download.file("http://www.openintro.org/stat/data/evals.RData", destfile = "evals.RData")
load("evals.RData")
This is an observational study. Rephrase it to be: Is observed beauty associated with differences in course evaluations?
hist(evals$score)
This is left skewed. This tells you that most students rated professors above the mean. This may be expected since students often don’t have a choice or perceived choice about which classes to take.
plot(x=evals$gender,y=evals$cls_perc_eval)
Gender vs Perc Evaluations
plot(evals$score ~ evals$bty_avg)
plot(jitter(evals$score) ~ evals$bty_avg)
plot((evals$score) ~ jitter(evals$bty_avg))
The relationship appears to be modified with noise.
m_bty<-lm(evals$score~evals$bty_avg)
summary(m_bty)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = evals$score ~ evals$bty_avg)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.9246 -0.3690 0.1420 0.3977 0.9309
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.88034 0.07614 50.96 < 2e-16 ***
## evals$bty_avg 0.06664 0.01629 4.09 5.08e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5348 on 461 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.03502, Adjusted R-squared: 0.03293
## F-statistic: 16.73 on 1 and 461 DF, p-value: 5.083e-05
y= 3.88+.06664*x
The average beauty is significant but not practically because the slope is so low and the Rsq is so low.
hist(m_bty$residuals)
qqnorm(m_bty$residuals)
qqline(m_bty$residuals)
The variance appears to change in the upper quantiles - it is left skewed. Least squares regression may not be reasonable.
plot(evals$bty_avg ~ evals$bty_f1lower)
cor(evals$bty_avg, evals$bty_f1lower)
## [1] 0.8439112
plot(evals[,13:19])
m_bty_gen <- lm(score ~ bty_avg + gender, data = evals)
summary(m_bty_gen)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ bty_avg + gender, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.8305 -0.3625 0.1055 0.4213 0.9314
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.74734 0.08466 44.266 < 2e-16 ***
## bty_avg 0.07416 0.01625 4.563 6.48e-06 ***
## gendermale 0.17239 0.05022 3.433 0.000652 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5287 on 460 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.05912, Adjusted R-squared: 0.05503
## F-statistic: 14.45 on 2 and 460 DF, p-value: 8.177e-07
hist(m_bty_gen$residuals)
qqnorm(m_bty_gen$residuals)
qqline(m_bty_gen$residuals)
##conditions are reasonably well met, or at least as reasonably as before.
Adding gender has to the model has increased the parameter estimate slightly. Both are signficant predictors.
multiLines(m_bty_gen)
For the same rating, females tend to have higher course eval scores.
m_bty_rank <- lm(score ~ bty_avg + rank, data = evals)
summary(m_bty_rank)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ bty_avg + rank, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.8713 -0.3642 0.1489 0.4103 0.9525
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.98155 0.09078 43.860 < 2e-16 ***
## bty_avg 0.06783 0.01655 4.098 4.92e-05 ***
## ranktenure track -0.16070 0.07395 -2.173 0.0303 *
## ranktenured -0.12623 0.06266 -2.014 0.0445 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5328 on 459 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.04652, Adjusted R-squared: 0.04029
## F-statistic: 7.465 on 3 and 459 DF, p-value: 6.88e-05
multiLines(m_bty_rank)
R treats the two levels as seperate variables.
I would expect class credits to not affect beauty at all and not be significantly associated because it someones interpretation of beauty is not
m_full <- lm(score ~ rank + ethnicity + gender + language + age + cls_perc_eval
+ cls_students + cls_level + cls_profs + cls_credits + bty_avg
+ pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
summary(m_full)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ rank + ethnicity + gender + language + age +
## cls_perc_eval + cls_students + cls_level + cls_profs + cls_credits +
## bty_avg + pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.77397 -0.32432 0.09067 0.35183 0.95036
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.0952141 0.2905277 14.096 < 2e-16 ***
## ranktenure track -0.1475932 0.0820671 -1.798 0.07278 .
## ranktenured -0.0973378 0.0663296 -1.467 0.14295
## ethnicitynot minority 0.1234929 0.0786273 1.571 0.11698
## gendermale 0.2109481 0.0518230 4.071 5.54e-05 ***
## languagenon-english -0.2298112 0.1113754 -2.063 0.03965 *
## age -0.0090072 0.0031359 -2.872 0.00427 **
## cls_perc_eval 0.0053272 0.0015393 3.461 0.00059 ***
## cls_students 0.0004546 0.0003774 1.205 0.22896
## cls_levelupper 0.0605140 0.0575617 1.051 0.29369
## cls_profssingle -0.0146619 0.0519885 -0.282 0.77806
## cls_creditsone credit 0.5020432 0.1159388 4.330 1.84e-05 ***
## bty_avg 0.0400333 0.0175064 2.287 0.02267 *
## pic_outfitnot formal -0.1126817 0.0738800 -1.525 0.12792
## pic_colorcolor -0.2172630 0.0715021 -3.039 0.00252 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.498 on 448 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.1871, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1617
## F-statistic: 7.366 on 14 and 448 DF, p-value: 6.552e-14
I am wrong about this. It is associated.
The intercept is the estimated value of the response variable for the first category - notminority.
m_drop <- lm(score ~ rank + ethnicity + gender + language + age + cls_perc_eval
+ cls_students + cls_level + cls_credits + bty_avg
+ pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
summary(m_drop)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ rank + ethnicity + gender + language + age +
## cls_perc_eval + cls_students + cls_level + cls_credits +
## bty_avg + pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.7836 -0.3257 0.0859 0.3513 0.9551
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.0872523 0.2888562 14.150 < 2e-16 ***
## ranktenure track -0.1476746 0.0819824 -1.801 0.072327 .
## ranktenured -0.0973829 0.0662614 -1.470 0.142349
## ethnicitynot minority 0.1274458 0.0772887 1.649 0.099856 .
## gendermale 0.2101231 0.0516873 4.065 5.66e-05 ***
## languagenon-english -0.2282894 0.1111305 -2.054 0.040530 *
## age -0.0089992 0.0031326 -2.873 0.004262 **
## cls_perc_eval 0.0052888 0.0015317 3.453 0.000607 ***
## cls_students 0.0004687 0.0003737 1.254 0.210384
## cls_levelupper 0.0606374 0.0575010 1.055 0.292200
## cls_creditsone credit 0.5061196 0.1149163 4.404 1.33e-05 ***
## bty_avg 0.0398629 0.0174780 2.281 0.023032 *
## pic_outfitnot formal -0.1083227 0.0721711 -1.501 0.134080
## pic_colorcolor -0.2190527 0.0711469 -3.079 0.002205 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.4974 on 449 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.187, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1634
## F-statistic: 7.943 on 13 and 449 DF, p-value: 2.336e-14
Coefficients stayed the same mostly. This means that that variable didn’t add much to the model and was thus collinear.
m_best <- lm(score ~ ethnicity + gender + language + age + cls_perc_eval
+ cls_credits + bty_avg
+ pic_color, data = evals)
summary(m_best)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ ethnicity + gender + language + age + cls_perc_eval +
## cls_credits + bty_avg + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.85320 -0.32394 0.09984 0.37930 0.93610
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.771922 0.232053 16.255 < 2e-16 ***
## ethnicitynot minority 0.167872 0.075275 2.230 0.02623 *
## gendermale 0.207112 0.050135 4.131 4.30e-05 ***
## languagenon-english -0.206178 0.103639 -1.989 0.04726 *
## age -0.006046 0.002612 -2.315 0.02108 *
## cls_perc_eval 0.004656 0.001435 3.244 0.00127 **
## cls_creditsone credit 0.505306 0.104119 4.853 1.67e-06 ***
## bty_avg 0.051069 0.016934 3.016 0.00271 **
## pic_colorcolor -0.190579 0.067351 -2.830 0.00487 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.4992 on 454 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.1722, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1576
## F-statistic: 11.8 on 8 and 454 DF, p-value: 2.58e-15
Score= 3.77+.16ethnicity+.21gender+-.21language+.006age+.004cls_perc_Eval+.505cls_credit+.051bty-.191piccol
hist(m_best$residuals)
qqnorm(m_best$residuals)
qqline(m_best$residuals)
Assumptions are met - mostly normal residuals.
This could affect the dependency condition of regression because one professor could teach multiple courses. This would add relationships among rows.
Based on the model, Non minority, make, english, younger, more course credit, and more percent students completing, higher beauty and piccolor black and white are associated with higher scoring profs.
Because of the dependency problem noted and the fact that teacher evaluations may be a function of values learned in different regions in the country I would not generalize these findings to all universities.