1. This question should be answered using the Weekly data set, which is part of the ISLR package. This data is similar in nature to the Smarket data from this chapter’s lab, except that it contains 1, 089 weekly returns for 21 years, from the beginning of 1990 to the end of
data <- Weekly
attach(data)
itrain <- createDataPartition(y = Direction, p = 0.75, list = FALSE)
train <- data[itrain,]
test <- data[-itrain,]
  1. Produce some numerical and graphical summaries of the Weekly data. Do there appear to be any patterns?

Given the pair plot, the volume has been exponentially increased. It seems to come from the dot-com bubble. Other than that, there is no clear sign on the relationship between variables.

par(mar = c(1,1,1,1))
pairs(train)

Just for fun, let’s see whether the stock return shows the normal curve. It clearly shows the normal curve.

library(gridExtra)
lag1 <- qplot(x = Lag1, data = train, main = "Histogram of Lag 1")
lag2 <- qplot(x = Lag2, data = train, main = "Histogram of Lag 2")
lag3 <- qplot(x = Lag3, data = train, main = "Histogram of Lag 3")
lag4 <- qplot(x = Lag4, data = train, main = "Histogram of Lag 4")
lag5 <- qplot(x = Lag5, data = train, main = "Histogram of Lag 5")
Today <- qplot(x = Today, data = train, main = "Histogram of Lag 6")
grid.arrange(lag1,lag2,lag3,lag4,lag5,Today, nrow = 3, ncol = 2)
## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.
## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.
## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.
## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.
## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.
## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.

