Forecasting Serious Injuries/Deaths of Drivers in UK (Jan 1969 - Dec 1984)

Naive Forecasting Method

JT Lalis
Researcher

Introduction

Accident Forecasting is to forecast the safety state based on the available information and observation.

The dataset being used in this app is UKDriverDeaths. It is a time series dataset giving the monthly totals of car drivers in Great Britain killed or seriously injured Jan 1969 to Dec 1984. Compulsory wearing of seat belts was introduced on 31 Jan 1983.

The Method

This Shiny app is designed to provide a lightweight yet accurate way of forecasting accidents to help decision making and planning before casualty and loss occur.

The Naive forecasting method was used to develop this Shiny app. For more information about the method, follow the link below:

www.scmfocus.com/demandplanning/2012/03/naive-forecast/

The Shiny App

To start using the Shiny App, click the link below:

https://skycrater.shinyapps.io/DDP_Project/

The sample line graph can be seen below:

## Loading required package: reshape2
## Warning: package 'reshape2' was built under R version 3.2.5

Performance Measure