Pac 12 South

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 USC 3.5 4-1 (2-1) 6 11
2 Utah 1.5 4-0 (1-0) 1 23
T3 UCLA -2.25 3-2 (1-1) 2 T55
T3 Colorado -2.25 3-2 (0-2) 4 T55
5 Arizona St -3 2-3 (1-1) 3 66
6 Arizona -4.5 2-2 (0-1) 4 T76


American East

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 UCF 2.75 3-0 (1-0) 3 18
2 S Florida 2 5-0 (2-0) 1 21
3 Cincinnati -6 2-3 (0-1) 2 91
4 Temple -6.75 2-3 (0-2) 4 97
5 E Carolina -9 1-4 (1-1) 6 111
6 Uconn -9.75 1-3 (0-2) 5 118


American West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Navy 0.5 4-0 (2-0) 3 27
2 Memphis -1 3-1 (0-1) 6 T43
3 SMU -1.25 4-1 (1-0) 1 48
4 Houston -2.25 3-1 (1-0) 2 57
5 Tulane -3 2-2 (0-0) 5 68
6 Tulsa -8.25 1-4 (0-2) 4 108


MW Mountain

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Boise State -2.5 2-2 (1-0) 5 61
2 Colorado St -2.5 3-2 (1-0) 6 62
3 Utah State -5 3-2 (1-0) 2 79
4 Wyoming -5.25 3-2 (1-0) 4 80
5 Air Force -5.25 1-3 (0-2) 3 81
6 New Mexico -6.25 3-2 (1-1) 1 T92


MW West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 San Diego St 3 5-0 (1-0) 6 13
2 Fresno St -3.5 2-2 (1-0) 2 71
3 UNLV -6.5 2-2 (1-0) 5 95
4 Hawaii -9.25 2-3 (0-2) 4 T112
5 San Jose St -13 1-5 (0-2) 2 125
6 Nevada -14 0-5 (0-1) 1 126


MAC East

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Ohio -3.5 4-1 (1-0) 5 70
2 Buffalo -5.75 3-2 (1-0) 3 T89
3 Akron -6.5 2-3 (1-0) 1 96
4 Miami OH -8.5 2-3 (1-0) 6 109
5 Kent State -9.5 1-4 (0-1) 3 116
6 Bowling Green -15.25 0-5 (0-1) 1 128


MAC West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Toledo -1.5 3-1 (0-0) 5 50
2 W Michigan -3 3-2 (1-0) 3 67
3 N Illinois -4 2-2 (0-0) 6 73
4 E Michigan -5.75 2-2 (0-1) 4 T87
5 Ball State -8.75 2-3 (0-1) 2 110
6 C Michigan -9.25 2-3 (0-1) 1 T112


C-USA East

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Marshall -2.5 3-1 (0-0) 4 63
2 FIU -4 2-1 (2-0) 1 74
3 Old Dominion -5.75 2-2 (0-0) 6 T89
4 W Kentucky -6.25 2-2 (0-1) 4 T92
5 FAU -7.25 2-3 (1-0) 3 102
6 Mid Tennessee -8 2-3 (0-1) 7 107
7 Charlotte -17.25 0-5 (0-1) 2 129


C-USA West

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 UTSA -1.5 3-0 (0-0) 7 51
T2 Louisiana Tech -5.5 3-2 (1-0) 5 T82
T2 N Texas -5.5 3-2 (2-0) 4 T82
4 Southern Miss -5.75 2-2 (0-1) 6 T87
5 UAB -7.75 2-2 (0-1) 3 106
6 Rice -12 1-4 (1-1) 2 122
7 UTEP -14.75 0-5 (0-1) 1 127


Sun Belt

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Troy -1 4-1 (1-0) 11 T43
2 App State -2.75 2-2 (1-0) 12 64
3 Arkansas St -5.5 1-2 (0-0) 9 T82
4 UL Monroe -6.25 2-2 (2-0) 1 94
5 Georgia St -6.75 1-2 (0-0) 8 98
6 N Mexico St -7 2-3 (0-1) 3 101
7 Idaho -7.5 2-2 (1-0) 6 103
8 GA Southern -9.5 0-3 (0-0) 9 117
9 UL Lafayette -10 1-3 (0-1) 6 119
10 S Alabama -10 1-4 (0-1) 3 120
11 Co Carolina -12.5 1-3 (0-1) 2 123
12 Texas St -12.75 1-4 (0-1) 3 124


Independents

Rank Team Score Record (Conf) Rem Sched Rank NatlRank
1 Notre Dame 2 4-1 (0-0) 1 22
2 Army -4.75 3-2 (0-0) 3 78
3 BYU -9.25 1-4 (0-0) 4 115
4 Umass -18.25 0-6 (0-0) 2 130