  1. Use the full data set to perform a logistic regression with Direction as the response and the five lag variables plus Volume as predictors. Use the summary function to print the results. Do any of the predictors appear to be statistically significant? If so, which ones?
ctrl <- trainControl(method = "repeatedcv", number = 10)
glm.fit <- train(Direction ~ . -Year -Today,data = train, trControl = ctrl, method = "glm",
                 family = "binomial")
summary(glm.fit)
## 
## Call:
## NULL
## 
## Deviance Residuals: 
##     Min       1Q   Median       3Q      Max  
## -1.8109  -1.2578   0.9954   1.0806   1.3938  
## 
## Coefficients:
##             Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)   
## (Intercept)  0.30620    0.09930   3.084  0.00204 **
## Lag1        -0.05166    0.03083  -1.676  0.09376 . 
## Lag2         0.02653    0.03033   0.875  0.38173   
## Lag3        -0.02157    0.03139  -0.687  0.49190   
## Lag4        -0.01613    0.03113  -0.518  0.60429   
## Lag5        -0.04326    0.03043  -1.422  0.15509   
## Volume      -0.04179    0.04270  -0.979  0.32774   
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## (Dispersion parameter for binomial family taken to be 1)
## 
##     Null deviance: 1122.4  on 816  degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 1115.1  on 810  degrees of freedom
## AIC: 1129.1
## 
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 4
  1. Compute the confusion matrix and overall fraction of correct predictions. Explain what the confusion matrix is telling you about the types of mistakes made by logistic regression.
pred <- predict(glm.fit, test)
cm.glm <- confusionMatrix(test$Direction,pred)
cm.glm
## Confusion Matrix and Statistics
## 
##           Reference
## Prediction Down  Up
##       Down   12 109
##       Up     22 129
##                                           
##                Accuracy : 0.5184          
##                  95% CI : (0.4572, 0.5791)
##     No Information Rate : 0.875           
##     P-Value [Acc > NIR] : 1               
##                                           
##                   Kappa : -0.0501         
##  Mcnemar's Test P-Value : 5.741e-14       
##                                           
##             Sensitivity : 0.35294         
##             Specificity : 0.54202         
##          Pos Pred Value : 0.09917         
##          Neg Pred Value : 0.85430         
##              Prevalence : 0.12500         
##          Detection Rate : 0.04412         
##    Detection Prevalence : 0.44485         
##       Balanced Accuracy : 0.44748         
##                                           
##        'Positive' Class : Down            
## 
  1. Now fit the logistic regression model using a training data period from 1990 to 2008, with Lag2 as the only predictor. Compute the confusion matrix and the overall fraction of correct predictions for the held out data (that is, the data from 2009 and 2010).
glm.fit <- train(Direction ~ Lag2, data = train, trControl = ctrl, method = "glm", family = "binomial")
pred <- predict(glm.fit, test)
cm.glm <- confusionMatrix(test$Direction, pred)
cm.glm
## Confusion Matrix and Statistics
## 
##           Reference
## Prediction Down  Up
##       Down    1 120
##       Up      1 150
##                                           
##                Accuracy : 0.5551          
##                  95% CI : (0.4939, 0.6152)
##     No Information Rate : 0.9926          
##     P-Value [Acc > NIR] : 1               
##                                           
##                   Kappa : 0.0018          
##  Mcnemar's Test P-Value : <2e-16          
##                                           
##             Sensitivity : 0.500000        
##             Specificity : 0.555556        
##          Pos Pred Value : 0.008264        
##          Neg Pred Value : 0.993377        
##              Prevalence : 0.007353        
##          Detection Rate : 0.003676        
##    Detection Prevalence : 0.444853        
##       Balanced Accuracy : 0.527778        
##                                           
##        'Positive' Class : Down            
## 
  1. Repeat (d) using LDA.
lda.fit <- train(Direction ~ Lag2, data = train, trControl = ctrl, method = "lda")
## Loading required package: MASS
pred.lda <- predict(lda.fit, test)
cm.lda <- confusionMatrix(test$Direction, pred.lda)
cm.lda
## Confusion Matrix and Statistics
## 
##           Reference
## Prediction Down  Up
##       Down    1 120
##       Up      1 150
##                                           
##                Accuracy : 0.5551          
##                  95% CI : (0.4939, 0.6152)
##     No Information Rate : 0.9926          
##     P-Value [Acc > NIR] : 1               
##                                           
##                   Kappa : 0.0018          
##  Mcnemar's Test P-Value : <2e-16          
##                                           
##             Sensitivity : 0.500000        
##             Specificity : 0.555556        
##          Pos Pred Value : 0.008264        
##          Neg Pred Value : 0.993377        
##              Prevalence : 0.007353        
##          Detection Rate : 0.003676        
##    Detection Prevalence : 0.444853        
##       Balanced Accuracy : 0.527778        
##                                           
##        'Positive' Class : Down            
## 
  1. Repeat (d) using QDA.
qda.fit <- train(Direction ~ Lag2, data = train, trControl = ctrl, method = "qda")
pred.qda <- predict(qda.fit, test)
cm.qda <- confusionMatrix(test$Direction, pred.qda)
cm.qda
## Confusion Matrix and Statistics
## 
##           Reference
## Prediction Down  Up
##       Down    0 121
##       Up      0 151
##                                           
##                Accuracy : 0.5551          
##                  95% CI : (0.4939, 0.6152)
##     No Information Rate : 1               
##     P-Value [Acc > NIR] : 1               
##                                           
##                   Kappa : 0               
##  Mcnemar's Test P-Value : <2e-16          
##                                           
##             Sensitivity :     NA          
##             Specificity : 0.5551          
##          Pos Pred Value :     NA          
##          Neg Pred Value :     NA          
##              Prevalence : 0.0000          
##          Detection Rate : 0.0000          
##    Detection Prevalence : 0.4449          
##       Balanced Accuracy :     NA          
##                                           
##        'Positive' Class : Down            
## 
  1. Repeat (d) using KNN with K = 1.
knn.fit <- train(Direction ~ Lag2, data = train, trControl = ctrl, method = "knn", tuneLength = 1)
pred.knn <- predict(knn.fit, test)
cm.knn <- confusionMatrix(test$Direction, pred.knn)
cm.knn
## Confusion Matrix and Statistics
## 
##           Reference
## Prediction Down Up
##       Down   50 71
##       Up     57 94
##                                         
##                Accuracy : 0.5294        
##                  95% CI : (0.4682, 0.59)
##     No Information Rate : 0.6066        
##     P-Value [Acc > NIR] : 0.9959        
##                                         
##                   Kappa : 0.0362        
##  Mcnemar's Test P-Value : 0.2505        
##                                         
##             Sensitivity : 0.4673        
##             Specificity : 0.5697        
##          Pos Pred Value : 0.4132        
##          Neg Pred Value : 0.6225        
##              Prevalence : 0.3934        
##          Detection Rate : 0.1838        
##    Detection Prevalence : 0.4449        
##       Balanced Accuracy : 0.5185        
##                                         
##        'Positive' Class : Down          
## 
  1. Which of these methods appears to provide the best results on this data? All model is similar. Don’t invest with this model. It’s highway to Yodan River.
detach(data)
library(knitr)
compr <- list(cm.glm$overall,cm.lda$overall,cm.qda$overall,cm.knn$overall)
compr <- data.frame(do.call(rbind, compr), row.names = c("glm", "lda", "qda", "knn"))
kable(compr)
Accuracy Kappa AccuracyLower AccuracyUpper AccuracyNull AccuracyPValue McnemarPValue
glm 0.5551471 0.0018197 0.4939236 0.6151558 0.9926471 1.0000000 0.000000
lda 0.5551471 0.0018197 0.4939236 0.6151558 0.9926471 1.0000000 0.000000
qda 0.5551471 0.0000000 0.4939236 0.6151558 1.0000000 1.0000000 0.000000
knn 0.5294118 0.0361553 0.4682146 0.5899612 0.6066176 0.9959414 0.250536
  1. In this problem, you will develop a model to predict whether a given car gets high or low gas mileage based on the Auto data set.
  1. Create a binary variable, mpg01, that contains a 1 if mpg contains a value above its median, and a 0 if mpg contains a value below its median. You can compute the median using the median() function. Note you may find it helpful to use the data.frame() function to create a single data set containing both mpg01 and the other Auto variables.
library(dplyr)
## 
## Attaching package: 'dplyr'
## The following object is masked from 'package:MASS':
## 
##     select
## The following object is masked from 'package:gridExtra':
## 
##     combine
## The following objects are masked from 'package:stats':
## 
##     filter, lag
## The following objects are masked from 'package:base':
## 
##     intersect, setdiff, setequal, union
data <- Auto
attach(data)
## The following object is masked from package:ggplot2:
## 
##     mpg
mpg <- as.numeric(mpg)
acceleration <- as.numeric(acceleration)
displacement <- as.numeric(displacement)
horsepower <- as.numeric(horsepower)
origin <- as.factor(origin)
weight <- as.numeric(weight)
year <- as.factor(year)
cylinders <- as.factor(cylinders)
data <- mutate(data, mpg01 = ifelse(mpg < median(mpg), 0, 1))
data$mpg01 <- as.factor(data$mpg01)
  1. Explore the data graphically in order to investigate the association between mpg01 and the other features. Which of the other features seem most likely to be useful in predicting mpg01? Scatterplots and boxplots may be useful tools to answer this question. Describe your findings.
attach(data)
## The following objects are masked _by_ .GlobalEnv:
## 
##     acceleration, cylinders, displacement, horsepower, mpg,
##     origin, weight, year
## The following objects are masked from data (pos = 3):
## 
##     acceleration, cylinders, displacement, horsepower, mpg, name,
##     origin, weight, year
## The following object is masked from package:ggplot2:
## 
##     mpg
set.seed(1354)
iTrain <- createDataPartition(y = mpg01, p = 0.75, list = FALSE)
Train <- data[iTrain, ]
Test <- data[-iTrain, ]
detach(data)

