#Brexit

Best estimates of age-specific voting behaviour


Maja Založnik

29.6.2016

Motivation

How it all began

Internet was ahead of me

Internet was ahead of me

Where is the data? Voting

Where is the data? Turnout

Where is the data? Registration

Data Summary

  • Voting – 6 age groups – Estimate from poll
  • Turnout – 6 age groups – Estimate from (different) poll
  • Registration – 7 age groups – Electoral commission (2014)
  • Population structure – all ages – ONS (2015)
  • Life expectancy – all ages – ONS (2012-14)

New registrations added anyway

plot of chunk unnamed-chunk-1

Voter turnout tweaked

plot of chunk unnamed-chunk-2

Bringing it all together: