20 March 2017

Introduction

You can use this application to examine the relationship between the Internet MANA party vote and the percentage of registered voters who voted (turnout) at the 2014 New Zealand General Election.

Background

In an earlier study (http://rpubs.com/Waterman3/257601) I found that when I plotted the party vote against the turnout that there were three clusters.

There seem to be three clusters:

  1. the Maori electorates;

  2. four general electorates with a turnout of about 70%;

  3. the other General electorates.

This application allows you to group points to see what the relationship between party vote and turnout there is.

Definitiions and Sources of Data

For this presentation:

the party vote is the number of list votes cast for Internet MANA; and

the turnout is the numbers of votes cast in an electorate as a percentage of the number of enrolled voters in that electorate.

The sources of data were:

http://archive.electionresults.govt.nz/electionresults_2014/e9/html/e9_part4.html

for the party vote data

http://archive.electionresults.govt.nz/electionresults_2014/e9/html/e9_part9_2.html

for the turnout data and

http://archive.electionresults.govt.nz/electionresults_2014/electorateindex.html

for determining which seats had Internet Party or MANA Movement candidates standing.

Using the Application

Further Development

  • This could be further developed in plotly so the user can see which point represents which electorate and to show type of electorate.

  • The application could be changed to allow the user to investigate models that depend on the type of electorate.