First, all qualitative variables shows high correlation with mpg. Also it’s interesting that three variables, displacement, horsepower, and weight, show the nonlinearity as respect to mpg. But, each explanatory variables shows correlation with each, called corlinearity.

attach(Train)
## The following objects are masked _by_ .GlobalEnv:
## 
##     acceleration, cylinders, displacement, horsepower, mpg,
##     origin, weight, year
## The following objects are masked from data:
## 
##     acceleration, cylinders, displacement, horsepower, mpg, name,
##     origin, weight, year
## The following object is masked from package:ggplot2:
## 
##     mpg
DumforPairs <- Train[,-c(2, 7, 8,9, 10)]
pairs(DumforPairs)

Second, those are the box plot as respect to mpg01

b.q.1 <- qplot(x = mpg01, y = displacement, data = Train, geom = "boxplot", 
               main = "Displacement")
b.q.2 <- qplot(x = mpg01, y = horsepower, data = Train, geom = "boxplot",
               main = "Horsepower")
b.q.3 <- qplot(x = mpg01, y = weight, data = Train, geom = "boxplot",
               main = "Weight")
b.q.4 <- qplot(x = mpg01, y = acceleration, data = Train, geom = "boxplot",
               main = "Acceleration")
grid.arrange(b.q.1, b.q.2, b.q.3, b.q.4, ncol = 2)

Unlike other variables, Acceleration shows any significant difference as respect to the fuel efficiency, e.g. mpg.

