2026–27 EOG Projections
Thomasville City Schools | Executive Summary
Proficiency by Grade and Content
The chart compares last year’s actual EOG proficiency for the same students (their prior grade) with this year’s projected proficiency. These are cohort comparisons, not comparisons of the same grade across different years. These are matched scores. They will not reflect what is in official NCDPI proficiency data. The data only includes student who are included in the current projection data set.
| Content | Grade | Students | Prior actual | Current projected | Cohort change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Math | 3 | 142 | — | 58.5% | — |
| Math | 4 | 148 | 61.5% | 49.3% | -12.2 pp |
| Math | 5 | 166 | 41.6% | 39.8% | -1.8 pp |
| Math | 6 | 111 | 43.2% | 32.4% | -10.8 pp |
| Math | 7 | 133 | 39.4% | 42.9% | +3.0 pp |
| Math | 8 | 108 | 33.3% | 38.9% | +5.6 pp |
| Reading | 3 | 146 | — | 29.5% | — |
| Reading | 4 | 149 | 29.5% | 38.3% | +8.7 pp |
| Reading | 5 | 164 | 37.8% | 31.7% | -6.1 pp |
| Reading | 6 | 115 | 29.6% | 29.6% | +0.0 pp |
| Reading | 7 | 130 | 37.7% | 41.5% | +3.8 pp |
| Reading | 8 | 136 | 42.2% | 41.2% | -1.5 pp |
2026 Proficiency and Projected 2027 Proficiency
| Content | Grade | 2026 Actual % | 2027 Projected % | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Math | 3 | 62.9 | 58.5 | -4.4 |
| Math | 4 | 41.8 | 49.3 | 7.5 |
| Math | 5 | 43.0 | 39.8 | -3.2 |
| Math | 6 | 34.6 | 32.4 | -2.2 |
| Math | 7 | 40.0 | 42.9 | 2.9 |
| Math | 8 | 26.2 | 38.9 | 12.7 |
| Reading | 3 | 36.0 | 29.5 | -6.5 |
| Reading | 4 | 36.9 | 38.3 | 1.4 |
| Reading | 5 | 28.7 | 31.7 | 3.0 |
| Reading | 6 | 33.1 | 29.6 | -3.5 |
| Reading | 7 | 39.4 | 41.5 | 2.1 |
| Reading | 8 | 37.9 | 41.2 | 3.3 |
**2025–26 same-grade actual proficiency has not yet been supplied.** Fill in the accompanying CSV template to populate this comparison.| Content | Grade | 2025–26 actual | 2026–27 projected | Year-over-year change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Math | 3 | 62.9% | 58.5% | -4.4 pp |
| Math | 4 | 41.8% | 49.3% | +7.5 pp |
| Math | 5 | 43.0% | 39.8% | -3.2 pp |
| Math | 6 | 34.6% | 32.4% | -2.2 pp |
| Math | 7 | 40.0% | 42.9% | +2.9 pp |
| Math | 8 | 26.2% | 38.9% | +12.7 pp |
| Reading | 3 | 36.0% | 29.5% | -6.5 pp |
| Reading | 4 | 36.9% | 38.3% | +1.4 pp |
| Reading | 5 | 28.7% | 31.7% | +3.0 pp |
| Reading | 6 | 33.1% | 29.6% | -3.5 pp |
| Reading | 7 | 39.4% | 41.5% | +2.1 pp |
| Reading | 8 | 37.9% | 41.2% | +3.3 pp |
Projection scenarios
At this point, there is still al ot of variance in the actual achievement outcome. The lower and upper limits show that variability.
Projected Achievement Levels
