Reem Soliman
May 16, 2017
This presentation was built as a part of Developing Data Products Course
The Shiny Application, as the first part of the project is availble at https://reemsoliman.shinyapps.io/DDP_Week4Assignment/
The ui.R, server.R and the data csv files are available at https://github.com/ReemSoliman/DDP_Shiny_App
This Application predicts Maryland state Infants Mortality and Deaths for years 2016 to 2020 based on the data availble from the years 1919 to 2015.
The side panel contains the following inputs
1- Race select: the user chooses White, Black or Both.
2- Death/ Mortality select: the user chooese to see the Mortality or Deaths data.
3- Submit button.
The Main Panel has two tabs
1- The Historical Data tab: contains a plot of the historical data based on the user choices from the side panel
2- The Prediction tab: contains a table of prediction mean for the years between 2016 - 2020 and a plot of the prediction, aslo based on user choices from the side pandel.
## Year InfantMortalityRateTotal InfantMortalityRateWhite
## Min. :1919 Min. : 6.30 Min. : 4.00
## 1st Qu.:1943 1st Qu.: 9.80 1st Qu.: 6.70
## Median :1967 Median : 22.20 Median :19.10
## Mean :1967 Mean : 31.38 Mean :25.95
## 3rd Qu.:1991 3rd Qu.: 42.90 3rd Qu.:36.50
## Max. :2015 Max. :105.10 Max. :92.20
## InfantMortalityRateBlack NumberOfInfantDeathsTotal
## Min. : 10.30 Min. : 458
## 1st Qu.: 16.90 1st Qu.: 746
## Median : 33.60 Median :1473
## Mean : 50.45 Mean :1451
## 3rd Qu.: 71.40 3rd Qu.:1946
## Max. :163.60 Max. :3785
## NumberOfInfantDeathsWhite NumberOfInfantDeathsBlack
## Min. : 170.0 Min. : 250.0
## 1st Qu.: 337.0 1st Qu.: 353.0
## Median : 954.0 Median : 508.0
## Mean : 906.8 Mean : 536.1
## 3rd Qu.:1273.0 3rd Qu.: 683.0
## Max. :2667.0 Max. :1118.0
WE can notice that the mortality rate going down.
The deaths number is going down too.
## Point Forecast Lo 80 Hi 80 Lo 95 Hi 95
## 2016 6.685671 3.1701780 10.20116 1.3091885 12.06215
## 2017 6.685671 1.8940193 11.47732 -0.6425278 14.01387
## 2018 6.685671 0.8924714 12.47887 -2.1742631 15.54560
## 2019 6.685671 0.0401916 13.33115 -3.4777126 16.84905
## 2020 6.685671 -0.7145744 14.08592 -4.6320276 18.00337
## Point Forecast Lo 80 Hi 80 Lo 95 Hi 95
## 2016 490.9992 341.5197 640.4788 262.3900 719.6085
## 2017 490.9992 279.6086 702.3899 167.7051 814.2934
## 2018 490.9992 232.1018 749.8967 95.0497 886.9488
## 2019 490.9992 192.0514 789.9471 33.7980 948.2005
## 2020 490.9992 156.7663 825.2322 -20.1660 1002.1645