  1. Perform LDA on the training data in order to predict mpg01 using the variables that seemed most associated with mpg01 in (b). What is the test error of the model obtained?
ctrl <- trainControl(method = "repeatedcv")
names(Train)
##  [1] "mpg"          "cylinders"    "displacement" "horsepower"  
##  [5] "weight"       "acceleration" "year"         "origin"      
##  [9] "name"         "mpg01"
fit.LDA <- train(mpg01 ~. - name - mpg, data = Train, trControl = ctrl, method = "lda")
pred.LDA <- predict(fit.LDA, Test)
cm.LDA <- confusionMatrix(pred.LDA, Test$mpg01)
1 - cm.LDA$overall[[1]]
## [1] 0.09183673
d1 <- data.frame(cm.LDA$byClass)
  1. Perform QDA on the training data in order to predict mpg01 using the variables that seemed most associated with mpg01 in (b). What is the test error of the model obtained?
ctrl <- trainControl(method = "repeatedcv")
fit.QDA <- train(mpg01 ~. - name - mpg, data = Train, trControl = ctrl, method = "qda")
pred.QDA <- predict(fit.QDA, Test)
cm.QDA <- confusionMatrix(pred.QDA, Test$mpg01)
1 - cm.QDA$overall[[1]]
## [1] 0.1122449
d2 <- data.frame(cm.QDA$byClass)
  1. Perform logistic regression on the training data in order to predict mpg01 using the variables that seemed most associated with mpg01 in (b). What is the test error of the model obtained?
ctrl <- trainControl(method = "repeatedcv")
fit.glm <- train(mpg01 ~. - name - mpg, data = Train, trControl = ctrl, method = "glm", family = "binomial")
pred.glm <- predict(fit.glm, Test)
cm.glm <- confusionMatrix(pred.glm, Test$mpg01)
1 - cm.glm$overall[[1]]
## [1] 0.122449
  1. Perform KNN on the training data, with several values of K, in order to predict mpg01. Use only the variables that seemed most associated with mpg01 in (b). What test errors do you obtain? Which value of K seems to perform the best on this data set?
ctrl <- trainControl(method = "repeatedcv")
fit.knn <- train(mpg01 ~. - name - mpg, data = Train, trControl = ctrl, method = "knn", preProcess = c("center", "scale"), tuneLength = 20)
pred.knn <- predict(fit.knn, Test)
cm.knn <- confusionMatrix(pred.knn, Test$mpg01)
result <- fit.knn$results
kable(result[1:5,])
k Accuracy Kappa AccuracySD KappaSD
5 0.9050411 0.8097348 0.0545497 0.1095113
7 0.9052791 0.8100772 0.0652501 0.1313458
9 0.9050411 0.8096010 0.0613871 0.1236705
11 0.9017077 0.8029344 0.0625845 0.1260201
13 0.9017077 0.8029344 0.0625845 0.1260201

After preprocessing the data, k=7 shows the highest accuracy.

d3 <- data.frame(cm.glm$byClass)
d4 <- data.frame(cm.knn$byClass)
D <- cbind(d1,d2,d3,d4); colnames(D) <- c("LDA", "QDA", "GLM", "KNN")
ac <- cbind(cm.LDA$overall[1], cm.QDA$overall[1], cm.glm$overall[1], cm.knn$overall[1])
colnames(ac) <- c("LDA", "QDA", "GLM", "KNN")
D <- rbind(ac,D)
kable(D[1:5, ])
LDA QDA GLM KNN
Accuracy 0.9081633 0.8877551 0.8775510 0.9081633
Sensitivity 0.8367347 0.8571429 0.8163265 0.8367347
Specificity 0.9795918 0.9183673 0.9387755 0.9795918
Pos Pred Value 0.9761905 0.9130435 0.9302326 0.9761905
Neg Pred Value 0.8571429 0.8653846 0.8363636 0.8571429
First, both LDA a nd KNN shows the highest overall acc uracy. For specificity, LDA ranked the first followed by KNN. If the purpose for the prediction is to find the car having high fuel efficiency, it is better off chosing LDA as a predictive model.
  1. Using the Boston data set, fit classification models in order to predict whether a given suburb has a crime rate above or below the median. Explore logistic regression, LDA, and KNN models using various subsets of the predictors. Describe your findings.
library(MASS)
data <- Boston
kable(head(Boston))
crim zn indus chas nox rm age dis rad tax ptratio black lstat medv
0.00632 18 2.31 0 0.538 6.575 65.2 4.0900 1 296 15.3 396.90 4.98 24.0
0.02731 0 7.07 0 0.469 6.421 78.9 4.9671 2 242 17.8 396.90 9.14 21.6
0.02729 0 7.07 0 0.469 7.185 61.1 4.9671 2 242 17.8 392.83 4.03 34.7
0.03237 0 2.18 0 0.458 6.998 45.8 6.0622 3 222 18.7 394.63 2.94 33.4
0.06905 0 2.18 0 0.458 7.147 54.2 6.0622 3 222 18.7 396.90 5.33 36.2
0.02985 0 2.18 0 0.458 6.430 58.7 6.0622 3 222 18.7 394.12 5.21 28.7

