Core 1 updated main-text tables and figures

2026-11-04

Figure 1 Theoretical framework and tested associations

Theoretical framework and tested associations

Arrows denote hypothesized associations. Regional estimates are secondary and country comparisons are descriptive.

Table 2. Measurement and descriptive statistics

MeasureCodingScaleMinMaxMeanSDN
Territorial solidarityMean of observed municipality, own-country and other-EU willingness-to-pay items1–51.005.003.270.968,066
H1 Left-right self-placementLeft-right self-placement; higher is further right1–111.0011.005.512.728,066
H2 Tax and benefit moraleRedistribution norm, tax compliance and benefit-fraud norms; higher is stronger0–10.001.000.850.228,066
H3 Objective economic conditions — incomeHousehold income-category score divided by square root of household size; higher is more resourcesPositive category-based score0.3810.004.981.958,066
H3 Objective economic conditions — public payments and labour-market statusRescaled payment count and unpaid/inactive status; higher is greater need0–10.001.000.300.288,066
H4 Subjective economic conditions — household economic situation and financial resilienceFinancial resilience and household economic evaluation; higher is greater capacity0–10.001.000.590.258,066
H4 Subjective economic conditions — perceived personal risksRisks of economic or care-related need; higher is greater risk0–10.001.000.250.188,066
H5a Generalized social trustTrust, perceived fairness and helpfulness; higher is greater trust0–10.001.000.470.208,066
H5b Institutional trustMean of available rescaled trust items across five observed institutions; higher is greater trust0–10.001.000.430.228,066
H6 Public service assessmentService satisfaction, performance and delivery assessments; higher is more favourable0–10.001.000.470.178,066
AgeAge in years18 and older18.0096.0050.7918.318,066
Gender0 male (reference), 1 female0–10.001.000.510.508,066
EducationHigh education (31.7%)Categorical8,066
EducationLow education (19.8%)Categorical8,066
EducationMedium education (48.5%)Categorical8,066
Migration background0 no (reference), 1 yes0–10.001.000.060.248,066

Common primary sample; imputed predictors in original units. SD is the square root of the weighted average squared deviation from the weighted mean. N is the unweighted valid count. Education is shown as category shares.

Figure 2 Full-model estimates for respondent-level predictors

Full-model estimates for respondent-level predictors

Weighted OLS coefficients per predictor SD; bars show two-sided 95% country CR2 intervals. The perceived-risk and capacity main effects are conditional on the interacting predictor’s scaling mean.

Table 3. Political solidarity by predictor block

ConstructBlock ABlock BBlock CFull
A H1 Left-right self-placement-0.295 [-0.438, -0.153]-0.238 [-0.332, -0.144]
A H2 Tax and benefit morale0.072 [0.007, 0.137]0.071 [0.018, 0.124]
B H3 Objective economic conditions — income0.018 [-0.024, 0.060]0.016 [-0.009, 0.041]
B H3 Objective economic conditions — public payments and labour-market status0.077 [0.046, 0.108]0.039 [0.008, 0.069]
B H4 Subjective economic conditions — household economic situation and financial resilience0.117 [0.031, 0.203]0.030 [-0.026, 0.085]
B H4 Subjective economic conditions — perceived personal risks-0.029 [-0.064, 0.006]-0.002 [-0.054, 0.051]
B · Perceived personal risks × household economic situation and financial resilience0.016 [-0.009, 0.040]-0.000 [-0.026, 0.025]
C H5a Generalized social trust0.183 [0.106, 0.261]0.147 [0.100, 0.194]
C H5b Institutional trust0.173 [0.068, 0.277]0.154 [0.059, 0.249]
C H6 Public service assessment0.163 [0.072, 0.254]0.152 [0.073, 0.231]
N8066806680668066
Country clusters7777
Weighted R²0.1910.1110.2570.328

Weighted OLS coefficients and two-sided 95% country CR2 intervals with coefficient-specific Satterthwaite degrees of freedom. All models adjust for age, gender, education, migration background and country fixed effects. Focal predictors are standardized; outcomes remain in original units.

Figure 3 Unadjusted and demographically standardized country means

Unadjusted and demographically standardized country means

Both series use the same primary sample. Adjusted means standardize age, gender, education and migration background to the pooled survey-weighted distribution.

Table 4. Political solidarity by country

CountryNUnadjustedDemographicChangevs CroatiaFull
Croatia1,1243.0243.0390.0150.0003.238
France1,1153.0403.027-0.013-0.0123.137
Germany1,6003.1943.182-0.0120.1433.042
Italy1,1173.3243.3910.0670.3533.444
Poland1,0053.1763.166-0.0100.1283.247
Spain1,0543.5023.489-0.0130.4503.480
Sweden1,0513.6773.643-0.0340.6043.401

Weighted means on the 1–5 scale. Demographic and Full columns standardize to the same pooled survey-weighted covariate distribution. The contrast uses the demographic model. Estimates are descriptive.