Report and Estimated Defect Prevalence Estimates (per 10,000 live births)
Defect Reports Report Prevalence (95%CI) PPV NPV Estimated Defects Defect Prevalence (95%CI)
Cardiovascular
  Aortic valve stenosis 11 1.9 (1.0,3.5) NA
  Atrial septal defect 908 159.8 (149.6,170.6) NA
  Atrioventricular septal defect 36 6.3 (4.4,8.8) NA
  Coarctation of the aorta 26 4.6 (3.0,6.7) NA
  Common truncus 16 2.8 (1.6,4.6) NA
  Double outlet right ventricle 10 1.8 (0.8,3.2) NA
  Ebstein anomaly 9 1.6 (0.7,3.0) NA
  Hypoplastic left heart syndrome 8 1.4 (0.6,2.8) NA
  Inerrupted aortic arch 27 4.8 (3.1,6.9) NA
  Pulmonary valve atresia and stenosis 81 14.3 (11.3,17.7) NA
  Single ventricle 8 1.4 (0.6,2.8) NA
  Teratology of fallot 33 5.8 (4.0,8.2) NA
  Total anomalous pulmonary venous sonnection 10 1.8 (0.8,3.2) NA
  Transposition of the great arteries 26 4.6 (3.0,6.7) NA
  Tricuspid valve atresia and stenosis - - NA
  Ventricular septal defect 575 101.2 (93.1,109.8) NA
Central Nervous System
  Anencephalus 12 2.1 (1.1,3.7) 0.3929 1.0000 4.7 0.8 (0.3,1.8)
  Spina bifida without anencephalus 15 2.6 (1.5,4.4) 0.5946 0.9999 12.4 2.2 (1.2,3.7)
  Encephalocele 16 2.8 (1.6,4.6) 0.3778 1.0000 6.4 1.1 (0.5,2.3)
  Holoprosencephaly 58 10.2 (7.8,13.2) NA
Chromosomal
  Deletion 22 q11 - - NA
  Trisomy 13 9 1.6 (0.7,3.0) 0.5000 1.0000 4.5 0.8 (0.3,1.8)
  Trisomy 18 12 2.1 (1.1,3.7) 0.5833 1.0000 7.0 1.2 (0.5,2.5)
  Trisomy 21 (Down syndrome) 100 17.6 (14.3,21.4) 0.8182 0.9999 87.3 15.4 (12.4,18.9)
  Turner syndrome* 7 2.5 (1.0,5.2) NA
Ear
  Anotia / microtia 23 4.0 (2.6,6.1) NA
Eye
  Anophthalmia / microphthalmia 9 1.6 (0.7,3.0) NA
  Congenital cataract 31 5.5 (3.7,7.7) NA
Gastrointestinal
  Biliary atresia 14 2.5 (1.3,4.1) NA
  Esophageal atresia / tracheoesophageal fistula 15 2.6 (1.5,4.4) NA
  Rectal and large intestinal atresia / stenosis 56 9.9 (7.4,12.8) NA
  Small intestinal atresia / stenosis 37 6.5 (4.6,9.0) NA
Genitourinary
  Bladder exstrophy - - NA
  Cloacal exstrophy - - NA
  Congenital posterior urethral valves 49 8.6 (6.4,11.4) NA
  Hypospadias** 324 110.5 (98.8,123.2) 0.8618 0.9996 289.4 98.7 (87.9,110.6)
  Renal agenesis / hypoplasia 51 9.0 (6.7,11.8) NA
Musculoskeletal
  Clubfoot 208 36.6 (31.8,41.9) NA
  Craniosynostosis - - NA
  Diaphragmatic hernia 32 5.6 (3.9,8.0) 0.7083 0.9999 25.7 4.5 (3.0,6.5)
  Gastroschisis 29 5.1 (3.4,7.3) 0.6174 1.0000 20.5 3.6 (2.3,5.4)
  Limb deficiencies 67 11.8 (9.1,15.0) NA
  Omphalocele 71 12.5 (9.8,15.8) 0.1856 1.0000 13.3 2.3 (1.3,3.9)
Orofacial
  Choanal atresia 18 3.2 (1.9,5.0) NA
  Cleft lip with celft palate 49 8.6 (6.4,11.4) NA
  Cleft lip alone 22 3.9 (2.4,5.9) NA
  Cleft palate alone 75 13.2 (10.4,16.5) NA
Ref: NA = Information not available as of publication; ‘-’ = supressed for cell counts <6; 95% CI = 95% Confidence Interval; g = grams, PPV = Positive Predictive Value; NPV = Negative Predictive value

*per 10,000 live female births

**per 10,000 live male births

Note: The Alaska Birth Defects Registry (ABDR) was established and operates under Alaska statute 7 AAC 27.012. Statue allows reports to by age six years of a child. This report includes defects reported before the 3rd birthday.

Column descriptions:
Defect = The Nationally reportable birth defect grouping name.
Reports = Unless otherwise noted, the number of unique reports of defect received by ABDR during the specified birth year(s). Each report represents a unique child with specified defect.
Report Prevalence (95% CI) = The number of reported defects divided by the number of Alaska resident in-state births (Children can be reported multiple times. they are counted only once for each condition).
PPV = The probability of being defect positive given being reported for the defect.
NPV = The probability of being defect negative given not being reported for the defect.
Estimated Defects = The estimated number of defects based on the report prevalence, PPV, and 1-NPV.
Defect Prevalence (95% CI) = The estimated defect prevalence calculated using a Bayesian approach based on the reported prevalence, PPV and 1-NPV (see formula below).

*Through medical records review and case confirmation of a random sample of reported cases, the defect prevalence is calculated as:

\[PPV (Positive Predictive Value) = p(defect)|report)\] \[NPV (Negative Predictive Value) = p(\overline{defect}|\overline{report})]\]

\[p(defect) \approx [p(report)\cdot PPV]+[p(\overline{report})\cdot 1-NPV)]\]

Defect prevalence estimates are a more accurate estimation of the actual diagnosed prevelance of birth defects compared to the reported prevelance estimates in Alaska. ABDR obtains reports from medical providers using International Classification of Disease (ICD) codes that are extracted from individual systems which when aggregated may not reflect true diagnostics. Caution should be used when interpreting and comparing the reported prevalence estimates with national estimates.

Condition Notes:
Cleft Lip (CL), Cleft Palate (CP), and Cleft Lip and Palate (CLP) are coded to be mutually exclusive groups.Because an individual can be reported multiple times and for any condition, this coding ensures that for these cleft conditions the classifications conform to the expectation of being mutually exclusive.

Hypospadias is restricted to male births (N = 29314).
Turner Syndrome is restricted to female births (N = 27496).

Resources:
National Birth Defects Prevention Network
Centers for Diesase Control and Prevention

Contact
Alaska Birth Defects Registry (ABDR)
3601 C Street, Suite 358
Anchorage, AK 99503
(907) 269-3400 phone
(907) 754-3529 fax
hssbirthdefreg@alaska.gov

Updated: September 1, 2017
Code source: R:\ABDR\Analysis_New\Published Data\Prevalence09.13.Rmd