It turned out the classes of varaibles in the data are quite messy. For further analysis, I chagned the classes of variables according to the code book in help page.

The data, boston, has 14 variables along with 506 observations. We would predict the degree of high crime rate with ohter 13 variables. First, we need to manipulate, then split the data for further analysis.

set.seed(34596)
iTrain <- createDataPartition(y = data$Mcrim, p = 0.75, list = FALSE)
Train <- data[iTrain, ]
Test <- data[-iTrain, ]

Here is the summary of the data.

summary(data)
##       crim                zn             indus            chas        
##  Min.   : 0.00632   Min.   :  0.00   Min.   : 0.46   Min.   :0.00000  
##  1st Qu.: 0.08204   1st Qu.:  0.00   1st Qu.: 5.19   1st Qu.:0.00000  
##  Median : 0.25651   Median :  0.00   Median : 9.69   Median :0.00000  
##  Mean   : 3.61352   Mean   : 11.36   Mean   :11.14   Mean   :0.06917  
##  3rd Qu.: 3.67708   3rd Qu.: 12.50   3rd Qu.:18.10   3rd Qu.:0.00000  
##  Max.   :88.97620   Max.   :100.00   Max.   :27.74   Max.   :1.00000  
##       nox               rm             age              dis        
##  Min.   :0.3850   Min.   :3.561   Min.   :  2.90   Min.   : 1.130  
##  1st Qu.:0.4490   1st Qu.:5.886   1st Qu.: 45.02   1st Qu.: 2.100  
##  Median :0.5380   Median :6.208   Median : 77.50   Median : 3.207  
##  Mean   :0.5547   Mean   :6.285   Mean   : 68.57   Mean   : 3.795  
##  3rd Qu.:0.6240   3rd Qu.:6.623   3rd Qu.: 94.08   3rd Qu.: 5.188  
##  Max.   :0.8710   Max.   :8.780   Max.   :100.00   Max.   :12.127  
##       rad              tax           ptratio          black       
##  Min.   : 1.000   Min.   :187.0   Min.   :12.60   Min.   :  0.32  
##  1st Qu.: 4.000   1st Qu.:279.0   1st Qu.:17.40   1st Qu.:375.38  
##  Median : 5.000   Median :330.0   Median :19.05   Median :391.44  
##  Mean   : 9.549   Mean   :408.2   Mean   :18.46   Mean   :356.67  
##  3rd Qu.:24.000   3rd Qu.:666.0   3rd Qu.:20.20   3rd Qu.:396.23  
##  Max.   :24.000   Max.   :711.0   Max.   :22.00   Max.   :396.90  
##      lstat            medv       Mcrim  
##  Min.   : 1.73   Min.   : 5.00   0:253  
##  1st Qu.: 6.95   1st Qu.:17.02   1:253  
##  Median :11.36   Median :21.20          
##  Mean   :12.65   Mean   :22.53          
##  3rd Qu.:16.95   3rd Qu.:25.00          
##  Max.   :37.97   Max.   :50.00

The interesting factor in the Boston data is chas variable. The variable indicates whether the town bounds Charls river. Does the closeness to Charls river show the relationship with crime rate? With the table, we can see whether the relation exists. The per centage of crime goes above median if the town is far from the river is 49%. And that of crime goes above median if the town bounds the river is 62.5%.

attach(Train)
table(chas,Mcrim)
##     Mcrim
## chas   0   1
##    0 181 175
##    1   9  15

Next, let’s look at the box plot as respect to the degree of crime, Mcrim.

