Data Analysis for Storm U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) storm database by Blessing EHINMOWO, August 2016

Storms and other severe weather events can cause both public health and economic problems for communities and municipalities resulting in fatalities, injuries, and property damage. In this study, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) storm database was explored for the characteristics of major storms and weather events in the United States.This include the time and location of occurence as well as estimates of any fatalities, injuries, and property damage.The analysis of these provided a good insight into trend and this may be a veritable tool for preparing reponse plans for severe weather events.

The data was downloaded from the course web site: Storm Data[47Mb]. More about the database can be found at

National Weather Service Storm Data Documentation and National Climatic Data Center Storm Events FAQ. Here you will find how some of the variables are constructed/defined.

Data Processing

The data was downloaded and saved in the working directory. It was unzipped and further Processed.

 if (!file.exists("proj")){
  dir.create("proj")
 }
download.file("https://d396qusza40orc.cloudfront.net/repdata%2Fdata%2FStormData.csv.bz2","proj/StormData.csv.bz2")
datedownloaded<-date()
StormData<-read.csv(bzfile("proj/StormData.csv.bz2"))
head(StormData)
##   STATE__           BGN_DATE BGN_TIME TIME_ZONE COUNTY COUNTYNAME STATE
## 1       1  4/18/1950 0:00:00     0130       CST     97     MOBILE    AL
## 2       1  4/18/1950 0:00:00     0145       CST      3    BALDWIN    AL
## 3       1  2/20/1951 0:00:00     1600       CST     57    FAYETTE    AL
## 4       1   6/8/1951 0:00:00     0900       CST     89    MADISON    AL
## 5       1 11/15/1951 0:00:00     1500       CST     43    CULLMAN    AL
## 6       1 11/15/1951 0:00:00     2000       CST     77 LAUDERDALE    AL
##    EVTYPE BGN_RANGE BGN_AZI BGN_LOCATI END_DATE END_TIME COUNTY_END
## 1 TORNADO         0                                               0
## 2 TORNADO         0                                               0
## 3 TORNADO         0                                               0
## 4 TORNADO         0                                               0
## 5 TORNADO         0                                               0
## 6 TORNADO         0                                               0
##   COUNTYENDN END_RANGE END_AZI END_LOCATI LENGTH WIDTH F MAG FATALITIES
## 1         NA         0                      14.0   100 3   0          0
## 2         NA         0                       2.0   150 2   0          0
## 3         NA         0                       0.1   123 2   0          0
## 4         NA         0                       0.0   100 2   0          0
## 5         NA         0                       0.0   150 2   0          0
## 6         NA         0                       1.5   177 2   0          0
##   INJURIES PROPDMG PROPDMGEXP CROPDMG CROPDMGEXP WFO STATEOFFIC ZONENAMES
## 1       15    25.0          K       0                                    
## 2        0     2.5          K       0                                    
## 3        2    25.0          K       0                                    
## 4        2     2.5          K       0                                    
## 5        2     2.5          K       0                                    
## 6        6     2.5          K       0                                    
##   LATITUDE LONGITUDE LATITUDE_E LONGITUDE_ REMARKS REFNUM
## 1     3040      8812       3051       8806              1
## 2     3042      8755          0          0              2
## 3     3340      8742          0          0              3
## 4     3458      8626          0          0              4
## 5     3412      8642          0          0              5
## 6     3450      8748          0          0              6
dim(StormData)
## [1] 902297     37

Aggregating the event types by health impact

fatalities <- aggregate(StormData$FATALITIES ~ StormData$EVTYPE, FUN=sum)
injuries <- aggregate(StormData$INJURIES ~ StormData$EVTYPE, FUN=sum)

Aggregating the event types by economic impact

prop <- aggregate(StormData$PROPDMG ~ StormData$EVTYPE, FUN=sum)
crop <- aggregate(StormData$CROPDMG ~ StormData$EVTYPE, FUN=sum)

Taking out 0 values and finding the top 5%, then choosing only values above this “quantile”, and then sorting in reverse order

fatalities <- fatalities[!fatalities[,2] == 0, ]
fatalities.quantile <- quantile(fatalities[,2], 0.95)
fatalities <- fatalities[fatalities[,2] > fatalities.quantile, ]
fatalities <- fatalities[ order(-fatalities[,2], fatalities[,1]), ]

injuries <- injuries[!injuries[,2] == 0, ]
injuries.quantile <- quantile(injuries[,2], 0.95)
injuries <- injuries[injuries[,2] > injuries.quantile, ]
injuries <- injuries[ order(-injuries[,2], injuries[,1]), ]

crop <- crop[!crop[,2] == 0, ]
crop.quantile <- quantile(crop[,2], 0.95)
crop <- crop[crop[,2] > crop.quantile, ]
crop <- crop[ order(-crop[,2], crop[,1]), ]

prop <- prop[!prop[,2] == 0, ]
prop.quantile <- quantile(prop[,2], 0.95)
prop <- prop[prop[,2] > prop.quantile, ]
prop <- prop[ order(-prop[,2], prop[,1]), ]

Results

First,the population health impacts were plotted after which the Economics impact plots were generated

par(mfrow = c(1,2), mar=c(12,4,3,2))
barplot(names.arg=fatalities[,1], height=fatalities[,2],las=2, main="Fatalities by Event Type")
barplot(names.arg=injuries[,1], height=injuries[,2], las=2, main="Injuries by Event Type")

barplot(names.arg=prop[,1], height=prop[,2], cex.names=1, las=2, main="Property Damage by Event Type")

barplot(names.arg=crop[,1], height=crop[,2], cex.names=1, las=2, main="Crop Damage by Event Type")

The result shows that Tornado poses most harmful threat to population health. From the results it was also revealed that Tornado had the greatest negative impact on the economy through property damage while hail have the greatest economic consequences due to crop damage.

Conclusion

The results from this study showed that the USA suffered health and economic damages more from Tornado and hail compared to other severe weather events.This understanding can help in prioritizing resources for response plans to severe weather events.