Ben Stanley, SWPS, (bstanley@swps.edu.pl; @BDStanley)
April 05, 2018

Source: author’s own dataset of polls published by CBOS, IBRIS, IPSOS, KANTAR, Millward Brown and TNS Polska.
Notes: The figure for Law and Justice (PiS) includes support for two minor parties, United Poland (SP) and Poland Together (PR). Wolność (W) was formerly named KORWiN.

Latest national estimates


Estimate of mandates gained


Seats per constituency

  PiS PO Kukiz N SLD PSL W Razem
Legnica 6 4 1 0 1 0 0 0
Wałbrzych 3 3 1 0 1 0 0 0
Wrocław 5 6 1 1 1 0 0 0
Bydgoszcz 5 5 1 0 1 0 0 0
Toruń 6 4 1 0 1 1 0 0
Lublin 9 3 1 0 1 1 0 0
Chełm 7 2 1 0 1 1 0 0
Zielona Góra 4 5 1 1 1 0 0 0
Łódź 4 4 1 0 1 0 0 0
Piotrków Trybunalski 6 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Sieradz 6 3 1 0 1 1 0 0
Chrzanów 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Kraków 6 4 1 1 1 0 0 0
Nowy Sącz 7 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Tarnów 6 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Płock 5 2 1 0 1 1 0 0
Radom 5 2 1 0 0 1 0 0
Siedlce 8 2 1 0 0 1 0 0
Warszawa I 7 6 2 2 2 0 0 0
Warszawa II 5 4 1 1 0 0 0 0
Opole 4 5 2 0 1 0 0 0
Krosno 7 2 1 0 0 1 0 0
Rzeszów 11 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Białystok 9 3 1 0 1 1 0 0
Gdańsk 4 5 1 1 1 0 0 0
Gdynia 5 6 1 1 1 0 0 0
Bielsko-Biała 5 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Częstochowa 3 2 1 0 1 0 0 0
Gliwice 4 4 1 0 1 0 0 0
Rybnik 5 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Katowice 5 4 1 1 1 0 0 0
Sosnowiec 4 3 1 0 1 0 0 0
Kielce 9 3 2 0 1 1 0 0
Elbląg 3 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
Olsztyn 4 3 1 0 1 1 0 0
Kalisz 5 4 1 0 1 1 0 0
Konin 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0
Piła 4 3 1 0 1 0 0 0
Poznań 3 5 0 1 1 0 0 0
Koszalin 3 3 1 0 1 0 0 0
Szczecin 5 5 1 1 1 0 0 0