q1 <- qplot(x = Mcrim, y = log(zn)+1, data = Train, geom = "boxplot", main = "Zone")
## used log to scale zone variables.
q2 <- qplot(x = Mcrim, y = indus, data = Train, geom = "boxplot", main = "Indus")
q3 <- qplot(x = Mcrim, y = nox, data = Train, geom = "boxplot", main = "nitrogen oxides")
q4 <- qplot(x = Mcrim, y = rm, data = Train, geom = "boxplot", main = "Avg Rooms")
q5 <- qplot(x = Mcrim, y = age, data = Train, geom = "boxplot", main = "Home Units Age")
q6 <- qplot(x = Mcrim, y = dis, data = Train, geom = "boxplot", main = "Distance")
q7 <- qplot(x = Mcrim, y = tax, data = Train, geom = "boxplot", main = "Prop. Tax")
q8 <- qplot(x = Mcrim, y = ptratio, data = Train, geom = "boxplot", main = "Education")
q9 <- qplot(x = Mcrim, y = black, data = Train, geom = "boxplot", main = "Black Pop.")
q10 <- qplot(x = Mcrim, y = lstat, data = Train, geom = "boxplot", main = "Lower Status")
q11 <- qplot(x = Mcrim, y = medv, data = Train, geom = "boxplot", main = "Med Val of Home")

grid.arrange(q1,q2,q3,q4,q5,q6,q7,q8,q9,q10,q11, ncol = 6)
## Warning: Removed 280 rows containing non-finite values (stat_boxplot).

Given the graph, five variables, nitroge oxides, Med val Home Value, Distance, Home units Age, lower Status, shows the distinctive characteristics as respect to the degree of crime.

Then, here is the predictive analysis with 3 different models, LDA, GLM, KNN.

ctrl <- trainControl(method = "repeatedcv")
dat <- Train[,-1]
dim(dat)
## [1] 380  14
findLinearCombos(dat)
## $linearCombos
## list()
## 
## $remove
## NULL
fit.lda <- train(Mcrim ~ . ,trControl = ctrl, data = dat, method = "lda")
fit.lda$finalModel
## Call:
## lda(x, grouping = y)
## 
## Prior probabilities of groups:
##   0   1 
## 0.5 0.5 
## 
## Group means:
##          zn     indus       chas       nox       rm      age     dis
## 0 20.794737  6.993211 0.04736842 0.4718932 6.402337 50.71842 5.07392
## 1  1.168421 15.186211 0.07894737 0.6348263 6.209737 85.11842 2.50559
##         rad      tax  ptratio    black     lstat     medv
## 0  4.178947 305.4895 17.97316 388.6874  9.310579 25.28789
## 1 15.063158 511.7211 19.07526 324.9032 16.026737 19.91684
## 
## Coefficients of linear discriminants:
##                  LD1
## zn      -0.003741868
## indus    0.008592637
## chas    -0.039542626
## nox      7.869796901
## rm       0.070604292
## age      0.010587569
## dis     -0.012376907
## rad      0.076987991
## tax     -0.001008256
## ptratio  0.071785521
## black   -0.001020335
## lstat    0.016760765
## medv     0.038316240
pred.lda <- predict(fit.lda, Test)
fit.glm <- train(Mcrim ~ . ,trControl = ctrl, data = dat, method = "glm", family = "binomial")
## Warning: glm.fit: fitted probabilities numerically 0 or 1 occurred
pred.glm <- predict(fit.glm, Test)
fit.knn <- train(Mcrim ~ . ,trControl = ctrl, data = dat, method = "knn", preProcess = c("center", "scale"), tuneLength = 20)
pred.knn <- predict(fit.knn,Test)

In this model, GLM shows the highest accuracy.

cm.lda <- confusionMatrix(Test$Mcrim, pred.lda)
cm.glm <- confusionMatrix(Test$Mcrim, pred.glm)
cm.knn <- confusionMatrix(Test$Mcrim, pred.knn)
D <- data.frame(rbind(cm.lda$byClass, cm.glm$byClass, cm.knn$byClass), row.names = c("LDA", "GLM", "KNN"))
ac <- cbind(cm.lda$overall[1], cm.glm$overall[1], cm.knn$overall[1])
colnames(ac) <- c("LDA", "GLM", "KNN")
D <- rbind(ac,t(D))
kable(D[1:5, ])
LDA GLM KNN
Accuracy 0.8492063 0.8888889 0.9047619
Sensitivity 0.7972973 0.8550725 0.8695652
Specificity 0.9230769 0.9298246 0.9473684
Pos.Pred.Value 0.9365079 0.9365079 0.9523810
Neg.Pred.Value 0.7619048 0.8412698 0.8571429