Effects of Extreme Weather Events in the USA on Public Health and the Economy

Synopsis

Extreme weather events have brought significant damage to society in recent years. An interesting question for public policy is determining which extreme weather event causes the greatest destruction.

In this comparative analysis, floods were found to bring the most significant economic disruption, with more than 150 billions US dollars of property damage. Tornadoes were found to cause the most number of deaths and injuries, with almost 97,000 injuries or fatalities in recent years.

Data Processing

  • The folder with the raw source data has been downloaded and unzipped in the current working directory, and renamed as “data”.
  • We remove some unused variables to save memory
  • Property damage & crop damage were added and reported as total damage
  • We report the sum of fatalities and injuries as the total impact on public health caused by an extreme weather event.
# Load the data

stormData_raw <-read.csv("./data/repData-data-stormData.csv",header = TRUE, sep = ",");



# Remove unnecessary columns
good_columns <- c("EVTYPE",                  # Event type
                  "FATALITIES", "INJURIES",  # Deaths & Injuries
                  "PROPDMG", "PROPDMGEXP",   # Property damage & its exponential
                  "CROPDMG", "CROPDMGEXP")   # Crop damage & its exponential
stormData <- stormData_raw[,good_columns]
summary(stormData)
##                EVTYPE         FATALITIES          INJURIES        
##  HAIL             :288661   Min.   :  0.0000   Min.   :   0.0000  
##  TSTM WIND        :219940   1st Qu.:  0.0000   1st Qu.:   0.0000  
##  THUNDERSTORM WIND: 82563   Median :  0.0000   Median :   0.0000  
##  TORNADO          : 60652   Mean   :  0.0168   Mean   :   0.1557  
##  FLASH FLOOD      : 54277   3rd Qu.:  0.0000   3rd Qu.:   0.0000  
##  FLOOD            : 25326   Max.   :583.0000   Max.   :1700.0000  
##  (Other)          :170878                                         
##     PROPDMG          PROPDMGEXP        CROPDMG          CROPDMGEXP    
##  Min.   :   0.00          :465934   Min.   :  0.000          :618413  
##  1st Qu.:   0.00   K      :424665   1st Qu.:  0.000   K      :281832  
##  Median :   0.00   M      : 11330   Median :  0.000   M      :  1994  
##  Mean   :  12.06   0      :   216   Mean   :  1.527   k      :    21  
##  3rd Qu.:   0.50   B      :    40   3rd Qu.:  0.000   0      :    19  
##  Max.   :5000.00   5      :    28   Max.   :990.000   B      :     9  
##                    (Other):    84                     (Other):     9
# remove the raw data to save memory
remove(stormData_raw)

# Calculate the total damage
levels(stormData$PROPDMGEXP) <- c(
  "1", "1", "1", "1", "1", "1", "1", "1", "1", "1", "1", "1", "1", 
  "1000000000", "1", "1", "1000", "1000000", "1000000")
levels(stormData$CROPDMGEXP) <- c(
  "1", "1", "1", "1", "1000000000", "1000", 
  "1000", "1000000", "1000000")
stormData$PROPDMG <- stormData$PROPDMG * 
  as.integer(as.character(stormData$PROPDMGEXP))
stormData$CROPDMG <- stormData$CROPDMG * 
  as.integer(as.character(stormData$CROPDMGEXP))
stormData$DAMAGE <- stormData$PROPDMG + stormData$CROPDMG

# Calculate total health impact as sum of injuries & fatalities
stormData$HEALTH <- stormData$INJURIES + stormData$FATALITIES

Results

Impact on Population health

Across the United States, which types of extreme weather events (as indicated in the EVTYPE variable) are the most perjudicial to public health?

total <- sort(
  tapply(stormData$HEALTH, stormData$EVTYPE, sum),
  decreasing = T)
barplot(head(total,3),
        main="Most perjudicial events",
        xlab="Event type",
        ylab="Total fatalities and injuries")

max(total)
## [1] 96979

The figure shows that tornadoes cause the highest number of injuries and fatalities with a total of 96,980 fatalities and injuries, significantly more than any other type of extreme weather events.

Economic Impact

total <- sort(
  tapply(stormData$DAMAGE, stormData$EVTYPE, sum),
  decreasing = T)
barplot(head(total,3),
        main="Cost of the most damaging extreme weather events",
        xlab="Event type",
        ylab="Total damage")

max(total)
## [1] 150319678257

The figure shows that floods cause the most significant economic damage (around 150 billions US dollars), much higher than any other extreme weather events.